January 05th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq closes lower for a fifth day, its longest losing streak since October 2022

The Nasdaq Composite
closed lower on Thursday for a fifth consecutive session — its longest losing streak since October 2022.

Dow……37440 +10.2 +0.03%
Nasdaq14510 -81.9 -0.56%
S&P 500.4689 -16.1 -0.34%

FTSE…..7723 +40.7 +0.53%
Dax……16617 +78.9 +0.48%
CAC……7451 +38.8 +0.52%

Nikkei..33288 -175.9 -0.53%
HSI…….16646 -0.4 -0.00%
Shanghai.2954 -12.90 -0.43%

IDX…..7359.76 +80.67 +1.11%
LQ45….988.64 +15.26 +1.57%
IDX30…502.23 +7.97 +1.61%

IDXEnergy..2171.31 +36.50 +1.71%
IDX BscMat.1330.91 +4.60 +0.35%
IDX Indstrl…1110.45 +6.64 +0.60%
IDXNONCYC.723.68 +5.23 +0.73%
IDX Hlthcare1336.32 -4.84 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…832.62 +7.38 +0.89%
IDX Techno4398.90 -28.19 -0.64%
IDX Transp 1695.01 +38.04 +2.30%
IDX Infrast 1578.76 +1.48 +0.09%
IDX Finance.1478.79+30.77 +2.13%
IDX Banking.1301.50+33.51+2.64%
IDX Property.. 709 +0.20 +0.03%

Indo10Yr.6.6570+0.0076 +0.11%
ICBI…374.0422 -0.1536 -0.04%
US2Yr.4.387 +0.054 +1.25%
US5Yr 3.980 +0.075 +1.92%
US10Yr4.007+0.087 +2.22%
US30Yr.4.152+0.082 +2.01%$
VIX….14.13 +0.09 +0.64%

USDIndx 102.4220 -0.035 -0.03%
Como Indx..265.00 -0.26 -0.10%
BCOMIN……138.33 -1.60 -1.14 %

IndoCDS..75.20 +5.97 +8.62%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/01)

IDR…..15490.00 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor.15525.00 +30.00 +0.19%

Euro….1.0946 +0.0026 +0.24%

TLKM…25.47 -0.15 -0.59%
(3954)
EIDO….22.39 +0.34 +1.54%
EEM….39.39 -0.13 -0.33%

Oil……..72.70 -0.51 -0.70%
Gold..2050.00 +7.20 +0.35%
Timah..25294.00 +110 +0.44%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..16425.00 -291 -1.77%
(Closed 04/01)
Silver……23.19 +0.03 +0.13%
Copper.384.40 -1.75 -0.45%

Iron Ore 62% 144.16 +7.79 %‼️
(03/01)
Nturl Gas..2.848 +0.161 +5.99%‼️
Ammonia China.3640.00 -16.67 -0.46%
(Domestic Price)(03/02)

Coal price.130.90 +2.40 +1.87%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 129.20 +2.20 +1.73%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.127.90 +2.15 +1.71%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.30 +2.90 +2.33%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.112.30 +3.05 +2.80%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.30 +4.55 +4.39%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.103.55 +4.30 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.35 +4.15 +4.27%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3656 +32 +0.88%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……466.50 +1.25 +0.27%
SoybeanOil 48.16 -0.44 -0.91%
Wheat….613.50 +13.25 +2.21%

Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Asia kemaren IHSG kenceng sendiri, yang lain merah, Europe ijo, US DJI tipis2 tapi nasdaq merah. US bond rates pada naik, USD index turun tipis, agak khawatir buat saham, tapi yang commodities sih ok.

Gold Tin Silver Iron ore ijo, nickel copper merah. Oil merah gas coal ijo tebel, CPO ijo, Hayo ANTM PTBA AALI jalan yok

IHSG – masih lanjut, stoch ob macd up MFI up w% uptrend BD acc FNB udah deket banget sama level ATH

Kalo hari ini rejection candle bisa jadi longsor

Cosumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADMR ERAA RMKE SMDR IPOL. Big acc ADMR, Spike SMDR

