November 23nd, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 400 points higher as Wall Street bets on easing inflation, smaller rate hikes into year end

Stocks rose Tuesday as Wall Street looked past tightening Covid policies in China to instead focus on a host of strong earnings reports and the potential for smaller future rate hikes during a holiday-shortened trading week.

Dow…….34098 +397.8 +1.18%
Nasdaq.11174 +149.9 +1.36%
S&P 500..4004 +53.6 +1.36%

FTSE…….7453 +75.99 +1.03%
Dax……..14422 +42.4 +0.29%
CAC……..6658 +23.08 +0.35%

Nikkei….28116 +170.96 +0.61%
HSI……..17424 -231.5 -1.31%
Shanghai..3089 +3.9 +0.13%
ST Times..3266 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7030.59 -32.66 -0.46%
LQ45……996.87 -5.53 -0.55%

IDX Energy..2062.22 +31.15 +1.53%
IDX Bsc Mat.1286.02 -1.08 -0.08%
IDX Industrl..1231.35 -0.75 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC..726.80 -3.70 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare.1474.32 -11.65 -0.78%
IDXCYCLIC…..888.91 -4.34 -0.49%
IDX Techno..6616.44 -139.72 -2.07%
IDX Transp…1792.52 -15.70 -0.87%
IDX Infrast……909.44 -0.06 -0.01%
IDX Finance 1482.94 -11.10 -0.74%
IDX Banking.1187.06 +2.37 +0.20%
IDX Property….693 +1.1 +0.16%

Indo10Yr….7.2912 -0.0174 -0.24%‼️
ICBI……..338.0718 +0.3021 +0.09%‼️
US10Yr..3.7580 -0.0670 -1.85%
VIX……21.29 -1.07 -4.79%‼️

USDIndx..107.1710 -0.7590 -0.70%
Como Indx..279.24 +2.72 +0.98%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……157.15 +3.01 +1.95%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15696.50 -16.00 -0.10%‼️
Jisdor..15716.00 +9.00 +0.06%‼️

Euro……..1.0304 +0.0062 +0.61%

TLKM……..25.49 -0.19 -0.74%
(4006)
EIDO………23.22 +0.27 +1.18%
EEM……….37.64 +0.09 +0.24%

Oil…………80.95 +1.22 +1.53%
Gold ……1753.70 -14.30 -0.81%
Timah…..22664 -1505 -6.64%‼️
(Closed 21/11)
Nickel…26220.00 +1110.00 +4.42%‼️
(Closed 22/11)
Silver………21.07 -0.13 -0.59%
Copper…..357.60 -6.56 -1.80%

Nturl Gas…..6.692 +0.221 +3.30%

Ammonia..4573.33 +110 +2.46%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(21/11)

Coal price….347.15 -3.85 -1.10%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.00 +5.65 +1.62%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….340.65 +10.15 +3.07%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….213.00 -3.20 -1.48%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….237.50 +7.70 +3.35%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….239.35 +8.30 +3.59%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (1£/11)

CPO(Feb)……4006 +153 +3.97%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….659.25 -4.25 -0.64%
SoybeanOil…71.44 +0.71 +1.00%
Wheat………810.50 -7.75 -0.95%

Wood pulp…6590.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 22/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali IHSG sama Hangseng, ijo deh IHSG hari ini

Oil rebound tipis, metal lanjut turun kecuali nikel yang naik tinggi, gas naik, coal spot turun, cpo naik. Basic Materials versi logam logam-an masih bahaya, kecuali mungkin INCO NIKL untuk hari ini

Chart nya coal masih bagus, semoga cuma minor correction

IHSG – 2 hari NFB, semoga lanjut, keluar dari phase sideways, stoch macd mfi ok, dan masih jadwal wave 3

Financials, Energy, Infrastructure, Property

November 09th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rally for a third day ahead of midterm election results, Dow closes 300 points higher

Stocks rose Tuesday as investors awaited the results of the U.S. midterm elections, which could affect future levels of government spending and regulation.

