Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike

August 14th, 2023

Good morning,

Nasdaq Composite slips Friday, falls two weeks straight for the first time in 2023

The Nasdaq Composite
ended Friday lower and notched its second consecutive losing week in 2023 as semiconductor stocks languished.

Dow……35281 +105..3 +0.30%
Nasdaq13645 -76.2 -0.56%
S&P 500.4464 -4.8 -0.11%

FTSE…..7524 -94.4 -1.24%
Dax……15832 -164.4 -1.03%
CAC……7340 -93.4 -1.26%

Nikkei…32474 closed +0%
HSI…….19075 -173.1 -0.90%
*Shanghai.3189 -65.3 -2.01%*

IDX…..6879.98 -13.30 -0.19%
LQ45….964.35 -2.14 -0.22%
IDX30…500.02 -1.43 -0.28%

IDXEnergy…1934.23 -6.72 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1110.71 +11.74+1.07%
IDX Indstrl…1202.52 -2.07 -0.17%
IDXNONCYC.751.45 +1.23 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1478.86 -11.62 -0.78%
IDXCYCLIC….920.31 +6.43 +0.70%
IDX Techno.4447.38 -37.30 -0.83%
IDX Transp..1863.62 +15.12 +0.81%
IDX Infrast… .859.90 +2.69 +0.31%
IDX Finance.1423.81 -4.31 -0.30%
IDX Banking.1223.61 -4.45 -0.36%
IDX Property..757 +1.80 +0.24%

*Indo10Yr.6.3948* -0.0016 -0.03%
*ICBI….369.4534* +0.2564 +0.07%
*US2Yr.4.8920* +0.042 +0.87%
*US5Yr 4.3030* +0.069 +1.63%
*US10Yr4.1580* +0.0430 +0.10%
*US30Yr.4.2640* -0.0040 -0.09%
*VIX…….14.84 -1.01 -6.37%👍*

*USDIndx 102.8420* +0.2190 +0.21%
Como Indx…279.74 -0.23 -0.08%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….140.62 -1.94 -1.36%

*IndoCDS.81.21 +0.02 +0.02%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(11/08)*

*IDR…..15219.00‼️+34.00 +0.22%*
*Jisdor.15225.00 ‼️+21.00 +0.14%*

*Euro……1.0949 -0.0033 -0.30%*

TLKM…24.70 +0.13 +0.53%
*(3760)*
EIDO….22.92 -0.18 -0.78%
EEM…..39.56 -0.59 -1.47%

*Oil………83.19* +0.29 +0.35%
*Gold…1946.60* +1.70 +0.09%
*Timah..26457.00‼️* -428.00 -1.59%
*(Closed 11/08)*
Nickel..20327.50 -103.00 -0.50%
(Closed 11/08)
Silver…… 22.74 -0.02 -0.09%
Copper.371.90 -3.75 -1.00%

*Iron Ore 62% 105.37 +0.77 +0.74%*
(11/08)
Nturl Gas.2.7860 +0.0010 +0.04%
*Ammonia China..3366.67 unch +0%*
(Domestic Price)(10/08)

Coal price..144.00 +1.00 +0.70%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.50 +2.50 +1.68%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.85 +2.60 +1.71%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.157.85 +2.35 +1.51%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price116.50 -1.00 -0.69%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.75 +0.50 +0.41%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.90 +0.35 +0.29%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.50 +0.40 +0.33%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3751 +24 +0.64%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………487.25 -9.00 -1.81%
SoybeanOil 60.22 -0.26 -0.43%
Wheat……653.75 -10.00 -1.51%

*Wood pulp..4620.00* unch +0%
(Closed 13/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

 

Closing Jum’at US merah, europe ijo, asia kerah kecuali nikkei dan kospi.

USD index naik, kebanyakan metal turun, yang ijo Gold Iron Ore Oil Gas Coal CPO. Semoga ANTM MDKA ADRO PTBA INDY ITMG rebound

IHSG – harusnya otw fibo 61,stoch almost buy, MACD still down, MFI down, w% sw, jum’at balik FNS makanya drop. Hopefully mau breakout triangle ke atas sih, ini lagi penentuan arah

Yang arahnya masih bagus Infrastructure, Financials, Property (walau kemaren melemah) sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO TPIA ADHI BRMS DOID ISAT PTPP TINS WIKA

MACD Buy Signal: BUKA ICBPMPMX MTMH SSMS

Alligator Buy Signal: ACES PNLF

July 06th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow slips 100 points to snap 3-day win streak as investors consider Fed’s latest comments

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
slid on Wednesday as Wall Street resumed a holiday-shortened week and digested the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes for insights into the state of monetary policy.

