Posts Tagged ‘inflation’

Daily Analysis 20240712

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 12th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks fall from records as Tesla, Nvidia lead tech sell-off

US stocks rolled over on Thursday as investors rotated out of tech after a key inflation report showed consumer prices unexpectedly fell on a month-over-month basis for the first time since 2020.

Dow……39754 +32.4 +0.08%
Nasdaq18283 -364.04 -1.95%
S&P 500.5585 -49.4 -0.88%

FTSE…..8223 +29.8 +0.36%
Dax……18535 +127.3 +0.69%
CAC……7627 +53.6 +0.71%

Nikkei..42224 +392.03 +0.94%
HSI……17832 +360.7 +2.06%
Shanghai.2970 +31.02 +1.06%

IDX….7300.41 +13.37 +0.18%
LQ45..915.36 +3.03 +0.33%
IDX30.455.86 +0.48 +0.11%

IDXEnergy..2427.34 +7.70 +0.32%
IDX BscMat1388.84 +2.87 +0.21%
IDX Indstrl.1011.60 -2.39 -0.24%
IDXNONCYC.712.45 +2.24 +0.32%
IDX Hlthcare1428.92 -5.17 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…741.43 +4.40 +0.60%
IDXTechno3293.55 +21.59 +0.66%
IDX Transp 1327.02 +26.29 +2.02%
IDX Infrast 1595.06 +13.29 +0.84%
IDX Finance1387.39 -0.16 -0.01%
IDX Banking1228.89 +3.01 +0.25%
IDX Property…..616 – -%

Indo10Yr.7.0513 -0.0078 -0.11%
ICBI…381.5177 +0.2896 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.515 -0.109 -2.36%👍
US5Yr 4.144 -0.093 -2.19%👍
US10Yr4.209 -0.071 -1.66%
US30Yr.4.423 -0.074 -1.05%
VIX..12.92 +0.07 +0.54%

USDIndx 104.4400👍 -0.608 -0.58%
Como Indx….290.41 +0.70 +0.24%
BCOMIN…… 151.00 -1.50 -0.98%

IndoCDS..72.73 -0.98 -1.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/07)

IDR…..16194.50❗️ -46.00 -0.28%
Jisdor.16200.00❗️ -56.00 -0.34%

Euro…1.0868 +0.0035 +0.32%

TLKM…19.58 +0.25 +1.29%
( 3172)
EIDO….20.29 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM…..44.33 +0.27 +0.60%

Oil…….82.95 +0.56 +0.68%
Gold…..2418.20 +39.90 +1.68%
Timah..34666.00 -341.00 -0.97%
(Closed 11/07)
Nickel..16867.50 +18.50 +0.11%
(Closed 11/07)
Silver….31.63 +0.53 +1.70%
Copper.452.15 -6.95 -1.51%

Iron Ore 62% 108.74 -1.77 -1.60%
(10/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.374 -0.051 -2.32%
Ammonia China 2783.33 -66.67 -2.34%
(Domestic Price)(10/07)

Coal price.133.75 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.50 -1.50 -1.10%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.60 -1.45 -1.06%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.30 -0.80 -0.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.102.30 +0.45 +0.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.85 +0.20 +0.19%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 -0.25 -0.24%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.55 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3935 +17 +0.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..410.75 +3.50 +0.86%
SoybeanOil 46.15 +0.57 +1.25%
Wheat…571.25 +9.75 +1.74%

Wood pulp..5220 -40 -0.76%
(Closed 11/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo tipis, nasdaq drop gara2 tesla dan nvidia, europe ijo, asia ijo, IHSG closing ijo tipis, US bond yield merah dalem, finally koreksi hari ini? harusnya sih nggak ya, kalo liat bond yield, tapi udah rally panjang, bound to pull back anytime soon

USD index merah, metal2 naik kecuali tin copper sama iron ore, oil ijo, gas drop, coal merah, CPO ijo, masih run nya ANTM ini… AALI LSIP semoga lanjut

IHSG – berhasil stay FNB, indicator pada bilang harus koreksi sehat, tinggal tunggu waktu aja. Biasanya gantian nanti yang jalan saham yang kemaren belum, yang udah pada naik giliran istirahat dulu

Industrials, Technology, Basic Materials, Property, Transportation bangun lagi

Stochastic Buy SIgnal: GGRM CFIN ELSA SCMA, Freq Spike ELSA SCMA, GGRM reg bull

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF, freq spike juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: BBNI BMRI MBMA. BBNI freq spike, MBMA vol breakout

Daily Analysis 20240709

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 09th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close at all-time highs ahead of inflation data and second-quarter earnings reports

The S&P 500
and Nasdaq closed at record highs on Monday as investors await key inflation data to provide further clues about whether this year’s market rally is sustainable. Earnings from some major financial giants and consumer companies are also on the docket.

