Global Update:

September 23th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower, major averages on pace for weekly declines as recession fears mount

Stocks on Thursday posted their third straight daily decline, as mounting fears that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate hikes will push the economy into a recession dented risk appetite for investors.

Dow…….30077 -107.1 -0.35%
Nasdaq.11067 -153.4 -1.37%
S&P 500..3758 -31.9 -0.84%

FTSE…….7160 -78.1 -1.08%
Dax……..12532 -235.5 -1.84%
CAC……..5919 -112.8 -1.87%

Nikkei….27154 -159.3 -0.58%
HSI……..18148 -296.7 -1.61%
Shanghai..3109 -8.3 -0.27%
ST Times..3263 +1.3 +0.04%

IDX…….7218.91 +30.59 +0.43%
LQ45…1032.65 +3.43 +0.32%

IDX Energy..2020.15 +43.58 +2.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.60 +16.79 +1.30%
IDX Industrl..1368.75 +15.23 +1.12%
IDXNONCYC..703.64 +2.49 +0.36%
IDX Hlthcare.1465.79 -6.56 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…..878.25 -3.25 -0.37%
IDX Techno..7438.12 -33.59 -0.45%
IDX Transp…1852.54 +10.07 +0.55%
IDX Infrast…..1018.79 +6.57 +0.65%
IDX Finance 1507.53 +0.28 +0.02%
IDX Banking..1170.80 -1.88 -0.16%
IDX Property….720 +0.80 +0.11%

Indo10Yr….7.2763 +0.0130 +0.18%
ICBI……..335.2135 -0.4724 -0.14%
US10Yr……3.7080 +0.1980 +5.64%‼️
VIX……….27.35 -0.64 -2.29%

USDIndx 111.3530 +0.7110 +0.64%‼️
Como Indx..277.85 -0.38 -0.14%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.75 +0.03 +0.02%
.
IndoCDS…111.84 -11.04 -8.98%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……15022.00 +26.00 +0.17%‼️
Jisdor..15033.00 +22.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……..0.9837 -0.0124 -1.29%

TLKM……..29.30 +0.27 +0.93%
(4405)
EIDO………24.34 +0.12 +0.50%
EEM………36.89 -0.18 -0.49%

Oil…………..83.66 +0.64 +0.77%
Gold ……..1679.40 -0.20 -0.01%
Timah. .21170.00 -11 -0.05%
( Closed 21/9)
Nickel…24378.50 -448.50 -1.81%
(Closed 22/9)
Silver…….19.65 +0.12 +0.61%
Copper….346.50 +2.90 +0.84%

Nturl Gas…..7.204 -0.546 -7.05%‼️

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(21/9)

Coal price….435.65 -8.85 -1.99%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.65 -27.35 -6.10%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.9 -27.35 -6.10%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.65 -0.40 -0.12%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….290.00 -2.00 -0.68%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….293.00 -1.55 -0.53%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3891 -62 -1.59%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………688.15 +2.75 +0.40%
SoybeanOil…66.46 +1.46 +2.25%
Wheat………910.75 +7.00 +0.77%

Wood pulp…6730.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 22/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren US merah IDX ijo, sekarang US merah lagi, IDX ikut merah kayanya… Yang lain pada kompak merah kecuali Indonesia sama Singapore

Komoditi hampir kebalikan kemaren, oil naik gold turun, nikel naik silver naik, gas turun coal turun. saham coal pullback dulu lah… naiknya nanti aja bareng wave 3 index, idealnya…

IHSG – all technical technical says down…

Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Healthcare – selain foreign yang exit, semua ok sih

HEAL, udah buy signal dari kemarin di stochastic, sekarang MACD

HEAL – bandar dan foreign sudah mulai entry lagi, harusnya firm, technical ok semua, kalo breakout 1540 with volume tambah muatan

Rada ketinggian diatas average bandar, tapi technical firm ok lah

Consumer Cyclicals – belum sih masih sideways…

Belum ada lagi… Terakhir SCMA kemaren

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – Itungan ABC correctionnya belum beres, tapi udah ada bullish divergence baru… MACD buy tapi sideways, Stoch abis buy terus sw juga, foreign masih inside. Belum ok sih, mungkin nanti dah rada turun indexnya lebih jauh baru mulai gerak

CPIN ICBP

CPIN – stoch buy, macd dikit lagi, ada freq spike, bandar sama foreign masih flat, MFI up, retracement pattern mantul di fibo 23, bullish divergence confirmed by MA 10, LR nempel bawah channel siap mantul, berani spec buy, pantau ketat stoploss di breakdown support 5500. Masuk setengah botol dulu, nunggu resistance and volume breakout baru entry lagi.

