Daily Analysis 20221221

Daily Analysis 20221221

December 21st, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes higher to end four-day losing streak

Stocks rose Tuesday as Wall Street shook off a surprise move from the Bank of Japan that sent global bond yields up. Investors also overlooked fears that a year-end rally may not come to pass.

Dow…….32850 +92.2    +0.28%
Nasdaq.10547 +1.1       +0.01%
S&P 500..3822 +3.96     +0.10%

FTSE…….7371  +9.3      +0.13%
Dax……..13885 -58.2     -0.42%
CAC……..6450  -22.9     -0.35%

Nikkei….26568  -669.6    -2.46%
HSI……..19095  -258.01  -1.33%
Shanghai..3074 -33.4      -1.07%
ST Times..3254 -2.64      -0.08%

IDX…….6768.32  -11.38   -0.17%
LQ45……938.90  -7.95     -0.84%

IDX Energy..2185.46 +34.17   +1.59%
IDX BscMat 1230.10 -16.63    -1.33%
IDX Indstrl…1169.68  -7.14     -0.61%
IDXNONCYC..724.18 +0.55   +0.08%
IDX Hlthcare.1549.69 -7.16    -0.46%
IDXCYCLIC…..847.51 +4.20   +0.50%
IDX Techno..5048.06 -68.07  -1.33%
IDX Transp…1684.56  -6.78   -0.40%
IDX Infrast……847.69  -2.14   -0.25%
IDX Finance 1423.55  -13.38  -0.93%
IDX Banking 1155.48  -8.42    -0.72%
IDX Property….690     -7.70     -1.10%

Indo10Yr.7.0059  unch       +0%
ICBI….344.1732  -0.0075  -0.00%
US10Yr..3.6840  +0.1030  +2.88%
VIX……21.48       -0.94       -4.19%👍

USDIndx.103.95  -0.771  -0.74%👍
Como Indx.272.27  +1.71   +0.63%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..163.67  +2.76   +1.72%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15602.50 +6.00   +0.04%
Jisdor..15608.00 -13.00  -0.08%

Euro……1.0621  +0.0014 +0.13%

TLKM…….23.55     -0.03    -0.13%
(3676)
EIDO……….22.60    -0.15    -0.66%
EEM……….37.85     -0.01   -0.03%

Oil………….76.09    +0.90    +1.20%
Gold …..1825.40  +27.70 +1.54%‼️
Timah…..23308     -228.00 -0.97%
(Closed 19/12)
Nickel.27933.00 +813.50 +2.99%‼️
(Closed 20/12)
Silver……24.27   +1.07      +4.62%‼️
Copper…379.90  +1.60    +0.42%

Nturl Gas..5.360   -0.483  -8.27%‼️

Ammonia..4580 -179.67 -3.71%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(19/12)

Coal price….400.05   -1.30    -0.32%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….376.55   +5.80  +1.56%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….362.00   +9.70  +2.75%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…230.45   -0.05     -0.02%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price…195.60 -6.15  -3.05%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…195.60  -6.05  -3.00%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

VCoal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..3870   -62     -1.58%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….652.00 +4.75  +0.73%
SoybeanOil.64.81    +1.40   +2.21%
Wheat………750.50  +2.00   +0.27%

Wood pulp…6476.00  -24   -0.37%
(Closed 19/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Akhirnya US ijo juga…europe cuma inggris yang ijo, asia masih merah closingnya kemaren. Semoga hari ini rebound

Metal metal naik semua kecuali timah, bagus buat ANTM. Oil naik, gas drop jauh, coal spot turun dikit future nya drop di rotterdam price, semoga respon market tetep bagus, masih stay diatas 400

IHSG – masih FNS, BD akum, Stoch Up, MACD rev up, dikit lagi buy, MFI down, masih dalam rangka wave 3, price level di area support kuat, area mantul 17 oct 2022. US ijo semoga mulai rally naik jalan wave 3

Basic Materials, Infrastructure, Technology. Finance belum lagi, gagal ini santa claus rally deh…

Stochastic Buy Signal: BMRI EXCL MIKA Sama sektor Consumer Cyclicals dan Energy

MACD buy signal: ISAT ISSI sama sektor Energy

Kayanya mau jalan ini Infrastructure, TLKM ISAT EXCL pada nongol buy signals

Daily Analysis 20221220

Daily Analysis 20221220

December 20th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for a fourth day as recession angst dashes hope of year-end rally

Stocks fell Monday as recession fears mounted and investors worried time is running out for a year-end rally.

