Posts Tagged ‘trading’

Definition, Uses, Example in Technical Analysis

Written by admin. Posted in Technical Analysis

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What Is a Horizontal Line?

In technical analysis, a horizontal line is often drawn on a price chart to highlight areas of support or resistance.

In geometric analysis, a horizontal line proceeds parallel to the x-axis. Put another way, on a perfectly horizontal line, all values on the line will have the same y-value.

Key Takeaways

  • A horizontal line is commonly used in technical analysis to mark areas of support or resistance.
  • A horizontal line runs parallel to the x-axis.
  • In technical analysis, the horizontal line is typically drawn along a swing high, or a series of them, where each high in the series stopped at a similar level. The same concept applies to swing lows.

Understanding a Horizontal Line

Horizontal lines are commonly used in technical analysis to highlight areas of support, where the price stopped falling and then bounced on prior occasions, or resistance, which is where the price stopped rising and then proceeded to fall on prior occasions.

The horizontal line is drawn by connecting similar swing lows in price to create a horizontal support line. For a horizontal resistance line, similar swing highs are connected.

The horizontal line is then used for analytical or trading purposes. For example, if the price of an asset is moving between support and resistance horizontal lines then the price is considered to be range-bound.

A move below the support horizontal line could indicate a further price decline, but if support holds and the price bounces higher then prices could be forthcoming. The same concepts apply to a resistance horizontal line. If the price moves above resistance, higher prices could be forthcoming. If the price reaches resistance and then starts to decline, the horizontal line has held and traders will watch for lower prices.

In more simple terms, a horizontal line on any chart is where the y-axis values are equal. If it has been drawn to show a series of highs in the data, a data point moving above the horizontal line would indicate a rise in the y-axis value over recent values in the data sample.

Fundamental Horizontal Analysis

Horizontal analysis is used to compare values or prices over time. This is an aspect of fundamental analysis in which an analyst will compare various earnings reports and statements over time. In this kind of analysis, time functions as the horizontal x-axis and allows analysts to calculate percentage changes over time, a useful tool for representing the degree of change.

Horizontal analysis looks at the trend of financial statements over multiple periods, using a specified base period, and typically shows the changes from the base period in dollars and percentages.

The percentage change is calculated by first dividing the dollar change between the comparison year and the base year by the item value in the base year, then multiplying the quotient by 100. For example, when you hear someone saying that revenues increased by 10% this past quarter, that person is using horizontal analysis.

Horizontal analysis can be used on any item in a company’s financials, from revenues to earnings per share (EPS), and is useful when comparing the performance of various companies.

A Horizontal Line as it Relates to Supply and Demand Curves

Supply and demand curves are drawn with price on the vertical axis of the graph and quantity demanded on the horizontal axis. When looking at supply and demand curves, a perfectly horizontal line indicates that an item has perfect elasticity, or that its demand is immediately responsive to changes in price. When the price of a perfectly elastic good or service increases above the market price, the quantity demanded falls to zero. With perfect elasticity, consumers simply are not willing to spend more than a specific price for a good or service.

Example of How to Use the Horizontal Line in Technical Analysis

Drawing a horizontal line is one of the simplest forms of technical analysis, but it also provides important information. On the chart below, a horizontal line is drawn on the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) exchange traded fund (ETF).

Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2021


An uptrend is when a price makes higher swing highs and higher swing lows. Therefore, a horizontal line can highlight when price is making a new high, in this case, thus showing signs of an uptrend. On the SPY chart above, the price is moving above the horizontal line indicating an uptrend. If the price falls back below the horizontal line, it could warn that uptrend has failed and lower prices may be forthcoming.

In this sense, the horizontal line acts like a line in the sand, where moving above the line is bullish.

The Difference Between a Horizontal Line and a Trendline

Both these terms could refer to the same thing: drawn lines on a chart. While a horizontal line is specifically horizontal, a trendline is typically angled and drawn along rising swing lows during a price uptrend or drawn along dropping swing highs during a downtrend.

Limitations of Using a Horizontal Line in Technical Analysis

A horizontal line is not an actual barrier for price. It is a technical tool which may help traders determine whether they should be more bearish or bullish.

