Daily Analysis 20240328

Daily Analysis 20240328

March 28th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow surges more than 450 points, S&P 500 closes at a fresh record

The S&P 500
rose Wednesday, closing at a record as the index heads for its best first quarter since 2019.

Dow……39760 +477.8 +1.22%
Nasdaq16400 +83.8 +0.51%
S&P 500.5248 +44.9 +0.86%

FTSE…..7932 +1.02 +0.01%
Dax……18477 +92.7 +0.50%
CAC……8205 +20.1 +0.25%

Nikkei..40762 +364.7 +0.90%
HSI……16393 -225.5 -1.36%
Shanghai.2993-38.3 -1.26%

IDX…..7325.13 -40.54 -0.55%
LQ45….990.37 -7.43 -0.74%
IDX30…503.32 -4.14 -0.82%

IDXEnergy..2137.76 -2.59 -0.12%
IDX BscMat1289.45 -9.08 -0.70%
IDX Indstrl…1102.29 -1.59 -0.14%
IDXNONCYC.719.39 -1.87 -0.26%
IDX Hlthcare1354.31 -12.77 -0.93%
IDXCYCLIC…826.90 -4.24 -0.51%
IDXTechno3549.98 -34.69 -0.97%
IDX Transp 1512.95 -38.50 -2.48%
IDX Infrast 1566.69 -9.21 -0.58%
IDX Finance.1532.87 +1.14 +0.07%
IDX Banking.1405.48 -2.98. -0.21%
IDX Property.. 670 -4.70 -0.70%

Indo10Yr.6.7255❗️+0.0153+0.23%
ICBI…378.8459 ❗️-0.2104 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.568 -0.025 -0.54%
US5Yr 4.183 -0.040 -0.95%
US10Yr4.188 -0.046 -1.09%
US30Yr.4.349, -0.051 -1.16%
VIX………12.78 -0.46 -3.47%👍

USDIndx 104.3480 ❗️ +0.058 +0.06%
Como Indx..286.76 -1.05 -0.37%
BCOMIN…..138.56 -0.33 -0.24%

IndoCDS..72.26 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/03)

IDR…..15858.00‼️+65.50 +0.41%
Jisdor.15853.00‼️ +56.00 +0.35%

Euro….1.0812 -0.0020 -0.18%

TLKM…22.27 -0.51 -2.22%‼️
(3530)
EIDO……22.67 -0.11 -0.46%
EEM……40.93 +0.08 +0.18%

Oil…….81.68 +0.06 +0.07%
Gold..2212.70+11.10. +0.50%
Timah..27446.00 -134.00 -0.49%
(Closed 26/03)
Nickel..16643.50 -48.50 -0.29%
(Closed 27/03)
Silver…..24.75 +0.16 +0.65%
Copper.400.75 +0.75 +0.19%

Iron Ore 62% 110.28 -0.39 -0.35%
(26/03)
Nturl Gas..1.715 -0.069 -3.87%
Ammonia China.3433.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(27/03/24)

Coal price.129.00 +0.10 +0.08%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 131.1;0 +2.60 +2.02%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.10 +2.95 +2.28%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.35 +2.80 +2.14%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..113.60 +0.35 +0.62%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.45 +6.15 +5.38%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.95 +6.10 +5.41%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.30 +6.35 +5.77%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4135 -102.00 -2.41%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….426.75 -5.75 -1.33%
SoybeanOil 47.67 -0.75 -1.55%
Wheat…547.50 +4.00 +0.74%

Wood pulp..5650.00 +50.00 +0.89%
(Closed 27/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US loncat, SP500 new record high, europe ijo, asia kemaren mostly masih merah, hari ini harusnya ijo juga. US bind yield turun, VIX turun, bagus buat saham

USD index up, gold masih up juga tapi along with Silver Copper, metal lain down. gas down oil coal up, kita pantau re-entry ADRO. CPO drop, bisa jadi harus exit dulu ini AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% downtrend, BD flat FNS, masih jadwal koreksi, masih selective buying

Terlihat banyak yang jalan, leading Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare, Energy, nyusul technology, Property, Consumer Cyclicals terus Financials, Kalo bener Financials jalan, bisa break ABC correction nya

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI SRTG

MACD Buy Signal: ICBP RAJA SMSM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: JSMR

Daily Analysis 20240213

Daily Analysis 20240213

February 13th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rises more than 100 points to close at a record

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose to a new high on Monday as investors awaited fresh inflation and earnings data.

