Daily Analysis 20221220

Daily Analysis 20221220

December 20th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for a fourth day as recession angst dashes hope of year-end rally

Stocks fell Monday as recession fears mounted and investors worried time is running out for a year-end rally.

Dow…….32758 -162.9 -0.49%
Nasdaq.10546 -159.4 -1.49%
S&P 500..3818 -34.7 -0.90%

FTSE…….7361 +29.2 +0.40%
Dax……..13943 +49.8 +0.36%
CAC……..6473 +20.7 +0.32%

Nikkei….27527 -524.6 -1.87%
HSI……..19451 +82.1 +0.42%
Shanghai..3168 -0.8 -0.02%
ST Times..3241 closed +0%

IDX…….6779.80 -32.49 -0.48%
LQ45……946.85 -4.33 -0.46%

IDX Energy..2151.29 -8.18 -0.38%
IDX BscMat 1246.73 -20.78 -1.64%
IDX Indstrl…1176.82 -0.96 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC..723.63 -4.08 -0.56%
IDX Hlthcare.1556.85 -0.57 -0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…..843.31 +1.79 +0.20%
IDX Techno..5116.13 -106.46 -2.04%
IDX Transp…1691.33 -11.66 -0.68%
IDX Infrast……849.83 +4.41 +0.52%
IDX Finance 1436.92 -14.42 -0.99%
IDX Banking 1163.90 -16.14 -1.37%
IDX Property….698 -2.90 -0.41%

Indo10Yr.7.0059 +0.0113 +0.16%
ICBI….344.1806 +0.1605 +0.05%👍
US10Yr..3.5810 +0.0990 +2.84%
VIX……22.42 -0.20 -0.88%

USDIndx.104.6670 -0.0340 -0.03%
Como Indx.270.56 -0.82 -0.30%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.91 -1.57 -0.97%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15596.50 -1.50 -0.01%
Jisdor..15621.00 +4.00 +0.03%

Euro……1.0607 +0.0021 +0.19%

TLKM…….23.58 +0.41 +1.77%
(3683)
EIDO……….22.75 -0.02 -0.09%
EEM……….37.86 +0.03 +0.08%

Oil………….75.19 +0.90 +1.21%
Gold …..1797.70 -2.50 -0.14%
Timah…..23535 – -%
(Closed 16/12)
Nickel.27179.50 -1287.00 -4.52%‼️
(Closed 18/12)
Silver………23.20 -0.13 -0.55%
Copper…378.30 +2.15 +0.57%

Nturl Gas..5.843 -0.768 -11.62%‼️

Ammonia..4756.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(15/12)

Coal price….401.65 -1.65 -0.41%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.75 -1.25 -0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….352.30 -2.70 -0.76%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…230.50 -3.70 -1.58%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price…201.75 -3.90. -1.90%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…201.65 -4.05 -1.97%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..3932 +15 +0.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….647.25 -5.75 -0.88%
SoybeanOil.64.41 +0.95 +1.52%
Wheat………748.50 -5.00 -0.66%

Wood pulp…6500.00 -10 -0.15%
(Closed 19/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah, europe ijo, asia cuma HSI yang ijo, semua merah, masih kemungkinan besar tetep dalam tekanan, kalo ga lanjut merah paling sideways or naik tipis2

Oil rebound, gas drop jauh, coal turun, waktunya rebuy coal di pullback. Metal2 turun semua, ANTM buy signal bisa jadi waktu yang pas buat buy. CPO naik dikit, kita tunggu nongolnya buy signal saham2 sawit

Basic Materials sama Financials

Daily Analysis 20221213

Daily Analysis 20221213

December 13th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 500 points higher to start the week as investors await Fed meeting, inflation data

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped Monday, clawing back some of the steep losses from the previous week, as traders looked ahead to a highly anticipated Federal Reserve meeting and new inflation data.

