Daily Analysis 20221115

Daily Analysis 20221115

November 15th, 2022

Good morning,

The Dow struggled for direction, but ended Monday in the red as investors digested remarks from the Federal Reserve officials insisting further rate hikes were ahead, albeit at a slower pace, as the fight against inflation was far from over.

Dow…….33537 -211.2 -0.63%
Nasdaq.11196 -127.1 -1.12%
S&P 500..3957 -36.7 -0.89%

FTSE…….7385 +67.1 +0.92%
Dax……..14313 +88.4 +0.62%
CAC……..6609 +14.6 +0.22%

Nikkei….27963 -300.1 -1.06%
HSI……..17620 +294.1 +1.70%
Shanghai..3083 -3.9 -0.13%
ST Times..3261 +32.5 +1.01%

IDX…….7019.39 -69.81 -0.98%
LQ45….1001.02 -11.92 -1.18%

IDX Energy..1961.54 -19.03 -0.96%
IDX Bsc Mat.1314.95 -3.32 -0.25%
IDX Industrl..1217.86 -9.68 -0.79%
IDXNONCYC..729.61 +4.83 +0.67%
IDX Hlthcare.1490.86 +9.83 +0.66%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.72 -1.53 -0.17%
IDX Techno.6780.62 -160.24 -2.31%
IDX Transp…1805.12 -3.29 -0.18%
IDX Infrast……918.36 -6.75 -0.73%
IDX Finance 1487.11 -14.21 -0.94%
IDX Banking.1186.61 -17.21 -1.43%
IDX Property….698 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.3943 -0.0568 -0.76%‼️
ICBI……..336.2150 +0.9043 +0.27%👍
US10Yr..3.8650 +0.0520 +1.36%
VIX……23.73 +1.21 +5.37%‼️

USDIndx..106.9310 +0.6390 +0.60%
Como Indx..282.16 -3.63 -1.27%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……167.03 +2.68 +1.63%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 -19.45 -15.60%‼️👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15519.50 +24.50 +0.16%
Jisdor..15499.00 +6.00 +0.04%

Euro……..1.0328 -0.0019 0.18%

TLKM……..25.84 -0.14 -0.54%
(4005)
EIDO………23.37 -0.38 -1.60%
EEM……….37.93 -0.23 -0.60%

Oil…………85.87 -3.09 -3.47%‼️
Gold ……1776.90 +7.50 +0.42%
Timah…..21315 – –
(Closed 11/11)
Nickel…29066.50 +1639.50 +5.97%‼️
(Closed 14/11)
Silver………22.11 +0.45 +2.06%
Copper…..382.75 -8.60 -2.19%

Nturl Gas…..6.069 +0.167 +2.83%

Ammonia..4363.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/11)

Coal price….330.35 +3.55 +1.09%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….309.50 +9.50 +3.17%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….304.65 +8.65 +2.92%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….194.00 +3.45 +1.81%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….192.50 +12.00 +6.65%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….192.00 +10.70 +5.90%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 -2.00 -2.18%
Indonesial Coal Index (1+/11)

CPO(Jan)……4108 -182 -4.24%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….659.25 -3.75 -0.57%
SoybeanOil…73.88 -0.66 -0.89%
Wheat………838.25 +3.00 +0.36%

Wood pulp…6670.00 -30 -0.45%
(Closed 14/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Asia varied, Europe ijo, US merah lagi… Kemaren merah dalem IHSG, udah tutup gap, kayanya sekarang ijo walau ga tebel…

Gold Copper merah, Silver Nickel Ijo, bagus buat INCO, MDKA kurang… Oil lanjut turun lagi, gas naik, coal naik, cpo turun. Ini energy geraknya gantian terus oil sama coal, jadi ga set entry nya…

IHSG – udah tutup gap, dan kalo hari ini flat aja, lagging line ichimoku udah tembus candle –> bullish

IHSG – yang jadi masalah itu masih FNS terus… Gimana gimana juga kalo asing keluar ya harga saham terutama yang mereka lepas turun. Ini MACD nya rada critical, semoga ga reverse ke bawah. Stochastic dan MFI sih udah siap mantul

Basic Materials, Technology, Consumer Cyclicals… Property sama Infrastructure keliatan mau gerak

Daily Analysis 20220914

Daily Analysis 20220914

Global update:

September 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 1,200 points for worst day since June 2020 after hot inflation report

Stocks fell sharply on Tuesday after a key August inflation report came in hotter than expected, hurting investor optimism for cooling prices and a less aggressive Federal Reserve.

