July 25th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks smoked, Nasdaq falls over 3.5% in worst day since 2022 after Tesla, Alphabet trigger Big Tech sell-off

Tesla shares close down 12% after earnings miss for biggest slump since 2020

Tesla
shares plummeted the most since 2020 after the electric vehicle maker reported weaker-than-expected quarterly earnings and another drop in automotive revenue.

The stock closed down 12% on Wednesday at $215.99. It’s now down 13% for the year, while the Nasdaq is up 16% over that stretch.

Dow……39854 -504.2 -1.25%
Nasdaq17342 -654.9 -3.64%‼️
S&P 500.5527 -128.6 -2.31%

FTSE…..8153 -13.7 -0.17%
Dax……18387 -170.2 -0.92%
CAC……7514 -84.9 -1.12%

Nikkei..39155 -439.5 -1.26%
HSI……17311 -158.3 -0.91%
Shanghai.2902 -13.4 -0.46%

IDX….7262.76 -51.10 -0.70%
LQ45..917.17 -6.09 -0.66%
IDX30.460.95 -1.29 -0.28%

IDXEnergy..2452.53 -15.42 -0.62%
IDX BscMat1359.81 -5.40 -0.40%
IDX Indstrl.1029.33 +5.69 +0.56%
IDXNONCYC.707.89 -5.09 -0.71%
IDX Hlthcare1429.22 -5.38 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…745.41 +0.24 +0.03%
IDXTechno.3381.22 -57.51 -1.67%
IDX Transp 1387.38 +10.59 +0.77%
IDX Infrast 1607.34 +5.47 +0.34%
IDX Finance1583.38 -23.96 -1.49%
IDX Banking1242.87 -9.55 -0.76%
IDX Property…..644 – -%

Indo10Yr.7.0256 -0.0047 -0.07%
ICBI…382.7787 +0.3092 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.433 -0.063 -1.40%
US5Yr 4.175 +0.009 +0.22%
US10Yr4.282 +0.019 +0.45%
US30Yr.4.542 +0.055 +1.23%
VIX..18.04 +3.32 +22.55%‼️

USDIndx 104.3910 -0.056 -0.05%
Como Indx….279.75 -0.69 -0.25%
BCOMIN…..138.78 -0.89 -0.64%

IndoCDS..73.23 -2.96 -3.88%❗️
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/07)

IDR…..16215.00❗️ +1.50 +0%
Jisdor.16224.00❗️ +20.00 +0%

Euro…1.0838 -0.0012 -0.11%

TLKM…18.98 -0.38 -1.94%
( 3080)
EIDO…..20.02 -0.23 -1.11%
EEM…..42.10 -0.63 -1.46%

Oil………..77.48 +0.06 +0.08%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….81.71 +0.70 +0.86%
(Brent)
Gold…..2443.90 -13.60 -0.55%
(Comex)
Gold……2394.89 -13.70 -0.57%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29790.00 +372.00 +1.26%
(Closed 24/07)
Nickel..16213.00 -61.00 -0.37%
(Closed 24/07)
Silver……29.03 -0.33 -1.12%
Copper.408.75 -6.70 -1.61%

Iron Ore 62% 108.16 -0.29 -0.27%
(22/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.165 -0.040 -1.81%
Ammonia China 2843.33 +10.00 +0.35%
(Domestic Price)(24/07)

Coal price.134.75 +0.05 +0.04%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.55 +0.35 +0.25%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.95 +0.55 +0.40%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.45 +1.05 +0.76%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.40 +1.15 +1.09%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 +2.85 +2.60%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.65 +2.70 +2.46%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.90 +2.55 +2.31%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3926 -27 -0.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..417.25 +2.25. +0.54%
SoybeanOil 44.10 -1.03 -2.28%
Wheat…..547.00 +4.25 +0.78%

Wood pulp..5160 -10 -0.19%
(Closed 24/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah, US merah dalem, Tesla sama Google drop, Nasdaq drop, DJI keseret juga. Europe merah, asia merah, lanjut merah dalem sepertinya hari ini. Brace yourselves guys

