Posts Tagged ‘Federal Reserve’

Daily Analysis 20230614

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

June 14th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks rise after inflation report, S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh 13-month highs

Stocks rose Tuesday after new inflation data showed price pressures slowed again in May, adding to investor optimism that the Federal Reserve could skip a rate hike when it next decides on policy this week.

Dow……34212 +145.8 +0.43%
Nasdaq13573 +111.4 +0.83%
S&P 500.4369 +30.1 +0.69%

FTSE…..7595 +24.1 +0.32%
Dax……16231 +132.8 +0.83%
CAC……7291 +40.5 +0.56%

Nikkei…..33019 +584.7 +1.80%
HSI………19521 +117.1 +0.60%
Shanghai.3234 +4.8 +0.15%

IDX…..6719.01 -3.36 -0.05%
LQ45….952.58 -0.14 -0.01%
IDX30…496.11 -0.14 -0.03%

IDXEnergy…1777.30 -7.14 -0.40%
IDX BscMat…985.27 -9.18 -0.92%
IDX Indstrl…1168.69 -1.37 -0.12%
IDXNONCYC.748.08 -5.91 -0.78%
IDX Hlthcare1526.32 +3.42 +0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…888.71 +3.47 +0.39%
IDX Techno..4933.63 -10.40 -0.21%
IDX Transp..1957.65 -25.04 -1.21%
IDX Infrast…..852.76 -2.39 -0.28%
IDX Finance.1404.88 -1.19 -0.08%
IDX Banking.1180.00 +2.33 +0.20%
IDX Property..744 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.3541 -0.0476 -0.74%👍
ICBI..366.7342 +1.1445 +0.31%👍
US2Yr.4.669 +0.089 +1.94%
US5Yr 4.001 +0.099 +2.54%
US10Yr3.8150+0.072 +1.92%
US30Yr.3.9260+0.039 +1.00%
VIX……14.61 -0.40 -2.66%

USDIndx103.3380 -0.3160 -0.30%
Como Indx.260.81 +3.87 +1.50%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……145.23 +2.66 +1.86%

IndoCDS.84.19👍 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/06)

IDR…..14863.50 +0.50 +0.00%
Jisdor.14868.00 -6.00 -0.04%

Euro……1.0792 +0.0031 +0.29%

TLKM…27.93 -0.15 -0.53%
(4152)
EIDO….23.48 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM…..40.34 +0.40 +0.30%

Oil……69.16 +1.76 +2.61%
Gold…1957.90 -15.00 -0.76%
Timah..25901.00 -601.00 -2.27%
(Closed 02/06)
Nickel..22047.50 +1098.00 +5.24%‼
(Closed 13/06)
Silver……23.75 -0.40 -1.66%
Copper..382.90 +7.70 +2.05%

Iron Ore 62% 111.14 -1.82 -1.61%
(12/06)
Nturl Gas.2.328 +0.049 +2.15%

Coal price.132.25 -1.75 -1.31%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.25 -2.75 -1.96%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.65 -2.35 -1.65%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.50 -2.35 -1.62%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price117.50 +2.85 +2.49%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.115.80 +3.80 +3.39%‼
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.60 +4.00 +3.68%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.45 +3.95 +3.67%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3422 +74 +2.21%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……561.25 +2.00 +0.36%
SoybeanOil 53.55 +1.63 +3.14%
Wheat…636.25 +2.50 +0.39%

Wood pulp..4334.00 -10 -0.23%
(Closed 13/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lanjut ijo semua index regional, IHSG merah tipis, siap lanjut today

Oil gas rebound, coal newcastle merah rotterdam ijo, gold silver merah, copper ijo, timah iron ore merah nikel ijo, CPO ijo. Kayanya MDKA mau dibawa koreksi dulu ini…

IHSG – masih ok semua kecuali FF yang masih dist, tapi kayanya bandar lokal compensate dengan akum gede

Masih Energy, Basic Materials, yang leading Technology, Transportation, Healthcare, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA BMRI CPIN INTP JPFA TPIA BSSR

MACD Buy Signal: MYOR TAPG

Alligator Buy Signal: BBNI HRUM TLKM ANJT

Supertrend Buy Signal: AGRO

Daily Analysis 20230613

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

June 13th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes at highest level since April 2022 as traders hope the Fed will skip a rate hike

The S&P 500
jumped to its highest level in 13 months on Monday as traders hoped the Federal Reserve will skip hiking rates when the central bank decides on policy Wednesday.

