January 17th, 2024

Nasdaq slide leads stocks lower with earnings, Bessent confirmation hearing in focus

US stocks closed lower Thursday, as the major indexes struggled to build on the previous day’s surge amid another round of big bank earnings and a slide in tech stocks. Investors also watched the Capitol Hill confirmation hearing of President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent.

Dow……43153 -68.4 -0.16%
Nasdaq 19338 -172.95 -0.89%
S&P 500 5937 -12.6 -0.21%

FTSE…..8392 +90.8 +1.09%
Dax……20655 +80.7 +0.39%
CAC……7635 +160.2 +2.14%

Nikkei…38573 +128.02 +0.33%
HSI……..19523 +236.8 +1.23%
Shanghai.3236 +8.9 +0.28%

IDX…7107.52 +27.96 +0.39%
LQ45…827.86 +0.75 +0.09%
IDX30.425.87 +0.83 +0.19%

IDXEnergy…2827.30 +19.90 +0.71%
IDX BscMat 1235.86 -1.35. -0.11%
IDX Indstrl… ..989.19 +0.79 +0.08%
IDXNONCYC.703.65 -2.41 -0.34%
IDX Hlthcare1405.32 -11.86 -0.84%
IDXCYCLC…800.82 -16.23 -1.99%
IDX Techno.4161.57 -19.60 -0.47%
IDX Transp 1281.64 +1.61 +0.13%
IDX Infrast 1477.15 +5.51 +0.37%
IDX Finance1406.68 +8.98 +0.64%
IDX Banking1151.62 +12.13 +1.06%
IDX Property. 774 +7.30 +0.95%

Indo10Yr.7.2274❗️-0.0343 -0.47%
ICBI….391.4769❗️+1.2186 +0.31%
US2Yr.4.234 -0.034 -0.80%
US5Yr 4.396 -0.055 -1.24%
US10Yr4.613 -0.042 -0.90%
US30Yr.4.855 -0.025 -0.51%
VIX..16.60 +0.48 +2.98%

USDIndx 108.9300❗️-0.163 -0.15%
Como Indx..311.35 -0.82 -0.26%
BCOMIN..146.59 +1.55 +1.07%

IndoCDS…79.68 -1.48 -1.82%
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/01)

IDR…….16325.00‼️+55.50 +0.34%
Jisdor.. 16378.00‼️+67.00 +0.41%

Euro…1.0302 +0.0009 +0.09%

TLKM…16.19 -0.21 -1.28%
( 2652)
EIDO….18.35 -0.16 -0.84%
EEM…41.76 -0.04 -0.10%

Oil………78.75 -1.29 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………81.33 -1.10 -1.33%
(Brent)
Gold…2750.90‼️ +33.10 +1.22%
(Comex)
Gold…2714.07 +19.86 +0.73%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29592.00 -179.00 -0.60%
(Closed 16/01)
.Nickel.15965.00 +140.00 +0.88%
(Closed 17/01)
Silver……31.73 +0.20 +0.63%
Copper.441.10 +5.20 +1.18%

Iron Ore 62% 100.20 +0.21 +0.21%
(15/01)
Nturl Gas ..4.281 +0.146 +3.53%‼️
Ammonia China. 2506.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(16/01)

Coal price.114.70 +0.25 +0.22%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.116.10 +1.50 +1.31%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.25 +1.10 +0.94%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 119.90 +1.05 +0.88%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.00 +1.65 +1.55%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.20 +2.50 +2.40%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.75 +1.65 +1.60%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.60 +0.25 +0.24%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4182 -86 -2.01%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………474.50 -4.25 -0.89%
SoybeanOil 45.03 -1.24 -2.68%
Wheat……537.50 -9.50 -1.74%

Wood pulp…..6540 unch +0%
(Closed 16/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe ijo, asia ijo, US treasury bond down, masih bisa ijo IHSG harusnya hari ini, US merah profit taking hari kemarennya koq

USD index down, metal2 lanjut up kecuali tin, oil down, gas up coal up, ANTM keren ini keliatannya, AKRA MEDC slow dulu, ADRO kayanya ok dikit lagi

