Global update:

September 08th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 400 points higher, Nasdaq snaps 7-day slump as Wall Street shakes off rate hike concerns

Stocks rose Wednesday — trying to shake off a three-week slide — as rates and oil prices eased, cooling investor concerns about continued high inflation.

Dow…….31581 +435.98 +1.40%
Nasdaq.11792 +246.99 +2.14%
S&P 500..3980 +71.7 +1.83%

FTSE…….7238 -62.6 -0.86%
Dax……..12916 +44.5 +0.35%
CAC……..6105 +1.3 +0.02%

Nikkei….27430 -196.2 -0.71%
HSI……..19044 -158.4 -0.82%
Shanghai..3246 +2.9 +0.09%
ST Times..3211 -13.4 -0.41%

IDX…….7186.76 -46.40 -0.64%
LQ45…1019.67 -7.35 -0.72%

IDX Energy..2043.70 -28.22 -1.36%
IDX Bsc Mat.1311.09 +4.04 +0.31%
IDX Industrl..1371.83 -0.54 -0.04%
IDXNONCYC..702.77 -3.79 -0.54%
IDX Hlthcare.1419.16 -2.66 -0.19%
IDXCYCLIC…..879.58 -0.57 -0.07%
IDX Techno..7526.51 -39.42 -0.52%
IDX Transp…1923.01 -18.78 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1026.81 -16.49 -1.58%
IDX Finance 1505.65 -12.59 -0.83%
IDX Banking..1154.91 -9.73 -0.84%
IDX Property…708 -0.90 -0.13%

Indo10Yr….7.2107 +0.026 +0.36%
ICBI……..335.2978 -0.6038 -0.18%
US10Yr……3.2650 -0.0750 -2.25%
VIX…………24.64 -2.27 -8.44%

USDIndx 109.5620 -0.6520 -0.59%
Como Indx..276.52 -6.10 -2.16%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..147.06 -1.30 -0.88%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14917.50 +32.50 +0.22%‼️
Jisdor..14927.00 +42.00 +0.28%‼️

Euro………1.009 +0.0187 +1.89%

TLKM……..30.10 -0.20 -0.66%
(4493)
EIDO………24.05 -0.08 -0.33%
EEM………38.64 +0.34 +0.89%

Oil…………..81.94 -4.90 -5.64%‼️
Gold ……..1727.80 +15.20 +0.89%
Timah. .21614.50 -414.00 -1.94%
( Closed 06/9)
Nickel…21614.50 +34.00 +0.16%
(Closed 07/9)
Silver…….18.26 +0.38 +2.13%
Copper….343.05 -2.40 -0.69%

Nturl Gas…..7.856 -0.21 -2.60%

Ammonia..4100.00 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(06/9)

Coal price….439.00 -11.25 -2.50%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.70 -16.55 -3.67%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.70 -16.20 -3.68%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.00 -5.00 -1.31%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….358.00 -23.25 -6.10%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….349.30 -25.40 -6.78%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3704 -95 -2.50%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..671.00 -5.00 -0.74%
SoybeanOil…62.10 -1.18 -1.86%
Wheat……..844.25 +27.35 +3.44%‼️

Wood pulp…6740.00 unch +0%
(Closed 07/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US akhirnya rebound kenceng, eropa masih tipis, inggris malah masih merah dalem. Asia merah semua kecuali Shanghai.

Oil drop, coal drop, gas drop, sudah selesai kah wave 5 sektor IDX Energy? Kalo energy dan financials udahan, pas deh, IHSG wave 2. Kita pantau aja

Timah abis naik tinggi sendiri kemaren merah, metal2 lain rata2 naik kecuali copper. CPO juga turun banyak, kasian banget ini AALI sama LSIP ga jalan jalan, nanti mungkin bareng wave 3 index

Prediksi masih belum rubah banyak, index mau wave 2 dulu… kita belanja aggressive setelah tutup gap, atau paling cepet setelah retrace fibo 50

MACD index, masih belum firm kemana, tapi yang jelas belum aman buat aggressive belanja

IHSG – stoch up rev, macd still down, bandar mulai lepas barang, foreign entry menurun, MFI turun (consequently), PSAR masih up, price masih diatas MA20. Kalo pemain MA biasanya exit begitu price close dibawah MA 20

wah rada numpuk, kurang jelas…

Energy, Financials, Industrials sama Basic Materials. Saham2 sektor Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, hati2 kalo signal ngebalik buang dulu

Global Update:

September 07th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points lower in post-Labor Day session as interest rates pop

U.S. stocks slumped on Tuesday in a volatile trading session as investors weighed what strong economic data and rising rates mean for the Federal Reserve’s aggressive tightening campaign.