Dow……34066 +189.6 +0.56%
Nasdaq13462 +202.8 +1.53%
S&P 500.4339 +40.1 +0.93%

FTSE…..7570 +8.3 +0.11%
Dax……16098 +148.03 +0.93%
CAC……7250 +37.2 +0.52%

Nikkei…..32434 +168.8 +0.52%
HSI………19404 +14.4 +0.07%
Shanghai.3229 -2.6 -0.08%

IDX…..6722.37 +28.35 +0.42%
LQ45….952.72 -1.52 -0.16%
IDX30…496.25 -1.19 -0.24%

IDXEnergy…1784.44 +14.35 +0.81%
IDX BscMat…994.44 +3.33 +0.34%
IDX Indstrl…1170.06 +2.07 +0.18%
IDXNONCYC.754.00 +4.92 +0.66%
IDX Hlthcare1522.99 +21.45 +1.42%
IDXCYCLIC…885.24 -3.70 -0.42%
IDX Techno..4944.03 -3.18 -0.06%
IDX Transp..1981.69 +65.33 +2.87%
IDX Infrast…..855.14 -0.51 -0.06%
IDX Finance.1406.07 +11.17 +0.80%
IDX Banking.1177.67 +4.37 +0.37%
IDX Property..744 -4.60 -0.61%

Indo10Yr.6.4017 -0.0343 -0.53%👍
ICBI..365.5897 +0.6440 +0.18%👍
US2Yr.4.5800 +0.056 +1.24%
US5Yr 3.9020 +0.044 +1.14%
US10Yr3.7430+0.022 +0.59%
US30Yr.3.8870-0.0018 -0.05%
VIX……15.01 +1.18 +8.53%‼️

USDIndx103.6540 +0.0970 +0.09%
Como Indx.256.94 -3.59 -1.38%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……142.58 -2.13 -1.47%

IndoCDS.84.19👍 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/06)

IDR…..14862.50 +22.50 +0.15%
Jisdor.14874.00 +21.00 +0.13%

Euro……1.0761 +0.0012 +0.11%

TLKM…28.08 -0.15 -0.53%
(4177)
EIDO….23.51 +0.05 +0.21%
EEM…..39.94 +0.08 +0.20%

Oil……67.40 -2.77 -3.95%‼️
Gold…1972.90 -5.30 -0.27%
Timah..26502.00 +685.00 +2.65%
(Closed 09/06)
Nickel..20949.50 -128.00 -0.61%
(Closed 12/06)
Silver……24.15 -0.26 -1.07%
Copper..375.20 -3.70 -0.98%

Iron Ore 62% 112.96👍 – -%
(09/06)
Nturl Gas.2.279 +0.017 +0.75%

Coal price.134.00 -1.70 -1.25%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.140./0 -3.70 -2.57%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.00 -4.65 -3.17%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.85 -4.65 -3.11%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price114.65 -1.10 -0.95%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.00 -0.80 -0.71%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.108.60 -1.45 -1.32%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.50 -1.40 -1.29%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3348 -19 -0.56%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……549.25 +18.75 +3.53%
SoybeanOil 51.92 -0.04 -0.08%
Wheat…633.75 +3.50 +0.56%

Wood pulp..4344.00 unch +%
(Closed 12/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe ijo, asia kebanyakan ijo, semoga lanjut

Oil drop, gas ijo, coal merah, gold silver copper nickel merah, timah ijo, cpo ijo. Hati2 ANTM MDKA yang udah profit trailing stop on.

IHSG – masih NFS, kurang bagus ini, secara teknikal sih ok, stoch up macd buy MFI sw w% uptrend, three white soldier, tembus MA 20, forming triple bottom, wathcout rejection di resistance 6772 atau fibo 23 di 6740

Paling menarik Energy sama Basic Industry, yang arahnya bagus juga TEchnology, Industrials, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA BMRI CPIN INTP JPFA TPIA BSSR WIFI

MACD buy signal: ACES BRPT APIC HEAL MAPI MIKA MNCN MTEL MTMH LTLS

Alligator Buy Signal: BBNI HRUM ANJT

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBNI TINS

Daily Analysis 20230504

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 250 points lower Wednesday after Fed hikes rates for a 10th time

Stocks fell Wednesday after the Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points, as was widely expected

