Daily Analysis 20221109

Daily Analysis 20221109

November 09th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rally for a third day ahead of midterm election results, Dow closes 300 points higher

Stocks rose Tuesday as investors awaited the results of the U.S. midterm elections, which could affect future levels of government spending and regulation.

Dow…….33161 +333.8 +1.02%
Nasdaq.10616 +51.7 +0.49%
S&P 500..3828 +21.3 +0.56%

FTSE…….7306 +6.2 +0.08%
Dax……..13689 +155.2 +1.15%
CAC……..6442 +24.9 +0.39%

Nikkei….27872 +344.5 +1.25%
HSI……..16567 -38.6 -0.23%
Shanghai..3065 -13.3 -0.43%
ST Times..3145 +4.5 +0.14%

IDX…….7050.13 -52.27 -0.74%
LQ45…..1005.74 -9.54 -0.94%

IDX Energy..2038.79 -8.00 -0.39%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.09 -21.30 -1.62%
IDX Industrl..1256.46 +10.41 +0.84%
IDXNONCYC..735.27 +0.02 +0.19%
IDX Hlthcare.1497.97 +8.05 +0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…..886.24 +2.84 +0.32%
IDX Techno..6653.88 +84.80 +1.29%
IDX Transp…1869.09 +1.66 +0.09%
IDX Infrast……922.36 -9.97 -1.07%
IDX Finance 1476.00 -12.31 -0.83%
IDX Banking.1183.44 -12.45 -1.04%
IDX Property….691 -0.00 -0.00%

Indo10Yr….7.5396 -0.0001 -0.001%
ICBI……..332.7094 +0.1542 +0.05%
US10Yr……4.1260 -0.0880 -2.09%
VIX……….25.55 +1.19 +4.89%‼️

USDIndx 109.6070 -0.6100 -0.55%👍
Como Indx..284.05 -2.87 -1.00%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……154.46 +3.03 +2.00%
.
IndoCDS..124.70👍 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15697.50 -10.00 -0.06%‼️
Jisdor..15684.00 -8 -0.05%‼️

Euro……..1.0074 +0.0055 +0.55%👍

TLKM……..26.84 -0.14 -0.52%
(4210)
EIDO………23.56 -0.16 -0.67%
EEM……….36.48 +0.26 +0.72%

Oil…………88.91 -2.88 -3.14%‼️
Gold ……1716.00 +35.50 +2.11%‼️
Timah…..18872 +67 +0.35%
(Closed 07/11)
Nickel…23878.00 +477.00 +2.03%‼️
(Closed 08/11)
Silver………21.50 +0.58 +2.55%
Copper…..368.25 +7.90 +2.19%

Nturl Gas…..6.199 -0.50 -7.47%‼️

Ammonia..4150.00 +180 +4.33%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(07/11)

Coal price….339.00 -5.90 -1.79%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.50 -11.05 -3.30%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….320.15 -10.95 -3.31%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….191.50 -9.40 -4.68%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….185.00 -9.50 -4.88%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….185.70 -9.85 -5.04%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (07/11)

CPO(Jan)……4368 -72 -1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….667.50 -8.25 -1.22%
SoybeanOil…75.03 -1.30 -1.70%
Wheat………827.75 -18.00 -2.13%

Wood pulp…6700.00 -10 -0.15%
(Closed 08/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe ijo, asia pada merah kecuali singapore ijo tipis, nikkei ijo rada tebel. Rebound ah tudei IHSG

Komoditas energy turun semua, metal naik semua, cpo turun lagi. ANTM INCO MDKA cerah ceria ini… Coal harus hati hati banget. CPO sahamnya menarik banget once CPO udah uptrend harganya, udah mulai naik tapi idealnya tunggu higher low terbentuk

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property, Infrastructure, Technology… Gantian, nanti pas Financials lanjut baru index lanjut

IHSG – masih keliatan mau koreksi minor atau jalan sideways… Kalo mau buy hanya di sektor yang leading aja ya, index turun suka keseret semua

Daily Analysis 20221026

Daily Analysis 20221026

October 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher for third consecutive day, Nasdaq adds 2.2% ahead of Big Tech earnings

Stocks closed higher another session Tuesday, as investors assessed sliding yields and new data for further clues into the health of the U.S. economy.

