Daily Analysis 20240802

Daily Analysis 20240802

August 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 500 points lower Thursday as investors’ recession fears awaken

Stocks sold off Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
tumbling nearly 500 points, as investors’ fears over a recession surfaced.

Dow……40348 -494.8 -1.21%
Nasdaq17194 -405.3 -2.30%
S&P 500.5447 -75.6 -1.37%

FTSE…..8283 -84.6 -1.01%
Dax……18083 -425.6 -2.30%
CAC……7570 -161.04 -2.14%

Nikkei..38126 -975.9 -2.49%
HSI……..17305 -39.6 -0.34%
Shanghai.2932 -6.4 -0.22%

IDX….7325.98 +70.22 +0.97%
LQ45…925.51 +11.76 +1.29%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2459.65 +8.23 +0.34%
IDX BscMat1371.22 +7.60 +0.56%
IDX Indstrl.1036.57 -4.17 -0.40%
IDXNONCYC.705.02+0.29 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1448.34 -1.06 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC…759.81 +0.53 +0.07%
IDXTechno.3284.23 -3.28 -0.10%
IDX Transp 1391.58 +10.89 +0.20%
IDX Infrast 1568.46 -6.94 -0.44%
IDX Finance1417.15 +15.2 +1.09%
IDX Banking1263.32 +25.59 +2.07%
IDX Property…..649 +8.20 +1.29%

Indo10Yr.6.9175❗️ -0.0245 -0.35%
ICBI…384.4484❗️ +0.8774 +0.23%
US2Yr.4.156 -0.104 -2.44%👍
US5Yr 3.844👍 -0.073 -1.86%
US10Yr3.970👍 -0.0789 -1.93%
US30Yr.4.280 -0.026 -0.60%
VIX..18.59 +2.23 +13.63%‼️

USDIndx 104.4210 +0.325 +0.31%
Como Indx….273.59 -4.53 -1.63%
BCOMIN…..139.10 -1.33 -0.94%

IndoCDS..75.20 +000 +0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16237.00❗️ -23.00 -0.14%
Jisdor.16294.00❗️ -51.00 -0.31%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.59 -0.26 -1.46%*
( 2866)
EIDO….20.19 +0.05 +0.27%
EEM……42.20 -0.73 -1.70%

Oil………..76.79 -1.77 -2.25%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.52 -1.20 -1.49%
(Brent)
Gold…..2489.20 -3.10 -0.12%
(Comex)
Gold……2448.00 -2.74 -0.11%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29894.00 -162.00 -0.54%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16235.00 -276.00 -0.92%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.61 -0.61 -2.09%
Copper.406.70 -12.65 -3.02%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 105.94 -0.31 -0.29%
(31/07)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.142.55 +2.45 +1.75%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.80 +2.40 +1.70%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 145.25 +3.25 +2.29%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.65 +3.50 +2.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.95 +3.10 +2.65%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.80 +4.00 +3.42%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.45 +3.90 +3.35%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.55 +4.00 +3.43%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3871 -38 -0.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..398.50 -1.25 -0.31%
SoybeanOil 41.45 -0.87 -2.06%
Wheat…..532.00 +4.75 +0.90%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 01/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah dalem, europe juga, asia juga kecuali IHSG, sekarang kemungkinan besar nyusul merah

US Bond yield sebenernya merah, kalo pasar saham US ijo kita hampir pasti ijo juga, tapi ini nggak, US merah, kita masih jadwal wave 2, so kayanya hancur lagi. USD index up, consequently metal2 merah semua, oil gas CPO merah, coal ijo tebel sendiri. PTBA menarik ini

IHSG – kemarin FNB, tapi turnover vol transaksi kecil, ga terlalu valid jadinya. Technically masih jelek, very selective buying, malah amannya diem dulu keep cash

Bubar semua, Basic Materials yang terlihat mau mulai gerak. Healthcare masih bagus arahnya, tapi bukan spesialis contrarian, skip

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, ANTM ICBP INCO KLBF PGEO TOWR UNTR UNVR BRMS CTRA MPMX NISP PWON SMRA TBIG TINS TRON PSSI ISSI, yang accum tapi cuma ANTM INCO PWON SMRA

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BMRI BRPT TOWR MICE, big accum ANTM BMRI BRPT

Daily Analysis 20240712

Daily Analysis 20240712

July 12th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks fall from records as Tesla, Nvidia lead tech sell-off

US stocks rolled over on Thursday as investors rotated out of tech after a key inflation report showed consumer prices unexpectedly fell on a month-over-month basis for the first time since 2020.