Dow……38797 +125.7 +0.33%
Nasdaq15943 -48.1 -0.30%
S&P 500.5022 -4.8 -0.09%

FTSE…..7574 +1.1 +0.01%
Dax……17037 +110.9 +0.65%
CAC……7690 +42.3 +0.55%

Nikkei..36897 closed +0%
HSI……15747 closed +0%
Shanghai.2866 closed +0%

IDX…..7297.67 +62.52 +0.86%
LQ45….995.17 +12.03 +1.22%
IDX30…505.97 +6.37 +1.27%

IDXEnergy..2085.75 +2.57 +0.24%
IDX BscMat.1247.75 +3.73 +0.30%
IDX Indstrl…1085.47 +2.57 +0.24%
IDXNONCYC.700.76 -2.48 -0.35%
IDX Hlthcare1335.29 -1.26 -0.09%
IDXCYCLIC…848.48 -2.86 -0.34%
IDX Techno4014.65. +20.80.+0.52%
IDX Transp 1560.18 -5.90 -0.38%
IDX Infrast 1530.18 +12.89 +0.85%
IDX Finance.1521.20 +17.73 +1.18%
IDX Banking.1379.50 +33.06 +2.46%
IDX Property.. 700 +4.30. +0.61%

Indo10Yr.6.6891 +0.0202+0.30%
ICBI…376.6831 -0.238 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.480 -0.006 -0.13%
US5Yr 4.139 -0.003 -0.07%
US10Yr4.183 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4.380+0.006 +0.14%
VIX…13.93 +1.00 +7.73%‼️

USDIndx 104.1700 ‼️+0.059 +0.06%
Como Indx..273.31 -1.03 -0.38%
BCOMIN……133.12 +0.95 +0.72%

IndoCDS..74.22 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/02)

IDR…..15594.50 -40.50.0.26%
Jisdor.15685.00 -73.00.0.46%

Euro….1.0771 -0.0013 -0.12%

TLKM…25.79 +0.29 +1.12%
(4045)
EIDO……22.65 +0.24 +1.07%
EEM……39.89 +0.32 +0.81%

Oil…….76.92 +0.08 +0.10%
Gold..2033.00 -5.70 -0.28%
Timah..26367.00 +472.00 +1.82%
(Closed 09/03)
Nickel..15921.00 -86.00 -0.54%
(Closed 09/02)
Silver……22.77 +0.18 +0.80%
Copper.372.40 +4.25 +1.15%

Iron Ore 62% 128.75 – -%
(09/02)
Nturl Gas..1.753 -0.108 -5.80%‼️
Ammonia China.2866.67‼️ -66.66 -2.27%
(Domestic Price)(07/02/02)

Coal price 126.00 -0.60 -0.47%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.10 -2.10 -1.67%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.00 -2.30 -1.82%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice..124.40 -2.15 -1.70%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .94.50 -1.50 -1.56%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.10 -2.45 -2.59%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..89.15 -2.15 -2.35%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..87.60 -2.20 -2.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3881 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……430.50 +1.50 +0.35%
SoybeanOil 47.40 -0.35 -0.73%
Wheat….597.50 +0.75 +0.13%

Wood pulp..5124.00 unch +0%
(Closed 12/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI touch record high, Nasdaq SP500 koreksi dulu dikit, europe ijo, asia tutup libur imlek, USbond rate pendek turun, yang panjang naik, ok sih ini wajar, harusnya masih ijo hari ini

USD index up, gold nickel down, tin silver copper up, oil up, gas drop, coal down, CPO closed. Belum terlalu gimana gimana ini, TINS mungkin yang perlu dicermati apa udah mau reversal

IHSG – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD flat FNB naik terus, semoga bukan technical trap tapi emang wave B nya tinggi. Spec buy di yang firm bisa, tapi hati2 jebakan betmen, pantau ketat

Ga ada yang firm jalan dan leading, so extra caution, energy industrials property boleh dilirik

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN INCO CTRA ISAT MAPA MTMH TINS. Big accum BBTN INCO ISAT

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO INCO SIDO SRTG BSDE MTMH NISP INCI ECII. Big accum INCO, SRTG spike

Stochastic continuation Signal and Big Accum: INCO JSMR

Daily Analysis 20240131

Daily Analysis 20240131

January 31st, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results

Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100
fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Wall Street also looked toward the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate policy.