Dow…….31837 +337.1 +1.07%
Nasdaq.11199 +246.5 +2.26%
S&P 500..3859 +61.8 +1.63%

FTSE…….7014 -0.51 -0.01%
Dax……..13053 +121.5 +0.94%
CAC……..6251 +119.2 +1.94%

Nikkei….27250 +275.4 +1.02%
HSI……..15166 -15.1 -0.10%
Shanghai..2976 -1.3 -0.04%
ST Times..2984 +14.2 +0.48%

IDX…….7048.38 -4.66 -0.07%
LQ45…1005.83 -0.67 -0.07%

IDX Energy..2011.36 -22.87 -1.12%
IDX Bsc Mat.1240.43 -8.36 -0.67%
IDX Industrl..1280.93 +1.63 +0.13%
IDXNONCYC..733.02 -0.01 -0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1497.04 +5.80 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC…..852.57 -6.01 -0.70%
IDX Techno..6466.63 +47.04 +0.73%
IDX Transp…1768.34 -10.92 -0.61%
IDX Infrast……937.66 -0.08 -0.01%
IDX Finance 1513.13 -0.10 -0.01%
IDX Banking.1200.70 +0.32 +0.03%
IDX Property…….688 +7.30 +1.07%

Indo10Yr….7.6137 +0.0268 +0.35%
ICBI……..330.1944 -0.3156 -0.10%
US10Yr……4.1080 -0.1260 -2.98%‼️
VIX……….28.46 -1.39 -4.66%

USDIndx 110.9500 -1.0460 -0.93%👍
Como Indx..273.99 +2.17 +0.80%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.22 -0.23 -0.16%
.
IndoCDS 156.98 -3.88 -2.41%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/10)

IDR……15585.50 -46.00 -0.29%‼️
Jisdor..15616.00 +26 +0.17%‼️

Euro……..0.9960 +0.0080 +0.81%‼️

TLKM……..28.02 -0.23 -0.81%
(4376)
EIDO………23.69 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM……….34.21 +0.28 +0.83%

Oil…………84.93 +0.13 +0.15%
Gold ……1656.30 +1.30 +0.08%
Timah….18450 -34 -0.18%
(Closed 24/10)
Nickel…22239.50 +245.50 +1.10%
(Closed 25/10)
Silver………19.28 +0.08 +0.42%
Copper….340.15 -3.04 -0.89%

Nturl Gas…..6.248 +0.503 +8.76%‼️

Ammonia..4130.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(20/10)

Coal price….388.15 -1.85 -0.47%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….382.90 -0.60 -0.16%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….385.25 -0.80 -0.21%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.05 +0.50 +0.19%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….250.10 +3.60 +1.46%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..249.00 +3.60 +1.47%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.15 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (21/10)

CPO(Jan)……4129 +29 +0.71%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….686.25 +4.75 +0.70%
SoybeanOil…72.28 +0.41 +0.57%
Wheat………834.75 -4.00 -0.48%

Wood pulp…6816.00 -4 -0.06%
(Closed 25/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut ijo europe cuma inggris merah tipis, asia ihsg hsi sama shanghai merah tipis nikkei singapore ijo

Gold SIlver ijo, copper merah timah merah nikel ijo, oil ijo tipis gas naik tinggi, coal turun lagi, CPO naik tipis

Keliatannya saham coal lanjut koreksi, saham oil mungkin naik, kalo gas suka ga relate langsung ke AGII sama PGAS, tapi kita liat nanti.

IHSG – masih ok semua, cuma udah run 6 hari ijo, stoch 833 bilang koreksi minor, udah di overbought area. last day bd ff dist, wajar kali profit taking ya

RSI quadrant bilang financials sama industrials.

Daily Analysis 20220916

Daily Analysis 20220916

Global update:

September 16th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq drops more than 1% as market comeback stumbles, Dow closes at lowest level in two months

U.S. stocks dropped in choppy trading on Thursday as investors mulled over several economic reports that showed a muddy picture of the U.S. economy.

