Posts Tagged ‘inflation’

Daily Analysis 20240304

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

March 04th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq surges more than 1% to take out 2021 record, S&P 500 closes above 5100 for the first time

The Nasdaq Composite
rose to an all-time high Friday, surpassing its 2021 record, as investors bet that megacap technology stocks were the best way to play slowing inflation and a coming artificial intelligence boom.

Dow……39087 +90.99 +0.23%
Nasdaq16275 +183.02+1.14%
S&P 500.5137 +40.8 +0.80%

FTSE…..7683 +52.5 +0.69%
Dax……17735 +56.88 +0.32%
CAC……7934 +6.74 +0.09%

Nikkei..39911 +744.6 +1.90%
HSI…….16589 +78.0 +0.47%
Shanghai.3027 +11.9 +0.39%

IDX…..7311.91 -4.20 -0.06%
LQ45….987.90 -2.03 -0.21%
IDX30…501.08 -1.10 -0.22%

IDXEnergy..2109.97 +3.05 +0.14%
IDX BscMat.1257.05 +3.75 +0.30%
IDX Indstrl…1103.77 +3.72 +0.34%
IDXNONCYC.710.20 +2.45 +0.35%
IDX Hlthcare1318.64 +0.53 +0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…847.74 +1.29 +0.15%
IDX Techno3679.23 -28.41 -0.77%
IDX Transp 1564.32 -11.44 -0.73%
IDX Infrast 1610.26 +10.70 +0.67%
IDX Finance.1516.63 -8.64 -0.57%
IDX Banking.1373.52 -6.45 -0.47%
IDX Property.. 692 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6754+0.0129 +0.19%
ICBI…378.1215 -0.1577 -0.04%
US2Yr.4.533 -0.090 -1.95%
US5Yr 4.162 -0.090 -2.17%
US10Yr4.186 -0.065 -1.53%
US30Yr.4.331-0.051 -1.16%
VIX………13.11 -0.29 -2.16%

USDIndx 103.8610 -0.295 -0.28%
Como Indx..277.11 +2.03 +0.74%
BCOMIN…..137.85 -0.06 -0.04%

IndoCDS..70.24 -0.47 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/03)

IDR…..15704.00‼️-15.00 -0.10%
Jisdor.15696.00‼️ -19.00 -0.12%

Euro….1.0837 +0.0033 +0.31%

TLKM…25.27 -0.31 -1.19%
(4020)
EIDO……22.48 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM……40.48 +0.52 +1.30%

Oil…….79.97 +1.71 +2.18%
Gold..2095.70 +41.00 +2.00%
Timah..26489.00 -67.00 -0.25%
(Closed 01/03)
Nickel..17768.50 -101.50 -0.57%
(Closed 01/03)
Silver……23.36 +0.48 +2.09%
Copper.386.15 +1.45 +0.38%

Iron Ore 62% 113.89 -10.97 -8.79%‼️
(01/03)
Nturl Gas..1.836 +0.016 +0.88%
Ammonia China.2976.67 +16.67 +0.56%
(Domestic Price)(29/02/02)

Coal price.132.00 +1.00 +0.76%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.00 +3.75 +2.84%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.50 +3.40 +2.57%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.50 +3.15 +2.38%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..106.95 +2.55 +2.44%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.25 +3.40 +3.30%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..104.10 +3.60 +3.58%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.70 +3.50 +3.53%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..3961 -8.00 -0.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……424.50 -4.75 -1.11%
SoybeanOil 45.16 -0.05 -0.11%
Wheat…557.75 -18.50 -3.21%

Wood pulp..5290.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing ijo semua, IDX merah tipis, US bond rate merah, USD index merah, bagus buat saham, harusnya sih ijo hari ini, walau koreksi wave C belum beres majornya

Gold Silver Copper ijo, Tin Nickel Iron ore merah, Oil up gas up coal ijo tebel, ADRO INDY jalan terus ini harusnya. CPO merah tipis AALI LSIP masih jalan di tempat

IHSG – stoch down macd sell MFI down w% sw, BD acc, FNS, untung masih dijagain bandar lokal,kalo ga udah nyungsep ini IHSG. Selain Coal dan Basic Materials yang jalan, kayanya mending masih nahan diri jangan belanja dulu

Cacing RSI arahnya pada bagus, tapi index MACD sell signal, hati2 mendadak ngebalik

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BRPT GOTO ITMG WIFI SMAR. Big acc ADRO BRPT

MACD BUy signal: ADRO UNVR AGRO BTPS MARK PTRO SMSM

Daily Analysis 20240213

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 13th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rises more than 100 points to close at a record

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose to a new high on Monday as investors awaited fresh inflation and earnings data.

