September 25th, 2024

S&P 500, Dow hit fresh records, China stocks soar on new stimulus

US stocks rose modestly on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial average notching record closes. Investors digested China’s launch of aggressive stimulus and a notable dip in US consumer sentiment.

Dow…….42208 +83.6 +0.20%
Nasdaq. 18075 +100.3 +0.56%
S&P 500 5733 +14.4 +0.25%

FTSE…8283 +23.1 +0.28%
Dax……18997 +149.8 +0.80%
CAC……7604 +95.9 +1.28%

Nikkei..37941 +216.7 +0.57%
HSI…..19001 +753.5 +4.13%‼️
Shanghai.2863+114.2 +4.15%‼️

IDX….7778.49 +2.76 +0.04%
LQ45…985.41 +0.16 +0.02%
IDX30.504.75 +0.76 +0.15%

IDXEnergy. 2726.29 +11.78 +0.43%
IDX BscMat1338.27 +6.89. +0.52%
IDX Indstrl..1084.77 -1.45 -0.13%
IDXNONCYC.750.63 +7.35 +0.99%
IDX Hlthcare1545.17 -3.63. -0.23%
IDXCYCLIC…896.57 -8.61 -0.95%
IDXTechno 3783.98 -43.64 -1.14%
IDX Transp 1528.75 +6.35 +0.42%
IDX Infrast 1573.30 +8.46 +0.54%
IDX Finance1575.02 +2.38 +0.15%
IDX Banking1410.37 -1.43 -0.24%
IDX Property..785 +0.30 +0.04%

Indo10Yr.6.4992 -0.0062 -0.10%
ICBI….396.0881 +0.1320 +0.03%
US2Yr.3.540 -0.047 -1.31%
US5Yr 3.472 -0.034 -0.96%
US10Yr3.737 -0.012 -0.32%
US30Yr.4.086 -0.010 -0.24%
VIX..15.39 -0.50 -3.15%👍

USDIndx 100.4660❗️-0.385 -0.38%
Como Indx….287.59 +3.46 +1.22%
BCOMIN….150.35 +4.08 +2.79%

IndoCDS..70.28 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/09)

IDR…….15187.00 -18.50 -0.12%
Jisdor..15186.00 -5.00 -0.03%

Euro…1.1185❗️ +0.073 +0.65%

TLKM.20.79 -0.09 -0.41%
( 3157)
EIDO…23.57 +0.17 +0.70%
EEM..45.53 +1.52 +3.45%‼️

Oil………..71.56 +0.89 +1.26%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..75.17 +1.27 +1.79%
(Brent)
Gold…2682.30‼️ +29.60 +1.13%
(Comex)
Gold…2659.45‼️ +31.85 +1.21%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32689.00 +394.00 +1.22%
(Closed 24/09)
Nickel..16745.00 +188.00 +1.14%
(Closed 24/09)
Silver… ..32.49 +1.45 +4.67%‼️
Copper.453.05 +18.55 +4.27%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 91.60 -0.33 -0.36%
(23/09)
Nturl Gas 2.816 -0.031 -1.09%
Ammonia China 2816.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(24/09)

Coal price.139.50 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.40 +0.65 +0.47%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.65 +1.05 +0.75%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.85 +1.10 +0.78%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.80 +0.15 +0.13%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..113.35 -0.60 -0.53%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.55 -0.35 -0.31%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.55 -0.45 -0.39%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3989 +12 +0.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………411.75 -1.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil 43.34 +1.50 +3.59%
Wheat……578.00 -4.50 -0.77%

Wood pulp.4800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 24/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua up, hongkong china up tebel banget, US treasury bond yield down, lanjut kenceng harusnya IHSG hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali iron ore, oil coal up, gas down, CPO up, harusnya lanjut ANTM MDKA INCO TINS AKRA MEDC AALI LSIP ADRO INDY PTBA

IHSG – stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% sw, bd acc FNB tapi turun, hati hati banget, technical udah bilang sell, kemungkinan besar ya mau wave 4

Technology, Transportation, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, tapi semuanya udah jalan duluan dan rawan koreksi, yang menarik diliat Basic Materials dan Energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT ESSA ITMG UNVR CTRA JPFA PWON SSMS SIMP, big accum AMRT ITMG CTRA

MACD Buy Signal: GGRM INKP MDKA CTRA PNLF SIMP, big accum CTRA

ITMG – bareng sama coal coal lain loncat, stopch buy macd almost buy, loncat kemaren juga cuma 2.7%, ga tinggi2 amat, masih layak dikejar kalo emang confirm jalan panjang, MFI bottoming, w% up, BD FF rev big acc, unclosed gap, menarik sih

spike target done, hmmm

XL pas kemaren loncat malah jualan, mencurigakan sih… Tapi bisa ini spec buy, idealnya BOW di average BK 26270

