Daily Analysis 20221101
November 01st, 2022 Good morning, Dow closes lower on Monday, but still posts best month since 1976 Stocks slipped on Monday, but the Dow capped off its best month since…
Daily Analysis 20221021
Global update:
October 21th, 2022
Good morning,
Stocks close lower for second day as Treasury yields continue march to new highs
Stocks fell in choppy trading on Thursday as investors weighed several key earnings reports and
Dow…….30334 -90.2 -0.30%
Nasdaq.10615 -65.7 -0.61%
S&P 500..3666 -29.4 -0.80%
FTSE…….6944 +18.9 +0.27%
Dax……..12767 +26.0 +0.20%
CAC……..6086 +46.2 +0.76%
Nikkei….27007 -250.4 -0.92%
HSI……..16280 -231.1 -1.40%
Shanghai..3036 -9.3 -0.31%
ST Times..3023 -0.1 -0.00%
IDX…….6980.65 +120.24 +1.75%
LQ45…..993.68 +19.61 +2.01%
IDX Energy..2013.86 +55.53 +2.84%
IDX Bsc Mat.1258.58 +17.50 +1.41%
IDX Industrl..1257.29 +6.36 +0.51%
IDXNONCYC..736.76 +18.00 +2.50%
IDX Hlthcare.1469.92 +5.78 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC…..846.45 +4.19 +0.50%
IDX Techno..6538.56 +40.62 +0.63%
IDX Transp…1766.06 +4.88 +0.28%
IDX Infrast……931.86 +8.88 +0.96%
IDX Finance 1468.12 +16.81 +1.16%
IDX Banking.1158.80 +28.44 +2.52%
IDX Property…….684 +8.00 +1.18%
Indo10Yr….7.4883 +0.0390 +0.52%
ICBI……..331.9379 -0.7154 -0.22%
US10Yr……4.2260 +0.0990 +2.40%‼️
VIX……….29.98 -0.78 -2.54%
USDIndx 112.8500 -0.0430 -0.04%
Como Indx..271.72 +0.37 +0.14%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.70 +2.94 +2.06%
.
IndoCDS 160.00 +4.31 +2.77%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)
IDR……15571.50 +73.50 +0.47%‼️
Jisdor..15579.00 +110 +0.71%‼️
Euro……..0.9785 -0.0075 -0.76%‼️
TLKM……..27.52 +0.56 +2.08%
(4287
EIDO………23.26 +0.56 +2.47%
EEM………34.74 +0.22 +0.64%
Oil…………85.98 unch +0%
Gold ……1632.50 -1.50 -0.09%
Timah….19338 -112 -0.58%
(Closed 19/10)
Nickel…22195.50 +154.00 +0.70%
(Closed 20/10)
Silver………18.60 +0.19 +1.03%
Copper….339.75 +7.70 +2.32%
Nturl Gas…..5.317 -0.138 -2.53%
Ammonia..4146.67 -33.33 -0.80%
China
(Domestic Price)(19/10)
Coal price….391.95 +0.95 +0.24%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….396.15 +2.90 +0.74%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….398.50 +2.40 +0.61%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.00 +2.00 +0.75%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….258.50 +1.35 +0.52%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..257.30 +0.55 +0.55%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal(ICI 4)…..94.45 unch +0%
Indonesial Coal Index (19/10)
CPO(Jan)……4100 -20 -0.48%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….684.00 +5.75 +0.85%
SoybeanOil…70.42 -0.22 -0.31%
Wheat………849.25 +8.00 +0.95%
Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/10)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US closing merah, europe masih pada ijo, asia merah kecuali IHSG. Hari ini kayanya mau merah berarti
Oil unchanged, gold timah merah, nikel silver copper ijo. MDKA turun dulu deh, minggu depan kita belanja MDKA. Gas merah coal ijo lagi, masih harus diperhatikan ini jebakan betmen atau bukan, cpo koreksi dikit
IHSG – stoch udah buy, macd dikit lagi, mulai FNB,bandar akum, MFI flat, closing diatas MA10 dibawah MA20, mahzab MA masih nunggu, tapi elliot wave udah firm wave 3 sih, LR mantul, DMI contraction tapi buy signal masih jauh. Masih selective buying saham saham yang firm jalan aja dan ada buy signalnya
Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials, Property sama Industrials… Financials belum terlihat, padahal kalo index mau lari financials harus dorong…
Kita check infobank15 dulu
Infobank15 – stoch buy, MACD almost buy, last day FNB, bandar akum, MFI up, inside cloud going up, elliot wave redraw, bikin lower low kemaren, sekarang udah mantul, udah closing diatas MA20 firm wave 3 ini… LR mantul DMI udah buy, lanjut dorong index ke atas…
Daily Analysis 20221018
Global Update:
October 18th, 2022
Good morning,
Dow closes up 550 points, Nasdaq pops more than 3% as strong bank earnings boost volatile market
Stocks rose sharply on Monday as key earnings reports eased some of investors’ fears and oversold tech names enjoyed a rebound rally.