Dow……34289 -129.8 -0.38%
Nasdaq13792 -25.1 -0.18%
S&P 500.4447 -8.8 -0.20%

FTSE…..7442 -77.6 -1.03%
Dax……15938 -101.6 -0.63%
CAC……7311 -59.1 -0.80%

Nikkei…..33339 -83.8 -0.25%
HSI………19110 -305.3 -1.57%
Shanghai.3223 -22.4 -0.69%

IDX…..6718.98 +37.22 +0.56%
LQ45….953.44 +4.71 +0.50%
IDX30…495.50 +2.54 +0.51%

IDXEnergy…1801.29 +26.50 +1.49%
IDX BscMat.1011.34 +15.97+1.60%
IDX Indstrl…1180.67 +7.99 +0.68%
IDXNONCYC.754.39 +1.75 +0.23%
IDX Hlthcare1483.31 +5.82 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC….893.37 +7.71 +0.87%
IDX Techno.4748.78 +16.41 +0.35%
IDX Transp..1943.76 +21.56 +1.12%
IDX Infrast… .863.17 +8.68 +1.02%
IDX Finance.1422.23 +1.54 +0.11%
IDX Banking.1190.01 +1.23 +0.10%
IDX Property..730 +6.50 +0.90%

Indo10Yr.6.2909👍 -0.0144 -0.23%
ICBI….368.6006👍 +0.1834 +0.05%
US2Yr.4.9470 +0.007 +0.14%
US5Yr 4.2490 +0.058 +1.38%
US10Yr3.9390 +0.085 +2.21%
US30Yr.3.9460 +0.089 +2.31%
VIX…….14.18 +0.48 +3.50%

USDIndx103.3730 +0.3340 +0.32%
Como Indx…262.80 +1.91 +0.73%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……141.50 -0.17 -0.12%

IndoCDS.85.19👍 -0.97 -1.13%
(5-yr INOCD5) (04/07)
IDR…..15017.50‼️+23.00 +0.15%
Jisdor.15013.00‼️-5.00 -0.03%

Euro……1.0854 -0.0025 -0.23%

TLKM…26.41 -0.01 -0.04%
(3965)
EIDO….23.09 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM…..39.76 -0.24 -0.60%

Oil…….71.88 +0.88 +1.24%
Gold…1923.70 -9.40 -0.49%
Timah..27320.00 -57.00 -0.21%
(Closed 04/07)
Nickel..21222.50 +683.0#0 +3.33%‼️
(Closed 05/07)
Silver….. 23.35 +0.18 +0.78%
Copper..376.10 -2.25 -0.59%

Iron Ore 62% 110.87 – -%
(03/07)
Nturl Gas.2.655 -0.087 -3.17%

Coal price.144.80 +1.65 +1.15%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.00 -0.25 -0.17%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.60 -0.45 -0.29%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.155.90 -1.65 -1.05%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price123.60 +0.30 +0.24%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.15 +1.25 +1.03%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.45 +1.21%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.65 +1.38%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3862 -22 -0.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..493.50 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 61.40 +1.21 +2.01%
Wheat…674.25 +32.50 +5.06%‼️

Wood pulp..4250.00 +20 +0.47%
(Closed 05/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

US europe asia merah, IHSG aja ijo sendiri, hihihi…. Alamat hari ini merah dulu

USD index up, Gold Copper down, Silver up, tin merah, nickel jump. Perlu liat INCO kita. Oil Coal up, Gas down, CPO down, bagus buat ngejar koreksi LSIP. ELSA MEDC ADRO INDY HRUM dkk lanjut harusnya

IHSG – udah FNB terus, good sign. stoch buy, MACD up,MFI sw, w% up, nyaris double bottom terus mantul, udah bikin higher low, udah diatas EMA20, semoga lanjut rally

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

 

Kalo index lagi ijo emang banyak banget nongol buy signal. Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO CPIN INDY SIDO UNTR AGRO BMTR ERAA HEAL HMSP LSIP MLPL MNCN SMRA AMFG

Kita perhatiin yang beneran Big Akum sama yang freq spike nya fresh, dan multiple factors: UNTR ERAA JSMR  LSIP MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM JSMR MLPL PTPP RMKE IGAR

