March 31th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher a second-straight day, Dow jumps more than 100 points

The S&P 500 rose Thursday, as investors bet the worst of the regional bank crisis has passed.

Dow……32859 +141.4 +0.43%
Nasdaq12015 +87.2 +0.73%
S&P 500.4051 +23.02 +0.57%

FTSE…..7620 +56.2 +0.74%
Dax…..15522. +193.6 +1.26%
CAC……7263 +76.4 +1.06%

Nikkei…..27783 -100.9 +1.33%
HSI………20309 +116.7 +0.58%
Shanghai.3261 +21.2 +0.65%

IDX…..6808.95 -30.49 -0.45%
LQ45….939.61 -7.39 -0.78%
IDX30…489.36 -3.80 -0.77%

IDXEnergy…2086.28 -25.76 -1.22%
IDX BscMat 1182.35 +1.58 +0.13%
IDX Indstrl…1177.18 -3.52 -0.30%
IDXNONCYC.734.71 -5.93 -0.80%
IDX Hlthcare1536.27 -6.54 -0.42%
IDXCYCLIC…..825.62 -5.24 -0.63%
IDX Techno..5138.70 -100.36 -1.92%
IDX Transp..1799.82 -12.11 -0.67%
IDX Infrast…..810.54 -6.06 -0.74%
IDX Finance.1384.10 -3.58 -0.26%
IDX Banking.1137.27 -2.33 -0.20%
IDX Property…682 -3.6 -0.53%

Indo10Yr.6.8082 -0.0051 -0.07%
ICBI…..352.8497 +0.0169 +0.00%
US2Yr.4.1215 +0.0205 +0.50%
US5Yr 3.6802 -0.0017 -0.05%
US10Yr3.5470 -0.0190 -0.53%
US30Yr.3.7300-0.0350 -0.93%
VIX…… 19.02 -0.10 -0.52%

USDIndx102.1660 -0.4899 -0.47%
Como Indx.264.38 +1.67 +0.64%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…159.05 -0.78 -0.49%

IndoCDS..105.920 -0.986 -0.92%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/29)

IDR…..15047.50👍 -8.50 -0.06%
Jisdor.15062.00👍 -32.00 -0.21%

Euro……1.0907 +0.0064 +0.59%

TLKM….27.43 +0.03 +0.11%
(4132)
EIDO……23.51 -0.12 -0.51%
EEM……39.51 +0.39 +1.00%

Oil……74.37 +1.40 +1.92%
Gold.1997.70 +13.20 +0.67%
Timah 25814.00 +44.00 +0.17%
(Closed 03/29)
Nickel..23092.50 -717.50 -3.03%‼️
(Closed 03/30)
Silver…..23.99 +0.52 +2.23%
Copper..409.15 +0.50 +0.12%

Nturl Gas.2.104 -0.080 -3.66%‼️

Ammonia 3966.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/29)

Coal price.176.75 +0.15 +0.08%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.187.50 -5.25 -2.72%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.40 -2.60 -1.31%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price..200.00 -0.25 -0.12%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.90 +0.15 +0.11%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.137.00 -1.55 -1.12%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 133.25 -2.25 -1.66%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.70 -1.60 -1.19%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3791 +101 +2.73%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..649.50 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil.54.37 -1.01 -1.82%
Wheat…..692.25 -12.50 -1.77%

Wood pulp…5200.00 -40 -0.76%
(Closed 03/30)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional ijo, IDX aja merah sendirian, hehehe… Tanda2 mau ijo lagi hari ini

Oil up gas down coal spot ijo tipis, future down, metal2 naik semua kecuali nikel yang drop, ANTM MDKA lanjut harusnya. CPO lanjut ijo, menarik dicermati

Nope, CPO belum ok chart nya…

IHSG – masih ok chart nya, despite ada gap dibawah… stoch macd up, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD FF acc, dari retracement pattern setelah wave 5 terakhir pas kemaren rejection candle di fibo 38, ada kemungkinan dibawa ke fibo 23 lagi dulu sebelum lanjut rally, tapi kalo liat index lain bagus kayanya dilanjut ke fibo 50 dulu sebelum koreksi. Pas sama resistace previous high di 6960, bakal jadi double bottom kalo lanjut breakout

sudutnya paling ok Basic Materials, lanjut Financials,Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals. Anehnya Consumer Non-Cyclicals melemah, profit taking dulu mungkin, Property juga, Financials mulai gerak malah melemah

Stochastic Buy Signal: TLKM ISAT

MACD Buy Signal banyak: ACES SMGR TINS GGRM LSIP MTMH SMDR WSKT LSIP MPMX

Kita sort lagi pake FF dan bandarmology

Alligator Buy Signal: DOID

Supertrend Buy Signal: MPMX

March 20th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 400 points lower on Friday as First Republic and regional banks resume slide

Stocks fell Friday as investors pulled back from positions in First Republic
and other bank shares amid lingering concerns over the state of the U.S. banking sector.

