Global Update:

August 11th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks soar, S&P 500 hits highest level in three months after key report shows slowdown in inflation

Stocks rose sharply on Wednesday after a key inflation reading showed a better-than-expected slowdown for rising prices.

Dow…….33310 +535.1 +1.63%
Nasdaq.12855 +360.9 +2.89%
S&P 500..4210 +87.8 +2.13%

FTSE…….7507 +18.96 +0.25%
Dax……..13701 +165.96+1.23%
CAC……..6523 +33.4 +0.52%

Nikkei….27819 -180.6 -0.65%
HSI……..19611 -392.6 -1.96%
Shanghai..3230 -17.4 -0.54%
ST Times..3266 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7086.24 -16.64 -0.23%
LQ45…1007.80 -0.91 -0.09%

IDX Energy…1804.40 -8.29 -0.46%
IDX Bsc Mat.1331.39 -2.06 -0.15%
IDX Industrl..1304.12 -6.47 -0.49%
IDXNONCYC..703.96 +0.88 +0.12%
IDX Hlthcare.1410.29 -0.76 -0.05%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.33 -4.75 -0.53%
IDX Techno..8034.75 +68.02 +0.85%
IDX Transp…2092.28 -24.32 -1.15%
IDX Infrast…..1032.41 -6.30 -0.61%
IDX Finance 1528.26 -2.14 -0.14%
IDX Banking..1163.84 +10.52 +0.91%
IDX Property…..696 -3.10 -0.44%

Indo10Yr….7.2089 -0.0166 -0.23%
ICBI……..334.4811 -0.1082 -0.03%
US10Yr…..2.7860 -0.0110 -0.39%
VIX…………19.74 -2.03 -9.32%👍

USDIndx 105.2290 -1.069 -1.01%‼️
Como Indx..289.27 +4.73 +1.66%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.47 +2.89 +1.83%

IndoCDS…112.24 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14870.50 +18.00 +0.12%
Jisdor..14875 .00 +13.00 +0.09%

Euro………1.0303 +0.0089 +0.87%

TLKM……..30.65 -0.38 -1.22%
(4559)
EIDO………24.00 +0.20 +0.84%
EEM………40.46 +0.50 +1.25%

Oil…………..91.58 +1.08 +1.19%
Gold ……..1808.30 -4.30 -0.24%
Timah. .24426.00 +126 +0.52%
( Closed 09/8)
Nickel…22436.00 +909.50 +4.23%‼️
(Closed 10/8)
Silver…….20.57 -0.10 -0.48%
Copper….363.70 +5.20 +1.45%

Nturl Gas…..8.221 +0.382 +4.87%‼️

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(09/8)

Coal price….398.65 +14.15 +3.68%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….401.00 +26.00 +6.93%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….390.00 +25.50 +7.00%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.75 +13.25 +4.03%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….342.00 +24.35 +7.79%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….329.00 +25.00 +8.22%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
CPO(Okt)……4106 -19 -0.46%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………618.50 +4.50 +0.73%
SoybeanOil…65.99 +1.37 +2.12%
Wheat………816.25 +17.00 +2.13%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 10/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Fixed ini sih tutup gap atas, hehehe… US ijo tebel, komoditas pada naik, yang turun cuma gold sama silver

Kalo misalnya dikejar tutup gap hari ini langsung, ada bagusnya SOS, ada kemungkinan jum’at jadi hari profit taking sedunia, hehehe

Sell 1/2 muatan dulu sih prudentnya di saham2 yang sudah naik tinggi. Kalo yang baru mulai jalan kita assess detail dulu

Semua indicator masih firm per sekarang, tapi stochastic sudah sangat overbought dan MACD sudah ada pelandaian curve, histogram mulai turun. Jadi untuk rally lebih jauh kemungkinannya lebih kecil dibanding koreksi dulu setelah tutup gap

Industrial dan energy secara umum sudah melemah, infra property techno yang keliatan mau jalan, basic material mantul lagi setelah melemah. Isi porto dan watchlist yang ada di sektor yang melemah nanti kita bahas, jangan sampai telat exit kalo memang sudah selesai manggung

Global Update:

August 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rally to reverse two-day slide, surging on rosy earnings results and economic data

U.S. stocks rallied Wednesday, clawing back losses from earlier in the week, as traders cheered better-than-expected economic data that helped allay recession fears.

