Daily Analysis 20241007

Daily Analysis 20241007

October 07th, 2024

Dow jumps 300 points for record close as September’s big jobs report spurs rally

Stocks advanced on Friday after an expectation-defying jobs report gave investors confidence around the health of the economy.

Dow…….42353 +341.2 +0.81%
Nasdaq. 18138 +219.4 +1.22%
S&P 500 5751 +51.1 +0.90%

FTSE…..8281 -1.9 -0.02%
Dax……19121 +105.5 +0.55%
CAC……7451 +63.6 +0.85%

Nikkei….3863- +83.6 +0.22%
HSI……22737 +623.4 +2.82%
Shanghai.3337 closed. +0%

IDX…7496.09 -47.74 -0.63%
LQ45…929.73 -7.66 -0.82%
IDX30.479.49 -4.07 -0.84%

IDXEnergy…..2747.12 +2.52 +0.09%
IDX BscMat1398.31 -3.31 -0.24%
IDX Indstrl..1071.77 -5.24 -0.49%
IDXNONCYC.734.51 -1.29 -0.18%
IDX Hlthcare1579.34 +7.83 +0.50%
IDXCYCLIC…862.34 -6.80 -0.78%
IDXTechno 3667.05 -87.78 -2.34%
IDX Transp 1483.23 -10.86 -0.73%
IDX Infrast 1522.48 +1.74 +0.11%
IDX Finance1499.61 -11.00 -0.73%
IDX Banking1306.38 -14.09 -1.07%
IDX Property..782 -10.80 -2.34%

Indo10Yr.6.6366 +0.0397 +1.42%
ICBI….394.0557 -0.8889 -0.23%
US2Yr.3.924 +0.2190 +5.91%‼️
US5Yr 3.804 +0.176 +4.85%‼️
US10Yr3.969 +0.121 +3.14%‼️
US30Yr.4.181+0.072 +1.72%
VIX..19.21 -1.28 -6.25%

USDIndx 102.5200‼️+0.531 +0.52%
Como Indx….291.65 +0.50 +0.17%
BCOMIN….155.98 +1.59 +1.03%

IndoCDS..69.26 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/10)

IDR…….15485.00‼️ +56.50 +0.37%
Jisdor..15495.00 ‼️ +101.00 +0.66%

Euro…1.0974❗️ -0.0061 -0.55%

TLKM.18.70 -0.09 -0.48%
( 2898)
EIDO…21.60 -0.46 -2.09%
EEM…46.97 +0.47 +1.01%

Oil………..74.38 +0.55 +0.75%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..78.05 +0.43 +0.55%
(Brent)
Gold…2667.80 -7.60 -0.28%
(Comex)
Gold…2653.60 -2.38 -0.09%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.33805.00 +96.00 +0.28%
(Closed 04/10)
Nickel.17825.50 +79.50 +0.46%
(Closed 04/10)
Silver… ..32.39 +0.07 +0.22%
Copper.457.40 +2.70 +0.59%

Iron Ore 62% 108.84 -0.53 -0.49%
(04/10)
Nturl Gas 2.831 -0.139 -4.68%
Ammonia China 2836.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(03/10)

Coal price.148.20 +7.40 +5.26%‼️
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.149.60 +7.00 +4.91%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.50 +6.30 +4.34%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price.152.60 +6.35 +4.34%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.05 +5.05 +4.32%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.45 +5.85 +4.97%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..123.95 +5.25 +4.43%‼️
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..124.55 +4.65 +3.88%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4305 +123 +2 94%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………424.75 -3.50 -0.82%
SoybeanOil 43.97 -0.56 -1.26%
Wheat….589.76 -13.75 -2.28%

Wood pulp.4790.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, europe mostly ijo, asua ijo kecuali IHSG yang merah rada dalem. Tapi US treasury bond naik tinggi juga, biasanya jelek buat pasar saham besoknya.

USD index juga up, metal2 masih kebanyakan up kecuali gold sama iron ore, oil up gas up coal CPO jump, harusnya AALI LSIP ADRO INDY ITMG menarik ini

IHSG – technical indicators masih jelek, tapi dari level wave 4 nya udah mau sampe target, bisa jadi kalo hari ini drop terus pada sepakat cukup, akan jadi doji dan jadi turning point wave 5 sampe akhir tahun

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: AUTO ELSA, big accum juga

MACD Buy Signal: PGAS

Daily Analysis 20240925

Daily Analysis 20240925

September 25th, 2024 S&P 500, Dow hit fresh records, China stocks soar on new stimulus US stocks rose modestly on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial average…
Daily Analysis 20240815

Daily Analysis 20240815

August 15th, 2024

S&P 500 closes higher for fifth straight day as easing inflation bolsters rate cut hopes

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
ticked up Wednesday after the release of more encouraging U.S. inflation data.

