Daily Analysis 20250120

January 20th, 2024

Dow leads weekly stock market rally ahead of Trump inauguration

US stocks jumped on Friday amid a tech stock revival as investors assessed a week of key data and earnings reports alongside potential policy shifts under a Trump administration.

Dow……43488 +334.7 +0.78%
Nasdaq 19630 +291.9 +1.51%
S&P 500 5997 +59.3 +1.00%

FTSE…..8505 +113.3 +1.35%
Dax……20903 +248.0 +1.20%
CAC……7710 +75.01 +0.98%

Nikkei…38452 -121.1 -0.31%
HSI……..19584 +61.2 +0.31%
Shanghai.3242 +5.8 +0.18%

IDX…7154.66 +47.14 +0.66%
LQ45…832.28 +4.41 +0.53%
IDX30.428.62 +2.76 +0.65%

IDXEnergy…2849.61 +22.31 +0.79%
IDX BscMat 1230.84 -5.02. -0.41%
IDX Indstrl… ..989.93 +1.74 +0.18%
IDXNONCYC.704.55 +0.90 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare1394.49 -10.83 -0.77%
IDXCYCLC…818.18 +17.36 +2.17%
IDX Techno.4213.5/ +51.93 +1.25%
IDX Transp 1271.68 -9.96 -0.78%
IDX Infrast 1475.89 -1.26 -0.09%
IDX Finance1406.85 +0.17 +0.01%
IDX Banking1150.90 +0.17 +0.01%
IDX Property. 788 +13.50 +1.75%

Indo10Yr.7.1733❗-0.0541 -0.75%
ICBI….392.5929❗+1.1160 +0.29%
US2Yr.4.282 +0.048 +1.13%
US5Yr 4.429 +0.033 +0.75%
US10Yr4.622 +0.009 +0.20%
US30Yr.4.854 -0.001 -0.02%
VIX..15.97 -0.63 -3.80%‼️

USDIndx 109.3470❗+0.417 +0.38%
Como Indx..311.08 -0.27 -0.09%
BCOMIN..147.21 +0.62 +0.42%

IndoCDS…77.19 +1.01 +1.31%
(5-yr INOCD5) (16/01)

IDR…….16380.00‼️+4.00 +0.02%
Jisdor.. 16373.00‼️-5.00 -0.03%

Euro…1.0273 -0.0029 -0.28%

TLKM…16.48 +0.30 +1.82%
( 2698)
EIDO….18.50 +0.14 +0.76%
EEM…42.11 +0.35 +0.84%

Oil………77.88 -0.87 -1.10%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………80.79 -0.54 -0.66%
(Brent)
Gold…2748.70❗-2.20 -0.88%
(Comex)
Gold…2703.25 -10.82 -0.40%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29775.00 +199.00 +0.67%
(Closed 17/01)
.Nickel.16080.00 +115.00 +0.72%
(Closed 17/01)
Silver……31.14 -0.59 -1.85%
Copper.436.85 -4.25 -1.63%

Iron Ore 62% 101.21 +0.72 +0.72%
(17/01)
Nturl Gas ..3.948 -0.333 -7.78%‼️
Ammonia China. 2500.00 -6.67 -0.26%
(Domestic Price)(17/01)

Coal price.117.25 +2.55 +2.22%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.75 +3.65 +3.14%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.121.60 +3.35 +2.83%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 122.70 +2.80 +2.34%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.90 +1.70 +1.59%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.50 +1.30 +1.22%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.15 +1.40 +1.34%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.80 +1.25 +1.20%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4193 +11 +0.26%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………484.25 +9.75 +2.05%
SoybeanOil 45.69 +0.66 +1.47%
Wheat……538.75 +1.25 +0.23%

Wood pulp…..6524 -16 -0.24%
(Closed 17/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at US Europe Asia semua ijo… Tapi US Treasury Bond Yield juga naik, masih berharap senin ini IHSG ijo sih, price action nya bilang waktunya mantul

USD index up metal2 down kecuali tin nickel iron ore, oil gas down, coal up significantly, CPO up, kayanya perlu dipantau ADRO

IHSG – udah 3 hari FNB, semoga sudah confirm jalan ya, technical sih udah ok, double bottom terget pas di resistance 7354 an

Energy, Property, Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget: ADRO MAPI MEDC PTBA ADMR BBYB BFIN BMTR CTRA DOID ENRG GJTL HMSP PTMP SMRA SSIA TKIM, big accum cuma SMRA, BMTR vol breakout, saham invest ADRO GJTL TKIM

MACD Buy Signal: ACES ASII ITMG MBMA ADMR MAHA, big accum dan value invest ASII

Alligator Buy Signal: WIFI, vol breakout juga

SMRA – tambahan dari analisa jum’at, BD FF rev acc, tapi tetep dari price action belum firm reversal sebelum bikin higher low

Ga ada spike juga, belum dulu ah

BMTR – gagal hajatan tahun kemaren, memang ikut index nyungsep berarti, kebiasaan gorengannya juli agustus mungkin jadi rubah, tapi liat macd buy nya tetep walau kemaren beberapa kali ngebalik sell tanpa terlalu jauh jalan, tapi jalan dulu sihBD FF acc, ada spike, bisa ini harusnya BOW

Beberapa kali spike jual, ini bukan keliatannya

Bot serigala offline, tapi dari chart yang dulu sih average aman di 225, yang belum pegang bisa BOW BMTR di tengah candle terakhir

ADRO – value invest, macd up stoch buy, MFI up w% up sw, BD FF acc, bandar inside, abis drop jauh setelah deviden, coal price up, harusnya mantul sih ini ADRO

Coal price udah MACD buy signal lagi…

belum ada spike

Ga bisa check average tapi harusnya aman yang baru drop gede sih, BOW ADRO

GJTL – value investing, stoch buy macd up mfi up w% sw, bd acc ff dist, ada spike, bikin IHNS, target pas di resistance, ok harusnya ini

Spike ok target 1370

TKIM – stoch buy macd up mfi up w% sw di downtrend area, BD masih dist, FF acc, masih belum terlihat putus downtrend nya, reg bull div belum confirmed, WNS dulu deh, amannya tunggu higher low

ASII – ditunggu banget ini big caps macd buy nya… stoch up, mfi up, w% sw, BD acc tapi masih FNS, ada spike udah agak lama kita check ulang, harusnya retracement pattern beli di arrea fibo 23 kaya sekarang target ke fibo 61

kurang valid kalo begini…

Belum bisa check bandarmology, tapi ASII kalo index jalan ikut jalan, dari price action ok, technical indicators ok, spike ga bisa dipake, spec buy ASII ok

WIFI – gorengan banget, skip…