January 20th, 2024

Dow leads weekly stock market rally ahead of Trump inauguration

US stocks jumped on Friday amid a tech stock revival as investors assessed a week of key data and earnings reports alongside potential policy shifts under a Trump administration.

Dow……43488 +334.7 +0.78%
Nasdaq 19630 +291.9 +1.51%
S&P 500 5997 +59.3 +1.00%

FTSE…..8505 +113.3 +1.35%
Dax……20903 +248.0 +1.20%
CAC……7710 +75.01 +0.98%

Nikkei…38452 -121.1 -0.31%
HSI……..19584 +61.2 +0.31%
Shanghai.3242 +5.8 +0.18%

IDX…7154.66 +47.14 +0.66%
LQ45…832.28 +4.41 +0.53%
IDX30.428.62 +2.76 +0.65%

IDXEnergy…2849.61 +22.31 +0.79%
IDX BscMat 1230.84 -5.02. -0.41%
IDX Indstrl… ..989.93 +1.74 +0.18%
IDXNONCYC.704.55 +0.90 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare1394.49 -10.83 -0.77%
IDXCYCLC…818.18 +17.36 +2.17%
IDX Techno.4213.5/ +51.93 +1.25%
IDX Transp 1271.68 -9.96 -0.78%
IDX Infrast 1475.89 -1.26 -0.09%
IDX Finance1406.85 +0.17 +0.01%
IDX Banking1150.90 +0.17 +0.01%
IDX Property. 788 +13.50 +1.75%

Indo10Yr.7.1733❗-0.0541 -0.75%
ICBI….392.5929❗+1.1160 +0.29%
US2Yr.4.282 +0.048 +1.13%
US5Yr 4.429 +0.033 +0.75%
US10Yr4.622 +0.009 +0.20%
US30Yr.4.854 -0.001 -0.02%
VIX..15.97 -0.63 -3.80%‼️

USDIndx 109.3470❗+0.417 +0.38%
Como Indx..311.08 -0.27 -0.09%
BCOMIN..147.21 +0.62 +0.42%

IndoCDS…77.19 +1.01 +1.31%
(5-yr INOCD5) (16/01)

IDR…….16380.00‼️+4.00 +0.02%
Jisdor.. 16373.00‼️-5.00 -0.03%

Euro…1.0273 -0.0029 -0.28%

TLKM…16.48 +0.30 +1.82%
( 2698)
EIDO….18.50 +0.14 +0.76%
EEM…42.11 +0.35 +0.84%

Oil………77.88 -0.87 -1.10%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………80.79 -0.54 -0.66%
(Brent)
Gold…2748.70❗-2.20 -0.88%
(Comex)
Gold…2703.25 -10.82 -0.40%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29775.00 +199.00 +0.67%
(Closed 17/01)
.Nickel.16080.00 +115.00 +0.72%
(Closed 17/01)
Silver……31.14 -0.59 -1.85%
Copper.436.85 -4.25 -1.63%

Iron Ore 62% 101.21 +0.72 +0.72%
(17/01)
Nturl Gas ..3.948 -0.333 -7.78%‼️
Ammonia China. 2500.00 -6.67 -0.26%
(Domestic Price)(17/01)

Coal price.117.25 +2.55 +2.22%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.75 +3.65 +3.14%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.121.60 +3.35 +2.83%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 122.70 +2.80 +2.34%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.90 +1.70 +1.59%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.50 +1.30 +1.22%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.15 +1.40 +1.34%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.80 +1.25 +1.20%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4193 +11 +0.26%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………484.25 +9.75 +2.05%
SoybeanOil 45.69 +0.66 +1.47%
Wheat……538.75 +1.25 +0.23%

Wood pulp…..6524 -16 -0.24%
(Closed 17/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at US Europe Asia semua ijo… Tapi US Treasury Bond Yield juga naik, masih berharap senin ini IHSG ijo sih, price action nya bilang waktunya mantul

