Global Update:

September 27th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches new closing low for 2022, Dow falls into bear market as dollar surges

The S&P 500 notched a new closing low for 2022 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped into a bear market as interest rates surged and turmoil rocked global currencies.

Dow…….29261 -329.6 -1.11%
Nasdaq.10803 -65.0 -0.60%
S&P 500..3655 -38.2 -1.03%

FTSE…….7021 +2.4 +0.03%
Dax……..12228 -56.3 -0.46%
CAC……..5769 -14.02 -0.24%

Nikkei….26432 -722.3 -2.66%
HSI……..17855 -78.1 -0.44%
Shanghai..3051 -37.1 -1.20%
ST Times..3182 -45.1 -1.40%

IDX…….7127.50 -51.08 -0.71%
LQ45…1020.20 -5.44 -0.53%

IDX Energy…1912.36 -79.32 -3.98%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.21 -17.44 -1.34%
IDX Industrl..1318.18 -36.96 -2.73%
IDXNONCYC..704.29 -4.28 -0.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1461.51 -3.75 -0.26%
IDXCYCLIC…..872.80 -2.52 -0.29%
IDX Techno..7219.13 -166.50 -2.25%
IDX Transp…1837.53 -24.35 -1.31%
IDX Infrast…..1005.88 -11.88 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1508.33 +3.22 +0.21%
IDX Banking..1167.25 +3.68 +0.32%
IDX Property….706 -5.90 -0.32%

Indo10Yr….7.3547 +0.0364 +0.50%
ICBI……..333.6174 -0.9262 -0.28%
US10Yr……3.8780 +0.1810 +4.90%‼️
VIX……….32.26 +2.34 +7.82%‼️

USDIndx114.1030+0.9110 +0.80%‼️‼️
Como Indx..264.30 -4.17 -1.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.40 -3.77 -2.58%‼️
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/9)

IDR……15129.50 +92.00 +0.61%‼️
Jisdor..15119.00 +84.00 +0.56%‼️

Euro……..0.9590 -0.0097 -1.00%‼️

TLKM……..28.91 +0.20 +0.70%
(4371)
EIDO……….23.77 -0.17 -0.71%
EEM……….35.54 -0.44 -1.22%

Oil…………..76.52 -2.22 -2.82%‼️
Gold ……1631.60 -24.00 -1.45%‼️
Timah. .20243.00 – –
( Closed 23/9)
Nickel…22143.00 -1246.50 -5.33%‼️
(Closed 26/9)
Silver…….18.34 -0.57 -3.01%‼️
Copper….329.10 -5.20 -1.56%

Nturl Gas…..7.029 +0.038 +0.54%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/9)

Coal price….438.00 +2.80 +0.64%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.90 +12.70 +3.10%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.00 +13.85 +3.37%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….325.75 -1.25 -0.38%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….294.60 -2.40 -0.81%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….296.00 -2.75 -0.92%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3546 -187 -5.00%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………666.25 -10.50 -1.55%
SoybeanOil…62.46 -1.22 -1.92%
Wheat………858.50 -22.50 -2.56%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 26/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Dari semua index, cuma FTSE yang closing ijo tipis, sisanya merah. Komoditi yang ijo cuma coal sama natural gas, masih dukung lanjut bursa merah hari ini. Masih jadwal lanjut wave2, walau minggu rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin

IHSG – masih half way ke perkiraan ujung wave 2 di closing gap 6740. Masih hati2 banget belanja. Mungkin hari ini rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin. Tapi belum waktunya untuk agresif belanja

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Infrastructure, Transportation

Global Update:

August 19th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq end Thursday slightly higher as summer rally struggles

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose slightly higher Thursday as traders fought to resurrect the recent market rally that slowed earlier this week.