Dow…….30186 +550.99 +1.86%
Nasdaq.10676 +354.4 +3.43%
S&P 500..3678 +94.9 +2.65%
FTSE…….6920 +61.5 +0.90%
Dax……..12649 +211.2 +1.70%
CAC……..6040 +108.7 +1.83%
Nikkei….26776 -314.97 -1.16%
HSI……..16613 +25.2 +0.15%
Shanghai..3085 +12.96 +0.42%
ST Times..3016 -23.o -0.79%
IDX…….6831.12 +16.58 +0.24%
LQ45…..972.67 +5.93 +0.61%
IDX Energy…1986.61 +1.96 +0.10%
IDX Bsc Mat.1227.05 +9.79 +0.80%
IDX Industrl..1247.52 -15.56 -1.23%
IDXNONCYC..698.45 +0.20 +0.03%
IDX Hlthcare.1452.14 +13.73 +0.96%
IDXCYCLIC…..834.31 -7.16 -0.85%
IDX Techno..6480.41 +3.96 +0.06%
IDX Transp…1753.16 -34.22 -1.91%
IDX Infrast……923.40 -4.27 -0.46%
IDX Finance 1415.70 -15.22 -1.06%
IDX Banking.1101.70 -15.22 -1.06%
IDX Property…….671 -8.o -1.31%
Indo10Yr….7.4517 +0.0354 +0.0)48%
ICBI……..332.9804 -0.6769 -0.06%
US10Yr……4.0150 +0.0050 +0.12%‼
VIX……….31.37 -0.65 -2.03%
USDIndx 112.0390 -1.2720 -1.12%👍
Como Indx..275.33 -1.36 -0.49%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..144.08 -2.45 -1.67%
.
IndoCDS 164.32 -2.32 -1.39%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)
IDR……15487.50 +60.50 +0.39%‼
Jisdor..15480.00 +90 +0.58%‼
Euro……..0.9722 +0.0118 +1.20%‼
TLKM……..27.95 +0.52 +1.90%
(4327)
EIDO………22.83 +0.27 +1.20%
EEM………35.15 +0.94 +2.75%
Oil…………86.00 +0.39 +0.46%
Gold ……1656.30 +7.40 +0.45%
Timah…19930 – -0%
(Closed 14/10)
Nickel…21613.50 -221.50 -1.01%
(Closed 17/10)
Silver………18.61 +0.54 +2.99%
Copper….340.85 -1.51 -0.44%
Nturl Gas…..5.982 -0.490 -7.57%‼
Ammonia..4206.67 -50 -1.17%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/10)
Coal price….392.15 -0.35 -0.09%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….392.65 -4.85 -1.22%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….395.15 -1.85 -0.47%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.50 -2.00 -0.73%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….259.50 -4.50 -1.70%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..259.40 -4.10 -1.56%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal(ICI 4)…..95.70 +1.70 +1.81%
Indonesial Coal Index (14/10)
CPO(Jan)……3878 +12 +0.31%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….683.50 -6.25 -0.91%
SoybeanOil….66.84 +1.54 +2.36%
Wheat………861.00 +1.25 +0.15%
Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 17/10)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
DJI Nasdaq ijo tebel… Eropa ijo, sepertinya IHSG udah diangggap cukup turunnya walau tipis belum ketutup gap nya… Siap siap belanja… 😇
Oil gold silver cpo naik, nikel copper coal turun, gas turun dalem. Kayanya saham energi mau turun dulu ini
Dikiiiit lagi ketutup gap nya, tapi kayanya sudah dulu sih turunnya, kita tunggu buy signal dari saham saham yang mau lari duluan
Kalo dari sini energy, basic materials sama industrials
Daily Analysis 20221010
Global update: October 10th, 2022 Good morning, Stock futures are lower Sunday night as the markets come out of a tumultuous week that started with a relief rally but saw…
Daily Analysis 20220920
Global Update:
September 20th, 2022
Good morning,
Dow closes nearly 200 points higher, stocks snap two-day losing streak to start big Fed week
Stocks closed higher on Monday in a volatile trading session ahead of the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting slated to kick off Tuesday.