Dow…….31105 -1276.4 -3.94%‼️
Nasdaq.11634 -632.8 -5.16%‼️
S&P 500..3932 -177.7 -4.32%‼️

FTSE…….7386 -87.2 -1.17%
Dax……..13189 -213.2 -1.59%
CAC……..6246 -87.9 -1.39%

Nikkei….28615 +72.5 +0.25%
HSI……..19327 -35.4 -0.18%
Shanghai..3264 +1.7 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7318.02 +63.56 +0.88%
LQ45…1042.64 +9.85 +0.95%

IDX Energy..2063.78 +16.76 +0.82%
IDX Bsc Mat.1334.42 -5.20 -0.39%
IDX Industrl..1390.40 +18.58 +1.35%
IDXNONCYC..703.79 +4.24 +0.61%
IDX Hlthcare.1464.26 +9.86: +0.68%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.78 -1.86 -0.21%
IDX Techno..7647.98 -45.90 -0.60%
IDX Transp…1927.02 +42.22 +2.24%
IDX Infrast…..1034.62 +6.15 +0.60%
IDX Finance 1536.62 +28.20 +1.87%
IDX Banking..1193.06 +23.02 +1.97%
IDX Property…734 +7.80 +1.08%

Indo10Yr….7.1745 -0.0089 -0.12%
ICBI……..336.7872 +0.2684 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.4220 +0.0600 +1.78%
VIX……….27.27 +3.40 +14.24%‼️

USDIndx 109.8150 +1.4850 +1.37%
Como Indx..285.77 -1.85 -0.64%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..155.12 -0.37 -0.24%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14851.50 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor..14861.00 +22.00 +0.15%

Euro……..0.9970 -0.0152 -1.50%

TLKM……..29.58 -0.88 -2.89%‼️
(4396)
EIDO………24.33 -0.26 -1.06%
EEM………38.36 -1.22 -3.08%‼️

Oil…………..87.71 -0.28 -0.32%
Gold ……..1712.70 -23.50 -1.35%
Timah. .21461.00 +296.00 +1.40%
( Closed 12/9)
Nickel…24142.50 -307.50 -1.26%
(Closed 13/9)
Silver…….19.29 -0.52 -2.62%
Copper….353.10 -8.45 -2.34%

Nturl Gas…..8.398 -0.011 -0.13%

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(12/9)

Coal price….439.35 +1.85 +0.42%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.65 +1.15 +0.27%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.00 +4.00 +0.96%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….336.00 +7.00 +2.13%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.50 +10.00 +3.28%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.75 +9.50 +3.11%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3900 +218 +5.92%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..692.75 -3.25 -0.47%
SoybeanOil…66.73 +0.24 +0.36%
Wheat……..860.50 +1.75 +0.20%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US drop dalem banget, Eropa ikut merah tapi ga terlalu dalem, mungkin sentimen negatif keluar ga lama marketnya tutup. Asia masih pada ijo sisa sentimen hari sebelumnya, cuma hangseng yang merah

Ini worst fear saya, diangkat sampe seolah-olah mau bikin record high, terus dibanting dalem pas saat semua orang lagi greed. Secara technical, jebakan technical persis kaya gini ada di tahun kemaren, pas keluar MACD buy signal pas index dibawa turun lagi

 

Kemungkinan besar akan dibanting dulu, semoga ga semua sektor dibawa kebawah

IHSG – technically relatif bagus. Memang dari kemarin kemarin sudah dikhawatirkan akan drop bikin Wave 2, cuma belum start aja, karena finance LK pada bagus dan bikin new record high BBCA BMRI, otomatis index keangkat. Ada regular Bearsih Divergence MACD dan ada 3 gap di bawah dan stochastic siap sell yang mendukung koreksi. kalo masih ada profit dan sempet exit bagusnya exit dulu

Yang mungkin contrarian sama index di Basic Materials sama Property, tapi tetep kalo sentimen awal pasti ikut keseret kebawah. Industrials cacingnya masih up aja, tapi udah wave 5 dan ada sentimen negatif kayanya udahan dulu. Financials ga usah dibahas, pasti ngikut index

Daily Analysis 20220810

Daily Analysis 20220810

Global Update:

August 10th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq falls more than 1% as chip stocks struggle, key inflation report looms

Stocks fell on Tuesday as investors navigated a batch of disappointing company reports ahead of a key inflation reading.