Dow……38797 +125.7 +0.33%
Nasdaq15943 -48.1 -0.30%
S&P 500.5022 -4.8 -0.09%

FTSE…..7574 +1.1 +0.01%
Dax……17037 +110.9 +0.65%
CAC……7690 +42.3 +0.55%

Nikkei..36897 closed +0%
HSI……15747 closed +0%
Shanghai.2866 closed +0%

IDX…..7297.67 +62.52 +0.86%
LQ45….995.17 +12.03 +1.22%
IDX30…505.97 +6.37 +1.27%

IDXEnergy..2085.75 +2.57 +0.24%
IDX BscMat.1247.75 +3.73 +0.30%
IDX Indstrl…1085.47 +2.57 +0.24%
IDXNONCYC.700.76 -2.48 -0.35%
IDX Hlthcare1335.29 -1.26 -0.09%
IDXCYCLIC…848.48 -2.86 -0.34%
IDX Techno4014.65. +20.80.+0.52%
IDX Transp 1560.18 -5.90 -0.38%
IDX Infrast 1530.18 +12.89 +0.85%
IDX Finance.1521.20 +17.73 +1.18%
IDX Banking.1379.50 +33.06 +2.46%
IDX Property.. 700 +4.30. +0.61%

Indo10Yr.6.6891 +0.0202+0.30%
ICBI…376.6831 -0.238 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.480 -0.006 -0.13%
US5Yr 4.139 -0.003 -0.07%
US10Yr4.183 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4.380+0.006 +0.14%
VIX…13.93 +1.00 +7.73%‼️

USDIndx 104.1700 ‼️+0.059 +0.06%
Como Indx..273.31 -1.03 -0.38%
BCOMIN……133.12 +0.95 +0.72%

IndoCDS..74.22 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/02)

IDR…..15594.50 -40.50.0.26%
Jisdor.15685.00 -73.00.0.46%

Euro….1.0771 -0.0013 -0.12%

TLKM…25.79 +0.29 +1.12%
(4045)
EIDO……22.65 +0.24 +1.07%
EEM……39.89 +0.32 +0.81%

Oil…….76.92 +0.08 +0.10%
Gold..2033.00 -5.70 -0.28%
Timah..26367.00 +472.00 +1.82%
(Closed 09/03)
Nickel..15921.00 -86.00 -0.54%
(Closed 09/02)
Silver……22.77 +0.18 +0.80%
Copper.372.40 +4.25 +1.15%

Iron Ore 62% 128.75 – -%
(09/02)
Nturl Gas..1.753 -0.108 -5.80%‼️
Ammonia China.2866.67‼️ -66.66 -2.27%
(Domestic Price)(07/02/02)

Coal price 126.00 -0.60 -0.47%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.10 -2.10 -1.67%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.00 -2.30 -1.82%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice..124.40 -2.15 -1.70%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .94.50 -1.50 -1.56%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.10 -2.45 -2.59%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..89.15 -2.15 -2.35%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..87.60 -2.20 -2.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3881 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……430.50 +1.50 +0.35%
SoybeanOil 47.40 -0.35 -0.73%
Wheat….597.50 +0.75 +0.13%

Wood pulp..5124.00 unch +0%
(Closed 12/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI touch record high, Nasdaq SP500 koreksi dulu dikit, europe ijo, asia tutup libur imlek, USbond rate pendek turun, yang panjang naik, ok sih ini wajar, harusnya masih ijo hari ini

USD index up, gold nickel down, tin silver copper up, oil up, gas drop, coal down, CPO closed. Belum terlalu gimana gimana ini, TINS mungkin yang perlu dicermati apa udah mau reversal

IHSG – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD flat FNB naik terus, semoga bukan technical trap tapi emang wave B nya tinggi. Spec buy di yang firm bisa, tapi hati2 jebakan betmen, pantau ketat

Ga ada yang firm jalan dan leading, so extra caution, energy industrials property boleh dilirik

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN INCO CTRA ISAT MAPA MTMH TINS. Big accum BBTN INCO ISAT

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO INCO SIDO SRTG BSDE MTMH NISP INCI ECII. Big accum INCO, SRTG spike

Stochastic continuation Signal and Big Accum: INCO JSMR

Daily Anaysis 20240212

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 12th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes above 5,000 for first time ever, notches fifth straight winning week

Stocks rose on Friday after December’s revised inflation reading came in lower than first reported, and the S&P 500 closed above the key 5,000 level as strong earnings and economic news chugged on.

