Daily Analysis 20230106

Daily Analysis 20230106

January 06th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points lower after strong jobs data signals more rate hikes

Stocks fell Thursday after jobs data showed the labor market is still strong despite the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes to tame inflation.

Dow…….32930 -339.7 -1.02%
Nasdaq.10305 -153.5 -1.47%
S&P 500..3808 -44.9 -1.16%

FTSE…….7633 +48.3 +0.64%
Dax……..14436 -54.5 -0.38%
CAC……..6762 -14.9 -0.22%

Nikkei…..25821 +103.9 +0.40%
HSI………21052 +259.1 +1.25%
Shanghai…3155 +31.7 +1.01%
ST Times..3292 +50.2 +1.55%

IDX…..6653.84 -159.40 -2.34%
LQ45….909.66 -18.87 -2.03%

IDX Energy..2090.52 -121.09 -5.48%‼️
IDX BscMat 1200.45 -32.27 -2.62%
IDX Indstrl…1130.31 -26.24 -2.27%
IDXNONCYC..719.24 -2.65 -0.37%
IDX Hlthcare1540.76 +6.93 +0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…824.69 -19.88 -2.35%
IDX Techno.5077.88 -147.90 -2.83%
IDX Transp..1606.19 -42.99 -2.61%
IDX Infrast…..855.58 -22.35 -2.55%
IDX Finance 1378.53 -27.41 -1.95%
IDX Banking 1114.40 -22.91 -2.01%
IDX Property….685 -14.90 -2.14%

Indo10Yr.7.0324 -0.0074 -0.11%
ICBI…344.9935 +0.3292 +0.10 %
US10Yr..3.7200 +0.0110 +0.30%
VIX…..22.46 +0.45 +2.04%

USDIndx105.1290 +0.860 +0.82%‼️
Como Indx.263.69 -0.48 -0.18%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.34 -1.95 -1.20%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15616.50 +34.00 +0.22%
Jisdor..15610.00 -5.00 -0.03%

Euro……1.05020 -0.0085 -0.80%

TLKM…..24.03 -0.32 -1.31%
(3751)
EIDO…..21.60 -0.73 -3.27%‼️
EEM……39.25 -0.12 -0.30%

Oil…….73.67 +0.83 +1.14%
Gold …1840.60 -18.40 -0.99%
Timah….25095 -378 -1.48%
(Closed 04/01)
Nickel.27909.50 -1338.50 -4.58%‼️
(Closed 05/01)
Silver…….23.42 -0.54 -2.25%
Copper…382.10 +8.05 +2.15%

Nturl Gas..3.774 -0.375 -9.04%‼️

Ammonia..4606.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price….397.50 +2.95 +0.75%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.00 +8.30 +2.28%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….347.50 +7.20 +2.12%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…177.75 -1.00 -0.56%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..177.90 -1.35 -0.75%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..178.35 -1.35 -0.75%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)…..4091 -80 -1.92%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……….652.75 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil..62.42 -0.43 -0.68%
Wheat……..746.75 +1.25 +0.17%

Wood pulp…6420.00. -10 -0.16%
(Closed 05/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah lagi, europe varied, asia ijo kecuali indonesia yang nyungsep

Oil reound dikit, gas lanjut drop, coal naik, metal turun semua kecuali copper, CPO turun, masih belum bisa ngegas… Tapi masih optimis index lanjut sih

IHSG – Foreign sell off, dan BD lokal ga nahan, terjun bebas deh… Sampe MACD nya ngebalik jadi sell lagi. Yang kena cutloss jangan buru2 masuk lagi, sabar dulu aja. Saham saham yang signal nya belum ngebalik gpp hold, yang jadi signal sell exit dulu aja, tertib teknikal, nanti ada gilirannya belanja lagi. Bikin lower low,belum firm jadi bottom wave 2, tapi liat dari levelnya pas di area support prevoius low, semoga jadi piercing line candle. AScending triangle gagal breakout ke atas, WNS dulu secara umum

Masih infrastructure, technology, yang nyusul Basic Materials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Property

Stoch Buy Signal: INKP AGII HEAL. Satu sinarmas, satu Saratoga, satu Astra, hmm… ada hajatan kah?