Dow……31862 -384.6 -1.19%
Nasdaq11631 -86.8 -0.74%
S&P 500.3917 -43.6 -1.10%

FTSE…..7335 -74.6 -1.01%
Dax…..14768 -198.9 -1.33%
CAC……6925 -100.3 -1.43%

Nikkei…..27334 +323.2 +1.20%
HSI………19519 +314.7 +1.64%
Shanghai.3251 +23.7 +0.73%

IDX…..6678.24 +112.51 +1.71%
LQ45….924.25 +16.75 +1.85%
IDX30…482.45 +8.52 +1.80%

IDXEnergy.2013.92 +67.06 +3.44%‼️
IDX BscMat 1125.89 +19.00 +1.72%
IDX Indstrl…1151.76 +20.90 +1.85%
IDXNONCYC..717.84 +6.88 +0.97%
IDX Hlthcare1562.97 +23.38 +1.85%
IDXCYCLIC…..795.52 +5.53 +0.70%
IDX Techno..5023.90 -4.60 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1744.59 +48.82 +2.88%
IDX Infrast…..808.28 +12.33 +1.55%
IDX Finance.1364.90 +25.22 +1.88%
IDX Banking.1118.15 +21.26 +1.94%
IDX Property….664 +0.30 +0.05%

Indo10Yr.6.9001 +0.0209 +0.30%
ICBI…..350.7112 -0.2133 -0.06%
US2Yr3.8458 -0.3282 -7.86%‼️
US5Yr 3.5070 -0.2261 -6.06%‼️
US10Yr3.4380 -0.1410 -3.94%‼️
US30Yr.3.6270-0.0850 -2.29%
VIX…… 25.51 +2.52 +10.96%‼️

USDIndx103.7080 -0.7100 -0.68%
Como Indx.254.66 -1.99 -0.78%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.02 +1.13 +0.74%

IndoCDS..106.930 +7.886 +7.96%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/15)

IDR…..15345.00 -44.00 -0.29%
Jisdor.15364.00 -54.00 -0.35%

Euro……1.0613 +0.0034 +0.32%

TLKM….26.40 -0.41 -1.53%
(4056)
EIDO……22.00 +0.24 +1.10%
EEM……37.61 -0.23 -0.61%

Oil….66.74 -1.69 -2.47%
Gold.1990.20 +66.50+3.46%‼️
Timah .22464.00 – -%
(Closed 03/15)
Nickel..23545.00 +47.50 +0.20%
(Closed 03/17)
Silver…..22.46 +0.63 +2.88%
Copper..389.25 +1.70 +0.44%

Nturl Gas.2.350 -0.1820 -7.19%‼️

Ammonia 4173.33 -66.67 -1.57%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/16)

Coal price.173.00 -1.00 -0.57%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.175.05 -4.60 -2.56%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.179.10 -5.15 -2.80%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.184.10 -4.00 -2.13%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.134.50 -3.50 -2.54%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 127.00 -5.00 -3.79%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.25 -5.15 -3.95%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.90 -5.75 -4.44%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3921 -14 -0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..632.75 +6.25 +1.00%
SoybeanOil.57.73+1.39 +2.47%
Wheat…..699.00 -3.75 -0.53%

Wood pulp…5530.00 -40 -0.72%
(Closed 03/18)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at US dan Europe closing merah, Asia ijo tebel ikut US hari sebelumnya. Semoga hari ini udah calmed down jadi kalo koreksi juga ga dalem

Energy related commodity drop semua, precious metals naik, Gold Silver naik tinggi, siap siap ANTM MDKA

IHSG – mantul di support kuat, indicator masih belum terlalu ok, tapi w% udah ga downtrend, NFB, BD akum, elliot wave failed, bakal harus reset cycle nya. Semoga terus netbuy dan sentiment positif

Seperti kebiasaan menjelang puasa dan lebaran, consumer non-cyclicals jalan. Healthcare, Property ada gerakan

Abis drop dalem terus kemaren naik tinggi banyak banget stoch buy signal keluar…

Stoch Buy Signal: CPIN EXCL INCO JPFA SMGR SRTG UNTR ASSA BRMS DOID JSMR LSIP MLPL MTEL

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF TPIA

Kita assess yang stoch buy signal dan big accum bandar…

March 02nd 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower to begin March as the 10-year Treasury yield touches 4%

The S&P 500
fell Wednesday, the first day of March, as traders struggled to recover their footing following a losing month and bond yields continued their climb.