MACD Buy SIgnal: ISAT PNIN AMFG

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: PTBA ELSA MNCN

Supertrend Buy Signal BBTN ELSA

Alligator Buy Signal: PTBA SCMA AVIA HEAL

Selamat pagi 🌻,
4 Agustus 23

Dow.. 35.215.89 -66.63 -0.19%
Nasdaq.. 13.959.72 -13.73 -0.10%
S&P 500.. 4.501,89 -11.5 -0.25%

Brent Oil.. 85.25 +2.05 +2.46%
Crude Oil WTI.. 81.77 +0.21 +0.26%
Gold.. 1970.30 +1.50 +0.08%
Nickel.. 21.737.00 +177.00 +0.82%
Silver.. 23.715 +0.018 +0.08%
Copper.. 3.9017 +0.0052 +0.13%
Nturl Gas.. 2.562 +0.008 +0.31%

Coal price..145.00 +1.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..141.5 +3.35
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.. 136.85 +3.35
(Aug/Newcastle)

Corn.. 494.75 -5.25% -1.05%
SoybeanOil.. 1.325.25 +4.25 +0.32%
Wheat.. 6.28,25 -10.75 -1.68%

RK/ CGS-CIMB Bdg
Tiktok: rienan777

Source: Investing, Barchart.

US merah, tapi semua commodity naik, bagus buat basic materials sama energy

IHSG – Udah 2 hari US merah tapi IHSG jalan, padahal MACD sell, tapi memang dari fibonacci retracement udah kena level koreksi wajar. Ga bisa cuma pake satu ilmu aja pendekatannya sih… BD acc, FNB, semoga lanjut

Masih Basic Materials, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT ESSA ICBP KLBF SIDO ADMR BBKP JPFA RAJA SMRA. Big Accum KLBF ADMR JPFA

MACD Buy Signal: BBCA SMGR MYOR

Alligator Buy Signal: ERAA

AMRT Skip

ESSA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI sw, w% sw, CNH failed, BD dah mulai akum, FF masih galaw. Belum ok kayanya

ICBP – stoch buy macd downrev, MFI down, w% up, BD FF acc, belum ada spike baru, spike lama target done, udah run wave 3 panjang, belum masih 1.618 tapi khawatir mau wave 4. WNS dulu deh

KLBF – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w% sw, BD acc FF dist, but inside, itungan ABC correction level done, mungkin aja udah bisa dianggap beres dan mau rebound, tapi amannya tunggu MACD sambil pantau FF

Spike terakhir spike jual, belum ada lagi. WNS, tunggu MACD

SIDO – masih belum beres turunnya, emang sih stoch buy dan BD FF rev acc, tapi masih terakhir spike jual. Abis drop jauh sabar tunggu firm reversal, tunggu bikin higher low

ADMR – stoch buy, macd rev up almost buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF rev acc, udah bikin higher low, kayanya ada freq spike juga, kita check dulu

Pas di bawah 3 kali spike terus jalan, spike jual kecil, lanjut spike beli walau ga terlalu besar. OK sih ini, bisa spec buy, full load tunggu MACD

JPFA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF acc, agak mencurigakan sih, akum terus walau turun, tapi apakah udah selesai dibawa turunnya. Technically belum.

Belum dulu sih, terakhir spike jual, lagipula udah pegang CPIN, skip dulu

SMGR – rsi reg bear div, memang sih stoch buy, BD FF rev acc, w% uptrend, kemaren candle ijo vol gede, tapi udah run lumayan panjang dan udah deket sama fibo 23, resiko kejedot terus dibanting

Ada spike tinggi 2 hari lalu sebelum diangkat 5.8%. Ga berani ah, curiga itu spike balikin barang

MYOR – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, tapi BD FF dist terus belum beres, hari ini kalo closing di atas breakout resistance, akhir dari wave 4? Munking aja sih, WNS dulu tunggu rev acc

ERAA – sejak breakout technical masih ok, tapi baru kena trailing stop, minggir dulu..

July 26th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes higher for 12th straight day, registers longest rally since February 2017

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
closed higher Tuesday, notching its longest winning streak in more than six years as traders weighed the latest earnings reports.