Dow…….40008 +242.8 +0.61%
Nasdaq. .17193 +4.99 +0.03%
S&P 500 5465 +20.8. +0.38%

FTSE..8281.1 +45.8 +0.56%
Dax……17886 +73.6 +0.41%
CAC……7333 +57.5 +0.79%

Nikkei…36442 +209.9 +0.58%
HSI……..17113 -60.7 -0.35%
Shanghai.2851 -17.3 -0.60%

IDX….7436.04 +79.40 +1.08%
LQ45…922.64 +10.13 +1.11%
IDX30.466.87 +4.97 +1.08%

IDXEnergy. 2653.88 +7.59 +0.30%
IDX BscMat1354.74 +16.99 +1.27%
IDX Indstrl..1033.53 +2.09 +0.20%
IDXNONCYC.709.20 +3.46 +0.49%
IDX Hlthcare1458.46 +10.20 +0.70%
IDXCYCLIC…819.26 +27.12 +3.42%
IDXTechno 3341.16 +24.70 +0.74%
IDX Transp 1392.31 +6.80 +0.49%
IDX Infrast 1598.63 +23.76 +1.51%
IDX Finance1435.38 +11.48 +0.81%
IDX Banking1286.56 +11.96 +0.94%
IDX Property…..666 -1.70 -0.25%

Indo10Yr.6.8056 -0.0271 -0.40%
ICBI…388.1434 +0.5913 +0.15%
US2Yr.3.960 +0.024 +0.61%
US5Yr 3.682 +0.005 +0.14%
US10Yr3.845 -0.005 -0.13%
US30Yr.4.129 -0.031 -0.75%
VIX..16.19 -1.93 -10.65%👍

USDIndx 102.5680👍 +0.009 +0.01%
Como Indx….275.48 -0.85 -0.31%
BCOMIN…..138.90 +0.11 +0.08%

IndoCDS..78.68 -1.49 -1.86%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/08)

IDR…..15675.00👍 -157.50 -0.99%
Jisdor.15891.00👍 -194.00 -1.22%

Euro…1.1013‼️ +0.0019 +0.17%

TLKM…18.28 +0.08 +0.44%
( 2905)
EIDO…..21.30 +0.31 +1.48%
EEM……..42.44 -0.22 -0.50%

Oil………..77.33 -1.36 -1.73%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.76 -0.93 -1.15%
(Brent)
Gold…..2485.00 -19.20 -0.77%
(Comex)
Gold……2447.87 -17.02 -0.69%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31430.00 +232.00 +0.74%
(Closed 14/08)
Nickel..16235.00 -162.50 -0.99%
(Closed 14/08)
Silver….27.63 -0.40 -1.43%
Copper.406.90 -0.20 -0.05%

Iron Ore 62% 100.44 -0.59 -0.58%
(12/08)
Nturl Gas 2.226 +0.063 +2.91%
Ammonia China 2466.67 +36.67 +1.51%
(Domestic Price)(13/08)

Coal price.145.75 -1.15 -0.78%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.40 -1.60 -1.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 149.90 -1.15 -0.76%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.40 -0.90 -0.59%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.65 -0.10 -0.08%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.05 -0.45 -0.37%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.65 -0.95 -0.76%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.65 +0.10 +0.08%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3725 +36 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..400.75 +3.50 +0.88%
SoybeanOil 38.88 -0.21 -0.54%
Wheat…..556.25 +4.50 +0.82%

Wood pulp..5060 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 14/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo, asia varied, US bond yield pendek up, yang panjang down, IHSG new record high, beware pullback. Banyak yang sell memanfaatkan hype ATH

USD Index up tipis, metal2 kebanyakan merah kecuali Tin, oil down gas up, coal down CPO up. agak ga asik buat INCO ANTM, semoga ga koreksi jauh, giliran AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch up, MACD buy, FNB, vol transaksi turun, ketemu reg bear div, semoga lanjut sih, tapi beware kaya kejadian januari, all time high terus longsor

Energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BRPT GOTO PGEO SIDO UNTR BNGA ENRG GJTL MPMX, big accum PGEO SIDO GJTL

MACD Buy Signal banyak banget: AMRT ANTM BBRI BRPT GOTO ISATJSMR MDKA PGAS PTBA SIDO SMGR ABMM BTPS MYOR, big accum BBRI ISAT MDKA PTBA SIDO