CTRA – udah run panjang, memang sih stimulus nya bunga bank turun, tapi technicalnya udah mau udahan harusnya, stoch macd buy, MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF big acc, tapi ini udah ujung wave 5, saya sih minggir dulu ya…

Udah diatas average bandar, ga rekomen deh

INKP – macd rev buy, stoch masih down, MFI up, w% sw, BD masih dist, FF rev acc, ada freq spike, harga belum gerak, menarik dicermati

spike ok

Biggest holder accum, 2’nd nya malah dist, 3’rd nya diem, hmmm… Tapi average aman

Harga Pulp and Paper naik, MACD nya buy, bisa spec buy INKP

August 12th, 2024

Dow…….39497 +51.1 +0.13%
Nasdaq. 16745 +85.3 +0.51x%
S&P 500 5344 +24.9 +0.47%

FTSE..8168.10 +23.1 +0.28%
Dax……17722 +42.5 +0.24%
CAC……7270 +22.3 +0.31%

Nikkei..35025 +193.9 +0.56%
HSI……..17090 +198.4 +1.17%
Shanghai.2862 -7.7 -0.27%

IDX….7257.12 +61.88 +0.86%
LQ45…908.13 +9.23 +1.03%
IDX30.455.86 +1.74 +0.38%

IDXEnergy.2425.17 +12.00. +0.50%
IDX BscMat1318.38 +20.96 +1.62%
IDX Indstrl..1025.97 +11.31 +1.11%
IDXNONCYC.702.16 +2.36 +0.34%
IDX Hlthcare1452.22 +6.21 +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…759.82 +6.04 +0.80%
IDXTechno.3224.77 +18.76 +0.59%
IDX Transp 1357.38. +10.91 +0.81%
IDX Infrast 1546.82 +13.02 +0.85%
IDX Finance1406.97 +6.99 +0.48%
IDX Banking1257.44 +8.18 +0.65%
IDX Property…..661 +5.20 +0.79%

Indo10Yr.6.8349 -0.0186 -0.27%
ICBI…387.2557 +0.3148 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.057 +0.021 +0.52%
US5Yr 3.796 -0.030 -0.78%
US10Yr3.959 -0.030 -0.75%
US30Yr.4.220 -0.056 -1.31%
VIX..20.37 -3.42 -14.38%‼️

USDIndx 103.2150 +0.006 +0.01%
Como Indx….275.97 +1.97 +0.72%
BCOMIN…..138.06 +1.93 +1.42%

IndoCDS..80.17 -0.02 -0.02%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/08)

IDR…..15924.50 +31.00 +0.19%
Jisdor.15914.00 -38.00 -0.24%

Euro…1.0913 -0.0005 -0.05%

TLKM…17.86 +0.04 +0.20%
( 2836)
EIDO.20.48 -0.02 -0.10%
EEM..42.06 +0.21 +0.50%

Oil………..76.94 +0.90 +1.18%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.16 +0.83 +1.06%
(Brent)
Gold…..2468.50 +3.70 +0.15%
(Comex)
Gold……2430.02 +4.07 +0.17%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31304.00 +810.00 +2.66%
(Closed 09/08)
Nickel..16298.00 +97.50 +0.60%
(Closed 09/08)
Silver….27.49 -0.08 -0.29%
Copper.397.85 +0.15 +0.04%

Iron Ore 62% 101.26 +0.51 +0.51%
(09/08)
Nturl Gas 2.161 +0.072 +3.45%
Ammonia China 2463.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/08)

Coal price.146.00 +0.50 +0.34%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.50 +1.50 +1.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 151.95 +1.75 +1.17%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.153.20 +2.00 +1.32%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.10 +0.70 +0.58%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.124.00 +1.10 +0.90%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 124.90 +1.60 +1.30%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.75 +1.65 +1.33%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3717 +41 +1.12%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..395.00 -2.00 -0.50%
SoybeanOil 41.12 +0.26 +0.64%
Wheat…..542.50 +5.00 +0.93%

Wood pulp..5100 unch +0%
(Closed 11/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing Jum’at semua ijo kecuali China. US Bond Yield hampir semua turun, keliatannya beneran udah beres wave 2, lanjut wave 3 IHSG

USD index up tpis, metal2 ijo kecuali silver, harusnya INCO ANTM TINS dkk jalan lagi, Oil Gas Coal up, PTBA ITMG ADRO menarik diliat… Oil kita liat dulu.CPO up juga, semoga nganter AALI LSIP rally juga