Dow…….30962 -173.3 -0.56%
Nasdaq.11552 -167.3 -1.43%
S&P 500..3901 -44.7 -1.13%

FTSE…….7282 +4.8 +0.07%
Dax……..12957 -71.3 -0.55%
CAC……..6158 -64.6 -1.04%

Nikkei….27876 +57.3 +0.21%
HSI……..18930 +83.3 +0.44%
Shanghai..3200 -37.6 -1.16%
ST Times..3268 +9,96 +0.31%

IDX…….7305.60 +39.94 +0.38%
LQ45…1041.04 +6.52 +0.53%

IDX Energy..2079.26 -1.67 -0.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1303.30 -14.90 -1.13%
IDX Industrl..1385.43 +9.87 +0.72%
IDXNONCYC..706.15 +0.92 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1454.78 +2.44 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.15 +3.01 +0.34%
IDX Techno..7519.08 -87.50 -1.15%
IDX Transp…1917.18 -10.38 -0.54%
IDX Infrast…..1030.79 -1.41 -0.14%
IDX Finance 1541.72 +14.89 +0.98%
IDX Banking..1200.51 +17.04 +1.44%
IDX Property…745 +15.60 +2.14%‼️

Indo10Yr….7.2068 +0.0176 +0.24%
ICBI……..336.3188 -0.1789 -0.05%
US10Yr……3.4590 +0.0470 +1.38%
VIX……….26.27 +0.11 +0.42%

USDIndx 109.7390 +0.0810 +0.07%
Como Indx..281.00 -5.33 -1.86%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.00 -1.84 -1.19%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14897.50 -10.00 -0.07%
Jisdor..14899.00 -24.00 -0.16%

Euro……..0.9994 +0.0011 +0.11%

TLKM……..29.80 -0.09 -0.30%
(4440)
EIDO………24.75 +0.08 +0.32%
EEM………38.14 -0.41 -1.06%

Oil…………..84.73 -4.15 -4.67%‼️
Gold ……..1671.70 -35.10 -2.06%‼️
Timah. .21177.00 -203.00 -0.95%
( Closed 14/9)
Nickel…23304.00 -1029.00 -4.86%‼️
(Closed 15/9)
Silver…….19.06 -0.54 -2.76%‼️
Copper….346.70 -5.00 -1.42%

Nturl Gas…..8.292 -0.789 -8.69%‼️

Ammonia..4190.00 +33.33 +0.80%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/9)

Coal price….445.50 +1.30 +0.29%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….438.00 -1.20 -0.27%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.50 +0.35 +0.08%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….337.20 +1.20 +0.36%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….318.00 -1.50 -0.47%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…318.00 -3.00 -0.93%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3744 -114 -2.95%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.50 -4.75 -0.70%
SoybeanOil…64.30 -0.57 -0.88%
Wheat……..845.00 -27.25 -3.12%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah, europe mostly merah, asia ijo kecuali shanghai, masih ngikutin sisa ijonya US di hari sebelumnya. IHSG kebawa sentimen big banks laporan keuangannya bagus berhasil bikin new record high, walaupun sebetulnya belum ada pemulihan ekonomi yang signifikan. Semoga bukan hanya euforia sesaat terus dibanting dalem tutup gap

Oil dan natural gas drop lagi, metals turun semua, coal naik cpo turun – not a good sign… Kemarin nikel emas timah ada kenaikan dan sector rotation nya pas ke basic materials, diharapkan ANTM INCO TINS MDKA naik lagi, sekarang turun semoga koreksinya tidak terlalu dalam

Kemaren IHSG tembus level previous all time high di 7355, high kemaren di 7371. Opening gap up, jadi memang rawan koreksi hari ini, walau harapan euforia nya semoga nahan untuk tidak langsung koreksi wave 2. Tapi, secara teknikal begitu bikin new record high IHSG juga langsung ada bearish divergence di MACD line dan MACD histogram. Kalau hari ini closing merah, besok closing merah lagi, besar kemungkinan akan drop jauh, firm bearish divergence nya. Per sekarang MACD signal sell nongol, ini yang kemaren saya takutkan,jebakan teknikal, banyak orang yang nunggu untuk re-entry di MACD buy signal, kemaren buy signal sekarang ngebalik, kalo ga ada perubahan bakal banyak nyangkuters yang kena jebakan teknikal ini, persis tahun kemarin

19 Maret 2021 kejadiannya

IHSG – Foreign masih entry, bandar lokal distribusi, stoch sama MACD ngebalik sell lagi, MFI masih up. Kurang kuat euforia break ATH nya nih, WNS tunggu besok harga kemana

Yang firm tinggal property, yang lain melemah cacing RSI nya

Rotationnya seringnya begitu sih, abis bank terus property…

Daily Analysis 20220915

Daily Analysis 20220915

Global Update:

September 15th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. stocks finished higher on Wednesday after an indecisive trading session that saw the major averages spend time on both sides of the flatline throughout the day.

