Daily Analysis 20221007
Global Update: October 07th, 2022 Good morning, Stocks close lower as investors await September jobs report, Dow drops nearly 350 points U.S. stocks fell Thursday, as traders weighed sharp swings…
Daily Analysis 20221006
Global update:
October 06th, 2022
Good morning,
U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday as Wall Street failed to hold on to the sharp gains from the last two sessions.
Dow…….30274 -42.4 -0.14%
Nasdaq.11149 -27.8 -0.25%
S&P 500..3783 -7.7 -0.20%
FTSE…….7053 -33.8 -0.48%
Dax……..12517 -153.3 -1.21%
CAC……..5985 -54.2 -0.90%
Nikkei….27121 +128.3 +0.48%
HSI……..18088 +1008.5 +5.90%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3153 +14.3 +0.46%
IDX…….7075.38 +3.13 +0.04%
LQ45…1011.63 -3.01 -0.30%
IDX Energy…2009.46 +14.83 +0.74%
IDX Bsc Mat.1259.15 +5.42 +0.43%
IDX Industrl..1296.07 -2.27 -0.15%
IDXNONCYC..700.03 +0.41 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1466.81 +10.03 +0.69%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.99 +12.51 +1.47%
IDX Techno..7059.25 +127.05 +1.83%
IDX Transp…1850.28 +50.29 +2.79%
IDX Infrast…….980.34 -1.88 -0.19%
IDX Finance 1488.36 +1.02 +0.07%
IDX Banking.1156.08 -3.70 -0.32%
IDX Property….692 +1.70 +0.24%
Indo10Yr….7.3341 -0.0440 -0.60%
ICBI……..334.7527 +0.9199 +0.28%
US10Yr……3.7590 +0.1420 +3.93%
VIX……….28.55 -0.52 -1.79%
USDIndx 111.2080 +1.0090 +0.92%
Como Indx..281.89 +1.46 +0.52%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..150.69 +1.04 +0.70%
.
IndoCDS 149.31 +6.93 +4.87%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)
IDR……15192.50 -55.50 -0.36%‼
Jisdor..15196.00 -80.00 -0.52%‼
Euro……..0.9884 -0.0100 -1.00%‼
TLKM……..29.07 -0.29 -0.99%
(4417)
EIDO………23.67 -0.38 -1.58%
EEM………36.63 +0.02 +0.05%
Oil…………87.76 +1.24 +1.43%
Gold ……1720.80 -9.60 -0.55%
Timah….20207 +148.00 +0.74%
(Closed 04/10)
Nickel…22630.00 +659.00 +2.99%
(Closed 05/10)
Silver…….20.54 -0.56 -2.63%
Copper….350.05 +1.05 +0.30%
Nturl Gas…..6.925 +0.100 +1.47%
Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)
Coal price….396.25 -7.75 -1.92%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.75 -4.25 -1.04%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….404.50 -3.50 -0.86%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….294.35 -6.65 -2.21%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….290.75 -8.80 -2.94%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….288.25 -9.70 -3.25%
(Des/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des)……3640 +25 +0.69%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………684.00 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil….65.54 +0.52″ +0.80%
Wheat……..902.00 -1.00 -0.11%
Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 05/10)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US europe merah… Asia masih kebawa US ijo tebel kemaren
Oil Nickel CPO lanjut naik, gold coal silver turun. Waspada koreksi coal… price newcastle dibawah 400
Masih predict market turun dulu tutup gap, karena sektor masih pada lesu, banking juga belum firm jalan
Yang bagus cuma energy, transportation jarang big caps, rada resiko…
Infobank15 – Stoch udah buy, MACD masih down, volume kecil banget, tanda2 pada wait and see, bandar flat setelah exit, foreign inside tapi lagi diem juga, MFI SW, memang masih jadwal wave 3 tapi false break di IHNS pattern, DMI belum jadi buy signal, masih belum firm mau nganter index ke atas. So, masih jangan aggressive belanja dulu
Daily Analysis 20221004
Global update:
October 04th, 2022
Good morning,
Stocks surge to kick off October and a new quarter as bond yields tumble, Dow closes up 760 points
Stocks rallied Monday to start the new month and quarter, as Treasury yields eased from levels not seen in roughly a decade.
