Posts Tagged ‘inflation’

Daily Analysis 20240515

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

May 15th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq jumps to record close, Dow adds more than 100 points ahead of consumer inflation report

Stocks rose Tuesday following the release of fresh U.S. economic data, while investors waited for another key inflation report.

Dow……39558 +126.6 +0.32%
Nasdaq16511 +122.9 +0.75%
S&P 500.5247 +25.3 +0.48%

FTSE…..8428 +13.1 +0.16%
Dax……18716 -25.8 -0.14%
CAC……8226 +16.5 +0.20%

Nikkei..38356 +176.6 +0.46%
HSI…..19074 -41.4 -0.22%
Shanghai.3146 -2.3 -0.07%

IDX….7089.87 -9.39 -0.13%
LQ45..892.58 -2.96 -0.33%
IDX30..451.51 -2.16 -0.0/48%

IDXEnergy..2216.07 -21.82 -0.97%
IDX BscMat1339.06 -5.72 -0.43%
IDX Indstrl..1023.48 -14.68 -1.41%
IDXNONCYC.694.51 +5.05 +0.73%
IDX Hlthcare1416.08+7.14 +0.51%
IDXCYCLIC…750.16 -1.93 -0.26%
IDXTechno3392.55 -39.3 -1.14%
IDX Transp 1290.16 -6.46 -0.50%
IDX Infrast 1609.65 -2.71 -0.17%
IDX Finance1376.98 -1.04 -0.08%
IDX Banking1195.65 +11.57+0.98%
IDX Property…..621 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.9587 +0.0183 +0.26%
ICBI…377.5869 -0.2982 -0.08%
US2Yr.4.821 -0.051 -1.05%
US5Yr 4.460 -0.049 -1.09%
US10Yr4.444 -0.046 -1.02%
US30Yr.4.592-0.040 -0.2/86%
VIX..13.42 -0.18 -1.32

USDIndx 105.0130 -0.205 -0.19%
Como Indx..287.38 -0.31 -0.11%
BCOMIN….162.17 +1.60 +0.99%

IndoCDS..72.24 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/05)

IDR…..16100.00 +19.50 +0.12%
Jisdor.16131.00 +46 +0.29%

Euro….1.0817 +0.0027 +0.25%

TLKM…19.30 +0.14 +0.73%
( 3089)
EIDO….20.48. +0.10 +0.49%
EEM…..43.05 +0.23 +0.54%

Oil…….78.47 -0.70 -0.88%
Gold..2359.90 +15.90 +0.68%
Timah..32918.00 +825.00 +2.57%
(Closed 13/05)
Nickel..19051.50 -119.50 -0.62%
(Closed 14/05)
Silver…….28.70 +0.21 +0.74%
Copper…489.50 +11.90 +2.49%

Iron Ore 62% 116.93 – -%
(10/05)
Nturl Gas..2.345 -0.028 -1.18%
Ammonia China.3190.00 +50.00 +1.59%
(Domestic Price)(13/05)

Coal price 142.65 +0.55 +0.39%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.65 -1.45 -1.03%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.65 -1.40 -0.99%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.10 -0.90 -0.63%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..105.20 -0.30 -0.28%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.106.70 -0.90 -0.84%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.75 -0.30 -0.28%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.00 -0.45 -0.41%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3810 -53 -1.37%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….467.50 -5.00 -1.06%
SoybeanOil 43.40 -1.75 -3.88%‼️
Wheat..672.50 -14.50 -2.11%

Wood pulp..5850 +20 +0.34%
(Closed 14/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyr«ight: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe kebanyakan ijo, asia masih merah, US bond yield turun jauh, mantul harusnya IHSG hari ini. Semoga ASII recover minimal 2%, jadi impas sama deviden drop kemaren, hehehe

USD index turun, metal2 naik kecuali nickel, bagus buat ANTM. Oil gas turun, coal spot ijo tapi future merah semua, beware ADRO dkk. CPO price turun lagi, masih nunggu MACD buy baru kita firm tunggu LSIP buy signal

IHSG – masih FNS, masih keteken, BD lokal juga ga nahan… Stoch down, macd jadi sell lagi, MFI masih up, karena emang ini turun vol transaksi nya kecil, semoga ga lama bisa balik trend

Masih sama, masih terlihat seolah2 banyak yang jalan, padahal pada drop. Yang pasti aman dan defensive sih consumer non-cyclicals. Energy menarik sih, tapi chart Oil dan Coal nya kurang asik

WTI Oil Price – per sekarang lagi turun dan sideways, sangat mungkin akan mantul lagi apalagi perang perang an belum beres…

Newcastle Coal Future – ga asik banget, udah tinggal tunggu drop nya kalo dari chart ini sih

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI GGRM SMRA, big accum juga SMRA. INDF big accum tapi sell signal malah, masih hold sih

