Daily Analysis 20240118
January 18th, 2024
Good morning,
Dow……37267 -94.5 -0.25%
Nasdaq14856 -88.7 -0.59%
S&P 500.4739 -26.8 -0.56%
FTSE…..7447 -112. -1.48%
Dax……16431 -139.99 -0.84%
CAC……7319 -79.3 -1.07%
Nikkei..35478 -141.4 -0.40%
HSI…….15276 -589.02 -3.71%‼️
Shanghai.2834 -60.4 -2.09%
IDX…..7200.63 -42.15 -0.58%
LQ45….968.94 -6.45 -0.66%
IDX30…499.93 -2.87 -0.57%
IDXEnergy..2179.35 -15.56 -0.71%
IDX BscMat.1248.76 -10.76 -0.86%
IDX Indstrl…1114.38 -8.62 -0.77%
IDXNONCYC.705.63 -3.28 -0.46%
IDX Hlthcare1300.17 -10.55 -0.80%
IDXCYCLIC…860.00 -4.62 -0.53%
IDX Techno4268.02 -42.68 -0.99%
IDX Transp 1709.08 -1.85 -0.11%
IDX Infrast 1527.56 -6.92 -0.45%
IDX Finance.1503.80 -8.43 -0.55%
IDX Banking.1326.11 -5.06 -0.38%
IDX Property.. 705 -8.60 -0.21%
Indo10Yr.6.6994 +0.0189 +0.29%
ICBI…374.6881 -0.3308 -0.09%
US2Yr.4.361 +0.139 +3.29%‼️
US5Yr 4.031 +0.097 +2.47%
US10Yr4.106 +0.042 +1.03%
US30Yr.4.313 +0.016 +0.37%
VIX….14.79 +0.96 +6.86%‼️
USDIndx 103.4500❗️ +0.093 +0.09%
Como Indx..263.05 -1.25 -0.47%
BCOMIN……134.29 -1.94 -1.43%
IndoCDS..74.69 +0.48 +0.65%
(5-yr INOCD5) (16/01)
IDR…..15643.00 +50.50 +0.32%
Jisdor.15639.00 +47.00 +0.30%
Euro….1.0877 -0.0072 -0.66%
TLKM…25.59 -0.21 -0.81%
(4033)
EIDO……22.13 -0.30 -1.34%
EEM……37.68 -0.57 -1.49%
Oil……..72.56 +0.16 +0.22%
Gold..2006.60 -21.70 -1.17%
Timah..25175.00 +394.00 +1.59%
(Closed 16/01)
Nickel..16096.50 -130.5 -0.80%
(Closed 17/01)
Silver……22.67 -0.42 -1.84%
Copper.373.30 -3.35 -0.89%
Iron Ore 62% 136.75 -0.47 -0.34%
(16/01)
Nturl Gas..2.867 +0.038 +1.34%
Ammonia China.3183.33‼️ -66.67 -2.05%
(Domestic Price)(15/02)
Coal price.129.50 unch +0%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.20 -1.30 -1.02%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.70 -3.55 -2.79%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.85 +0.85 +0.68%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.107.10 -0.65 -0.60%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.70 -3.05 -2.94%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price…97.25 -3.60 -3.57%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…95.60 -3.70 -3.73%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Apr)..3818 -63 -1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……442.50 -1.25 -0.28%
SoybeanOil 47.70 +0.45 +0.95%
Wheat…582.50 +0.50 +0.09%
Wood pulp..5062.00+8.00 +0.16%
(Closed 17/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Bond Rate naik tinggi, semua index regional merah. tadi malem masih naik lagi, usd index naik juga, masih kemungkinan lanjut merah hari ini…
metal2 merah semua kecuali timah, oil up gas up coal down, cpo down, semoga ga terlalu mukul emiten coal dan CPO
IHSG – memang jadwalnya ABC correction sih, tapi ga nyangka bantingannya sadis.Stoch down rev, macd down, 833 sell, MFI down w% down, BD dist, FNS juga, bahaya ini, yang ga yakin langsung exit aja keep cash
Goyang semua, kecuali healthcare sama financials
Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT BMRI BRPT MNCN
MACD Buy Signal: OMED SSMS INCI
Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: AKRA EXCL
Daily Analysis 20240104
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023
GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K
Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%
Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M
U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7
ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8
ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3
By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –
US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil
US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga
IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…
Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus
Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR
MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP
Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike
Daily Analysis 20240103
January 03rd, 2024
Good morning,
S&P 500 closes lower to begin 2024, Nasdaq notches worst day since October
The S&P 500
fell Tuesday, the first trading day of the year, as bond yields inched higher and investors took some money off the table following a surprisingly strong 2023.