Harga dibanding average harga broker aman…

ICBP – udah dua kali vol breakout, Stoch up macd up, MFI SW, bandar&foreign inside, EW impulse wave 3, harusnya ok banget.PSAR up LR mantul jalan test midline. BOW

ICBP sedikit lebih tinggi, karena sekarang lagi jadwal index merah ada bagusnya pasang buy dibawah atau sama dengan harga bandar, siapa tau kejemput…

ICBP PTBA ESSA

BBTN CPIN PRDA

ARTO BRPT HEAL SRTG

Financials skip dulu ah… Apalagi ARTO

PTBA – stoch down macd sw MFI down bandar dan foreign mulai akum lagi, ABC flat style correction bisa lah dianggap selesai, sektor energy nya lagi galau, lagi duduk di MA 50, ada gap diatas belum ketutup, ada regular dan hidden divergence juga sudah confirmed by MA 10 tapi nanti dulu deh…

Belum feel safe, BOW kalo drop lagi di bawah harga bandar baru confident

BRPT – biasanya tertib divergence dan nurut sama stochastic, tapi kalo kondisi index wave 2 gini ga berani sembarangan… LR nya belum firm, bandar dan foreign kemaren keluar terus, baru 2 hari akum lagi, sektor belum jalan lagi, MA dan alligator masih bilang downtrend, WNS deh

Dari harganya menarik… Tapi saya pribadi skip dulu sih, yang mau speculative buy mangga… DYOR ya… Inget cutloss kalau breakdown support di latest low kemaren, 800

Global update:

September 01st, 2022

Good morning,

Dow, S&P 500 fall for a fourth day, major averages end August with losses

Stocks fell for a fourth straight day on Wednesday, the last day of August, putting the summer market comeback in doubt as investors weighed the Federal Reserve’s inflation-fighting efforts.

Dow…….31510 -280.4 -0.88%
Nasdaq.11816 -66.9 -0.56%
S&P 500..3955 -31.2 -0.78%

FTSE…….7284 -77.5 -1.05%
Dax……..12835 -126.2 -0.97%
CAC……..6125 -85.1 -1.37%

Nikkei….28092 -104.1 -0.37%
HSI……..19954 +5.4 +0.03%
Shanghai..3202 -25.1 -0.78%
ST Times..3222 -17.7 -0.55%

IDX…….7178.59 +19.12 +0.27%
LQ45…1022.82 +1.07 +0.11%

IDX Energy…1899.49 +1.51 +0.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1298.48 +1.29 +0.12%
IDX Industrl..1323.15 +1.56 +0.12%
IDXNONCYC..707.62 -0.51 -0.07%
IDX Hlthcare.1436.72 +10.77 +0.76%
IDXCYCLIC…..887.58 -1.55 -0.17%
IDX Techno..7816.57 -106.07 -1.34%
IDX Transp…1970.40 +9.34 +0.48%
IDX Infrast…..1043.12 +3.43 +0.33%
IDX Finance 1515.90 +23.76 +1.59%
IDX Banking..1151.02 +15.62 +1.38%
IDX Property…701 -3.70 -0.53%

Indo10Yr….7.1498 -0.0063 -0.09%
ICBI……..336.3969 +0.1477 +0.04%
US10Yr……3.1330 +0.0230 +0.74%
VIX……….25.87 -0.34 -1.30%

USDIndx 108.6860 -0.0870 -0.08%
Como Indx..290.41 -3.17 -1.08%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.43 -1.12 -0.72%
.
IndoCDS…116.42 – %
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14842.50 unch +0%
Jisdor..14853.00 -22.00 -0.15%

Euro………1.0054 +0.0035 +0.35%

TLKM……..30.07 +0.42 +1.42%
(4466)
EIDO………23.76 +0.04 +0.17%
EEM………39.43 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…………..88.79 -3.69 -3.99%‼️
Gold ……..1722.50 -12.50 -0.72%
Timah. .23652.00 -1098 -4.44%‼️
( Closed 30/8)
Nickel….21428.00 +11.5 +0.05%
(Closed 31/8)
Silver…….17.86 -0.41 -2.24%
Copper….351.45 -4.05 -1.14%

Nturl Gas…..9.127 +0.046 +0.51%

Ammonia….3783.33 +33.33 +0.89%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/8)

Coal price….420.00 +10.45 +2.52%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….415.50 +8.00 +1.96%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.75 +6.30 +1.58%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….367.00 +12.00 +3.38%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….358.00 +4.00 +1.13%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….349.75 +3.25 +0.94%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4133 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..670.250 -6.75 -1.00%
SoybeanOil…67.48 +1.13 +1.70%
Wheat……..831.50 +11.25 +1.37%