MACD Buy Signal: BFIN MAPA LTLS SGRO, ga ada yang menarik. BMTR sell signal tapi big accum, kita tunggu reversalnya lagi

SMRA – stoch baru sell, mansek state rev buy karena kemaren price jump, BD rev acc, tapi secara umum masih belum firm. MACD masih up dan MFI juga sih, w% masih uptrend, tunggu 833 firm rev buy sih idealnya

Spike firm, keren ini harusnya mau hajatan

Wah asli ini KI accum terus, kalo bisa dapet avg dibawah harga KI @508 bisa ini merem masuk aja

Kalo ga dapet, amannya tunggu 833 buy signal

Daily Analysis 20240429

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 29th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts best week since November, Nasdaq surges 2% Friday as Alphabet soars

Stocks jumped Friday, and the S&P 500
and Nasdaq Composite notched their best week since November as Big Tech names rallied on strong earnings and traders pored through fresh U.S. inflation data

Dow……38240 +153.9 +0.40%
Nasdaq15928 +316.1 +2.03%
S&P 500.5100 +51.5 +1.0%

FTSE…..8140 +60.97 +0.75%
Dax……18161 +243.7 +1.36%
CAC……8088 +71.6 +0.89%

Nikkei..37935 +307.3 +0.81%
HSI…..17651 +366.7 +2.12%
Shanghai.3088 +35.7 +1.17%

IDX…..7036.08 -119.22 -1.67%
LQ45..898.78 -24.72 -2.68%
IDX30..455.88 -12.58 -2.69%

IDXEnergy..2137.65 -29.50 -1.36%
IDX BscMat1299.02 -26.63 -2.01%
IDX Indstrl..1043.51 -11.73 -1.11%
IDXNONCYC.684.83 -12.14 -1.74%
$IDX Hlthcare1319.14-30.34 -2.25%*
IDXCYCLIC…756.20 -21.79 -2.80%
IDXTechno3281.74 -40.93 -1.23%
IDX Transp 1312.48 -8.89 -0.67%
IDX Infrast 1596.06 -7.13 -0.44%
IDX Finance.1406.19 -23.45 -1.57%
IDX Banking.1233.19 -41.04 -3.39%‼️
IDX Property.. 615 -.4.10 -0.66%

Indo10Yr.7.0845‼️ +0.0207 +0.29%
ICBI…373.8771‼️ -0.4467 -0.12%
US2Yr.4.993‼️ -0.007 -0.14%
US5Yr 4.687 -0.032 -0.68%
US10Yr4.663 -0.045 -0.96%
US30Yr.4.777 -0.036 -0.75%
VIX…….15.03 -0.34 -2.21%

USDIndx 105.9380❗️+0.361 +0.34%
Como Indx..296.84 -0.82 -0.29%
BCOMIN..157.30 +0.41 +0.26%

IndoCDS..79.19 -0.49 -0.61%
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/04)

IDR…..16210.00‼️+22.50 +0.14%
Jisdor.16208.00‼️+47.00 +0.29%

Euro….1.0693 -0.0036 -0.34%

TLKM…18.85 +0.14 +0.72%
( 3057)
EIDO……20.31 -0.55 -2.64%
EEM……41.17 +0.46 +1.12%

Oil…….83.85 +0.28 +0.34%
Gold..2347.20 +4.70 +0.20%
Timah..32411.00 -462.00 -1.40%
(Closed 26/04)
Nickel..19256.50 +65.00 +0.34%
(Closed 25/04)
Silver…….27.54 -0.10 -0.35%
Copper…457.43 +3.55 +0.78%

Iron Ore 62% 110.16 +0.48 +0.44%
(26/04)
Nturl Gas..2.285 +0.303 +15.29%‼️
Ammonia China.3000.00 +83.33 +2.85%
(Domestic Price)(26/04)

Coal price 135.50 -1.25 -0.92%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.50 -1.50 -1.08%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.65 -2.35 -1.65%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.15 -2.90 -2.00%

Coal price..106.25 -5.60 -5.01%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.10 -5.45 -4.84%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.55 -5.05 -4.48%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.80 -4.85 -4.31%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3896 +22.00 +0.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….450.00 -2.00 -0.44%
SoybeanOil 45.54 +0.11 +0.24%
Wheat…..622.25 +1.75 +0.28%

Wood pulp..5800 +40 +0.69%
(Closed 28/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua ijo kecuali IDX, ga beres ini…

US Bond Yield down, harusnya sih ijo hari ini, apalagi kemaren merah dalem sendirian. USD index up, tapi kebanyakan metal juga up, kecuali Tin dan SIlver. Oil up, gas jump, coal down, CPO up, Coal price udah relatif tinggi walau last day nya down. Bisa berharap mantul ANTM ELSA mungkin AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – harusnya udah beres koreksinya, walau masih mungkin ngejar fibo 61. Tapi dari fibo ext wave B udah done targetnya. Indicators masih jelek, BD FF masih dist, tapi semoga mulai reversal hari ini

Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: KLBF MTEL TPIA CEKA. Big accum MTEL, cocok sama sektor. TPIA buy signal kita tunggu BRPT jalan, entry lagi

MACD Buy Signal: ICBP UNVR SMRA, ICBP big accum

Daily Analysis 20240403

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 03rd, 2024

Good morning,

Wall Street is coming off a losing session for the major benchmarks after sticky inflation data from last week, as well as some strong economic data, had investors concerned the Federal Reserve will take longer to cut interest rates. Treasury yields spiked, with the rate on the 10-year note touching its highest level since November. Oil prices also rose to five-month highs

Dow……39170 -396.6 -1.60%
Nasdaq16240 -156.4 -0.95%
S&P 500.5206 -37.96 -0.72%

FTSE…..7935 -17.5 -0.22%
Dax……18283 -209.4 -1.13%
CAC……8130 -75.8 -0.92%

Nikkei..39839 +35.8 +0.09%
HSI……16932 +390.1 +2.36%
Shanghai.3075 -2.4 -0.08%

IDX…..7236.98 +31.92 +0.44%
LQ45….968.37 -0.71 -0.71%
IDX30…491.79 -0.59 -0.12%

IDXEnergy..2137.49 +33.43 +1.59%
IDX BscMat1313.87 +20.74 +1.60%
IDX Indstrl…1093.62 +10.39 +0.96%
IDXNONCYC.722.05 +4.61 +0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1338.51 +16.16 +1.22%
IDXCYCLIC…818.65 +5.88 +0.72%
IDXTechno3561.36 +17.24 +0.49%
IDX Transp 1466.70 +20.93 +1.46%
IDX Infrast 1565.30 -2.65 -0.18%
IDX Finance.1485.34 -2.65 -0.18%
IDX Banking.1335.45 -13.01 -0.96%
IDX Property.. 660 +2.50 +0.39%

Indo10Yr.6.7156 +0.0041 +0.06%
ICBI…379.3888 -0.0289 -0.01%
US2Yr.4.693 -0.019 -0.40%
US5Yr 4.343 +0.016 +0.37%
US10Yr4.357 +0.045 +1.04%
US30Yr.4.497+0.045 +1.01%
VIX………14.61 +0.96 +7.03%‼️

USDIndx 104.8160 -0.203 -0.19%
Como Indx..294.23 +1.90 +0.65%
BCOMIN…..141.77 +1.50 +1.07%

IndoCDS..73.25 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/04)

IDR…..15897.00‼️+2.50 +0.02%
Jisdor.15934.00‼️+25.00 +0.16%

Euro….1.0767 +0.0028 +0.26%

TLKM…21.68 -0.21 -0.96%
(3454)
EIDO……22.00 +0.05 +0.23%
EEM……41.28 +0.11 +0.27%

Oil…….85.50 +1.53 +1.82%‼️
Gold..2302.80 +31.80 +1.40%
Timah..27451.00 – -%
(Closed 29/03)
Nickel..17031.50 +349 +2.09%❗️
(Closed 02/04)
Silver….26.30 +1.08 +4.28%
Copper.407.95 +5.45 +1.34%

Iron Ore 62% 102.33 -7.20 -6.57%‼️
(28/03)
Nturl Gas..1.853 +0.013 +0.71%
Ammonia China.3073.33 -250 -7.52%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/04/24)

Coal price.132.25 +0.25 +0.19%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.00 +1.00 +0.75%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 +1.05 +0.78%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.45 +1.40 +1.03%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..122.15 +2.60 +2.17%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.25 +2.50 +2.12%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.70 +2.05 +1.74%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.60 +2.95 +2.53%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4308 +42.00 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……426.50 -9.00 -2.07%
SoybeanOil 48.60 +0.36 +0.75%
Wheat…545.25 -11.75 -2.11%

Wood pulp..5700 +10. +0.18 %
(Closed 02/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, sepertinya hari ini akan merah liat US bond yield rata2 naik semua dan US market nya merah

USD index down, jelas lanjut gold dan precious metals kecuali iron ore, oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, harusnya sih, akan ada yang dikorbanin doang kaya TLKM kemaren, tapi saham saham terkait komoditas yang naik tetep jalan, ANTM ADRO AALI LSIP

IHSG – technically masih jelek, stoch macd MFI down, w% sw, BD accum FF exit. Harusnya sekarang bikin wave B dulu, baru wave C flat berhenti di low kemaren. Semoga cuma segitu aja koreksinya, kalo ga bisa berdarah darah market

Consumer Non Cyclicals, Energy. Yang terlihat mau jalan lagi Basic Materials,Property, Financials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AKRA BRIS ESSA GOTO DSNG TBIG WIFI AALI. Big accum AKRA BRIS ESSA GOTO WIFI AALI

MACD buy signal: INDF SMAR, INDF big accum

Daily Analysis 20240313

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

March 13th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow jumps more than 200 points, S&P 500 pops 1% for new closing high as Nvidia resurges

Stocks jumped Tuesday after fresh U.S. inflation data was about in line with expectations, clearing the way for investors to resume buying high-flying tech names such as Nvidia and Meta Platforms.