Dow……38672 -54.6        -0.14%
Nasdaq15991 +196.6    +1.25%
S&P 500.5027 +28.7      +0.57%

FTSE…..7573    -22.9     -0.30%
Dax……16927   -37.3     -0.22%
CAC……7648    -18.1     -0.24%

Nikkei..36897   +34.1    +0.09%
HSI……15747    -131.5   -0.83%
Shanghai.2866 +36.2    +1.28%

IDX…..7235.15 -12.26     -0.17%
LQ45….983.14 +2.51      +0.26%
IDX30…499.60 +1.76      +0.35%

IDXEnergy..2076.97   closed +0%
IDX BscMat.1244.03  closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1082.91   closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.703.24   closed  +0%
IDX Hlthcare1336.55. closed  +0%
IDXCYCLIC…851.33    closed  +0%
IDX Techno3993.83.   closed. +0%
IDX Transp 1566.07    closed  +0%
IDX Infrast  1517.29.   closed  +0%
IDX Finance.1503.48  closed  +0%
IDX Banking.1346.46  closed  +0%
IDX Property.. 696       closed. +0%

Indo10Yr.6.6689 closed +0%
ICBI…376.6402  closed  +0%
US2Yr.4.486  +0.002 +0.04%
US5Yr 4.142  +0.009 +0.22%
US10Yr4.177 -0.010  -0.23%
US30Yr.4.374-0.007  -0.16%
VIX…12.93  +0.14  +1.09%

USDIndx 104.1110 ‼️-0.05 -0.05%
Como Indx..274.34 +0.77   +0.28%
BCOMIN……132.17 -0.79     -0.60%

IndoCDS..74.22  -0.01    -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/02)

IDR…..15635.00‼️ closed +0%
Jisdor.15685.00‼️ closed +0%

Euro….1.0784  +0.00   +0.06%

TLKM…25.50  +0.17  +0.67%
(3999)
EIDO……22.41 +0.15  +0.67%
EEM……39.58  +0.17  +0.43%

Oil…….76.84  +0.62   +0.81%
Gold..2038.70 -9.20    -0.45%
Timah..26367.00  +472.00  +1.82%
(Closed 09/03)
Nickel..15921.00  -86.00   -0.54%
(Closed 09/02)
Silver……22.59   -0.04      -0.19%
Copper.368.15   -2.05      -0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 128.75  -0.32  -0.25%
(0)/02)
Nturl Gas..1.861‼️  -0.056  -2.92%
Ammonia China.2983.33 -166.67-5.29%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/02/02)

Coal price 126.60  unch   +0%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.60 +0.50  +0.40%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.30 +0.70  +0.56%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice..126.55 +0.75 +0.60%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.00   -1.65   -1.69%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.55   -1.85   -1.92%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.30   -1.65   -1.78%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..89.80   -1.40   -1.54%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3881  +7    +0.18%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……429.00      -4.25    -0.98%
SoybeanOil 47.75  -0.57    -1.18%
Wheat….596.75    +8.25    +1.40%

Wood pulp..5124.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing US DJI merah nasdaq ijo tebel SP500 naik lagi, europe merah, asia varied. Walau DJI merah tapi secara umum US bagus, Bond rate yang pendek naik yang panjang turun dan ga terlalu jauh, masih acceptable lah, harusnya ga bawa saham ke bawah.

USD index turun tapi kebanyakan metal juga turun, kecuali timah. Oil up, gas down, coal newcastle ijo, rotterdam merah, harusnya masih on the way up lah, CPO ijo lagi, masih nunggu kapan jalan

IHSG – stoch still up, macd almost buy, MFI up, w% sw, BD sw, FNB dan naik terus, semoga lanjut wave B sampe deket ATH lagi, bikin flat style ABC correction, tapi ada kemungkinan jebakan betmen juga, dibanting tepat setelah MACD buy signal, biar banyak korban. Yang pegang barang pantau ketat

dari RSI quadrant pada jelek, sisa Consumer Non Cyclicals, tapi terlihat juga Property, Industrials sama Energy mulai bangun

Stochastic Buy Signal: EXCL BFIN PTRO WIFI SMDR LTLS. Big accum BFIN SMDR, dan SMDR masuk screening top value investing, ada spike juga

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT BTPS DRMA DSNG TKIM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: PGAS

Daily Analysis 20240115

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 15th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points lower Friday, ekes out a weekly gain

The Dow Jones industrial Average
slipped Friday as traders parsed through the first batch of fourth-quarter earnings and digested the second in a pair of closely watched inflation reports this week.

