December 21st, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes higher to end four-day losing streak

Stocks rose Tuesday as Wall Street shook off a surprise move from the Bank of Japan that sent global bond yields up. Investors also overlooked fears that a year-end rally may not come to pass.

Dow…….32850 +92.2    +0.28%
Nasdaq.10547 +1.1       +0.01%
S&P 500..3822 +3.96     +0.10%

FTSE…….7371  +9.3      +0.13%
Dax……..13885 -58.2     -0.42%
CAC……..6450  -22.9     -0.35%

Nikkei….26568  -669.6    -2.46%
HSI……..19095  -258.01  -1.33%
Shanghai..3074 -33.4      -1.07%
ST Times..3254 -2.64      -0.08%

IDX…….6768.32  -11.38   -0.17%
LQ45……938.90  -7.95     -0.84%

IDX Energy..2185.46 +34.17   +1.59%
IDX BscMat 1230.10 -16.63    -1.33%
IDX Indstrl…1169.68  -7.14     -0.61%
IDXNONCYC..724.18 +0.55   +0.08%
IDX Hlthcare.1549.69 -7.16    -0.46%
IDXCYCLIC…..847.51 +4.20   +0.50%
IDX Techno..5048.06 -68.07  -1.33%
IDX Transp…1684.56  -6.78   -0.40%
IDX Infrast……847.69  -2.14   -0.25%
IDX Finance 1423.55  -13.38  -0.93%
IDX Banking 1155.48  -8.42    -0.72%
IDX Property….690     -7.70     -1.10%

Indo10Yr.7.0059  unch       +0%
ICBI….344.1732  -0.0075  -0.00%
US10Yr..3.6840  +0.1030  +2.88%
VIX……21.48       -0.94       -4.19%👍

USDIndx.103.95  -0.771  -0.74%👍
Como Indx.272.27  +1.71   +0.63%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..163.67  +2.76   +1.72%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15602.50 +6.00   +0.04%
Jisdor..15608.00 -13.00  -0.08%

Euro……1.0621  +0.0014 +0.13%

TLKM…….23.55     -0.03    -0.13%
(3676)
EIDO……….22.60    -0.15    -0.66%
EEM……….37.85     -0.01   -0.03%

Oil………….76.09    +0.90    +1.20%
Gold …..1825.40  +27.70 +1.54%‼️
Timah…..23308     -228.00 -0.97%
(Closed 19/12)
Nickel.27933.00 +813.50 +2.99%‼️
(Closed 20/12)
Silver……24.27   +1.07      +4.62%‼️
Copper…379.90  +1.60    +0.42%

Nturl Gas..5.360   -0.483  -8.27%‼️

Ammonia..4580 -179.67 -3.71%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(19/12)

Coal price….400.05   -1.30    -0.32%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….376.55   +5.80  +1.56%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….362.00   +9.70  +2.75%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…230.45   -0.05     -0.02%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price…195.60 -6.15  -3.05%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…195.60  -6.05  -3.00%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

VCoal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..3870   -62     -1.58%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….652.00 +4.75  +0.73%
SoybeanOil.64.81    +1.40   +2.21%
Wheat………750.50  +2.00   +0.27%

Wood pulp…6476.00  -24   -0.37%
(Closed 19/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Akhirnya US ijo juga…europe cuma inggris yang ijo, asia masih merah closingnya kemaren. Semoga hari ini rebound

Metal metal naik semua kecuali timah, bagus buat ANTM. Oil naik, gas drop jauh, coal spot turun dikit future nya drop di rotterdam price, semoga respon market tetep bagus, masih stay diatas 400

IHSG – masih FNS, BD akum, Stoch Up, MACD rev up, dikit lagi buy, MFI down, masih dalam rangka wave 3, price level di area support kuat, area mantul 17 oct 2022. US ijo semoga mulai rally naik jalan wave 3

Basic Materials, Infrastructure, Technology. Finance belum lagi, gagal ini santa claus rally deh…

Stochastic Buy Signal: BMRI EXCL MIKA Sama sektor Consumer Cyclicals dan Energy

MACD buy signal: ISAT ISSI sama sektor Energy

Kayanya mau jalan ini Infrastructure, TLKM ISAT EXCL pada nongol buy signals

December 20th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for a fourth day as recession angst dashes hope of year-end rally

Stocks fell Monday as recession fears mounted and investors worried time is running out for a year-end rally.

