Posts Tagged ‘Federal Reserve’

Daily Analysis 20230706

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 06th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow slips 100 points to snap 3-day win streak as investors consider Fed’s latest comments

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
slid on Wednesday as Wall Street resumed a holiday-shortened week and digested the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes for insights into the state of monetary policy.

Dow……34289 -129.8 -0.38%
Nasdaq13792 -25.1 -0.18%
S&P 500.4447 -8.8 -0.20%

FTSE…..7442 -77.6 -1.03%
Dax……15938 -101.6 -0.63%
CAC……7311 -59.1 -0.80%

Nikkei…..33339 -83.8 -0.25%
HSI………19110 -305.3 -1.57%
Shanghai.3223 -22.4 -0.69%

IDX…..6718.98 +37.22 +0.56%
LQ45….953.44 +4.71 +0.50%
IDX30…495.50 +2.54 +0.51%

IDXEnergy…1801.29 +26.50 +1.49%
IDX BscMat.1011.34 +15.97+1.60%
IDX Indstrl…1180.67 +7.99 +0.68%
IDXNONCYC.754.39 +1.75 +0.23%
IDX Hlthcare1483.31 +5.82 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC….893.37 +7.71 +0.87%
IDX Techno.4748.78 +16.41 +0.35%
IDX Transp..1943.76 +21.56 +1.12%
IDX Infrast… .863.17 +8.68 +1.02%
IDX Finance.1422.23 +1.54 +0.11%
IDX Banking.1190.01 +1.23 +0.10%
IDX Property..730 +6.50 +0.90%

Indo10Yr.6.2909👍 -0.0144 -0.23%
ICBI….368.6006👍 +0.1834 +0.05%
US2Yr.4.9470 +0.007 +0.14%
US5Yr 4.2490 +0.058 +1.38%
US10Yr3.9390 +0.085 +2.21%
US30Yr.3.9460 +0.089 +2.31%
VIX…….14.18 +0.48 +3.50%

USDIndx103.3730 +0.3340 +0.32%
Como Indx…262.80 +1.91 +0.73%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……141.50 -0.17 -0.12%

IndoCDS.85.19👍 -0.97 -1.13%
(5-yr INOCD5) (04/07)
IDR…..15017.50‼️+23.00 +0.15%
Jisdor.15013.00‼️-5.00 -0.03%

Euro……1.0854 -0.0025 -0.23%

TLKM…26.41 -0.01 -0.04%
(3965)
EIDO….23.09 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM…..39.76 -0.24 -0.60%

Oil…….71.88 +0.88 +1.24%
Gold…1923.70 -9.40 -0.49%
Timah..27320.00 -57.00 -0.21%
(Closed 04/07)
Nickel..21222.50 +683.0#0 +3.33%‼️
(Closed 05/07)
Silver….. 23.35 +0.18 +0.78%
Copper..376.10 -2.25 -0.59%

Iron Ore 62% 110.87 – -%
(03/07)
Nturl Gas.2.655 -0.087 -3.17%

Coal price.144.80 +1.65 +1.15%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.00 -0.25 -0.17%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.60 -0.45 -0.29%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.155.90 -1.65 -1.05%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price123.60 +0.30 +0.24%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.15 +1.25 +1.03%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.45 +1.21%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.65 +1.38%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3862 -22 -0.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..493.50 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 61.40 +1.21 +2.01%
Wheat…674.25 +32.50 +5.06%‼️

Wood pulp..4250.00 +20 +0.47%
(Closed 05/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

US europe asia merah, IHSG aja ijo sendiri, hihihi…. Alamat hari ini merah dulu

USD index up, Gold Copper down, Silver up, tin merah, nickel jump. Perlu liat INCO kita. Oil Coal up, Gas down, CPO down, bagus buat ngejar koreksi LSIP. ELSA MEDC ADRO INDY HRUM dkk lanjut harusnya

IHSG – udah FNB terus, good sign. stoch buy, MACD up,MFI sw, w% up, nyaris double bottom terus mantul, udah bikin higher low, udah diatas EMA20, semoga lanjut rally

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

 

Kalo index lagi ijo emang banyak banget nongol buy signal. Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO CPIN INDY SIDO UNTR AGRO BMTR ERAA HEAL HMSP LSIP MLPL MNCN SMRA AMFG

Kita perhatiin yang beneran Big Akum sama yang freq spike nya fresh, dan multiple factors: UNTR ERAA JSMR  LSIP MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM JSMR MLPL PTPP RMKE IGAR

Alligator Buy Signal: BMRI ELSA INCI

Supertrend Buy Signal: ADRO MDKA

Daily Analysis 20230622

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

June 22th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for third straight day, Nasdaq drops 1% as investors’ optimism wanes

Stocks fell Wednesday as investors took a breather from last week’s market rally, and weighed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s latest comments on inflation.