MACD buy signal: GGRM, skip ah

Daily Analysis 20221230

Daily Analysis 20221230

December 30th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher in year-end rally. Nasdaq adds more than 2%

Stocks jumped on Thursday as investors headed into the final trading days of 2022.

Dow…….33221 +345.1 +1.05%
Nasdaq.10478 +264.8 +2.59%
S&P 500..3849 +66.1 +1.75%

FTSE…….7513 +15.5 +0.21%
Dax……..14072 +146.1 +1.05%
CAC……..6573 +62.98 +0.97%

Nikkei…..26094 -246.8 -0.94%
HSI………19741 -157.8 -0.79%
Shanghai…3074 -13.7 -0.44%
ST Times..3249 -17.7 -0.54%

IDX…….6860.08 +9.56 +0.14%
LQ45……939.87 +6.18 +0.66%

IDX Energy..2283.53 -30.53 -1.32%
IDX BscMat 1224.00 -0.80 -0.07%
IDX Indstrl…1175.85 +6.37 +0.54%
IDXNONCYC..722.99 +2.54 +0.35%
IDX Hlthcare.1554.34+19.14 +1.25%
IDXCYCLIC…..847.94 -2.44 -0.29%
IDX Techno..5208.38 +90.86+1.78%
IDX Transp…1659.63 -7.02 -0.42%
IDX Infrast……857.14 -1.98 -0.14%
IDX Finance 1412.47 -6.32 -0.45%
IDX Banking 1146.98 +0.87 +0.08%
IDX Property….708 -1.20 -0.17%

Indo10Yr.7.0018 +0.0013 +0.02%
ICBI….344.7342 +0.0782 +0.02%
US10Yr..3.8350 -0.0520 -1.34%
VIX……21.44 -0.70 -3.16%

USDIndx.103.9790 -0.5570 -0.53%
Como Indx.276.01 -1.34 -0.48%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..166.40 -0.31 -0.18%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15657.50 -61.50 -0.39%
Jisdor..15731.00 +28.00 +0.18%‼️

Euro……1.0664 +0.0065 +0.61%

TLKM…..23.68 +0.26 +1.11%
(3725)
EIDO…….22.42 +0.40 +1.82%
EEM……..38.43 +0.63 +1.67%

Oil………78.40 -0.28 -0.36%
Gold …1826.00 +13.30 +0.73%
Timah….24734 +800.00 +3.34%‼️
(Closed 28/12)
Nickel.30151.00 -151.50 -0.50%
(Closed 29/12)
Silver…….24.25 +0.54 +2.28%
Copper…382.40 -0.65 -0.17%

Nturl Gas..4.724 -0.599 -12.68%‼️

Ammonia..4606.67 +16.67 +0.36%
China
(Domestic Price)(28/12)

Coal price….404.15 +2.05 +0.51%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….380.05 +4.45 +1.18%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.10 +0.15 +0.04%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…227.85 +0.50 +0.22%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..189.05 +2.70 +1.45%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..187.60 +2.65 +1.43%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4090 unch +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….679.75 -3.00 -0.44%
SoybeanOil…66.26 +1.26 +1.99%
Wheat………774.50 -11.00 -1.40%

Wood pulp…6446.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Hari terakhir untuk window dressing… US ijo eropa ijo, asia kemaren merah sekarang harusnya ijo juga

Metal2 ijo kecuali nikel sama silver, Oil turun dikit, gas drop gede banget, coal naik lagi, CPO flat

IHSG – masih NFS terus, stoch jadi sell, MACD masih up, MFI up –> duit masuk walau foreign exit. Tapi berat rally IHSG kalo foreign keluar, pasti nunggu NFB baru bisa jalan lagi. Jangan terlalu aggressive dulu

Infrastructure, Energy (walau lagi melemah)

Sama technology

Stoch Buy Signal: MDKA TINS GGRM PRDA BMTR

MACD Buy Signal: BSDE PTPP MBSS

Daily Analysis 20221129

Daily Analysis 20221129

 

November 29th, 2022

Good morning,

The Dow fell sharply Monday, as investor sentiment was hurt by Federal Reserve officials reiterating a stance for rates to remain higher for longer at a time when the impact of civil unrest in China stoked fears about slowing global growth.

