Daily Analysis 20230215

February 15th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 150 points lower following January’s hotter-than-expected inflation report

Stocks wavered Tuesday and the Dow fell, reversing earlier gains, after the January consumer price index report showed that inflation grew at higher-than-expected 6.4% annual rate

Treasury yields ticked higher, and the yield on the 6-month U.S. Treasury closed at 5.022%, above 5% for the first time since July 2007.

Dow…….34089 -156.7 -0.46%
Nasdaq.11960 +68.4 +0.57%
S&P 500..4136 -1.2 -0.03%

FTSE…….7954 +6.3 +0.08%
Dax……..15381 -16.8 -0.11%
CAC……..7214 +5.2. +0.07%

Nikkei…..27603 +175.5 +0.64%
HSI………21114 -50.7 -0.24%
Shanghai..3293 +9.1 +0.28%

IDX…..6941.85 +41.72 +0.60%
LQ45….960.31 +7.09 +0.74%
IDX30…499.33 +0.75%
IDX80…134.19 +0.70%
IDXEnergy…2111.75 +25.40 +1.22%
IDX BscMat 1268.27 +4.25 +0.34%
IDX Indstrl…1162.67 -2.72 -0.23%
IDXNONCYC..758.78 +3.69 +0.49%
IDX Hlthcare1612.13 +29.29+1.86%
IDXCYCLIC…846.65 -1.94 -0.23%
IDX Techno5600.51 +17.84 +0.32%
IDX Transp1854.72 +18.36 +1.03%
IDX Infrast….860.38 +2.80 +0.33 %
IDX Finance1436.09 +3.36 +0.23%
IDX Banking1175.94 +5.13 +0.44%
IDX Property….703 -1.50 -0.21%
Indo10Yr.6.7693+0.0202+0.30%
ICBI..350.6210 -0.0916 -0.03%
US10Yr.3.7610 +0.0440 +1.18%
VIX……18.91 -1.43 -7.09%👍

USDIndx103.2690-0.036 -0.03%
Como Indx.273.56 +0.77 +0.28%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..164.34 -0.19 -0.11%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15166.50 -38.00 -0.25%
Jisdor.15216.00 -48.00 -0.32%

Euro……1.0735 +0.0014 +0.11%

TLKM….25.39 +0.08 +0.32%
(3863)
EIDO……23.51 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM……40.45 -0.07 -0.17%

Oil……..79.06 -1.08 -1.36%
Gold 1865.40 +1.90 +0.10%
Timah 27528 +179.00 +0.65%
(Closed 02/13)
Nickel.26487.50 +29.00 +0.11%
(Closed 02/14)
Silver…….21.87 +0.02 +0.10%
Copper..407.50 +1.75 +0.43%

Nturl Gas.2.601 +0.162 +6.64%‼️

Ammonia4406.67 +300.0 +7.31%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(02/13)

Coal price.219.50 -1.50 -0.61%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price194.50 -4.25 -2.13%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 192.90 -4.20 -2.13%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 194.10 -4.50 -2.26%
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.134.00 +2.00 +1.52%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.75 +3.25 +2.53%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price130.75 +1.85 +1.44%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price130.75 +0.80 +0.62%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)….3955 +21 +0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..679.75 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil..60.53 +0.29 +0.48%
Wheat…….796.75 -4.00 -0.50%

Wood pulp…6060.00 -20 -0.33%
(Closed 02/14)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia, D’Origin
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Wah, US balik merah walau nasdaq ijo, europe tipis2, asia ijo kecuali hangseng. Prepare merah lagi tudei

oil merah, gas ijo tebel, coal NCF merah Rotterdam ijo, kemaren coal drop saham coal naik, nurut teknikal, ga tau hari ini, semoga masih melawan gravitasi. Metal2 ijo semua, kita cermati apa sudah waktunya entry lagi di basic materials versi tambang logam ANTM MDKA INCO TINS dkk. CPO rebound dikit, tunggu buy signal aja

IHSG – foreign nett buylag, BD acc, MFI sw, stoch buy, MACD up lagi, w% masih says up, semoga kalopun koreksi minor aja. Masih jadwal wave 3, cuma masih berat breakout resistance

Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals, Infrastructure

Stoch Buy Signal: ESSA SMGR SRTG TLKM ABMM GGRM MTMH MYOR

MACD Buy Signal: MIKA

Alligator Buy Signal: BABP

Supertrend screener MYOR ENRG

ESSA – stoch buy, macd up sw, mfi down, alligator up, bd ff acc, mantul di midline, ret pattern done terus ABC correction, baru bikin higher high, technically ok sih, tapi saya skip, masih banyak yang lebih menarik

SMGR – stoch buy, MACD up, MFI sw, BD FF dist, supertrend up alligator up, potential cup and handle breakout, tapi ada reg bearish divergence udah confirmed by 2 bear candle, ga berani masuk

SRTG – stoch buy, macd almost buy, MFI sq, w% sw, FF acc, bd dist last day acc, ret pattern failed, belum bikin higher low, WNS aja

TLKM – stoch buy, macd still down, MFI sw, bd dist tipis, ff acc tipis, abc correction belum sampe level target, udah mantul lagi bikin higher low, wait MACD

ABMM – stoch buy, macd down, MFI sw, BD acc tipis, ff dist tipis, regbull macd histogram, still not confirmed, skip

GGRM skip

MTMH skip

MYOR – stochbuy macdup, mfi sw w% up, supertrend up, alligator buy, wave 3, belum breakout resistance, tapi vol spike, bagus… Hold

MIKA – stoch up, macd buy, bd ff acc, mfi up, masih wave 3, cross up midline LR, Hold, yang mau nambah BOW

BABP – false screening

LTLS – ga berani disini…

ENRG – saham gocap yang bangun, beres elliot wave, harusnya ABC correction dulu, skip…