Dow…….32758 -162.9 -0.49%
Nasdaq.10546 -159.4 -1.49%
S&P 500..3818 -34.7 -0.90%

FTSE…….7361 +29.2 +0.40%
Dax……..13943 +49.8 +0.36%
CAC……..6473 +20.7 +0.32%

Nikkei….27527 -524.6 -1.87%
HSI……..19451 +82.1 +0.42%
Shanghai..3168 -0.8 -0.02%
ST Times..3241 closed +0%

IDX…….6779.80 -32.49 -0.48%
LQ45……946.85 -4.33 -0.46%

IDX Energy..2151.29 -8.18 -0.38%
IDX BscMat 1246.73 -20.78 -1.64%
IDX Indstrl…1176.82 -0.96 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC..723.63 -4.08 -0.56%
IDX Hlthcare.1556.85 -0.57 -0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…..843.31 +1.79 +0.20%
IDX Techno..5116.13 -106.46 -2.04%
IDX Transp…1691.33 -11.66 -0.68%
IDX Infrast……849.83 +4.41 +0.52%
IDX Finance 1436.92 -14.42 -0.99%
IDX Banking 1163.90 -16.14 -1.37%
IDX Property….698 -2.90 -0.41%

Indo10Yr.7.0059 +0.0113 +0.16%
ICBI….344.1806 +0.1605 +0.05%👍
US10Yr..3.5810 +0.0990 +2.84%
VIX……22.42 -0.20 -0.88%

USDIndx.104.6670 -0.0340 -0.03%
Como Indx.270.56 -0.82 -0.30%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.91 -1.57 -0.97%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15596.50 -1.50 -0.01%
Jisdor..15621.00 +4.00 +0.03%

Euro……1.0607 +0.0021 +0.19%

TLKM…….23.58 +0.41 +1.77%
(3683)
EIDO……….22.75 -0.02 -0.09%
EEM……….37.86 +0.03 +0.08%

Oil………….75.19 +0.90 +1.21%
Gold …..1797.70 -2.50 -0.14%
Timah…..23535 – -%
(Closed 16/12)
Nickel.27179.50 -1287.00 -4.52%‼️
(Closed 18/12)
Silver………23.20 -0.13 -0.55%
Copper…378.30 +2.15 +0.57%

Nturl Gas..5.843 -0.768 -11.62%‼️

Ammonia..4756.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(15/12)

Coal price….401.65 -1.65 -0.41%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.75 -1.25 -0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….352.30 -2.70 -0.76%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…230.50 -3.70 -1.58%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price…201.75 -3.90. -1.90%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…201.65 -4.05 -1.97%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..3932 +15 +0.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….647.25 -5.75 -0.88%
SoybeanOil.64.41 +0.95 +1.52%
Wheat………748.50 -5.00 -0.66%

Wood pulp…6500.00 -10 -0.15%
(Closed 19/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah, europe ijo, asia cuma HSI yang ijo, semua merah, masih kemungkinan besar tetep dalam tekanan, kalo ga lanjut merah paling sideways or naik tipis2

Oil rebound, gas drop jauh, coal turun, waktunya rebuy coal di pullback. Metal2 turun semua, ANTM buy signal bisa jadi waktu yang pas buat buy. CPO naik dikit, kita tunggu nongolnya buy signal saham2 sawit

Basic Materials sama Financials

Daily Analysis 20221201

Daily Analysis 20221201

December 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends 3-day losing streak. Dow jumps 700 points after Powell signals smaller rate hikes

Stocks saw broad gains Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed that the central bank will slow the pace of its aggressive rate-hiking campaign that has weighed on markets.