Dow…….33161 +333.8 +1.02%
Nasdaq.10616 +51.7 +0.49%
S&P 500..3828 +21.3 +0.56%

FTSE…….7306 +6.2 +0.08%
Dax……..13689 +155.2 +1.15%
CAC……..6442 +24.9 +0.39%

Nikkei….27872 +344.5 +1.25%
HSI……..16567 -38.6 -0.23%
Shanghai..3065 -13.3 -0.43%
ST Times..3145 +4.5 +0.14%

IDX…….7050.13 -52.27 -0.74%
LQ45…..1005.74 -9.54 -0.94%

IDX Energy..2038.79 -8.00 -0.39%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.09 -21.30 -1.62%
IDX Industrl..1256.46 +10.41 +0.84%
IDXNONCYC..735.27 +0.02 +0.19%
IDX Hlthcare.1497.97 +8.05 +0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…..886.24 +2.84 +0.32%
IDX Techno..6653.88 +84.80 +1.29%
IDX Transp…1869.09 +1.66 +0.09%
IDX Infrast……922.36 -9.97 -1.07%
IDX Finance 1476.00 -12.31 -0.83%
IDX Banking.1183.44 -12.45 -1.04%
IDX Property….691 -0.00 -0.00%

Indo10Yr….7.5396 -0.0001 -0.001%
ICBI……..332.7094 +0.1542 +0.05%
US10Yr……4.1260 -0.0880 -2.09%
VIX……….25.55 +1.19 +4.89%‼️

USDIndx 109.6070 -0.6100 -0.55%👍
Como Indx..284.05 -2.87 -1.00%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……154.46 +3.03 +2.00%
.
IndoCDS..124.70👍 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15697.50 -10.00 -0.06%‼️
Jisdor..15684.00 -8 -0.05%‼️

Euro……..1.0074 +0.0055 +0.55%👍

TLKM……..26.84 -0.14 -0.52%
(4210)
EIDO………23.56 -0.16 -0.67%
EEM……….36.48 +0.26 +0.72%

Oil…………88.91 -2.88 -3.14%‼️
Gold ……1716.00 +35.50 +2.11%‼️
Timah…..18872 +67 +0.35%
(Closed 07/11)
Nickel…23878.00 +477.00 +2.03%‼️
(Closed 08/11)
Silver………21.50 +0.58 +2.55%
Copper…..368.25 +7.90 +2.19%

Nturl Gas…..6.199 -0.50 -7.47%‼️

Ammonia..4150.00 +180 +4.33%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(07/11)

Coal price….339.00 -5.90 -1.79%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.50 -11.05 -3.30%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….320.15 -10.95 -3.31%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….191.50 -9.40 -4.68%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….185.00 -9.50 -4.88%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….185.70 -9.85 -5.04%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (07/11)

CPO(Jan)……4368 -72 -1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….667.50 -8.25 -1.22%
SoybeanOil…75.03 -1.30 -1.70%
Wheat………827.75 -18.00 -2.13%

Wood pulp…6700.00 -10 -0.15%
(Closed 08/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe ijo, asia pada merah kecuali singapore ijo tipis, nikkei ijo rada tebel. Rebound ah tudei IHSG

Komoditas energy turun semua, metal naik semua, cpo turun lagi. ANTM INCO MDKA cerah ceria ini… Coal harus hati hati banget. CPO sahamnya menarik banget once CPO udah uptrend harganya, udah mulai naik tapi idealnya tunggu higher low terbentuk

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property, Infrastructure, Technology… Gantian, nanti pas Financials lanjut baru index lanjut

IHSG – masih keliatan mau koreksi minor atau jalan sideways… Kalo mau buy hanya di sektor yang leading aja ya, index turun suka keseret semua

October 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher for third consecutive day, Nasdaq adds 2.2% ahead of Big Tech earnings

Stocks closed higher another session Tuesday, as investors assessed sliding yields and new data for further clues into the health of the U.S. economy.