Dow…….32774 -58.1 -0.18%
Nasdaq.12494 -150.5 -1.19%
S&P 500..4123 -17.5 -0.42%

FTSE…….7488 +5.8 +0.08%
Dax……..13535 -152.7 -1.12%
CAC……..6490 -34.4 -0.53%

Nikkei….27999 -249.3 -0.88%
HSI……..20003 -42.3 -0.21%
Shanghai..3247 +10.50 +0.32%
ST Times..3270 -11.9 -0.36%

IDX…….7102.88 +16.03 +0.23%
LQ45…1009.71 +1.56 +0.16%

IDX Energy…1812.69 +43.65 +2.47%
IDX Bsc Mat.1333.45 +6.55 +0.42%
IDX Industrl..1310.58 -0.43 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC..703.09 -3.76 -0.53%
IDX Hlthcare.1411.05 -12.06 -0.85%
IDXCYCLIC…..901.08 -0.09 -0.01%
IDX Techno..7966.73 +11.57 +0.15%
IDX Transp…2116.60 +16.11 +0.77%
IDX Infrast…..1038.71 +1.17 +0.11%
IDX Finance 1530.40 +5.95 +0.39%
IDX Banking..1163.84 +10.52 +0.91%
IDX Property…..699 +0.90 +0.13%

Indo10Yr….7.2267 -0.0412 -0.57%👍
ICBI……..334.5894 +0.8171 +0.34%👍
US10Yr…..2.7970 +0.0320 +1.16%
VIX…………21.77 +0.48 +2.25%

USDIndx 106.3010 -0.1340 -0.13%
Como Indx..284.54 +2.74 +0.97%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.58 +1.53 +0.98%

IndoCDS…112.24 -5.02 -4.28%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14852.50 -23.50 -0.16%
Jisdor..14862 .00 -53.00 -0.36%

Euro………1.0214 +0.0020 +0.20%

TLKM……..31.03 -0.31 -0.99%
(4612)
EIDO………23.80 +0.09 +0.38%
EEM………39.96 -0.15 -0.37%

Oil…………..90.50 -0.09 -0.10%
Gold ……1812.30 +7.30 +0.40%
Timah. .24300.00 -155 -0.63%
( Closed 08/8)
Nickel…21526.50 -115.50 -0.53%
(Closed 09/8)
Silver…….20.67 +0.83 +4.18%
Copper….358.50 +3.30 +0.93%

Nturl Gas…..7.839 +0.183 +2.39%

Ammonia….3806.67 -83.33 -2.14%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/8)

Coal price….384.50 +13.50 +3.64%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.00 +14.50 +4.02%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….328.75 +8.75 +2.73%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….312.65 +16.40 +5.54%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4125 +49 +1.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………614.00 +6.75 +1.11%
SoybeanOil…64.62 +0.30 +0.47%
Wheat………781.50 +1.75 +0.22%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 09/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

Index regional hampir semua merah kecuali Inggris sama China. IHSG juga sempet ijo tebel tapi closing rada tipis. Energy sama banking yang mimpin gerakan

Oil turun dikit, gold silver copper naik – good for MDKA hold, timah nikel turun harusnya ngaruh ke INCO TINS tapi news tesla kayanya tetep bikin gorengan

Gas coal cpo naik, semoga PGAS kebawa naik, coal long bullish sampe januari, tapi kayanya ga mungkin sih 5 bulan rally terus, hehehe

AALI sama LSIP belum ada tanda2 jalan, secara umum consumer belum sih

Dari closing price kemaren ke gap closing selisih 1.01%, angka yang kalo dipaksain dapet dalam sehari, tapi kayanya ga akan kejadian. Tapi kalo bener dipaksain bisa jadi bahaya, bisa rejection candle terus langsung dibanting. Kalo kejadian di pump and dump, bagusnya pasang trailing stop di yang udah profit, atau cutloss di saham yang chart nya jelek