Dow…..32662 +5.1 +0.02%
Nasdaq11379 -76.1 -0.66%
S&P 500.3951 -18.8 -0.47%

FTSE…….7915 +38.7 +0.49%
Dax……..15365 -60.1 -0.39%
CAC……..7234 -33.7 -0.46%

Nikkei…..27517 +70.8. +0.26%
HSI…….20620 +833 .8 +4.21%‼️
Shanghai.3312 +32.7 +1.00%

IDX…..6844.94 +1.70 +0.02%
LQ45….945.82 +2.85 +0.30 %
IDX30…492.30 +1.80 +0.37%

IDXEnergy…2093.55 -7.66 -0.36%
IDX BscMat 1239.30 -3.91 -0.31%
IDX Indstrl..1194.42 -4.39 -0.37%
IDXNONCYC..737.00 -5.12 -0.69%
IDX Hlthcare1556.52 -8.56 -0.55%
IDXCYCLIC…845.58 +0.29 +0.03%
IDX Techno.5417.12 +31.26 +0.58%
IDX Transp..1903.18 -32.84 -1.70%
IDX Infrast….841.76 -2.76 -0.33%
IDX Finance1409.55 +8.30 +0.59%
IDX Banking1134.15 +8.27 +0.73%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.8724 +0.0017 +0.02%
ICBI….349.9674 +0.1506 +0.04%
US5Yr 4.2576 +0.0900 +2.15%
US10Yr3.9940 +0.0800 +2.05%
US30Yr.3.9550+0.0250 +0.64%
VIX……. 20.58 -0.12 -0.58%

USDIndx104.3630 -0.5810 -0.55%‼️
Como Indx.272.81 +2.97 +1.10%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….164.54 +3.37 +2.09%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15235.00 -25.50 -0.17%
Jisdor.15250.00 +10.00 +0.07%

Euro……1.0668 +0.0089 +0.84%

TLKM….25.88 +0.12 +0.47%
(3947)
EIDO……22.80 -0.11 -0.48%
EEM….39.05 +0.82 +2.14%

Oil…….77.69 +0.90 +1.17%
Gold 1845.40 +8.60 +0.47%
Timah 24963 +515 +2.02%
(Closed 02/28)
Nickel…25131 +208.50 +0.84%
(Closed 03/01)
Silver…….21.10 +0.03 +0.14%
Copper..416.00 +8.65 +2.12%

Nturl Gas.2.811 +0.035 +1.26%

Ammonia 4406.66 -33.00 -0.74%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/28)

Coal price.193.50 +0.65 +0.34%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.196.75 +2.65 +1.37%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.200.25 +2.50 +1.26%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.204.15 +3.65 +1.82%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.143.85 -2.05 -1.41%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 143.55 -2.05 -1.41%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 145.40 -1.40 -0.95%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 146.60 -0.60 -0.41%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4188 +52 +1.26%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..635.75 +5.50 +0.87%
SoybeanOil..60.83 +0.73 +1.32%
Wheat……710.00 +4.50 +0.64%

Wood pulp…5850.00 -80 -135%
(Closed 03/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo tipis, nasdaq merah, europe varied, asia ijo, Hangseng ijo tebel

Kemaren IHSG ijo tipis, keliatannya market akan mulai naik hari ini, di beberapa bank sudah keliatan buy signal technical. Oil gas naik, coal NCF naik, Rotterdam turun, metal2 naik semua, CPO naik lagi, seems ok semua sih. Kayanya finally MDKA akan nongol buy signal today. ANTM INCO dkk juga layak diliat. AALI LSIP kita tunggu lagi keluar buy signalnya, kemaren baru sell, signal ngebalik

IHSG – stoch down rev, macd still down, 833 sw, mfi w% sw, bd flat, masih FNS, masih sideways keliatannya, tapi major masih wave 3, tinggal tunggu waktu aja

Ga ada yang leading, yang mau start jalan yang menarik, Industrials, Basic Materials, Energy, Property