Where a horizontal line is drawn is subjective. Not all traders may place the horizontal line at the same price.

At highly important prices, where a horizontal line may be drawn, it is possible the price will whipsaw around it. This could cause confusion or some potential losing trades until the price makes a more decisive move above or below the line.

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Price Channel Definition

Written by admin. Posted in Technical Analysis

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What Is a Price Channel?

The term price channel refers to a signal that appears on a chart when a security’s price becomes bounded between two parallel lines. The price channel may be termed horizontal, ascending, or descending depending on the direction of the trend. Price channels are often used by traders who practice the art of technical analysis to gauge the momentum and direction of a security’s price action and to identify trading channels.

Key Takeaways

  • A price channel occurs when a security’s price oscillates between two parallel lines that are either horizontal, ascending, or descending.
  • The channel is formed when a security’s price is buffeted by supply and demand.
  • Price channels are quite useful in identifying breakouts, which is when a security’s price breaches either the upper or lower channel trendline.
  • Traders can sell when the price approaches the price channel’s upper trendline and buy when it tests the lower trendline.
  • Maximize your gains when the security follows a delineated price channel path by using long and short positions.

Understanding a Price Channel

A price channel forms when a security’s price is buffeted by the forces of supply and demand. This movement can be upward, downward, or sideways trending. These forces affect the price of a security and can cause it to create a prolonged price channel. The dominance of one force determines the price channel’s trending direction. Price channels can occur over various time frames.

Traders are always on the lookout for chart patterns that can aid them in their trading decisions. This is especially true for individuals who are disciples of technical analysis. Once a security’s price action carves out a set of highs and lows that follow a discernible pattern and can be connected by two parallel lines, a price channel has been formed. You can see this visualized in the chart below.

Image by Julie Bang © Investopedia 2019

The lower trendline is drawn when the price pivots higher while the upper trendline is drawn when the price pivots lower. The steepness of inclines and declines determine the direction of the price channel’s trend. An upward or ascending price channel is bounded by trendlines with a positive slope. It indicates that the price is trending higher with each price change.

Likewise, a downward, or descending price channel has trendlines with a negative slope. This indicates that the price trends lower with each price change. The two lines of a price channel represent support and resistance. Support and resistance lines can provide signals for profitable investment trades.

Special Considerations

Price channels are quite useful in identifying breakouts, which is when a security’s price breaches either the upper or lower channel trendline. Traders can also trade within the channel. This means selling the security when the price approaches the channel’s upper trendline and buying when it tests the channel’s lower trendline.

Price channels can be created by all types of vehicles, instruments, and securities. They include futures, stocks, mutual funds, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) among others.

Price Channel Analysis

There are a few ways to benefit from correctly identifying price channels. The best chance to maximize your gains happens when the security follows a delineated price channel path by using both long and short positions. Furthermore, consider the following:

  • During an uptrend: A bullish investor may want to keep their holdings at the upward bound in anticipation of a breakout, which would lead to a surge in price. Investors may want to consider selling the asset or taking a short position when it hits the upper trendline as long as it looks like the security will remain within the price channel.
  • During a downtrend: Investors may want to short the stock at the upper bound and take an even deeper short position they confirm a breakout. If an investor expects the price action to stay within the boundaries of the price channel, they could go against the trend and take a long position to maximize their profits.

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Technical Analysis of Stocks and Trends Definition

Written by admin. Posted in Technical Analysis

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Investopedia / Jessica Olah


What Is Technical Analysis?

Technical analysis is the study of historical market data, including price and volume. Using insights from market psychology, behavioral economics, and quantitative analysis, technical analysts aim to use past performance to predict future market behavior. The two most common forms of technical analysis are chart patterns and technical (statistical) indicators.

Key Takeaways

  • Technical analysis attempts to predict future price movements, providing traders with the information needed to make a profit.
  • Traders apply technical analysis tools to charts in order to identify entry and exit points for potential trades.
  • An underlying assumption of technical analysis is that the market has processed all available information and that it is reflected in the price chart.

What Does Technical Analysis Tell You?