USD index up metal2 down kecuali tin nickel iron ore, oil gas down, coal up significantly, CPO up, kayanya perlu dipantau ADRO

IHSG – udah 3 hari FNB, semoga sudah confirm jalan ya, technical sih udah ok, double bottom terget pas di resistance 7354 an

Energy, Property, Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget: ADRO MAPI MEDC PTBA ADMR BBYB BFIN BMTR CTRA DOID ENRG GJTL HMSP PTMP SMRA SSIA TKIM, big accum cuma SMRA, BMTR vol breakout, saham invest ADRO GJTL TKIM

MACD Buy Signal: ACES ASII ITMG MBMA ADMR MAHA, big accum dan value invest ASII

Alligator Buy Signal: WIFI, vol breakout juga

January 17th, 2024

Nasdaq slide leads stocks lower with earnings, Bessent confirmation hearing in focus

US stocks closed lower Thursday, as the major indexes struggled to build on the previous day’s surge amid another round of big bank earnings and a slide in tech stocks. Investors also watched the Capitol Hill confirmation hearing of President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent.

Dow……43153 -68.4 -0.16%
Nasdaq 19338 -172.95 -0.89%
S&P 500 5937 -12.6 -0.21%

FTSE…..8392 +90.8 +1.09%
Dax……20655 +80.7 +0.39%
CAC……7635 +160.2 +2.14%

Nikkei…38573 +128.02 +0.33%
HSI……..19523 +236.8 +1.23%
Shanghai.3236 +8.9 +0.28%

IDX…7107.52 +27.96 +0.39%
LQ45…827.86 +0.75 +0.09%
IDX30.425.87 +0.83 +0.19%

IDXEnergy…2827.30 +19.90 +0.71%
IDX BscMat 1235.86 -1.35. -0.11%
IDX Indstrl… ..989.19 +0.79 +0.08%
IDXNONCYC.703.65 -2.41 -0.34%
IDX Hlthcare1405.32 -11.86 -0.84%
IDXCYCLC…800.82 -16.23 -1.99%
IDX Techno.4161.57 -19.60 -0.47%
IDX Transp 1281.64 +1.61 +0.13%
IDX Infrast 1477.15 +5.51 +0.37%
IDX Finance1406.68 +8.98 +0.64%
IDX Banking1151.62 +12.13 +1.06%
IDX Property. 774 +7.30 +0.95%

Indo10Yr.7.2274❗️-0.0343 -0.47%
ICBI….391.4769❗️+1.2186 +0.31%
US2Yr.4.234 -0.034 -0.80%
US5Yr 4.396 -0.055 -1.24%
US10Yr4.613 -0.042 -0.90%
US30Yr.4.855 -0.025 -0.51%
VIX..16.60 +0.48 +2.98%

USDIndx 108.9300❗️-0.163 -0.15%
Como Indx..311.35 -0.82 -0.26%
BCOMIN..146.59 +1.55 +1.07%

IndoCDS…79.68 -1.48 -1.82%
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/01)

IDR…….16325.00‼️+55.50 +0.34%
Jisdor.. 16378.00‼️+67.00 +0.41%

Euro…1.0302 +0.0009 +0.09%

TLKM…16.19 -0.21 -1.28%
( 2652)
EIDO….18.35 -0.16 -0.84%
EEM…41.76 -0.04 -0.10%

Oil………78.75 -1.29 -1.61%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………81.33 -1.10 -1.33%
(Brent)
Gold…2750.90‼️ +33.10 +1.22%
(Comex)
Gold…2714.07 +19.86 +0.73%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29592.00 -179.00 -0.60%
(Closed 16/01)
.Nickel.15965.00 +140.00 +0.88%
(Closed 17/01)
Silver……31.73 +0.20 +0.63%
Copper.441.10 +5.20 +1.18%

Iron Ore 62% 100.20 +0.21 +0.21%
(15/01)
Nturl Gas ..4.281 +0.146 +3.53%‼️
Ammonia China. 2506.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(16/01)