Dow…….32813 +416.3 +1.29%
Nasdaq.12668 +319.4 +2.59%
S&P 500..4155 +63.98 +1.56%

FTSE…….7446 +36.6 +0.49%
Dax……..13588 +138.4 +1.03%
CAC……..6472 +62.3 +0.97%

Nikkei….27742 +147.2 +0.53%
HSI……..19767 +77.9 +0.40%
Shanghai..3164 -22.6 -0.71%
ST Times..3252 +12.9 +0.40%

IDX…….7046.64 +58.48 +0.84%
LQ45…..999.95 +11.34 +1.15%

IDX Energy…1812.83 -2.89 -0.16%
IDX Bsc Mat.1294.97 +7.38 +0.57%
IDX Industrl..1327.61 -1.01 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC..702.14 -3.05 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1431.37 -3.15 -0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..886.80 -9.53 -1.06%
IDX Techno..7883.27 +246.11 +3.22%
IDX Transp…1988.43 -5.04 -0.25%
IDX Infrast…..1021.65 +22.64+2.27%
IDX Finance 1518.99 +14.22 +0.94%
IDX Banking..1142.53 +10.67 +0.94%
IDX Property…….69r +o.94 -0.26%

Indo10Yr….7.3249 +0.0394 +0.54%
ICBI……..332.3687 -0.5567 -0.17%
US10Yr…..2.74i0 +0.0070 +0.26%
VIX…………21.95 -1.87 -8.27%‼️

USDIndx 106.5060 +0.2650 +0.25%‼️
Como Indx..281.72 -1.98 -0.70%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.47 -1.83 -1.19%

*IndoCDS…127.15 – – *
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14911.50 +22.50 +0.15%‼️
Jisdor..14917.00 +29.00 +0.19%‼️

Euro………1.0164 -0.0006 -0.06%

TLKM……..29.88 +1.28 +4.48%‼️
(4457)
EIDO………23.38 +0.24 +1.04%
EEM………39.74 +0.31 +0.79%

Oil…………91.02 -2.68 -2.86%
Gold ……1780.60 +7.00 +0.39%
Timah. .24249.00 -651.00 -2.61%
( Closed 02/8)
Nickel…22552.00 +210.00 +0.94%
(Closed 03/8)
Silver…….20.00 +0.08 +0.40%
Copper….347.25 -0.15 -0.04%

Nturl Gas…..8.288 +0.612 +7.97%‼️

Ammonia….3856.67 +83.34 +2.21%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/8)

Coal price….393.50 -10.00 -2.48%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….378.55 -17.20 -4.35%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.00 -11.05 -3.01%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…336.45 -14.55 -4.15%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3860 +19 +0.49%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………596.25 +2.00 +0.34%
SoybeanOil…61.00 -0.39 -0.64%
Wheat………763.75 -11.00 -1.42%

Wood pulp…6722.00 +6 +0.09%
(Closed 03/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren IHSG ijo tebel, closing market rata2 ijo semua, kecuali shanghai yang minus. US kenceng banget, semoga jadi pendorong index kita ijo tebel lagi hari ini, biar cepet tutup gap diatas dulu

Oil turun lagi, terus stay dibawah 100 usd per barrel, coal dibawah 400 usd per MT, rada cocok buat bawa energy koreksi wave c. Metal tipis tipis kecuali timah yang agak jauh turunnya. ANTM TINS INCO sideways dulu kayanya. Gas naik tinggi, semoga PGAS lanjut jalan. CPO naik dikit, belum jadi bawa AALI sama LSIP ke atas

Terlalu optimis dengan outlook IHSG dengan elliot wave nya? Mungkin, tapi gpp lah, namanya juga forecast optimistic…

Stochastic signal buy lagi, MACD masih Up, supertrend masih up, alligator up, bagu breakout cloud ichimoku, parabolic sar masih UP, LR channel target cocok sama gap closing. Semoga bener sampe minimal gap closing sebelum wave 2

Global Update:

Agust 02nd, 2022

Good morning,

Stock were flat in overnight trading after a new month of trading kicked off for the markets.

