Global Update:

August 19th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq end Thursday slightly higher as summer rally struggles

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose slightly higher Thursday as traders fought to resurrect the recent market rally that slowed earlier this week.

Dow…….33999 +18.7 +0.06%
Nasdaq.12965 +27.2 +0.21%
S&P 500..4284 +9.7 +0.23%

FTSE…….7542 +26.1 +0.35%
Dax……..13697 +70.7 +0.52%
CAC……..6557 +29.1 +0.45%

Nikkei….28942 -280.6 -0.96%
HSI……..19764 -158.5 -0.80%
Shanghai..3278 -14.98 -0.46%
ST Times..3273 +10.7 +0.33%

IDX…….7186.56 +53.10 +0.74%
LQ45…1026.33 +9.98 +0.98%

IDX Energy…1815.37 +21.75 +1.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1316.28 -7.58 -0.57%
IDX Industrl..1330.62 +15.07 +1.15%
IDXNONCYC..711.71 +6.77 +0.96%
IDX Hlthcare.1399.57 -6.78 -0.48%
IDXCYCLIC…..892.55 +2.26 +0.25%
IDX Techno..8052.49 -32.67 -0.40%
IDX Transp…2086.72 +6.03 +0.29%
IDX Infrast…..1044.49 -2.28 -0.22%
IDX Finance 1512.23 +3.31 +0.22%
IDX Banking..1151.40 +3.87 +0.34%
IDX Property…. – – -%

Indo10Yr….7.1515 +0.0021 +0.03%
ICBI……..336.3969 +0.1131 +0.03%
US10Yr…..2.8800 -0.0130 -0.45%
VIX………….19.56 -0.34 -1.71%

USDIndx 107.4840 +0.9100 +0.85%‼️
Como Indx..290.33 +1.46 +0.51%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.40 -0.02 -0.01%
.
IndoCDS…107.30 +5.70 +5.61%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14836.50 +68.50 +0.46%
Jisdor..14822 .00 +55.00 +0.37%

Euro………1.0089 -0.0090 -0.88%

TLKM……..30.80 +0.10 +0.33%
(4565)
EIDO………23.86 +0.02 +0.08%
EEM………40.45 -0.23 -0.57%

Oil…………..90.63 +3.13 +3.58%‼️
Gold ……..1772.50 -5.30 -0.30%
Timah. .24660.00 +60. 00 +0.24%
( Closed 17/8)
Nickel….21783.00 -188.50 -0.86%
(Closed 18/8)
Silver…….19.55 -0.30 -1.51%
Copper….364.90 +6.15 +1.77%

Nturl Gas…..9.172 -0.034 -0.37%

Ammonia….3750.00 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(17/8)

Coal price….413.90 unch +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….435.00 -1.90 -0.43%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….426.30 -2.30 -0.54%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….365.00 +5.25 +1.46%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….379.10 +3.70 +0.98%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….370.30 +3.70 +1.01%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4047 -153 -3.64%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..615.75 +3.75 +0.61%
SoybeanOil…64.27 -1.33 -2.03%
Wheat………749.00 -31.50 -4.04%‼️

Wood pulp…6700.00 -10 -0.15%
(Closed 18/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut ijo walau menipis, europe ijo, asia cuma IHSG sama Strait Times yang ijo, yang lain merah

Minyak rebound tapi masih dibawah 100 USB/barrel, coal tipis2 tapi masih tinggi di 413 usd/MT, metal2 ga kompak lagi, gold nickel silver turun, tin copper naik, gas turun tipis. Ga ada yang terlalu gimana gimana

Coal trend masih menguat sih, energy kayanya mau re-emerge jangka pendek. Issue batere belum digoreng lagi, tapi ga bikin ANTM INCO TINS dibanting juga, masih lingering aja

Kemarin IHSG ijo tebel, closing di atas candle yang tadinya dikira jadi titik high wave 1. Ternyata wave 1 nya masih mau lanjut, atau bisa jadi market maker mau bikin FOMO trap doang biar pada nyangkut.
Technically titik high wave B tanggal 9 juni 2022 jadi resistance kuat, kita taro jadi forecast ujung wave1 ya. Harus breakout dengan vol gede kalo index beneran mau rally long bullish… Mungkin saja sih, market discounts everything

