Daily Analysis 20230221

February 21st, 2023

Good morning,

U.S markets on holiday due to President Day

Dow…….33827 closed +0%
Nasdaq.11787 closed +0%
S&P 500..4079 closed +0%

FTSE…….8014 +9.96 +0.12%
Dax……..15478 -4.5 -0.03%
CAC……..7336 -12.1 -0.16%

Nikkei…..27532 +18.8 +0.07%
HSI………20887 +167.2 +0.81%
Shanghai.3290 +66.3 +2.06%

IDX…..6894.72 -1.00 -0.01%
LQ45….954.85 +0.47 +0.05%
IDX30…496.56 +0.25 +0.05%

IDXEnergy…2070.01 -12.24 -0.59%
IDX BscMat 1247.98 -2.70 -0.22%
IDX Indstrl…1145.75 -9.43 -0.82%
IDXNONCYC..764.55 +5.28 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1611.34 -4.39 -0.27%
IDXCYCLIC…845.64 +1.24 +0.15%
IDX Techno.5529.68 -83.77 -1.49%
IDX Transp1836.55 -5.13 -0.28%
IDX Infrast….875.17 +9.96 +1.15 %
IDX Finance1432.13 +4.49 +0.31%
IDX Banking1161.85 -0.33 -0.03%
IDX Property….690 +0.20 +.0.03%

Indo10Yr.6.7641 +0.0096 +0.14%
ICBI..350.8619 -0.0291 -0.01%
US10Yr.3.8280 closed +0%
VIX……….21.23 +1.23 +6.04%‼️

USDIndx103.8680 -0.1820 -0.17%
Como Indx.267.57closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….163.14 closed +0%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15159.00 -51.00 -0.34%
Jisdor.15168.00 -22.00 -0.14%

Euro……1.0686 unch +0%

TLKM….24.86 closed +0%
(3778)
EIDO……23.18 closed +0%
EEM……39.68 closed +0%

Oil…….77.13 +0.79 +1.03%
Gold 1850.30 +0.10 +0.01%
Timah 25856 closed +0%
(Closed 02/17)
Nickel.27086.00 +439.00 +1.65%
(Closed 02/20)
Silver…….21.97 +0.11 +0.50%
Copper..415.86 +5.35 +1.30%

Nturl Gas.2.311 +0.0011 +0.48%

Ammonia 4323.33 – -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/16)

Coal price.205.65 -3.70 -1.77%_
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price179.50 -3.50 -1.91%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price176.00 -4.65 -2.57%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price179.50 -2.90 -1.59%
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.50 unch +0%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 133.00-3.20 -2.35%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price136.00 +1.05 +0.78%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price131.30 -3.10 -2.23%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4124 +27 +0.65%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil..61.75 closed +0%
Wheat…….776.25 closed +0%

Wood pulp…6030.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/20)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Era9wati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tutup, asia rata2 ijo, europe tipis2, IDX hampir doji, bisa dianggap doji lah, semoga pertanda reversal

oil gas ijo, coal merah, metal2 ijo, CPO lanjut ijo. Bagus buat tambang2 mineral yang kemaren pada dibanting harganya, pas juga kemaren index doji, buat rebound hari ini.

NCF – masih turun, tapi kalo dari MACD keliatannya sebentar lagi udahan downtrend nya, semoga pas dan bawa saham2 coal ke atas

IHSG – stoch down, macd down, MFI down,w% flat, BD acc, FF masih NFS tapi tipis, dari candle keliatan udah ga mau dibawa turun, closing selalu balik ke level 6895-an. Kayanya tinggal nunggu release resmi LK big banks terus rally breakout resistance

Healthcare, Infrastructure, Energy. Consumer Non-Cyclicals bangun lagi

Stoch Buy Signal: ITMG SCMA BMTR LTLS

MACD Buy Signal: CPIN EXCL PNLF SMDR

Alligator Buy Signal: ENRG ISAT MIKA

Supertrend Buy Signal: PTBA

ITMG – stoch buy sw, macd up, MFI up, BD ff dist tipis, regbul div udah pernah confirmed by MA10, masih SW, wns

SCMA – stoch buy, macd down, mfi down, bd ff dist tipis, retracement pattern belum jalan, masih belum sih

BMTR – masuk saham value investing, stoch buy, macd sell, MFI sw, BD FF masih dist, udah bikin higer low tapi belum terlalu significant, sabar dulu, masih belum mau rally keliatannya

LTLS – keliatan baru selesai hajatan tahun kemaren, masih konsolidasi, belum abc correction, stoch bolak balik, macd still up, BD FF acc, MFI sw, kolesterol tinggi ah, skip

CPIN – stoch up, macd buy, MFI down, w% uptrend, BD acc FF masih dist makin tipis, ret pattern belum done, harusnya bawa ke fibo 61, LR mantul, bisa spec buy yang belum pegang Consumer Non-Cyclilcals, breakout 6000 nambah

EXCL – stoch up macd buy MFI flat W% up, FF acc BD masih dist, spike 21 des, ret pattern says mau ke fibo 61, firm kalo break 2440. Bisa spec buy yang belum pegang infra versi telco

Spike cakep, target 2550

Broker average aman, resistance and vol breakout, BUY

PNLF skip

SMDR – abis hajatan tahun kemaren dibanting, udah beres koreksinya keliatannya, lagi bikin higher low, stoch by macd still down, BD FF dist, belum saatnya sih

ENRG – alligator buy, tapi yang lain belum, stoch mau sell, macd up rev, MFI up w% uptrend done, biar dulu bikin higher low, skip

ISAT – alligator buy, stoch up overbought, macd up, MFI flat, w% uptrend, FF massive dist, BD baru kemaren acc, ini markup dist, ga asik ini, harusnya masih panjang sih kalo liat target CNH nya, tapi entrynya tunggu minor corection dan 833 nya buy aja deh, WNS

MIKA – alligator buy, stoch up rev, MACD up, MFI rada down, W% uptrend done, masih sideways aja sih, hold

PTBA – supertrend buy, double bottom, stoch up, macd up, MFI up, w% uptrend, FF acc tipis, BD dist tipis, lagi di fibo 23, ok buat mid term buy sih, tapi idealnya mastiin coal price dulu

Sementara belum reversal coal price nya… Dikit lagi PTBA WNS dulu amannya