Daily Analysis 20230217

February 17th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 400 points lower as hot inflation report, comments from Fed’s Bullard raise rate hike fears

Stocks fell Thursday after another hot inflation report, and a decline in jobless claims, showed the economy is holding up amid the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes.

Dow…….33697 -431.2 -1.26%
Nasdaq.11856 -214.8 -1.78%
S&P 500..4090 -57.2 -1.38%

FTSE…….8013 +14.70 +0.18%
Dax……..15534 +27.3 +0.18%
CAC……..7366 +65.3 +0.89%

Nikkei…..27696 +194.6 +0.71%
HSI………20988 +175.5 +0.84%
Shanghai..3249 -31.5 -0.96%

IDX…..6895.66 -18.87 -0.27%
LQ45….953.49 -4.15 -0.43%
IDX30…495.68 -2.19 -0.44%

IDXEnergy…2098.15 -11.47 -0.54%
IDX BscMat 1260.50 -1.75 -0.14%
IDX Indstrl…1157.69 -0.67 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC..755.41 -4.04 -0.53%
IDX Hlthcare1605.40 -11.73 -0.73%
IDXCYCLIC…849.72 +4.64 +0.55%
IDX Techno5585.84 +57.44 +1.04%
IDX Transp1846.95 +15.38 +0.84%
IDX Infrast….867.03 +7.94 +0.92 %
IDX Finance1423.17 -3.19 -0.22%
IDX Banking1156.81 -8.52 -0.73%
IDX Property….697 -0.30 -0.05%

Indo10Yr.6.7698 -0.0076 -0.11%
ICBI..350.6495 +0.1943 +0.06%
US10Yr.3.8430 +0.0340 +0.89%
VIX……20.17 +1.94 +10.64%‼️

USDIndx104.0500+0.2289+0.21%‼️
Como Indx.270.25 -0.13 -0.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..163.48 +1.63 +1.01%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15206.50 +39.50 +0.26%
Jisdor.15176.00 -18.00 -0.12%

Euro……1.0690 -0.0045 -0.42%

TLKM….24.87 -0.09 -0.36%
(3774)
EIDO……23.29 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM……40.12 +0.01 +0.02%

Oil……..78.49 -0.10 -0.13%
Gold 1851.80 +6.50 +0.35%
Timah 26658 -159.00 -0.59%
(Closed 02/15)
Nickel.26647.00 +620.90 +2.38%‼️
(Closed 02/16)
Silver…….21.71 +0.14 +0.64%
Copper..412.15 +10.00 +2.49%

Nturl Gas.2.394 -0.072 -2.92%

Ammonia4406.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/15)

Coal price.214.00 -5.90 -2.68%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price186.30 -9.70 -4.95%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price183.95 -11.45 -5.86%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price185.45 -11.65 -5.91%‼️
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.00 +0.50 +0.37%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 139.00-3.00 -2.11%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price137.00 -3.00 -2.14%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price137.40 -1.60 -1.15%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4070 +126 +3.19%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..675.00 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil..62.15 +0.71 +1.16%
Wheat…….776.25 -4.00. -0.51%

Wood pulp…6030.00 -20 -0.33%
(Closed 02/16)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Era9wati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah rada dalem, europe market closing masih ijo asia varied, IHSG merah lagi

CPO naik tinggi, itu kayanya kemaren AALI LSIP naik tinggi… Oil merah, gas drop, coal drop, metal2 naik semua, watchout for ANTM MDKA INCO

IHSG – 2 hari NFS, belum jadi break resistance, masih SW dulu. stoch down, MACD sell, MFI sw, bd sw, jangan terlalu aggresive dulu, cermati yang lagi hajatan aja. Major trend masih up, wave 3, tapi belum lari. Kayanya nunggu resmi laporan keuangan big bank keluar semua dulu

Tinggal infrastructure yang arahnya bagus, healthcare melemah juga

Stoch Buy Signal: ASII TINS BRMS LSIP WIFI

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO INDY SRTG AALI ASSA LSIP

Alligator Buy Signal: INDF AGII BRMS MLPL IGAR

Supertrend: MTEL AALI LSIP WIFI

ASII – stoch buy macd down, MFI up, W% sw bd dist, FF bolak balik tipis, retracement pattern price lingering di fibo 23, harusnya otw to 61, nunggu BD mulai ACC, WNS

TINS – stoch buy, MFI down, BD FF dist, hid bull macdhist, abis kejecot fibo 23 belum mantul, wait MACD

BRMS – stoch buy, macddown, MFIup,FF dist, BD bolak balik last day dist, ret pattern harusnya bawa ke fibo 61, tunggu breakout fibo 38 aja, sama nunggu MACD

LSIP – stoch buy macd buy supertrend buy alligator buy MFIup, w%uptrend, last day FF BD big accum, ew reverse done, udah bikin higher low, BOW, idealnya di gap closing

WIFI – abis terjun bebas, dapet reg bull div terus mantul, stoch buy, macd up, supertrend up, alligator up, freq spike 26 jan, MFI up, W% uptrend, BD acc tipis, FF masih dist, kita check spike dan Broker Average nya

Spike nya cakep

Harga aman… BUY

GOTO – stoch almost buy, MACD buy, MFI up,FF dist, BD dist, w% uptrend, kalo closing diatas 124 supertrend buy, ada gap di atas closing gap 151, lg di modus vol profile, kita check broker avg

avg 90 hari sedikit dibawah harga sekarang, masih relative ok sih, idealnya buy di 113 dari price, amannya secara teknikal BOB 128

INDY – belum saatnya, skip

SRTG – failed divergence, stoch buy, macd buy, bd dist FF last day dist, MFI sw, ketemu divergence baru, confirmed by MACD buy signal and MA10, bisa spec buy, kita check broker avg

Harga aman, BUY

AALI – stoch almost buy, macd buy, FF start acc BD last day acc, MFIup, st buy alligator buy, W% uptrend, abis terjun udah bikin higher low, dapet hid bull tapi sekarang kena reg bear, tunggu cancelled dulu idealnya

Harga relatif aman

Personally saya prefer masuk LSIP aja

ASSA – macd mendadak ngebalik buy, stoch rev up, MFI uo BD FF bolak balik last day akum gede, baru bikin higher low, vol spike kemarin sambil breakout resistance, bisa buy sih. Freq spike 18 jan, kita check dulu

Freq Spike waktu sideways terus jalan, bagus ini

 

Harga relatif aman

AGII – stoch up 833 sell st up alligator buy, mfi sw, bd ff bolak blaik, last day dist, w% udah ga uptrend, reg bull div confirmed, LR kurang ok, skip

MLPL – skip

IGAR – saham value investing, tapi momentumnya belum sekarang