Dow…….34005 +528.6 +1.58%
Nasdaq.11144 +139.1 +1.26%
S&P 500..3991 +56.2 +1.43%

FTSE…….7446 -30.7 -0.41%
Dax……..14306 -64.1 -0.45%
CAC……..6651 -27.1 -0.41%

Nikkei….27842 -58.7 -0.21%
HSI……..19464 -437.2 -2.20%
Shanghai..3179 -27.9 -0.87%
ST Times..3240 -6.3 -0.19%

IDX…….6734.45 +19.33 +0.29%
LQ45……938.75 +5.74 +0.61%

IDX Energy..2125.64 +11.31 +0.54%
IDX BscMat 1250.80 +2.00 +0.16%
IDX Indstrl…1170.02 +2.52 +0.16%
IDXNONCYC..728.03 +8.72 +1.21%
IDX Hlthcare.1540.42 +11.23 +0.73%
IDXCYCLIC…..853.47 +0.37 +0.04%
*IDX Techno..5071.19 -122.03 -2.35%*
IDX Transp…1711.99 +17.98 +1.06%
IDX Infrast……852.91 -2.05 -0.24%
IDX Finance 1432.70 +2.51 +0.18%
IDX Banking 1156.21 +3.00 +0.26%
IDX Property….708 – -%

*Indo10Yr…7.0409 +0.0050 +0.07%*
*ICBI…….343.1945 +0.0670 +0.02%*
*US10Yr..3.6110 +0.0440 +1.23%*
*VIX……25.00 +2.17 +9.51%‼️*

*USDIndx..105.0360 +0.2260 +0.22%*
Como Indx..269.37 +3.09 +1.16%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..168.01 -1.83 -1.08%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15627.50 +44.50 +0.29%*
*Jisdor..15642.00 +55.00 +0.35%*

*Euro……1.0537 +0.0004 +0.04%*

TLKM……..23.59 +0.28 +1.20%
*(3690)*
EIDO……….22.76 +0.28 +1.25%
EEM……….38.09 -0.12 -0.31%

*Oil………..73.17 +2.15 +3.03%‼️*
Gold ……1792.30 -18.40 -1.02%
Timah…..24290 – -%
*(Closed 09/12)*
*Nickel…29303.50 +481.00 +1.67%*
*(Closed 12/12)*
Silver………23.40 -0.31 -1.32%
Copper….380.05 -7.80 -2.01%

*Nturl Gas…..6.524 +0.217 +3.44%*

Ammonia..4890.00 – +%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(07/12)

Coal price….400.25 -2.25 -0.56%
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….373.00 -9.10 -2.38%*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….361.25 -11.25 -3.02%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….250.25 -10.65 -4.08%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….235.25 -18.65 -7.35%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….237.40 -17.50 -6.86%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3741 -246 -6.17%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….654.00 +10.00 +1.55%
*SoybeanOil.61.47 +1.93 +3.24%‼️*
*Wheat…….754.75 +20.50 +2.79%*

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Great, US rebound, kemaren IHSG surprisingly berhasil closing ijo sih, despite GOTO yang nyeret kebawah dari awal sesi 1. Asia lain merah, europe merah, semoga semua hari ini menghijau

Metal2 umumnya turun biasanya gini kalo USD index nya naik, nikel yang naik sendiri. Oil ijo, gas ijo, giliran Coal yang merah, waktunya belanja saham coal ini kayanya, buy on dip. CPO masih kacaw, ini drop lagi

IHSG semoga outlook nya cerah begini…

 

IHSG – stoch 833 sudah buy, MACD masih down, stoch 1066 sudah melandai, masih NFS tapi makin kecil, bandar sudah start akum, MFI naik, sudah firm tutup gap, tinggal mantulnya sih. Semoga rally panjang wave 3…

 

Masih primadonanya Energy sama Healthcare, yang lain mulai loyo, mungkin mau gantian sama infrastucture dan basic materials

Yang jelas kita tunggu dan doakan cepet financials bangun

Stoch Buy Signal: BFIN CPIN ERAA BSDE MMLP PMMP WIIM

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF MEDC ASSA

Daily Analysis 20221212

Daily Analysis 20221212

December 12th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 300 points Friday, posts worst week since September

Stocks finished lower Friday, with all the major averages posting losses for the week as worries persisted over continued rate hikes.

