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Daily Analysis 20230222

By February 23, 2023

February 22nd, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 700 points lower in broad selloff, as all indexes cap their worst day of 2023

U.S. stocks dropped Tuesday as higher rates continue to pressure market sentiment, and the latest batch of retail earnings raised concern about the state of the consumer.

Dow…..33130 -697.1 -2.06%
Nasdaq11492 -294.97-2.50%
S&P 500..3997 -81.8 -2.00%

FTSE…….7978 -36.6 -0.46%
Dax……..15398 -79.9 -0.52%
CAC……..7309 -26.96 -0.37%

Nikkei…..27473 -58.8 -0.21%
HSI………20529 -357.5 -1.71%
Shanghai.3307 +16.2 +0.49%

IDX…..6873.40 -21.31 -0.31%
LQ45….950.51 -4.35 -0.46%
IDX30…493.89 -2.66 -0.54%

IDXEnergy…2052.01 -18.00 -0.87%
IDX BscMat 1256.60 +8.62 +0.69%
IDX Indstrl…1140.26 -5.50 -0.48%
IDXNONCYC..764.13 -0.43 -0.06%
IDX Hlthcare1608.56 -2.78 -0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…848.36 +2.71 +0.32%
IDX Techno.5511.82 -17.86 -0.32%
IDX Transp1878.91 +42.4 +2.31%
IDX Infrast….873.35 -1.82 -0.21%
IDX Finance1422.16 -9.97 -0.70%
IDX Banking1148.46 -13.39 -1.15%
IDX Property….687 -3.20 -0.46%

Indo10Yr.6.7923 +0.0186 +0.27%
ICBI..350.5887 -0.2732 -0.08%
US10Yr3.9550 +0.1270 +3.32%‼️
VIX…..22.82 +1.59 +7.49%‼️

USDIndx104.1830+0.3150 +0.30%‼️
Como Indx.268.48 +0.91 +0.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….168.42 +5.29 +3.24%‼️

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15190.00 +31.00 +0.20%
Jisdor.15179.00 +11.00 +0.07%

Euro……1.0644 -0.0042 -0.39%

TLKM….25.09 +0.23 +0.93%
(3808)
EIDO……23.07 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM……39.18 -0.50 -1.26%

Oil…….76.16 -0.97 -1.26%
Gold 1843.70 -6.60 -0.36%
Timah 26700 +844.00 +3.26%‼️
(Closed 02/20)
Nickel.26889.50 -196.50.00 -0.73%
(Closed 02/21)
Silver…….22.00 +0.03 +0.14%
Copper..420.00 +4.14 +1.00%

Nturl Gas.2.184 -0.126 -5.45%‼️

Ammonia 4290.00 -33.30 -0.77%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/20)

Coal price.209.00 +3.35 +1.63%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price187.00 +7.50 +4.18%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price188.00 +12.00 +6.82%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price196.00 +16.50 +9.19%‼️
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.00 +0.50 +0.37%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 136.00 +3.00 +2.26%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price134.50 -1.50 -1.10%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price133.00 +1.70 +1.29%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4139 -15 -0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..680.25 +2.75 +0.41%
SoybeanOil..62.80 +1.06. +1.70%
Wheat…….762.75 -13.50 -1.74%

Wood pulp…5990.00 -40 -0.66%
(Closed 02/20)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Wah, US drop, europe merah juga, asia kecuali shanghai merah juga

Oil Gas Drop, coal ijo, gantian terus ini… Bagus deh buat saham2 coal. Metal2 kebanyakan naik, gold merah tipis, nikel merah, CPO merah lagi tapi semoga AALI LSIP tetep jalan

Coal NCF akhirnya MACD buy signal, semoga rebound nya cukup tinggi, sampe tutup gap aja deh cukup buang ngangkat saham coal 20-25% an harusnya

IHSG – rada2 tweezer bottom, semoga mantul, tapi candle terakhir yang close nya dibawah bikin khawatir juga. Yang jelas hati2 belanja sebelum MACD dan stoch nya ngebalik lagi ke atas, stoch sw macd down, mfi down, BD ga jagain hari terakhir, FNS tipis udah 3-4 hari, masih uptrend majornya, wave 3, semoga ga lama lagi mulai rally, perlu didorong sama big banks sih