Coal price.114.70 +0.25 +0.22%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.116.10 +1.50 +1.31%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.25 +1.10 +0.94%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 119.90 +1.05 +0.88%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.00 +1.65 +1.55%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 106.20 +2.50 +2.40%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.75 +1.65 +1.60%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.60 +0.25 +0.24%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4182 -86 -2.01%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………474.50 -4.25 -0.89%
SoybeanOil 45.03 -1.24 -2.68%
Wheat……537.50 -9.50 -1.74%

Wood pulp…..6540 unch +0%
(Closed 16/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe ijo, asia ijo, US treasury bond down, masih bisa ijo IHSG harusnya hari ini, US merah profit taking hari kemarennya koq

USD index down, metal2 lanjut up kecuali tin, oil down, gas up coal up, ANTM keren ini keliatannya, AKRA MEDC slow dulu, ADRO kayanya ok dikit lagi

IHSG – madc rev buy, stoch masih down, mfi up, w% up, reg bull div confirmed, BD flat, FNB udah 2 hari, jalan ah rally nyusul ATH kaya DJI

Energy technology slow down, property masih, transportation financials masih

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMMN BBNI BRIS ICBP INTP ITMG PGEO UNVR BTPS MPMX NCKL PTPP PTRO PWON SMSM, big accum BBNI ITMG UNVR, PWON vol breakout

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI UNVR MPMX NISP SMRA SRTG TKIM, big accum BBRI UNVR SRTG, SMRA vol breakout

Alligator Buy Signal: ENRG SMIL

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBRI

 

BBNI – stoch buy, macd rev buy, MFI up w% up, BD FF acc, kemaren bikin gap kaya BBRI, ada unclosed gap diatas buat jadi target, reg bull div confirmed

Spike kecil

Average aman, bigget holder accum, BOW BBNI di gap closing 4430

ITMG – stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI up w% up BD FF acc, mantul dari support, coal biasanya naik di winter, ok sih

Abis spike jual udah ada spike lagi tapi kecil

Average aman, SQ biggest holder accum, AK udah beres buangnya, udah accum lagi, bisa BOW ITMG di bawah body candle kemaren @25875

PWON – stoch buy macd up, MFI sw, w% sw, BD acc, FNS, tapi memang kalo diliat Foreign di PWON telat, yang bareng geraknya sama harga ya BD lokal

Belum ada spike

average aman, CC biggest holder dan accum NI PD juga accum, aman sih buat spec buy, last close price juga ok, BI cut rate harusnya sih ga cuma sekejap efeknya

BBRI – macd buy, stoch bolak balik, tapi buy yang sekarang denga diiringi BD FF accum, MFI up, w% uptrend, bi cut rate, banyak gap di atas, supertrend buy, reg bull div confirmed, BOW BBRI

no spike

average aman, wlau kebanyakan pada diem atau dist tipis, secara total tapi accum, bisa BOW BBRI di closing gap 4090

SRTG – stoch up macd buy MFI up mantul di area fibo 23, w% sw, BD FF accum, kalo ditarik fibonacci retracement ABC correction kemaren, sekarang lagi fibo 61, cocok lah buat reversal, reg bull div confirmed, harusnya ok buat buy

Terakhir tinggi spike jual, udah ada baru tapi kecil

 

Average aman, BB udah beres buang, YU accum, GR buang dikit, masih ok harusnya, idealnya dapet di fibo 61, 1875

SMRA – belum habis downtrend nya, FNB tapi BD masih dist, harus nunggu higher low baru confirm reversal

 

January 03rd 2024

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall as comeback bid falters and Tesla, Apple slide

Stocks erased session gains on Thursday to kick off the first trading day of the new year as Wall Street returned from a holiday break.