Dow…….31145 -173.1 -0.55%
Nasdaq.11545 -85.95 -0.74%
S&P 500..3908 -16.1 -0.41%

FTSE…….7300 +13.01 +0.18%
Dax……..12871 +110.7 +0.87%
CAC……..6105 +11.4 +0.19%

Nikkei….27627 +6.9 +0.03%
HSI……..19203 -22.97 -0.12%
Shanghai..3200 +13.4 +0.42%
ST Times..3234 +18.6 +0.58%

IDX…….7233.15 +1.27 +0.02%
LQ45…1027.01 -2.28 -0.22%

IDX Energy..2071.92 +58.63 +2.91%‼️
IDX Bsc Mat.1307.05 +8.99 +0.69%
IDX Industrl..1372.37 +12.28 +0.90%
IDXNONCYC..706.56 -2.67 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare.1421.82 +6.04 +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.15 -1.00 -0.11%
IDX Techno..7565.93 +8.45 +0.11%
IDX Transp…1941.80 +14.38 +0.75%
IDX Infrast…..1043.29 -4.78 -0.46%
IDX Finance 1518.24 -6.51 -0.43%
IDX Banking..1164.64 -7.52 -0.64%
IDX Property…709 +10.10 +1.45%

Indo10Yr….7.1847 +0.008 +0.11%
ICBI……..335.9016 -0.0317 -0.01%
US10Yr……3.3400 +0.1470 +4.60%‼️
VIX…………26.91 +0.92 +3.54%

USDIndx 110.2140 +0.3950 +0.33%‼️
Como Indx..282.62 -1.85 -0.65%
M(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.35 +1.98 +1.35%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14885.00 -22.00 -0.15%
Jisdor..14885.00 -35.00 -0.23%

Euro………0.9903 -0.0027 -0.27%

TLKM……..30.30 unch +0%
(4510)
EIDO………24.13 +0.09 +0.37%
EEM………38.30 -0.46 -1.19%

Oil…………..86.84 -1.98 -2.22%
Gold ……..1712.60 -8.60 -0.50%
Timah. .21625.00 +565.00 +2.68%‼️
( Closed 05/9)
Nickel…21580.50 -125.00 -0.06%
(Closed 06/9)
Silver…….17.88 -0.14 -0.78%
Copper….345.45 -0.20 -0.06%

Nturl Gas…..8.066 -0.697 -7.95%‼️

Ammonia..4100.00 +233.33 +6.03%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(05/9)

Coal price….450.25 -7.55 -1.65%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….451.25 -12.50 -2.70%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….439.90 -11.60 -2.57%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….380.00 -12.50 -3.18%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….381.25 -11.25 -2.87%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….374.70 -10.25 -2.68%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3799 -113 -2.89%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..676.00 +10.25 +1.54%
SoybeanOil…63.28 -2.97 -4.48%‼️
Wheat……..817.00 +6.00 +0.74%

Wood pulp…6740.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 06/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Setelah libur US lanjut merah, europe ijo, asia mostly ijo kecuali hangseng

Oil Gas Coal turun, metal2 turun kecuali timah, CPO juga turun… Ini harusnya mendukung mau wave 2, tapi sektor financials masih up, ga sinkron jadinya

MACD nya almost golden cross… Sudah bikin higher high dibanding wave B, tapi masih belum break wave 5 kemaren… Jadi New Record High kalo break itu, euforia nya bakal luar biasa sepertinya