Alligator Buy Signal: BMRI ELSA INCI

Supertrend Buy Signal: ADRO MDKA

June 15th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes nearly flat after Fed leaves rates unchanged, signals more hikes are coming

Stocks gyrated on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve paused its rate-hiking campaign and signaled it was making progress on fighting inflation

Dow……33979 -232.8 -0.68%
Nasdaq13626 +53.2 +0.39%
S&P 500.4373 +3.6 +0.08%

FTSE…..7603 +7.96 +0.10%
Dax……16311 +80.1 +0.49%
CAC……7328 +37.7 +0.52%

Nikkei…..33502 +483.8 +1.47%
HSI………19408 -113.0 -0.58%
Shanghai.3229 -4.7 -0.14%

IDX…..6699.72 -19.30 -0.29%
LQ45….949.81 -2.77 -0.29%
IDX30…494.00 -2.11 -0.42%

IDXEnergy…1791.15 +13.85 +0.78%
IDX BscMat…997.92 +12.65 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl…1180.20 +11.51 +0.98%
IDXNONCYC.747.61 -0.47 -0.06%
IDX Hlthcare1507.53 -18.80 -1.23%
IDXCYCLIC…884.65 -4.06 -0.46%
IDX Techno..4881.67 -51.97 -1.06%
IDX Transp..1958.33 +0.68 +0.03%
IDX Infrast…..854.51 +1.75 +0.21%
IDX Finance.1400.13 -4.75 -0.34%
IDX Banking.1172.08 -7.33 -0.67%
IDX Property..744 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.3417 -0.0124 -0.20%👍
ICBI..366.9494 +0.2153 +0.06%👍
US2Yr.4.707 +0.038 +0.81%
US5Yr 3.994 -0.007 -0.17%
US10Yr3.7940-0.020 -0.52%
US30Yr.3.8930-0.031 -0.79%
VIX……13.88 -0.73 -5.00%👍

USDIndx102.9480 -0.3900 -0.38%
Como Indx.260.27 -0.54 -0.21%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……148.03 +2.80 +1.93%

*IndoCDS.84.20👍 +0.01 +0.01%*[
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/06)

IDR…..14906.50‼ +43.00 +0.29%
Jisdor.14895.00‼ +27.00 +0.18%

Euro……1.0834 +0.0042 +0.39%

TLKM…26.83 +0.03 +0.11%
(3996)
EIDO….23.46 -0.02 -0.09%
EEM…..40.64 +0.30 +0.74%

Oil……68.64 -0.52 -0.75%
Gold…1957.00 -0.90 -0.05%
Timah..26065.00 +164.00 +0.63%
(Closed 13/06)
Nickel..22683.50 +635.50 +2.88%‼
(Closed 14/06)
Silver……24.00 +0.25 +1.05%
Copper..385.70. +2.80 +0.73%

Iron Ore 62% 112.45 +1.31 +1.18
(13/06)
Nturl Gas.2.338 +0.010 +0.42%

Coal price.132.00 -0.25 -0.19%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.15 -1.10 -0.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.60 -1.05 -0.75%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.55 -0.95 -0.67%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price116.40 -1.10 -0.94%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.80 +1.05 +0.91%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.20 +1.60 +1.42%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.15 +1.70 +1.53%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3450 +28 +0.81%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……549.25 -2.00 -0.36%
SoybeanOil 53.71 +0.16 +0.30%
Wheat…630.25 -6.00 -0.94%

Wood pulp..4314.00 -20 -0.46%
(Closed 13/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah nasdaq ijo, europe ijo, asia varied, Fed Rate flat, signal bagus buat saham

Oil Coal merah, gas ijo, gold merah lagi tipis, silver copper ijo, timah nickel iron ore ijo, secara umum buat tambang mineral masih ok

IHSG – masih FF dist akhirnya kejedot fibo 23 terus koreksi begitu BD mulai dist juga… stoch masih up, macd up, MFI sw, w% down, minor IHNS in the making, kalo bener level support nya udah touched hari ini, tinggal mantul

Masih Energy dan Basic Materials, technology mulai goyang, transportation healthcare sama industrials masih ok

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII MBSS SGRO

MACD Buy Signal: TOWR BTPS HEAL LPPF

Alligator Buy Signal: TOWR ADHI MIKA MYOR PTPP SGER

Supertrend Buy Signal: TKIM