Dow……38467 +133.9 +0.35%
Nasdaq15510 -118.2 -0.76%
S&P 500.4925 -2.96 -0.06%

FTSE…..7666 +33.6 +0.44%
Dax……16972 +30.6 +0.18%
CAC……7677 +36.7 +0.48%

Nikkei..36066 +38.9 +0.11%
HSI……15703 -373.8 -2.33%
Shanghai.2831 -52.8 -1.83%

IDX…..7192.22 +35.04 +0.49%
LQ45….971.70 +9.78 +1.02%
IDX30…493.78 +5.93 +1.22%

IDXEnergy..2097.94 -7.30 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1284.55 -5.74 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1087.81 +2.42 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.693.75 -3.14 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1318.21+8.41. +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…859.07 +7.60 +0.89%
IDX Techno4103.92 +118.31 +2.97%
IDX Transp 1515.04 -7.75 -0.51%
IDX Infrast 1497.23 -13.74 -0.91%
IDX Finance.1510.97 -8.20 -0.54%
IDX Banking.1300.04 +25.68 +2.02%
IDX Property.. 698 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr.6.6555 – 0.0229 -0.34%
ICBI…376.0857 +0.4541 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.339 +0.017 +0.39%
US5Yr 3.974 -0.012 -0.30%
US10Yr4.036 -0.036 -0.93%
US30Yr.4.251-0.064 -1.48%
VIX…13.31 -0.29 -2.13%

USDIndx 103.3970❗️ -0.212 -0.20%
Como Indx..274.00 +3.12 +1.15%
BCOMIN……140.02 +0.77 +0.55%

IndoCDS..76.73 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/01)

IDR…..15780.00‼️ -30.00 -0.19%
Jisdor.15825.00 ‼️ -29.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0844 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.33 -0.22 -0.86%
(4008)
EIDO……21.75 +0.18 +0.83%
EEM……38.60 -0.31 -0.80%

Oil…….77.81 +0.85 +1.10%
Gold..2054.50 +3.30 +0.16%
Timah..26664.00 – -%
(Closed 29/01)
Nickel..16513.50 +54.00 +0.33%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver……23.28 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper.391.15 +2.55 +0.66%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 unch +0%
(29/01)
Nturl Gas..2.091 +0.032 +1.55%
Ammonia China.3260.00 -83.00 -2.48%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 119.55 +3.15 +2.71%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.50 +5.00 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.30 +4.40 +3.80%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.80 +3.80 +3.28%‼️
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.15 +1.85 +1.96%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +1.90 +2.07%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.10 +1.20 +1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.75 +1.30 +1.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3842 -107 -2.71%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.75 +7.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil 46.00 +0.45 +0.99%
Wheat…605.50 +12.20 +1.70%

Wood pulp..5076.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

REMINDER REBALANCING

UPDATE (29/01/2024)

EVALUASI INDEKS LQ45, IDX30, IDX80, KOMPAS100, PEFINDO25, INDEKS BUMN20, IDXSMC-LIQ, IDXSMC-COM, IDXHIDIV20, IDXV30, IDXG30, IDXQ30, IDXLQ45LCL

(Periode Efektif 01 Februari 2024 – 31 Juli 2024)

INDEKS LQ45
Baru : MBMA, MTEL, PGEO, PTMP
Keluar : INDY, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

INDEKS IDX30
Baru : ACES, ICBP, INKP, PGEO
Keluar : EMTK, ESSA, HRUM, TOWR

INDEKS IDX80
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, MAPA, MBMA, PGEO, PTMP, SMIL, TRON, WIFI
Keluar : AVIA, DOID, HMSP, JKON, OMED, PNBN, RMKE, SMDR, WIKA