US bond yield kebanyakan naik, USD index turun, metal metal juga turun kecuali timah, ANTM masih kebawah dulu belum bisa re-buy, oil up gas down, coal up, tapi apa kuat ijo saham saham coal ADRO ITMG PTBA INDY kalo index merah dalem? CPO merah lagi, masih belum jalan lagi AALI LSIP

IHSG – sebelum nasdaq kebakaran juga indicator udah bilang mau turun sih, Foreign Net Sell tambah gede, 833 sell, MACD hampir sell, ada gap unclosed, ya kita tunggu beres wave 2 baru belanja lagi

Sekilas Energy sama Healthcare mau jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: GTRA JSMR PTRO SSIA KBLM MICE, JSMR big accum

MACD Buy Signal: AKRA MIKA BRAM MICE

JSMR – dari minor retracement pattern udah done, tapi kalo dari elliot wave gedenya harusnya belum cukup dalem koreksinya sebelum wave yang major. Dengan US nyungsep dan index juga jadwal koreksi, kayanya bukan akan langsung langsung lanjut JSMR, tapi beresin ABC correction gede nya dulu ke fibo 50 or 61, Forein juga distribusi…

Spike belum done tapi dikit lagi… kalo ada peristiwa gede gini bisa jadi ga sampe

Average udah diatas bandar, bandarnya juga udah berhenti akum, terakhir okya pas bikin higherlow sambil nyender di average nya, skip dulu

PTRO – setelah digoreng jadi 2 kali lipat, udah overvalued, udah ga masuk itungan lagi. Dan technical juga kebanyakan bilang mau turun dulu

AKRA – ini technically menarik banget, stoch up macd buy, MFI w% up slowly, BD FF masih akum tipis tipis, eg bull div abis beres ABC correction, sampe sekarang candle nya belum ketembus, belum cancelled, malah confirmed sama MACD buy signal. Check oil price kalo bagus udah ga harus mikir panjang lagi

Sayangnya oil price nya indikasinya mau turun, sabar dulu, just to be safe

Waks, spike terus drop, tunggu spike baru dulu

Average aman, tapi biggest holders lagi jualan, sabar dulu, begitu ngebalik bisa masuk. Kalo mau bottom fishing sebenernya boleh sih, tapi perpaduan oil price kebawah dan index juga kebawah ga bagus sih

MIKA – sebetulnya kalo dipotong technical pake indicator doang, jadi menarik, tapi liat bandarnya mulai balik dist tipis, belum beres ABC correction, dan yang paling parah PBV nya udah di 7, saya jadi skip

July 15th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow……40001 +247.2 +0.62%
Nasdaq18397 +113.6 +0.62%
S&P 500.5615 +30.8 +0.55%

FTSE…..8253 +29.6 +0.36%
Dax……18748 +213.6 +1.15%
CAC……7724 +97.2 +1.27%

Nikkei..41191 -1033.3 -2.45%
HSI……18293 +461.1 +2.59%
Shanghai.2971 +0.9 +0.03%

IDX….7327.58 +27.17 +0.37%
LQ45..920.38 +5.02 +0.55%
IDX30.458.40 +2.53 +0.56%

IDXEnergy..2414.48 -12.87 -0.53%
IDX BscMat1386.35 -2.49 -0.18%
IDX Indstrl.1018.84 +7.24 +0.72%
IDXNONCYC.713.88 +1.43 +0.20%
IDX Hlthcare1432.70+3.79 +0.27%
IDXCYCLIC…738.76 -2.67 -0.36%
IDXTechno3275.55 -17.7 -0.54%
IDX Transp 1337.88 +10.86 +0.82%
IDX Infrast 1612.42 +17.36 +1.09%
IDX Finance1387.39 -0.16 -0.01%
IDX Banking1244.49 +15.60 +1.27%
IDX Property…..643 +19.90 +3.19%‼️

