Daily Analysis 20240328

March 28th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow surges more than 450 points, S&P 500 closes at a fresh record

The S&P 500
rose Wednesday, closing at a record as the index heads for its best first quarter since 2019.

Dow……39760 +477.8 +1.22%
Nasdaq16400 +83.8 +0.51%
S&P 500.5248 +44.9 +0.86%

FTSE…..7932 +1.02 +0.01%
Dax……18477 +92.7 +0.50%
CAC……8205 +20.1 +0.25%

Nikkei..40762 +364.7 +0.90%
HSI……16393 -225.5 -1.36%
Shanghai.2993-38.3 -1.26%

IDX…..7325.13 -40.54 -0.55%
LQ45….990.37 -7.43 -0.74%
IDX30…503.32 -4.14 -0.82%

IDXEnergy..2137.76 -2.59 -0.12%
IDX BscMat1289.45 -9.08 -0.70%
IDX Indstrl…1102.29 -1.59 -0.14%
IDXNONCYC.719.39 -1.87 -0.26%
IDX Hlthcare1354.31 -12.77 -0.93%
IDXCYCLIC…826.90 -4.24 -0.51%
IDXTechno3549.98 -34.69 -0.97%
IDX Transp 1512.95 -38.50 -2.48%
IDX Infrast 1566.69 -9.21 -0.58%
IDX Finance.1532.87 +1.14 +0.07%
IDX Banking.1405.48 -2.98. -0.21%
IDX Property.. 670 -4.70 -0.70%

Indo10Yr.6.7255❗️+0.0153+0.23%
ICBI…378.8459 ❗️-0.2104 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.568 -0.025 -0.54%
US5Yr 4.183 -0.040 -0.95%
US10Yr4.188 -0.046 -1.09%
US30Yr.4.349, -0.051 -1.16%
VIX………12.78 -0.46 -3.47%👍

USDIndx 104.3480 ❗️ +0.058 +0.06%
Como Indx..286.76 -1.05 -0.37%
BCOMIN…..138.56 -0.33 -0.24%

IndoCDS..72.26 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/03)

IDR…..15858.00‼️+65.50 +0.41%
Jisdor.15853.00‼️ +56.00 +0.35%

Euro….1.0812 -0.0020 -0.18%

TLKM…22.27 -0.51 -2.22%‼️
(3530)
EIDO……22.67 -0.11 -0.46%
EEM……40.93 +0.08 +0.18%

Oil…….81.68 +0.06 +0.07%
Gold..2212.70+11.10. +0.50%
Timah..27446.00 -134.00 -0.49%
(Closed 26/03)
Nickel..16643.50 -48.50 -0.29%
(Closed 27/03)
Silver…..24.75 +0.16 +0.65%
Copper.400.75 +0.75 +0.19%

Iron Ore 62% 110.28 -0.39 -0.35%
(26/03)
Nturl Gas..1.715 -0.069 -3.87%
Ammonia China.3433.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(27/03/24)

Coal price.129.00 +0.10 +0.08%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 131.1;0 +2.60 +2.02%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.10 +2.95 +2.28%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.35 +2.80 +2.14%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..113.60 +0.35 +0.62%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.45 +6.15 +5.38%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.95 +6.10 +5.41%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.30 +6.35 +5.77%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4135 -102.00 -2.41%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….426.75 -5.75 -1.33%
SoybeanOil 47.67 -0.75 -1.55%
Wheat…547.50 +4.00 +0.74%

Wood pulp..5650.00 +50.00 +0.89%
(Closed 27/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US loncat, SP500 new record high, europe ijo, asia kemaren mostly masih merah, hari ini harusnya ijo juga. US bind yield turun, VIX turun, bagus buat saham

USD index up, gold masih up juga tapi along with Silver Copper, metal lain down. gas down oil coal up, kita pantau re-entry ADRO. CPO drop, bisa jadi harus exit dulu ini AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% downtrend, BD flat FNS, masih jadwal koreksi, masih selective buying

Terlihat banyak yang jalan, leading Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare, Energy, nyusul technology, Property, Consumer Cyclicals terus Financials, Kalo bener Financials jalan, bisa break ABC correction nya

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI SRTG

MACD Buy Signal: ICBP RAJA SMSM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: JSMR

BBNI – buat yang ok beli bank conven, sebenernya setelah deviden trap udah ga bikin lower low itu bisa masuk, LK bagus deviden gede koq, perusahaan bagus. Sekarang baru nongol buy signal tapi, amannya kalo mau re-entry sekarang

Spike almost done, tapi persisnya sih belum, ga bisa jadi indikasi kuat karena ga pas sideways

ICBP – sektor jalan, mau lebarang tiap taun INDF ICBP selalu naik, kemaren kegoyang market merah dalem, tapi langsung bangun lagi, yang belum pegang bisa buy, saya hold INDF. Stoch up macd balik buy, MFI sw, w% up, BD FF masih dist sih mau entry sekarang ok tunggu 833 ngebalik juga ok

Spike jual, abis itu belum ada lagi yang significant. Amannya WNS dulu sih

Coal Price menarik, zia buy signal… harusnya ok buat saham2 coal

ADRO – stoch buy, macd up, 833 up, MFI down, w%uptrend, BD acc FF rev dist, IHNS belum sampe target, priceaction breakout resistance terus pullback ke level itu, sekarang harusnya lanjut, bisa spec buy ADRO, BOW