Dow……42392 -151.95 -0.36%
Nasdaq 19281 -30.00 -0.16%
S&P 500 5869 -13.08 -0.22%

FTSE…..8260 +87.1 +1.07%
Dax……20025 +115.5 +0.58%
CAC……7394 +13.02 +0.18%

Nikkei…39895 closed +0%
HSI……..19623 -436.63 -2.18%
Shanghai.3252 -89.20 -2.66%

IDX…7163.21 +83.30 +1.18%
LQ45…837.21 +10.56 +1.28%
IDX30.429.23 +5.85 +1.38%

IDXEnergy…2729.65 +40.38 +1.50%
IDX BscMat 1274.20 +22.33 +1.78%
IDX Indstrl..1021.66 -13.91 -1.34%
IDXNONCYC.716.97 -12.52 -1.72%
IDX Hlthcare1435.68 -20.82 -1.43%
IDXCYCLC…825.07 -9.84 -1.18%
IDX Techno..4050.75 +52.93 +1.32%
IDX Transp 1297.26 -3.46 -0.27%
IDX Infrast 1465.97 -12.92 -0.87%
IDX Finance1413.51 +20.93 +1.50%
IDX Banking1164.34 +33.38 +2.95%
IDX Property. 764 +7.80 +1.03%

Indo10Yr.7.0442❗-0.0252 -0.36%
ICBI….393.3270❗+0.5181 +0.13%
US2Yr.4.240 +0.006 +0.14%
US5Yr 4.380 -0.007 -0.16%
US10Yr4.573 -0.010 -0.22%
US30Yr.4.786 -0.004 -0.08%
VIX..17.93 +0.58 +3.34%❗

USDIndx 109.2420‼️+0.755 +0.70%
Como Indx..293.98 +2.26 +0.76%
BCOMIN..139.11 -1.21 -0.86%

IndoCDS…79.17❗ -0.02 -0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/12)

IDR…….16198.00‼️+66.00 +0.41%
Jisdor.. 16236.00‼️+79.00 +0.49%

Euro…1.0266 -0.009 -0.87%

TLKM…16.59 +0.13 +0.76%
( 2694)
EIDO…18.77 +0.29 +1.54%
EEM…41.76 -0.08 -0.19%

Oil………73.13 +1.41 +1.97%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.86 +1.22 +1.63%
(Brent)
Gold…2669.00 +28.00 +1.06%
(Comex)
Gold…2624.50 +33.35 +1.27%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.28083.00 -212.00 -0.72%
(Closed 31/12)
.Nickel.15300.00 -5.00 -0.03%
(Closed 31/12)
Silver……29.90 +0.66. +2.25%
Copper.402.60 -0.05 -0.01%

Iron Ore 62% 103.61 -0.17 -0.16%
(31/12)
Nturl Gas 3.662 +0.045 +1.24%
Ammonia China. 2573.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(02/01)

Coal price.127.00 closed +0%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.126.55 -0.45 -0.35%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.00 -1.10 -0.85%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 128.85 -1.05 -0.81%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.50 +0.55 +0.48%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.70 +0.55 +0.49%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.20 +0.50 +0.45%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 111.30 +0.05. +0.04%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar) 4336 -108 -2.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………459.50 +1.00 +0.22%
SoybeanOil 40.27 -0.09 -0.22%
Wheat……545.75 -5.75 -1.04%

Wood pulp…..6320 closed +0%
(Closed 27/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, europe ijo, asia china hongkong merah ihsg ijo tebel. US treasury bond 2 tahun naik, yang panjang turun, sideways dulu atau koreksi dikit ini keliatannya IHSG

USD index up, gold silver up, metal lain down, oil up, gas up, coal newcastle down rotterdam up, koreksi sehat dulu coal kayanya tudei, CPO drop lagi, belum boleh jalan

IHSG – stoch buy macd rev rev up, MFI still down, w% up, reg bull div confirmed by ma10, BD FF masih dist tipis, harusnya tinggal nunggu momentum mantul. Sayangnya kemaren mantuk kenceng bikin opening gap, jadi ada utang lagi deh, beware long ower shadow dip

FInancials, Healthcare, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, AKRA ANTM ASII HRUM ISAT ITMG MBMA SMGRUNTR BRMS ELSA ENRG ERAA MARK PANI PTPP SRTG TINS TKIM TPIA yang ada FNB dan Big Accum ASII ENRG MARK PANI PTPP