IHSG – madc rev buy, stoch masih down, mfi up, w% up, reg bull div confirmed, BD flat, FNB udah 2 hari, jalan ah rally nyusul ATH kaya DJI

Energy technology slow down, property masih, transportation financials masih

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMMN BBNI BRIS ICBP INTP ITMG PGEO UNVR BTPS MPMX NCKL PTPP PTRO PWON SMSM, big accum BBNI ITMG UNVR, PWON vol breakout

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI UNVR MPMX NISP SMRA SRTG TKIM, big accum BBRI UNVR SRTG, SMRA vol breakout

Alligator Buy Signal: ENRG SMIL

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBRI

 

BBNI – stoch buy, macd rev buy, MFI up w% up, BD FF acc, kemaren bikin gap kaya BBRI, ada unclosed gap diatas buat jadi target, reg bull div confirmed

Spike kecil

Average aman, bigget holder accum, BOW BBNI di gap closing 4430

ITMG – stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI up w% up BD FF acc, mantul dari support, coal biasanya naik di winter, ok sih

Abis spike jual udah ada spike lagi tapi kecil

Average aman, SQ biggest holder accum, AK udah beres buangnya, udah accum lagi, bisa BOW ITMG di bawah body candle kemaren @25875

PWON – stoch buy macd up, MFI sw, w% sw, BD acc, FNS, tapi memang kalo diliat Foreign di PWON telat, yang bareng geraknya sama harga ya BD lokal

Belum ada spike

average aman, CC biggest holder dan accum NI PD juga accum, aman sih buat spec buy, last close price juga ok, BI cut rate harusnya sih ga cuma sekejap efeknya

BBRI – macd buy, stoch bolak balik, tapi buy yang sekarang denga diiringi BD FF accum, MFI up, w% uptrend, bi cut rate, banyak gap di atas, supertrend buy, reg bull div confirmed, BOW BBRI

no spike

average aman, wlau kebanyakan pada diem atau dist tipis, secara total tapi accum, bisa BOW BBRI di closing gap 4090

SRTG – stoch up macd buy MFI up mantul di area fibo 23, w% sw, BD FF accum, kalo ditarik fibonacci retracement ABC correction kemaren, sekarang lagi fibo 61, cocok lah buat reversal, reg bull div confirmed, harusnya ok buat buy

Terakhir tinggi spike jual, udah ada baru tapi kecil

 

Average aman, BB udah beres buang, YU accum, GR buang dikit, masih ok harusnya, idealnya dapet di fibo 61, 1875

SMRA – belum habis downtrend nya, FNB tapi BD masih dist, harus nunggu higher low baru confirm reversal

 

CGS International Sekuritas Indonesia:
Kamis, 2 Januari 2025

Dow… 42,544.22 -29.51 -0.07%
S&P 500… 5,881.63 -25.31 -0.43%
FTSE 100… 8,173.02 +52.01 +0.64%
Nikkei… 39,894.54 -386.62 -0.96%

Indo 10 Yr… 7.00 -0.05 -0.31%
VIX… 17.35 -0.05 -0.29%
Indo CDS 5Y… 78.89 +0.75 +0.96%

TLKM (US)… 16.45 +0.02 +0.12%
EIDO… 18.48 -0.05 -0.27%

Oil… 71.72 +0.73 +1.03%
Gold… 2,624.50 +18.00 +0.69%
Timah… 28,846.00 -237.01 -0.81%
Nikel… 15,110.95 -78.88 -0.52%
Silver… 28.90 -0.05 -0.17%
Copper… 8,652.67 -142.18 -1.62%
Natural Gas… 3.63 -0.30 -7.70%
CPO… 4,861.00 -64.00 -1.30%
Coal*… 125.25 +0.70 +0.56%
Softwood Kraft Pulp 5,864.00 -14.00 -0.24%
*(Newcastle/Desember)
**majority closed per 31 Dec-24

Phintraco ga release data seperti biasa, kita cari dari beberapa sumber

US closing 30 des merah, europe ijo, asia merah, US treasury bond yield merah, masih belum menentu mau kemana, tapi kalo technical sih bilang mantul, cocok sama arah US treasury bond