INDEKS KOMPAS100
Baru : AUTO, CFIN, DRMA, GTRA, HRTA, IMAS, MAPA, MARK, MBMA, NISP, PGEO, PTMP, PTRO, SILO, SMIL, SMSM, SSIA, TRON, WIIM
Keluar : AALI, AGII, AVIA, BBKP, BDMN, BELI, BSSR, HMSP, JKON, LSIP, MMIX, MSIN, OMED, PNBN, PNIN, RMKE, SMDR, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS PEFINDO25
Baru : ADMR, AUTO, DILD, ESSA, GJTL, LPPF, LSIP, MAPA, MIDI, TAPG
Keluar : AKRA, BSSR, DSNG, HEXA, HRTA, MIKA, POWR, SIDO, SMSM, SSIA

(Periode Efektif 05 Februari 2024 – 02 Agustus 2024)

INDEKS BUMN20
Baru : BJTM, PGEO,
Keluar : JKON, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-LIQ
Baru : AUTO, CMRY, GGRM, HEAL. INCO, MAPA, MIDI, TOWR
Keluar : ADMR, ARTO, BDMN, BEST, BJBR, LSIP, SSIA, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-COM
Baru : ARTA, AXIO, BEEF, GGRM, HOKI, INCO, JAWA, PDPP, TOWR
*zKeluar :*z ADMR, ARTO, BOLA, CUAN, DEFI, DSSA, FILM, GLVA, GSMF, HOMI, JIHD, MDLN, MREI, NIKL, PANI, PEGE, PGEO, PPRE, RONY, SMIL, SONA, TEBE, TFAS, TOPS, WEGE, WTON

INDEKS IDXHIDIV20
Baru : BRPT, ICBP, INKP, KLBF, SMGR, TPIA, UNVR
Keluar : BJBR, BJTM, BNGA, BSSR, HEXA, HMSP, MPMX

INDEKS IDXV30
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, JSMR, SMRA, WIFI
Keluar : DOID, JKON, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXG30
Baru : AUTO, BBTN, GJTL, MAPA
Keluar : ASSA, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXQ30
Baru : AKRA, AMRT, GGRM, MYOR, SMIL, TRON
Keluar : AVIA, EMTK, HMSP, RMKE, SRTG, TINS

INDEKS IDXLQ45LCL
Baru : MAPI, MBMA, MTEL, PGEO
Keluar : ASII, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

(Listri. Source : IDX)

SP500 abis cetak new record koreksi dulu, DJI nya ijo, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG sempet merah dulu tapi closing ijo, firm mau wave B

US bond rate pendek naik, panjang turun, semoga ga banyak pengaruh ke stock market, USD index merah, metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, coal ijonya tebel, CPO merah dalem, MDKA harusnya jalan, ELSA AKRA MEDC lanjut, coal apakah udah mau rebound? AALI LSIP agak kawatir ini

IHSG – dari ilmu elliot wave, wave B nya ga panjang ini keliatanya, daripada aggressive sekarang mending tunggu wave C beres… Udah 2 hari FNB, BD acc, big bank di push naik, GOTO di push naik, tapi in total saham yang turun lebih banyak dari saham yang naik. Masih keep cash

Terlihat Healthcare ngebalik nyusul basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure… Padahal kemaren KLBF dibanting sampe cutloss

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ASII BBNI ITMG PTBA SIDO ASSA BRMS CTRA HMSP LPPF MTEL SMRA. Big Acc ASII BBNI PTBA

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTPP BRAM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: BRIS

Daily Analysis 20240129

Daily Analysis 20240129

January 29th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq fall Friday to snap six-day win streak, but both notch weekly gains

The S&P 500
closed slightly lower Friday, but clinched weekly gains as the latest economic data added to a positive picture of the economy.