Secara umum indicators masih ngasih isyarat lanjut naik. Semoga kenceng, tapi begitu tutup gap kita pantau ketat

Infrastructure, Tech, Transport, Industrials

Daily Analysis 20220808

Daily Analysis 20220808

Global Update: August 08th, 2022 Good morning, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall Friday, but notch weekly gains after blowout July jobs report Stocks wavered Friday in a volatile trading session after…
Daily Analysis 20220727

Daily Analysis 20220727

Global Update:

July 27th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow sheds more than 200 points after Walmart profit warning, S&P 500 falls 1%

U.S. stocks fell Tuesday after Walmart cut its earnings forecast, sending other retail shares lower and adding to concern that consumer spending might not be strong enough to keep the U.S. out of a recession.

Dow…….31762 -228.5 -0.71%
Nasdaq.11563 -220.1 -1.87%
S&P 500..3921 -45.8 -1.15%

FTSE…….7306 -0.02 -0.00%
Dax……..13097 -113.4 -0.86%
CAC……..6211 -26.1 -0.42%

Nikkei….27655 -44.04 -0.16%
HSI……..20906 +342.9 +1.67%
Shanghai..3277 +27.1 +0.83%
ST Times..3192 +11.7 +0.37%

IDX…….6871.54 +13.13 +0.19%
LQ45…..968.48 +1.35 +0.14%

IDX Energy…1762.10 +21.00 +1.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1270.86 -4.39 -0.34%
IDX Industrl..1221.16 +1.34 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC..721.07 -3.54 -0.49%
IDX Hlthcare.1509.16 -5.80 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.11 -6.12 -0.69%
IDX Techno..7632.21 -185.40 -2.37%
IDX Transp…1957.78 +2.17 +0.11%
IDX Infrast……989.59 +7.44 +0.75%
IDX Finance 1478.35 +14.17 +0.97%
IDX Banking..1101.28 +11.21 +1.03%
IDX Property…….676 -1.20 -0.18%

Indo10Yr….7.4649 -0.0268 -0.36%
ICBI……….329.0763 +0.5530 +0.17%
US10Yr…..2.7870 -0.0330 -1.17%
VIX…………24.69 +1.33 +5.69%

USDIndx 107.1890 +0.7060 +0.66%‼
Como Indx..286.50 +1.74 +0.61%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.42 +0.22 +0.15%

IndoCDS…135.05 +2.78 +2.10%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14993.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..14984.00 -8.00 -0.05%

Euro………1.0129 -0.0091 -0.89%

TLKM……..28.13 +0.18 +0.64%
(4215)
EIDO………22.49 -0.11 -0.49%
EEM………39.25 -0.31 -0.78%

Oil…………95.52 -0.79 -0.82%
Gold ……1734.30 -0.50 -0.03%
Timah. .24947.00 -317.00 -1.27%
( Closed 25/7)
Nickel..22102.50 -430.00 -1.95%
(Closed 26/7)
Silver…….18.56 +0.26 +1.42%
Copper….339.95 +4.55 +1.36%

Nturl Gas…..8.785- +0.167 +1.94%

Ammonia….3890.00 +200 +5.42%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(25/7)

Coal price….414.00 +3.75 +0.91%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…440.00 +28.95 +7.04%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…389.50 +2.15 +0.56%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…388.00 +24.00 +6.59%‼
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3788 +142 +3.89%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………600.75 +17.00 +2.91%
SoybeanOil…57.95 +0.40 +0.69%
Wheat………803.75 +33.75 +4.38%‼

Wood pulp…6650.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 26/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US lanjut merah rada dalem… europe juga merah, asia kebanyakan ijo kecuali nikkei

Masih membuka kemungkinan index tutup gap dulu

Oil gold tin nickel turun, silver copper gas naik, coal lanjut naik lagi, cpo juga

Kemungkinan ANTM INCO TINS koreksi dulu while saham saham coal lanjut naik. AALI LSIP kemarin diperkirakan langsung lanjut tapi malah koreksi, semoga ini lanjut naik lagi

In general sektor sektor tidak menggembirakan. Walau ada beberapa saham di dalam masing2 sektor yang terlihat bergerak, kaya saham2 coal, UNTR.

Daily Analysis 20220726

Daily Analysis 20220726

Global Update:

July 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks during Monday’s session traded in a narrow range.
All of the major averages are on track for their best month of the year.