Dow……35438 +26.4 +0.08%
Nasdaq14145 +85.7 +0.61%
S&P 500.4567 +12.8 +0.28%

FTSE…..7692 +13.2 +0.17%
Dax……16212 +20.6 +0.13%
CAC……7415 -11.9 -0.16%

Nikkei…32683 -18.4 -0.06%
HSI……19434 +766.3 +4.10%
Shanghai.3232 +67.4 +2.13%

IDX…..6917.71 +18.32 +0.27%
LQ45….963.85 +1.42 +0.15%
IDX30…501.23 +1.01 +0.20%

IDXEnergy…1946.03 -4.06 -0.21%
IDX BscMat.1067.49 +7.66 +0.72%
IDX Indstrl…1203.38 +1.55 +0.13%
IDXNONCYC.750.28 -9.79 -1.29%
IDX Hlthcare1552.08 -9.52 -0.61%
IDXCYCLIC….926.75 -0.94 -0.10%
IDX Techno.4782.04 -5.59 -0.12%
IDX Transp..1933.84 +8.43 +0.44%
IDX Infrast… .851.04 -3.48 -0.41%
IDX Finance.1429.97 -0.29 -0.02%
IDX Banking.1205.73 +4.28 +0.36%
IDX Property..762 -5.70 -0.75%

Indo10Yr.6.3270 +0.0027 +0.04%
*ICBI….369.2864* +0.1425 +0.04%
US2Yr.4.8790 -0.046 -0.93%
US5Yr 4.1680 +0.011 +0.26%
US10Yr3.8970 +0.022 +0.57%
US30Yr.3.9470+0.014 +0.36%
VIX…….13.86 -0.05 -0.36%

USDIndx 101.3490 +0.0030 +0.00%
Como Indx…281.89 +1.76 +0.63%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….148.00 +3.06 +2.11%

IndoCDS.82.70 -0.50 -0.60%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/07)

IDR…..14998.00 -28.50 -0.19%
Jisdor.15007.00 -21.00 -0.14%

Euro……1.1063 -0.0061 -0.55%

TLKM…25.63 -0.23 -0.89%
(3846)
EIDO….23.63 -0.02 -0.08%
EEM…..41.21 +0.34 +0.83%

Oil…..79.33 +0.48 +0.61%
Gold…2006.50 +11.50 +0.58%
Timah..28601.00 +107.00 +0.38%
(Closed 24/07)
Nickel..22502.50 +1042.00 +4.86%‼
(Closed 25/07)
Silver…. 24.84 +0.34 +1.39%
Copper.391.85. +6.30 +1.63%

Iron Ore 62% 112.51 +0.04 +0.04%
(24/07)
Nturl Gas.2.730 +0.0220 +0.81%
Ammonia China..2833.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(24/07)

Coal price..134.00 +0.90 +0.68%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.50 +4.40 +3.07%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.10 +5.15 +3.53%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.55 +6.35 +4.28%‼
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price111.15 +0.10 +0.09%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.20 +2.70 +2.34%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.05 +4.50 +3.86%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.90 +5.85 +4.96%‼
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)..4070 -98 -2.35%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………565.25 -3.00 -0.53%
SoybeanOil 64.26 -0.48 -0.74%
Wheat…….760.25 +2.75 +0.36%

*Wood pulp..4380.00* unch +0%
(Closed 24/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nah ini keren banget, US Europe closing mostly ijo asia juga, USD index turun, semua commodity naik, kecuali CPO, Nickel naik tinggi. Waktunya Basic Materials jalan lagi

Watch ANTM MDKA INCO, TINS agak hati2 karena mau keluar LQ45. Coal lanjut, harusnya rada panjang ini, tapi balik ke analisis per emiten nanti momentum extry – exit nya

IHSG – stoch down, MACD up, 833 buy, MFI sw, w%uptrend, FNB terus, BD juga accum, kita tunggu apa jalan triple bottom nya

Energy jalan lagi, Healthcare, Property

Stochastic Buy SIgnal: ERAA SGRO

MACD buy signal: INCI

Alligator buy Signal: INCO CTRA GGRM

Kemaren ga ada yang close supertrend buy signal, kalo hari ini closing di atas, INCO buy signal

July 25th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow rises nearly 200 points, extends rally to 11 days for longest winning streak in six years

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose Monday, notching its longest winning streak since February 2017, to kick off a busy week of key earnings reports and a major policy decision from the Federal Reserve.

