Posts Tagged ‘inflation’

Daily Analysis 2020603

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

June 03rd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 570 points higher to post best day in 2024, stocks wrap a winning May

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
jumped Friday for its best session of the year, as investors wrapped up a strong month after the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure came in largely around expectations

Dow……38687 +574.8 +1.51%
Nasdaq16735 -2.1 -0.01%
S&P 500.5278 +42.03 +0.80%

FTSE…..8275 +44.3 +0.54%
Dax……18498 +1.2 +0.01%
CAC……7993 +14.4 +0.18%

Nikkei..38488 +433.8 +1.14%
HSI…..18080 -150.6 -0.83%
Shanghai.3087 -4.9 -0.16%

IDX….6970.74 -63.41 -0.90%
LQ45..871.42 -2.70 -0.31%
IDX30.432.25 -0.42 -0.10%

IDXEnergy..2306.60 -10.62 -0.46%
IDX BscMat1407.36 -15.30 -1.08%
IDX Indstrl..977.72 -21.18 -2.12%
IDXNONCYC.690.55 -8.65 -1.24%
IDX Hlthcare1372.74 -35.03 -2.49%
IDXCYCLIC…717.77 -1.37 -0.19%
IDXTechno3391.52 -32.76 -0.96%
IDX Transp 1268.34 -7.07 -0.55%
IDX Infrast 1503.49 -49.22 -3.17%
IDX Finance1353.12 +5.81 +0.43%
IDX Banking1130.56 +5.59 +0.50%
IDX Property…..614 -3.50 -0.57%

Indo10Yr.6.9215 -0.0201 -0.29%
ICBI…380.3296 +0.5942 +0.16%
US2Yr.4.877 -0.050 -1.01%
US5Yr 4.509 -0.060 -1.31%
US10Yr4.503 -0.042 -0.92%
US30Yr.4.650 -0.033 -0.70%
VIX..12.92 -1.55 -10.71%👍

USDIndx 104.6710❗️ -0.045 -0.04%
Como Indx….290.16 -2.84 -0.97%
BCOMIN…..160.58 -2.83 -1.73%

IndoCDS..93.37‼️ -0.01 -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/05)

IDR…..16252.50‼️ -12.50 -0.08%
Jisdor.16251.00‼️ -2.00 -0.01%

Euro….1.0848 +0.0016 +0.15%

TLKM…17.97 +0.57 +3.28%‼️
( 2920)
EIDO….19.76 -0.12 -0.58%
EEM…..41.81 -0.39 -0.91%

Oil…….76.99 -0.79 -1.02%
Gold..2345.80 -20.40 -0.86%
Timah..33042.00 -69.00 -0.21%
(Closed 31/05)
Nickel..19642.00 -472.50 -2.35%
(Closed 31/05)
Silver…..30.44 -0.93 -2.96%
Copper.460.20 -6.10 -1.31%

Iron Ore 62% 117.74 -0.10 -0.09%
(31/05)
Nturl Gas..2.581 +0.018 +0.70%
Ammonia China.3100.00 +66.67 +2.19%
(Domestic Price)(30/05)

Coal price.140.75 +0.50 +0.36%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.90 +0.70 +0.49%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.50 +0.60 +0.41%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 147.60. +1.65. +1.13%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.118.40 +1.15 +0.98%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.50 +1.55 +1.29%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.20 +1.35 +1.11%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 124.50 +1.85. +1.51%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..4079 +85 +2.13%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….446.25 -2.50 -0.56%
SoybeanOil 45.52 -0.20 -0.44%
Wheat…..678.50 -2.50 -0.37%

Wood pulp..5862 unch +0%
(Closed 02/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing Jum’at DJI up, Nasdaq sw, Europe up, asia mostly down, US bond rate down agak dalem, IHSG senin harusnya mantul

USD index down, tapi metal2 juga down, oil gas down, coal up, CPO up, kayanya jadi jalan AALI LSIP dan coal coal an, kita liat chart coal

Coal belum firm jalan lagi, ADRO dan ITMG udah gerak. Kita pantau PTBA yang belum jalan, begitu coal firm masuknya di PTBA

IHSG – karena tembus support low sebelumnya, jadi membuka kemungkinan ABC orrection nya redraw, C nya tutup gap, tapi ini parah banget sih kalo kejadian. indicator type oscillators masih jelek, tapi foreign sudah mulai masuk, kita wait and see dulu

Mulai banyak yang mau jalan, mesti liat masing masing sih kalo gini, ga ada sektor yang dominan

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES HRUM TLKM IMAS INDY SMSM SSMS ECII, Big Accum ACES HRUM INDY SSMS

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM INDY SMSM UNIC, Big accum Indy

Daily Analysis 20240531

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

May 31st, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks close lower, Dow falls more than 300 points as Salesforce plunges 20%

Stocks closed lower Thursday as Salesforce
logged its worst day in around two decades. Traders also looked ahead to the release of key U.S. inflation data.