Dow……33951 -102.4 -0.30%
Nasdaq13502 -165.1 -1.21%
S&P 500.4366 -23.02 -0.52%

FTSE…..7559 -10.2 -0.13%
Dax……16023 -88.2 -0.55%
CAC……7261 -33.2 -0.46%

Nikkei…..33575 +186.2 +0.56%
HSI………19218 -388.7 -1.98%
Shanghai.3198 -42.5 -1.31%

IDX…..6702.63 +42.17 +0.63%
LQ45….954.69 +5.87 +0.62%
IDX30…496.50 +2.89 +0.58%

IDXEnergy…1806.68 +9.56 +0.53%
IDX BscMat..996.71 +6.11 +0.62%
IDX Indstrl…1174.30 +6.23 +0.53%
IDXNONCYC.745.10 +6.29 +0.85%
IDX Hlthcare1483.02 -18.74 -1.25%
IDXCYCLIC….880.50 +11.81 +1.36%
IDX Techno.4976.60 +62.17 +1.27%
IDX Transp..1932.58 +21.33 +1.12%
IDX Infrast… .858.94 +10.55 +1.24%
IDX Finance.1401.98 +12.25 +0.88%
IDX Banking.1181.09 +9.54 +0.81 %
IDX Property..733 +3.70 +0.51%

*Indo10Yr.6.3755 -0.0228 -0.36%*
*ICBI..366.3681 +0.4179 +0.11%*
*US2Yr.4.7200* +0.030 +0.64%
*US5Yr 3.9620* +0.018 +0.46%
*US10Yr3.7270* -0.003 -0.08%
*US30Yr.3.8100* unch +0%
*VIX…….13.20 -0.68 -4.90%👍*

*USDIndx102.0710* -0.4690 -0.46%
Como Indx….270.65 +3.23 +1.21%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……146.06 unch +0%

*IndoCDS.84.68 +1.47 +1.77%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(20/06)*

*IDR…..14952.00 -52.50‼️ -0.35%*
*Jisdor.14982.00 -78.00‼️ -0.52%*

*Euro……1.0989* +0.007 +0.64%

TLKM…26.55 -0.18 -0.67%
*(3978)*
EIDO….23.18 +0.21 +0.91%
EEM…..39.89 -0.19 -0.47%

*Oil………72.48 +1.98 +2.81%*
*Gold…1944.90* -3.80 -0.20%
Timah..26487.00 -53.00 -0.20%
*(Closed 20/06)*
*Nickel..21331.50 -644.50 -2.93%*
(Closed 21/06)
*Silver….. 22.95 -0.48 -2.08%*
Copper..390.45 +1.10 +0.28%

*Iron Ore 62% 113.08* +0.06 +0.05%
(20/06)
*Nturl Gas.2.5900 +0.105 +4.23%‼️*

Coal price.124.15 -2.40 -1.90%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.65 -0.90 -0.67%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.85 +0.30 +0.22%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.65 +1.20 +0.87%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price116.75 -0.45 -0.38%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.00 -1.00 -0.85%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.75 -2.00 -1.73%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.15 -1.80 -1.57%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Sept)..3616 -111 -2.97%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn…..628.75 +31.25 +5.23%‼️*
*SoybeanOil 54.66 -4.00 -6.94%‼️*
*Wheat…748.25 +39.50 +5.57%‼️*

*Wood pulp..4280.00* unch +0%
(Closed 21/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Lanjut semua merah lagi kecuali nikkei dan IHSG. Kalo gitu hari ini mendem lagi kayanya IHSG

USD index turun, Oil Gas naik, coal turun, Gold Silver masih merah copper ijo, harusnya USD index merah gold nya gerak ijo hari ini. Timah nikel merah juga,iron ore ijo, CPO drop, kayanya pas buat AALI LSIP bikin higher low, kita entry setelah beres pullback-nya

IHSG – sampe kemaren ternyata masih FNS, diangkat tinggi sama broker lokal, fixed hari ini dibanting lagi kalo gitu… Technically stoch sell, macd still up, MFI up, w%uptrend, candle bullish engulfing closing diatas MA10. Seolah2 ok sih technical, tapi harus FNB baru bisa jalan beneran

Jadwal pullback semua dari RSI nya…

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA BBTN ICBP DOID GGRM

MACD Buy Signal: JPFA GGRM

Alligator Buy Signal: EMTK SCMA

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBTN

BBCA – Stoch buy, MACD rev up, MFIup, w% sw, BD dist, FF rev acc, hid bull, pas midline LR, wave 3, bisa spec buy buat yang mau buy bank konven, setengah dulu, firm nya wave 3 kalo udah breakout high nya wave 1

 

Daily Analysis 20230616

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

June 16th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq rally for sixth straight day as traders hope Fed’s rate-hiking cycle is nearly over

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
on Thursday rallied more than 400 points and the S&P 500 touched a fresh 13-month high, as investors bet the Federal Reserve was close to done raising rates after the central bank this week skipped a hike.