Dow…….32758 -162.9 -0.49%
Nasdaq.10546 -159.4 -1.49%
S&P 500..3818 -34.7 -0.90%

FTSE…….7361 +29.2 +0.40%
Dax……..13943 +49.8 +0.36%
CAC……..6473 +20.7 +0.32%

Nikkei….27527 -524.6 -1.87%
HSI……..19451 +82.1 +0.42%
Shanghai..3168 -0.8 -0.02%
ST Times..3241 closed +0%

IDX…….6779.80 -32.49 -0.48%
LQ45……946.85 -4.33 -0.46%

IDX Energy..2151.29 -8.18 -0.38%
IDX BscMat 1246.73 -20.78 -1.64%
IDX Indstrl…1176.82 -0.96 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC..723.63 -4.08 -0.56%
IDX Hlthcare.1556.85 -0.57 -0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…..843.31 +1.79 +0.20%
IDX Techno..5116.13 -106.46 -2.04%
IDX Transp…1691.33 -11.66 -0.68%
IDX Infrast……849.83 +4.41 +0.52%
IDX Finance 1436.92 -14.42 -0.99%
IDX Banking 1163.90 -16.14 -1.37%
IDX Property….698 -2.90 -0.41%

Indo10Yr.7.0059 +0.0113 +0.16%
ICBI….344.1806 +0.1605 +0.05%👍
US10Yr..3.5810 +0.0990 +2.84%
VIX……22.42 -0.20 -0.88%

USDIndx.104.6670 -0.0340 -0.03%
Como Indx.270.56 -0.82 -0.30%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.91 -1.57 -0.97%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15596.50 -1.50 -0.01%
Jisdor..15621.00 +4.00 +0.03%

Euro……1.0607 +0.0021 +0.19%

TLKM…….23.58 +0.41 +1.77%
(3683)
EIDO……….22.75 -0.02 -0.09%
EEM……….37.86 +0.03 +0.08%

Oil………….75.19 +0.90 +1.21%
Gold …..1797.70 -2.50 -0.14%
Timah…..23535 – -%
(Closed 16/12)
Nickel.27179.50 -1287.00 -4.52%‼️
(Closed 18/12)
Silver………23.20 -0.13 -0.55%
Copper…378.30 +2.15 +0.57%

Nturl Gas..5.843 -0.768 -11.62%‼️

Ammonia..4756.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(15/12)

Coal price….401.65 -1.65 -0.41%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.75 -1.25 -0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….352.30 -2.70 -0.76%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…230.50 -3.70 -1.58%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price…201.75 -3.90. -1.90%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…201.65 -4.05 -1.97%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..3932 +15 +0.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….647.25 -5.75 -0.88%
SoybeanOil.64.41 +0.95 +1.52%
Wheat………748.50 -5.00 -0.66%

Wood pulp…6500.00 -10 -0.15%
(Closed 19/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah, europe ijo, asia cuma HSI yang ijo, semua merah, masih kemungkinan besar tetep dalam tekanan, kalo ga lanjut merah paling sideways or naik tipis2

Oil rebound, gas drop jauh, coal turun, waktunya rebuy coal di pullback. Metal2 turun semua, ANTM buy signal bisa jadi waktu yang pas buat buy. CPO naik dikit, kita tunggu nongolnya buy signal saham2 sawit

Basic Materials sama Financials

December 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends 3-day losing streak. Dow jumps 700 points after Powell signals smaller rate hikes

Stocks saw broad gains Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed that the central bank will slow the pace of its aggressive rate-hiking campaign that has weighed on markets.

*Dow…….34590 +737.2 +2.18%*
*Nasdaq.11468 +484.2 +4.41%*
*S&P 500..4080 +122.5 +3.09%*

FTSE…….7573 +61.1 +0.81%
Dax……..14397 +41.6 +0.29%
CAC……..6739 +69.6 +1.04%

Nikkei….27969 -58.9 -0.21%
HSI……..18597 +392.6 +2.16%
Shanghai..3151 +1.6 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +14.1 +0.43%

IDX…….7081.31 +69.24 +0.99%
LQ45….1008.28 +13.06 +1.31%

IDX Energy..2078.75 +6.79 +0.33%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.28 +3.93 +0.31%
IDX Industrl..1246.26 +7.94 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..744.99 +6.54 +0.89%
IDX Hlthcare.1537.02 +18.24 +1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..894.72 +4.05 +0.45%
IDX Techno….5896.76 -108.60 -1.81%
IDX Transp…1775.28 -2.37 -0.13%
IDX Infrast……894.06 -1.51 -0.17%
IDX Finance 1509.34 +26.69 +1.80%,
*IDX Banking 1231.39 +33.53 +2.80%‼️*
IDX Property….718 +2.80 +0.39%