Dow……38111 -330.1 -0.86%
Nasdaq16737 -183.5 -1.08%
S&P 500.5235 -31.5 -0.60%

FTSE…..8231 +47.98 +0.59%
Dax……18497 +23.5 +0.13%
CAC……7979 +43.5 +0.55%

Nikkei..38054 -502.7 -1.30%
HSI…..18230 -246.8 -1.34%
Shanghai.3091 -19.3 -0.62%

IDX….7034.14 -106.09 -1.49%
LQ45..874.12 -12.06 -1.36%
IDX30..432.67 -3.97 -0.91%

IDXEnergy..2317.22 -0.60 -0.03%
IDX BscMat1422.67 -30.46 -2.10%
IDX Indstrl…998.90 -7.97 -0.79%
IDXNONCYC.699.20 -2.25 -0.32%
IDX Hlthcare1407.76 +3.52 +0.25%
IDXCYCLIC…719.14 -3.83 -0.53%
IDXTechno3424.28 -52.83 -1.52%
IDX Transp 1275.41 -16.27 -1.26%
IDX Infrast 1552.71 -29.50 -1.86%
IDX Finance1347.30 -9.97 -0.79%
IDX Banking1124.97 -7.59 -0.67%
IDX Property…..617 -0.10 -0.02%

Indo10Yr.6.9416 +0.0238 +0.34%
ICBI…379.7354 -0.3378 -0.09%
US2Yr.4.927 -0.048 -0.96%
US5Yr 4.569 -0.050 -1.08%
US10Yr4.545 -0.074 -1.60%
US30Yr.4.683 +0.053 +1.12%
VIX..14.47 +0.19 +1.33%

USDIndx 104.7160❗️ -0.406 -0.39%
Como Indx….293.00 -4.63 -1.56%
BCOMIN………163.40 -3.68 -2.20%

IndoCDS..71.23 -0.02 -0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/05)

IDR…..16265.00‼️ +105.00 +0.65%
Jisdor.16253.00‼️ +93.00 +0.58%

Euro….1.0832 +0.0032 +0.29%

TLKM…17.40 -0.08 -0.46%
( 2828)
EIDO….19.86 -0.08 -0.40%
EEM…..42.20 -0.13 -0.30%

Oil…….77.78 -1.53 -1.93%
Gold..2366.20 +4.30 +0.18%
Timah..33111.00 -998.00 -2.93%
(Closed 30/05)
Nickel..20114.50 -404.50 -1.97%
(Closed 30/05)
Silver…..31.37 -0.83 -2.58%
Copper.466.30 -1.10 -2.32%

Iron Ore 62% 117.74 +0.06 +0.05%
(29/05)
Nturl Gas..2.563 -0.095 -3.57%‼️
Ammonia China.3100.00 +66.67 +2.19%
(Domestic Price)(30/05)

Coal price 142.40 unch +0%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.25 +0.35 +0.25%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.20 +1.10 +0.77%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.45 +2.10 +1.46%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..105.55 +0.30 +0.29%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.25 +2.75 +2.35%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.95 +1.90 +1.61%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.85 +2.80 +2.35%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3994 -39 -0.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….448.75 -6.50 -1.43%
SoybeanOil 45.72 -0.16 -0.35%
Wheat…..681.00 -11.75 -1.70%

Wood pulp..5862 -10 -0.17%
(Closed 30/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyr«ight: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, europe ijo, asua merah dalem, IHSG sempet minus 2%, tadi shubuh US bond yield closed dibawah, harapan IHSG ijo hari ini

USD index merah, tapi metal2 pada merah juga kecuali gold sama iron ore, semoga cukup buat bawa ANTM mantul. Oil down, Gas down, coal up, CPO down, masih belum kemana mana

IHSG – memang ada gap di deket 6900 sih, tapi masa iya mau ditutup sekarang? Berdarah darah lah kalo begitu. Tapi mending sekalian gitu sih, dip bikin long lower shadow terus mantul, daripada kelamaan ga jelas… WNS, kita full load belanja pas mantul

Index dibanting tapi banyak saham yang RSI nya gerak, semoga ngangkat index per hari ini

Stochastic Buy Signal: SSIA, big accum juga

MACD Buy Signal: RAJA SSMS, big accum juga RAJA vol breakout

Daily Analysis 20240515

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

May 15th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq jumps to record close, Dow adds more than 100 points ahead of consumer inflation report

Stocks rose Tuesday following the release of fresh U.S. economic data, while investors waited for another key inflation report.