IHSG – cuma stoch yang says down, yang lain memang masih up, even FNB dan bandarmology

Finance masih loyo, ini faktor utama kenapa saya masih berpikir sulit mau langsung long rally, big caps kebanyakan bank, kalo mau lari ya harusnya kaya kemaren-kemaren BBCA BBRI BMRI konsisten naik. Sekarang karena make GOTO melulu naikin index nya, jadi keliatan maksanya

Tinggal Property, infra cacing RSI nya mulai drop, consumer kemaren terutama ayam-ayaman kenceng, emang kebaca next consumer non-cyclicals, cyclicals sama healthcare

Global Update:

Agust 02nd, 2022

Good morning,

Stock were flat in overnight trading after a new month of trading kicked off for the markets.

Dow…….32798 -46.7 -0.14%
Nasdaq.12368 -21.7 -0.18%
S&P 500..4119 -11.7 -0.28%

FTSE…….7413 -10.01 -0.13%
Dax……..13480 -4.4 -0.03%
CAC……..6437 -11.6 -0.18%

Nikkei….27933 +191.7 +0.69%
HSI……..20166 +9.3 +0.05%
Shanghai..3260 +6.7 +0.21%
ST Times..3239 +27.2 +0.85%

IDX…….6968.78 +17.66 +0.25%
LQ45…..981.99 +3.36 +0.34%

IDX Energy…1866.79 +9.07 +0.49%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.25 +12.65 +0.99%
IDX Industrl..1305.00 -3.51 -0.27%
IDXNONCYC..708.11 +5.51 +0.78%
IDX Hlthcare.1433.44 -20.03 -1.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.41 -6.94 -0.77%
IDX Techno..7654.70 -59.61 -0.77%
IDX Transp…2000.56 +36.50 +1.86%
IDX Infrast……996.08 +7.38 +0.75%
IDX Finance 1504.50 +4.66 +0.31%
IDX Banking..1121.79 +2.80 +0.25%
IDX Property…….691 +1.60 +0.23%

Indo10Yr….7.2101 -0.0236 -0.32%👍
ICBI……..333.1013 +0.3337 +0.10%👍
US10Yr…..2.6060 -0.0360 -1.36%
VIX…………22.84 +1.51 +7.08%

USDIndx 105.4500 -0.4530 -0.43%‼️
Como Indx..286.11 -5.95 -2.04%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.76 -1.23 -0.78%

IndoCDS…120.08 +5.04 +4.38%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14873.00 +39.00 +0.26%
Jisdor..14874.00 +14.00 +0.09%

Euro………1.0262 +0.0042 +0.41%

TLKM……..28.74 +0.24 +0.84%
(4275)
EIDO………23.23 +0.12 +0.52%
EEM………39.62 -0.34 -0.85%

Oil…………93.91 -5.01 -5.08%‼️
Gold ……1788.90 +7.10 +0.40%
Timah. .25047.00 – –
( Closed 29/7)
Nickel…24344.00 +490.00 +2.05%‼️
(Closed 01/8)
Silver…….20.32 +0.12 +0.59%
Copper….353.60 -3.75 -1.05%

Nturl Gas…..8.218 -0.068 -0.82%

Ammonia….3690.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(28/7)

Coal price….405.00 -0.50 -0.12%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….393.40 -1.10 -0.28%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.00 -6.50 -1.75%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…353.30 -6.20 -1.72%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..4073 -233 -5.41%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………609.75 -10.25 -1.65%
SoybeanOil…63.26 -2.40 -3.66%
Wheat………800.25 -7.50 -0.93%

Wood pulp…6690.00 +30 +0.45%
(Closed 01/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Kebanyakan index regional tipis tipis, ada yang ijo tipis ada yang merah tipis. Jepang sama Singapore aja yang rada tebel.