IHSG – candle kemaren rada rada shooting star, walau shadow nya pendek. Tapi tetep sih, candle reversal itu. Stochastic MACD akumulasi PSAR alligator supertrend, ichimoku masih indicate lanjut naik, tapi tetep, saya masih believe ini bakal turun. Too early to make a new record high tanpa ada recovery ekonomi yang jelas

Energy, Finance, Basic Materials, Industrials

Global Update:

September 06th, 2022

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Labor Day

Dow…….31318 closed +0%
Nasdaq.11631 closed +0%
S&P 500..3924 closed +0%

FTSE…….7287 +6.2 +0.09%
Dax……..12761 -289.5 -2.22%
CAC……..6093 -74.3 -1.20%

Nikkei….27620 -31.2 -0.11%
HSI……..19226 -226.4 -1.16%
Shanghai..3200 +13.4 +0.42%
ST Times..3215 +9.8 +0.31%

IDX…….7231.88 +54.70 +0.76%
LQ45…1029.30 +9.50 +0.93%

IDX Energy..2013.28 +74.26 +3.83%‼️
IDX Bsc Mat.1298.06 +7.20 +0.56%
IDX Industrl..1360.09 +24.18 +1.81%
IDXNONCYC..709.23 -0.52 -0.07%
IDX Hlthcare.1415.78 -16.67 -1.16%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.16 -1.50 -0.17%
IDX Techno..7557.48 -27.86 -0.37%
IDX Transp…1927.41 -35.37 -1.80%
IDX Infrast…..1048.07 +3.66 +0.35%
IDX Finance 1524.75 +5.16 +0.34%
IDX Banking..1172.16 +12.19 +1.05%
IDX Property…704 +4.00 +0.56%

Indo10Yr….7.1767 +0.0120 +0.17%
ICBI……..335.9333 -0.3614 -0.11%
US10Yr……3.1930 closed +0%
VIX…………25.99 closed +0%

USDIndx 109.8190 +0.2850 +0.26%‼️
Como Indx..284.47 -0.15 -0.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.38 closed +0%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 +2.31 +1.92%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14907.00 +11.50 +0.08%‼️
Jisdor..14920.00 +20.00 +0.13%‼️

Euro………0.9930 -0.0024 -0.24%

TLKM……..30.30 closed +0%
(4521)
EIDO………24.04 closed +0%
EEM………38.76 closed +0%

Oil…………..88.82 +1.95 +2.24%
Gold ……..1721.20 -14.00 -0.08%
Timah. .21060.00 +95.00 +0.45%
( Closed 02/9)
Nickel…21593.00 +1119.00 +5.47%‼️
(Closed 05/9)
Silver…….18.02 +0.14 +0.78%
Copper….345.85 +4.50 +1.32%

Nturl Gas…..8.763 -0.139 -1.56%

Ammonia….3866.67 – –
China
(Domestic Price)(01/9)

Coal price….457.80 +22.80 +5.24%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….463.75 +22.85 +5.18%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….451.50 +20.95 +4.87%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….392.50 +16.50 +4.39%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….392.50 +24.15 +6.56%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….385.00 +23.40 +6.47%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3912 +11 +0.28%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..665.75 closed +0%
SoybeanOil…66.25 closed +0%
Wheat……..811.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 05/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tutup, eropa merah, asia varied, IHSG bikin higher high, apakah akah lanjut wave 1 nya diperpanjang ke atas? Kita tunggu saja… Sementara sih secara keilmuan baru menggeser titik puncak wave 1 sedikit, belum tentu akan long run

Commodity yang merah cuma gold sama natural gas, yang lain semua ijo, coal naik lagi tinggi, nikel juga naik tinggi

Untuk lanjut break high dan bikin new All Time High kayanya kemungkinan kecil sekali, sekarang belum bisa dikatakan ekonomi pulih, masih kondisi krisis, walau memang LK hampir semua emiten meningkat dibanding masa covid sedang merajalela. Masih menduga bahwa akan mentok sebelum mencapai record high dan akan bikin wave 2

IHSG – di banyak indicator bilang bagus dan akan lanjut, foreign juga netbuy terus, bandar akum terus, MFI naik… Tapi fundamentally rapuh, jadi prepare aja kalo market tiba2 ngebalik. Jangan masuk full cash dulu, masuknya hanya di energy sama finance kalo mau, dan pantau ketat, pasang stop loss/trailing stop.