Dow…….33850 -497.6 -1.45%
Nasdaq.11050 -176.9 -1.58%
S&P 500..3964 -62.2 -1.54%

FTSE…….7474 -12.7 -0.17%
Dax……..14383 -158.02 -1.09%
CAC……..6665 -47.3 -0.70%

Nikkei….28163 -120.2 -0.43%
HSI……..17298 -275.6 -1.57%
Shanghai..3079 -23.1 -0.75%
ST Times..3240 -4.5 -0.14%

IDX…….7017.36 -35.79 -0.51%
LQ45……996.76 -4.98 -0.50%

IDX Energy..2037.57 -7.74 -0.38%
IDX Bsc Mat.1273.35 -12.28 -0.95%
IDX Industrl..1234.62 +0.14 +0.13%
IDXNONCYC..733.34 +0.12 +0.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1482.32 -3.70 +0.88%
IDXCYCLIC…..890.41 -0.09 -0.01%
IDX Techno.6179.14 -245.76 -3.83%‼️
IDX Transp…1780.24 -18.10 -1.01%
IDX Infrast……895.71 -11.73 -1.29%
IDX Finance 1485.42 -9.33 -0.62%,
IDX Banking 1192.49 -1.73 -0.15%
IDX Property….709 – -%

Indo10Yr….7.1723 -0.0112 -0.16%👍
ICBI……..340.7880 +0.1712 +0.05%👍
US10Yr..3.7030 +0.0120 +0.33%
VIX……22.21 +1.71 +8.34%‼️

USDIndx..106.6570 +0.6980 +0.66%‼️
Como Indx..272.92 -0.33 -0.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……155.64 +0.23 +0.15%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15722.00 +49.50 +0.32%‼️
Jisdor..15729.00 +61.00 +0.39%‼️

Euro……..1.0343 -0.0052 -0.50%

TLKM……..25.04 -0.51 -.2.00%
(3938)
EIDO………23.28 +0.15 +0.65%
EEM……….37.60 -0.17 -0.45%

Oil………….77.24 +0.96 +1.26%
Gold ……1753.60 -13.50 -0.76%
Timah…..22231 – -%
(Closed 25/11)
Nickel…25594.00 +115.00 +0.45%
(Closed 28/11)
Silver………21.13 -0.48 -2.24%
Copper…..361.55 -1.50 -0.41%

Nturl Gas…..7.329 +0.527 +7.74%‼️

Ammonia..4590.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(24/11)

Coal price….379.00 +18.20 +5.04%‼️
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….368.50 +14.45 +4.08%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….361.65 +14.60 +4.21%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….249.00 +7.55 +3.13%‼️
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….249.90 +9.40 +3.91%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….248.40 +8.55 +3.56%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……4134 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….671.25 +0.00 +0.00%
SoybeanOil…73.12 +1.41 +1.97%
Wheat………780.75 -16.25 -2.04%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Semua merah kemaren, semoga rebound hari ini… Tapi kemungkinan masih lebih besar tetep merah tudei

Komoditi energy mantul, Oil rebound (tapi belum rekomen buy saham2 minyak just yet), Natural Gas loncat lagi, Coal lanjut naik tinggi, saham2 coal yang pasti recommended. CPO masih galau, metal metal juga masih kacaw

IHSG – stoch balik sell, macd juga, masih dalam rangka sideways sih, semoga bukan lanjut ke bawah. Harusnya tetep santa claus rally desember ini… Senin udah FNB lagi, tapi bandar lokal dist, MFI flat, masih wave 3 tapi sidewaysnya rada lama ini… semoga ada sentimen positif terus breakout triangle ke atas. Sementara masih selective buying, terutama di energy, specifically coal stocks…

Financials nya loyo, makanya indexnya juga lemes… Energy Property leading, keliatan gerak juga property sama industrials, consumer non-cyclicals sama healthcare, tapi jangan terlalu aggressive di yang selain 2 leading sectors

Daily Analysis 20221121

Daily Analysis 20221121

November 21st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes higher on Friday, but ends week with losses

The major averages ticked higher in afternoon trading Friday to end the day on an upbeat note as investors assessed tougher language from Federal Reserve speakers and pored over the latest earnings reports.