Dow…….32798 -46.7 -0.14%
Nasdaq.12368 -21.7 -0.18%
S&P 500..4119 -11.7 -0.28%

FTSE…….7413 -10.01 -0.13%
Dax……..13480 -4.4 -0.03%
CAC……..6437 -11.6 -0.18%

Nikkei….27933 +191.7 +0.69%
HSI……..20166 +9.3 +0.05%
Shanghai..3260 +6.7 +0.21%
ST Times..3239 +27.2 +0.85%

IDX…….6968.78 +17.66 +0.25%
LQ45…..981.99 +3.36 +0.34%

IDX Energy…1866.79 +9.07 +0.49%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.25 +12.65 +0.99%
IDX Industrl..1305.00 -3.51 -0.27%
IDXNONCYC..708.11 +5.51 +0.78%
IDX Hlthcare.1433.44 -20.03 -1.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.41 -6.94 -0.77%
IDX Techno..7654.70 -59.61 -0.77%
IDX Transp…2000.56 +36.50 +1.86%
IDX Infrast……996.08 +7.38 +0.75%
IDX Finance 1504.50 +4.66 +0.31%
IDX Banking..1121.79 +2.80 +0.25%
IDX Property…….691 +1.60 +0.23%

Indo10Yr….7.2101 -0.0236 -0.32%👍
ICBI……..333.1013 +0.3337 +0.10%👍
US10Yr…..2.6060 -0.0360 -1.36%
VIX…………22.84 +1.51 +7.08%

USDIndx 105.4500 -0.4530 -0.43%‼️
Como Indx..286.11 -5.95 -2.04%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.76 -1.23 -0.78%

IndoCDS…120.08 +5.04 +4.38%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14873.00 +39.00 +0.26%
Jisdor..14874.00 +14.00 +0.09%

Euro………1.0262 +0.0042 +0.41%

TLKM……..28.74 +0.24 +0.84%
(4275)
EIDO………23.23 +0.12 +0.52%
EEM………39.62 -0.34 -0.85%

Oil…………93.91 -5.01 -5.08%‼️
Gold ……1788.90 +7.10 +0.40%
Timah. .25047.00 – –
( Closed 29/7)
Nickel…24344.00 +490.00 +2.05%‼️
(Closed 01/8)
Silver…….20.32 +0.12 +0.59%
Copper….353.60 -3.75 -1.05%

Nturl Gas…..8.218 -0.068 -0.82%

Ammonia….3690.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(28/7)

Coal price….405.00 -0.50 -0.12%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….393.40 -1.10 -0.28%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.00 -6.50 -1.75%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…353.30 -6.20 -1.72%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..4073 -233 -5.41%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………609.75 -10.25 -1.65%
SoybeanOil…63.26 -2.40 -3.66%
Wheat………800.25 -7.50 -0.93%

Wood pulp…6690.00 +30 +0.45%
(Closed 01/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Kebanyakan index regional tipis tipis, ada yang ijo tipis ada yang merah tipis. Jepang sama Singapore aja yang rada tebel.