Basic Materials mulai bangun, yang leading masih healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO INCO INCI

MACD Buy Signal: TOWR ABMM SGRO

Alligator Buy Signal: AGRO WIFI

Daily Analysis 20230221

By February 21, 2023

February 21st, 2023

Good morning,

U.S markets on holiday due to President Day

Dow…….33827 closed +0%
Nasdaq.11787 closed +0%
S&P 500..4079 closed +0%

FTSE…….8014 +9.96 +0.12%
Dax……..15478 -4.5 -0.03%
CAC……..7336 -12.1 -0.16%

Nikkei…..27532 +18.8 +0.07%
HSI………20887 +167.2 +0.81%
Shanghai.3290 +66.3 +2.06%

IDX…..6894.72 -1.00 -0.01%
LQ45….954.85 +0.47 +0.05%
IDX30…496.56 +0.25 +0.05%

IDXEnergy…2070.01 -12.24 -0.59%
IDX BscMat 1247.98 -2.70 -0.22%
IDX Indstrl…1145.75 -9.43 -0.82%
IDXNONCYC..764.55 +5.28 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1611.34 -4.39 -0.27%
IDXCYCLIC…845.64 +1.24 +0.15%
IDX Techno.5529.68 -83.77 -1.49%
IDX Transp1836.55 -5.13 -0.28%
IDX Infrast….875.17 +9.96 +1.15 %
IDX Finance1432.13 +4.49 +0.31%
IDX Banking1161.85 -0.33 -0.03%
IDX Property….690 +0.20 +.0.03%

Indo10Yr.6.7641 +0.0096 +0.14%
ICBI..350.8619 -0.0291 -0.01%
US10Yr.3.8280 closed +0%
VIX……….21.23 +1.23 +6.04%‼️

USDIndx103.8680 -0.1820 -0.17%
Como Indx.267.57closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….163.14 closed +0%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15159.00 -51.00 -0.34%
Jisdor.15168.00 -22.00 -0.14%

Euro……1.0686 unch +0%

TLKM….24.86 closed +0%
(3778)
EIDO……23.18 closed +0%
EEM……39.68 closed +0%

Oil…….77.13 +0.79 +1.03%
Gold 1850.30 +0.10 +0.01%
Timah 25856 closed +0%
(Closed 02/17)
Nickel.27086.00 +439.00 +1.65%
(Closed 02/20)
Silver…….21.97 +0.11 +0.50%
Copper..415.86 +5.35 +1.30%

Nturl Gas.2.311 +0.0011 +0.48%

Ammonia 4323.33 – -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/16)

Coal price.205.65 -3.70 -1.77%_
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price179.50 -3.50 -1.91%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price176.00 -4.65 -2.57%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price179.50 -2.90 -1.59%
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.50 unch +0%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 133.00-3.20 -2.35%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price136.00 +1.05 +0.78%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price131.30 -3.10 -2.23%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4124 +27 +0.65%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil..61.75 closed +0%
Wheat…….776.25 closed +0%

Wood pulp…6030.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/20)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Era9wati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tutup, asia rata2 ijo, europe tipis2, IDX hampir doji, bisa dianggap doji lah, semoga pertanda reversal

oil gas ijo, coal merah, metal2 ijo, CPO lanjut ijo. Bagus buat tambang2 mineral yang kemaren pada dibanting harganya, pas juga kemaren index doji, buat rebound hari ini.

NCF – masih turun, tapi kalo dari MACD keliatannya sebentar lagi udahan downtrend nya, semoga pas dan bawa saham2 coal ke atas

IHSG – stoch down, macd down, MFI down,w% flat, BD acc, FF masih NFS tapi tipis, dari candle keliatan udah ga mau dibawa turun, closing selalu balik ke level 6895-an. Kayanya tinggal nunggu release resmi LK big banks terus rally breakout resistance

Healthcare, Infrastructure, Energy. Consumer Non-Cyclicals bangun lagi

Stoch Buy Signal: ITMG SCMA BMTR LTLS

MACD Buy Signal: CPIN EXCL PNLF SMDR

Alligator Buy Signal: ENRG ISAT MIKA

Supertrend Buy Signal: PTBA

Daily Analysis 20230220

By February 20, 2023

February 20th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points higher on Friday, but notches third straight week of losses on rate fears: Live updates

U.S. stocks were mixed on Friday as stubbornly high inflation and a rebound in rates continued to weigh on investor sentiment.