Indo10Yr.7.0195 -0.0318 -0.45%
ICBI…382.2280 +0.7103 +0.19%
US2Yr.4.458 👍 -0.057 -1.26%
US5Yr 4.107 -0.037 -0.89%
US10Yr4.247 +0.038 +0.90%
US30Yr.4.400 -0.023 -0.52%
VIX..12.92 +0.07 +0.54%

USDIndx 104.4400👍 -0.608 -0.58%
Como Indx….290.41 +0.70 +0.24%
BCOMIN…… 152.09 +1.09 +0.72%

IndoCDS..71.72 -0.02 -0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/07)

IDR…..16136.50❗️ -58.00 -0.36%
Jisdor.16154.00❗️ -46.00 -0.28%

Euro…1.0868 +0.0035 +0.32%

TLKM…19.58 +0.25 +1.29%
( 3172)
EIDO….20.29 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM…..44.33 +0.27 +0.60%

Oil…….82.95 +0.56 +0.68%
Gold…..2418.20 +39.90 +1.68%
Timah..33695.00 -971.00 -2.80%
(Closed 12/07)
Nickel..16923.00 +55.50 +0.33%
(Closed 12/07)
Silver….31.63 +0.53 +1.70%
Copper.452.15 -6.95 -1.51%

Iron Ore 62% 109.58 +0.84 +0.77%
(10/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.313 -0.061 -2.56%
Ammonia China 2783.33 -66.67 -2.34%
(Domestic Price)(10/07)

Coal price.133.75 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.50 -1.50 -1.10%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.60 -1.45 -1.06%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.30 -0.80 -0.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.102.30 +0.45 +0.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.85 +0.20 +0.19%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 -0.25 -0.24%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.55 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3935 +17 +0.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..410.75 +3.50 +0.86%
SoybeanOil 46.15 +0.57 +1.25%
Wheat…571.25 +9.75 +1.74%

Wood pulp..5220 -40 -0.76%
(Closed 11/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe jum’at ijo, asia ijo kecuali jepang, US bond yield mostly merah, good for IHSG semua

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali tin copper, oil up gas down, coal down, CPO up, ayo ANTM AALI lanjut

IHSG – masih kenceng, semua indicator versi oscillators mentok atas, rawan koreksi, yang udah pada profit pasang trailing stop

Property nyusul Industrials, Transportation, Basic Materials dan Technology, Infrastructure juga terlihat balik bergerak

Stochastic Buy Signal: TLKM TOWR DRMA WIIM ASGR, big accum TLKM WIIM

Stochastic Continuation SIgnal and Big Accum: BBTN JSMR NISP

June 26th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow……39122  -299.1    -0.76%
Nasdaq17718 +220.8   +1.26%
S&P 500.5469 +21.4     +0.39%

FTSE…..8248   -33.8       -0.41%
Dax……18178  -147.96   -0.81%
CAC……7662   -44.6        -0.58%

Nikkei..39173   +368.5   +0.95%
HSI…..18073     +45.2     +0.25%
Shanghai.2950 -13.1       -0.44%

IDX….6882.70 -6.46     -0.09%
LQ45..861.67  -2.73      -0.32%
IDX30.429.73  -1.85      -0.43%

IDXEnergy..2265.60   -1.47    -0.06%
IDX BscMat1310.02  +0.32   +0.02%
IDX Indstrl.  925.48   +6.26.   +0.68%
IDXNONCYC.684.33  -4.53     -0.66%
IDX Hlthcare1425.14+0.56    +0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…706.04  -12.36   -1.72%
IDXTechno3135.90   -23.35   -0.74%
IDX Transp 1237.47  -10.77   -0.86%
IDX Infrast  1516.37  +3.12    +0.21%
IDX Finance1333.77  -3.31     -0.25%
IDX Banking1143.57  -9.35     -0.81%
IDX Property…..592      –               -%