Traders are bracing for an onslaught of mega-cap tech earnings and economic data this week, as well as the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting, that will help Wall Street direct its expectations for the rest of the year.

But, U.S. stock futures fell on Monday night after Walmart cut its profit forecast, sending retail stocks tumbling after hours.

Dow…….31990 +90.8 +0.28%
Nasdaq.11783 -51.5 -0.43%
S&P 500..3967 +5.2 +0.13%

FTSE…….7306 +29.9 +0.41%
Dax……..13210 -43.4 -0.33%
CAC……..6238 +20.7 +0.33%

Nikkei….27699 -215.4 -0.77%
HSI……..20563 -46.2 -0.22%
Shanghai..3250 -19.6 -0.60%
ST Times..3184 +2.2 +0.07%

IDX…….6858.41 -28.56 -0.41%
LQ45…..967.13 -6.91 -0.71%

IDX Energy…1741.10 +16.38 +0.95%
IDX Bsc Mat.1275.25 -5.53 -0.43%
IDX Industrl..1219.82 +5.60 +0.46%
IDXNONCYC..724.61 +1.05 +0.15%
IDX Hlthcare.1514.97 -6.81 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…..887.23 -0.18 -0.02%
IDX Techno..7817.61 -262.43 -3.25%
IDX Transp…1955.61 -38.10 -1.91%
IDX Infrast……982.15 +6.51 +0.67%
IDX Finance 1464.19 -8.89 -0.60%
IDX Banking..1090.07 -7.07 -0.64%
IDX Property…….678 +1.30 +0.19%

Indo10Yr….7.4917 -0.0106 -0.14%
ICBI……….328.0307 +0.0642 +0.02%
US10Yr…..2.8200 +0.0370 +1.33%
VIX…………23.26 +0.33 +1.43%

USDIndx 106.4830 -0.2470 -0.23%
Como Indx..284.76 +3.60 +1.28%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.20 -0.95 -0.64%

IndoCDS…132.27 -4.97 -3.62%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14993.00 -20.50 -0.14%
Jisdor..14992.00 -32.00 -0.21%

Euro………1.0220 +0.0007 +0.07%

TLKM……..27.95 +0.01 +0.04%
(4190)
EIDO………22.60 +0.10 +0.44%
EEM………39.56 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…………96.31 +1.61 +1.70%
Gold ……1734.80 -10.35 -0.60%
Timah. .24947.00 – -%
( Closed 22/7)
Nickel..22102.50 -271.50 -1.21%
(Closed 25/7)
Silver…….18.30 -0.32 -1.72%
Copper….335.40 -0.55 -0.16%

Nturl Gas…..8.618 +0.313 +3.77%

Ammonia….369033 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(21/7)

Coal price….410.25 +1.05 +0.26%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…411.05 +12.00 +3.00%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…387.35 +11.05 +2.94%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…364.00 +27.20 +8.08%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3646 -161 -1.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………583.75 +19.50 +3.46%
SoybeanOil…57.55 -0.32 -0.55%
Wheat………770.00 +11.00 +1.45%

Wood pulp…6640.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 25/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US tipis tipis, nasdaq karena forecast pendapatan tech giants turun jadi minus duluan. Asia merah kecuali singapore, eropa cuma jerman yang merah, yang lain ikut US sesi satu jadi ijo

Metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, cpo turun. Kita masih bisa expect saham coal terus naik walau index mungkin merah lagi. Keliatannya bagusan tutup gap dulu sih, biar ga ada “hutang”, hehehe…

Issue IKN digoreng buat naikin saham BUMN karya, tapi kalo cuma itu doang ga bisa panjang gerakannya keliatannya… Yang jelas sebelum firm sektornya jalan hati2 buy BUMN karya. Cucu nya aja malah suspended, WSBP, jadi korban dikasih proyek terus sama waskita tapi dibayarnya kapan kapan…

Index ketemu hidden bearish divergence, biasanya ya 3 hari mah koreksi. Tapi yang bikin khawatir bukan itu… Ada gap di bawah, dan ada satu lagi, di chart trading view ga ada tapi

Kalo di chart mansek ada opening gap pas index naik 2%, most likely ini mah ditutup dulu dalam waktu dekat