Dow…….33999 +18.7 +0.06%
Nasdaq.12965 +27.2 +0.21%
S&P 500..4284 +9.7 +0.23%

FTSE…….7542 +26.1 +0.35%
Dax……..13697 +70.7 +0.52%
CAC……..6557 +29.1 +0.45%

Nikkei….28942 -280.6 -0.96%
HSI……..19764 -158.5 -0.80%
Shanghai..3278 -14.98 -0.46%
ST Times..3273 +10.7 +0.33%

IDX…….7186.56 +53.10 +0.74%
LQ45…1026.33 +9.98 +0.98%

IDX Energy…1815.37 +21.75 +1.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1316.28 -7.58 -0.57%
IDX Industrl..1330.62 +15.07 +1.15%
IDXNONCYC..711.71 +6.77 +0.96%
IDX Hlthcare.1399.57 -6.78 -0.48%
IDXCYCLIC…..892.55 +2.26 +0.25%
IDX Techno..8052.49 -32.67 -0.40%
IDX Transp…2086.72 +6.03 +0.29%
IDX Infrast…..1044.49 -2.28 -0.22%
IDX Finance 1512.23 +3.31 +0.22%
IDX Banking..1151.40 +3.87 +0.34%
IDX Property…. – – -%

Indo10Yr….7.1515 +0.0021 +0.03%
ICBI……..336.3969 +0.1131 +0.03%
US10Yr…..2.8800 -0.0130 -0.45%
VIX………….19.56 -0.34 -1.71%

USDIndx 107.4840 +0.9100 +0.85%‼️
Como Indx..290.33 +1.46 +0.51%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.40 -0.02 -0.01%
.
IndoCDS…107.30 +5.70 +5.61%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14836.50 +68.50 +0.46%
Jisdor..14822 .00 +55.00 +0.37%

Euro………1.0089 -0.0090 -0.88%

TLKM……..30.80 +0.10 +0.33%
(4565)
EIDO………23.86 +0.02 +0.08%
EEM………40.45 -0.23 -0.57%

Oil…………..90.63 +3.13 +3.58%‼️
Gold ……..1772.50 -5.30 -0.30%
Timah. .24660.00 +60. 00 +0.24%
( Closed 17/8)
Nickel….21783.00 -188.50 -0.86%
(Closed 18/8)
Silver…….19.55 -0.30 -1.51%
Copper….364.90 +6.15 +1.77%

Nturl Gas…..9.172 -0.034 -0.37%

Ammonia….3750.00 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(17/8)

Coal price….413.90 unch +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….435.00 -1.90 -0.43%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….426.30 -2.30 -0.54%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….365.00 +5.25 +1.46%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….379.10 +3.70 +0.98%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….370.30 +3.70 +1.01%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4047 -153 -3.64%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..615.75 +3.75 +0.61%
SoybeanOil…64.27 -1.33 -2.03%
Wheat………749.00 -31.50 -4.04%‼️

Wood pulp…6700.00 -10 -0.15%
(Closed 18/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut ijo walau menipis, europe ijo, asia cuma IHSG sama Strait Times yang ijo, yang lain merah

Minyak rebound tapi masih dibawah 100 USB/barrel, coal tipis2 tapi masih tinggi di 413 usd/MT, metal2 ga kompak lagi, gold nickel silver turun, tin copper naik, gas turun tipis. Ga ada yang terlalu gimana gimana

Coal trend masih menguat sih, energy kayanya mau re-emerge jangka pendek. Issue batere belum digoreng lagi, tapi ga bikin ANTM INCO TINS dibanting juga, masih lingering aja

Kemarin IHSG ijo tebel, closing di atas candle yang tadinya dikira jadi titik high wave 1. Ternyata wave 1 nya masih mau lanjut, atau bisa jadi market maker mau bikin FOMO trap doang biar pada nyangkut.
Technically titik high wave B tanggal 9 juni 2022 jadi resistance kuat, kita taro jadi forecast ujung wave1 ya. Harus breakout dengan vol gede kalo index beneran mau rally long bullish… Mungkin saja sih, market discounts everything

IHSG – cuma stoch yang says down, yang lain memang masih up, even FNB dan bandarmology