Dow…….33827 +129.8 +0.39%
Nasdaq.11787 -68.6 -0.58%
S&P 500..4079 -11.3 -0.28%

FTSE…….8004 -8.1 -0.10%
Dax……..15482 -51.6 -0.33%
CAC……..7348 -18.4 -0.25%

Nikkei…..27513 -183.3 -0.66%
HSI………20720 -267.9 -1.28%
Shanghai..3224 -25.01 -0.77%

IDX…..6895.71 +0.05 +0.05%
LQ45….954.38 +0.89 +0.09%
IDX30…496.30 +0.62 +0.12%

IDXEnergy…2082.24 -15.90 -0.76%
IDX BscMat 1250.68 -9.82 -0.78%
IDX Indstrl…1155.18 -2.51 -0.22%
IDXNONCYC..759.27 +3.86 +0.51%
IDX Hlthcare1615.73 +10.34+0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…844.41 -5.31 -0.63%
IDX Techno5613.44 +27.60 +0.49%
IDX Transp1841.68 -5.26 -0.28%
IDX Infrast….865.21 -1.82 -0.21 %
IDX Finance1427.65 +4.48 +0.32%
IDX Banking1162.24 +5.43 +0.47%
IDX Property….697 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.7641 -0.0056 -0.08%
ICBI..350.7567 +0.1073 +0.03%
US10Yr.3.8280 -0.0150 -0.39%
VIX……20.02 -0.15 -0.74%

USDIndx104.0500+0.2289+0.21%‼️
Como Indx.267.57 -2.68 -0.99%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..163.14 -0.34 -0.21%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15210.00 +51.00 +0.34%‼️
Jisdor.15199.00 +23.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……1.0686 -0.0004 -0.04%

TLKM….24.86 -0.01 -0.04%
(3778)
EIDO……23.18 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM……39.68 -0.44 -1.10%

Oil…….76.34 -2.15 -2.74%
Gold 1850.20 -1.60 -0.09%
Timah 25856 -1148.00 -4.25%‼️
(Closed 02/17)
Nickel.26647.00 -967.50 -3.63%‼️
(Closed 02/17)
Silver…….21.86 -0.01 -0.06%
Copper..410.50 -1.65 -0.40%

Nturl Gas.2.300 -0.093 -3.88%‼️

Ammonia 4323.33 -83.34 -1.89%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/16)

Coal price.209.35 -4.65 -2.17%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price183.00 -3.30 -1.77%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price180.65 -3.30 -1.79%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price182.40 -3.05 -1.64%
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.50 -0.50 -0.36%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 136.20-2.80 -2.01%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price134.95 -2.05 -1.50%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price134.30 -3.10 -2.26%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4136 +66 +1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.50 +2.50 +0.37%
SoybeanOil..61.75 -0.40 -0.64%
Wheat…….776.25 unch +0%

Wood pulp…6030.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/19)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Era9wati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua merah kecuali Dollar Index dan DJI, Kospi dan IDX ijo tipis, almost doji. Not good, tapi asal major uptrend malah jadi waktunya belanja

Semua commodity juga merah kecuali CPO, pas buat AALI sama LSIP untuk finally jalan

IHSG – belum berhasil breakout resistance, masih NFS, BD flat, MACD sell, Stoch sw, MFI down, ST up alligator up, w% sw, masih sideways dulu kayanya, dengan big banks LK bagus optimis major tetep uptrend, tapi hati2 sell-off pemain teknikal bisa banting karena pada exit liat MACD sell

Healthcare, Infrastructure (versi telco and tower provider, bukan BUMN karya), Energy (versi coal)