Dow……39005 +235.8 +0.61%
Nasdaq16266 +246.4 +1.54%
S&P 500.5175 +57.3 +1.12%

FTSE…..7748 +78.6 +1.02%
Dax……17965 +218.8 +1.23%
CAC……8087 +67.8 +0.84%

Nikkei..38798 -22.98. O -0.23%
HSI……17093 +505.9 +3.05%
Shanghai.3055 -12.5 -0.41%

IDX…..7394.31 closed +0%
LQ45..1000.35 closed +0%
IDX30…508.41 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2138.32 closed +0%
IDX BscMat.1271.69 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1105.02 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.707.85 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1309.02closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…828.54 closed +0%
IDX Techno3643.01 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1581.60 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1587.87 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1534.80closed +0%
IDX Banking.1407.51closed +0%
IDX Property.. 676 cloeed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.6859 closed+0.08%
ICBI…378.3791 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.503 +0.015 +0.32%
US5Yr 4.148 +0.007 +0.17%
US10Yr4.153 -0.003 -0.07%
US30Yr.4.312+0.000 +0.01%
VIX………13.84 -1.38 -9.07%👍

USDIndx 102.9570 +0.090 +0.09%
Como Indx..278.32 +0.33 +0.12%
BCOMIN…..141.79 +0.37 +0.26%

IndoCDS..70.24 -0.01 -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/03)

IDR…..15590.00 closed +0%
Jisdor.15603.00 closed +0%

Euro….1.0929 +0.00 +0.02%

TLKM…24.97 -0.09 -0.34(%
(3885-.)
EIDO……22.91 -0.03 -0.11%
EEM……41.36 +0.46 +1.11%

Oil…….77.96 +0.40 +0.52%
Gold..2162.00‼️ -4.10 -0.19%
Timah..27634.00❗️👍 +4.00 +0.01%
(Closed 11/03)
Nickel..18534.50❗️👍 +157.50 +0.86%
(Closed 12/03)
Silver……24.32 -0.07 -0.30%
Copper.393.75 +0.55 +0.14%

Iron Ore 62% 113.00 -4.05 -3.46%‼️
(11/03)&’
Nturl Gas..1.707 -0.001 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3260.00‼️ +16.67 +0.75%
(Domestic Price)(12/03/24)

Coal price.130.65 -2.35 -1.77%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.40 -2.95 -2.21%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.131.25 -3.10 -2.31%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.131.90 -2.95 -2.19%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..109.40 +0.75 +0.69%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.05 +0.60 +0.57%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..104.50 -0.25 -0.24%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.50 +0.10 +0.10%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..4122+2.00 +0.05%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….441.75 +0.00 +0.00%
SoybeanOil 47.82 +1.18 +2.53%
Wheat….547.50 +0.25 +0.05%

Wood pulp..5450.00❗️ unch +0%
(Closed 12/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo semua, asia kemaren jepang china merah, hongkong ijo tebel… US bond rate yang 2 tahun naik agak tinggi, yang lain rata2 naik juga, bisa jadi bikin koreksi globally hari ini, IHSG isa jadi ngejar kemaren ga ikut ijo, atau bisa jadi kebagian koreksinya doang. Tapi kalo liat chart, kemaren ijo tebel 2 hari, giliran turun sih

USD index naik dkit, gold silver iron ore merah, Tin Nickel Copper ijo, oil ijo, gas coal Newcastle merah, rotterdam Ijo, kayanya sih merah dulu hari ini saham Coal. CPO lanjut, kita pantau LSIP buat re-entry

IHSG – bikin new record high, 2 kali kejadian bikin record high terus dibanting abis abisan, hati-hati. Udah kena reg beaar div MACD sama RSI, jadi harus extra caution. oscillators pada buy, MFI sw, BD flat FF acc, trailing stop guys…

Tinggal Financials sama Basic Materials, yang lain udah lemes. Sekalinya big bank dibanting index ikut

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN HRTA LPPF MIKA SMRA INDS AALI. Lho AALI tertendang keluar Kompas 100 ternyata. Big accum CPIN BBRI

MACD Buy Signal: MDKA MNCN MTMH WIFI, big acc WIFI

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: SIDO TKIM