Posts Tagged ‘inflation’

Daily Analysis 20240403

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 03rd, 2024

Good morning,

Wall Street is coming off a losing session for the major benchmarks after sticky inflation data from last week, as well as some strong economic data, had investors concerned the Federal Reserve will take longer to cut interest rates. Treasury yields spiked, with the rate on the 10-year note touching its highest level since November. Oil prices also rose to five-month highs

Dow……39170 -396.6 -1.60%
Nasdaq16240 -156.4 -0.95%
S&P 500.5206 -37.96 -0.72%

FTSE…..7935 -17.5 -0.22%
Dax……18283 -209.4 -1.13%
CAC……8130 -75.8 -0.92%

Nikkei..39839 +35.8 +0.09%
HSI……16932 +390.1 +2.36%
Shanghai.3075 -2.4 -0.08%

IDX…..7236.98 +31.92 +0.44%
LQ45….968.37 -0.71 -0.71%
IDX30…491.79 -0.59 -0.12%

IDXEnergy..2137.49 +33.43 +1.59%
IDX BscMat1313.87 +20.74 +1.60%
IDX Indstrl…1093.62 +10.39 +0.96%
IDXNONCYC.722.05 +4.61 +0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1338.51 +16.16 +1.22%
IDXCYCLIC…818.65 +5.88 +0.72%
IDXTechno3561.36 +17.24 +0.49%
IDX Transp 1466.70 +20.93 +1.46%
IDX Infrast 1565.30 -2.65 -0.18%
IDX Finance.1485.34 -2.65 -0.18%
IDX Banking.1335.45 -13.01 -0.96%
IDX Property.. 660 +2.50 +0.39%

Indo10Yr.6.7156 +0.0041 +0.06%
ICBI…379.3888 -0.0289 -0.01%
US2Yr.4.693 -0.019 -0.40%
US5Yr 4.343 +0.016 +0.37%
US10Yr4.357 +0.045 +1.04%
US30Yr.4.497+0.045 +1.01%
VIX………14.61 +0.96 +7.03%‼️

USDIndx 104.8160 -0.203 -0.19%
Como Indx..294.23 +1.90 +0.65%
BCOMIN…..141.77 +1.50 +1.07%

IndoCDS..73.25 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/04)

IDR…..15897.00‼️+2.50 +0.02%
Jisdor.15934.00‼️+25.00 +0.16%

Euro….1.0767 +0.0028 +0.26%

TLKM…21.68 -0.21 -0.96%
(3454)
EIDO……22.00 +0.05 +0.23%
EEM……41.28 +0.11 +0.27%

Oil…….85.50 +1.53 +1.82%‼️
Gold..2302.80 +31.80 +1.40%
Timah..27451.00 – -%
(Closed 29/03)
Nickel..17031.50 +349 +2.09%❗️
(Closed 02/04)
Silver….26.30 +1.08 +4.28%
Copper.407.95 +5.45 +1.34%

Iron Ore 62% 102.33 -7.20 -6.57%‼️
(28/03)
Nturl Gas..1.853 +0.013 +0.71%
Ammonia China.3073.33 -250 -7.52%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/04/24)

Coal price.132.25 +0.25 +0.19%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.00 +1.00 +0.75%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 +1.05 +0.78%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.45 +1.40 +1.03%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..122.15 +2.60 +2.17%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.25 +2.50 +2.12%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.70 +2.05 +1.74%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.60 +2.95 +2.53%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4308 +42.00 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……426.50 -9.00 -2.07%
SoybeanOil 48.60 +0.36 +0.75%
Wheat…545.25 -11.75 -2.11%

Wood pulp..5700 +10. +0.18 %
(Closed 02/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, sepertinya hari ini akan merah liat US bond yield rata2 naik semua dan US market nya merah

USD index down, jelas lanjut gold dan precious metals kecuali iron ore, oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, harusnya sih, akan ada yang dikorbanin doang kaya TLKM kemaren, tapi saham saham terkait komoditas yang naik tetep jalan, ANTM ADRO AALI LSIP

IHSG – technically masih jelek, stoch macd MFI down, w% sw, BD accum FF exit. Harusnya sekarang bikin wave B dulu, baru wave C flat berhenti di low kemaren. Semoga cuma segitu aja koreksinya, kalo ga bisa berdarah darah market

Consumer Non Cyclicals, Energy. Yang terlihat mau jalan lagi Basic Materials,Property, Financials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AKRA BRIS ESSA GOTO DSNG TBIG WIFI AALI. Big accum AKRA BRIS ESSA GOTO WIFI AALI

MACD buy signal: INDF SMAR, INDF big accum

Daily Analysis 20240313

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

March 13th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow jumps more than 200 points, S&P 500 pops 1% for new closing high as Nvidia resurges

Stocks jumped Tuesday after fresh U.S. inflation data was about in line with expectations, clearing the way for investors to resume buying high-flying tech names such as Nvidia and Meta Platforms.

