Daily Analysis 2220804
Global Update:
August 04th, 2022
Good morning,
Stocks rally to reverse two-day slide, surging on rosy earnings results and economic data
U.S. stocks rallied Wednesday, clawing back losses from earlier in the week, as traders cheered better-than-expected economic data that helped allay recession fears.
Dow…….32813 +416.3 +1.29%
Nasdaq.12668 +319.4 +2.59%
S&P 500..4155 +63.98 +1.56%
FTSE…….7446 +36.6 +0.49%
Dax……..13588 +138.4 +1.03%
CAC……..6472 +62.3 +0.97%
Nikkei….27742 +147.2 +0.53%
HSI……..19767 +77.9 +0.40%
Shanghai..3164 -22.6 -0.71%
ST Times..3252 +12.9 +0.40%
IDX…….7046.64 +58.48 +0.84%
LQ45…..999.95 +11.34 +1.15%
IDX Energy…1812.83 -2.89 -0.16%
IDX Bsc Mat.1294.97 +7.38 +0.57%
IDX Industrl..1327.61 -1.01 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC..702.14 -3.05 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1431.37 -3.15 -0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..886.80 -9.53 -1.06%
IDX Techno..7883.27 +246.11 +3.22%
IDX Transp…1988.43 -5.04 -0.25%
IDX Infrast…..1021.65 +22.64+2.27%
IDX Finance 1518.99 +14.22 +0.94%
IDX Banking..1142.53 +10.67 +0.94%
IDX Property…….69r +o.94 -0.26%
Indo10Yr….7.3249 +0.0394 +0.54%
ICBI……..332.3687 -0.5567 -0.17%
US10Yr…..2.74i0 +0.0070 +0.26%
VIX…………21.95 -1.87 -8.27%‼️
USDIndx 106.5060 +0.2650 +0.25%‼️
Como Indx..281.72 -1.98 -0.70%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.47 -1.83 -1.19%
*IndoCDS…127.15 – – *
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14911.50 +22.50 +0.15%‼️
Jisdor..14917.00 +29.00 +0.19%‼️
Euro………1.0164 -0.0006 -0.06%
TLKM……..29.88 +1.28 +4.48%‼️
(4457)
EIDO………23.38 +0.24 +1.04%
EEM………39.74 +0.31 +0.79%
Oil…………91.02 -2.68 -2.86%
Gold ……1780.60 +7.00 +0.39%
Timah. .24249.00 -651.00 -2.61%
( Closed 02/8)
Nickel…22552.00 +210.00 +0.94%
(Closed 03/8)
Silver…….20.00 +0.08 +0.40%
Copper….347.25 -0.15 -0.04%
Nturl Gas…..8.288 +0.612 +7.97%‼️
Ammonia….3856.67 +83.34 +2.21%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/8)
Coal price….393.50 -10.00 -2.48%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….378.55 -17.20 -4.35%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.00 -11.05 -3.01%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…336.45 -14.55 -4.15%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
CPO(Okt)…..3860 +19 +0.49%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………596.25 +2.00 +0.34%
SoybeanOil…61.00 -0.39 -0.64%
Wheat………763.75 -11.00 -1.42%
Wood pulp…6722.00 +6 +0.09%
(Closed 03/8)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Kemaren IHSG ijo tebel, closing market rata2 ijo semua, kecuali shanghai yang minus. US kenceng banget, semoga jadi pendorong index kita ijo tebel lagi hari ini, biar cepet tutup gap diatas dulu
Oil turun lagi, terus stay dibawah 100 usd per barrel, coal dibawah 400 usd per MT, rada cocok buat bawa energy koreksi wave c. Metal tipis tipis kecuali timah yang agak jauh turunnya. ANTM TINS INCO sideways dulu kayanya. Gas naik tinggi, semoga PGAS lanjut jalan. CPO naik dikit, belum jadi bawa AALI sama LSIP ke atas
Terlalu optimis dengan outlook IHSG dengan elliot wave nya? Mungkin, tapi gpp lah, namanya juga forecast optimistic…
Stochastic signal buy lagi, MACD masih Up, supertrend masih up, alligator up, bagu breakout cloud ichimoku, parabolic sar masih UP, LR channel target cocok sama gap closing. Semoga bener sampe minimal gap closing sebelum wave 2
Daily Analysis 20220803
Global Update:
August 03rd, 2022
Good morning,
Stocks fall a second day on U.S.-China tensions, hawkish comments from Fed leaders
Stocks slumped on Tuesday as investors weighed increased tensions between the U.S. and China with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s Taiwan visit and reacted to comments from Federal Reserve presidents about the central bank’s path forward.