Stoch Buy Signal: PGAS MLPL IGAR

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM PNLF WINS

Alligtor Buy Signal: AKRA ESSA BSDE SMDR

March 01st, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 200 points lower Tuesday, major averages end February with losses

The major averages fell on Tuesday to round out a tough month for the stock market

Dow…..32657 -232.4 -0.71%
Nasdaq11456 -11.4 -0.10%
S&P 500.3970 -12.1 -0.30%

FTSE…….7876 -58.8 -0.74%
Dax……..15365 -16.3 -0.11%
CAC……..7268 -27.6 -0.38%

Nikkei…..27446 +21.6. +0.08%
HSI………19786 -157.6 -0.79%
Shanghai.3280 +21.6 +0.66%

IDX…..6843.24 -11.5 -0.17%
LQ45….942.97 -5.11 -0.54%
IDX30…490.50 -2.75 -0.56%

IDXEnergy…2101.21 +30.17 +1.46%
IDX BscMat 1243.21 +2.49 +0.20%
*IDX Indstrl.1198.81 +40.13 +3.46%‼️*
IDXNONCYC..742.11 -4.63 -0.62%
IDX Hlthcare1565.08 +6.16 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC…845.29 -2.67 -0.32%
IDX Techno.5385.85 -11.18 -0.21%
*IDX Transp1936.02 +53.34 +2.83%*
IDX Infrast….844.52 -8.20 -0.96%
IDX Finance1401.26 -5.92 -0.42%
IDX Banking1125.88 -14.52 -1.27%
IDX Property….699 +3.50 +0.51%

*Indo10Yr.6.8724 +0.0167 +0.24%*
*ICBI..349.8168 +0.0284 +0.01%*
*US5Yr 4.1853* +0.0120 +0.29%
*US10Yr3.9226* +0.0040 +0.10%
*US30Yr.3.9180* -0.0010 -0.03%
*VIX……. 20.70 -0.25 -1.19%*

*USDIndx104.9440+0.2710 +0.26%‼️*
Como Indx.269.84 +1.24 +0.46%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.71 +0.56 +0.35%

*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR…..15260.50 -0.50 -0.06%‼️*
*Jisdor.15240.00 -34.00 -0.22%‼️*

*Euro……1.0579 -0.0003 -0.28%*

TLKM….25.76 -0.18 -0.69%
*(3926)*
EIDO……22.91 -0.14 -0.61%
EEM……38.23 -0.27 -0.70%

*Oil…….76.79 +1.11 +1.47%*
*Gold 1836.80* +11.80 +0.65%
*Timah 25651 – -%*
*(Closed 02/24)*
*Nickel.24928.50 -469.50 -1.85%*
(Closed 02/28)
Silver…….21.07 +0.28 +1.34%
Copper..407.35 +6.25 +1.56%

*Nturl Gas.2.776 +0.056 +2.06%*

*Ammonia 4440.00 -50.00 -1.11%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(02/27)

Coal price.192.85 -3.65 -1.86%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.194.10 -2.90 -1.47%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.197.75 -2.25 -1.13%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.200.50 -2.20 -1.09%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.145.90 -2.25 -1.52%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 145.60 -2.50 -1.69%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 146.80 -1.35 -0.91%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 147.20 -1.75 -1.17%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

*CPO(May)….4136 -92 -2.17%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn……630.25 -13.25 -2.06%*
SoybeanOil..60.19 -0.15 -0.25%
Wheat……707.00 -3.00 -0.42%

*Wood pulp…5930.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 02/28)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US europe merah, asia kemaren varied, IHSG merah, kayanya masih belum rally dulu hari ini juga

OIl Gas ijo, coal merah lagi, kalo dari chart coal saatnya gerak tapi harga nya udah 2 hari turun, bisa jadi ini kesempatan beli di pullback. Metal naik semua kecuali nickel, perlu dicermati ANTM MDKA. CPO merah lagi, masih bolak balik AALI LSIP, minornya koreksi dulu

IHSG – stoch down, macd down, MFI sw, w% sw, NFS BD dist, masih belum okay, jangan agressive, yang profit dan chartnya meragukan TP dulu aja just to be safe, atau sell setengah botol lah karena major nya masih ok wave 3

Sempet leading dan jalan lagi: Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals, yang emerging: Industrials (shout out to ASII and UNTR), Energy, Basic Materials dan Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO HRUM SRTG RAJA WIKA UNIC EKAD

MACD Buy Signal: CTRA LPPF TOBA MBSS

Alligator Buy Signal: TLKM

Supertrend Buy: ASII UNTR