Daily Analysis 20220802

Daily Analysis 20220802

Global Update:

Agust 02nd, 2022

Good morning,

Stock were flat in overnight trading after a new month of trading kicked off for the markets.

Dow…….32798 -46.7 -0.14%
Nasdaq.12368 -21.7 -0.18%
S&P 500..4119 -11.7 -0.28%

FTSE…….7413 -10.01 -0.13%
Dax……..13480 -4.4 -0.03%
CAC……..6437 -11.6 -0.18%

Nikkei….27933 +191.7 +0.69%
HSI……..20166 +9.3 +0.05%
Shanghai..3260 +6.7 +0.21%
ST Times..3239 +27.2 +0.85%

IDX…….6968.78 +17.66 +0.25%
LQ45…..981.99 +3.36 +0.34%

IDX Energy…1866.79 +9.07 +0.49%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.25 +12.65 +0.99%
IDX Industrl..1305.00 -3.51 -0.27%
IDXNONCYC..708.11 +5.51 +0.78%
IDX Hlthcare.1433.44 -20.03 -1.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.41 -6.94 -0.77%
IDX Techno..7654.70 -59.61 -0.77%
IDX Transp…2000.56 +36.50 +1.86%
IDX Infrast……996.08 +7.38 +0.75%
IDX Finance 1504.50 +4.66 +0.31%
IDX Banking..1121.79 +2.80 +0.25%
IDX Property…….691 +1.60 +0.23%

Indo10Yr….7.2101 -0.0236 -0.32%👍
ICBI……..333.1013 +0.3337 +0.10%👍
US10Yr…..2.6060 -0.0360 -1.36%
VIX…………22.84 +1.51 +7.08%

USDIndx 105.4500 -0.4530 -0.43%‼️
Como Indx..286.11 -5.95 -2.04%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.76 -1.23 -0.78%

IndoCDS…120.08 +5.04 +4.38%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14873.00 +39.00 +0.26%
Jisdor..14874.00 +14.00 +0.09%

Euro………1.0262 +0.0042 +0.41%

TLKM……..28.74 +0.24 +0.84%
(4275)
EIDO………23.23 +0.12 +0.52%
EEM………39.62 -0.34 -0.85%

Oil…………93.91 -5.01 -5.08%‼️
Gold ……1788.90 +7.10 +0.40%
Timah. .25047.00 – –
( Closed 29/7)
Nickel…24344.00 +490.00 +2.05%‼️
(Closed 01/8)
Silver…….20.32 +0.12 +0.59%
Copper….353.60 -3.75 -1.05%

Nturl Gas…..8.218 -0.068 -0.82%

Ammonia….3690.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(28/7)

Coal price….405.00 -0.50 -0.12%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….393.40 -1.10 -0.28%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.00 -6.50 -1.75%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…353.30 -6.20 -1.72%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..4073 -233 -5.41%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………609.75 -10.25 -1.65%
SoybeanOil…63.26 -2.40 -3.66%
Wheat………800.25 -7.50 -0.93%

Wood pulp…6690.00 +30 +0.45%
(Closed 01/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Kebanyakan index regional tipis tipis, ada yang ijo tipis ada yang merah tipis. Jepang sama Singapore aja yang rada tebel.

Harga komoditas terkait energy turun semua,mungkin ini mulai mau pullback dulu di energy, walau sebenernya oil belum jalan jalan amat sih. Long run masih ok, yang masih mau hold asal punya modal bawah masih ok, TP sebagian lebih rekomended, nanti re buy di saat rebound

Metal2 an naik kecuali copper, CPO drop lagi, padahal diperkirakan saham CPO mau start rally tadinya

IHSG – Alligator Buy, Supertrend Up, ada gap di atas, LR seems to test upper channel, MACD looking good, inside ichimoku cloud, hopefully breaks upwards. Stochastic nya yang udah sell signal, minta turun…

Semoga sesuai skenario yang diharapkan, tutup gap dulu terus pullback pas efek LK big banks lewat, pas tutup gap kita profit taking dulu

Daily Analysis 20220701

Daily Analysis 20220701

Global update:

July 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts worst first half since 1970, Nasdaq falls more than 1% to end the quarter

Stocks fell on Thursday, as the S&P 500 capped its worst first half in more than 50 years.