Dow…….29491 +765.4 +2.66%
Nasdaq.10815 +239.8 +2.27%
S&P 500..3678 +92.8 +2.59%
FTSE…….6909 +14.95 +0.22%
Dax……..12209 +95.1 +0.79%
CAC……..5794 +31.8 +0.55%
Nikkei….26216 +278.6 +1.07%
HSI……..17080 -143.3 -0.83%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3107 -23.2 -0.74%
IDX…….7009.72 -31.08 -0.44%
LQ45…1006.37 -5.10 -0.50%
IDX Energy…1933.09 +12.79 +0.67%
IDX Bsc Mat.1229.18 -8.79 -0.71%
IDX Industrl..1283.57 +12.85 +1.01%
IDXNONCYC..699.61 +3.15 +0.45%
IDX Hlthcare.1459.23 -38.64 -2.58%
IDXCYCLIC…..848.43 -1.34 -0.16%
IDX Techno..6949.59 -10.25 -0.15%
IDX Transp…1761.72 +2.10 +0.12%
IDX Infrast…….976.83 -4.08 -0.42%
IDX Finance 1475.32 -10.8 -0.73%
٪IDX Banking..1151.50 -7.26 -0.63%
IDX Property….688 +1.60 +0.24%
Indo10Yr….7.4013 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..333.2363 +0.2645 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.6510 -0.1530 -4.02%
VIX……….30.10 -1.52 -4.81%
USDIndx 111.5430 -0.4640 -0.41%👍
Como Indx..272.82 +4.53 +1.69%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..144.41 +0.97 +0.67%
.
IndoCDS 160.95 +1.42 +0.89%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)
IDR……15302.50 +75.50 +0.50%‼
Jisdor..15293.00 +61.00 +0.40%‼
Euro……..0.9826 +0.0024 +0.24%‼
TLKM……..29.20 +0.35 +1.21%
(4465)
EIDO……..23.56 +0.24 +1.03%
EEM………35.45 +0.57 +1.63%
Oil…………83.32 +3.83 +4.82%‼
Gold ……1707.80 +37.00 +2.21%‼
Timah….20634 – -%
(Closed 30/9)
Nickel…21299.00 -28.00 -0.13%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver…….20.77 +1.73 +9.09%‼
Copper….341.75 +0.50 +0.15%
Nturl Gas…..6.514 -0.312 -4.57%‼
Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)
Coal price….401.50 -6.20 -1.52%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….412.50 -5.20 -1.24%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….409.50 -3.20 -0.78%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….315.85 +0.35 +0.11%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….313.85 +0.40 +0.13%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….310.85 +0.40 +0.13%
(Des/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des)……3428 +10 +0.29%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………680.75 +3.25 +0.48%
SoybeanOil….63.34 +1.78 +2.89%
Wheat……..912.00 -9.50 -1.03%
Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/10)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US rebound kenceng, oil gold silver naik tinggi, timah nickel coal minus, copper cpo naik
Kemungkinan opening IHSG ijo dulu, tapi signal masih pada jelek, closing hari kemungkinan hijau dulu, walau wave 2 belum selesai…
IHSG – stoch sw, macd down, MFI down, foreign entry tipis, bandar flat, inside cloud, vol profile ada tebel di 6800 an, gap di 6740, below MA 50, LR PSAR down, masih belum jadwal mantul keliatannya
Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Technology, Healthcare melemah tapi
Daily Analysis 20220921
Global update:
September 21th, 2022
Good morning,
Major averages close about 1% lower as yields rise ahead of Fed rate decision
Stocks tumbled on Tuesday as the sell-off on Wall Street mounted and investors braced for another large rate hike due out Wednesday from the Federal Reserve.