Dow……38109 +60.3 +0.16%
Nasdaq15455 -55.1 -0.36%
S&P 500.4891 -3.2 -0.07%

FTSE…..7635 +105.4 +1.40%
Dax……16961 +54.5 +0.32%
CAC……7434 +169.9 +2.28%

Nikkei..35751 -485.40 -1.34%
HSI……15952 -259.7 -1.60%
Shanghai.2910 +4.1 +0.14%

IDX…..7137.09 -40.95 -0.57%
LQ45….951.49 -8.31 -0.87%
IDX30…482.83 -3.96 -0.81%

IDXEnergy..2115.97 -20.83 -0.97%
IDX BscMat.1284.91 -4.10 -0.32%
IDX Indstrl…1084.62 -3.73 -0.34%
IDXNONCYC.696.55 -4.51 -0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1311.94 -4.73. -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…848.85 -6.10 -0.71%
IDX Techno4074.19 -53.93 -1.31%
IDX Transp 1620.81 -15.05 -0.92%
IDX Infrast 1581.62 -39.19 -2.42%
IDX Finance.1519.17 +3.02 +0.20%
IDX Banking.1274.35 -12.27 -0.95%
IDX Property.. 701 +3.10 +0.44%

Indo10Yr.6.6901 +0.0083 +0.12%
ICBI…375.1719 -0.2428 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.357 +0.058 +1.35%
US5Yr 4.038 +0.036 +0.90%
US10Yr4.139 +0.018 +0.44%
US30Yr.4.372+0.002 +0.05%
VIX…13.26 -0.19 -1.41%

USDIndx 103.4330❗️ -0.141 -0.14%
Como Indx..273.57 +1.17 +0.43%
BCOMIN……139.82 +0.51 +0.36%

IndoCDS..76.21 +2.46 +3.34%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/01)

IDR…..15825.00‼️ -1.00 -0.01%
Jisdor.15829.00 ‼️+62.00 +0.39%

Euro….1.0853 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.45 +0.33 +1.37%
(4028)
EIDO……21.34 -0.23 -1.07%
EEM……38.90 +0.03 +0.098%

Oil…….78.01 +0.96 +1.25%
Gold..2036.10 -3.00 -0.15%
Timah..26664.00 +16.00 +0.06%
(Closed 26/01)
Nickel..16595.50 -175.50 -1.04%
(Closed 26/01)
Silver……22.87 -0.15 -0.65%
Copper.385.20 -1.60 -0.41%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 +0.01 +0.01%
(26/01)
Nturl Gas..2.180 -0.008 -0.37%
Ammonia China.3343.33. – -%
(Domestic Price)(26/01/02)

Coal price 119.00 +0.90 +0.76%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.15 +1.75 +1.52%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.15 +2.65 +2.29%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.118.45 +2.85 +2.47%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .93.75 +1.50 +1.63%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.10 +2.55 +2.85%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.35 +2.15 +2.44%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.05 +2.65 +3.03%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..4021 +76 +1.93%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……446.25 -5.50 -1.22%
SoybeanOil 46.93 +0.40 +0.86%
Wheat…600.25 -12.00 -1.96%

Wood pulp..5066.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI closing ijo jumat, tapi nasdaq dan sp500 merah, europe masih ijo, asia kebanyakan merah. Kemungkinan besar masih mau merah dulu IHSG hari ini, beresin ABC correction, mungkin juga sih mantul dulu karena kemaren merahnya dalem walau closing nya ditarik ke atas

US bond rates naik semua, jadi kayanya merah ini… USD index merah, tapi metal2 juga merah walau tipis, oil ijo das merah, coal mantul ijo, nanti kita liat apa udah waktunya masuk coal lagi. CPO ijo tebel, semoga ini dan IHSG beres ABC correction terus AALI LSIP berangkat

IHSG – masih FNS, BD flat, ABC correction belum beres, tapi mungkin aja minornya di wave A nya bikin abc kecil, kalo iya bisa jadi sekarang jadwal wave B. Tapi yang jelas masih berbahaya, masih mending banyak keep cash, masuk kecil di yang contrarian aja. MACD masih down, stoch tadinya up ini mau sell lagi, udah tembus EMA 50, kalo ikut pemain MA udah firm downtrend ini

Basic Materials, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: HRUM INKP BSDE JSMR TKIM, ga ada yang big accum, malah HRUP TKIM big dist, BSDE spike

MACD buy signal: INTP MIKA OMED TAPG. healthcare mulai padagerak lagi ya, INTP big acc, TAPG spike

Stochastic Continuation Signal ga ada yang big accum, tapi keliatan Consumer Non-Cyclicals kompak gerak

Alligator Buy Signal: MTMH SSMS

Daily Analysis 20240112

Daily Analysis 20240112

January 12th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes little changed Thursday after hotter-than-anticipated inflation report

Stocks ended Thursday near the flat line after a fresh round of inflation data reflected an uptick in consumer prices for December.