Dow…….32396 -402.2 -1.23%
Nasdaq.12349 -20.2 -0.16%
S&P 500..4091 -27.4 -0.67%
FTSE…….7409 -4.3 -0.06%
Dax……..13449 -30.4 -0.23%
CAC……..6410 -27.1 -0.42%
Nikkei….27595 -398.6 -1.42%
HSI……..19689 -473.6 -2.36%
Shanghai..3186 -73.7 -2.26%
ST Times..3239 +0.4 +0.01%
IDX…….6988.16 +19.37 +0.28%
LQ45…..988.61 +6.62 +0.67%
IDX Energy…1815.73 -51.05 -2.74%
IDX Bsc Mat.1287.59 -8.66 -0.67%
IDX Industrl..1328.62 +23.6 +1.81%
IDXNONCYC..705.19 -2.9 -0.41%
IDX Hlthcare.1434.52 +1.08 +0.08%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.33 -0.08 -0.01%
IDX Techno..7637.16 -17.54 -0.23%
IDX Transp…1993.47 -7.10 -0.35%
IDX Infrast……999.00 +2.92 +0.29%
IDX Finance 1504.78 +0.28 +0.02%
IDX Banking..1131.86 +10.06 +0.90%
IDX Property…….689 -1.80 -0.26%
Indo10Yr….7.2855 +0.0080 +0.11%
ICBI……..332.9254 -0.1759 -0.05%
US10Yr…..2.7410 +0.1350 +5.18%
VIX…………23.94 +1.09 +4.77%
USDIndx 106.2410 +0.7910 +0.75%‼
Como Indx..283.11 -5.95 -2.04%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..154.30 -2.46 -1.57%
IndoCDS…127.15 +7.07 +5.89%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14889.00 +16.00 +0.11%
Jisdor..14888.00 +14.00 +0.09%
Euro………1.0170 -0.0092 -0.90%
TLKM……..28.60 -0.14 -0.49%
(4258)
EIDO………23.14 -0.09 -0.39%
EEM………39.43 -0.19 -0.48%
Oil…………93.70 -0.21 -0.22%
Gold ……1773.60 -15.30 -0.86%
Timah. .25047.00 – –
( Closed 29/7)
Nickel…22342.00 -2002.00 -8.22%‼
(Closed 02/8)
Silver…….19.92 -0.40 -1.97%
Copper….347.55 -6.05 -1.71%
Nturl Gas…..7.676 -0.542 -6.59%‼
Ammonia….3773.33 +83.33 +2.26%
China
(Domestic Price)(01/8)
Coal price….403.50 -1.50 -0.37%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….395.75 +2.35 +0.60%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….366.05 +0.55 +0.15%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…351.00 -2.30 -0.65%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
CPO(Okt)…..3841 -232 -5.69%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………594.25 -15.50 -2.54%
SoybeanOil…61.39 -1.87 -2.96%
Wheat………774.75 -25.50 -3.19%‼
Wood pulp…67160.00 +26 +0.39%
(Closed 02/8)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.