Technical analysis is a blanket term for a variety of strategies that depend on interpretation of price action in a stock. Most technical analysis is focused on determining whether or not a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will reverse. Some technical analysts swear by trendlines, others use candlestick formations, and yet others prefer bands and boxes created through a mathematical visualization. Most technical analysts use some combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for trades. A chart formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, for example, but the trader will look at moving averages for different time periods to confirm that a breakdown is likely.

A Brief History of Technical Analysis

The technical analysis of stocks and trends has been used for hundreds of years. In Europe, Joseph de la Vega adopted early technical analysis techniques to predict Dutch markets in the 17th century. In its modern form, however, technical analysis owes heavily to Charles Dow, William P. Hamilton, Robert Rhea, Edson Gould, and many others—including a ballroom dancer named Nicolas Darvas. These people represented a new perspective on the market as a tide that is best measured in highs and lows on a chart rather than by the particulars of the underlying company. The diverse collection of theories from early technical analysts were brought together and formalized in 1948 with the publishing of Technical Analysis of Stock Trends by Robert D. Edwards and John Magee.

Candlestick patterns date back to Japanese merchants eager to detect trading patterns for their rice harvests. Studying these ancient patterns became popular in the 1990s in the U.S. with the advent of internet day trading. Investors analyzed historical stock charts eager to discover new patterns for use when recommending trades. Candlestick reversal patterns in particular are critically important for investors to identify, and there are several other commonly used candlestick charting patterns. The doji and the engulfing pattern are all used to predict an imminent bearish reversal.

How to Use Technical Analysis

The core principle underlying technical analysis is that the market price reflects all available information that could impact a market. As a result, there’s no need to look at economic, fundamental, or new developments since they’re already priced into a given security. Technical analysts generally believe that prices move in trends and history tends to repeat itself when it comes to the market’s overall psychology. The two major types of technical analysis are chart patterns and technical (statistical) indicators.

Chart patterns are a subjective form of technical analysis where technicians attempt to identify areas of support and resistance on a chart by looking at specific patterns. These patterns, underpinned by psychological factors, are designed to predict where prices are headed, following a breakout or breakdown from a specific price point and time. For example, an ascending triangle chart pattern is a bullish chart pattern that shows a key area of resistance. A breakout from this resistance could lead to a significant, high-volume move higher.

Technical indicators are a statistical form of technical analysis where technicians apply various mathematical formulas to prices and volumes. The most common technical indicators are moving averages, which smooth price data to help make it easier to spot trends. More complex technical indicators include the moving average convergence divergence (MACD), which looks at the interplay between several moving averages. Many trading systems are based on technical indicators since they can be quantitatively calculated.

The Difference Between Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental analysis and technical analysis are the two big factions in finance. Whereas technical analysts believe the best approach is to follow the trend as it forms through market action, fundamental analysts believe the market often overlooks value. Fundamental analysts will ignore chart trends in favor of digging through the balance sheet and the market profile of a company in search of intrinsic value not currently reflected in the price. There are many examples of successful investors using fundamental or technical analysis to guide their trading and even those who incorporate elements of both. On the whole, however, technical analysis lends itself to a faster investing pace, whereas fundamental analysis generally has a longer decision timeline and holding period by virtue of the time required for the extra due diligence.

Limitations of Technical Analysis

Technical analysis has the same limitation of any strategy based on particular trade triggers. The chart can be misinterpreted. The formation may be predicated on low volume. The periods being used for the moving averages may be too long or too short for the type of trade you are looking to make. Leaving those aside, the technical analysis of stocks and trends has a fascinating limitation unique to itself.

As more technical analysis strategies, tools, and techniques become widely adopted, these have a material impact on the price action. For example, are those three black crows forming because the priced-in information is justifying a bearish reversal or because traders universally agree that they should be followed by a bearish reversal and bring that about by taking up short positions? Although this is an interesting question, a true technical analyst doesn’t actually care as long as the trading model continues to work.