Dow……34408 +428.7 +1.26%
Nasdaq13782 +156.3 +1.15%
S&P 500.4426 +53.3 +1.22%

FTSE…..7628 +25.5 +0.34%
Dax……16290 -20.7 -0.13%
CAC……7291 -37.6 -0.51%

Nikkei…..33485 -16.9 -0.05%
HSI………19829 +420.5 +2.17%
Shanghai.3253 +23.99 +0.74%

IDX…..6713.79 +14.08 +0.21%
LQ45….952.27 +2.46 +0.26%
IDX30…495.48 +1.47 +0.30%

IDXEnergy…1804.57 +13.42 +0.75%
IDX BscMat.1004.10 +6.18. +0.62%
IDX Indstrl…1176.38 -3.82 -0.32%
IDXNONCYC.748.16 +0.55 +0.07%
IDX Hlthcare1516.42 +8.90 +0.59%
IDXCYCLIC…885.38 +0.73 +0.08%
IDX Techno..4899.01 +17.34+0.36%
IDX Transp..1924.74 -33.59 -1.72%
IDX Infrast…..859.73 +5.22 +0.61%
IDX Finance.1396.69 -3.44 -0.25%
IDX Banking.1173.23 +1.15 +0.10%
IDX Property..736 -4.80 -0.65%

Indo10Yr.6.3501 +0.0084 +0.13%
ICBI..366.7252 -0.2243 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.6410 -0.066 -1.40%
US5Yr 3.9130 -0.081 -2.02%
US10Yr3.7200-0.074 -1.95%
US30Yr.3.831-0.062 -1.59%
VIX……14.50 +0.62 +4.47%

USDIndx102.1150 -0.8330 -0.81%
Como Indx.266.91 +6.65 +2.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……148.61 +0.58 +0.39%

*IndoCDS.83.22👍 +0.01 +0.01%*[
(5-yr INOCD5) (14/06)

IDR…..14954.00‼ +47.50 +0.32%
Jisdor.14943.00‼ +48.00 +0.32%

Euro……1.0947 +0.0113 +1.04%

TLKM…27.08 +0.25 +0.93%
(4046)
EIDO….23.45 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM…..41.02 +0.38 +0.94%

Oil……70.54 +1.90 +2.77%
Gold…1970.10 +13.10 +0.67%
Timah..26762.00 +697.00 +2.67%
(Closed 14/06)
Nickel..22975.50 +292.00 +1.29%
(Closed 15/06)
Silver……23.96 -0.04 -0.17%
Copper..389.45. +3.75 +1.05%

Iron Ore 62% 112.75 +0.30 +0.27
(14/06)
Nturl Gas.2.554 +0.2160 +9.24%‼

Coal price.135.95 +3.95 +2.99%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.70 +3.55 +2.61%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.95 +3.35 +2.42%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.30 +2.75 +1.94%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price116.45 +0.05 +0.04%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.80 -0.05 -0.04%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.05 -0.15 -0.13%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.40 +0.25 +0.22%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3506 +67 +1.94%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……574.50 +25.25 +4.60%‼
SoybeanOil 56.45 +2.74 +5.10%‼
Wheat…672.75 +31.50 +4.91%‼

Wood pulp..4300.00 -14 -0.32%
(Closed 13/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, europe varied, asia nikkei doang yang merah, lanjut ah hari ini…

Oil rebound, gas jump, coal ijo. ADRO lanjut… Semoga PGAS juga rebound setelah deviden trap. Gold rebound, silver merah copper ijo, timah nikel iron ore ijo.ANTM MDKA INCO TINS lanjut. CPO ijo, mulai harus dicermati AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch up, macd up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD acc, FF dist, kejedot fibo 23 dan midline LR, long lowershadow touch MA 10, closing di atas, mantul sih harusnya, tinggal tunggu foreign acc lagi

Masih Basic Materials sama Energy, yang udah leading Industrials sama Healthcare. Technology mulai melemah