Dow…….31020 +197.3 +0.64%
Nasdaq.11535 +86.6 +0.76%
S&P 500..3900 +26.6 +0.69%
FTSE…….7237 closed +0%
Dax……..12803 +61.98 +0.49%
CAC……..6062 -15.7 -0.26%
Nikkei….27568 closed +0%
HSI……..18566 -195.7 -1.04%
Shanghai..3116 -10.8 -0.35%
ST Times..3256 -11.98 -0.37%
IDX…….7195.49 +26.62 +0.37%
LQ45…1024.73 +8.72 +0.86%
IDX Energy..1997.50 -37.27 -1.83%
IDX Bsc Mat.1295.73 -8.40 -0.64%
IDX Industrl..1363.31 -0.13 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..700.31 -2.24 -0.32%
IDX Hlthcare.1466.89 +17.68 +1.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..885.02 +4.98 +0.57%
IDX Techno..7347.55 -135.95 -1.82%
IDX Transp…1868.16 -35.32 -1.86%
IDX Infrast…..1030.42 +3.18 +0.31%
IDX Finance 1516.93 +4.26 +0.28%
IDX Banking..1180.67 +13.18 +1.13%
IDX Property….737 +0.40 +0.05%
Indo10Yr….7.2456 +0.0062 +0.09%
ICBI……..335.8074 +0.0016 +0.00%
US10Yr……3.4900 +0.0420 +1.22%
VIX……….25.76 -0.54 -2.05%
USDIndx 109.7370 -0.0270 -0.02%
Como Indx..279.78 +0.90 +0.32%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.09 -0.15 -0.10%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14977.50 +23.00 +0.15%‼️
Jisdor..14980.00 +41.00 +0.27%‼️
Euro……..1.0031 +0.0015 +0.15%
TLKM……..29.79 +0.59 +2.02%
(4463)
EIDO………24.61 +0.34 +1.40%
EEM………37.91 +0.12 +0.03%
Oil…………..85.73 +0.62 +0.73%
Gold ……..1684.90 +1.40 +0.08%
Timah. .21137.00 – -%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24621.50 +226.00 +0.66%
(Closed 19/9)
Silver…….19.58 +0.20 +1.03%
Copper….352.85 +1.20 +0.34%
Nturl Gas…..7.878 +0.061 +0.78%
Ammonia..4256.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)
Coal price….439.05 +0.05 +0.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.05 +0.05 +0.01%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.05 +1.55 +0.37%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….334.25 +3.25 +0.98%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….307.55 +3.25 +1.07%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….308.80 +3.25 +1.06%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des)……3701 -100 -2.63%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………..678.25 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil…65.16 -0.80 -1.21%
Wheat……..830.50 -29.25 -3.40%‼️
Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 19/9)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Fed rencana naikin suku bunga lagi, US ijo tadi malem. Europe ijo, asia merah kecuali IHSG yang mantul setelah sebelumnya koreksi hampir 2%.
Kemungkinan hari ini merah lagi sih, udah firm wave 2 nya by bearish divergence. Hati-hati belanja, pilih sektor yang jalan aja atau saham yang contrarian.
Semua komoditas ijo kecuali CPO, semoga bikin jalan Basic Materials
IHSG – akhirnya FNS… Setelah seminggu lebih foreign entry terus. Semua indicator bilang mau turum,atau sideways,ga ada lagi yang bilang up. Lagging line ichimoku sih, tapi udah dikit lagi mau nabrak masuk ke candle
Property, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation. Basic Materials, healthcare, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure lagi siap siap
Daily Analysis 20220919
Global update:
September 19th, 2022
Good morning,
Stocks close lower on Friday, extending sell off for worst week since June for S&P 500 and Nasdaq
Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street wrapped up one of its worst weeks in months and traders reacted to an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.