Semua index regional closing merah kecuali IDX sama ST times. Tensi US-China ceritanya
Semua commodity juga turun, nikel cpo gas drop significant. Coal tipis tipis
IHSG – stochastic sell signal, bilang harus turun, MACD masih mungkin lanjut, alligator buy, supertrend juga buy, LR indikasi lanjut ke upper channel sekalian tutup gap atas
Kemaren sempet minus rada dalam, pas closing ditarik sampe ijo lagi. Semoga memang skenarionya tutupgap atas dulu baru koreksi wave2
Masih industrials sama energy
Daily Analysis 20220729
Global Update:
July 29th, 2022
Good morning,
Stock futures rise after strong Apple, Amazon reports as Wall Street heads for winning week
Stock futures rose on Thursday evening as Wall Street looked to finish the week higher, fueled by strong quarterly reports from key tech companies.
Dow…….32529 +332.04 +1.03%
Nasdaq.12163 +130.2 +1.08%
S&P 500..4072 +48.8 +1.21%
FTSE…….7345 -2.98 +0.57%
Dax……..13282 +115.7 +0.88%
CAC……..6339 +81.3 +1.30%
Nikkei….27815 +99.7 +0.36%
HSI……..20623 -47.4 -0.23%
Shanghai..3283 +6.8 +0.21%
ST Times..3221 +15.5 +0.48%
IDX…….6956.82 +58.60 +0.85%
LQ45…..980.25 +5.78 +0.59%
IDX Energy…1838.96 +34.38 +1.90%
IDX Bsc Mat.1298.97 +31.06 +2.45%
IDX Industrl..1259.41 +21.52 +1.74%
IDXNONCYC..708.20 -8.88 -1.24%
IDX Hlthcare.1493.26 -21.32 -1.41%
IDXCYCLIC…..897.97 +17.11 +1.94%
IDX Techno..7769.69 +70.37 +0.91%
IDX Transp…1971.06 +18.85 +0.97%
IDX Infrast……990.08 +0.39 +0.04%
IDX Finance 1499.11 +26.23 +1.78%
IDX Banking..1109.45 +4.95 +0.45%
IDX Property…….690 +13.00 +1.92%
Indo10Yr….7.3728 -0.1027 -1.38%
ICBI……….330.9335 +1.2239 +0.37%
US10Yr…..2.6810 -0.0530 -1.94%
VIX…………22.33 -0.91 -3.92%
USDIndx 106.3510 -0.1010 -0.09%‼️
Como Indx..289.02 -0.06 -0.02%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.02 +2.48 +1.66%
IndoCDS…128.25 -7.42 -5.47%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14921.50 -88.50 -0.59%
Jisdor..14958.00 -62.00 -0.41%
Euro………1.0192 +0.0002 +0.02%
TLKM……..28.55 +0.17 +0.60%
(4271)
EIDO………23.11 +0.29 +1.27%
EEM………40.15 +0.17 +0.43%
Oil…………97.36 -0.91 -0.93%
Gold ……1769.20 +16.80 +0.96%
Timah. .24344.00 -126.00 -0.51%
( Closed 27/7)
Nickel…21834.00 +134.00 +0.62%
(Closed 28/7)
Silver…….19.87 +0.83 +4.36%
Copper….349.35 +1.60 +0.46%
Nturl Gas…..8.171 -0.463 -5.36%
Ammonia….3823.33 -66.67 -1.71%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/7)
Coal price….411.40 -0.10 -0.02%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…418.50 -5.60 -1.32%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…390.25 +3.25 +0.83%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…382.50 +2.50 +0.66%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
CPO(Okt)…..3961 +137 +3.58%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………619.00 +16.00 +2.65%
SoybeanOil…63.25 +4.06 +6.86%‼️
Wheat………817.00 +26.75 +3.38%‼️
Wood pulp…6660.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/7)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.