Dow……35411 +183.6 +0.52%
Nasdaq14059 +26.1 +0.40%
S&P 500.4555 +18.3 +0.40%

FTSE…..7679 +14.9 +0.19%
Dax……16191 +13.7 +0.08%
CAC……7427 -5.5 -0.07%

Nikkei…32701 +396.7 +1.23%
*HSI…….18668 -407.1 -2.13%*
Shanghai.3164 -3.6 -0.11%

IDX…..6899.40 +18.59 +0.27%
LQ45….962.43 -0.95 -0.10%
IDX30…500.22 -0.40 -0.08%

IDXEnergy…1950.09 +35.04 +1.83%
IDX BscMat.1059.83 +7.97 +0.76%
IDX Indstrl…1201.83 +12.90 +1.09%
IDXNONCYC.760.07 -1.82 -0.24%
IDX Hlthcare1561.60 +7.92 +0.51%
IDXCYCLIC….927.69 +0.51 +0.05%
IDX Techno.4787.64 -24.96 -0.52%
IDX Transp..1925.42 -7.45 -0.39%
IDX Infrast… .854.52 -2.11 -0.25%
IDX Finance.1430.26 -3.27 -0.23%
IDX Banking.1201.45 -5.70 -0.47%
IDX Property..762 -5.70 -0.75%

*Indo10Yr.6.3243* +0.0016 +0.03%
*ICBI….369.1439* +0.0374 +0.01%
*US2Yr.4.9250* +0.079 +1.63%
*US5Yr 4.1570* +0.062 +1.51%
*US10Yr3.8750* +0.038 +0.99%
*US30Yr.3.9330*+0.033 +0.85%
*VIX…….13.91 +0.31 +2.28%*

*USDIndx 101.3460‼️* +0.2750 +0.27%
Como Indx…280.13 +3.65 +1.32%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…….144.94 +1.78 +1.24%

*IndoCDS.83.20 +0.50 +0.60%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(21/07)*

*IDR…..15026.50‼️ -0.50 -0.00%*
*Jisdor.15028.00‼️ +2.00. +0.01%*

*Euro……1.1063 -0.0061 -0.55%*

TLKM…25.86 +0.21 +0.82%
*(3886)*
EIDO….23.65 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM…..40.87 +0.55 +1.36%

*Oil…..78.85 +1.78 +2.31%*
*Gold…1995.00* -10.30 -0.51%
Timah..28494.00 – -%
*(Closed 21/07)*
*Nickel..21460.50 +631.00 +3.03%‼️*
(Closed 24/07)
Silver…. 24.50 -0.36 -1.45%
Copper.385.55. +2.75 +0.72%

Iron Ore 62% 112.47 – -%
(21/07)
Nturl Gas.2.708 -0.0390 -1.42%
Ammonia China..2833.33 +16.66 +0.59%
(Domestic Price)(21/07)

Coal price..133.10 +0.10 +0.08%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.10 +1.35 +0.95%
(Agt/Newcastle)
*Coal price.145.95 +2.90 +2.03%*
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.20 +0.50 +0.34%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price111.05 +0.55 +0.50%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.115.50 +1.75 +1.54%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.116.55 +2.55 +2.24%*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.118.05 +3.80 +3.33%‼️*
(Oct/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Okt)..4168 +129 +3.09%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn….568.25 +32.00 +5.97%‼️‼️*
*SoybeanOil 64.74 +1.94 +3.09%‼️*
*Wheat…757.50 +60.00 +8.60%‼️‼️*

*Wood pulp..4380.00* unch +0%
(Closed 24/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US Europe mostly ijo, asia varied, hangseng drop gede, semoga idx ga terpengaruh

USD index naik lagi, consequently gold silver turun, tapi copper nickel up, oil lanjut naik, gas merah, coal up, CPO up. Masih kurang asik buat ANTM MDKA. masih giliran MEDC ELSA sama ADRO PTBA ITMG HRUM

IHSG – FNB lagi, BD acc, stoch rev up, MACD up, 833 buy, w% up, MFI up, harusnya lanjut lah ya

Healthcare Property Energy. Technology melemah lagi, basic materials juga

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ITMG TLKM UNTR ABMM DSNG HMSP MLPL MYOR. TLKM UNTR MYOR Big Accum

MACD Buy Signal: BBNI TBIG TPIA ERAA PNBN

BBNI TBIG Big Accum

Alligator Buy Signal: WIKA EKAD

Supertrend Buy Signal: MEDC PGAS UNTR