Daily Analysis 20220922

Daily Analysis 20220922

Global update:

September 22th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 500 points lower after the Fed delivers another aggressive rate hike

Stocks fell in volatile trading Wednesday after the Federal Reserve raised rates by 75 basis points and forecast more sizable rate hikes ahead in its fight to tame surging inflation.

Dow…….30184 -522.5 -1.70%
Nasdaq.11220 -204.9 -1.79%
S&P 500..3790 -66.00 -1.96%

FTSE…….7238 +44.98 +0.63%
Dax……..12767 +96.3 +0.76%
CAC……..6031 +51.9 +0.87%

Nikkei….27313 -375.3 -1.36%
HSI……..18445 -336.8 -1.79%
Shanghai..3118 -5.2 -0.17%
ST Times..3262 -5.2 -0.16%

IDX…….7188.31 -8.64 -0.12%
LQ45…1029.22 +1.01 +0.10%

IDX Energy..1976.56 -10.35 -0.52%
IDX Bsc Mat.1287.81 -3.18 -0.25%
IDX Industrl..1353.52 -3.20 -0.24%
IDXNONCYC..701.14 +1.20 +0.17%
IDX Hlthcare.1472.35 +0.19 +0.01%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.50 -3.03 -0.34%
IDX Techno..7471.71 +55.44 +0.75%
IDX Transp…1842.46 -6.32 -0.34%
IDX Infrast…..1012.22 -11.72 -1.14%
IDX Finance 1507.25 +1.24 +0.08%
IDX Banking..1172.67 +4.14 +0.27%
IDX Property….719 -10.70 -1.47%

Indo10Yr….7.2633 +0.0197 +0.27%
ICBI……..335.6860 -0.2699 -0.08%
US10Yr……3.5100 -0.0610 -1.71%‼
VIX……….27.99 +0.83 +3.06%

USDIndx 110.6420 +0.4270 +0.39%‼
Como Indx..278.23 -1.31 -0.47%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.72: -1.54 -1.00%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14997.00 +13.50 +0.09%‼
Jisdor..15011.00 +36.00 +0.24%‼

Euro……..0.9966 -0.0065 -0.65%

TLKM……..29.03 -0.46 -1.56%
(4358)
EIDO………24.22 -0.07 -0.29%
EEM………37.07 -0.63 -1.67%

Oil…………..83.02 -1.43 -1.69%
Gold ……..1679.60 +6.30 +0.38%
Timah. .21181.00 +236 +1.13%
( Closed 20/9)
Nickel…24827.00 -138.50 -0.55%
(Closed 21/9)
Silver…….19.53 +0.28 +1.45%
Copper….343.60 -6.35 -1.81%

Nturl Gas…..7.750 +0.030 +0.39%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(20/9)

Coal price….444.50 +3.20 +0.73%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….448.00 +10.00 +2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….448.30 +11.30 +2.59%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….324.05 +0.40 +0.12%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….292.00 -0.60 -0.21%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….294.55 -0.60 -0.20%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3891 +152 +4.07%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………685.50 -6.50 -0.94%
SoybeanOil…65.00 -0.91 -1.38%
Wheat………903.75 +10.00 +1.12%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 21/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US drop lagi abis pengumuman kenaikan suku bunga fed, europe ijo, asia merah, most likely lanjut merah hari ini…

Oil kemaren sore naik, closing market us turun lagi, metal2 varied, gold timah silver naik, nikel copper turun, belum langsung ngefek ke basic materials

Gas Coal naik, CPO naik tinggi. kita liat apakah akan jadi start reboundnya saham2 cpo

IHSG – harga sudah dibawah MA 20, buat pemakai ilmu MA untuk trend, sudah mau ngebalik trend nya ini

IHSG – sudah hampir semua indicator bilang mau lanjut turun, tinggal supertrend sama ichimoku yang belum firm

Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals. Next: Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Technology, Transportation

Daily Analysis 20220921

Daily Analysis 20220921

Global update:

September 21th, 2022

Good morning,

Major averages close about 1% lower as yields rise ahead of Fed rate decision

Stocks tumbled on Tuesday as the sell-off on Wall Street mounted and investors braced for another large rate hike due out Wednesday from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….30706 -313.5 -1.01%
Nasdaq.11425 -109.97 -0.95%
S&P 500..3855 -43.96 -1.13%