Dow……39754 +32.4 +0.08%
Nasdaq18283 -364.04 -1.95%
S&P 500.5585 -49.4 -0.88%

FTSE…..8223 +29.8 +0.36%
Dax……18535 +127.3 +0.69%
CAC……7627 +53.6 +0.71%

Nikkei..42224 +392.03 +0.94%
HSI……17832 +360.7 +2.06%
Shanghai.2970 +31.02 +1.06%

IDX….7300.41 +13.37 +0.18%
LQ45..915.36 +3.03 +0.33%
IDX30.455.86 +0.48 +0.11%

IDXEnergy..2427.34 +7.70 +0.32%
IDX BscMat1388.84 +2.87 +0.21%
IDX Indstrl.1011.60 -2.39 -0.24%
IDXNONCYC.712.45 +2.24 +0.32%
IDX Hlthcare1428.92 -5.17 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…741.43 +4.40 +0.60%
IDXTechno3293.55 +21.59 +0.66%
IDX Transp 1327.02 +26.29 +2.02%
IDX Infrast 1595.06 +13.29 +0.84%
IDX Finance1387.39 -0.16 -0.01%
IDX Banking1228.89 +3.01 +0.25%
IDX Property…..616 – -%

Indo10Yr.7.0513 -0.0078 -0.11%
ICBI…381.5177 +0.2896 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.515 -0.109 -2.36%👍
US5Yr 4.144 -0.093 -2.19%👍
US10Yr4.209 -0.071 -1.66%
US30Yr.4.423 -0.074 -1.05%
VIX..12.92 +0.07 +0.54%

USDIndx 104.4400👍 -0.608 -0.58%
Como Indx….290.41 +0.70 +0.24%
BCOMIN…… 151.00 -1.50 -0.98%

IndoCDS..72.73 -0.98 -1.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/07)

IDR…..16194.50❗️ -46.00 -0.28%
Jisdor.16200.00❗️ -56.00 -0.34%

Euro…1.0868 +0.0035 +0.32%

TLKM…19.58 +0.25 +1.29%
( 3172)
EIDO….20.29 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM…..44.33 +0.27 +0.60%

Oil…….82.95 +0.56 +0.68%
Gold…..2418.20 +39.90 +1.68%
Timah..34666.00 -341.00 -0.97%
(Closed 11/07)
Nickel..16867.50 +18.50 +0.11%
(Closed 11/07)
Silver….31.63 +0.53 +1.70%
Copper.452.15 -6.95 -1.51%

Iron Ore 62% 108.74 -1.77 -1.60%
(10/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.374 -0.051 -2.32%
Ammonia China 2783.33 -66.67 -2.34%
(Domestic Price)(10/07)

Coal price.133.75 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.50 -1.50 -1.10%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.60 -1.45 -1.06%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.30 -0.80 -0.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.102.30 +0.45 +0.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.85 +0.20 +0.19%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 -0.25 -0.24%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.55 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3935 +17 +0.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..410.75 +3.50 +0.86%
SoybeanOil 46.15 +0.57 +1.25%
Wheat…571.25 +9.75 +1.74%

Wood pulp..5220 -40 -0.76%
(Closed 11/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo tipis, nasdaq drop gara2 tesla dan nvidia, europe ijo, asia ijo, IHSG closing ijo tipis, US bond yield merah dalem, finally koreksi hari ini? harusnya sih nggak ya, kalo liat bond yield, tapi udah rally panjang, bound to pull back anytime soon

USD index merah, metal2 naik kecuali tin copper sama iron ore, oil ijo, gas drop, coal merah, CPO ijo, masih run nya ANTM ini… AALI LSIP semoga lanjut

IHSG – berhasil stay FNB, indicator pada bilang harus koreksi sehat, tinggal tunggu waktu aja. Biasanya gantian nanti yang jalan saham yang kemaren belum, yang udah pada naik giliran istirahat dulu

Industrials, Technology, Basic Materials, Property, Transportation bangun lagi

Stochastic Buy SIgnal: GGRM CFIN ELSA SCMA, Freq Spike ELSA SCMA, GGRM reg bull

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF, freq spike juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: BBNI BMRI MBMA. BBNI freq spike, MBMA vol breakout

Daily Analysis 20240610

Daily Analysis 20240610

June 10th, 2024 Good morning, S&P 500 closes flat near record, posts winning week The S&P 500 ended flat on Friday, touching a record-high intraday, despite a stronger-than-expected jobs report.…
Daily Analysis 20240429