Dow……39558 +126.6 +0.32%
Nasdaq16511 +122.9 +0.75%
S&P 500.5247 +25.3 +0.48%

FTSE…..8428 +13.1 +0.16%
Dax……18716 -25.8 -0.14%
CAC……8226 +16.5 +0.20%

Nikkei..38356 +176.6 +0.46%
HSI…..19074 -41.4 -0.22%
Shanghai.3146 -2.3 -0.07%

IDX….7089.87 -9.39 -0.13%
LQ45..892.58 -2.96 -0.33%
IDX30..451.51 -2.16 -0.0/48%

IDXEnergy..2216.07 -21.82 -0.97%
IDX BscMat1339.06 -5.72 -0.43%
IDX Indstrl..1023.48 -14.68 -1.41%
IDXNONCYC.694.51 +5.05 +0.73%
IDX Hlthcare1416.08+7.14 +0.51%
IDXCYCLIC…750.16 -1.93 -0.26%
IDXTechno3392.55 -39.3 -1.14%
IDX Transp 1290.16 -6.46 -0.50%
IDX Infrast 1609.65 -2.71 -0.17%
IDX Finance1376.98 -1.04 -0.08%
IDX Banking1195.65 +11.57+0.98%
IDX Property…..621 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.9587 +0.0183 +0.26%
ICBI…377.5869 -0.2982 -0.08%
US2Yr.4.821 -0.051 -1.05%
US5Yr 4.460 -0.049 -1.09%
US10Yr4.444 -0.046 -1.02%
US30Yr.4.592-0.040 -0.2/86%
VIX..13.42 -0.18 -1.32

USDIndx 105.0130 -0.205 -0.19%
Como Indx..287.38 -0.31 -0.11%
BCOMIN….162.17 +1.60 +0.99%

IndoCDS..72.24 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/05)

IDR…..16100.00 +19.50 +0.12%
Jisdor.16131.00 +46 +0.29%

Euro….1.0817 +0.0027 +0.25%

TLKM…19.30 +0.14 +0.73%
( 3089)
EIDO….20.48. +0.10 +0.49%
EEM…..43.05 +0.23 +0.54%

Oil…….78.47 -0.70 -0.88%
Gold..2359.90 +15.90 +0.68%
Timah..32918.00 +825.00 +2.57%
(Closed 13/05)
Nickel..19051.50 -119.50 -0.62%
(Closed 14/05)
Silver…….28.70 +0.21 +0.74%
Copper…489.50 +11.90 +2.49%

Iron Ore 62% 116.93 – -%
(10/05)
Nturl Gas..2.345 -0.028 -1.18%
Ammonia China.3190.00 +50.00 +1.59%
(Domestic Price)(13/05)

Coal price 142.65 +0.55 +0.39%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.65 -1.45 -1.03%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.65 -1.40 -0.99%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.10 -0.90 -0.63%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..105.20 -0.30 -0.28%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.106.70 -0.90 -0.84%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.75 -0.30 -0.28%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.00 -0.45 -0.41%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3810 -53 -1.37%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….467.50 -5.00 -1.06%
SoybeanOil 43.40 -1.75 -3.88%‼️
Wheat..672.50 -14.50 -2.11%

Wood pulp..5850 +20 +0.34%
(Closed 14/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyr«ight: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe kebanyakan ijo, asia masih merah, US bond yield turun jauh, mantul harusnya IHSG hari ini. Semoga ASII recover minimal 2%, jadi impas sama deviden drop kemaren, hehehe

USD index turun, metal2 naik kecuali nickel, bagus buat ANTM. Oil gas turun, coal spot ijo tapi future merah semua, beware ADRO dkk. CPO price turun lagi, masih nunggu MACD buy baru kita firm tunggu LSIP buy signal

IHSG – masih FNS, masih keteken, BD lokal juga ga nahan… Stoch down, macd jadi sell lagi, MFI masih up, karena emang ini turun vol transaksi nya kecil, semoga ga lama bisa balik trend

Masih sama, masih terlihat seolah2 banyak yang jalan, padahal pada drop. Yang pasti aman dan defensive sih consumer non-cyclicals. Energy menarik sih, tapi chart Oil dan Coal nya kurang asik

WTI Oil Price – per sekarang lagi turun dan sideways, sangat mungkin akan mantul lagi apalagi perang perang an belum beres…

Newcastle Coal Future – ga asik banget, udah tinggal tunggu drop nya kalo dari chart ini sih

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI GGRM SMRA, big accum juga SMRA. INDF big accum tapi sell signal malah, masih hold sih

MACD Buy Signal: BFIN MAPA LTLS SGRO, ga ada yang menarik. BMTR sell signal tapi big accum, kita tunggu reversalnya lagi

SMRA – stoch baru sell, mansek state rev buy karena kemaren price jump, BD rev acc, tapi secara umum masih belum firm. MACD masih up dan MFI juga sih, w% masih uptrend, tunggu 833 firm rev buy sih idealnya