*Indo10Yr….7.1218 -0.0308 -0.43%👍*
*ICBI……..341.9633 +0.8271 +0.24%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7030 -0.0450 -1.22%*
*VIX……20.58 -1.31 -5.98%*

*USDIndx..106.0250 -0.8060 -0.75%*
Como Indx..279.76 +4.24 +1.54%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……162.30 +4.19 +2.65%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15731.50 -11.00 -0.07%‼️*
*Jisdor..15742.00 +5.00 +0.03%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0408 +0.0079 +0.76%👍*

TLKM……..25.48 +0.37 +1.47%
*(4011)*
EIDO………23.77 +0.46 +1.97%
*EEM……….38.52 +1.11 +2.89%*

*Oil………….80.55 +2.35 +3.01%‼️*
Gold ……1759.90 -3.80 -0.22%
Timah…..22788 +434.00 +1.94%
*(Closed 29/11)*
Nickel…26928.50 +59.00 +0.22%
*(Closed 30/11)*
Silver………21.78 +0.35 +1.61%
Copper…..373.80 +9.85 +2.71%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4623.33 +33.33 +0.73%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(29/11)

*Coal price….398.50 +11.10 +2.87%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….389.00 +15.50 +4.15%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….379.50 +14.25 +3.90%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….279.00 +19.00 +7.31%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….283.95 +23.45 +9.00%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….282.90 +24.50 +9.48%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……4236 +15 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….667.00 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil…71.88 -1.10 -1.51%
Wheat………795.50 +14.00 +1.79%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 30/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Ijo semua kecuali IHSG sama Nikkei, US ijo tebel abis pengumuman akan slow down kenaikan suku bunga fed. Bagus buat saham overall

Coal lanjut naik tinggi, metal metal ijo kecuali gold, oil rebond, gas koreksi tipis, CPO ijo tipis, masih bullish baru di coal. Banks keliatan di gas, mau mulai santa claus rally? Probably

IHSG – bener bener dibawa sideways, foreign masih net buy terus, optimis tinggal tunggu breakout

Energy, Healthcare, Property, disusul Industrials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, Basic Materials mulai gerak, ini kalo Financials lanjut firm jadi semuanya jalan, index lari lagi.

November 02nd, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks finish lower as Wall Street braces for key Fed decision

Stocks dipped on Tuesday as traders assessed better-than-expected economic data and prepared for another likely rate hike from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….32653 -79.8 -0.24%
Nasdaq.10891 -97.3 -0.89%
S&P 500..3856 -15.8 -0.41%

FTSE…….7186 +91.6 +1.29%
Dax……..13338 +85.0 +0.64%
CAC……..6328 +61.5 +0.98%

Nikkei….27679 +91.5 +0.33%
*HSI……..15455 +768.3 +5.23%‼️*
*Shanghai..2969 +75.7 +2.62%*
ST Times..3131 +37.4 +1.21%

IDX…….7052.30 -46.59 -0.66%
LQ45…1007.37 -6.75 -0.67%

*IDX Energy..2008.11 -61.39 -2.97%*
IDX Bsc Mat.1271.88 +3.65 +0.29%
IDX Industrl..1258.81 -15.14 -1.19%
IDXNONCYC..732.12 -3.19 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1497.06 -7.07 -0.47%
IDXCYCLIC…..876.24 +7.70 +0.89%
IDX Techno..6483.15 +31.79 +0.49%
IDX Transp…1823.85 -21.89 -1.19%
IDX Infrast……935.64 -4.42 -0.47%
IDX Finance 1484.24 -17.12 -1.14%
IDX Banking.1194.56 -9.20 -0.76%
IDX Property….693 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.5546 -0.0316 -0.42%
ICBI……..331.8430 +0.6152 +0.19%
*US10Yr……4.0520 -0.0250 -0.61%‼️*
*VIX……….25.81 -0.07 -0.27%*

*USDIndx 111.5300 -0.050 -0.04%*
Como Indx..276.34 +2.21 +0.81%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……147.03 +4.84 +3.40%‼️*
.
*IndoCDS..139.53 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(31/10)*

*IDR……15627.50 +30.00 +0.19%‼️*
*Jisdor..15647.00 +51 +0.33%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9876 -0.0006 -0.06%*