Daily Analysis 20240429

April 29th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts best week since November, Nasdaq surges 2% Friday as Alphabet soars

Stocks jumped Friday, and the S&P 500
and Nasdaq Composite notched their best week since November as Big Tech names rallied on strong earnings and traders pored through fresh U.S. inflation data

Dow……38240 +153.9 +0.40%
Nasdaq15928 +316.1 +2.03%
S&P 500.5100 +51.5 +1.0%

FTSE…..8140 +60.97 +0.75%
Dax……18161 +243.7 +1.36%
CAC……8088 +71.6 +0.89%

Nikkei..37935 +307.3 +0.81%
HSI…..17651 +366.7 +2.12%
Shanghai.3088 +35.7 +1.17%

IDX…..7036.08 -119.22 -1.67%
LQ45..898.78 -24.72 -2.68%
IDX30..455.88 -12.58 -2.69%

IDXEnergy..2137.65 -29.50 -1.36%
IDX BscMat1299.02 -26.63 -2.01%
IDX Indstrl..1043.51 -11.73 -1.11%
IDXNONCYC.684.83 -12.14 -1.74%
$IDX Hlthcare1319.14-30.34 -2.25%*
IDXCYCLIC…756.20 -21.79 -2.80%
IDXTechno3281.74 -40.93 -1.23%
IDX Transp 1312.48 -8.89 -0.67%
IDX Infrast 1596.06 -7.13 -0.44%
IDX Finance.1406.19 -23.45 -1.57%
IDX Banking.1233.19 -41.04 -3.39%‼️
IDX Property.. 615 -.4.10 -0.66%

Indo10Yr.7.0845‼️ +0.0207 +0.29%
ICBI…373.8771‼️ -0.4467 -0.12%
US2Yr.4.993‼️ -0.007 -0.14%
US5Yr 4.687 -0.032 -0.68%
US10Yr4.663 -0.045 -0.96%
US30Yr.4.777 -0.036 -0.75%
VIX…….15.03 -0.34 -2.21%

USDIndx 105.9380❗️+0.361 +0.34%
Como Indx..296.84 -0.82 -0.29%
BCOMIN..157.30 +0.41 +0.26%

IndoCDS..79.19 -0.49 -0.61%
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/04)

IDR…..16210.00‼️+22.50 +0.14%
Jisdor.16208.00‼️+47.00 +0.29%

Euro….1.0693 -0.0036 -0.34%

TLKM…18.85 +0.14 +0.72%
( 3057)
EIDO……20.31 -0.55 -2.64%
EEM……41.17 +0.46 +1.12%

Oil…….83.85 +0.28 +0.34%
Gold..2347.20 +4.70 +0.20%
Timah..32411.00 -462.00 -1.40%
(Closed 26/04)
Nickel..19256.50 +65.00 +0.34%
(Closed 25/04)
Silver…….27.54 -0.10 -0.35%
Copper…457.43 +3.55 +0.78%

Iron Ore 62% 110.16 +0.48 +0.44%
(26/04)
Nturl Gas..2.285 +0.303 +15.29%‼️
Ammonia China.3000.00 +83.33 +2.85%
(Domestic Price)(26/04)

Coal price 135.50 -1.25 -0.92%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.50 -1.50 -1.08%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.65 -2.35 -1.65%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.15 -2.90 -2.00%

Coal price..106.25 -5.60 -5.01%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.10 -5.45 -4.84%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.55 -5.05 -4.48%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.80 -4.85 -4.31%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3896 +22.00 +0.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….450.00 -2.00 -0.44%
SoybeanOil 45.54 +0.11 +0.24%
Wheat…..622.25 +1.75 +0.28%

Wood pulp..5800 +40 +0.69%
(Closed 28/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua ijo kecuali IDX, ga beres ini…

US Bond Yield down, harusnya sih ijo hari ini, apalagi kemaren merah dalem sendirian. USD index up, tapi kebanyakan metal juga up, kecuali Tin dan SIlver. Oil up, gas jump, coal down, CPO up, Coal price udah relatif tinggi walau last day nya down. Bisa berharap mantul ANTM ELSA mungkin AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – harusnya udah beres koreksinya, walau masih mungkin ngejar fibo 61. Tapi dari fibo ext wave B udah done targetnya. Indicators masih jelek, BD FF masih dist, tapi semoga mulai reversal hari ini

Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: KLBF MTEL TPIA CEKA. Big accum MTEL, cocok sama sektor. TPIA buy signal kita tunggu BRPT jalan, entry lagi