Dow……33414 -270.3 -0.80%
Nasdaq12025 -55.2 -0.46%
S&P 500.4091 -28.8 -0.70%

FTSE…..7788 +15.3 +0.20%
Dax……15815 +88.1 +0.56%
CAC……7404 +20.6 +0.28%

Nikkei…..29158 closed +0%
HSI………19699 -234.7 -1.18%
Shanghai.3323 closed +0%

IDX…..6812.72 -50.58 -0.74%
LQ45….947.65 -7.96 -0.83%
IDX30…493.92 -4.20 -0.84%

IDXEnergy…2002.37 -29.43 -1.45%
IDX BscMat 1138.16 -12.55 -1.09%
IDX Indstrl…1168.57 -15.75 -1.33%
IDXNONCYC.731.08 +8.43 +1.17%
IDX Hlthcare1499.47 -9.84 -0.65%
IDXCYCLIC….815.60 +2.22 +0.27%
IDX Techno..4857.67 -25.66 -0.53%
IDX Transp..1791.91 -21.10 -1.16%
IDX Infrast…..811.63 -1.63 -0.20%
IDX Finance.1377.01 -7.15 -0.52%
IDX Banking.1148.93 -8.50 -0.73%
IDX Property…700 +3.20 +0.46%

Indo10Yr.6.6924 -0.0366 -0.54%👍
ICBI….357.9499 +0.8065 +0.23%👍
US2Yr.3.8645 -0.1278 -3.20%‼
US5Yr 3.3457 -0.1233 -3.55%‼
US10Yr3.3540-0.0690 -2.01%
US30Yr.3.6930 -0.0210 -0.66%
VIX…… 18.34 +0.56 +3.15%

USDIndx101.3430 -0.6150 -0.60%
Como Indx.256.56 -4.07 -1.56%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…152.86 -1.31 -0.85%

IndoCDS..94.58 -1.46 -1.52%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/05)

IDR…..14692.00 -21.50 -0.15%
Jisdor.14706.00 +3 +0.02%

Euro……1.1068 +0.0062 +0.56%

TLKM..28.22 -0.32 -1.12%
(4150)
EIDO….24.14 -0.11 -0.45%
EEM….38.56 -0.06 -0.16%

Oil……66.54 -5.05 -7.05%‼
Gold.2068.00‼ +43.10 +2.13%
Timah..26491.00 +403.00 +1.54%
(Closed 02/05)
Nickel..24646.00 -309.50 -1.24%
(Closed 03/05)
Silver……26.06 +0.44 +1.72%
Copper…383.50 -3.10 -0.80%
Iron Ore 62% +2.40. +2.32%
(02/05)
Nturl Gas.2.217 -0.0700 -3.15%

Coal price.180.60 -6.95 -3.70%‼
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.182.30 -7.70 -4.05%‼
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.186.80 -7.20 -3.71%‼
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.191.20 -7.05 -3.56%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.131.50 -4.60 -3.38%‼
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.128.00 -4.50 -3.40%‼
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.50 -5.00 -3.80%‼
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.75 -5.10 -3.87%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3430 +18 +0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..588.60 +8.50 +1.47%
SoybeanOil52.64 +0.85 +1.64%
Wheat…639.75 +30.50 +5.01%‼

Wood pulp..4000.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/05)

© ( DE ) – ( AT ) 04 – 05 – 2023

Source : Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

US merah lagi, Europe ijo, asia banyak tutup, his idx merah dalem. Masih belum kondusif buat belanja belanja agresif

Oil Gas Coal drop, energy bye bye dulu ini, Metal2 varied, Gold Silver Tin Iron Ore Ijo, Nickel Copper merah, CPO ijo. ANTM bisa diperhatikan, MDKA belum masuk di technical

IHSG – stoch rev down, macd rev down, 833 sell, MFI down, w% down, BD flat, FNS 2 hari, prepare belanja pas udah sampe fibo 23 atau udah mantul lagi keatas fibo 38. Rejection resistance di neckline pattern emang suka kejam

Lho, infrastructure koq jalan terus cacingnya, padahal telco sama tower pada drop? Infrastructure, Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare, Technology

Checking manual, infra versi BUMN konstruksi sesuai dugaan koreksi dulu, kalo udah bikin higher low kita baru berani buy, tower2 drop, TLKM drop, ISAT EXCL yang soaring, later check apa layak riding

Stochastic Buy Signal: EXCL, SIDO, AALI, ABMM, BSDE, MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO JPFA ABMM JSMR MAPI

Alligator Buy Signal: BRPT INKP TPIA BMTR HEAL PTPP

Supertrend Buy Signal: AMRT

Daily Analysis 20230403

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 03rd, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday, Nasdaq notches best quarter since 2020

Stocks rose Friday as Wall Street wrapped up a volatile, but winning quarter that saw more Federal Reserve rate tightening and a mini-financial panic spurred on by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.