Dow…….31135 +30.1 +0.10%
Nasdaq.11720 +86.1 +0.74%
S&P 500..3946 +13.3 +0.34%

FTSE…….7277 -108.6 -1.47%
Dax……..13028 -160.95 -1.22%
CAC……..6222 -23.3 -0.37%

Nikkei….27819 -796.01 -2.78%
HSI……..18847 -479.8 -2.48%
Shanghai..3238 -26.3 -0.80%
ST Times..3258 -32.1 -0.97%

IDX…….7278.08 -39.94 -0.55%
LQ45…1035.52 -7.12 -0.68%

IDX Energy..2080.93 +17.15 +0.83%
IDX Bsc Mat.1318.20 -16.22 -1.22%
IDX Industrl..1375.56 -14.34 -1.07%
IDXNONCYC..705.24 +1.44 +0.21%
IDX Hlthcare.1452.34 -11.92 -0.81%
IDXCYCLIC…..879.15 -1.64 -0.19%
IDX Techno..7606.59 -41.40 -0.54%
IDX Transp…1927.56 +0.55 +0.03%
IDX Infrast…..1032.19 -2.43 -0.23%
IDX Finance 1526.83 -9.79 -0.64%
IDX Banking..1183.47 -9.60 -0.80%
IDX Property…729 -4.60 -0.63%

Indo10Yr….7.1892 +0.0147 +0.20%
ICBI……..336.4977 -0.2895 -0.09%
US10Yr……3.4120 -0.0100 -0.29%
VIX……….26.16 -1.11 -4.07%

USDIndx 109.6580 -0.1570 -0.14%
Como Indx..286.33 +0.56 +0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.84 -1.28 -0.83%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14907.50 +56.00 +0.38%‼
Jisdor..14923.00 +62.00 +0.42%‼

Euro……..0.9983 +0.0013 +0.13%

TLKM……..29.89 +0.31 +1.05%
(4460)
EIDO………24.67 +0.34 +1.40%
EEM………38.55 +0.19 +0.50%

Oil…………..8.88 +1.17 +1.33%
Gold ……..1706.80 -5.90 -0.34%
Timah. .21380.00 -81.00 -0.38%
( Closed 13/9)
Nickel…24333.00 +190.50 +0.79%
(Closed 14/9)
Silver…….19.60 +0.31 +1.61%
Copper….351.70 -1.40 -0.40%

Nturl Gas…..9.081 +0.683 +8.13%‼

Ammonia..4156.67 +23.34 +0.56%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/9)

Coal price….444.20 +4.85 +1.10%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….439.20 +10.55 +2.46%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.15 +12.15 +2.88%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….336.00 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….319.50 +5.00 +1.59%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…321.60 +6.85 +2.17%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3858 -42 -1.07%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..682.25 -10.50 -1.52%
SoybeanOil…64.87 -1.86 -2.79%
Wheat……..872.25 +11.75 +1.37%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US abis drop gede rebound sedikit… Europe merah, asia merah

Commodity terkait energy naik semua, oil natural gas coal, mungkinkah mau extend wave 5 sektor energi? Ya mungkin aja sih…

Gold Timah Copper turun, nickel silver naik

Masih bertahan diatas EMA 20, kita wait and see, bikin new record high atau tidak IHSG, kondisi ekonomi sih belum mendukung

IHSG – stoch sell, macd buy, foreign masih entry, bandar masih akum, MFI slow tapi masih naik, masih dibawah resistance kuat – level harga All Time High, masih galau ini, tapi masih terlalu dini untuk window dressing, jadi kayanya wave 2 dulu tetep

Property yang firm, energy kemaren jalan tapi dari sector rotation kemungkinan bukan gilirannya lagi untuk jalan. Basic Materials dan Financials sedikit melemah, prediction saya Basic Materials yang lanjut, financials udahan dulu. Next nya transport

Daily Analysis 20220914

Daily Analysis 20220914

Global update:

September 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 1,200 points for worst day since June 2020 after hot inflation report

Stocks fell sharply on Tuesday after a key August inflation report came in hotter than expected, hurting investor optimism for cooling prices and a less aggressive Federal Reserve.