Dow……39345 -31.1 -0.08%
Nasdaq18404 +50.98 +0.28%
S&P 500.5573 +5.7 +0.10%

FTSE…..8193 -10.4 -0.13%
Dax……18472 -3.4 -0.02%
CAC……7627 -48.2 -0.63%

Nikkei..40781 -131.8 -0.32%
HSI…..17524 -275.6 -1.55%
Shanghai.2922 -27.5 -0.93%

IDX….7250.98 -2.39 -0.03%
LQ45..904.33 -2.31 -0.25%
IDX30.452.34 +0.09 +0.02%

IDXEnergy..2440.14 -10.81 -0.44%
IDX BscMat1390.64 -3.10 -0.43%
IDX Indstrl. 997.72 +11.58 +1.17%
IDXNONCYC.708.69 +9.02 +1.29%
IDX Hlthcare1447.18+18.20 +1.27%
IDXCYCLIC…738.37 +0.82 +1.21%
IDXTechno3299.93 +39.60 +1.21%
IDX Transp 1303.39 +2.49 +0.19%
IDX Infrast 1572.48 +23.95 +1.55%
IDX Finance1372.13 -2.71 -0.20%
IDX Banking1205.14 -6.85 -0.57%
IDX Property…..613 +13.50 +2.26%

Indo10Yr.7.0484👍 -0.0174 -0.25%
ICBI…381.3072👍 +0.4719 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.635 +0.029 +0.63%
US5Yr 4.241 +0.014 +0.33%
US10Yr4.275 -0.003 -0.07%
US30Yr.4.463 -0.013 -0.29%
VIX..12.37 -0.11 -0.88%

USDIndx 105.00 +0.125 +0.12%
Como Indx….290.91 -2.52 -0.86%
BCOMIN…… 154.38 -0.81 -0.52%

IndoCDS..74.22👍 -0.49 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/07)

IDR…..16257.00❗️ -20.00 -0.12%
Jisdor.16265.00❗️ -47.00 -0.29%

Euro…1.0825 -0.0015 -0.14%

TLKM…18.69 +0.06 +0.30%
( 3040)
EIDO….19.87 +0.02 +0.10%
EEM…..43.64 +0.01 +0.41%

Oil…….82.22 -0.94 -1.13%
Gold…..2366.60 -31.10 -1.30%
Timah..34218.00 +344.00 +1.02%
(Closed 08/07)
Nickel..17441.00 +58.00 +0.33%
(Closed 08/07)
Silver….31.08 -0.61 -1.92%
Copper.461.60 -3.70 -0.80%

Iron Ore 62% 111.31 -1.75 -1.55%
(05/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.378 +0.048 +2.06%
Ammonia China 2846.67 -16.60 -0.58%
(Domestic Price)(05/07)

Coal price.135.70 -0.70 -0.52%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00 -1.45 -1.05%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.35 -1.25 -0.90%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.10 -0.45 -0.32%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.104.50 -0.50 -0.48%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.05 -1.00 -0.93%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.70 -1.10 -1.01%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.75 -0.60 -0.55%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..4040 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..407.75 -16.25 -3.83%‼️
SoybeanOil 48.26 -0.44 -0.90%
Wheat…570.50 -20.00 -3.39%‼️

Wood pulp..5420 unch +0%
(Closed 08/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah nasdaq ijo, europe merah, asia merah, US bond yield yang 2 dan 5 tahun naik yang panjang2 turun, masih jadwal koreksi dulu kalo gini

USD index up, metal2 down kecuali tin nickel, oil down gas up coal down, yups, jadwal koreksi dulu

IHSG – ini ada dua gap mengkhawatirkan, hari ini IHSG nya ijo tebel lagi, happy sih, tapi khawatir kapan koreksinya dan model gimana koreksinya bakal kejadian

Basic Materials, Industrials, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: BSDE

MACD Buy Signal: ACES ICBP INCO DNSG ERAA MIKA PWON TRON. Big accum ACES MIKA

Stochastic Continuation Signal dan Big Accum Banyak jg, ANTM, BBCA, ESSA, MDKA, MTEL, PGAS, PGEO, BTPS, CTRA, ISAT, SCMA, SMSM. diatas 50% PGAS

Daily Analysis 20240604

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

June 14th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts its fourth straight record close, buoyed by cooler inflation data

The S&P 500
rose on Thursday to post a fourth consecutive record close as traders weighed more data showing inflation pressures may be easing.