Dow……37715 +25.5 +0.07%
Nasdaq14766 -245.4 -1.63%
S&P 500.4743 -27.00 -0.57%
FTSE…..7722 -11.7 -0.16%
Dax……16769 +17.7 +0.11%
CAC……7531 -12.3 -0.16%
Nikkei..33464 closed +0%
HSI…….16789 -258.8 -1.52%
Shanghai.2962 -12.66 -0.43%
IDX…..7323.59 +50.79 +0.70%
LQ45….979.43 +8.86 +0.91%
IDX30…498.42 +3.21 +0.65%
IDXEnergy..2142.96 +42.+2.00%
IDX BscMat.1332.14 +26.67 +1.89%}
IDX Indstrl…1105.51 +11.74 +1.07%
IDXNONCYC.724.41 +2.01 +0.28%
IDX Hlthcare1353.56 -22.40 -1.64%
IDXCYCLIC…825.05. +3.63 +0.44%
IDX Techno4418.00 -17.60 -0.40%
IDX Transp 1654.96 +53.45 +3.34%‼️
IDX Infrast 1576.31. +6.28 +0.40%
IDX Finance.1452.08 -6.24. -0.43%
IDX Banking.1269.00 -0.55 -0.04%
IDX Property.. 710 -3.60 -0.50%
Indo10Yr.6.6161+0.017 +0.26%
ICBI…374.6896 -0.1294 -0.03&%
US2Yr.4.324 +0.074 +1.74%
US5Yr 3.922 +0.082 +2.14%
US10Yr3.941 +0.075 +1.94%
US30Yr.4.083+0.064 +1.59%
VIX….13.20 +0.75 +6.02%‼️
USDIndx 102.2360 +0.903 +0.89%
Como Indx..262.63 -1.19 -0.45%
BCOMIN……141.17 -1.48 -1.04%
IndoCDS..69.29 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/01)
IDR…..15470.00 +71.00 +0.46%
Jisdor.15473.00 +34.00 +0.22%
Euro….1.0942 – -%
TLKM…25.90 +0.14 +0.54%
(4008)
EIDO….22.21 -0.11 -0.49%
EEM….39.74 -0.47 -1.17%
Oil……..70.38 -1.27 -1.77%
Gold..2073.40 +1.60 +0.08%
Timah..25415.00 – -%
(Closed 29/12)
Nickel..16565.00 -106 -0.64%
(Closed 02/01)
Silver……23.95 -0.13 -0.55%
Copper.388.05 -1.00 -0.26%
Iron Ore 62% 136.37 – -%
(29/12)
Nturl Gas..2.574 +0.077 +3.08%
Ammonia China.3623.33-183.34 -3.81%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/02)
Coal price.127.75 -9.2 -6.72%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.15 -7.65 -5.72%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.124.85 -7.10 -5.38%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.90 -6.55 -5.02%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.106.15 -2.15 -1.99%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.55 -2.30 -2.21%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 97.10 -2.75 -2.75%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .95.20 -3.35 -3.40%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3660 -60 -1.61%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……463.75 -7.50 -1.59%
SoybeanOil 48.29 +0.11 +0.23%
Wheat….606.75 -21.25 -3.38%
Wood pulp..5040.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Kemaren IHSG ijo, asia merah europe merah US merah, so hari ini kemungkinan merah… Kalo mau belanja sore lebih ok kayanya
Update Global Economic Calendar
2 Jan 2023
INDONESIA MARKET :
Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 2.61%
Forecast : 2.85%
Previous : 2.86%
Core Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 1.8%
Forecast : 1.85%
Previous : 1.87%
Inflation Rate MoM (Dec)
Actual : 0.41%
Forecast : –
Previous : 0.38%
Tourist Arrivals YoY (Nov)
Actual : 30.17%
Forecast : –
Previous : 33.27%
GERMANY MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 43.3
Forecast : 43.1
Previous : 42.6
EURO AREA MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 44.4
Forecast : 44.2
Previous : 44.2
UNITED KINGDOM MARKET :
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 46.2
Forecast : 46.4
Previous : 47.2
U.S MARKET :
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 47.9
Forecast : 48.2
Previous : 49.4
By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –
Visit our website :
www.phintracosekuritas.com
www.profits.co.id
www.taspro.co.id
Angka Inflasi indonesia lebih baik dari forecast, makanya ijo sendiri kemaren, nah, Europe dan US index manufacture nya dibawah forecast, wajarnya merah, dan hari ini masih pengaruh…
Berita jelek selalu disusul sama naiknya suku bunga, USD index juga naik jadi lengkap untuk bikin merah saham. metal2 merah semua kecuali emas yang ijo tipisoil merah gas ijo, coal DROP, CPO merah, wah masih berantakan ini, semoga ANTM MDKA keganjel harga emas yang lagi tinggi
IHSG – stoch OB, MACD up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, wave 5, hati hati koreksi, curigany mah akan kejedot level all time high baru merosot ABC correction