Dow…….30822 -139.4 -0.45%
Nasdaq.11448 -103.95 -0.90%
S&P 500..3873 -28.02 -0.72%
FTSE…….7237 -45.4 -0.62%
Dax……..12741 -215.4 -1.66%
CAC……..6077 -80.5 -1.31%
Nikkei….27568 -308.3 -1.11%
HSI……..18762 -168.7 -0.89%
Shanghai..3126 -73.5 -2.30%
ST Times..3268 +0.31 +0.01%
IDX…….7168.87 -136.73 -1.87%
LQ45…1016.01 -25.04 -2.40%
IDX Energy..2034.77 -44.48 -2.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.13 +0.83 +0.06%
IDX Industrl..1363.44 -22.00 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..702.55 -3.61 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare.1449.21 -5.57 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.03 -2.12 -0.24%
IDX Techno..7483.50 -35.58 -0.47%
IDX Transp…1903.48 -13.70 -0.71%
IDX Infrast…..1027.23 -3.55 -0.34%
IDX Finance 1512.67 -29.05 -1.88%
IDX Banking..1167.49 -33.02 -2.75%bangbang
IDX Property….737 -8.50 -1.14%
Indo10Yr….7.2394 +0.0326 +0.45%
ICBI……..335.6762 -0.6426 -0.19%
US10Yr……3.4480 -0.0110 -0.32%
VIX……….26.30 +0.03 +0.11%
USDIndx 109.7640 +0.0250 +0.02%
Como Indx..278.88 -2.12 -0.75%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.24 +1.24 +0.82%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14954.50 +57.00 +0.38%bangbang
Jisdor..14939.00 +40.00 +0.16%bangbang
Euro……..1.0016 +0.0022 +0.22%
TLKM……..29.20 -0.60 -2.01%
(4362)
EIDO………24.27 -0.48 -1.94%
EEM………37.79 -0.35 -0.92%
Oil…………..85.11 +0.38 +0.45%
Gold ……..1683.50 +11.80 +0.71%
Timah. .21137.00 +327.00 +1.57%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24395.50 +1091.00 +4.68%bangbang
(Closed 16/9)
Silver…….19.38 +0.32 +1.68%
Copper….351.65 +4.96 +1.43%
Nturl Gas…..7.817 -0.475 -5.73%bangbang
Ammonia..4256.67 +66.67 +1.59%bangbang
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)
Coal price….439.00 -6.50 -1.46%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.00 -10.00 -2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.50 -11.00 -2.53%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.00 -6.20 -1.84%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.30 -13.70 -4.30%bangbang
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..305.55 -12.45 -3.92%bangbang
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des)……3801 -116 -2.96%bangbang
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………..677.25 -0.25 -0.04%
SoybeanOil…65.96 +1.66 +2.58%
Wheat……..859.75 +14.75 +1.75%
Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/9)
copyrightPhintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Closing jum’at kompak merah semua, IHSG dalem banget dan ada opening gap down, membuka harapan rebound kecil hari ini… Energy dan Banking yang drop paling besar, udahan dulu emang keliatannya dari sisi sektornya.
Komoditas hampir semua naik kecuali natural gas sama coal dan cpo, metal2 naik bisa berarti basic materials naik. Kita check chart sektornya later ya.
Keliatannya sesuai prediksi, sebelum santa claus rally akan drop dulu, bikin wave 3. Cocok nanti sama jadwal window dressing akhir tahun sekalian wave 3.
IHSG – stoch macd bilang sell, bandar dan foreign buang, MFI SW, ada banyak gap dibawah, LR bisa kemana aja, PSAR sell. Jelek banget ini…
IHSG kena regular bearish divergence MACD line dan MACD histogram, confirmed by MA10. So technically ngeri ini… Dan kemaren hype nya new ATH cuma segitu aja. Prepare buat terjunan wave 2. Kita liat sektor mana yang bakal jadi ganjel index
Bersih bersih dulu, mulai belanja lagi amannya setelah gap 6911 udah ketutup, kalo gap 6740 udah ketutup berani buy sambil merem, hehehe…
FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EX CHINA SEPTEMBER 2022 SEMI ANNUAL REVIEW
(The changes will be effective after the close of business on Friday, 16 September 2022 (i.e. on Monday, 19 September 2022)
INDONESIA
• LARGE CAP
Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition
Exclusions :
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
• MID CAP
Inclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition
Exclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
• SMALL CAP
Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)
Exclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
*
(Listri Samudra | Phintraco Sekuritas (AT), Source : FTSE – Disclaimer On)
Highlight di:
Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition
Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)
Harusnya efek rebalancing akan bikin naik saham-saham ini karena akan diborong para Manager Investasi.
Cuma Property yang firm, tanda tanda perlawanan ada di basic materials, transportation, sama consumer cyclicals. Infra ada dikit tapi ok lah kita liat detailnya