Dow…….33746 +199.4 +0.59%
Nasdaq.11146 +1.1 +0.01%
S&P 500..3965 +18.8 +0.31%

FTSE…….7836 +39.98 +0.53%
Dax……..14432 +165.5 +1.16%
CAC……..6645 +68.3 +1.04%

Nikkei….27900 -30.8 -0.11%
HSI……..17993 -53.1 -0.29%
Shanghai..3097 -18.2 -0.58%
ST Times..3272 -13.8 -0.42%

IDX…….7082.18 +37.19 +0.53%
LQ45….1009.50 +4.58 +0.46%

IDX Energy..1992.76 +12.82 +0.65%
IDX Bsc Mat.1290.53 +7.20 +0.56%
IDX Industrl..1223.07 -2.25 -0.18%
IDXNONCYC..732.11 +1.75 +0.24%
IDX Hlthcare.1483.67 +3.27 +0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.09 +5.86 +0.67%
IDX Techno..6878.08 +39.15 +0.57%
IDX Transp…1801.24 -19.06 -1.05%
IDX Infrast……905.64 -1.94 -0.21%
IDX Finance 1504.72 +7.35 +0.49%
IDX Banking.1197.07 +6.07 +0.51%
IDX Property….692 +2.20 +0.31%

*Indo10Yr….7.3023 -0.0068 -0.09%*
*ICBI……..337.7459 +0.0569 +0.02%*
*US10Yr..3.8180 +0.0430 +1.14%*
*VIX……23.12 -0.81 -3.38%*

*USDIndx..106.9300 +0.2450 +0.23%*
Como Indx..276.40 -1.20 -0.43%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……157.81 +0.81 +0.51%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15684.00 +21.50 +0.14%‼️*
*Jisdor..15692.00 +8.00 +0.05%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0325 -0.0037 -0.36%*

TLKM……..25.78 +0.13 +0.51%
*(4045)*
EIDO………23.19 +0.27 +1.18%
EEM……….38.03 -0.22 -0.58%

*Oil…………80.08 -1.56 -1.91%*
Gold ……1769.00 +6.00 +0.34%
Timah…..22664 +80.00 +0.35
*(Closed 18/11)*
Nickel…25629.00 +251.00 +0.99%
*(Closed 18/11)*
Silver………21.20 +0.04 +0.19%
Copper…..364.15 -5.25 -1.42%

Nturl Gas…..6.371 -0.030 -0.47%

*Ammonia..4463.33 +50.00 +1.13%‼️*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(17/11)

*Coal price….343.45 +8.85 +2.65%*
(Nov/Newcastle)
*Coal price….337.00 +17.00 +5.31%‼️*
(Des/Newcastle)
*Coal price….330.50 +17.50 +5.59%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….207.65 +5.65 +2.80%*
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….217.50 +13.50 +6.62%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….219.10 +13.15 +6.39%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……3845 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….670.00 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil…70.61 +0.39 +0.56%
Wheat………822.00 -3.00 -0.36%

Wood pulp…6610.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Closing jum’at US ijo, Europe ijo, asia merah IHSG ijo, semoga hari ini lanjut

Metal2 rebound dikit kecuali copper, oil dan gas turun lagi, coal lanjut naik, semoga cocok prediksi akan run harga coal dan saham2 emiten coal menyambut winter di utara

Newcastle Coal Futures – MACD nya udah buy signal, semoga bener rally panjang

IHSG – yang jadi masalah masih NFS terus, kalo dari technical indicator sudah harusnya mulai jalan ke atas lagi, keluar dari phase sideways. Bandar lokal sudah akum terus. Infobank15 kita check dulu

Infobank15 – sama masalahnya: NFS… Semoga start hari ini turnaround pada entry foreign, jadi firm lanjut ngangkat IHSG. Lapkeu bank bagus bagus koq…