Wood pulp…6730.00 +16 +0.24%
(Closed 31/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah lagi, europe juga, asia Hangseng sama IHSG aja yang ijo. Itu juga hangseng ijo tipis banget

Oil drop lagi, metal2an turun kecuali nikeluang ijo tipis. Gas naik, coal naik lagi, CPO flat. Harusnya Coal lanjut naik. Ini kasian banget ELSA ga sempet dapet momentum lari. MEDC udah selesai geraknya untuk sementara keliatannya

Selama masih belum break 7257, technically tetep kemungkinan besar akan lanjut kebawah, wave 2

Dipaksa stay ijo 2 hari terakhir, stochastic index seperti yang mau reverse up, PSAR sudah balik buy, bandar akum foreign entry, tapi MFI tetep turun dan MACD tambah melebar garis antara MACD dan signal nya, masih lanjut kebawah

Kemarin big banks dipake naikin index, sebelumnya GOTO yang jalan, mungkin banyak orang yang melihat ini sebagai sentimen bagus di bursa, tapi saya melihatnya malah ini dipaksa ditahan dengan market making di beberapa saham big caps. Ga sehat ini… Kalo ujungnya retail FOMO dan entry apalagi di saham2 gorengan, nanti pada jadi nyangkuters semua…

Langsung jadi nongol di RSI quadrant chart Finance… Energy, Healthcare, Finance, Consumer both Cyclicals and Non-Cyclicals, tapi 2 ini sepertinya sisa sisa doang, udah siap berhenti gerak dulu

Global Update:

August 24th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow, S&P 500 fall Tuesday, notching three-day losing streak

Stocks fell Tuesday following its worst day since June as investors braced for a hawkish message from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….32910 -154.02 -0.47%
Nasdaq.12381 -0.3 -0.00%
S&P 500..4129 -9.3 -0.22%

FTSE…….7488 -46.7 -0.61%
Dax……..13194 -36.3 -0.27%
CAC……..6362 -16.7 -0.26%

Nikkei….28453 -341.8 -1.19%
HSI……..19503 -153.7 -0.78%
Shanghai..3276 -1.6 -0.05%
ST Times..3246 -16.4 -0.50%

IDX…….7163.27 +55.8 +0.78%
LQ45…1023.00 +8.32 +0.82%

IDX Energy…1844.28 +58.98 +3.30%
IDX Bsc Mat.1301.17 +21.23 +1.66%
IDX Industrl..1305.95 +8.32 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..714.18 +0.95 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1413.88 +8.63 +0.61%
IDXCYCLIC…..897.39 +4.75 +0.53%
IDX Techno..7875.48 +51.01 +0.65%
IDX Transp…2010.54 -7.43 -0.37%
IDX Infrast…..1038.13 +8.32 +0.81%
IDX Finance 1501.17 +5.51 +0.37%
IDX Banking..1138.31 +2.75 +0.24%
IDX Property…707 +3.00 +0.43%

Indo10Yr….7.1870 +0.009 +0.13%
ICBI……..335.7238 -0.2426 -0.07%
US10Yr…..3.0540 +0.0170 +0.56%
VIX……….24.11 +0.31 +1.30%

USDIndx 108.6240 -0.4220 -0.39%
Como Indx..296.31 +3.48 +1.19%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.63 +0.08 +0.05%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14837.50 -54.00 -0.36%
Jisdor..14893 .00 +11.00 +0.07%

Euro………0.9970 +0.0028 +0.28%‼️

TLKM……..31.08 -0.03 -0.10%
(4629)
EIDO………23.76 +0.41 +1.76%
EEM………39.76 +0.21 +0.53%

Oil…………..93.75 +3.52 +3.90%
Gold ……..1760.90 +12.50 +0.71%
Timah. .24795.00 -330.00 -1.33%
( Closed 22/8)
Nickel….21851.00 -543.00 -2.42%‼️
(Closed 23/8)
Silver…….19.10 +0.10 +0.53%
Copper….367.90 +2.55 +0.70%

Nturl Gas…..9.242 -0.551 -5.63%‼️

Ammonia….3733.33 -16.67 -0.44%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/8)

Coal price….417.60 -0.75 -0.18%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.00 -20.50 -4.60%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.00 -20.25 -4.60%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.00 -7.75 -2.05%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….379.00 -27.10 -6.67%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….371.00 -26.45 -6.65%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4237 +74 +1.78%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..655.25 +26.25 +4.17%‼️
SoybeanOil…66.92 +0.57 +0.86%
Wheat………800.50 +12.25 +1.55%

Wood pulp…6700.00 unch +0%
(Closed 23/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US masih lanjut merah walau ga terlalu dalem, europe sama asia juga, kecuali IDX yang maksa tutup gap jadi ijo sendiri, so kemungkinan besar lanjut kebawah hari ini, sesuai jadwal wave 2

Oil naik, ELSA sama MEDC lanjut kayanya, gold silver copper ijo, timah nikel merah, kayanya tapi ga akan ngaruh banyak ke MDKA ANTM INCO TINS. Market globalnya lagi jelek

Gas turun gede, coal turun dikit, masih diatas 400, masih long bullish

CPO naik, consumer lagi naik juga, kita assess AALI sama LSIP nanti

Udah beres tutup gap, keliatannya lanjut ke bawah, hati hati yang pegang barang, kalo profit TP setengah dulu lah, kalo masih pede mau naik, jaga2 ready cash untuk belanja lagi nanti di ujung wave 2

IHSG – prepare worst case scenario, dibawa tutup gap 6740. Walau dari theory elliot wave 2 berhenti di fibo 38 @6973 juga sah sah aja

Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals

Global Update:

August 16th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. equities rose on Monday as the rally on Wall Street continued and traders prepared for a big week for retail earnings.

Dow…….33912 +151.4 +0.45%
Nasdaq.13128 +80.9 +0.62%
S&P 500..4297 +16.99 +0.32%

FTSE…….7509 +8.3 +0.11%
Dax……..13817 +20.8 +0.15%
CAC……..6570 +16.1 +0.25%

Nikkei….28872 +324.8 +1.14%
HSI……..20041 -134.8 -0.67%
Shanghai..3276 -0.8 -0.02%
ST Times..3257 -12.5 -0.38%

IDX…….7093.28 -36.00 -0.50%
LQ45…1005.79 -6.25 -0.62%

IDX Energy…1806.22 -10.65 -0.59%
IDX Bsc Mat.1334.44 -18.65 -1.38%
IDX Industrl..1313.36 +3.03 +0.23%
IDXNONCYC..700.40 -3.10 -0.44%
IDX Hlthcare.1407.71 -6.64 -0.47%
IDXCYCLIC…..892.34 -6.70 -0.74%
IDX Techno..7963.70 -119.84 -1.48%
IDX Transp…2072.23 -20.36 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1057.05 +6.33 +0.60%
IDX Finance 1517.17 -9.12 -0.60%
IDX Banking..1150.18 -6.44 -0.56%
IDX Property…..720 +8.60 +1.21%

Indo10Yr….7.1452 +0.0249 +0.35%
ICBI……..336.1905 -0.2740 -0.08%
US10Yr…..2.7910 -0.0580 -2.04%
VIX…………19.95 +0.42 +2.15%

USDIndx 106.5460 +0.9150 0.87%‼️
Como Indx..289.54 -3.94 -1.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.22 -3.22 -2.01%
.
IndoCDS…99.62 +2.43 +2.50%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14741.50 +73.50 +0.50%
Jisdor..14727 .00 +39.00 +0.27%

Euro………1.0155 -0.0104 -1.01%

TLKM……..30.71 -0.60 -1.92%
(4523)
EIDO………23.93 -0.31 -1.28%
EEM………40.86 -0.19 -0.46%

Oil…………..89.39 -3.70 -4.02%‼️
Gold ……..1795.00 -20.05 -1.13%
Timah. .25177.00 – -%
( Closed 12/8)
Nickel…22039.00 -1054.50 -4.57%‼️
(Closed 12/8)
Silver…….20.36 -0.49 -2.35%
Copper….360.20 -6.65 -1.81%

Nturl Gas…..8.807 +0.0270 +0.31%

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(11/8)

Coal price….407.50 -0.15 -0.04%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.50 +7.50 +1.86%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….402.55 +9.30 +2.36%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….353.90 +3.40 +1.03%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….357.75 +16.05 +4.70%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….348.75 +17.05 +5.14%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4153 -267 -6.04%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..628.25 -14.00 -2.18%
SoybeanOil…66.99 -0.98 -1.44%
Wheat………817.75 -4.75 -0.58%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo, Asia kecuali nikkei merah…

Oil Nikel CPO drop, metal2 turun semua, gas naik, coal tipis2… Ini beneran bawa wave 2 kayanya, dan coal kembali ikutan jadi ganjel index

Keliatannya outlook nya masih begini sih…

Koreksi wave 2 sampe tutup gap 6740

IHSG – stoch sell, macd mulai reversal, ada beberapa gap di bawah, yang paling deket sama fibo 50-61 yang di 6740. Koreksi lebih dalem lagi dari situ udah keitung ga sehat, bisa crash