Indo10Yr.7.0880 -0.00146  -0.21%
ICBI…379.3557  +0.3825  +0.10%
US2Yr.4.745  +0.022  +0.47%
US5Yr 4.276  +0.021  +0.49%
US10Yr4.247 +0.016  +0.38%
US30Yr.4.367 +0.010 +0.23%
VIX..12.84👍      -0.49    -3.68%

USDIndx 105.6760‼️+0.203 +0.19%
Como Indx….292.06   -2.72    -0.92%
BCOMIN……..149.86  -0.68    -0.45%

IndoCDS..78.18❗️ +0.49  +0.63%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/06)

IDR…..16375.00‼️-19.00 -0.12%
Jisdor.16379.00‼️-52.00 -0.32%

Euro….1.0707❗️ -0.0025   -0.23%

TLKM…18.06  +0.24   +1.35%
( 2958)
EIDO….18.72   -0.16     -0.85%
EEM…..42.57       -0.10      -0.23%

Oil…….80.70  -0.99  -1.21%
Gold..2331.00  -14.50  -0.62%*
Timah..32251.00  -495.00 -1.51%
(Closed 25/06)
Nickel..17225.50 -15.00    -0.09%
(Closed 25/06)
Silver….29.20  -0.70   -2.34%
Copper.437.05 -4.75  -1.08%

Iron Ore 62% 106.55 -0.41 -0.38%
(24/06)
Nturl Gas..2.933  -0.083  -2.82%
Ammonia China.2966.67  unch  +0%
(Domestic Price)(20/06)

Coal price.134.10  +1.15  +0.86%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.50  +1.60  +1.21%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.25  +0.65  +0.48%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.00  +0.60  +0.44%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.90  +0.50   +0.46%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price..108.15  +0.45  +0.42%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 111.35   +0.20  +0.18%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 114.25   -0.35   -0.31%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3899  unch   +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..443.85       -8.75    -1.94%
SoybeanOil 42.82 -1.02  -2.33%
Wheat…560.50      -10.50  -1.84%

Wood pulp..5680 unch  +0%
(Closed 25/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Gantian, DJI merah nasdaq ijo, europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, US bond yield ijo, merah lagi kayanya IHSG hari ini… Semoga tipis tipis doang,atau malah berhasil ijo tipis

USD index up, metal2 down, oil gas down, coal up, yang kemaren diincer mau dibeli, bisa jadi time to buy nya sore ini

IHSG – masih FNS, masih berat buat rally, tapi sudah 3 white soldiers sih, memang US nvidia lagi bawa nasdaq naik, dengan kekhawatiran karena rencana turun fed rate 3 kali dan jadinya cuma 1 jadi belum mulai masuk lagi ke negara lain. Masih optimistic positive outlook ke depan. Anyway, technical sudah ok, sudah bisa lebih aggressive belanja

Masih Infrastructure dan Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA TLKM BMTR DRMA JSMR MTMH SSIA TRON SMDR INCI, Big accum TLKM,ada spike juga

MACD Buy Signal: MEDC SIDO BRMS BTPSMTMH WIIM,bg accum MEDC SIDO BRMS

June 05th, 2024

Good morning,
Stocks eke out gains as labor market cools, rate-cut bets rise

US stocks flipped between negative and positive territory on Tuesday, finishing narrowly in the green as investors shifted their rate-cut expectations after more weaker-than-expected economic data.