,Dow……37711 +15.3 +0.04%
Nasdaq14970 +0.5 +0.00%
S&P 500.4780 -3.2 -0.07%

FTSE…..7577 -75.2 -0.98%
Dax……16547 -142.8 -0.86%
CAC……7388 -38.5 -0.52%

Nikkei..35050 +648.2 +1.77%
HSI…….16302 +204.8 +1.27%
Shanghai.2887+8.95 +0.31%

IDX…..7219.96 -7.33 -0.10%
LQ45….969.94 +0.81 +0.08%
IDX30…499.20 +1.25 +0.25%

IDXEnergy..2160.56 -7.75 -0.36%
IDX BscMat.1240.16 -6.97 -0.56%
IDX Indstrl…1106.62 +0.90 +0.08%
IDXNONCYC.705.40 -5.32 -0.75%
IDX Hlthcare1349.14+2.29 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…860.88 +7.42 +0.87%
IDX Techno4343.84 +11.60 +0.27%
IDX Transp 1679.28 +21.31 +1.29%
IDX Infrast 1549.81 -4.51 -0.27%
IDX Finance.1522.49+13.78 +0.91%
IDX Banking.1322.35+8.30 +0.63%
IDX Property.. 717 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6959 -0.0222 -0.33%
ICBI…374.1055 +0.6178 +0.17%
US2Yr.4.249 -0.111 -2.55%
US5Yr 3.881 -0.094 -2.36%
US10Yr3.968 -0.047 -1.17%
US30Yr.4.211-0.037 -0.88%
VIX….12.44 -0.25 -1.97%

USDIndx 102.3120 -0.050 -0.05%
Como Indx..264.10 +1.78 +0.68%
BCOMIN……136.75 +0.07 +0.05%

IndoCDS..77.21 +0.02 +0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/01)

IDR…..15548.50 -21.00 -0.13%
Jisdor.15558.00 -10.00 -0.06%

Euro….1.0974 +0.0001 +0.01%

TLKM…25.67 unch +0%
(3994)
EIDO….22.38 +0.07 +0.31%
EEM….39.06 +0.16 +0.41%

Oil……..72.02 +0.67 -1.23%
Gold..2019.20 -10.20 -0.50%
Timah..24435.00 +195.00 +0.80%
(Closed 10/01)
Nickel..16452.00 +50 +0.30%
(Closed 11/01)
Silver……22.71 -0.36 -1.56%
Copper.377.65 +2.05 +0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 138.16 -2.36 -1.68%
(10/01)
Nturl Gas..3.030 +0.085 +2.81%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.130.75 -2.75 -2.06%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.25 -5.25 -3.99%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.25 -4.80 -3.69%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.70 -3.85 -2.99%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.50 -2.50 -2.29%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.30 -3.40 -3.32%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.100.20 -2.70 -2.62%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…98.05 -2.50 -2.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3796 +37 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……457.75 -0.38 -0.38%
SoybeanOil 48.72 +0.47 +0.97%
Wheat…603.75 -7.00 -1.15%

Wood pulp..5068.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tipis tipis, europe merah, asia kemaren ijo tebel, IHSG merah tipis, bisa merah lagi kayanya ini tudei

US bond rates turun, USD index turn, good sih, tapi gold silver juga turun, timah nickel copper iron ore ijo, oil merah, gas ijo, coal merah dalem. Masih belum nih ANTM MDKA, coal coal an hati hati. CPO lanjut, go go AALI LSIP!