Dow…….30706 -313.5 -1.01%
Nasdaq.11425 -109.97 -0.95%
S&P 500..3855 -43.96 -1.13%
FTSE…….7193 -44.02 -0.61%
Dax……..12671 -132.4 -1.03%
CAC……..5979 -82.1 -1.35%
Nikkei….27688 +120.8 +0.44%
HSI……..18781 +215.5 +1.16%
Shanghai..3122 +6.8 +0.22%
ST Times..3267 +10.63 +0.33%
IDX…….7196.95 +1.46 +0.02%
LQ45…1028.21 +3.48 +0.34%
IDX Energy..1982.92 -10.58 -0.53%
IDX Bsc Mat.1290.99 -4.74 -0.37%
IDX Industrl..1356.73 -6.58 -0.48%
IDXNONCYC..699.95 -0.36 -0.05%
IDX Hlthcare.1472.15 +5.26 +0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.53 -0.49 -0.06%
IDX Techno..7416.27 +68.72 +0.94%
IDX Transp…1848.78 -19.38 -1.046%
IDX Infrast…..1023.94 -6.48 -0.63%
IDX Finance 1506.01 -10.91 -0.72%
IDX Banking..1169.53 -11.14 -0.94%
IDX Property….730 -7.30 -0.99%
Indo10Yr….7.2436 -0.0020 -0.03%
ICBI……..335.9559 +0.1485 +0.04%
US10Yr……3.5710 +0.0810 +2.32%‼️
VIX……….27.16 +1.40 +5.43%
USDIndx 110.2150 +0.4780 +0.44%‼️
Como Indx..279.54 -0.24 -0.09%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.26 +0.17 +0.11%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14983.50 +6.00 +0.04%‼️
Jisdor..14975.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼️
Euro……..0.9966 -0.0065 -0.65%
TLKM……..29.49 -0.30 -1.01%
(4463)
EIDO………24.29 -0.32 -1.30%
EEM………37.70 -0.21 -0.55%
Oil…………..84.45 -1.28 -1.49%
Gold ……..1673.30 -11.60 -0.69%
Timah. .20945.00 -192 -0.91%
( Closed 19/9)
Nickel…24965.50 +343.50 +0.99%
(Closed 20/9)
Silver…….19.25 -0.33 -1.68%
Copper….349.95 -2.90 -0.82%
Nturl Gas…..7.720 -0.158 -2.01%
Ammonia..4373.33 +116.66 +2.74%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(19/9)
Coal price….441.30 +2.25 +0.51%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….438.00 +9.95 +2.32%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….437.00 +11.95 +2.81%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.65 -10.60 -3.17%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….292.60 -14.95 -4.86%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….295.15 -13.65 -4.42%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des)……3739 +38 +1.03%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………..692.00 +13.75 +2.03%
SoybeanOil…65.91 +0.75 +1.15%
Wheat……..893.75 +63.25 +7.62%‼️
Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/9)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US merah lagi, europe merah juga, asia kebanyakan ijo ikut US kemarennya. IHSG ijo tipis banget. Prepare lanjut merah today
Oil Gas turun, Coal naik, energi belum kompak lagi. Metal2 turun kecuali nikel, kurang asik buat basic materials, CPO merah, belum terlihat hilal kenaikan buat LSIP sama AALI
IHSG – masih jadwal wave 2, keep cash… Kecuali yang yakin banget dan sektornya masih jalan
Property, Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals. Yang keliatan mau nyusul technology, transportation, sama consumer non-cyclicals
Daily Analysis 20220912
Global update:
September 12th, 2022
Good morning,
Dow closes more than 300 points higher, stocks snap 3-week Fed-induced slide
U.S. stocks rallied Friday as Wall Street caps off a strong weekly performance, recovering from a Federal Reserve-induced slump.