Dow……39005 +235.8 +0.61%
Nasdaq16266 +246.4 +1.54%
S&P 500.5175 +57.3 +1.12%

FTSE…..7748 +78.6 +1.02%
Dax……17965 +218.8 +1.23%
CAC……8087 +67.8 +0.84%

Nikkei..38798 -22.98. O -0.23%
HSI……17093 +505.9 +3.05%
Shanghai.3055 -12.5 -0.41%

IDX…..7394.31 closed +0%
LQ45..1000.35 closed +0%
IDX30…508.41 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2138.32 closed +0%
IDX BscMat.1271.69 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1105.02 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.707.85 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1309.02closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…828.54 closed +0%
IDX Techno3643.01 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1581.60 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1587.87 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1534.80closed +0%
IDX Banking.1407.51closed +0%
IDX Property.. 676 cloeed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.6859 closed+0.08%
ICBI…378.3791 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.503 +0.015 +0.32%
US5Yr 4.148 +0.007 +0.17%
US10Yr4.153 -0.003 -0.07%
US30Yr.4.312+0.000 +0.01%
VIX………13.84 -1.38 -9.07%👍

USDIndx 102.9570 +0.090 +0.09%
Como Indx..278.32 +0.33 +0.12%
BCOMIN…..141.79 +0.37 +0.26%

IndoCDS..70.24 -0.01 -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/03)

IDR…..15590.00 closed +0%
Jisdor.15603.00 closed +0%

Euro….1.0929 +0.00 +0.02%

TLKM…24.97 -0.09 -0.34(%
(3885-.)
EIDO……22.91 -0.03 -0.11%
EEM……41.36 +0.46 +1.11%

Oil…….77.96 +0.40 +0.52%
Gold..2162.00‼️ -4.10 -0.19%
Timah..27634.00❗️👍 +4.00 +0.01%
(Closed 11/03)
Nickel..18534.50❗️👍 +157.50 +0.86%
(Closed 12/03)
Silver……24.32 -0.07 -0.30%
Copper.393.75 +0.55 +0.14%

Iron Ore 62% 113.00 -4.05 -3.46%‼️
(11/03)&’
Nturl Gas..1.707 -0.001 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3260.00‼️ +16.67 +0.75%
(Domestic Price)(12/03/24)

Coal price.130.65 -2.35 -1.77%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.40 -2.95 -2.21%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.131.25 -3.10 -2.31%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.131.90 -2.95 -2.19%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..109.40 +0.75 +0.69%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.05 +0.60 +0.57%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..104.50 -0.25 -0.24%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.50 +0.10 +0.10%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..4122+2.00 +0.05%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….441.75 +0.00 +0.00%
SoybeanOil 47.82 +1.18 +2.53%
Wheat….547.50 +0.25 +0.05%

Wood pulp..5450.00❗️ unch +0%
(Closed 12/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo semua, asia kemaren jepang china merah, hongkong ijo tebel… US bond rate yang 2 tahun naik agak tinggi, yang lain rata2 naik juga, bisa jadi bikin koreksi globally hari ini, IHSG isa jadi ngejar kemaren ga ikut ijo, atau bisa jadi kebagian koreksinya doang. Tapi kalo liat chart, kemaren ijo tebel 2 hari, giliran turun sih

USD index naik dkit, gold silver iron ore merah, Tin Nickel Copper ijo, oil ijo, gas coal Newcastle merah, rotterdam Ijo, kayanya sih merah dulu hari ini saham Coal. CPO lanjut, kita pantau LSIP buat re-entry

IHSG – bikin new record high, 2 kali kejadian bikin record high terus dibanting abis abisan, hati-hati. Udah kena reg beaar div MACD sama RSI, jadi harus extra caution. oscillators pada buy, MFI sw, BD flat FF acc, trailing stop guys…

Tinggal Financials sama Basic Materials, yang lain udah lemes. Sekalinya big bank dibanting index ikut

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN HRTA LPPF MIKA SMRA INDS AALI. Lho AALI tertendang keluar Kompas 100 ternyata. Big accum CPIN BBRI

MACD Buy Signal: MDKA MNCN MTMH WIFI, big acc WIFI

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: SIDO TKIM

Daily Analysis 20240304

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

March 04th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq surges more than 1% to take out 2021 record, S&P 500 closes above 5100 for the first time

The Nasdaq Composite
rose to an all-time high Friday, surpassing its 2021 record, as investors bet that megacap technology stocks were the best way to play slowing inflation and a coming artificial intelligence boom.