Daily Analysis 20240812

Daily Analysis 20240812

August 12th, 2024

Dow…….39497 +51.1 +0.13%
Nasdaq. 16745 +85.3 +0.51x%
S&P 500 5344 +24.9 +0.47%

FTSE..8168.10 +23.1 +0.28%
Dax……17722 +42.5 +0.24%
CAC……7270 +22.3 +0.31%

Nikkei..35025 +193.9 +0.56%
HSI……..17090 +198.4 +1.17%
Shanghai.2862 -7.7 -0.27%

IDX….7257.12 +61.88 +0.86%
LQ45…908.13 +9.23 +1.03%
IDX30.455.86 +1.74 +0.38%

IDXEnergy.2425.17 +12.00. +0.50%
IDX BscMat1318.38 +20.96 +1.62%
IDX Indstrl..1025.97 +11.31 +1.11%
IDXNONCYC.702.16 +2.36 +0.34%
IDX Hlthcare1452.22 +6.21 +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…759.82 +6.04 +0.80%
IDXTechno.3224.77 +18.76 +0.59%
IDX Transp 1357.38. +10.91 +0.81%
IDX Infrast 1546.82 +13.02 +0.85%
IDX Finance1406.97 +6.99 +0.48%
IDX Banking1257.44 +8.18 +0.65%
IDX Property…..661 +5.20 +0.79%

Indo10Yr.6.8349 -0.0186 -0.27%
ICBI…387.2557 +0.3148 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.057 +0.021 +0.52%
US5Yr 3.796 -0.030 -0.78%
US10Yr3.959 -0.030 -0.75%
US30Yr.4.220 -0.056 -1.31%
VIX..20.37 -3.42 -14.38%‼️

USDIndx 103.2150 +0.006 +0.01%
Como Indx….275.97 +1.97 +0.72%
BCOMIN…..138.06 +1.93 +1.42%

IndoCDS..80.17 -0.02 -0.02%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/08)

IDR…..15924.50 +31.00 +0.19%
Jisdor.15914.00 -38.00 -0.24%

Euro…1.0913 -0.0005 -0.05%

TLKM…17.86 +0.04 +0.20%
( 2836)
EIDO.20.48 -0.02 -0.10%
EEM..42.06 +0.21 +0.50%

Oil………..76.94 +0.90 +1.18%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.16 +0.83 +1.06%
(Brent)
Gold…..2468.50 +3.70 +0.15%
(Comex)
Gold……2430.02 +4.07 +0.17%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31304.00 +810.00 +2.66%
(Closed 09/08)
Nickel..16298.00 +97.50 +0.60%
(Closed 09/08)
Silver….27.49 -0.08 -0.29%
Copper.397.85 +0.15 +0.04%

Iron Ore 62% 101.26 +0.51 +0.51%
(09/08)
Nturl Gas 2.161 +0.072 +3.45%
Ammonia China 2463.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/08)

Coal price.146.00 +0.50 +0.34%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.50 +1.50 +1.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 151.95 +1.75 +1.17%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.153.20 +2.00 +1.32%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.10 +0.70 +0.58%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.124.00 +1.10 +0.90%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 124.90 +1.60 +1.30%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.75 +1.65 +1.33%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3717 +41 +1.12%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..395.00 -2.00 -0.50%
SoybeanOil 41.12 +0.26 +0.64%
Wheat…..542.50 +5.00 +0.93%

Wood pulp..5100 unch +0%
(Closed 11/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing Jum’at semua ijo kecuali China. US Bond Yield hampir semua turun, keliatannya beneran udah beres wave 2, lanjut wave 3 IHSG

USD index up tpis, metal2 ijo kecuali silver, harusnya INCO ANTM TINS dkk jalan lagi, Oil Gas Coal up, PTBA ITMG ADRO menarik diliat… Oil kita liat dulu.CPO up juga, semoga nganter AALI LSIP rally juga

IHSG – Stoch up, MACD rev up tapi belum sempet nyeberang kebawa histogram, MFI sw, w% up, FNB, walau belum tutup gap tapi deket banget kemaren, bisa jadi sudah dianggap done, dari itungan fibonacci wave 2 udah bisa dianggap done, semoga memang sepakat untuk rally wave 3

Property yang terlihat kenceng, tapi kemaren di check masing2nya BD pada jualan, very careful buat yang mau ngejar issue bunga bank turun

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT INDF AVIA BMTR INDY MAHA MYOR PTPP, big accum AMRT INDF INDY PTPP

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BUKA UNVR CMRY GJTL KIJA MIKA BRAM, big accum UNVR GJTL

Daily Analysis 20240805

Daily Analysis 20240805

August 05th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes down 600 points, Nasdaq enters correction after weak jobs report

Stocks fell sharply on Friday as a much weaker-than-anticipated jobs report for July ignited worries that the economy could be falling into a recession.