TLKM……..27.82 -0.31 -1.10%
*(4353)*
EIDO………23.61 -0.14 -0.59%
EEM……….34.82 +0.63 +1.84%

Oil…………86.53 -1.37 -1.56%
Gold ……1649.70 +9.00 +0.55%
*Timah…..18101 – -%*
*(Closed 28/10)*
*Nickel…23444.00 +1497.50 +6.82%‼️*
*(Closed 01/11)*
*Silver………19.67 +0.55 +2.87%*
*Copper….347.25 +9.75 +2.89%*

*Nturl Gas…..5.838 -0.456 -7.24%‼️*

Ammonia..4113.33 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(31/10)

Coal price….359.00 +2.70 +0.76%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….361.00 +4.95 +1.39%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….358.05 +5.55 +1.57%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….225.10 +5.85 +2.67%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….226.95 +8.95 +4.10%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….226.15 +8.60 +3.95%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

*Coal(ICI 4)…..95.25 +3.60 +3.93%‼️*
Indonesial Coal Index (31/10)

*CPO(Jan)……4241 +194 +4.79%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….697.75 +6.25 +0.90%
SoybeanOil…73.37 +0.16 +0.22%
*Wheat………902.50 +20.25 +2.25%*

Wood pulp…6750.00 -52 -0.76%
(Closed 01/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Hangseng rebound kenceng banget, ga ikutan US market, shanghai juga. Asia yang merah cuma IHSG, dalem pula. DJI tadi malem closing merah lagi, europe masih ijo, harusnya kita hari ini ijo lah

Oil lanjut turun, gas turun dalem, coal rebound tipis, energy koreksi dulu ya… Metal metal rebound, nikel naik tinggi, kita liat chart INCO dan MDKA. CPO naik tinggi, perlu dicermati chart harga CPO ini, kalo trendnya udah ngebalik bullish kemungkinan besar saham CPO ngikut

IHSG – masih keliatan mau sideways, MFI masih up, macd up, FNB terus, masih aman harusnya lanjut wave 3. Candle terakhir memang bearish engulfing sih, tapi bukan di ujung atas uptrend tapi ada di fase sideways, semoga bukan pertanda bearish reversal. DMI ngebalik sell, stoch 833 sell, 1066 rev down, jangan koreksi dalem ah, sideways correction ajah 😇

CPO future – MACD up, stoch deket overbought, lagi mau rev up, 833 buy. DMI sideways, LR slope masih kebawah, udah deket bates upper channel. Abis terjun udah ketemu bullish divergence terus mantul ke fibo 23, harusnya lanjut ke fibo 38. tunggu momentumnya aja. William Alligator up, buy nya pas sekitar 18 okt an. Amannya ditunggu firm bikin higher low. Harusnya kalo komoditi geraknya ga seliar saham gorengan sih, lebih smooth. Apalagi kalo diperhitungkan bahwa palm oil bisa jadi substitusi fossil fuel, dengan kondisi krisis energi, bisa jadi sentimen positif juga.

Nah lho, financials nya mulai kebawah, harus diganjel yang lain kalo ga index bisa koreksi lebih jauh. Consumer cyclicals, property, transportation, infrastructure, technology

Consumer cyclicals – retracement pattern nya udah running sampe deket fibo38, stochastic udah overbought, ini sih kemungkinan besar mau koreksi or sideways dulu sambil nurunin stochastic, baru nerusin lagi. MACD masih up, mfi up, FNB, bandar akum, kalo akumulasinya naik terus atau minimal diem dulu ga distribusi, koreksinya ga akan jauh harusnya

MAPI

MAPI – ini yang single-handedly naikin Consumer Cyclicals ya… Tunggu wave 4 deh

Property – belum jadi running… stoch sama mfi udah cape…

No new signals

Transportation – nunggu stoch 833 buy lagi baru running lagi, cut short gerakannya, emang belum saatnya IHSG running lagi

Sepi… ga ada FNB ga ada bandar akum

Infrastructure – kenapa masuk di chart cacing sih ini, belum jalan juga… Algoritma RSI quadrant nya harus dibenerin kayanya ini

TOWR TLKM

TOWR – macd buy, retracement pattern suggest udah waktunya lanjut ke fibo 61, stoch up rev, 833 sell, belum saat yang tepat buat entry, idealnya pas firm 833 nya buy lah minimal

TLKM – belum, koreksi dulu ini keliatannya, padahal kemaren ISAT keliatan bagus, tapi kalo TLKM turun rada berat ISAT jalan sendiri