Dow……37593 -118.04 -0.31%
Nasdaq14973 +2.6 +0.02%
S&P 500.4784 +3.6 +0.08%

FTSE…..7625 +48.3 +0.64%
Dax……16705 +157.5 +0.95%
CAC……7465 +77.5 +1.05%

Nikkei..35577 +527.3 +1.50%
HSI…….16245 -57.5 -0.35%
Shanghai.2882 -4.7 -0.16%

IDX…..7241.14 +21.17 +0.29%
LQ45….977.82 +7.88 +0.81%
IDX30…504.26 +5.06 +1.01%

IDXEnergy..2177.36 +16.81 +0.78%
IDX BscMat.1249.16 +9.25 +0.75%
IDX Indstrl…1115.97 +9.35 +0.84%
IDXNONCYC.704.84 -0.56 -0.08%
IDX Hlthcare1346.70 -2.44 -0.18%
IDXCYCLIC…858.20 -2.68 -0.31%
IDX Techno4336.56 -7.28 -0.17%
IDX Transp 1661.66 -17.61 -1.05%
IDX Infrast 1535.15 -14.66 -0.95%
IDX Finance.1524.48+1.99 +0.13%
IDX Banking.1334.79+12.45 +0.94%
IDX Property.. 717 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6708 -0.0251 -0.37%
ICBI…374.6673 +0.5618 +0.15%
US2Yr.4.149 -0.103 -2.42%
US5Yr 3.832 -0.049 -1.26%
US10Yr3.939 -0.029 -0.73%
US30Yr.4.175-0.038 -0.85%
VIX….12.70 +0.26 +2.09%

USDIndx 102.4040 +0.092 +0.09%
Como Indx..264.38 +0.28 +0.11%
BCOMIN……136.00 -0.75 -0.55%

IndoCDS..74.23‼️ -0.03 -0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/01)

IDR…..15550.00 +1.50 +0.01%
Jisdor.15559.00 +1.00 +0.01%

Euro….1.0951 -0.0023 -0.21%

TLKM…25.93 +0.26 +1.01%
(4034)
EIDO….22.64 +0.25 +1.12%
EEM….39.20 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil……..72.68 +0.67 +0.92%
Gold..2051.60 +32.40 +1.60%
Timah..24631.00 +77.00 +0.31%
(Closed 12/01)
Nickel..16310.00 -142 -0.86%
(Closed 12/01)
Silver……23.33 +0.62 +2.75%
Copper.374.05 -3.60 -0.95%

Iron Ore 62% 137.22 -1.63 -1.17%
(12/01)
Nturl Gas..3.331 +0.301 +9.93%‼️
Ammonia China.3250.00‼️ -56.67 -1.71%
(Domestic Price)(12/02)

Coal price.130.85 +0.10 +0.08%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.25 +1.00 +0.79%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.75 +0.50 +0.40%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.20 +0.50 +0.40%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.80 +2.30 +2.16%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.25 +2.95 +2.88%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.102.95 +2.75 +2.74%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.00 +2.95 +3.01%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3854 +58 +1.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.00 -10.75 -2.35%
SoybeanOil 48.25 -0.47 -0.96%
Wheat…596.00 -7.75 -1.28%

Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US DJI merah nasdaq S&P500 ijo tipis, europe ijo, asia varied. US bond rates turun, USD index naik dikit, masih bisa kemana mana hari ini, kalo ikut closing US merah, tapi bond turun biasanya saham naik

Gold akhirnya ijo rada tebel, tin silver ijo, nickel copper iron ore merah, oil up gas jump, coal naik dikit, CPO lanjut ijo lagi. Kayanya udah harusnya AALI LSIP lari ini. ANTM MDKA chartnya masih belum ok, semoga mulai turnaround dengan harga emas yang naik

IHSG – Stoch down macd down,833 buy, MFI sw,w% sw, bd dist, FNB, minor sih up kayanya, tapi belum beres ABC correction, mungkin sekarang di wave B, belum firm… Keliatannya akan test support 7046, area belanja pas mantul dari situ

Arahnya menarik Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Technology.

ADRO terlihat mau nyusul,kita check later, coal yang lain terlihat jenuh

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO KLBF MEDC AVIA BTPS HEAL JPFA PNLF, yang big accum ADRO AVIA BTPS, spike AVIA

MACD Buy Signal: ASII BBRI GOTO DSNG OMED UNIC, ASII spike, BBRI big accum

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: BBCA BMRI INCO MEDC UNTR AVIA ELSA, spike INCO

Supertrend Buy Signal: ESSA BTPS