Dow…….31105 -1276.4 -3.94%‼️
Nasdaq.11634 -632.8 -5.16%‼️
S&P 500..3932 -177.7 -4.32%‼️

FTSE…….7386 -87.2 -1.17%
Dax……..13189 -213.2 -1.59%
CAC……..6246 -87.9 -1.39%

Nikkei….28615 +72.5 +0.25%
HSI……..19327 -35.4 -0.18%
Shanghai..3264 +1.7 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7318.02 +63.56 +0.88%
LQ45…1042.64 +9.85 +0.95%

IDX Energy..2063.78 +16.76 +0.82%
IDX Bsc Mat.1334.42 -5.20 -0.39%
IDX Industrl..1390.40 +18.58 +1.35%
IDXNONCYC..703.79 +4.24 +0.61%
IDX Hlthcare.1464.26 +9.86: +0.68%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.78 -1.86 -0.21%
IDX Techno..7647.98 -45.90 -0.60%
IDX Transp…1927.02 +42.22 +2.24%
IDX Infrast…..1034.62 +6.15 +0.60%
IDX Finance 1536.62 +28.20 +1.87%
IDX Banking..1193.06 +23.02 +1.97%
IDX Property…734 +7.80 +1.08%

Indo10Yr….7.1745 -0.0089 -0.12%
ICBI……..336.7872 +0.2684 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.4220 +0.0600 +1.78%
VIX……….27.27 +3.40 +14.24%‼️

USDIndx 109.8150 +1.4850 +1.37%
Como Indx..285.77 -1.85 -0.64%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..155.12 -0.37 -0.24%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14851.50 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor..14861.00 +22.00 +0.15%

Euro……..0.9970 -0.0152 -1.50%

TLKM……..29.58 -0.88 -2.89%‼️
(4396)
EIDO………24.33 -0.26 -1.06%
EEM………38.36 -1.22 -3.08%‼️

Oil…………..87.71 -0.28 -0.32%
Gold ……..1712.70 -23.50 -1.35%
Timah. .21461.00 +296.00 +1.40%
( Closed 12/9)
Nickel…24142.50 -307.50 -1.26%
(Closed 13/9)
Silver…….19.29 -0.52 -2.62%
Copper….353.10 -8.45 -2.34%

Nturl Gas…..8.398 -0.011 -0.13%

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(12/9)

Coal price….439.35 +1.85 +0.42%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.65 +1.15 +0.27%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.00 +4.00 +0.96%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….336.00 +7.00 +2.13%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.50 +10.00 +3.28%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.75 +9.50 +3.11%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3900 +218 +5.92%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..692.75 -3.25 -0.47%
SoybeanOil…66.73 +0.24 +0.36%
Wheat……..860.50 +1.75 +0.20%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US drop dalem banget, Eropa ikut merah tapi ga terlalu dalem, mungkin sentimen negatif keluar ga lama marketnya tutup. Asia masih pada ijo sisa sentimen hari sebelumnya, cuma hangseng yang merah

Ini worst fear saya, diangkat sampe seolah-olah mau bikin record high, terus dibanting dalem pas saat semua orang lagi greed. Secara technical, jebakan technical persis kaya gini ada di tahun kemaren, pas keluar MACD buy signal pas index dibawa turun lagi

 

Kemungkinan besar akan dibanting dulu, semoga ga semua sektor dibawa kebawah

IHSG – technically relatif bagus. Memang dari kemarin kemarin sudah dikhawatirkan akan drop bikin Wave 2, cuma belum start aja, karena finance LK pada bagus dan bikin new record high BBCA BMRI, otomatis index keangkat. Ada regular Bearsih Divergence MACD dan ada 3 gap di bawah dan stochastic siap sell yang mendukung koreksi. kalo masih ada profit dan sempet exit bagusnya exit dulu

Yang mungkin contrarian sama index di Basic Materials sama Property, tapi tetep kalo sentimen awal pasti ikut keseret kebawah. Industrials cacingnya masih up aja, tapi udah wave 5 dan ada sentimen negatif kayanya udahan dulu. Financials ga usah dibahas, pasti ngikut index

Daily Analysis 20220912

Daily Analysis 20220912

Global update:

September 12th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points higher, stocks snap 3-week Fed-induced slide

U.S. stocks rallied Friday as Wall Street caps off a strong weekly performance, recovering from a Federal Reserve-induced slump.