*Dow…….34590 +737.2 +2.18%*
*Nasdaq.11468 +484.2 +4.41%*
*S&P 500..4080 +122.5 +3.09%*

FTSE…….7573 +61.1 +0.81%
Dax……..14397 +41.6 +0.29%
CAC……..6739 +69.6 +1.04%

Nikkei….27969 -58.9 -0.21%
HSI……..18597 +392.6 +2.16%
Shanghai..3151 +1.6 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +14.1 +0.43%

IDX…….7081.31 +69.24 +0.99%
LQ45….1008.28 +13.06 +1.31%

IDX Energy..2078.75 +6.79 +0.33%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.28 +3.93 +0.31%
IDX Industrl..1246.26 +7.94 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..744.99 +6.54 +0.89%
IDX Hlthcare.1537.02 +18.24 +1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..894.72 +4.05 +0.45%
IDX Techno….5896.76 -108.60 -1.81%
IDX Transp…1775.28 -2.37 -0.13%
IDX Infrast……894.06 -1.51 -0.17%
IDX Finance 1509.34 +26.69 +1.80%,
*IDX Banking 1231.39 +33.53 +2.80%‼️*
IDX Property….718 +2.80 +0.39%

*Indo10Yr….7.1218 -0.0308 -0.43%👍*
*ICBI……..341.9633 +0.8271 +0.24%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7030 -0.0450 -1.22%*
*VIX……20.58 -1.31 -5.98%*

*USDIndx..106.0250 -0.8060 -0.75%*
Como Indx..279.76 +4.24 +1.54%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……162.30 +4.19 +2.65%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15731.50 -11.00 -0.07%‼️*
*Jisdor..15742.00 +5.00 +0.03%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0408 +0.0079 +0.76%👍*

TLKM……..25.48 +0.37 +1.47%
*(4011)*
EIDO………23.77 +0.46 +1.97%
*EEM……….38.52 +1.11 +2.89%*

*Oil………….80.55 +2.35 +3.01%‼️*
Gold ……1759.90 -3.80 -0.22%
Timah…..22788 +434.00 +1.94%
*(Closed 29/11)*
Nickel…26928.50 +59.00 +0.22%
*(Closed 30/11)*
Silver………21.78 +0.35 +1.61%
Copper…..373.80 +9.85 +2.71%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4623.33 +33.33 +0.73%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(29/11)

*Coal price….398.50 +11.10 +2.87%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….389.00 +15.50 +4.15%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….379.50 +14.25 +3.90%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….279.00 +19.00 +7.31%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….283.95 +23.45 +9.00%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….282.90 +24.50 +9.48%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……4236 +15 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….667.00 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil…71.88 -1.10 -1.51%
Wheat………795.50 +14.00 +1.79%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 30/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Ijo semua kecuali IHSG sama Nikkei, US ijo tebel abis pengumuman akan slow down kenaikan suku bunga fed. Bagus buat saham overall

Coal lanjut naik tinggi, metal metal ijo kecuali gold, oil rebond, gas koreksi tipis, CPO ijo tipis, masih bullish baru di coal. Banks keliatan di gas, mau mulai santa claus rally? Probably

IHSG – bener bener dibawa sideways, foreign masih net buy terus, optimis tinggal tunggu breakout

 

Energy, Healthcare, Property, disusul Industrials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, Basic Materials mulai gerak, ini kalo Financials lanjut firm jadi semuanya jalan, index lari lagi.

Daily Analysis 20221102

Daily Analysis 20221102

November 02nd, 2022 Good morning, Stocks finish lower as Wall Street braces for key Fed decision Stocks dipped on Tuesday as traders assessed better-than-expected economic data and prepared for another…
Daily Analysis 20221101

Daily Analysis 20221101

November 01st, 2022 Good morning, Dow closes lower on Monday, but still posts best month since 1976 Stocks slipped on Monday, but the Dow capped off its best month since…
Daily Analysis 20221024

Daily Analysis 20221024

October 24th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow climbs more than 700 points on Friday as Wall Street clinches its best week since June

Stocks climbed on Friday as Wall Street closed a volatile week on a high note despite some disappointing earnings reports.