Dow…….32152 +377.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq.12112 +250.2 +2.11%
S&P 500..4067 +61.2 +1.53%
FTSE…….7351 +89.0 +1.23%
Dax……..13088 +183.9 +1.43%
CAC……..6212 +86.4 +1.41%
Nikkei….28215 +149.5 +0.53%
HSI……..19362 +507.6 +2.69%
Shanghai..3262 +26.5 +0.82%
ST Times..3263 +29.3 +0.91%
IDX…….7242.66 +10.64 +0.15%
LQ45…1032.00 +3.94 +0.38%
IDX Energy..2010.73 -6.01 -0.30%
IDX Bsc Mat.1336.80 -0.33 -0.02%
IDX Industrl..1365.38 -0.45 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC..696.95 +0.09 +0.01%
IDX Hlthcare.1437.62 +12.35 +0.87%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.15 -3.78 -0.43%
IDX Techno..7637.19 -19.58 -0.26%
IDX Transp…1903.27 -9.73 -0.51%
IDX Infrast…..1034.61 -3.05 -0.29%
IDX Finance 1513.59 -2.68 -0.18%
IDX Banking..1172.54 +2.41 +0.21%
IDX Property…713 +5.20 +0.74%
Indo10Yr….7.1959 -0.0104 -0.15%
ICBI……..335.9986 +0.2725 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.3210 +0.0290 +0.88%
VIX…………22.79 -0.82 -3.47%
USDIndx 109.0030 -0.6540 -0.60%
Como Indx..284.12 +5.81 +2.09%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.36 +3.14 +2.11%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14830.00 -70.50 -0.47%
Jisdor..14846.00 -59.00 -0.40%
Euro……..1.0042 +0.0043 +0.43%
TLKM……..30.44 +0.13 +0.43%
(4519)
EIDO………24.37 +0.15 +0.62%
EEM………39.00 +0.57 +1.48%
Oil…………..86.79 +3.25 +3.89%‼
Gold ……..1728.60 +8.40 +0.49%
Timah. .20851.00 -355.00 -1.67%
( Closed 07/9)
Nickel…23032.00 +1161.00 +5.31%‼
(Closed 09/9)
Silver…….18.77 +0.33 +1.76%
Copper….356.80 +4.10 +1.16%
Nturl Gas…..8.038 +0.072 +0.90%
Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/9)
Coal price….435.25 -5.10 -1.16%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….430.60 -3.50 -0.81%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….421.25 -2.00 -0.47%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….337.00 -4.00 -1.17%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….320.00 -11.50 -3.47%‼
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….334.50 -17.35 -4.24%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Nov)……3595 +53 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………..685.00 +16.50 +2.47%
SoybeanOil…64.82 +1.59 +2.51%
Wheat……..869.50 +40.50 +4.89%
Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/9)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Jum’at closing semua regional index ijo… Tapi global crisis belum beres
Kita liat chart nya DJI deh
DJI – stoch buy, macd almost buy, alligator sw, supertrend down, 3 white soldiers, ga up jum’at, bullish divergence dan hidden bullish divergence confirmed by MA10, EMA 9-21 baru death cross, price masih dibawah EMA 50. Mungkin hanya technical rebound, karena issue nya belum bener2 solved
Kalo liat ini sih getting ready untuk wave 3…
Sepertinya akan koreksi dulu tutup gap, konsolidasi, baru setelah MA nya firm mulai jalan wave 3
Harga komoditas terkait energy drop, oil sama coal, udah pas lah bawa energy ABC correction dulu. Natural Gas ijo tapi ga terlalu tebel
Gold silver copper naik, pas buat MDKA, nikel naik tinggi, cocok buat ANTM INCO, tin turun tapi. CPO naik, semoga panjang biar AALI LSIP bisa rebound
IHSG – MADC nya masih sideways, belum berhasil cross, selama masih belum bikin new record high masih lebih besar kemungkinan turun bikin wave 2 dulu
IHSG – foreign masih masuk terus, diluar itu sih keliatan mentok mau ke atas…
Basic Materials, Industrials, yang lain belum
Property udah mulai gerak tapi di RSI quadrant belum keliatan
Daily Analysis 20220909
Global Update:
September 09th, 2022
Good morning,
Dow closes almost 200 points higher as investors weigh future interest rate hikes
Stocks rose Thursday after moving between gains and losses as Wall Street weighed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on the central bank continuing to fight inflation.