Dow……39087 +90.99 +0.23%
Nasdaq16275 +183.02+1.14%
S&P 500.5137 +40.8 +0.80%

FTSE…..7683 +52.5 +0.69%
Dax……17735 +56.88 +0.32%
CAC……7934 +6.74 +0.09%

Nikkei..39911 +744.6 +1.90%
HSI…….16589 +78.0 +0.47%
Shanghai.3027 +11.9 +0.39%

IDX…..7311.91 -4.20 -0.06%
LQ45….987.90 -2.03 -0.21%
IDX30…501.08 -1.10 -0.22%

IDXEnergy..2109.97 +3.05 +0.14%
IDX BscMat.1257.05 +3.75 +0.30%
IDX Indstrl…1103.77 +3.72 +0.34%
IDXNONCYC.710.20 +2.45 +0.35%
IDX Hlthcare1318.64 +0.53 +0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…847.74 +1.29 +0.15%
IDX Techno3679.23 -28.41 -0.77%
IDX Transp 1564.32 -11.44 -0.73%
IDX Infrast 1610.26 +10.70 +0.67%
IDX Finance.1516.63 -8.64 -0.57%
IDX Banking.1373.52 -6.45 -0.47%
IDX Property.. 692 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6754+0.0129 +0.19%
ICBI…378.1215 -0.1577 -0.04%
US2Yr.4.533 -0.090 -1.95%
US5Yr 4.162 -0.090 -2.17%
US10Yr4.186 -0.065 -1.53%
US30Yr.4.331-0.051 -1.16%
VIX………13.11 -0.29 -2.16%

USDIndx 103.8610 -0.295 -0.28%
Como Indx..277.11 +2.03 +0.74%
BCOMIN…..137.85 -0.06 -0.04%

IndoCDS..70.24 -0.47 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/03)

IDR…..15704.00‼️-15.00 -0.10%
Jisdor.15696.00‼️ -19.00 -0.12%

Euro….1.0837 +0.0033 +0.31%

TLKM…25.27 -0.31 -1.19%
(4020)
EIDO……22.48 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM……40.48 +0.52 +1.30%

Oil…….79.97 +1.71 +2.18%
Gold..2095.70 +41.00 +2.00%
Timah..26489.00 -67.00 -0.25%
(Closed 01/03)
Nickel..17768.50 -101.50 -0.57%
(Closed 01/03)
Silver……23.36 +0.48 +2.09%
Copper.386.15 +1.45 +0.38%

Iron Ore 62% 113.89 -10.97 -8.79%‼️
(01/03)
Nturl Gas..1.836 +0.016 +0.88%
Ammonia China.2976.67 +16.67 +0.56%
(Domestic Price)(29/02/02)

Coal price.132.00 +1.00 +0.76%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.00 +3.75 +2.84%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.50 +3.40 +2.57%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.50 +3.15 +2.38%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..106.95 +2.55 +2.44%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.25 +3.40 +3.30%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..104.10 +3.60 +3.58%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.70 +3.50 +3.53%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..3961 -8.00 -0.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……424.50 -4.75 -1.11%
SoybeanOil 45.16 -0.05 -0.11%
Wheat…557.75 -18.50 -3.21%

Wood pulp..5290.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing ijo semua, IDX merah tipis, US bond rate merah, USD index merah, bagus buat saham, harusnya sih ijo hari ini, walau koreksi wave C belum beres majornya

Gold Silver Copper ijo, Tin Nickel Iron ore merah, Oil up gas up coal ijo tebel, ADRO INDY jalan terus ini harusnya. CPO merah tipis AALI LSIP masih jalan di tempat

IHSG – stoch down macd sell MFI down w% sw, BD acc, FNS, untung masih dijagain bandar lokal,kalo ga udah nyungsep ini IHSG. Selain Coal dan Basic Materials yang jalan, kayanya mending masih nahan diri jangan belanja dulu

Cacing RSI arahnya pada bagus, tapi index MACD sell signal, hati2 mendadak ngebalik

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BRPT GOTO ITMG WIFI SMAR. Big acc ADRO BRPT

MACD BUy signal: ADRO UNVR AGRO BTPS MARK PTRO SMSM

Daily Analysis 20240213

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 13th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rises more than 100 points to close at a record

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose to a new high on Monday as investors awaited fresh inflation and earnings data.