Index jalan hampir semua sektor jalan,yang arahnya paling deket 45 Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation
Stochastic Buy Signal: BBKP TAPG
MACD Buy Signal banyak banget, yang big acc cuma ASSA, yang ada Spike EMTK, layak dipantau ICBP TBIG AALI
Stochastic Continuation Signal banyak, tapi ga ada yang big accum, malah INKP big dist. Paling SMDR yang ada spike
DAily Analysis 20230615
June 15th, 2023
Good morning,
S&P 500 closes nearly flat after Fed leaves rates unchanged, signals more hikes are coming
Stocks gyrated on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve paused its rate-hiking campaign and signaled it was making progress on fighting inflation
Dow……33979 -232.8 -0.68%
Nasdaq13626 +53.2 +0.39%
S&P 500.4373 +3.6 +0.08%
FTSE…..7603 +7.96 +0.10%
Dax……16311 +80.1 +0.49%
CAC……7328 +37.7 +0.52%
Nikkei…..33502 +483.8 +1.47%
HSI………19408 -113.0 -0.58%
Shanghai.3229 -4.7 -0.14%
IDX…..6699.72 -19.30 -0.29%
LQ45….949.81 -2.77 -0.29%
IDX30…494.00 -2.11 -0.42%
IDXEnergy…1791.15 +13.85 +0.78%
IDX BscMat…997.92 +12.65 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl…1180.20 +11.51 +0.98%
IDXNONCYC.747.61 -0.47 -0.06%
IDX Hlthcare1507.53 -18.80 -1.23%
IDXCYCLIC…884.65 -4.06 -0.46%
IDX Techno..4881.67 -51.97 -1.06%
IDX Transp..1958.33 +0.68 +0.03%
IDX Infrast…..854.51 +1.75 +0.21%
IDX Finance.1400.13 -4.75 -0.34%
IDX Banking.1172.08 -7.33 -0.67%
IDX Property..744 – -%
Indo10Yr.6.3417 -0.0124 -0.20%👍
ICBI..366.9494 +0.2153 +0.06%👍
US2Yr.4.707 +0.038 +0.81%
US5Yr 3.994 -0.007 -0.17%
US10Yr3.7940-0.020 -0.52%
US30Yr.3.8930-0.031 -0.79%
VIX……13.88 -0.73 -5.00%👍
USDIndx102.9480 -0.3900 -0.38%
Como Indx.260.27 -0.54 -0.21%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……148.03 +2.80 +1.93%
*IndoCDS.84.20👍 +0.01 +0.01%*[
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/06)
IDR…..14906.50‼ +43.00 +0.29%
Jisdor.14895.00‼ +27.00 +0.18%
Euro……1.0834 +0.0042 +0.39%
TLKM…26.83 +0.03 +0.11%
(3996)
EIDO….23.46 -0.02 -0.09%
EEM…..40.64 +0.30 +0.74%
Oil……68.64 -0.52 -0.75%
Gold…1957.00 -0.90 -0.05%
Timah..26065.00 +164.00 +0.63%
(Closed 13/06)
Nickel..22683.50 +635.50 +2.88%‼
(Closed 14/06)
Silver……24.00 +0.25 +1.05%
Copper..385.70. +2.80 +0.73%
Iron Ore 62% 112.45 +1.31 +1.18
(13/06)
Nturl Gas.2.338 +0.010 +0.42%
Coal price.132.00 -0.25 -0.19%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.15 -1.10 -0.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.60 -1.05 -0.75%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.55 -0.95 -0.67%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price116.40 -1.10 -0.94%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.80 +1.05 +0.91%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.20 +1.60 +1.42%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.15 +1.70 +1.53%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
CPO(Agt)..3450 +28 +0.81%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……549.25 -2.00 -0.36%
SoybeanOil 53.71 +0.16 +0.30%
Wheat…630.25 -6.00 -0.94%
Wood pulp..4314.00 -20 -0.46%
(Closed 13/06)
©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
DJI merah nasdaq ijo, europe ijo, asia varied, Fed Rate flat, signal bagus buat saham
Oil Coal merah, gas ijo, gold merah lagi tipis, silver copper ijo, timah nickel iron ore ijo, secara umum buat tambang mineral masih ok
IHSG – masih FF dist akhirnya kejedot fibo 23 terus koreksi begitu BD mulai dist juga… stoch masih up, macd up, MFI sw, w% down, minor IHNS in the making, kalo bener level support nya udah touched hari ini, tinggal mantul
Masih Energy dan Basic Materials, technology mulai goyang, transportation healthcare sama industrials masih ok
Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII MBSS SGRO
MACD Buy Signal: TOWR BTPS HEAL LPPF
Alligator Buy Signal: TOWR ADHI MIKA MYOR PTPP SGER
Supertrend Buy Signal: TKIM
Daily Analysis 20230502
May 02nd 2023
Good morning,
Dow closes slightly lower following JPMorgan’s takeover of fallen First Republic
The Dow Jones Industrial Averag
e inched lower Monday in the wake of the government’s seizure of First Republic over the weekend and the bank’s subsequent sale to JPMorgan Chase.