USD index up, gold up metal2 lain down, oil up, gas down, coal up, coal sama oil ini menarik

IHSG – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, w% flat, elliot wave reverse done, lagi bikin higher low, reg bull div MACD RSI, confirmed by 2 bull candle, belum cancelled, sempet NFB tapi last day net sell lagi. Tanda2nya udah mau mantul sih

Terlihat mulai meriah, Infrastructure leading sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals, yang paling penting financials terlihat gerak

Stochastic Buy Signal Banyak, yang big accum AMMN, BUKA, GOTO, PTBA, AUTO, menarik dicermati BBCA BBNI

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTBA UNVR CMRY CTRA GJTL MPMX MYOR ULTJ, big accum PTBA UNVR SILO, GJTL kita liat juga

PTBA – abis reg bull div lanjut jalan, loncat kemaren 5% jadi stoch and macd buy, MFI up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, yang kosong portonya kayanya bisa bow di tengah candle kemaren

Coal price macd buy signal, menarik ini ADRO INDY ITMG PTBA

Abis spike jual ada spike kecil

AUTO – valuation ok, stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI still down, w%up, bd acc, FF masih dist, ada spike, kita check dulu

Harusnya sih target 2600 an ya, apalagi kalo liat retracement pattern harusnya bawa ke fibo 61 di 2900 an. Januari group astra suka jalan, kita liat AUTO gimana januari

Kurang ok ternyata… Nanti dulu deh

BBCA – stoch buy macd rev up MFI masih down, w%sw, BD FF udah sempet acc,last day rev dist lagi,reg bull div belum cancelled, confirmed by 2 bull candle

no spike… tapi Index sama BBCA seringnya searah, so 2 2 nya udah keliatan mau mantul, bisa spec buy

SILO – overpriced, skip

GJTL – stoch buy, macd buy, mfi sw, w% up, BD dist tipis, FF rev acc, abc correction seems down, valuation ok, harusnya bisa spec buy

Hajatan ini mah, saham LKH dan ada spike begini, dan bagusnya lagi ini valuation masih rendah ga kaya PTRO yang udah dihajatin sampe 4x lipat. BOW GJTL, idealnya dapet di fibo 23 di 1115

 

September 25th, 2024

S&P 500, Dow hit fresh records, China stocks soar on new stimulus

US stocks rose modestly on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial average notching record closes. Investors digested China’s launch of aggressive stimulus and a notable dip in US consumer sentiment.

Dow…….42208 +83.6 +0.20%
Nasdaq. 18075 +100.3 +0.56%
S&P 500 5733 +14.4 +0.25%

FTSE…8283 +23.1 +0.28%
Dax……18997 +149.8 +0.80%
CAC……7604 +95.9 +1.28%

Nikkei..37941 +216.7 +0.57%
HSI…..19001 +753.5 +4.13%‼️
Shanghai.2863+114.2 +4.15%‼️

IDX….7778.49 +2.76 +0.04%
LQ45…985.41 +0.16 +0.02%
IDX30.504.75 +0.76 +0.15%

IDXEnergy. 2726.29 +11.78 +0.43%
IDX BscMat1338.27 +6.89. +0.52%
IDX Indstrl..1084.77 -1.45 -0.13%
IDXNONCYC.750.63 +7.35 +0.99%
IDX Hlthcare1545.17 -3.63. -0.23%
IDXCYCLIC…896.57 -8.61 -0.95%
IDXTechno 3783.98 -43.64 -1.14%
IDX Transp 1528.75 +6.35 +0.42%
IDX Infrast 1573.30 +8.46 +0.54%
IDX Finance1575.02 +2.38 +0.15%
IDX Banking1410.37 -1.43 -0.24%
IDX Property..785 +0.30 +0.04%

Indo10Yr.6.4992 -0.0062 -0.10%
ICBI….396.0881 +0.1320 +0.03%
US2Yr.3.540 -0.047 -1.31%
US5Yr 3.472 -0.034 -0.96%
US10Yr3.737 -0.012 -0.32%
US30Yr.4.086 -0.010 -0.24%
VIX..15.39 -0.50 -3.15%👍