Dow……33274 +415.1 +1.25%
Nasdaq12222 +208.4 +1.74%
S&P 500.4109 +58.5. +1.44%

FTSE…..7632 +11.3 +0.16%
Dax…..15629. +106.4 +0.69%
CAC……7322 +59.02 +0.81%

Nikkei…..28042 +258.6 +0.93%
HSI………20400 +90.98 +0.49%
Shanghai.3273 +11.6 +0.36%

IDX…..6805.28 -3.67 -0.06%
LQ45….937.68 -1.93 -0.20%
IDX30…488.29 -1.07 -0.22%

IDXEnergy…2103.64 +17.36 +0.83%
IDX BscMat 1183.75 +1.40 +0.12%
IDX Indstrl…1185.57 +8.39 +0.71%
IDXNONCYC.731.64 -3.08 -0.42%
IDX Hlthcare1540.65 +4.38 +0.29%
IDXCYCLIC…..822.32 -3.30 -0.40%
IDX Techno..5100.73 -37.97 -0.74%
IDX Transp..1789.36 -10.46 -0.58%
IDX Infrast…..808.84 -1.70 -0.21%
IDX Finance.1385.82 +1.72 +0.12%
IDX Banking.1136.13 -1.14 -0.10%
IDX Property…686 +4.2 +0.62%

Indo10Yr.6.7956 -0.0126 -0.19%👍
ICBI…..353.1919 +0.3423 +0.10%👍
US2Yr.4.0376 -0.0839 -2.03%
US5Yr 3.5836 -0.0966 -2.62%
US10Yr3.4730 -0.0740 -2.08%
US30Yr.3.4730-0.0790 -2.11%
VIX…… 19.02 -0.10 -0.52%

USDIndx102.1660 -0.4899 -0.47%
Como Indx.267.73 +3.35 +1.27%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…159.99 +0.95 +0.59%

IndoCDS..95.060 -3.950 -3.99%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/31)

IDR…..14995.50 -51.50 -0.34%👍
Jisdor.14977.00 -85.00 -0.56%👍

Euro……1.0839 -0.0068 -0.62%

TLKM….27.27 -0.16 -0.58%
(4084)
EIDO……23.53 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……39.46 -0.05 -0.13%

Oil……75.67 +1.30 +1.75%
Gold.1986.20 -11.50 -0.58%
Timah 25835.00 -81.00 -0.31%
(Closed 03/31)
Nickel..23744.50 +652.00 +2.82%
(Closed 03/31)
Silver…..24.16 +0.17 +0.70%
Copper..409.45 +0.30 +0.07%

Nturl Gas.2.166 +0.062 +2.94%

Ammonia 3966.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/29)

Coal price.193.00 +5.50 +2.93%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.199.50 +4.00 +2.25%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.70 +5.70 +2.85%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price..208.15 +6.90 +3.43%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.90 +0.15 +0.11%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.137.00 -1.55 -1.12%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 133.25 -2.25 -1.66%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.70 -1.60 -1.19%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3758 -33 -0.87%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..660.50 +11.00 +1.69%
SoybeanOil.55.49 +1.12 +2.06%
Wheat…..692.25 unch +0%

Wood pulp…5080.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua closing hijau jum’at, IHSG harusnya ijo lagi hari ini

Oil Gas Coal lanjut ijo, Metal2 tipis2 merah dan ijo kecuali nikel yang rebound, ANTM MDKA minor pullback dulu, INCO kita liat, CPO merah lagi

Coal Price belum terlihat firm reversal, walau dari supertrend dan macd sudah bilang up

IHSG – stoch mulai oversold, 833 sell, macd masih up, mungkin minor pullback or sideways dulu sebelum ngejar test resistance neckline double bottom, tapi yang bikin tenang MFI masih up, BD FF acc, w% masih uptrend

Energy leading, Basic Materials, Transportation, Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, sama yang keliatan mau jalan Technology. Consumer Non-Cyclicals anehnya di minggu kedua ramadhan malah melemah, mungkin mau lari lagi di deket lebaran

Stochastic Buy Signal: LMSH

MACD buy signal: ASII INTP PTBA SCMA LPPF

Alligator Buy SIgnal: AMRT BBCA CTRA ERAA

Supertrend Buy Signal: INCO ADMR PWON