Dow…….30775 -253.9 -0.27%
Nasdaq.11029 -149.2 -1.33%
S&P 500..3785 -33.5 -0.88%

FTSE…….7169 -143.04 -1.96%
Dax……..12784 -219.6 -1.69%
CAC……..5923 -108.6 -1.80%

Nikkei….26393 -411.6 -1.54%
HSI……..21860 -137.1 -0.62%
Shanghai..3399 +37.1 +1.10%
ST Times..3102 -32.7 -1.04%

IDX…….6911.58 -30.77 -0.44%
LQ45…..991.94 -3.77 -0.38%

IDX Energy…1638.18 -17.88 -1.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1220.87 -21.18 -1.71%
IDX Industrl..1210.49 -6.26 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..723.26 -1.96 -0.27%
IDX Hlthcare.1519.86 +16.85 +1.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..891.84 -6.28 -0.70%
IDX Techno..7885.76 +83.61 +1.07%
IDX Transp…1974.62 -34.10 -1.70%
IDX Infrast……965.61 -5.04 -0.52%
IDX Finance 1437.32 -15.34 -1.06%
IDX Property…….678 -4.20 -0.62%

Indo10Yr….7.3623 -0.0281 -0.38%‼
ICBI……….330.9035 +0.5162 +0.16%‼
US10Yr…..2.9720 -0.1210 -3.91%
VIX…………28.71 +0.55 +1.95%

USDIndx 104.6850 -0.4210 -0.40%
Como Indx….291.15 -8.19 -2.74%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..155.73 -4.99 -3.11%‼

IndoCDS…144.45 +8.46 +6.22%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14903.00 +50.50 +0.34%‼
Jisdor..14882.00 +e4.00 +0.23%‼

Euro………1.0478 +0.0034 +0.33%

TLKM……..27.04 -0.36 -1.31%
(4024)
EIDO……….22.38 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM……….40.10 -0.19 -0.47%

Oil………….105.88 -3.81 -3.47%‼
Gold …… .1805.60 -13.40 -0.74%
Timah. .26774.00 -26 -0.10%
( Closed 29/6)
Nickel..22745.50 -1152.00 -4.82%‼
(Closed 29/6)
Silver……….20.15 -0.59 -2.84%
Copper…..367.75 -10.45 -2.76%

Nturl Gas…..5.670 -0.764 -11.87%‼

Ammonia ..4773.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/6)

Coal price…380.00 +5.95 +1.57%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…368.95 +8.95 +2.49%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…370.00 +5.25 +1.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…352.00 +6.50 +1.88%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4912 +8 +0.16%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..619.75 -34.00 -5.20%‼
SoybeanOil…..64.46 -2.52 -3.76%‼
Wheat……….884.00 -46.00 -4.95%‼

Wood pulp…6624.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Regional hampir semua merah, cuma china yang ijo

Hampir semua commodity turun, kecuali coal yang naik signifikan dan cpo yang naik tipis. Momentum rebound buat saham coal, technically udah waktunya rebound sih

WhatsApp Image 2022-07-01 at 8.35.50 AM

Yak, sesuai perkiraan mulai menukik… Sayangnya saham perkiraan bakal kontrarian nya ga pas, property ikut dibanting, infra ikut dibanting, even consumer yang kemaren jaya ikut dibanting walau ga jauh

Exit di DCB, off market sampe IHSG tercapai level aman buat buy lagi. Itu rencana paling moderate…

Either 6500-an atau 6055-an, sesuai itungan fibonacci extension-nya