IHSG – Stoch up, MACD rev up tapi belum sempet nyeberang kebawa histogram, MFI sw, w% up, FNB, walau belum tutup gap tapi deket banget kemaren, bisa jadi sudah dianggap done, dari itungan fibonacci wave 2 udah bisa dianggap done, semoga memang sepakat untuk rally wave 3

Property yang terlihat kenceng, tapi kemaren di check masing2nya BD pada jualan, very careful buat yang mau ngejar issue bunga bank turun

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT INDF AVIA BMTR INDY MAHA MYOR PTPP, big accum AMRT INDF INDY PTPP

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BUKA UNVR CMRY GJTL KIJA MIKA BRAM, big accum UNVR GJTL

August 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 500 points lower Thursday as investors’ recession fears awaken

Stocks sold off Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
tumbling nearly 500 points, as investors’ fears over a recession surfaced.

Dow……40348 -494.8 -1.21%
Nasdaq17194 -405.3 -2.30%
S&P 500.5447 -75.6 -1.37%

FTSE…..8283 -84.6 -1.01%
Dax……18083 -425.6 -2.30%
CAC……7570 -161.04 -2.14%

Nikkei..38126 -975.9 -2.49%
HSI……..17305 -39.6 -0.34%
Shanghai.2932 -6.4 -0.22%

IDX….7325.98 +70.22 +0.97%
LQ45…925.51 +11.76 +1.29%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2459.65 +8.23 +0.34%
IDX BscMat1371.22 +7.60 +0.56%
IDX Indstrl.1036.57 -4.17 -0.40%
IDXNONCYC.705.02+0.29 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1448.34 -1.06 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC…759.81 +0.53 +0.07%
IDXTechno.3284.23 -3.28 -0.10%
IDX Transp 1391.58 +10.89 +0.20%
IDX Infrast 1568.46 -6.94 -0.44%
IDX Finance1417.15 +15.2 +1.09%
IDX Banking1263.32 +25.59 +2.07%
IDX Property…..649 +8.20 +1.29%

Indo10Yr.6.9175❗️ -0.0245 -0.35%
ICBI…384.4484❗️ +0.8774 +0.23%
US2Yr.4.156 -0.104 -2.44%👍
US5Yr 3.844👍 -0.073 -1.86%
US10Yr3.970👍 -0.0789 -1.93%
US30Yr.4.280 -0.026 -0.60%
VIX..18.59 +2.23 +13.63%‼️

USDIndx 104.4210 +0.325 +0.31%
Como Indx….273.59 -4.53 -1.63%
BCOMIN…..139.10 -1.33 -0.94%

IndoCDS..75.20 +000 +0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16237.00❗️ -23.00 -0.14%
Jisdor.16294.00❗️ -51.00 -0.31%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.59 -0.26 -1.46%*
( 2866)
EIDO….20.19 +0.05 +0.27%
EEM……42.20 -0.73 -1.70%

Oil………..76.79 -1.77 -2.25%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.52 -1.20 -1.49%
(Brent)
Gold…..2489.20 -3.10 -0.12%
(Comex)
Gold……2448.00 -2.74 -0.11%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29894.00 -162.00 -0.54%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16235.00 -276.00 -0.92%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.61 -0.61 -2.09%
Copper.406.70 -12.65 -3.02%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 105.94 -0.31 -0.29%
(31/07)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.142.55 +2.45 +1.75%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.80 +2.40 +1.70%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 145.25 +3.25 +2.29%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.65 +3.50 +2.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.95 +3.10 +2.65%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.80 +4.00 +3.42%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.45 +3.90 +3.35%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.55 +4.00 +3.43%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3871 -38 -0.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..398.50 -1.25 -0.31%
SoybeanOil 41.45 -0.87 -2.06%
Wheat…..532.00 +4.75 +0.90%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 01/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah dalem, europe juga, asia juga kecuali IHSG, sekarang kemungkinan besar nyusul merah

US Bond yield sebenernya merah, kalo pasar saham US ijo kita hampir pasti ijo juga, tapi ini nggak, US merah, kita masih jadwal wave 2, so kayanya hancur lagi. USD index up, consequently metal2 merah semua, oil gas CPO merah, coal ijo tebel sendiri. PTBA menarik ini

IHSG – kemarin FNB, tapi turnover vol transaksi kecil, ga terlalu valid jadinya. Technically masih jelek, very selective buying, malah amannya diem dulu keep cash

Bubar semua, Basic Materials yang terlihat mau mulai gerak. Healthcare masih bagus arahnya, tapi bukan spesialis contrarian, skip

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, ANTM ICBP INCO KLBF PGEO TOWR UNTR UNVR BRMS CTRA MPMX NISP PWON SMRA TBIG TINS TRON PSSI ISSI, yang accum tapi cuma ANTM INCO PWON SMRA