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BBTN PGAS AUTO MAPA MARK NISP PTMP TINS, big accum BBTN

Supertrend Buy Signal kemaren INDY SILO, yang baru NISP

CGS International Sekuritas Indonesia:
Kamis, 2 Januari 2025

Dow… 42,544.22 -29.51 -0.07%
S&P 500… 5,881.63 -25.31 -0.43%
FTSE 100… 8,173.02 +52.01 +0.64%
Nikkei… 39,894.54 -386.62 -0.96%

Indo 10 Yr… 7.00 -0.05 -0.31%
VIX… 17.35 -0.05 -0.29%
Indo CDS 5Y… 78.89 +0.75 +0.96%

TLKM (US)… 16.45 +0.02 +0.12%
EIDO… 18.48 -0.05 -0.27%

Oil… 71.72 +0.73 +1.03%
Gold… 2,624.50 +18.00 +0.69%
Timah… 28,846.00 -237.01 -0.81%
Nikel… 15,110.95 -78.88 -0.52%
Silver… 28.90 -0.05 -0.17%
Copper… 8,652.67 -142.18 -1.62%
Natural Gas… 3.63 -0.30 -7.70%
CPO… 4,861.00 -64.00 -1.30%
Coal*… 125.25 +0.70 +0.56%
Softwood Kraft Pulp 5,864.00 -14.00 -0.24%
*(Newcastle/Desember)
**majority closed per 31 Dec-24

Phintraco ga release data seperti biasa, kita cari dari beberapa sumber

US closing 30 des merah, europe ijo, asia merah, US treasury bond yield merah, masih belum menentu mau kemana, tapi kalo technical sih bilang mantul, cocok sama arah US treasury bond

USD index up, gold up metal2 lain down, oil up, gas down, coal up, coal sama oil ini menarik

IHSG – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, w% flat, elliot wave reverse done, lagi bikin higher low, reg bull div MACD RSI, confirmed by 2 bull candle, belum cancelled, sempet NFB tapi last day net sell lagi. Tanda2nya udah mau mantul sih

Terlihat mulai meriah, Infrastructure leading sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals, yang paling penting financials terlihat gerak

Stochastic Buy Signal Banyak, yang big accum AMMN, BUKA, GOTO, PTBA, AUTO, menarik dicermati BBCA BBNI

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTBA UNVR CMRY CTRA GJTL MPMX MYOR ULTJ, big accum PTBA UNVR SILO, GJTL kita liat juga

PTBA – abis reg bull div lanjut jalan, loncat kemaren 5% jadi stoch and macd buy, MFI up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, yang kosong portonya kayanya bisa bow di tengah candle kemaren

Coal price macd buy signal, menarik ini ADRO INDY ITMG PTBA

Abis spike jual ada spike kecil

AUTO – valuation ok, stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI still down, w%up, bd acc, FF masih dist, ada spike, kita check dulu

Harusnya sih target 2600 an ya, apalagi kalo liat retracement pattern harusnya bawa ke fibo 61 di 2900 an. Januari group astra suka jalan, kita liat AUTO gimana januari

Kurang ok ternyata… Nanti dulu deh

BBCA – stoch buy macd rev up MFI masih down, w%sw, BD FF udah sempet acc,last day rev dist lagi,reg bull div belum cancelled, confirmed by 2 bull candle

no spike… tapi Index sama BBCA seringnya searah, so 2 2 nya udah keliatan mau mantul, bisa spec buy

SILO – overpriced, skip

GJTL – stoch buy, macd buy, mfi sw, w% up, BD dist tipis, FF rev acc, abc correction seems down, valuation ok, harusnya bisa spec buy

Hajatan ini mah, saham LKH dan ada spike begini, dan bagusnya lagi ini valuation masih rendah ga kaya PTRO yang udah dihajatin sampe 4x lipat. BOW GJTL, idealnya dapet di fibo 23 di 1115