Dow…….31837 +337.1 +1.07%
Nasdaq.11199 +246.5 +2.26%
S&P 500..3859 +61.8 +1.63%

FTSE…….7014 -0.51 -0.01%
Dax……..13053 +121.5 +0.94%
CAC……..6251 +119.2 +1.94%

Nikkei….27250 +275.4 +1.02%
HSI……..15166 -15.1 -0.10%
Shanghai..2976 -1.3 -0.04%
ST Times..2984 +14.2 +0.48%

IDX…….7048.38 -4.66 -0.07%
LQ45…1005.83 -0.67 -0.07%

IDX Energy..2011.36 -22.87 -1.12%
IDX Bsc Mat.1240.43 -8.36 -0.67%
IDX Industrl..1280.93 +1.63 +0.13%
IDXNONCYC..733.02 -0.01 -0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1497.04 +5.80 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC…..852.57 -6.01 -0.70%
IDX Techno..6466.63 +47.04 +0.73%
IDX Transp…1768.34 -10.92 -0.61%
IDX Infrast……937.66 -0.08 -0.01%
IDX Finance 1513.13 -0.10 -0.01%
IDX Banking.1200.70 +0.32 +0.03%
IDX Property…….688 +7.30 +1.07%

Indo10Yr….7.6137 +0.0268 +0.35%
ICBI……..330.1944 -0.3156 -0.10%
US10Yr……4.1080 -0.1260 -2.98%‼️
VIX……….28.46 -1.39 -4.66%

USDIndx 110.9500 -1.0460 -0.93%👍
Como Indx..273.99 +2.17 +0.80%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.22 -0.23 -0.16%
.
IndoCDS 156.98 -3.88 -2.41%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/10)

IDR……15585.50 -46.00 -0.29%‼️
Jisdor..15616.00 +26 +0.17%‼️

Euro……..0.9960 +0.0080 +0.81%‼️

TLKM……..28.02 -0.23 -0.81%
(4376)
EIDO………23.69 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM……….34.21 +0.28 +0.83%

Oil…………84.93 +0.13 +0.15%
Gold ……1656.30 +1.30 +0.08%
Timah….18450 -34 -0.18%
(Closed 24/10)
Nickel…22239.50 +245.50 +1.10%
(Closed 25/10)
Silver………19.28 +0.08 +0.42%
Copper….340.15 -3.04 -0.89%

Nturl Gas…..6.248 +0.503 +8.76%‼️

Ammonia..4130.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(20/10)

Coal price….388.15 -1.85 -0.47%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….382.90 -0.60 -0.16%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….385.25 -0.80 -0.21%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.05 +0.50 +0.19%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….250.10 +3.60 +1.46%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..249.00 +3.60 +1.47%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.15 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (21/10)

CPO(Jan)……4129 +29 +0.71%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….686.25 +4.75 +0.70%
SoybeanOil…72.28 +0.41 +0.57%
Wheat………834.75 -4.00 -0.48%

Wood pulp…6816.00 -4 -0.06%
(Closed 25/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut ijo europe cuma inggris merah tipis, asia ihsg hsi sama shanghai merah tipis nikkei singapore ijo

Gold SIlver ijo, copper merah timah merah nikel ijo, oil ijo tipis gas naik tinggi, coal turun lagi, CPO naik tipis

Keliatannya saham coal lanjut koreksi, saham oil mungkin naik, kalo gas suka ga relate langsung ke AGII sama PGAS, tapi kita liat nanti.

IHSG – masih ok semua, cuma udah run 6 hari ijo, stoch 833 bilang koreksi minor, udah di overbought area. last day bd ff dist, wajar kali profit taking ya

RSI quadrant bilang financials sama industrials.

Global update:

September 16th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq drops more than 1% as market comeback stumbles, Dow closes at lowest level in two months

U.S. stocks dropped in choppy trading on Thursday as investors mulled over several economic reports that showed a muddy picture of the U.S. economy.