Dow……38647 -65.2 -0.17%
Nasdaq17667 +59.1 +0.34%
S&P 500.5434 +12.7 +0.23%

FTSE…..8164 -51.8 -0.63%
Dax……18266 -365.2 -1.96%
CAC……7708 -156.7 -1.99%

Nikkei..3872 -156.2 -0.40%
HSI…..18113 +174.8 +0.97%
Shanghai.3029 -8.6 -0.28%

IDX….6831.56 -18.53 -0.27%
LQ45..858.63 -4.24 -0.49%
IDX30.425.22 -1.86 -0.43%

IDXEnergy..2250.73 +26.32 +1.18%
IDX BscMat1323.15 -9.76 -0.73%
IDX Indstrl. 907.48 +1.02 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC.692.01 -0.23 -0.03%
IDX Hlthcare1425.59 +3.05 +0.21%
IDXCYCLIC…713.64 +2.09 +0.29%
IDXTechno3173.24 +44.58 +1.42%
IDX Transp 1233.75 -3.21 -0.26%
IDX Infrast 1467.32 +0.50 +0.03%
IDX Finance1324.30 +3.36 +0.25%
IDX Banking1121.88 -1.04 -0.09%
IDX Property…..605 -1.40 -0.23%

Indo10Yr.6.9952❗️ -0.0017 -0.02%
ICBI…380.2151 +0.2049 +0.05%
US2Yr.4.703 -0.053 -1.11%
US5Yr 4.246 -0.171 -3.87%
US10Yr4.240 -0.074 -1.72%
US30Yr.4.401 -0.078 -1.74%
VIX..11.94 -0.10 -0.83%

USDIndx 105.1960 ❗️+0.551 +0.53%
Como Indx….295.63 +0.49 +0.17%
BCOMIN….152.70 -2.19 -1.41%

IndoCDS..73.22 +0.48 +0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/06)

IDR…16270.00 -24.50 -0.15%
Jisdor.16286.00 -11.00 -0.07%

Euro….1.0740 -0.0073 -0.68%

TLKM…17.61 -0.54 -2.95%
( 2868)
EIDO….18.71 -0.22 -1.16%
EEM…..42.18 -0.09 -0.21%

Oil…….77.74 -0.57 -0.73%
Gold..2318.80 -20.00 -0.86%
Timah..32794.00 -571.00 -1.71%
(Closed 13/06)
Nickel..17766.00 -265.00 -1.47%
(Closed 13/06)
Silver….29.02 -0.73 -2.45%
Copper.447.60 -4.20 -0.93%

Iron Ore 62% 106.42 +0.15 +0.14%
(12/06)
Nturl Gas..2.923 -0.11 -3.63%
Ammonia China.3066.67 +10.00 +0.33%
(Domestic Price)(12/06)

Coal price.134.70 +1.75 +1.32%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.40 +0.95 +0.70%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +1.20 +0.87%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 140.85 +1.85 +1.33%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.110.70 +1.20 +1.10%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.60 +1.45 +1.29%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.25 +1.90 +1.65%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.95 +1.15 +0.98%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3941 -20.00 -0.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..458.50 +4.25 +0.94%
SoybeanOil 43.86 +0.07 +0.16%
Wheat….620.00 +3.00 +0.49%

Wood pulp..5780 -20 -0.34%
(Closed 13/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah, Nasdaq sama SP500 lanjut ijo, Europe merah, asia merah, IHSG sempet ijo pagi closing merah juga. US bond yield turun gede lagi, masa ga ijo sih IHSG hari ini…

USD index up, metal2 down, oil gas down, coal up, CPO down lagi. Masih belum bisa ada sentimen bagus buat lari

IHSG – Masih jelek semua, MFI naik dikit karena vol transaksi naik sedikit jg, masih belum bisa belanja belanja sembarangan, yang udah jalan juga pada ngebalik kaya ANTM SMGR TLKM ASII

Arahnya melemah semua, yang masih leading healthcare walau arahnya kurang ok, bareng financials dan consumer non-cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA EMTK PGEO MTMH, big accum EMTK

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS,big accum juga

Daily Analysis 20240612

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

June 13th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes above 5,400 for the first time as Fed notes ‘modest’ inflation progress

The S&P 500
jumped to a record and closed above 5,400 for the first time Wednesday after the Federal Reserve’s latest policy announcement and May inflation data pointed to easing pricing pressures.

Dow……38712 -35.2 -0.09%
Nasdaq17609 +264.9 +1.53%
S&P 500.5421 +45.7 +0.85%

FTSE…..8215 +67.7 +0.83%
Dax……18630 +260.9 +1.42%
CAC……7865 +75.5 +0.97%

Nikkei..38877 -258.1 -0.66%
HSI…..17938 -238..6 -1.04%
Shanghai.3037+9.4 +0.31%

IDX….6850.10 -5.59 -0.08%
LQ45..862.86 -4.91 -0.57%
IDX30.427.08 -2.76 -0.64%

IDXEnergy..2224.41 -10.23 -0.46%
IDX BscMat1332.91 -13.95 -1.04%
IDX Indstrl. 906.46 -2.56 -0.28%
IDXNONCYC.692.23 -1.40 -0.20%
IDX Hlthcare1422.54 -12.65.-0.88%
IDXCYCLIC…711.55 -5.54 -0.77%
IDXTechno3128.66 -71.58 -2.24%
IDX Transp 1236.96 -21.73 -1.73%
IDX Infrast 1466.82 +3.12 +0.21%
IDX Finance1320.95 -10.43 -0.78%
IDX Banking1122.92 -13.65 -1.20%
IDX Property…..606 -3.60 -0.59%

Indo10Yr.6.9969❗️ -0.0046 -0.07%
ICBI…380.0102 +0.2140 +0.06%
US2Yr.4.756 -0.078 -1.61%
US5Yr 4.417 -0.097 -2.19%
US10Yr4.314 -0.089 -2.02%
US30Yr.4.479 -0.058 -1.28%
VIX..12.04 -0.81 -6.30%‼️

USDIndx 104.6450 ❗️-0.585 -0.56%
Como Indx….295.14 +2.39 +0.82%
BCOMIN….154.89 +2.90 +1.90%

IndoCDS..72.74 +0.02 +0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/06)

IDR…16294.50‼️ +3.50 +0.02%
Jisdor.16297.00‼️ +2.00 +0.01%

Euro….1.0813 +0.0072 +0.67%

TLKM…18.14 +0.29 +1.60%
( 2956)
EIDO….18.92 +0.03 +0.16%
EEM…..42.28 +0.42 +0.99%

Oil…….78.31 +0.08 +0.10%
Gold..2338.80 +5.70 +0.24%
Timah..33365.00 +1452.00 +4.56%‼️
(Closed 12/06)
Nickel..18031.00 -24.50 -0.14%
(Closed 12/06)
Silver….29.75 +0.38 +1.29%
Copper.451.80 -0.05 -0.01%

Iron Ore 62% 106.27 -1.11 -1.03%
(11/06)
Nturl Gas..3.033 -0.086 -2.75%
Ammonia China.3056.67 +50.00 +1.66%
(Domestic Price)(11/06)

Coal price.132.95 +1.70 +1.30%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.45 +2.20 +1.65%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.00 +0.55 +0.40%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.00 +0.55 +0.40%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.109.50 +0.85 +0.78%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.15 +1.50 +1.36%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 115.35 +1.20 +1.05%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.80 +1.15 +0.99%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3961 +28.00 +0.71%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..454.25 +4.75 +1.06%
SoybeanOil 43.79 +0.12 +0.27%
Wheat….617.00 -9.50 -1.52%

Wood pulp..5800 -10 -0.17%
(Closed 12/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI minus tipis, nasdaq ijo tebel lagi, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah,US bond yield merah dalem, harusnya IHSG mantul hari ini

USD index merah, gold silver tin ijo, nickel copper iron ore merah, oil ijo gas merah, coal CPO ijo, harusnya ANTM AALI mantul ini. Saham coal kita liat trend coal price dulu

IHSG – data US bagus buat saham, target koreksi ABC udah sah buat dianggap done, mantul lah harusnya ya. Semoga hari ini mulai FNB, duit lokal doang ternyata kurang buat ngangkat volume perdagangan IHSG

Healthcare, Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT GOTO WIFI

MACD Buy Signal: HEAL