MACD Buy Signal: ICBP UNVR SMRA, ICBP big accum

Daily Analysis 20240222

Daily Analysis 20240222

February 22nd, 2024 Good morning, Nasdaq Composite closes lower for a 3rd day as investors brace for Nvidia earnings The Nasdaq Composite slid for a third session in a row…
Daily Analysis 2020207

Daily Analysis 2020207

February 07th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow……38521 +141.2 +0.37%
Nasdaq15609 +11.3 +0.07%
S&P 500.4954 +11.4 +0.23%

FTSE…..7681 +68.2 +0.90%
Dax……17033 +129.2 +0.76%
CAC……7639 +49.01 +0.65%

Nikkei..36160 -193.5 -0.53%
HSI……16137 +626.9 +4.04%‼️
Shanghai.2790+87.30 +3.23%‼️

IDX…..7247.41 +48.79 +0.68%
LQ45….980.62 +5.13 +0.53%
IDX30…497.84 +2.57 +0.52%

IDXEnergy..2083.20 +11.3 +0.54%
IDX BscMat.1260.63 -1.9 -0.15%
IDX Indstrl…1080.08 +3.03 +0.28%
IDXNONCYC.706.07 +6.37 +0.91%
IDX Hlthcare1347.28 +8.63 +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…855.07 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Techno4023.21 -46.10 -1.13%
IDX Transp 1556.10 -7.54 -0.48%
IDX Infrast 1534.44 +15.39+1.01%
IDX Finance.1500.44+8.28 +0.55%
IDX Banking.1339.65+7.27 +0.54%
IDX Property.. 697 +7.00 +1.02%

Indo10Yr.6.6729+0.0198 +0.30%
ICBI…376.5363 -0.1131 -0.03%
US2Yr.4.399 -0.075 -1.67%
US5Yr 4.122 -0.062 -1.50%
US10Yr4.104 -0.056 -1.35%
US30Yr.4.293 -0.050 -1.15%
VIX…13.06 -0.61 -4.46%‼️

USDIndx 104.2130 ‼️-0.239 -0.23%
Como Indx..269.05 +0.86 +0.32%
BCOMIN……135.71 +0.37 +0.27%

IndoCDS..74.69 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/02)

IDR…..15730.00‼️ +22.00 +0.14%
Jisdor.15734.00‼️ +29.00 +0.18%

Euro….1.0756 +0.0013 +0.12%

TLKM…25.39 +0.26 +1.03%
(3995)
EIDO……22.13 +0.24 +1.10%
EEM……39.58 +0.88 +2.27%

Oil…….73.31 +0.53 +0.73%
Gold..2051.40 +10.00 +0.49%
Timah..24836.00 -714.00 -2.79%
(Closed 05/03)
Nickel..15948.00 -45.50 -0.29%
(Closed 06/02)
Silver……22.48 +0.06 +0.25%
Copper.378.10 +0.95 +0.25%

Iron Ore 62% 128.63 – -%
(02/02)
Nturl Gas..2.001 -0.061 -2.95%
Ammonia China.2983.33 -166.67-5.29%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/02/02)

Coal price 119.00 unch +0%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.121.90 -1.75 -1.42%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 122.25 -1.35 -1.09%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice. – – -%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .98.60 +0.45 +0.46%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..97.35 +1.15 +1.20%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +0.85 +0.92%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.65 +0.75 +0.83%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3841 +42 +1.11%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……438.75 -4.00 -0.90%
SoybeanOil 45.94 +0.61 +1.35%
Wheat….595.00 +4.75 +0.80%

Wood pulp..5104.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Ijo semua, kecuali jepang. US bond rate turun, USD index turun, lanjut semoga ijo hari ini IHSG

Gold silver copper ijo, tin nickel merah, Oil ijo, gas merah, coal lanjut ijo, CPO juga

Coal Price chart menarik, Buy Signal MACD dan Supertrend

IHSG – stoch up, macd revup, MFI sw, w%uptrend BD flat, FNB dan vol naik dibanding kemaren, semoga ini bikin flat style ABC correction, B nya sampe hampir setinggi wave 5 sebelumnya, jadi C nya juga ga dalem dalem amat

Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property nyusul. Energy lagi ngintip ngintip

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT GGRM MAPI ABMM SMRA SMAR. Big accum GGRM, TBIG TLKM sell, considering SOS

MACD Buy Signal: GGRM KLBF ADHI BFIN ERAA. Big accum GGRM ADHI, spike ERAA KLBF

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: BBNI GGRM