Dow……34052 -46.5 -0.14%
Nasdaq12213 -13.99 -0.11%
S&P 500.4168 -1.6 -0.04%
FTSE…..7871 closed +0%
Dax……15922 closed +0%
CAC……7492 closed +0%
Nikkei…..29123 +266.7 +0.92%
HSI………19895 closed +0%
Shanghai.3323 closed +0%
IDX…..6915.72 closed +0%
LQ45….961.75 closed +0%
IDX30…501.01 closed +0%
IDXEnergy…2094.86 closed +0%
IDX BscMat 1171.17 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1207.23 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.726.67 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1541.67closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…..810.83closed +0%
IDX Techno..4937.07’closed +0%
IDX Transp..1809.88 closed +0%
IDX Infrast…..822.05 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1385.54 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1151.04 closed +0%
IDX Property…700 closed +0%
Indo10Yr.6.7151 closed +0%
ICBI….356.7992 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.1407 +0.1199 +2.98%
US5Yr 3.6328 +0.1345 +3.84%‼
US10Yr3.5700+0.1370 +3.84%‼
US30Yr.3.8090+0.1270 +3.45%‼
VIX…… 16.08 +0.30 +1.90%
USDIndx102.1510 +0.6480 +0.64%
Como Indx.266.32 -1.83 -0.68%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.49 +0.59 +0.38%
IndoCDS..90.11 -8.90 -8.98%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/04)
IDR…..14674.50👍 closed +0%
Jisdor.14661.00👍 closed +0%
Euro……1.0975 -0.0044 -0.40%
TLKM..28.51 -0.29 -1.01%
(4180)
EIDO….24.68 -0.07 -0.26%
EEM….39.00 -0.13 -0.33%
Oil……75.68 -1.10 -1.43%
Gold.1991.20 -7.90 -0.40%
Timah..26088.00 closed +0%
(Closed 28/04)
Nickel..24259.00 closed +0%
(Closed 28/04)
Silver……25.25 +0.02 +0.08%
Copper…393.40 +4.35 +1.12%
Nturl Gas.2.313 -0.0850 -3.54%
Coal price.185.15 closed +0%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.187.60 closed +0%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.191.60 closed +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.85 closed +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.40 closed +0%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.132.80 closed +0%
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.80 closed +0%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 136.40 closed +0%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
CPO(Jul)…3353 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..584.50 -0.50 -0.09%
SoybeanOil51.81 +0.14 +0.17%
Wheat….618.25 -15.50 -2.45%
Wood pulp..4000.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/05)
©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US closing merah kemaren, Europe closed, Asia kebanyakan tutup, Nikkei ijo. Interest Rate US naik lagi, ga bagus buat saham ini
Oil gas merah, coal market (Newcastle/Rotterdam) closed, Gold merah, silver copper ijo
IHSG – Stoch Up, MACD up, MFI flat, w% masih uptrend, BD FF acc, rejection candle di fibo 50, tapi harusnya masih firm retracement pattern, sekalian breakout double bottom. Semoga cepet rally lagi
Industrials melemah, Infrastructure, Basic Materials, Transportation siap jalan, Technology Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals terlihat mau nyusul. Financials melemah, kalo lanjut melemah bahaya buat index
Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, kita sort yang FNB atau BD accum: ADRO ICBP ADMR ASSA BRMS LPPF
MACD Buy Signal: ACES GOTO SRTG ADMR ISAT
Alligator Buy Signal: BBTN TOWR






