Finance masih loyo, ini faktor utama kenapa saya masih berpikir sulit mau langsung long rally, big caps kebanyakan bank, kalo mau lari ya harusnya kaya kemaren-kemaren BBCA BBRI BMRI konsisten naik. Sekarang karena make GOTO melulu naikin index nya, jadi keliatan maksanya

Tinggal Property, infra cacing RSI nya mulai drop, consumer kemaren terutama ayam-ayaman kenceng, emang kebaca next consumer non-cyclicals, cyclicals sama healthcare

Global Update:

August 16th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. equities rose on Monday as the rally on Wall Street continued and traders prepared for a big week for retail earnings.

Dow…….33912 +151.4 +0.45%
Nasdaq.13128 +80.9 +0.62%
S&P 500..4297 +16.99 +0.32%

FTSE…….7509 +8.3 +0.11%
Dax……..13817 +20.8 +0.15%
CAC……..6570 +16.1 +0.25%

Nikkei….28872 +324.8 +1.14%
HSI……..20041 -134.8 -0.67%
Shanghai..3276 -0.8 -0.02%
ST Times..3257 -12.5 -0.38%

IDX…….7093.28 -36.00 -0.50%
LQ45…1005.79 -6.25 -0.62%

IDX Energy…1806.22 -10.65 -0.59%
IDX Bsc Mat.1334.44 -18.65 -1.38%
IDX Industrl..1313.36 +3.03 +0.23%
IDXNONCYC..700.40 -3.10 -0.44%
IDX Hlthcare.1407.71 -6.64 -0.47%
IDXCYCLIC…..892.34 -6.70 -0.74%
IDX Techno..7963.70 -119.84 -1.48%
IDX Transp…2072.23 -20.36 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1057.05 +6.33 +0.60%
IDX Finance 1517.17 -9.12 -0.60%
IDX Banking..1150.18 -6.44 -0.56%
IDX Property…..720 +8.60 +1.21%

Indo10Yr….7.1452 +0.0249 +0.35%
ICBI……..336.1905 -0.2740 -0.08%
US10Yr…..2.7910 -0.0580 -2.04%
VIX…………19.95 +0.42 +2.15%

USDIndx 106.5460 +0.9150 0.87%‼️
Como Indx..289.54 -3.94 -1.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.22 -3.22 -2.01%
.
IndoCDS…99.62 +2.43 +2.50%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14741.50 +73.50 +0.50%
Jisdor..14727 .00 +39.00 +0.27%

Euro………1.0155 -0.0104 -1.01%

TLKM……..30.71 -0.60 -1.92%
(4523)
EIDO………23.93 -0.31 -1.28%
EEM………40.86 -0.19 -0.46%

Oil…………..89.39 -3.70 -4.02%‼️
Gold ……..1795.00 -20.05 -1.13%
Timah. .25177.00 – -%
( Closed 12/8)
Nickel…22039.00 -1054.50 -4.57%‼️
(Closed 12/8)
Silver…….20.36 -0.49 -2.35%
Copper….360.20 -6.65 -1.81%

Nturl Gas…..8.807 +0.0270 +0.31%

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(11/8)

Coal price….407.50 -0.15 -0.04%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.50 +7.50 +1.86%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….402.55 +9.30 +2.36%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….353.90 +3.40 +1.03%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….357.75 +16.05 +4.70%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….348.75 +17.05 +5.14%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4153 -267 -6.04%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..628.25 -14.00 -2.18%
SoybeanOil…66.99 -0.98 -1.44%
Wheat………817.75 -4.75 -0.58%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo, Asia kecuali nikkei merah…

Oil Nikel CPO drop, metal2 turun semua, gas naik, coal tipis2… Ini beneran bawa wave 2 kayanya, dan coal kembali ikutan jadi ganjel index

Keliatannya outlook nya masih begini sih…

Koreksi wave 2 sampe tutup gap 6740

IHSG – stoch sell, macd mulai reversal, ada beberapa gap di bawah, yang paling deket sama fibo 50-61 yang di 6740. Koreksi lebih dalem lagi dari situ udah keitung ga sehat, bisa crash

Global Update:

July 27th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow sheds more than 200 points after Walmart profit warning, S&P 500 falls 1%

U.S. stocks fell Tuesday after Walmart cut its earnings forecast, sending other retail shares lower and adding to concern that consumer spending might not be strong enough to keep the U.S. out of a recession.