USDIndx 100.4660❗️-0.385 -0.38%
Como Indx….287.59 +3.46 +1.22%
BCOMIN….150.35 +4.08 +2.79%

IndoCDS..70.28 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/09)

IDR…….15187.00 -18.50 -0.12%
Jisdor..15186.00 -5.00 -0.03%

Euro…1.1185❗️ +0.073 +0.65%

TLKM.20.79 -0.09 -0.41%
( 3157)
EIDO…23.57 +0.17 +0.70%
EEM..45.53 +1.52 +3.45%‼️

Oil………..71.56 +0.89 +1.26%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..75.17 +1.27 +1.79%
(Brent)
Gold…2682.30‼️ +29.60 +1.13%
(Comex)
Gold…2659.45‼️ +31.85 +1.21%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32689.00 +394.00 +1.22%
(Closed 24/09)
Nickel..16745.00 +188.00 +1.14%
(Closed 24/09)
Silver… ..32.49 +1.45 +4.67%‼️
Copper.453.05 +18.55 +4.27%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 91.60 -0.33 -0.36%
(23/09)
Nturl Gas 2.816 -0.031 -1.09%
Ammonia China 2816.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(24/09)

Coal price.139.50 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.40 +0.65 +0.47%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.65 +1.05 +0.75%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.85 +1.10 +0.78%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.80 +0.15 +0.13%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..113.35 -0.60 -0.53%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.55 -0.35 -0.31%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.55 -0.45 -0.39%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3989 +12 +0.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………411.75 -1.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil 43.34 +1.50 +3.59%
Wheat……578.00 -4.50 -0.77%

Wood pulp.4800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 24/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua up, hongkong china up tebel banget, US treasury bond yield down, lanjut kenceng harusnya IHSG hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali iron ore, oil coal up, gas down, CPO up, harusnya lanjut ANTM MDKA INCO TINS AKRA MEDC AALI LSIP ADRO INDY PTBA

IHSG – stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% sw, bd acc FNB tapi turun, hati hati banget, technical udah bilang sell, kemungkinan besar ya mau wave 4

Technology, Transportation, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, tapi semuanya udah jalan duluan dan rawan koreksi, yang menarik diliat Basic Materials dan Energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT ESSA ITMG UNVR CTRA JPFA PWON SSMS SIMP, big accum AMRT ITMG CTRA

MACD Buy Signal: GGRM INKP MDKA CTRA PNLF SIMP, big accum CTRA

ITMG – bareng sama coal coal lain loncat, stopch buy macd almost buy, loncat kemaren juga cuma 2.7%, ga tinggi2 amat, masih layak dikejar kalo emang confirm jalan panjang, MFI bottoming, w% up, BD FF rev big acc, unclosed gap, menarik sih

spike target done, hmmm

XL pas kemaren loncat malah jualan, mencurigakan sih… Tapi bisa ini spec buy, idealnya BOW di average BK 26270

CTRA – udah run panjang, memang sih stimulus nya bunga bank turun, tapi technicalnya udah mau udahan harusnya, stoch macd buy, MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF big acc, tapi ini udah ujung wave 5, saya sih minggir dulu ya…

Udah diatas average bandar, ga rekomen deh

INKP – macd rev buy, stoch masih down, MFI up, w% sw, BD masih dist, FF rev acc, ada freq spike, harga belum gerak, menarik dicermati

 

spike ok

Biggest holder accum, 2’nd nya malah dist, 3’rd nya diem, hmmm… Tapi average aman

Harga Pulp and Paper naik, MACD nya buy, bisa spec buy INKP

 