Energy, Financials, Basic Materials, cocok sama kenaikan commodities. Industrials sama Infrastructure juga ada gerakan bagus, tapi belum dulu deh

Healthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals sudah cape, ga jadi lari, keliatannya duit market maker masuk ke financials dulu

Global update:

August 31st, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks extend their losing streak a third day, Dow closes down 300 points

Stocks fell for a third day on Tuesday, jeopardizing a summer comeback rally, as the Federal Reserve and other global central bankers continued to signal they will raise interest rates to squash inflation despite the negative consequences for economic growth and, potentially, corporate profits.

Dow…….31791 -308.1 -0.96%
Nasdaq.11884 -134.5 -1.12%
S&P 500..3986 -44.5 -1.10%

FTSE…….7362 -65.7 -0.88%
Dax……..12961 +68.2 +0.53%
CAC……..6210 -12.06 -0.19%

Nikkei….28196 +316.6 +1.14%
HSI……..19949 -74.2 -0.37%
Shanghai..3227 -13.5 -0.42%
ST Times..3222 -27.3 -0.84%

IDX…….7159.47 +27.43 +0.38%
LQ45…1021.75 +5.44 +0.54%

IDX Energy…1897.98 -19.74 -1.03%
IDX Bsc Mat.1297.19 +7.04 +0.56%
IDX Industrl..1321.59 +17.38 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC..708.13 -3.53 -0.50%
IDX Hlthcare.1425.85 +17.60 +1.25%
IDXCYCLIC…..889.13 +3.63 +0.41%
IDX Techno..7922.64 +123.98 +1.59%
IDX Transp…1961.06 +9.11 +0.47%
IDX Infrast…..1039.69 +13.35 +1.30%
IDX Finance 1492.14 +6.24 +0.42%
IDX Banking..1135.40 +7.62 +0.68%
IDX Property…704 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr….7.1686 +0.0312 +0.44%
ICBI……..335.8683 -0.6550 -0.19%
US10Yr…..3.1100 unch +0%
VIX……….26.21 -0.02 -0.00%

USDIndx 108.7730 -0.0620 -0.06%
Como Indx..293.58 -8.17 -2.71%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..154.55 -3.73 -2.35%
.
IndoCDS…116.42 +5.47 +4.93%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14842.50 -55.00 -0.37%
Jisdor..14875.00 -12.00 -0.08%

Euro………1.0019 +0.0019 +0.19%

TLKM……..29.65 -0.61 -2.20%
(4410)
EIDO………23.72 +0.11 +0.47%
EEM………39.29 -0.47 -1.18%

Oil…………..92.48 -4.38 -4.52%‼️
Gold ……..1735.00 -14.90 -0.85%
Timah. .24750.00 closed +0%
( Closed 29/8)
Nickel….21416.50 -279 -1.29%
(Closed 30/8)
Silver…….18.27 -0.40 -2.14%
Copper….355.50 -4.65 -1.29%

Nturl Gas…..9.077 -0.187 -2.02%

Ammonia….3750.00 +16.67 +0.45%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/8)

Coal price….414.55 -8.20 -1.94%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.00 -10.60 -2.55%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….399.45 -7.30 -1.79%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.00 -20.05 -5.34%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….354.00 -12.65 -3.45%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….346.50 -11.35 -3.17%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4133 -43 -1.03%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.25 -5.75 -0.84%
SoybeanOil…66.35 -0.09 -0.14%
Wheat……..820.25 -22.50 -2.67%

Wood pulp…6714.00 unch +0%
(Closed 30/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah, europe cuma dax yang ijo, asia nikkei kospi sama ihsg ijo

Komoditi turun semua kecuali timah dan cpo. Jadi ini ihsg merah kayanya hari ini

IHSG – kecuali akan breakhigh 7230, masih on schedule mau wave 2

RSI quadrant masih belum banyak berubah, Energy Healthcare Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals