Daily Analysis 20221018

Daily Analysis 20221018

Global Update:

October 18th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes up 550 points, Nasdaq pops more than 3% as strong bank earnings boost volatile market

Stocks rose sharply on Monday as key earnings reports eased some of investors’ fears and oversold tech names enjoyed a rebound rally.

Dow…….30186 +550.99 +1.86%
Nasdaq.10676 +354.4 +3.43%
S&P 500..3678 +94.9 +2.65%

FTSE…….6920 +61.5 +0.90%
Dax……..12649 +211.2 +1.70%
CAC……..6040 +108.7 +1.83%

Nikkei….26776 -314.97 -1.16%
HSI……..16613 +25.2 +0.15%
Shanghai..3085 +12.96 +0.42%
ST Times..3016 -23.o -0.79%

IDX…….6831.12 +16.58 +0.24%
LQ45…..972.67 +5.93 +0.61%

IDX Energy…1986.61 +1.96 +0.10%
IDX Bsc Mat.1227.05 +9.79 +0.80%
IDX Industrl..1247.52 -15.56 -1.23%
IDXNONCYC..698.45 +0.20 +0.03%
IDX Hlthcare.1452.14 +13.73 +0.96%
IDXCYCLIC…..834.31 -7.16 -0.85%
IDX Techno..6480.41 +3.96 +0.06%
IDX Transp…1753.16 -34.22 -1.91%
IDX Infrast……923.40 -4.27 -0.46%
IDX Finance 1415.70 -15.22 -1.06%
IDX Banking.1101.70 -15.22 -1.06%
IDX Property…….671 -8.o -1.31%

Indo10Yr….7.4517 +0.0354 +0.0)48%
ICBI……..332.9804 -0.6769 -0.06%
US10Yr……4.0150 +0.0050 +0.12%‼
VIX……….31.37 -0.65 -2.03%

USDIndx 112.0390 -1.2720 -1.12%👍
Como Indx..275.33 -1.36 -0.49%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..144.08 -2.45 -1.67%
.
IndoCDS 164.32 -2.32 -1.39%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)

IDR……15487.50 +60.50 +0.39%‼
Jisdor..15480.00 +90 +0.58%‼

Euro……..0.9722 +0.0118 +1.20%‼

TLKM……..27.95 +0.52 +1.90%
(4327)
EIDO………22.83 +0.27 +1.20%
EEM………35.15 +0.94 +2.75%

Oil…………86.00 +0.39 +0.46%
Gold ……1656.30 +7.40 +0.45%
Timah…19930 – -0%
(Closed 14/10)
Nickel…21613.50 -221.50 -1.01%
(Closed 17/10)
Silver………18.61 +0.54 +2.99%
Copper….340.85 -1.51 -0.44%

Nturl Gas…..5.982 -0.490 -7.57%‼

Ammonia..4206.67 -50 -1.17%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/10)

Coal price….392.15 -0.35 -0.09%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….392.65 -4.85 -1.22%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….395.15 -1.85 -0.47%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.50 -2.00 -0.73%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….259.50 -4.50 -1.70%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..259.40 -4.10 -1.56%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.70 +1.70 +1.81%
Indonesial Coal Index (14/10)

CPO(Jan)……3878 +12 +0.31%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….683.50 -6.25 -0.91%
SoybeanOil….66.84 +1.54 +2.36%
Wheat………861.00 +1.25 +0.15%

Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 17/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

DJI Nasdaq ijo tebel… Eropa ijo, sepertinya IHSG udah diangggap cukup turunnya walau tipis belum ketutup gap nya… Siap siap belanja… 😇

Oil gold silver cpo naik, nikel copper coal turun, gas turun dalem. Kayanya saham energi mau turun dulu ini

Dikiiiit lagi ketutup gap nya, tapi kayanya sudah dulu sih turunnya, kita tunggu buy signal dari saham saham yang mau lari duluan

Kalo dari sini energy, basic materials sama industrials

Daily Analysis 20221006

Daily Analysis 20221006

Global update:

October 06th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday as Wall Street failed to hold on to the sharp gains from the last two sessions.

Dow…….30274 -42.4 -0.14%
Nasdaq.11149 -27.8 -0.25%
S&P 500..3783 -7.7 -0.20%

FTSE…….7053 -33.8 -0.48%
Dax……..12517 -153.3 -1.21%
CAC……..5985 -54.2 -0.90%

Nikkei….27121 +128.3 +0.48%
HSI……..18088 +1008.5 +5.90%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3153 +14.3 +0.46%

IDX…….7075.38 +3.13 +0.04%
LQ45…1011.63 -3.01 -0.30%

IDX Energy…2009.46 +14.83 +0.74%
IDX Bsc Mat.1259.15 +5.42 +0.43%
IDX Industrl..1296.07 -2.27 -0.15%
IDXNONCYC..700.03 +0.41 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1466.81 +10.03 +0.69%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.99 +12.51 +1.47%
IDX Techno..7059.25 +127.05 +1.83%
IDX Transp…1850.28 +50.29 +2.79%
IDX Infrast…….980.34 -1.88 -0.19%
IDX Finance 1488.36 +1.02 +0.07%
IDX Banking.1156.08 -3.70 -0.32%
IDX Property….692 +1.70 +0.24%

Indo10Yr….7.3341 -0.0440 -0.60%
ICBI……..334.7527 +0.9199 +0.28%
US10Yr……3.7590 +0.1420 +3.93%
VIX……….28.55 -0.52 -1.79%

USDIndx 111.2080 +1.0090 +0.92%
Como Indx..281.89 +1.46 +0.52%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..150.69 +1.04 +0.70%
.
IndoCDS 149.31 +6.93 +4.87%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15192.50 -55.50 -0.36%‼
Jisdor..15196.00 -80.00 -0.52%‼

Euro……..0.9884 -0.0100 -1.00%‼

TLKM……..29.07 -0.29 -0.99%
(4417)
EIDO………23.67 -0.38 -1.58%
EEM………36.63 +0.02 +0.05%

Oil…………87.76 +1.24 +1.43%
Gold ……1720.80 -9.60 -0.55%
Timah….20207 +148.00 +0.74%
(Closed 04/10)
Nickel…22630.00 +659.00 +2.99%
(Closed 05/10)
Silver…….20.54 -0.56 -2.63%
Copper….350.05 +1.05 +0.30%

Nturl Gas…..6.925 +0.100 +1.47%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….396.25 -7.75 -1.92%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.75 -4.25 -1.04%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….404.50 -3.50 -0.86%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….294.35 -6.65 -2.21%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….290.75 -8.80 -2.94%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….288.25 -9.70 -3.25%
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3640 +25 +0.69%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………684.00 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil….65.54 +0.52″ +0.80%
Wheat……..902.00 -1.00 -0.11%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 05/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe merah… Asia masih kebawa US ijo tebel kemaren

Oil Nickel CPO lanjut naik, gold coal silver turun. Waspada koreksi coal… price newcastle dibawah 400

Masih predict market turun dulu tutup gap, karena sektor masih pada lesu, banking juga belum firm jalan

Yang bagus cuma energy, transportation jarang big caps, rada resiko…

Infobank15 – Stoch udah buy, MACD masih down, volume kecil banget, tanda2 pada wait and see, bandar flat setelah exit, foreign inside tapi lagi diem juga, MFI SW, memang masih jadwal wave 3 tapi false break di IHNS pattern, DMI belum jadi buy signal, masih belum firm mau nganter index ke atas. So, masih jangan aggressive belanja dulu

Daily Analysis 20220923

Daily Analysis 20220923

Global Update: September 23th, 2022 Good morning, Stocks close lower, major averages on pace for weekly declines as recession fears mount Stocks on Thursday posted their third straight daily decline,…
Daily Analysis 20220901

Daily Analysis 20220901

Global update:

September 01st, 2022

Good morning,

Dow, S&P 500 fall for a fourth day, major averages end August with losses

Stocks fell for a fourth straight day on Wednesday, the last day of August, putting the summer market comeback in doubt as investors weighed the Federal Reserve’s inflation-fighting efforts.

Dow…….31510 -280.4 -0.88%
Nasdaq.11816 -66.9 -0.56%
S&P 500..3955 -31.2 -0.78%

FTSE…….7284 -77.5 -1.05%
Dax……..12835 -126.2 -0.97%
CAC……..6125 -85.1 -1.37%

Nikkei….28092 -104.1 -0.37%
HSI……..19954 +5.4 +0.03%
Shanghai..3202 -25.1 -0.78%
ST Times..3222 -17.7 -0.55%

IDX…….7178.59 +19.12 +0.27%
LQ45…1022.82 +1.07 +0.11%

IDX Energy…1899.49 +1.51 +0.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1298.48 +1.29 +0.12%
IDX Industrl..1323.15 +1.56 +0.12%
IDXNONCYC..707.62 -0.51 -0.07%
IDX Hlthcare.1436.72 +10.77 +0.76%
IDXCYCLIC…..887.58 -1.55 -0.17%
IDX Techno..7816.57 -106.07 -1.34%
IDX Transp…1970.40 +9.34 +0.48%
IDX Infrast…..1043.12 +3.43 +0.33%
IDX Finance 1515.90 +23.76 +1.59%
IDX Banking..1151.02 +15.62 +1.38%
IDX Property…701 -3.70 -0.53%

Indo10Yr….7.1498 -0.0063 -0.09%
ICBI……..336.3969 +0.1477 +0.04%
US10Yr……3.1330 +0.0230 +0.74%
VIX……….25.87 -0.34 -1.30%

USDIndx 108.6860 -0.0870 -0.08%
Como Indx..290.41 -3.17 -1.08%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.43 -1.12 -0.72%
.
IndoCDS…116.42 – %
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14842.50 unch +0%
Jisdor..14853.00 -22.00 -0.15%

Euro………1.0054 +0.0035 +0.35%

TLKM……..30.07 +0.42 +1.42%
(4466)
EIDO………23.76 +0.04 +0.17%
EEM………39.43 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…………..88.79 -3.69 -3.99%‼️
Gold ……..1722.50 -12.50 -0.72%
Timah. .23652.00 -1098 -4.44%‼️
( Closed 30/8)
Nickel….21428.00 +11.5 +0.05%
(Closed 31/8)
Silver…….17.86 -0.41 -2.24%
Copper….351.45 -4.05 -1.14%

Nturl Gas…..9.127 +0.046 +0.51%

Ammonia….3783.33 +33.33 +0.89%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/8)

Coal price….420.00 +10.45 +2.52%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….415.50 +8.00 +1.96%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.75 +6.30 +1.58%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….367.00 +12.00 +3.38%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….358.00 +4.00 +1.13%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….349.75 +3.25 +0.94%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4133 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..670.250 -6.75 -1.00%
SoybeanOil…67.48 +1.13 +1.70%
Wheat……..831.50 +11.25 +1.37%

Wood pulp…6730.00 +16 +0.24%
(Closed 31/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah lagi, europe juga, asia Hangseng sama IHSG aja yang ijo. Itu juga hangseng ijo tipis banget

Oil drop lagi, metal2an turun kecuali nikeluang ijo tipis. Gas naik, coal naik lagi, CPO flat. Harusnya Coal lanjut naik. Ini kasian banget ELSA ga sempet dapet momentum lari. MEDC udah selesai geraknya untuk sementara keliatannya

Selama masih belum break 7257, technically tetep kemungkinan besar akan lanjut kebawah, wave 2

Dipaksa stay ijo 2 hari terakhir, stochastic index seperti yang mau reverse up, PSAR sudah balik buy, bandar akum foreign entry, tapi MFI tetep turun dan MACD tambah melebar garis antara MACD dan signal nya, masih lanjut kebawah

Kemarin big banks dipake naikin index, sebelumnya GOTO yang jalan, mungkin banyak orang yang melihat ini sebagai sentimen bagus di bursa, tapi saya melihatnya malah ini dipaksa ditahan dengan market making di beberapa saham big caps. Ga sehat ini… Kalo ujungnya retail FOMO dan entry apalagi di saham2 gorengan, nanti pada jadi nyangkuters semua…

Langsung jadi nongol di RSI quadrant chart Finance… Energy, Healthcare, Finance, Consumer both Cyclicals and Non-Cyclicals, tapi 2 ini sepertinya sisa sisa doang, udah siap berhenti gerak dulu

Daily Analysis 20220824

Daily Analysis 20220824

Global Update:

August 24th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow, S&P 500 fall Tuesday, notching three-day losing streak

Stocks fell Tuesday following its worst day since June as investors braced for a hawkish message from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….32910 -154.02 -0.47%
Nasdaq.12381 -0.3 -0.00%
S&P 500..4129 -9.3 -0.22%

FTSE…….7488 -46.7 -0.61%
Dax……..13194 -36.3 -0.27%
CAC……..6362 -16.7 -0.26%

Nikkei….28453 -341.8 -1.19%
HSI……..19503 -153.7 -0.78%
Shanghai..3276 -1.6 -0.05%
ST Times..3246 -16.4 -0.50%

IDX…….7163.27 +55.8 +0.78%
LQ45…1023.00 +8.32 +0.82%

IDX Energy…1844.28 +58.98 +3.30%
IDX Bsc Mat.1301.17 +21.23 +1.66%
IDX Industrl..1305.95 +8.32 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..714.18 +0.95 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1413.88 +8.63 +0.61%
IDXCYCLIC…..897.39 +4.75 +0.53%
IDX Techno..7875.48 +51.01 +0.65%
IDX Transp…2010.54 -7.43 -0.37%
IDX Infrast…..1038.13 +8.32 +0.81%
IDX Finance 1501.17 +5.51 +0.37%
IDX Banking..1138.31 +2.75 +0.24%
IDX Property…707 +3.00 +0.43%

Indo10Yr….7.1870 +0.009 +0.13%
ICBI……..335.7238 -0.2426 -0.07%
US10Yr…..3.0540 +0.0170 +0.56%
VIX……….24.11 +0.31 +1.30%

USDIndx 108.6240 -0.4220 -0.39%
Como Indx..296.31 +3.48 +1.19%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.63 +0.08 +0.05%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14837.50 -54.00 -0.36%
Jisdor..14893 .00 +11.00 +0.07%

Euro………0.9970 +0.0028 +0.28%‼️

TLKM……..31.08 -0.03 -0.10%
(4629)
EIDO………23.76 +0.41 +1.76%
EEM………39.76 +0.21 +0.53%

Oil…………..93.75 +3.52 +3.90%
Gold ……..1760.90 +12.50 +0.71%
Timah. .24795.00 -330.00 -1.33%
( Closed 22/8)
Nickel….21851.00 -543.00 -2.42%‼️
(Closed 23/8)
Silver…….19.10 +0.10 +0.53%
Copper….367.90 +2.55 +0.70%

Nturl Gas…..9.242 -0.551 -5.63%‼️

Ammonia….3733.33 -16.67 -0.44%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/8)

Coal price….417.60 -0.75 -0.18%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.00 -20.50 -4.60%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.00 -20.25 -4.60%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.00 -7.75 -2.05%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….379.00 -27.10 -6.67%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….371.00 -26.45 -6.65%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4237 +74 +1.78%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..655.25 +26.25 +4.17%‼️
SoybeanOil…66.92 +0.57 +0.86%
Wheat………800.50 +12.25 +1.55%

Wood pulp…6700.00 unch +0%
(Closed 23/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US masih lanjut merah walau ga terlalu dalem, europe sama asia juga, kecuali IDX yang maksa tutup gap jadi ijo sendiri, so kemungkinan besar lanjut kebawah hari ini, sesuai jadwal wave 2

Oil naik, ELSA sama MEDC lanjut kayanya, gold silver copper ijo, timah nikel merah, kayanya tapi ga akan ngaruh banyak ke MDKA ANTM INCO TINS. Market globalnya lagi jelek

Gas turun gede, coal turun dikit, masih diatas 400, masih long bullish

CPO naik, consumer lagi naik juga, kita assess AALI sama LSIP nanti

Udah beres tutup gap, keliatannya lanjut ke bawah, hati hati yang pegang barang, kalo profit TP setengah dulu lah, kalo masih pede mau naik, jaga2 ready cash untuk belanja lagi nanti di ujung wave 2

IHSG – prepare worst case scenario, dibawa tutup gap 6740. Walau dari theory elliot wave 2 berhenti di fibo 38 @6973 juga sah sah aja

Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals

Daily Analysis 20220816

Daily Analysis 20220816

Global Update:

August 16th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. equities rose on Monday as the rally on Wall Street continued and traders prepared for a big week for retail earnings.

Dow…….33912 +151.4 +0.45%
Nasdaq.13128 +80.9 +0.62%
S&P 500..4297 +16.99 +0.32%

FTSE…….7509 +8.3 +0.11%
Dax……..13817 +20.8 +0.15%
CAC……..6570 +16.1 +0.25%

Nikkei….28872 +324.8 +1.14%
HSI……..20041 -134.8 -0.67%
Shanghai..3276 -0.8 -0.02%
ST Times..3257 -12.5 -0.38%

IDX…….7093.28 -36.00 -0.50%
LQ45…1005.79 -6.25 -0.62%

IDX Energy…1806.22 -10.65 -0.59%
IDX Bsc Mat.1334.44 -18.65 -1.38%
IDX Industrl..1313.36 +3.03 +0.23%
IDXNONCYC..700.40 -3.10 -0.44%
IDX Hlthcare.1407.71 -6.64 -0.47%
IDXCYCLIC…..892.34 -6.70 -0.74%
IDX Techno..7963.70 -119.84 -1.48%
IDX Transp…2072.23 -20.36 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1057.05 +6.33 +0.60%
IDX Finance 1517.17 -9.12 -0.60%
IDX Banking..1150.18 -6.44 -0.56%
IDX Property…..720 +8.60 +1.21%

Indo10Yr….7.1452 +0.0249 +0.35%
ICBI……..336.1905 -0.2740 -0.08%
US10Yr…..2.7910 -0.0580 -2.04%
VIX…………19.95 +0.42 +2.15%

USDIndx 106.5460 +0.9150 0.87%‼️
Como Indx..289.54 -3.94 -1.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.22 -3.22 -2.01%
.
IndoCDS…99.62 +2.43 +2.50%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14741.50 +73.50 +0.50%
Jisdor..14727 .00 +39.00 +0.27%

Euro………1.0155 -0.0104 -1.01%

TLKM……..30.71 -0.60 -1.92%
(4523)
EIDO………23.93 -0.31 -1.28%
EEM………40.86 -0.19 -0.46%

Oil…………..89.39 -3.70 -4.02%‼️
Gold ……..1795.00 -20.05 -1.13%
Timah. .25177.00 – -%
( Closed 12/8)
Nickel…22039.00 -1054.50 -4.57%‼️
(Closed 12/8)
Silver…….20.36 -0.49 -2.35%
Copper….360.20 -6.65 -1.81%

Nturl Gas…..8.807 +0.0270 +0.31%

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(11/8)

Coal price….407.50 -0.15 -0.04%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.50 +7.50 +1.86%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….402.55 +9.30 +2.36%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….353.90 +3.40 +1.03%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….357.75 +16.05 +4.70%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….348.75 +17.05 +5.14%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4153 -267 -6.04%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..628.25 -14.00 -2.18%
SoybeanOil…66.99 -0.98 -1.44%
Wheat………817.75 -4.75 -0.58%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo, Asia kecuali nikkei merah…

Oil Nikel CPO drop, metal2 turun semua, gas naik, coal tipis2… Ini beneran bawa wave 2 kayanya, dan coal kembali ikutan jadi ganjel index

Keliatannya outlook nya masih begini sih…

Koreksi wave 2 sampe tutup gap 6740

IHSG – stoch sell, macd mulai reversal, ada beberapa gap di bawah, yang paling deket sama fibo 50-61 yang di 6740. Koreksi lebih dalem lagi dari situ udah keitung ga sehat, bisa crash