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BMRI BRPT TOWR MICE, big accum ANTM BMRI BRPT

July 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq build on record highs as Powell testimony keeps rate cut hopes alive

Dow……39292 -52.8 -0.13%
Nasdaq18430 +25.6 +0.14%
S&P 500.5577 +4.1 +0.07%

FTSE…..8139 -53.8 -0.66%
Dax……18236 -235.9 -1.28%
CAC……7509 -118.8 -1.56%

Nikkei..41580 +799.5 +1.96%
HSI…..17523 -0.8 -0.00%
Shanghai.2959 +36.9 +1.26%

IDX….7269.80 +18.82 +0.26%
LQ45..909.42 +5.09 +0.56%
IDX30.454.76 +2.42 +0.53%

IDXEnergy..2421.61 -18.53 -0.76%
IDX BscMat1385.90 -4.75 -0.34%
IDX Indstrl.1008.75 +11.02 +1.10%
IDXNONCYC.707.02 -1.68 -0.24%
IDX Hlthcare1428.64 -18.54 -1.28%
IDXCYCLIC…739.12 +0.75 +0.10%
IDXTechno3295.35 -4.58 -0.14%
IDX Transp 1304.60 +1.21 +0.09%
IDX Infrast 1577.32 +4.85 +0.31%
IDX Finance1391.87 +19.74 +1.44%
IDX Banking1231.18 +26.04 +2.16%
IDX Property…..614 +1.00 +0.17%?

Indo10Yr.7.0582 +0.0098 +0.14%
ICBI…381.1188 -0.1884 -0.05%
US2Yr.4.626 -0.009 -0.19%
US5Yr 4.245 +0.004 +0.09%
US10Yr4.298 +0.023 +0.54%
US30Yr.4.489 +0.026 +0.58%
VIX..12.51 +0.14 +1.13%

USDIndx 105.1290 +0.129 +0.12%
Como Indx….289.98 -0.93 -0.32%
BCOMIN…… 152.48 -1.90 -1.23%

IndoCDS..73.70👍 -0.52 -0.70%
(5-yr INOCD5) (08/07)

IDR…..16251.00 -6.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.16281.00 +16.00 +0.10%

Euro…1.0815 -0.0010 -0.09%

TLKM…18.99 +0.29 +1.55%
( 3092)
EIDO….20.01 +0.16 +0.18%
EEM…..43.82 +0.18 +0.41%

Oil…….81.68 -0.54 -0.66%
Gold…..2370.20 +3.60 +0.15%
Timah..34350.00 +132.00 +0.39%
(Closed 09/07)
Nickel..17149.00 -292.00 -1.67%
(Closed 09/07)
Silver….31.07 -0.01 -0.03%
Copper.457.90 -3.70 -0.80%

Iron Ore 62% 110.02 -1.29 -1.16%
(05/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.351 -0.027 -1.14%
Ammonia China 2850.00 +3.30 +0.12%
(Domestic Price)(08/07)

Coal price.135.25 +0.25 +0.15%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00 unch +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.60 -0.75 -0.55%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 137.15 -0.95 -0.69%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.103.00 -1.50 -1.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..104.00 -2.05 -1.93%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.50 -2.20 -2.04%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.00 -2.75 -2.53%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3958 -82 -2.03%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..408.50 +0.75 +0.18%
SoybeanOil 46.31 -1.95 -4.04%‼️
Wheat…572.00 +1.50 +0.26%

Wood pulp..5320 -100 -1.85%
(Closed 09/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lagi lagi, DJI merah nasdaw ijo, europe merah, asia ijo, US bond yield 2 tahun turun tipis, yang lebih panjang naik, IHSG kemaren supposedly closing merah tapi berhasil ijo, hari ini kayanya merah deh

USD index up, tapi gold tin up, metal lain down, oil gas down coal tipis tipis, cpo down lagi, hadeuh ini nahan laju AALI deh, kemaren udah sempet naik kenceng padahal. Bagus buat entry sih

CPO Price – lagi koreksi memang, tapi mid term trend nya up sih, dan dibandingkan dengan pergerakan harga saham AALI LSIP SIMP, sahamnya turun relatif lebih besar daripada harga CPO nya. Harapannya sih rebound ya

IHSG – indicator mulai menunjukkan signal koreksi, stoch overbought dan sell signal, hidden bearish divergence, ada gap, RSI belum overbought, MACD masih up sih, tapi hati hati pokoknya, jangan FOMO ngejar yang udah rally duluan

masih Industrials, Basic Materials, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal ACES BUKA UNVR ERAA MARK, ga ada yang big accum

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: BBNI HRUM TLKM SSMS, TLKM BBNI freq spike