Dow……38797 +125.7 +0.33%
Nasdaq15943 -48.1 -0.30%
S&P 500.5022 -4.8 -0.09%

FTSE…..7574 +1.1 +0.01%
Dax……17037 +110.9 +0.65%
CAC……7690 +42.3 +0.55%

Nikkei..36897 closed +0%
HSI……15747 closed +0%
Shanghai.2866 closed +0%

IDX…..7297.67 +62.52 +0.86%
LQ45….995.17 +12.03 +1.22%
IDX30…505.97 +6.37 +1.27%

IDXEnergy..2085.75 +2.57 +0.24%
IDX BscMat.1247.75 +3.73 +0.30%
IDX Indstrl…1085.47 +2.57 +0.24%
IDXNONCYC.700.76 -2.48 -0.35%
IDX Hlthcare1335.29 -1.26 -0.09%
IDXCYCLIC…848.48 -2.86 -0.34%
IDX Techno4014.65. +20.80.+0.52%
IDX Transp 1560.18 -5.90 -0.38%
IDX Infrast 1530.18 +12.89 +0.85%
IDX Finance.1521.20 +17.73 +1.18%
IDX Banking.1379.50 +33.06 +2.46%
IDX Property.. 700 +4.30. +0.61%

Indo10Yr.6.6891 +0.0202+0.30%
ICBI…376.6831 -0.238 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.480 -0.006 -0.13%
US5Yr 4.139 -0.003 -0.07%
US10Yr4.183 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4.380+0.006 +0.14%
VIX…13.93 +1.00 +7.73%‼️

USDIndx 104.1700 ‼️+0.059 +0.06%
Como Indx..273.31 -1.03 -0.38%
BCOMIN……133.12 +0.95 +0.72%

IndoCDS..74.22 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/02)

IDR…..15594.50 -40.50.0.26%
Jisdor.15685.00 -73.00.0.46%

Euro….1.0771 -0.0013 -0.12%

TLKM…25.79 +0.29 +1.12%
(4045)
EIDO……22.65 +0.24 +1.07%
EEM……39.89 +0.32 +0.81%

Oil…….76.92 +0.08 +0.10%
Gold..2033.00 -5.70 -0.28%
Timah..26367.00 +472.00 +1.82%
(Closed 09/03)
Nickel..15921.00 -86.00 -0.54%
(Closed 09/02)
Silver……22.77 +0.18 +0.80%
Copper.372.40 +4.25 +1.15%

Iron Ore 62% 128.75 – -%
(09/02)
Nturl Gas..1.753 -0.108 -5.80%‼️
Ammonia China.2866.67‼️ -66.66 -2.27%
(Domestic Price)(07/02/02)

Coal price 126.00 -0.60 -0.47%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.10 -2.10 -1.67%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.00 -2.30 -1.82%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice..124.40 -2.15 -1.70%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .94.50 -1.50 -1.56%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.10 -2.45 -2.59%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..89.15 -2.15 -2.35%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..87.60 -2.20 -2.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3881 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……430.50 +1.50 +0.35%
SoybeanOil 47.40 -0.35 -0.73%
Wheat….597.50 +0.75 +0.13%

Wood pulp..5124.00 unch +0%
(Closed 12/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI touch record high, Nasdaq SP500 koreksi dulu dikit, europe ijo, asia tutup libur imlek, USbond rate pendek turun, yang panjang naik, ok sih ini wajar, harusnya masih ijo hari ini

USD index up, gold nickel down, tin silver copper up, oil up, gas drop, coal down, CPO closed. Belum terlalu gimana gimana ini, TINS mungkin yang perlu dicermati apa udah mau reversal

IHSG – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD flat FNB naik terus, semoga bukan technical trap tapi emang wave B nya tinggi. Spec buy di yang firm bisa, tapi hati2 jebakan betmen, pantau ketat

Ga ada yang firm jalan dan leading, so extra caution, energy industrials property boleh dilirik

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN INCO CTRA ISAT MAPA MTMH TINS. Big accum BBTN INCO ISAT

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO INCO SIDO SRTG BSDE MTMH NISP INCI ECII. Big accum INCO, SRTG spike

Stochastic continuation Signal and Big Accum: INCO JSMR