Financials, Technology

Sudah on the right track ini, kalo bener financials gerak duluan, nanti sektor lain baru ikutan ngangkat index

Daily Analysis 2022029

Daily Analysis 2022029

Global update: September 29th, 2022 Good morning, Stocks rebound from 2022 low, Dow closes up more than 500 points and snaps six-day losing streak The Dow Jones Industrial Average mounted…
Daily Analysis 20220927

Daily Analysis 20220927

Global Update:

September 27th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches new closing low for 2022, Dow falls into bear market as dollar surges

The S&P 500 notched a new closing low for 2022 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped into a bear market as interest rates surged and turmoil rocked global currencies.

Dow…….29261 -329.6 -1.11%
Nasdaq.10803 -65.0 -0.60%
S&P 500..3655 -38.2 -1.03%

FTSE…….7021 +2.4 +0.03%
Dax……..12228 -56.3 -0.46%
CAC……..5769 -14.02 -0.24%

Nikkei….26432 -722.3 -2.66%
HSI……..17855 -78.1 -0.44%
Shanghai..3051 -37.1 -1.20%
ST Times..3182 -45.1 -1.40%

IDX…….7127.50 -51.08 -0.71%
LQ45…1020.20 -5.44 -0.53%

IDX Energy…1912.36 -79.32 -3.98%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.21 -17.44 -1.34%
IDX Industrl..1318.18 -36.96 -2.73%
IDXNONCYC..704.29 -4.28 -0.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1461.51 -3.75 -0.26%
IDXCYCLIC…..872.80 -2.52 -0.29%
IDX Techno..7219.13 -166.50 -2.25%
IDX Transp…1837.53 -24.35 -1.31%
IDX Infrast…..1005.88 -11.88 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1508.33 +3.22 +0.21%
IDX Banking..1167.25 +3.68 +0.32%
IDX Property….706 -5.90 -0.32%

Indo10Yr….7.3547 +0.0364 +0.50%
ICBI……..333.6174 -0.9262 -0.28%
US10Yr……3.8780 +0.1810 +4.90%‼️
VIX……….32.26 +2.34 +7.82%‼️

USDIndx114.1030+0.9110 +0.80%‼️‼️
Como Indx..264.30 -4.17 -1.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.40 -3.77 -2.58%‼️
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/9)

IDR……15129.50 +92.00 +0.61%‼️
Jisdor..15119.00 +84.00 +0.56%‼️

Euro……..0.9590 -0.0097 -1.00%‼️

TLKM……..28.91 +0.20 +0.70%
(4371)
EIDO……….23.77 -0.17 -0.71%
EEM……….35.54 -0.44 -1.22%

Oil…………..76.52 -2.22 -2.82%‼️
Gold ……1631.60 -24.00 -1.45%‼️
Timah. .20243.00 – –
( Closed 23/9)
Nickel…22143.00 -1246.50 -5.33%‼️
(Closed 26/9)
Silver…….18.34 -0.57 -3.01%‼️
Copper….329.10 -5.20 -1.56%

Nturl Gas…..7.029 +0.038 +0.54%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/9)

Coal price….438.00 +2.80 +0.64%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.90 +12.70 +3.10%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.00 +13.85 +3.37%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….325.75 -1.25 -0.38%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….294.60 -2.40 -0.81%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….296.00 -2.75 -0.92%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3546 -187 -5.00%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………666.25 -10.50 -1.55%
SoybeanOil…62.46 -1.22 -1.92%
Wheat………858.50 -22.50 -2.56%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 26/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Dari semua index, cuma FTSE yang closing ijo tipis, sisanya merah. Komoditi yang ijo cuma coal sama natural gas, masih dukung lanjut bursa merah hari ini. Masih jadwal lanjut wave2, walau minggu rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin

IHSG – masih half way ke perkiraan ujung wave 2 di closing gap 6740. Masih hati2 banget belanja. Mungkin hari ini rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin. Tapi belum waktunya untuk agresif belanja

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Infrastructure, Transportation