IHSG – bisa jadi mau wave B dulu, tapi yang jelas stoch down, mad down, MFI sw, w% downtrend, BD dist, masih FNB sih, lumayan. Kalo diukur pake fibonacci retracement hanya di wave 5 nya dari antara 61-78 mantul ke 38, lanjut wave c dong kalo gitu… Masih bahaya pokonya

Index beresiko tapi cacing RSI pada arahnya bagus, heu… FInancials paling deket 45 derajat, sama technology, tapi saya lebih prefer pegang consumer non-cyclicals, biasanya saham defensif ganjel bursa disitu

Daily Analysis 20240104

Daily Analysis 20240104

January 04th, 2024
Good morning,
Dow tumbles nearly 300 points Wednesday, Nasdaq closes lower for a 2nd straight day in 2024
The Nasdaq Composite
 fell for a second session Wednesday to start the year, building on its worst daily performance in nearly three months.
Dow……37430   -284.9   -0.76%
Nasdaq14592   -173.7   -1.18%
S&P 500.4705   -38.02   -0.80%
FTSE…..7682  -39.2     -0.51%
Dax……16538 -230.97 -1.38%
CAC……7412  -119.0    -1.58%
Nikkei..33464    closed   +0%
HSI…….16646   -142.1    -0.85%
Shanghai.2967 +4.97     +0.17%
IDX…..7379.09 -44.50    -0.61%
LQ45….973.38 -6.05       -0.38%
IDX30…494.25 -4.17       -0.84%
IDXEnergy..2134.80   -8.16     -0.38%
IDX BscMat.1326.31 -5.83     -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1103.81 -1.70     -0.15%
IDXNONCYC.718.44 -5.97     -0.82%
IDX Hlthcare1341.16 -12.40  -0.92%
IDXCYCLIC…825.24  +3.63    +0.44%
IDX Techno4418.00  +0.19    +0.02%
IDX Transp 1656.97 +2.01     +0.12%
IDX Infrast  1577.29. +0.98   +0.06%
IDX Finance.1448.02 -4.07.   -0.28%
IDX Banking.1267.99 -1.01    -0.08%
IDX Property.. 709      -0.90    -0.12%
Indo10Yr.6.6494+0.0333 +0.50%
ICBI…374.1959  -0.4937  -0.13%
US2Yr.4.333  +0.009   +0.21%
US5Yr 3.905  -0.017    -0.43%
US10Yr3.920 -0.021    -0.53%
US30Yr.4.070-0.013    -0.32%
VIX….14.04  +0.84  +6.36%‼️
USDIndx 102.4570 +0.221 +0.22%
Como Indx..265.25  +2.62    +1.00%
BCOMIN……139.93   -1.24     -0.88%
 IndoCDS..69.23    -0.06    -0.09%
  (5-yr INOCD5) (02/01)
IDR…..15481.00 +11.00 +0.07%
Jisdor.15495.00 +22.00 +0.14%
Euro….1.0920  -0.0022  -0.20%
TLKM…25.62  -0.28   -1.08%
(3970)
EIDO….22.05   -0.16   -0.72%
EEM….39.52   -0.22    -0.55%
Oil……..72.70  +2.32  +3.30%‼️
Gold..2042.80 -30.60 -1.48%
Timah..25184.00 -231   -0.91%
(Closed 02/01)
Nickel..16425.00 -140   -0.85%
(Closed 03/01)
Silver……23.16   -0.80     -3.32%
Copper.386.15   -1.90     -0.49%
Iron Ore 62% 136.37   –        -%
 (02/01)
Nturl Gas..2.687  +0.113  +4.39%‼️
Ammonia China.3656.67 +33.34 +0.92%
(Domestic Price)(02/02)
Coal price.128.50  +0.75  +0.59%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.09  +0.15  +0.67%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.75  +0.90  +0.72%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.40  +0.50  +0.40%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.108.95 +2.80   +2.64%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 +2.20  +2.17%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 99.25  +2.15  +2.21%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .97.20  +2.00  +2.10%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3624   -36        -0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……465.25     +1.50    +0.32%
SoybeanOil 48.60 +0.31    +0.64%
Wheat….600.25    -6.50      -1.07%
Wood pulp..5050.00 +10  +0.20%
(Closed 02/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike