Global Update:
September 26th, 2022
Good morning,
Dow drops nearly 500 points to close at new low for 2022 on rising recession fears
Stocks tumbled Friday to cap a brutal week for financial markets, as surging interest rates and foreign currency turmoil heightened fears of a global recession.
Dow…….29590 -486.3 -1.62%
Nasdaq.10868 -198.9 -1.80%
S&P 500..3693 -64.8 -1.72%
FTSE…….7019 -140.9 -1.97%
Dax……..12294 -247.4 -1.97%
CAC……..5783 -135.1 -2.28%
Nikkei….27154 closed +0%
HSI……..17933 -214.7 -1.18%
Shanghai..3088 -20.5 -0.66%
ST Times..3227 -35.97 -1.10%
IDX…….7178.58 -40.32 -0.56%
LQ45…1025.63 -7.01 -0.58%
IDX Energy…1991.67 -23.5 -1.41%
IDX Bsc Mat.1301.65 -2.95 -0.23%
IDX Industrl..1355.13 -13.61 -0.99%
IDXNONCYC..708.57 +4.93 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare.1465.26 -0.53 -0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…..875.32 -2.93 -0.33%
IDX Techno..7385.64 -52.48 -0.71%
IDX Transp…1861.89 +9.35 +0.50%
IDX Infrast…..1017.76 -1.03 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1505.11 -2.42 -0.16%
IDX Banking..1163.56 -7.23 -0.62%
IDX Property….712 -8.00 -1.11%
Indo10Yr….7.3183 +0.0420 +0.57%
ICBI……..334.4139 -0.7996 -0.24%
US10Yr……3.6970 -0.0110 -0.30%‼️
VIX……….29.92 +2.57 +9.40%‼️
USDIndx113.1920+1.8390 +1.65%‼️‼️
Como Indx..268.47 -9.38 -3.38%‼️
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.17 -5.58 -3.68%‼️
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/9)
IDR……15037.50 +14.50 +0.10%‼️
Jisdor..15035.00 +2.00 +0.01%‼️
Euro……..0.9687 -0.015 -1.52%‼️
TLKM……..28.71 -0.59 -2.01%
(4316)
EIDO………23.94 -0.40 -1.64%
EEM………35.98 -0.91 -2.47%
Oil…………..78.74 -4.92 -5.88%‼️
Gold ……1655.60 -23.80 -1.41%‼️
Timah. .2p243.00 -1407 -6.50%‼️
( Closed 23/9)
Nickel…23389.50 -989.00 -4.21%‼️
(Closed 23/9)
Silver…….18.91 -0.74 -3.77%‼️
Copper….334.30 -12.20 -3.52%
Nturl Gas…..6.992 -0.212 -2.94%
Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/9)
Coal price….435.20 -0.45 -0.10%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.20 -10.45 -2.48%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….411.15 -9.80 -2.33%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….327.00 +3.35 +1.04%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.00 +7.00 +2.41%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….298.75 +5.75 +1.96%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des)……3733 -93 -2.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………676.75 -11.50 -1.67%
SoybeanOil…63.68 -2.78 -4.18%‼️
Wheat………880.50 -30.25 -3.32%‼️
Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 25/9)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Semua index regional merah closing jum’at, semua komoditi, makin kuat bawa IHSG kebawah
IHSG – semua indicator kompak bilang down, even harga udah close dibawah EMA 20
Healthcare mulai melemah, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer, Non-Cyclicals. Yang mau nyusul Transportation, Technology, Infrastructure.
Healthcare – seharusnya masih nanjak, retracement pattern ote to fibo 61, MACD up stoch up alligator up supertrend up, kejedot cloud ichimoku semoga besok tembus ke atas. Foreign yang masih entry
MIKA HEAL FNB, MIKA ada Spike 22 sep
MIKA – Stoch sell, MACD sw, MFI flat, bandar and foreign akum lagi, kejedot supertrend masuk lagi ke cloud, supposedly masih wave 3, ada bearish divergence confirmed by 2 red candles dan MA10, kalo ga break high diatas candle divergence nya bisa terus longsor. Closing candle terakhir sih diatas MA10.
MIKA – dari spike nya sih menarik…
MIKA – dari harga dibanding avg bandar juga aman, hold deh…
HEAL – all good, harus break resistance 1545 biar wave 3 nya firm. Yang belum punya bisa BOW yang udah punya hold
SAME – beda sendiri, setelah ada vol breakout malah lanjut dibanting, udah nongol bullish divergence sih, bisa masuk lagi tunggu MACD buy lagi.
Bandarnya lagi becanda ini…
Consumer Cyclicals – Keliatan belum jadi jalan… Stoch sell, macd sell lagi, MFI sw, bandar dan foreign distribusi lagi, padahal nungguin ACES sama ERAA mantul, belum waktunya ternyata…
Consumer Non-Cyclicals – Malah ini yang keliatan mau jalan, MACD buy stoch up, PSAR up, walau ABC correctionnya belum bikin lower low. Bandar akum lagi, foreign ga pernah exit
Banyak FNB dan bandar akum, JPFA PMMP DSNG buy signal
JPFA – Stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, foreign distribusi, bandar sw, inside cloud ga tembus bawah, semoga break up cloud, dikit lagi price tembus EMA 20 dan 50, ada vol breakout tgl 16 sambil tembus resistance minor.
Price aman, bisa BOW, volume udah sepi, enak buat ngangkat harga…
PMMP – technically lumayan ok, vol breakout, gerak setelah ada hidden bullish divergence, stoch up macd buy bandar dan foreign akum, alligator buy, supertrend up… Tapi ini saham relatif baru, listing desember 2020, gagal di IPO nya, hari pertama naik lanjut ARB melulu. Personally skip dulu deh mending JPFA aja
Kalo mungkin dapet BOW dibawah modal GR sih masih ok
DSNG – belum ah, indic nya masih ga kompak
EMA Golden Cross – BRIS ISAT LPPF PMMP
Stoch Buy – BRPT EXCL TBIG TPIA MMLP
MACD Buy – BFIN JPFA DSNG MPMX PMMP
BRIS – Stoch up, MACD up, bandar akum, foreign akum, MFI up, alligator buy, Supertrend buy, ada freq spike 21 sept, retracement pattern harusnya bawa test fibo 23 di 1855, PSAR Up, LR cross up midline, breakout resist minor with volume kemaren, bagus banget sih ini… Harusnya berani BOW, sepertinya market akan koreksi dulu hari ini, cocok buat ambil di bawah, tapi stop loss kalo breakdown 1500
BRIS – BOW di closing candle kamis, 1530, sedikit diatas YP, dibawah harga AK
ISAT – ada gap belum ketutup di atas, stoch hampir buy, macd juga, 833 udah buy, MFI up, bandar akum, foreign masih distribusi, ada freq spike 21 sept sebelum harga mulai naik, triangle breakout belum sampe ke targetnya, PSAR baru rubah jadi buy, LR slope up. Bagus sih ini…
Berani pasang buy, on weakness, dibawah harga KZ, dibawah 7100
LPPF – abis terjun jauh, bandar dan foreign masih distribusi, amannya nunggu bikin higher low dulu yang firm, skip
BRPT – abc correction belum sampe levelnya, udah buy di stoch dan macd, foreign masih buang, bandar akum tipis, curiga masih sideways dulu
EXCL – stoch buy, macd belum, MFI up, bandar dan foreign belum akum, lagi di area fibo 23, kalo ikut retracement pattern standar harusnya mantul. tapi belum semua firm, wns dulu
TBIG – ini infrastructure jalan bareng2 signalnya, jadi mikir mungkin mau jalan, emang di chart cacingnya udah mau bangun sih… Tapi ada candle volbuangan beberapa hari lalu, dan emang ga ada yang nampung, bukan tukeran barang, jadi wns dulu juga ini TBIG
MPMX – dari retracement pattern mungkin koreksi lagi ke fibo 23 atau lanjut ke fibo38, macd buy, stoch up, bandar dan foreign akum, breakout minor resistance with volume, tembus cloud ichimoku ke atas, sektor tapi kaya udahan belum jadi jalan, consumer cyclicals… Seandainya bukna index lagi wave 2, berani buy, sekarang mending play safe, WNS dulu