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI APIC BBKP MPMX INCI

MACD Buy Signal: BMRI BRPT CPIN INCO INTP KLBF TPIA BSSR MTEL

Alligator Buy Signal: BBHI ERAA LSIP MLPL WIKA

Supertrend Buy Signal: AALI

DAily Analysis 20230615

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

June 15th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes nearly flat after Fed leaves rates unchanged, signals more hikes are coming

Stocks gyrated on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve paused its rate-hiking campaign and signaled it was making progress on fighting inflation

Dow……33979 -232.8 -0.68%
Nasdaq13626 +53.2 +0.39%
S&P 500.4373 +3.6 +0.08%

FTSE…..7603 +7.96 +0.10%
Dax……16311 +80.1 +0.49%
CAC……7328 +37.7 +0.52%

Nikkei…..33502 +483.8 +1.47%
HSI………19408 -113.0 -0.58%
Shanghai.3229 -4.7 -0.14%

IDX…..6699.72 -19.30 -0.29%
LQ45….949.81 -2.77 -0.29%
IDX30…494.00 -2.11 -0.42%

IDXEnergy…1791.15 +13.85 +0.78%
IDX BscMat…997.92 +12.65 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl…1180.20 +11.51 +0.98%
IDXNONCYC.747.61 -0.47 -0.06%
IDX Hlthcare1507.53 -18.80 -1.23%
IDXCYCLIC…884.65 -4.06 -0.46%
IDX Techno..4881.67 -51.97 -1.06%
IDX Transp..1958.33 +0.68 +0.03%
IDX Infrast…..854.51 +1.75 +0.21%
IDX Finance.1400.13 -4.75 -0.34%
IDX Banking.1172.08 -7.33 -0.67%
IDX Property..744 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.3417 -0.0124 -0.20%👍
ICBI..366.9494 +0.2153 +0.06%👍
US2Yr.4.707 +0.038 +0.81%
US5Yr 3.994 -0.007 -0.17%
US10Yr3.7940-0.020 -0.52%
US30Yr.3.8930-0.031 -0.79%
VIX……13.88 -0.73 -5.00%👍

USDIndx102.9480 -0.3900 -0.38%
Como Indx.260.27 -0.54 -0.21%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……148.03 +2.80 +1.93%

*IndoCDS.84.20👍 +0.01 +0.01%*[
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/06)

IDR…..14906.50‼ +43.00 +0.29%
Jisdor.14895.00‼ +27.00 +0.18%

Euro……1.0834 +0.0042 +0.39%

TLKM…26.83 +0.03 +0.11%
(3996)
EIDO….23.46 -0.02 -0.09%
EEM…..40.64 +0.30 +0.74%

Oil……68.64 -0.52 -0.75%
Gold…1957.00 -0.90 -0.05%
Timah..26065.00 +164.00 +0.63%
(Closed 13/06)
Nickel..22683.50 +635.50 +2.88%‼
(Closed 14/06)
Silver……24.00 +0.25 +1.05%
Copper..385.70. +2.80 +0.73%

Iron Ore 62% 112.45 +1.31 +1.18
(13/06)
Nturl Gas.2.338 +0.010 +0.42%

Coal price.132.00 -0.25 -0.19%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.15 -1.10 -0.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.60 -1.05 -0.75%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.55 -0.95 -0.67%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price116.40 -1.10 -0.94%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.80 +1.05 +0.91%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.20 +1.60 +1.42%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.15 +1.70 +1.53%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3450 +28 +0.81%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……549.25 -2.00 -0.36%
SoybeanOil 53.71 +0.16 +0.30%
Wheat…630.25 -6.00 -0.94%

Wood pulp..4314.00 -20 -0.46%
(Closed 13/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah nasdaq ijo, europe ijo, asia varied, Fed Rate flat, signal bagus buat saham

Oil Coal merah, gas ijo, gold merah lagi tipis, silver copper ijo, timah nickel iron ore ijo, secara umum buat tambang mineral masih ok

IHSG – masih FF dist akhirnya kejedot fibo 23 terus koreksi begitu BD mulai dist juga… stoch masih up, macd up, MFI sw, w% down, minor IHNS in the making, kalo bener level support nya udah touched hari ini, tinggal mantul

Masih Energy dan Basic Materials, technology mulai goyang, transportation healthcare sama industrials masih ok

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII MBSS SGRO

MACD Buy Signal: TOWR BTPS HEAL LPPF

Alligator Buy Signal: TOWR ADHI MIKA MYOR PTPP SGER

Supertrend Buy Signal: TKIM