Dow…….31762 -228.5 -0.71%
Nasdaq.11563 -220.1 -1.87%
S&P 500..3921 -45.8 -1.15%

FTSE…….7306 -0.02 -0.00%
Dax……..13097 -113.4 -0.86%
CAC……..6211 -26.1 -0.42%

Nikkei….27655 -44.04 -0.16%
HSI……..20906 +342.9 +1.67%
Shanghai..3277 +27.1 +0.83%
ST Times..3192 +11.7 +0.37%

IDX…….6871.54 +13.13 +0.19%
LQ45…..968.48 +1.35 +0.14%

IDX Energy…1762.10 +21.00 +1.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1270.86 -4.39 -0.34%
IDX Industrl..1221.16 +1.34 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC..721.07 -3.54 -0.49%
IDX Hlthcare.1509.16 -5.80 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.11 -6.12 -0.69%
IDX Techno..7632.21 -185.40 -2.37%
IDX Transp…1957.78 +2.17 +0.11%
IDX Infrast……989.59 +7.44 +0.75%
IDX Finance 1478.35 +14.17 +0.97%
IDX Banking..1101.28 +11.21 +1.03%
IDX Property…….676 -1.20 -0.18%

Indo10Yr….7.4649 -0.0268 -0.36%
ICBI……….329.0763 +0.5530 +0.17%
US10Yr…..2.7870 -0.0330 -1.17%
VIX…………24.69 +1.33 +5.69%

USDIndx 107.1890 +0.7060 +0.66%‼
Como Indx..286.50 +1.74 +0.61%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.42 +0.22 +0.15%

IndoCDS…135.05 +2.78 +2.10%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14993.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..14984.00 -8.00 -0.05%

Euro………1.0129 -0.0091 -0.89%

TLKM……..28.13 +0.18 +0.64%
(4215)
EIDO………22.49 -0.11 -0.49%
EEM………39.25 -0.31 -0.78%

Oil…………95.52 -0.79 -0.82%
Gold ……1734.30 -0.50 -0.03%
Timah. .24947.00 -317.00 -1.27%
( Closed 25/7)
Nickel..22102.50 -430.00 -1.95%
(Closed 26/7)
Silver…….18.56 +0.26 +1.42%
Copper….339.95 +4.55 +1.36%

Nturl Gas…..8.785- +0.167 +1.94%

Ammonia….3890.00 +200 +5.42%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(25/7)

Coal price….414.00 +3.75 +0.91%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…440.00 +28.95 +7.04%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…389.50 +2.15 +0.56%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…388.00 +24.00 +6.59%‼
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3788 +142 +3.89%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………600.75 +17.00 +2.91%
SoybeanOil…57.95 +0.40 +0.69%
Wheat………803.75 +33.75 +4.38%‼

Wood pulp…6650.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 26/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US lanjut merah rada dalem… europe juga merah, asia kebanyakan ijo kecuali nikkei

Masih membuka kemungkinan index tutup gap dulu

Oil gold tin nickel turun, silver copper gas naik, coal lanjut naik lagi, cpo juga

Kemungkinan ANTM INCO TINS koreksi dulu while saham saham coal lanjut naik. AALI LSIP kemarin diperkirakan langsung lanjut tapi malah koreksi, semoga ini lanjut naik lagi

In general sektor sektor tidak menggembirakan. Walau ada beberapa saham di dalam masing2 sektor yang terlihat bergerak, kaya saham2 coal, UNTR.