Dow…….31082 +748.97 +2.47%
Nasdaq.10860 +244.9 +2.31%
S&P 500..3753 +86.97 +2.37%
FTSE…….6970 +25.8 +0.37%
Dax……..12731 -36.5 -0.29%
CAC……..6036 -51.5 -0.85%

Nikkei….26891 -116.4 -0.43%
HSI……..16211 -69.1 -0.42%
Shanghai..3039 +3.9 +0.13%
ST Times..2970 -52.8 -1.75%

IDX…….7017.77 +37.12 +0.53%
LQ45…1000.36 +6.68 +0.67%

IDX Energy..2017.02 +3.16 +0.16%
IDX Bsc Mat.1247.35 -11.23 -0.89%
IDX Industrl..1263.15 +5.85 +0.47%
IDXNONCYC..732.55 -4.20 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare.1477.13 +7.21 +0.49%
IDXCYCLIC…..853.63 +7.18 +0.85%
IDX Techno..6474.00 -65.56 -0.99%
IDX Transp…1778.18 +12.11 +0.69%
IDX Infrast……944.15 +12.28 +1.32%
IDX Finance 1490.55 +22.43 +1.53%
IDX Banking.1177.85 +20.15 +1.74%
IDX Property…….681 -3.50 -0.51%

Indo10Yr….7.5580 +0.0697 +0.93%
ICBI……..330.5773 -1.3607 -0.41%
*US10Yr……4.2260 +0.0990 +2.40%‼️*
*VIX……….29.69 -0.29 -0.97%*

*USDIndx 112.0120 -0.8380 -0.74%👍*
Como Indx..272.36 +0.64 +0.24%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.84 +0.14 +0.10%
.
*IndoCDS 165.84 +5.84 +3.65%‼️*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(12/10)*

*IDR……15631.50 +60.00 +0.39%‼️*
*Jisdor..15610.00 +31 +0.20%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9862 +0.0077 +0.79%‼️*

TLKM……..27.70 +0.18 +0.65%
*(4338)*
EIDO………23.64 +0.38 +1.63%
EEM………35.27 +0.53 +1.53%

Oil…………85.05 -0.93 -1.08%
*Gold ……1656.30 +23.80 +1.46%*
*Timah….18484 -864 -4.47%‼️*
*(Closed 21/10)*
Nickel…22185.00 -10.50 -0.05%(
*(Closed 21/10)*
Silver………18.60 +0.19 +1.03%
Copper….339.75 +7.70 +2.32%

*Nturl Gas…..5.472 +0.155 +2.92%*

*Ammonia..4130.00 -16.67 -0.40%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(20/10)

Coal price….390.00 -1.95 -0.50%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….389.95 -6.20 -1.57%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….390.00 -7.05 -0.61%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.00 unch +0%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….256.40 -2.10 -0.81%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..255.55 -1.75 -0.68%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.15 +1.15 +1.22%
Indonesial Coal Index (21/10)

CPO(Jan)……4100 unch +0%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….684.25 +0.25 +0.04%
SoybeanOil…71.50 +1.08 +1.53%
Wheat………850.75 +1.50 +0.18%

*Wood pulp…6820.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 20/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo tebel, bagus buat rally wave 3 IHSG. eropa dan asia closing jum’at kebanyakan merah

Gold SIlver Copper naik –> kalo logam2 mulia-an naik semua berarti sebenernya dollar yang turun… timah nikel turun, padahal ANTM INCO udah buy signal, bisa ganggu ini… Oil turun, Gas rebound abis turun gede, coal turun. Masih meragukan run sektor energy ini…

IHSG – tadinya diharapkan cukup bikin 3 white soldiers untuk konfirmasi reversal, malah rally 5 hari ijo berturut2… Suka iseng ini nanti bandar, kalo long run kepanjangan, pas orang entry dia turunin dulu, hihihi… Udah firm nongol MACD buy signal

IHSG – stoch buy,macd buy, MFI up, lastday FNB, Bandar akum, close diatas SMA 20, LR up, DMI dikit lagi buy, firm wave 3

Infobank – Nyaris persis IHSG, bedanya, firm breakout neckline IHNS sebelumnya. Big caps banyak bank, kalo Infobank15 rally, ihsg juga rally. Firm wave 3

Koq membingungkan, IHSG naik tapi sektor yang kemaren pada naik sekarang cacing RSI nya melemah…

Cuma Customer Non-Cyclicals yang arahnya bagus, padahal udah diujung, biasanya mau melemah

Financials mulai bangun, sudah seharusnya kalo index mau lari