Harga komoditas terkait energy turun semua,mungkin ini mulai mau pullback dulu di energy, walau sebenernya oil belum jalan jalan amat sih. Long run masih ok, yang masih mau hold asal punya modal bawah masih ok, TP sebagian lebih rekomended, nanti re buy di saat rebound

Metal2 an naik kecuali copper, CPO drop lagi, padahal diperkirakan saham CPO mau start rally tadinya

IHSG – Alligator Buy, Supertrend Up, ada gap di atas, LR seems to test upper channel, MACD looking good, inside ichimoku cloud, hopefully breaks upwards. Stochastic nya yang udah sell signal, minta turun…

Semoga sesuai skenario yang diharapkan, tutup gap dulu terus pullback pas efek LK big banks lewat, pas tutup gap kita profit taking dulu

Global Update:

June 29th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow falls nearly 500 points as bear market bounce loses steam

U.S. stocks fell on Tuesday, erasing earlier gains as the market failed to keep its rebound from the bear-market lows going

Dow…….30947 -491.3 -1.56%
Nasdaq.11182 -343.01 -2.98%
S&P 500..3822 -78.6 -2.01%

FTSE…….7323 +65.1 +0.90%
Dax……..13232 +45.8 +0.35%
CAC……..6086 +38.7 +0.64%

Nikkei….27050 +178.2 +0.66%
HSI……..22419 +189.5 +0.85%
Shanghai..3409 +30.03 +0.89%
ST Times..3140 +2.7 +0.09%

IDX…….6996.46 -19.60 -0.28%
LQ45….1007.64 -3.10 -0.31%

IDX Energy…1666.37 +19.54 +1.19%
IDX Bsc Mat.1261.96 -18.59 -1.45%
IDX Industrl..1236.21 +0.39 +0.03%
IDXNONCYC..726.84 +0.47 +0.07%
IDX Hlthcare.1500.99 +2.63 +0.01%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.15 -0.96 -0.11%
IDX Techno..7739.02 -77.57 -0.99%
IDX Transp…2076.98 -9.91 -0.47%
IDX Infrast……977.78 +0.25 +0.03%
IDX Finance 1457.07 -15.18 -1.03%
IDX Property…….685 -4.70 -0.68%

Indo10Yr….7.4097 -0.0186 -0.25%
ICBI……….330.1680 +0.2728 +0.08%
US10Yr….3.2060 +0.0120 +0.38%
VIX…………28.36 +1.41 +5.23%

USDIndx 104.5060 +0.5670 +0.55%
Como Indx….301.00 +2.22 +0.74%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..159.85 +0.71 +0.44%

IndoCDS…127.24 -0.58 -0.45%
(5-yr INOCD5) .

IDR……14830.50 +33.50 +0.23%‼️
Jisdor..14837.00 +33.00 +0.2%‼️

Euro………1.0520 -0.0062 -0.59%

TLKM……..27.21 -0.38 -1.38%
(4037)
EIDO……….22.72 -0.17 -0.74%
EEM……….40.45 -0.25 -0.61%

Oil………….111.82 +1.94 +1.77%
Gold …… .1820.70 -2.40 -0.13%
Timah. .26991.00 +2401 +9.76%‼️
( Closed 27/6)
Nickel..23237.50 +299.50 +1.31%
(Closed 28/6)
Silver……….20.83 -0.33 -1.56%
Copper…..375.85 -0.15 -0.04%

Nturl Gas…..6.645 +0.201 +3.11%

Ammonia ..4883.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/6)

Coal price…393.50 +1.05 +0.27%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…376.45 +0.55 +0.15%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…366.50 -5.50 -1.48%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…348.00 -6.50 -1.83%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…4985 +65 +1.32%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..659.25 +6.25 +0.96%
SoybeanOil…..66.76 +1.08 +1.64%
Wheat………936.00 +18.50 +2.02%

Wood pulp…6616.00 +16 +0.24%
(Closed 28/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US closing merah dalem, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali IDX. Sudah 2 hari turun, IHSG harusnya ada rebound hari ini.
Timah nikel rebound, saatnya ANTM INCO TINS rebound. Coal lanjut naik, saham2 coal juga sudah lama oversold harusnya rebound
Oil naik lagi ke 111. ELSA MEDC kita assess detail abis ini

Customer Cyclical, Customer Non-cyclical, Property, Infrastructure