Further Reading:

Investopedia has several articles and tutorials on the topic of technical analysis. Follow the links to articles in this journey on the menu bar to the left of this page. In addition, for further reading you may want to check out the following:

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Daily Analysis 20230217

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 17th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 400 points lower as hot inflation report, comments from Fed’s Bullard raise rate hike fears

Stocks fell Thursday after another hot inflation report, and a decline in jobless claims, showed the economy is holding up amid the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes.

Dow…….33697 -431.2 -1.26%
Nasdaq.11856 -214.8 -1.78%
S&P 500..4090 -57.2 -1.38%

FTSE…….8013 +14.70 +0.18%
Dax……..15534 +27.3 +0.18%
CAC……..7366 +65.3 +0.89%

Nikkei…..27696 +194.6 +0.71%
HSI………20988 +175.5 +0.84%
Shanghai..3249 -31.5 -0.96%

IDX…..6895.66 -18.87 -0.27%
LQ45….953.49 -4.15 -0.43%
IDX30…495.68 -2.19 -0.44%

IDXEnergy…2098.15 -11.47 -0.54%
IDX BscMat 1260.50 -1.75 -0.14%
IDX Indstrl…1157.69 -0.67 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC..755.41 -4.04 -0.53%
IDX Hlthcare1605.40 -11.73 -0.73%
IDXCYCLIC…849.72 +4.64 +0.55%
IDX Techno5585.84 +57.44 +1.04%
IDX Transp1846.95 +15.38 +0.84%
IDX Infrast….867.03 +7.94 +0.92 %
IDX Finance1423.17 -3.19 -0.22%
IDX Banking1156.81 -8.52 -0.73%
IDX Property….697 -0.30 -0.05%

Indo10Yr.6.7698 -0.0076 -0.11%
ICBI..350.6495 +0.1943 +0.06%
US10Yr.3.8430 +0.0340 +0.89%
VIX……20.17 +1.94 +10.64%‼️

USDIndx104.0500+0.2289+0.21%‼️
Como Indx.270.25 -0.13 -0.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..163.48 +1.63 +1.01%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15206.50 +39.50 +0.26%
Jisdor.15176.00 -18.00 -0.12%

Euro……1.0690 -0.0045 -0.42%

TLKM….24.87 -0.09 -0.36%
(3774)
EIDO……23.29 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM……40.12 +0.01 +0.02%

Oil……..78.49 -0.10 -0.13%
Gold 1851.80 +6.50 +0.35%
Timah 26658 -159.00 -0.59%
(Closed 02/15)
Nickel.26647.00 +620.90 +2.38%‼️
(Closed 02/16)
Silver…….21.71 +0.14 +0.64%
Copper..412.15 +10.00 +2.49%

Nturl Gas.2.394 -0.072 -2.92%

Ammonia4406.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/15)

Coal price.214.00 -5.90 -2.68%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price186.30 -9.70 -4.95%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price183.95 -11.45 -5.86%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price185.45 -11.65 -5.91%‼️
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.00 +0.50 +0.37%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 139.00-3.00 -2.11%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price137.00 -3.00 -2.14%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price137.40 -1.60 -1.15%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4070 +126 +3.19%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..675.00 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil..62.15 +0.71 +1.16%
Wheat…….776.25 -4.00. -0.51%

Wood pulp…6030.00 -20 -0.33%
(Closed 02/16)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Era9wati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah rada dalem, europe market closing masih ijo asia varied, IHSG merah lagi

CPO naik tinggi, itu kayanya kemaren AALI LSIP naik tinggi… Oil merah, gas drop, coal drop, metal2 naik semua, watchout for ANTM MDKA INCO

IHSG – 2 hari NFS, belum jadi break resistance, masih SW dulu. stoch down, MACD sell, MFI sw, bd sw, jangan terlalu aggresive dulu, cermati yang lagi hajatan aja. Major trend masih up, wave 3, tapi belum lari. Kayanya nunggu resmi laporan keuangan big bank keluar semua dulu

Tinggal infrastructure yang arahnya bagus, healthcare melemah juga

Stoch Buy Signal: ASII TINS BRMS LSIP WIFI

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO INDY SRTG AALI ASSA LSIP

Alligator Buy Signal: INDF AGII BRMS MLPL IGAR

Supertrend: MTEL AALI LSIP WIFI