Kemarin hampir semua index regional lanjut hijau, kecuali hangseng
Energy turun semua, coal turunnya tipis. Metal metal naik
ANTM INCO TINS kemungkinan lanjut, tapi hari ini bisa jadi pullback dulu. ANTM naik diatas 10% kemarin, rawan profit taking kecuali timah. CPO naik tinggi
Big banks release lapkeu, semua naik, BBRI naiknya sampe 90%. Ini bisa jadi pendorong index lanjut impulse wave
https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/market/20220729005751-17-359474/bank-kakap-ri-sudah-rilis-laporan-keuangan-siapa-jagoannya
Setiap impulse wave akan ketemu koreksi di wave 2, keliatannya kalo mau koreksi index ya setelah tutup gap paling pas… Di 7174
Daily Analysis 20220728
Global Update:
July 28th, 2022
Good morning,
U.S. stocks rallied in late trading Wednesday, with Nasdaq leading the way after the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point and comments by Chairman Jerome Powell reassured investors
Powell said in a news conference following the Fed announcement that he did not believe the U.S. economy is currently in a recession but it is softening.
He also said the lack of clear visibility into the future of the economy means the Fed can provide reliable guidance about where its policy is headed only on a “meeting-by-meeting” basis.
Dow…….32198 +436.1 +1.37%
Nasdaq.12032 +469.9 +4.06%
S&P 500..4024 +102.6 +2.62%
FTSE…….7348 +41.95 +0.57%
Dax……..13166 +69.5 +0.53%
CAC……..6258 +46.5 +0.75%
Nikkei….27716 +60.5 +0.22%
HSI……..20670 -235.8 -1.13%
Shanghai..3276 -1.7 -0.05%
ST Times..3205 +13.02 +0.41%
IDX…….6898.22 +26.68 +0.39%
LQ45…..974.46 +5.98 +0.62%
IDX Energy…1804.59 +42.49 +2.41%
IDX Bsc Mat.1267.91 -2.96 -0.23%
IDX Industrl..1237.90 +16.74 +1.37%
IDXNONCYC..717.08 -3.99 -0.55%
IDX Hlthcare.1514.58 +5.41 +0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.86 -0.26 -0.03%
IDX Techno..7699.33 +67.11 +0.88%
IDX Transp…1952.21 -5.57 -0.28%
IDX Infrast……989.69 +0.10 +0.01%
IDX Finance 1472.89 -5.47 -0.37%
IDX Banking..1104.50 +3.21 +0.29%
IDX Property…….676 -1.20 -0.18%
Indo10Yr….7.4305 -0.0344 -0.46%
ICBI……….329.7096 +0.6333 +0.19%
US10Yr…..2.7340 -0.0530 -1.90%
VIX…………23.24 -1.45 -5.87%
USDIndx 106.4520 -0.7370 -0.69%‼️
Como Indx..289.08 +2.58 +0.90%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.54 +1.12 +0.75%
IndoCDS…135.67 +0.62 +0.46%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……15010.00 unch +0%‼️
Jisdor..15020.00 +36.00 +0.05%‼️
Euro………1.0190 +0.0061 +0.60%
TLKM……..28.38 +0.25 +0.89%
(4263)
EIDO………22.82 +0.33 +1.47%
EEM………39.98 +0.73 +1.86%
Oil…………98.27 +2.75 +2.88%
Gold ……1752.40 +18.10 +1.04%
Timah. .24470.00 -477.00 -1.91%
( Closed 26/7)
Nickel..21700.00 -402.50 -1.82%
(Closed 27/7)
Silver…….19.04 +0.48 +2.59%
Copper….347.75 +7.80 +2.29%
Nturl Gas…..8.640 -0.145 -1.65%
Ammonia….3890.00 +200 +5.42%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(25/7)
Coal price….411.50 -2.50 -0.60%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…424.10 -15.90 -3.61%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…387.00 -2.50 -0.64%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…380.00 -8.00 -2.06%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
CPO(Okt)…..3824 +36 +0.95%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………603.00 +2.25 +0.37%
SoybeanOil…50.19 +1.24 +2.14%
Wheat………790.25 -13.50 -1.68%
Wood pulp…6660.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 27/7)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.
US naik tinggi terutama saham teknologi. Hampir semua index regional juga ijo kecuali hangseng sama shanghai,udah ada bocoran kayanya.