Dow……38711 +140.3 +0.36%
Nasdaq16857 +28.4 +0.17%
S&P 500.5291 +7.9 +0.15%

FTSE…..8232 -30.7 -0.37%
Dax……18406 -202.5 -1.09%
CAC……7938 -60.1 -0.76⁴%

Nikkei..38837 -85.6 -0.01%
HSI…..18444 +41.1 +0.22%
Shanghai.3091+12.7 +0.41%

IDX….7099.31 +63.12 +0.90%
LQ45..895.80 +7.52 +0.85%
IDX30.443.12 +0.50 +0.11%

IDXEnergy..2300.50 -32.43 -1.39%
IDX BscMat1423.13 +6.65 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl. .975.51 -5.55 -0.57%
IDXNONCYC.696.60 +6.06 +0.88%
IDX Hlthcare1391.93 -21.64 +1.58%
IDXCYCLIC…701.30 +4.70 +0.67%
IDXTechno3349.92 -35.42 -1.05%
IDX Transp 1269.05 +4.00 +0.32%
IDX Infrast 1508.97 +15.15 +1.01%
IDX Finance1365.00 +9.55 +0.70%
IDX Banking1160.50 +0.97 +0.08%
IDX Property…..617 +6.30 +1.04%

Indo10Yr.6.8950 -0.0100 -0.14%
ICBI…380.9066 +0.2006 +0.05%
US2Yr.4.773👍 -0.039 -0.81%
US5Yr 4.347👍 -0.063 -1.43%
US10Yr4.326👍 -0.065 -1.48%
US30Yr.4.474👍 -0.066 -1.45%
VIX..13.16 +0.06 +0.38%

USDIndx 104.110❗️ -0.030 -0.03%
Como Indx….286.27 -2.82 -0.98%
BCOMIN…..158.48 -2.43 -1.51%

IndoCDS..72.24 -21.13 -22.63%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/06)

IDR…..16220.00‼️ -10.50 -0.06%
Jisdor.16220.00‼️ -5.00 -0.03%

Euro….1.0879 -0.0029 -0.27%

TLKM…18.51 +0.38 +2.10%
( 3002)
EIDO….20.12 +0.07 +0.35%
EEM…..41.64 -0.61 -1.43%

Oil…….72.83‼️ -1.25 -1.69%
Gold..2347.10 -23.90 -1.01%
Timah..31932.00 -418.00 -1.29%
(Closed 04/05)
Nickel..18888.50 -633.50 -3.26%‼️
(Closed 04/05)
Silver….29.69 -1.18 -3.82%
Copper.454.50 -13.85 -2.95%

Iron Ore 62% 110.10 -7.42 -6.31%‼️
(03/06)
Nturl Gas..2.620 -0.138 -5.03%‼️
Ammonia China.2950.00 -150.00 -4.84%‼️
(Domestic Price)(03/06)

Coal price.137.95 -.2.25 -1.60%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.80 -4.65 -3.20%‼️
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.95 -4.55 -3.11%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 142.70. -5.30 -3.58%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.116.90 -2.10 -1.76%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.15 -3.20 -2.59%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.00 -3.55 -2.83%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 124.55 -1.55 -1.23%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..4079 -159.00 -389%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….442.50 -1.00 -0.23%
SoybeanOil 43.62 -0.52 -1.18%
Wheat….658.25 -14.50 -2.16%

Wood pulp..5862 -18 -0.31%
(Closed 04/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe merah, asia mostly ijo, US bond yield merah, harusnya ijo lagi IHSG hari ini

US index merah, tapi metal2 juga merah, oil gas coal merah juga, CPO juga merah, agak aneh ini… Tapi biar lah, mungkin giliran basic materials sama energy dan CPO bukan sekarang, ASII TLKM dan Bank bank dulu kayanya

IHSG – Stoch 833 udah buy, 1066 masih belum, MACD masih down, MFI sw, w% sw, BD belum banyak gerak, FNB tapi tipis, mantul dari LR juga, harapan bagus buat mulai gerak naik

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Energy, FInancials,Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget: ADRO ASII BBCA BRIS PTBA ABMM ADHI AUTO BMTR BTPS ERAA HEAL JSMR MAPA NISP PTPP SILO TBIG, BIg Accum ASII BBCA AUTO BMTR ERAA SILO TBIG

MACD Buy Signal: BMRI MAPI SMGR SRtG ADHI AUTO CTRA ERAA IMAS MyoR PTPP SSIA AALI. Big accum: BMRI MAPI AUTO. SMGR yang ditunggu kemaren naik tinggi, kita assess apakah bisa dikejar dan di level mana entry nya