Spike firm, keren ini harusnya mau hajatan

Wah asli ini KI accum terus, kalo bisa dapet avg dibawah harga KI @508 bisa ini merem masuk aja

Kalo ga dapet, amannya tunggu 833 buy signal

Daily Analysis 20240429

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 29th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts best week since November, Nasdaq surges 2% Friday as Alphabet soars

Stocks jumped Friday, and the S&P 500
and Nasdaq Composite notched their best week since November as Big Tech names rallied on strong earnings and traders pored through fresh U.S. inflation data

Dow……38240 +153.9 +0.40%
Nasdaq15928 +316.1 +2.03%
S&P 500.5100 +51.5 +1.0%

FTSE…..8140 +60.97 +0.75%
Dax……18161 +243.7 +1.36%
CAC……8088 +71.6 +0.89%

Nikkei..37935 +307.3 +0.81%
HSI…..17651 +366.7 +2.12%
Shanghai.3088 +35.7 +1.17%

IDX…..7036.08 -119.22 -1.67%
LQ45..898.78 -24.72 -2.68%
IDX30..455.88 -12.58 -2.69%

IDXEnergy..2137.65 -29.50 -1.36%
IDX BscMat1299.02 -26.63 -2.01%
IDX Indstrl..1043.51 -11.73 -1.11%
IDXNONCYC.684.83 -12.14 -1.74%
$IDX Hlthcare1319.14-30.34 -2.25%*
IDXCYCLIC…756.20 -21.79 -2.80%
IDXTechno3281.74 -40.93 -1.23%
IDX Transp 1312.48 -8.89 -0.67%
IDX Infrast 1596.06 -7.13 -0.44%
IDX Finance.1406.19 -23.45 -1.57%
IDX Banking.1233.19 -41.04 -3.39%‼️
IDX Property.. 615 -.4.10 -0.66%

Indo10Yr.7.0845‼️ +0.0207 +0.29%
ICBI…373.8771‼️ -0.4467 -0.12%
US2Yr.4.993‼️ -0.007 -0.14%
US5Yr 4.687 -0.032 -0.68%
US10Yr4.663 -0.045 -0.96%
US30Yr.4.777 -0.036 -0.75%
VIX…….15.03 -0.34 -2.21%

USDIndx 105.9380❗️+0.361 +0.34%
Como Indx..296.84 -0.82 -0.29%
BCOMIN..157.30 +0.41 +0.26%

IndoCDS..79.19 -0.49 -0.61%
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/04)

IDR…..16210.00‼️+22.50 +0.14%
Jisdor.16208.00‼️+47.00 +0.29%

Euro….1.0693 -0.0036 -0.34%

TLKM…18.85 +0.14 +0.72%
( 3057)
EIDO……20.31 -0.55 -2.64%
EEM……41.17 +0.46 +1.12%

Oil…….83.85 +0.28 +0.34%
Gold..2347.20 +4.70 +0.20%
Timah..32411.00 -462.00 -1.40%
(Closed 26/04)
Nickel..19256.50 +65.00 +0.34%
(Closed 25/04)
Silver…….27.54 -0.10 -0.35%
Copper…457.43 +3.55 +0.78%

Iron Ore 62% 110.16 +0.48 +0.44%
(26/04)
Nturl Gas..2.285 +0.303 +15.29%‼️
Ammonia China.3000.00 +83.33 +2.85%
(Domestic Price)(26/04)

Coal price 135.50 -1.25 -0.92%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.50 -1.50 -1.08%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.65 -2.35 -1.65%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.15 -2.90 -2.00%

Coal price..106.25 -5.60 -5.01%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.10 -5.45 -4.84%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.55 -5.05 -4.48%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.80 -4.85 -4.31%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3896 +22.00 +0.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….450.00 -2.00 -0.44%
SoybeanOil 45.54 +0.11 +0.24%
Wheat…..622.25 +1.75 +0.28%

Wood pulp..5800 +40 +0.69%
(Closed 28/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua ijo kecuali IDX, ga beres ini…

US Bond Yield down, harusnya sih ijo hari ini, apalagi kemaren merah dalem sendirian. USD index up, tapi kebanyakan metal juga up, kecuali Tin dan SIlver. Oil up, gas jump, coal down, CPO up, Coal price udah relatif tinggi walau last day nya down. Bisa berharap mantul ANTM ELSA mungkin AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – harusnya udah beres koreksinya, walau masih mungkin ngejar fibo 61. Tapi dari fibo ext wave B udah done targetnya. Indicators masih jelek, BD FF masih dist, tapi semoga mulai reversal hari ini

Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: KLBF MTEL TPIA CEKA. Big accum MTEL, cocok sama sektor. TPIA buy signal kita tunggu BRPT jalan, entry lagi

MACD Buy Signal: ICBP UNVR SMRA, ICBP big accum