Dow…….33476 -305.02 -0.90%
Nasdaq.11005 -77.4. -0.70%
S&P 500..3934 -29.1 -0.73%

FTSE…….7477 +4.5 +0.06%
Dax……..14371 +106.2 +0.74%
CAC……..6677 +30.3 +0.46%

Nikkei….27901 +326.6 +1.18%
HSI……..19901 +450.6 +2.32%
Shanghai..3207 +9.6 +0.30%
ST Times..3246 +9.9 +0.31%

IDX…….6715.12 -89.11 -1.31%
LQ45……933.01 -11.21 -1.19%

IDX Energy..2114.33 -55.96 -2.58%
IDX BscMat 1248.80 -4.64 -0.37%
IDX Indstrl…1167.50 -17.33 -1.46%
IDXNONCYC..719.31 -7.88 -1.08%
IDX Hlthcare.1529.19 -19.22 -1.24%
IDXCYCLIC…..863.09 -9.55 -1.11%
IDX Techno….5193.21-93.46 -1.77%
IDX Transp…1694.01 -6.02. -0.35%
IDX Infrast……854.97 -7.60 -0.88%
IDX Finance 1430.18 -8.54 -0.59%
IDX Banking 1153.21 -7.07 -0.61%
IDX Property….708 -4.20 -0.60%

Indo10Yr…7.0359 -0.0219 -0.31%
ICBI…….342.9951 +0.2918 -0.09%
US10Yr..3.5670 +0.0760 +2.18%
VIX……22.83 +0.54 +2.42%

USDIndx..104.8100 -0.0030 -0.002%
Como Indx..266.28 -0.12 -0.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..169.84 -0.85 -0.50%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15583.00 -37.50 -0.24%
Jisdor..15587.00 -37.00 -0.24%

Euro……1.0533 -0.0024 -0.23%

TLKM……..23.31 -0.34 -1.44%
(3633)
EIDO……….22.48 -0.37 -1.62%
EEM……….39.02 -0.26 -0.66%

Oil………….71.02 -0.44 -0.62%
Gold ……1810.70 +9.20 +0.51%
Timah…..24290 -335 -1.36%
(Closed 09/12)
Nickel…28822.50 -659.00 -2.23%
(Closed 09/12)
Silver………23.72 +0.47 +2.03%
Copper….387.85 -0.50 -0.13%

Nturl Gas…..6.307 +0.372 +6.27%

Ammonia..4890.00 – +%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/12)

Coal price….402.50 +7.00 +1.77%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….378.85 +3.25 +0.86%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price…..372.50 +2.50 +0.68%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….260.90 +4.40 +1.72%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….253.90 +3.15 +1.26%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….254.90 +2.90 +1.15%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)…..3987 +36 +0.91%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….644.00 +1.50 +0.23%
SoybeanOil…59.54 -0.94 -1.55%
Wheat………734.25 -12.00 -1.61%

Wood pulp…6510.00 -40 -0.61%
(Closed 11/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing merah pas jum’at, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali IHSG yang turun dalem, harusnya rebound hari ini…

Metal metal varied, yang kesorot nikel yang turun agak besar. Oil masih turun, gas rebound tinggi, coal naik lagi ke atas 400 (harusnya aman ini lanjut rebound nya), CPO naik dikit, tapi masih belum firm trend nya

IHSG – diluar ada dalam area support kuat, technical nya index jelek banget, masih FNS terus, bandar juga banyakan distribusi, memang selama GOTO ARB terus berat banget ngangkat index, market cap nya terlalu besarbuat digendong yang lain. Tapi semoga di banks mulai akum, jadi tinggal nunggu mentoknya GOTO nanti mulai rebound index

Disini financials mulai ada kehidupan. Leading nya masih energy, healthcare, consumer non-cyclicals, sama property tapi keliatan mulai lesu

Stoch Buy Signal: BUKA KLBF ADHI

MACD Buy Signal: ERAA