Harga komoditas terkait energy turun semua,mungkin ini mulai mau pullback dulu di energy, walau sebenernya oil belum jalan jalan amat sih. Long run masih ok, yang masih mau hold asal punya modal bawah masih ok, TP sebagian lebih rekomended, nanti re buy di saat rebound

Metal2 an naik kecuali copper, CPO drop lagi, padahal diperkirakan saham CPO mau start rally tadinya

IHSG – Alligator Buy, Supertrend Up, ada gap di atas, LR seems to test upper channel, MACD looking good, inside ichimoku cloud, hopefully breaks upwards. Stochastic nya yang udah sell signal, minta turun…

Semoga sesuai skenario yang diharapkan, tutup gap dulu terus pullback pas efek LK big banks lewat, pas tutup gap kita profit taking dulu

Global update:

July 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts worst first half since 1970, Nasdaq falls more than 1% to end the quarter

Stocks fell on Thursday, as the S&P 500 capped its worst first half in more than 50 years.

Dow…….30775 -253.9 -0.27%
Nasdaq.11029 -149.2 -1.33%
S&P 500..3785 -33.5 -0.88%

FTSE…….7169 -143.04 -1.96%
Dax……..12784 -219.6 -1.69%
CAC……..5923 -108.6 -1.80%

Nikkei….26393 -411.6 -1.54%
HSI……..21860 -137.1 -0.62%
Shanghai..3399 +37.1 +1.10%
ST Times..3102 -32.7 -1.04%

IDX…….6911.58 -30.77 -0.44%
LQ45…..991.94 -3.77 -0.38%

IDX Energy…1638.18 -17.88 -1.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1220.87 -21.18 -1.71%
IDX Industrl..1210.49 -6.26 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..723.26 -1.96 -0.27%
IDX Hlthcare.1519.86 +16.85 +1.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..891.84 -6.28 -0.70%
IDX Techno..7885.76 +83.61 +1.07%
IDX Transp…1974.62 -34.10 -1.70%
IDX Infrast……965.61 -5.04 -0.52%
IDX Finance 1437.32 -15.34 -1.06%
IDX Property…….678 -4.20 -0.62%

Indo10Yr….7.3623 -0.0281 -0.38%‼
ICBI……….330.9035 +0.5162 +0.16%‼
US10Yr…..2.9720 -0.1210 -3.91%
VIX…………28.71 +0.55 +1.95%

USDIndx 104.6850 -0.4210 -0.40%
Como Indx….291.15 -8.19 -2.74%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..155.73 -4.99 -3.11%‼

IndoCDS…144.45 +8.46 +6.22%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14903.00 +50.50 +0.34%‼
Jisdor..14882.00 +e4.00 +0.23%‼

Euro………1.0478 +0.0034 +0.33%

TLKM……..27.04 -0.36 -1.31%
(4024)
EIDO……….22.38 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM……….40.10 -0.19 -0.47%

Oil………….105.88 -3.81 -3.47%‼
Gold …… .1805.60 -13.40 -0.74%
Timah. .26774.00 -26 -0.10%
( Closed 29/6)
Nickel..22745.50 -1152.00 -4.82%‼
(Closed 29/6)
Silver……….20.15 -0.59 -2.84%
Copper…..367.75 -10.45 -2.76%

Nturl Gas…..5.670 -0.764 -11.87%‼

Ammonia ..4773.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/6)

Coal price…380.00 +5.95 +1.57%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…368.95 +8.95 +2.49%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…370.00 +5.25 +1.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…352.00 +6.50 +1.88%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4912 +8 +0.16%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..619.75 -34.00 -5.20%‼
SoybeanOil…..64.46 -2.52 -3.76%‼
Wheat……….884.00 -46.00 -4.95%‼

Wood pulp…6624.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Regional hampir semua merah, cuma china yang ijo

Hampir semua commodity turun, kecuali coal yang naik signifikan dan cpo yang naik tipis. Momentum rebound buat saham coal, technically udah waktunya rebound sih

Yak, sesuai perkiraan mulai menukik… Sayangnya saham perkiraan bakal kontrarian nya ga pas, property ikut dibanting, infra ikut dibanting, even consumer yang kemaren jaya ikut dibanting walau ga jauh

Exit di DCB, off market sampe IHSG tercapai level aman buat buy lagi. Itu rencana paling moderate…

Either 6500-an atau 6055-an, sesuai itungan fibonacci extension-nya