Dow…….31775 +193.2 +0.61%
Nasdaq.11862 +70.2 +0.50%
S&P 500..4006 +26.3 +0.66%
FTSE…….7262 +24.2 +0.33%
Dax……..12904 -11.7 -0.09%
CAC……..6126 +19.98 +0.33%
Nikkei….28065 +634.98 +2.31%
HSI……..18855 -189.7 -1.00%
Shanghai..3236 -10.7 -0.33%
ST Times..3234 +22.8 +0.71%
IDX…….7232.02 +45.26 +0.63%
LQ45…1028.06 +8.39 +0.82%
IDX Energy..2016.74 -26.96 -1.32%
IDX Bsc Mat.1337.13 +26.04 +1.99%
IDX Industrl..1365.83 -5.99 -0.44%
IDXNONCYC..696.86 -5.91 -0.84%
IDX Hlthcare.1425.27 +6.12 +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…..885.93 +6.35 +0.72%
IDX Techno..7656.76 +130.25 +1.73%
IDX Transp…1913.00 -10.01 -0.52%
IDX Infrast…..1037.66 +10.85 +1.06%
IDX Finance 1516.28 +10.63 +0.71%
IDX Banking..1170.13 +15.22 +1.32%
IDX Property…713 +5.20 +0.74%
Indo10Yr….7.2063 -0.0044 -0.06%
ICBI……..335.7261 +0.4283 +0.13%
US10Yr……3.2920 +0.0270 +0.83%
VIX…………23.61 -1.03 -4.18%
USDIndx 109.6570 +0.095 +0.09%
Como Indx..278.31 +1.79 +0.65%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.21 +2.16 +1.47%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR……14905.50 -17.00 -0.11%
Jisdor..14905.00 -22.00 -0.15%
Euro……..0.9999 -0.0091 -0.90%
TLKM……..30.31 +0.21 +0.70%
(4518)
EIDO………24.22 +0.17 +0.71%
EEM………38.43 -0.21 -0.54%
Oil…………..83.54 +1.60 +1.95%
Gold ……..1720.20 -7.60 -0.44%
Timah. .20851.00 -355.00 -1.67%
( Closed 07/9)
Nickel…21871.00 +256.50 +1.19%
(Closed 08/9)
Silver…….18.44 +0.18 +0.99%
Copper….352.70 +9.65 +2.81%
Nturl Gas…..7.966 +0.11 +1.40%
Ammonia..4133.33 +33.33 +0.81%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/9)
Coal price….440.35 +1.35 +0.30%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.10 -0.60 -0.14%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.25 -0.45 -0.11%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….341.00 -34.00 -9.07%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….331.50 -26.50 -7.40%‼
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….334.50 -14.80 -4.24%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Nov)……3542 -162 -4.37%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………..668.50 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil…63.23 +1.13 +1.82%
Wheat……..829.00 -15.25 -1.81%
Wood pulp…6750.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 08/9)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Us lanjut ijo lagi, Europe mayoritas ijo, asia varied, tapi mostly ijo atau merah tipis kecuali hangseng
Oil gas coal mantul abis kemaren merah, gold tin merah, nickel silver copper ijo,lebih nungguin nickel sih, rombongan issue batere lebih terpengaruh nickel. CPO drop lagi, waks tambah lama lagi rencana mau beli LSIP ini mah
Belum mau dibawa turun wave 2, masih nahan terus, plus US kemaren ijo jadi stimulus. MACD belum cross up dan belum break high juga , masih lebih besar kemungkinan turun dulu wave 2
IHSG – stoch rev down, 833 sell, macd down, bandar distribusi (ini bahaya ini, harga diangkat bandar exit, profit taking berarti), foreign masih masuk terus, LR channel lagi melebar, karena price stay disitu terus, deviasi dari mean jadi ikut melebar. Koq kayanya hari ini malah start turunnya… WNS lah, kalo bikin ATH ya ikut belanja lagi
Energy melemah, Financials, Basic Materials, Industrials sama Property kalo liat buy signal kemaren