Komodoti hampir semua naik kecuali gas timah dan nikel, coal turun dikit, masih diatas 410 USD/MT
IHSG – MACD masih firm, sudah lewat efek hidden bearish divergence, US news bagus, semoga lanjut rally sampe januari, kalo koreksi minor minor aja
Daily Analysis 20220727
Global Update:
July 27th, 2022
Good morning,
Dow sheds more than 200 points after Walmart profit warning, S&P 500 falls 1%
U.S. stocks fell Tuesday after Walmart cut its earnings forecast, sending other retail shares lower and adding to concern that consumer spending might not be strong enough to keep the U.S. out of a recession.
Dow…….31762 -228.5 -0.71%
Nasdaq.11563 -220.1 -1.87%
S&P 500..3921 -45.8 -1.15%
FTSE…….7306 -0.02 -0.00%
Dax……..13097 -113.4 -0.86%
CAC……..6211 -26.1 -0.42%
Nikkei….27655 -44.04 -0.16%
HSI……..20906 +342.9 +1.67%
Shanghai..3277 +27.1 +0.83%
ST Times..3192 +11.7 +0.37%
IDX…….6871.54 +13.13 +0.19%
LQ45…..968.48 +1.35 +0.14%
IDX Energy…1762.10 +21.00 +1.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1270.86 -4.39 -0.34%
IDX Industrl..1221.16 +1.34 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC..721.07 -3.54 -0.49%
IDX Hlthcare.1509.16 -5.80 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.11 -6.12 -0.69%
IDX Techno..7632.21 -185.40 -2.37%
IDX Transp…1957.78 +2.17 +0.11%
IDX Infrast……989.59 +7.44 +0.75%
IDX Finance 1478.35 +14.17 +0.97%
IDX Banking..1101.28 +11.21 +1.03%
IDX Property…….676 -1.20 -0.18%
Indo10Yr….7.4649 -0.0268 -0.36%
ICBI……….329.0763 +0.5530 +0.17%
US10Yr…..2.7870 -0.0330 -1.17%
VIX…………24.69 +1.33 +5.69%
USDIndx 107.1890 +0.7060 +0.66%‼
Como Indx..286.50 +1.74 +0.61%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.42 +0.22 +0.15%
IndoCDS…135.05 +2.78 +2.10%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14993.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..14984.00 -8.00 -0.05%
Euro………1.0129 -0.0091 -0.89%
TLKM……..28.13 +0.18 +0.64%
(4215)
EIDO………22.49 -0.11 -0.49%
EEM………39.25 -0.31 -0.78%
Oil…………95.52 -0.79 -0.82%
Gold ……1734.30 -0.50 -0.03%
Timah. .24947.00 -317.00 -1.27%
( Closed 25/7)
Nickel..22102.50 -430.00 -1.95%
(Closed 26/7)
Silver…….18.56 +0.26 +1.42%
Copper….339.95 +4.55 +1.36%
Nturl Gas…..8.785- +0.167 +1.94%
Ammonia….3890.00 +200 +5.42%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(25/7)
Coal price….414.00 +3.75 +0.91%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…440.00 +28.95 +7.04%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…389.50 +2.15 +0.56%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…388.00 +24.00 +6.59%‼
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
CPO(Okt)…..3788 +142 +3.89%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………600.75 +17.00 +2.91%
SoybeanOil…57.95 +0.40 +0.69%
Wheat………803.75 +33.75 +4.38%‼
Wood pulp…6650.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 26/7)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.
US lanjut merah rada dalem… europe juga merah, asia kebanyakan ijo kecuali nikkei
Masih membuka kemungkinan index tutup gap dulu
Oil gold tin nickel turun, silver copper gas naik, coal lanjut naik lagi, cpo juga
Kemungkinan ANTM INCO TINS koreksi dulu while saham saham coal lanjut naik. AALI LSIP kemarin diperkirakan langsung lanjut tapi malah koreksi, semoga ini lanjut naik lagi
In general sektor sektor tidak menggembirakan. Walau ada beberapa saham di dalam masing2 sektor yang terlihat bergerak, kaya saham2 coal, UNTR.