August 12th, 2024

Dow…….39497 +51.1 +0.13%
Nasdaq. 16745 +85.3 +0.51x%
S&P 500 5344 +24.9 +0.47%

FTSE..8168.10 +23.1 +0.28%
Dax……17722 +42.5 +0.24%
CAC……7270 +22.3 +0.31%

Nikkei..35025 +193.9 +0.56%
HSI……..17090 +198.4 +1.17%
Shanghai.2862 -7.7 -0.27%

IDX….7257.12 +61.88 +0.86%
LQ45…908.13 +9.23 +1.03%
IDX30.455.86 +1.74 +0.38%

IDXEnergy.2425.17 +12.00. +0.50%
IDX BscMat1318.38 +20.96 +1.62%
IDX Indstrl..1025.97 +11.31 +1.11%
IDXNONCYC.702.16 +2.36 +0.34%
IDX Hlthcare1452.22 +6.21 +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…759.82 +6.04 +0.80%
IDXTechno.3224.77 +18.76 +0.59%
IDX Transp 1357.38. +10.91 +0.81%
IDX Infrast 1546.82 +13.02 +0.85%
IDX Finance1406.97 +6.99 +0.48%
IDX Banking1257.44 +8.18 +0.65%
IDX Property…..661 +5.20 +0.79%

Indo10Yr.6.8349 -0.0186 -0.27%
ICBI…387.2557 +0.3148 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.057 +0.021 +0.52%
US5Yr 3.796 -0.030 -0.78%
US10Yr3.959 -0.030 -0.75%
US30Yr.4.220 -0.056 -1.31%
VIX..20.37 -3.42 -14.38%‼️

USDIndx 103.2150 +0.006 +0.01%
Como Indx….275.97 +1.97 +0.72%
BCOMIN…..138.06 +1.93 +1.42%

IndoCDS..80.17 -0.02 -0.02%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/08)

IDR…..15924.50 +31.00 +0.19%
Jisdor.15914.00 -38.00 -0.24%

Euro…1.0913 -0.0005 -0.05%

TLKM…17.86 +0.04 +0.20%
( 2836)
EIDO.20.48 -0.02 -0.10%
EEM..42.06 +0.21 +0.50%

Oil………..76.94 +0.90 +1.18%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.16 +0.83 +1.06%
(Brent)
Gold…..2468.50 +3.70 +0.15%
(Comex)
Gold……2430.02 +4.07 +0.17%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31304.00 +810.00 +2.66%
(Closed 09/08)
Nickel..16298.00 +97.50 +0.60%
(Closed 09/08)
Silver….27.49 -0.08 -0.29%
Copper.397.85 +0.15 +0.04%

Iron Ore 62% 101.26 +0.51 +0.51%
(09/08)
Nturl Gas 2.161 +0.072 +3.45%
Ammonia China 2463.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/08)

Coal price.146.00 +0.50 +0.34%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.50 +1.50 +1.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 151.95 +1.75 +1.17%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.153.20 +2.00 +1.32%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.10 +0.70 +0.58%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.124.00 +1.10 +0.90%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 124.90 +1.60 +1.30%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.75 +1.65 +1.33%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3717 +41 +1.12%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..395.00 -2.00 -0.50%
SoybeanOil 41.12 +0.26 +0.64%
Wheat…..542.50 +5.00 +0.93%

Wood pulp..5100 unch +0%
(Closed 11/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing Jum’at semua ijo kecuali China. US Bond Yield hampir semua turun, keliatannya beneran udah beres wave 2, lanjut wave 3 IHSG

USD index up tpis, metal2 ijo kecuali silver, harusnya INCO ANTM TINS dkk jalan lagi, Oil Gas Coal up, PTBA ITMG ADRO menarik diliat… Oil kita liat dulu.CPO up juga, semoga nganter AALI LSIP rally juga

IHSG – Stoch up, MACD rev up tapi belum sempet nyeberang kebawa histogram, MFI sw, w% up, FNB, walau belum tutup gap tapi deket banget kemaren, bisa jadi sudah dianggap done, dari itungan fibonacci wave 2 udah bisa dianggap done, semoga memang sepakat untuk rally wave 3

Property yang terlihat kenceng, tapi kemaren di check masing2nya BD pada jualan, very careful buat yang mau ngejar issue bunga bank turun

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT INDF AVIA BMTR INDY MAHA MYOR PTPP, big accum AMRT INDF INDY PTPP

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BUKA UNVR CMRY GJTL KIJA MIKA BRAM, big accum UNVR GJTL