Dow…….32152 +377.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq.12112 +250.2 +2.11%
S&P 500..4067 +61.2 +1.53%

FTSE…….7351 +89.0 +1.23%
Dax……..13088 +183.9 +1.43%
CAC……..6212 +86.4 +1.41%

Nikkei….28215 +149.5 +0.53%
HSI……..19362 +507.6 +2.69%
Shanghai..3262 +26.5 +0.82%
ST Times..3263 +29.3 +0.91%

IDX…….7242.66 +10.64 +0.15%
LQ45…1032.00 +3.94 +0.38%

IDX Energy..2010.73 -6.01 -0.30%
IDX Bsc Mat.1336.80 -0.33 -0.02%
IDX Industrl..1365.38 -0.45 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC..696.95 +0.09 +0.01%
IDX Hlthcare.1437.62 +12.35 +0.87%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.15 -3.78 -0.43%
IDX Techno..7637.19 -19.58 -0.26%
IDX Transp…1903.27 -9.73 -0.51%
IDX Infrast…..1034.61 -3.05 -0.29%
IDX Finance 1513.59 -2.68 -0.18%
IDX Banking..1172.54 +2.41 +0.21%
IDX Property…713 +5.20 +0.74%

Indo10Yr….7.1959 -0.0104 -0.15%
ICBI……..335.9986 +0.2725 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.3210 +0.0290 +0.88%
VIX…………22.79 -0.82 -3.47%

USDIndx 109.0030 -0.6540 -0.60%
Como Indx..284.12 +5.81 +2.09%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.36 +3.14 +2.11%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14830.00 -70.50 -0.47%
Jisdor..14846.00 -59.00 -0.40%

Euro……..1.0042 +0.0043 +0.43%

TLKM……..30.44 +0.13 +0.43%
(4519)
EIDO………24.37 +0.15 +0.62%
EEM………39.00 +0.57 +1.48%

Oil…………..86.79 +3.25 +3.89%‼
Gold ……..1728.60 +8.40 +0.49%
Timah. .20851.00 -355.00 -1.67%
( Closed 07/9)
Nickel…23032.00 +1161.00 +5.31%‼
(Closed 09/9)
Silver…….18.77 +0.33 +1.76%
Copper….356.80 +4.10 +1.16%

Nturl Gas…..8.038 +0.072 +0.90%

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/9)

Coal price….435.25 -5.10 -1.16%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….430.60 -3.50 -0.81%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….421.25 -2.00 -0.47%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….337.00 -4.00 -1.17%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….320.00 -11.50 -3.47%‼
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….334.50 -17.35 -4.24%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3595 +53 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..685.00 +16.50 +2.47%
SoybeanOil…64.82 +1.59 +2.51%
Wheat……..869.50 +40.50 +4.89%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing semua regional index ijo… Tapi global crisis belum beres

Kita liat chart nya DJI deh

DJI – stoch buy, macd almost buy, alligator sw, supertrend down, 3 white soldiers, ga up jum’at, bullish divergence dan hidden bullish divergence confirmed by MA10, EMA 9-21 baru death cross, price masih dibawah EMA 50. Mungkin hanya technical rebound, karena issue nya belum bener2 solved

Kalo liat ini sih getting ready untuk wave 3…

Sepertinya akan koreksi dulu tutup gap, konsolidasi, baru setelah MA nya firm mulai jalan wave 3

Harga komoditas terkait energy drop, oil sama coal, udah pas lah bawa energy ABC correction dulu. Natural Gas ijo tapi ga terlalu tebel

Gold silver copper naik, pas buat MDKA, nikel naik tinggi, cocok buat ANTM INCO, tin turun tapi. CPO naik, semoga panjang biar AALI LSIP bisa rebound

IHSG – MADC nya masih sideways, belum berhasil cross, selama masih belum bikin new record high masih lebih besar kemungkinan turun bikin wave 2 dulu

IHSG – foreign masih masuk terus, diluar itu sih keliatan mentok mau ke atas…

Basic Materials, Industrials, yang lain belum

Property udah mulai gerak tapi di RSI quadrant belum keliatan