Dow…….30962 -173.3 -0.56%
Nasdaq.11552 -167.3 -1.43%
S&P 500..3901 -44.7 -1.13%

FTSE…….7282 +4.8 +0.07%
Dax……..12957 -71.3 -0.55%
CAC……..6158 -64.6 -1.04%

Nikkei….27876 +57.3 +0.21%
HSI……..18930 +83.3 +0.44%
Shanghai..3200 -37.6 -1.16%
ST Times..3268 +9,96 +0.31%

IDX…….7305.60 +39.94 +0.38%
LQ45…1041.04 +6.52 +0.53%

IDX Energy..2079.26 -1.67 -0.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1303.30 -14.90 -1.13%
IDX Industrl..1385.43 +9.87 +0.72%
IDXNONCYC..706.15 +0.92 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1454.78 +2.44 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.15 +3.01 +0.34%
IDX Techno..7519.08 -87.50 -1.15%
IDX Transp…1917.18 -10.38 -0.54%
IDX Infrast…..1030.79 -1.41 -0.14%
IDX Finance 1541.72 +14.89 +0.98%
IDX Banking..1200.51 +17.04 +1.44%
IDX Property…745 +15.60 +2.14%‼️

Indo10Yr….7.2068 +0.0176 +0.24%
ICBI……..336.3188 -0.1789 -0.05%
US10Yr……3.4590 +0.0470 +1.38%
VIX……….26.27 +0.11 +0.42%

USDIndx 109.7390 +0.0810 +0.07%
Como Indx..281.00 -5.33 -1.86%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.00 -1.84 -1.19%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14897.50 -10.00 -0.07%
Jisdor..14899.00 -24.00 -0.16%

Euro……..0.9994 +0.0011 +0.11%

TLKM……..29.80 -0.09 -0.30%
(4440)
EIDO………24.75 +0.08 +0.32%
EEM………38.14 -0.41 -1.06%

Oil…………..84.73 -4.15 -4.67%‼️
Gold ……..1671.70 -35.10 -2.06%‼️
Timah. .21177.00 -203.00 -0.95%
( Closed 14/9)
Nickel…23304.00 -1029.00 -4.86%‼️
(Closed 15/9)
Silver…….19.06 -0.54 -2.76%‼️
Copper….346.70 -5.00 -1.42%

Nturl Gas…..8.292 -0.789 -8.69%‼️

Ammonia..4190.00 +33.33 +0.80%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/9)

Coal price….445.50 +1.30 +0.29%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….438.00 -1.20 -0.27%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.50 +0.35 +0.08%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….337.20 +1.20 +0.36%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….318.00 -1.50 -0.47%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…318.00 -3.00 -0.93%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3744 -114 -2.95%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.50 -4.75 -0.70%
SoybeanOil…64.30 -0.57 -0.88%
Wheat……..845.00 -27.25 -3.12%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah, europe mostly merah, asia ijo kecuali shanghai, masih ngikutin sisa ijonya US di hari sebelumnya. IHSG kebawa sentimen big banks laporan keuangannya bagus berhasil bikin new record high, walaupun sebetulnya belum ada pemulihan ekonomi yang signifikan. Semoga bukan hanya euforia sesaat terus dibanting dalem tutup gap

Oil dan natural gas drop lagi, metals turun semua, coal naik cpo turun – not a good sign… Kemarin nikel emas timah ada kenaikan dan sector rotation nya pas ke basic materials, diharapkan ANTM INCO TINS MDKA naik lagi, sekarang turun semoga koreksinya tidak terlalu dalam

Kemaren IHSG tembus level previous all time high di 7355, high kemaren di 7371. Opening gap up, jadi memang rawan koreksi hari ini, walau harapan euforia nya semoga nahan untuk tidak langsung koreksi wave 2. Tapi, secara teknikal begitu bikin new record high IHSG juga langsung ada bearish divergence di MACD line dan MACD histogram. Kalau hari ini closing merah, besok closing merah lagi, besar kemungkinan akan drop jauh, firm bearish divergence nya. Per sekarang MACD signal sell nongol, ini yang kemaren saya takutkan,jebakan teknikal, banyak orang yang nunggu untuk re-entry di MACD buy signal, kemaren buy signal sekarang ngebalik, kalo ga ada perubahan bakal banyak nyangkuters yang kena jebakan teknikal ini, persis tahun kemarin

19 Maret 2021 kejadiannya

IHSG – Foreign masih entry, bandar lokal distribusi, stoch sama MACD ngebalik sell lagi, MFI masih up. Kurang kuat euforia break ATH nya nih, WNS tunggu besok harga kemana

Yang firm tinggal property, yang lain melemah cacing RSI nya

Rotationnya seringnya begitu sih, abis bank terus property…