Dow…….39737 -610.7 -1.51%
Nasdaq16776 -417.98 -2.43%
S&P 500.5347 -100.6 -1.84%

FTSE…..8175 -108.7 -1.31%
Dax……17661 -421.8 -2.33%
CAC……7252 -118.7 -1.61%

Nikkei..35910 -2216.7 -5.81%‼️
HSI…..16946 -359.5 -2.08%
Shanghai.2905 -27.1 -0.92%

IDX….7308.12 -17.86 -0.24%
LQ45…919.37 -6.14 -0.66%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2479.49 +19.86 +0.81%
IDX BscMat1360.74 -10.48 -0.76%
IDX Indstrl.1036.58 +0.01 +0.00%
IDXNONCYC.701.00 -4.02 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1441.80 -6.55 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…764.18 +4.37 +0.57%
IDXTechno.3272.03 -12.19 -0.37%
IDX Transp 1377.07 -14.51 -1.04%
IDX Infrast 1557.37 -11.09 -0.71%
IDX Finance1412.80 -4.35 -0.31%
IDX Banking1259.19 -4.13 -0.33%
IDX Property…..652 +3.10 +0.48%

Indo10Yr.6.9083❗️ -0.0092 -0.13%
ICBI…385.6435❗️ +0.1951 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.878👍 -0.282 -6.78%‼️
US5Yr 3.615👍 -0.229 -5.96%‼️
US10Yr3.792👍 -0.178 -4.48%‼️
US30Yr.4.109 -0.171 -3.99%‼️
VIX..23.39‼️ +4.80 +25.82%‼️

USDIndx 103.2080👍 -1.213 -1.16%
Como Indx….270.13 -3.46 -1.26%
BCOMIN…..138.20 -0.90 -0.66%

IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16200.00❗️ -37.00 -0.23%
Jisdor.16234.00❗️ -9.00 -0.06%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.55 -0.04 -0.20%*
( 2849)
EIDO….20.30 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM……41.60 -0.61 -1.44%

Oil………..76.79 -3.27 -4.25%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.81 -2.71 -3.41%
(Brent)
Gold…..2469.80 -19.40 -0.78%
(Comex)
Gold……2443.24 -4.76 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..30188.00 +234.00 +0.98%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16365.50 +130.50 +0.80%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.39 -0.22 -0.77%
Copper.410.30 +3.60 +0.89%

Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.144.10 +1.55 +1.09%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 +1.95 +1.36%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.90 +1.65 +1.14%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.40 +1.75 +1.19%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.35 +1.40 +1.17%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.20 +1.40 +1.16%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.75 +1.30 +1.08%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.55 +1.29%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3858 +35 +0.92%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..403.25 +4.75 +1.19%
SoybeanOil 40.81 -0.64 -1.54%
Wheat…..539.00 +7.009 +1.32%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 04/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index Regional merah semua pas closing jum’at, IHSG malah paling moderate. US bond yield drop, kalo hanya liat itu bisa ijo IHSG hari ini, tapi lebih besar kemungkinan merahnya sih, beresin wave 2, sama double top kemaren

USD index drop tapi metal2 jg drop kecuali iron ore, oil drop jauh, gas juga, coal yang bertahan ijo sama CPO. Waktunya PTBA AALI LSIP gerak

IHSG – stochastic nya seolah olah mau lanjut jalan, tapi MACD nya masih says down, price action juga malah hampir triple top, BD lagi sw, FF mulai net buy tapi curiga rebalancing LQ45 dan Kompas100 yang memicunya. Masih very selective buying

Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: MTEL PGAS PTBA ADMR BMTR BSDE ENRG ERAA PTPP KBLI SMDR, big accum PGAS PTBA ADMR BSDE

MACD Buy Signal: OTMG SIDO ADMR BSDE NISP TPIA, big accum ITMG ADMR BSDE

Daily Analysis 20240725

Daily Analysis 20240725

July 25th, 2024 Good morning, Stocks smoked, Nasdaq falls over 3.5% in worst day since 2022 after Tesla, Alphabet trigger Big Tech sell-off Tesla shares close down 12% after earnings…