FTSE…….7193 -44.02 -0.61%
Dax……..12671 -132.4 -1.03%
CAC……..5979 -82.1 -1.35%

Nikkei….27688 +120.8 +0.44%
HSI……..18781 +215.5 +1.16%
Shanghai..3122 +6.8 +0.22%
ST Times..3267 +10.63 +0.33%

IDX…….7196.95 +1.46 +0.02%
LQ45…1028.21 +3.48 +0.34%

IDX Energy..1982.92 -10.58 -0.53%
IDX Bsc Mat.1290.99 -4.74 -0.37%
IDX Industrl..1356.73 -6.58 -0.48%
IDXNONCYC..699.95 -0.36 -0.05%
IDX Hlthcare.1472.15 +5.26 +0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.53 -0.49 -0.06%
IDX Techno..7416.27 +68.72 +0.94%
IDX Transp…1848.78 -19.38 -1.046%
IDX Infrast…..1023.94 -6.48 -0.63%
IDX Finance 1506.01 -10.91 -0.72%
IDX Banking..1169.53 -11.14 -0.94%
IDX Property….730 -7.30 -0.99%

Indo10Yr….7.2436 -0.0020 -0.03%
ICBI……..335.9559 +0.1485 +0.04%
US10Yr……3.5710 +0.0810 +2.32%‼️
VIX……….27.16 +1.40 +5.43%

USDIndx 110.2150 +0.4780 +0.44%‼️
Como Indx..279.54 -0.24 -0.09%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.26 +0.17 +0.11%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14983.50 +6.00 +0.04%‼️
Jisdor..14975.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼️

Euro……..0.9966 -0.0065 -0.65%

TLKM……..29.49 -0.30 -1.01%
(4463)
EIDO………24.29 -0.32 -1.30%
EEM………37.70 -0.21 -0.55%

Oil…………..84.45 -1.28 -1.49%
Gold ……..1673.30 -11.60 -0.69%
Timah. .20945.00 -192 -0.91%
( Closed 19/9)
Nickel…24965.50 +343.50 +0.99%
(Closed 20/9)
Silver…….19.25 -0.33 -1.68%
Copper….349.95 -2.90 -0.82%

Nturl Gas…..7.720 -0.158 -2.01%

Ammonia..4373.33 +116.66 +2.74%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(19/9)

Coal price….441.30 +2.25 +0.51%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….438.00 +9.95 +2.32%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….437.00 +11.95 +2.81%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.65 -10.60 -3.17%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….292.60 -14.95 -4.86%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….295.15 -13.65 -4.42%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3739 +38 +1.03%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..692.00 +13.75 +2.03%
SoybeanOil…65.91 +0.75 +1.15%
Wheat……..893.75 +63.25 +7.62%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah lagi, europe merah juga, asia kebanyakan ijo ikut US kemarennya. IHSG ijo tipis banget. Prepare lanjut merah today

Oil Gas turun, Coal naik, energi belum kompak lagi. Metal2 turun kecuali nikel, kurang asik buat basic materials, CPO merah, belum terlihat hilal kenaikan buat LSIP sama AALI

IHSG – masih jadwal wave 2, keep cash… Kecuali yang yakin banget dan sektornya masih jalan

Property, Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals. Yang keliatan mau nyusul technology, transportation, sama consumer non-cyclicals

Daily Analysis 20220920

Daily Analysis 20220920

Global Update:

September 20th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 200 points higher, stocks snap two-day losing streak to start big Fed week

Stocks closed higher on Monday in a volatile trading session ahead of the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting slated to kick off Tuesday.

Dow…….31020 +197.3 +0.64%
Nasdaq.11535 +86.6 +0.76%
S&P 500..3900 +26.6 +0.69%

FTSE…….7237 closed +0%
Dax……..12803 +61.98 +0.49%
CAC……..6062 -15.7 -0.26%

Nikkei….27568 closed +0%
HSI……..18566 -195.7 -1.04%
Shanghai..3116 -10.8 -0.35%
ST Times..3256 -11.98 -0.37%

IDX…….7195.49 +26.62 +0.37%
LQ45…1024.73 +8.72 +0.86%

IDX Energy..1997.50 -37.27 -1.83%
IDX Bsc Mat.1295.73 -8.40 -0.64%
IDX Industrl..1363.31 -0.13 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..700.31 -2.24 -0.32%
IDX Hlthcare.1466.89 +17.68 +1.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..885.02 +4.98 +0.57%
IDX Techno..7347.55 -135.95 -1.82%
IDX Transp…1868.16 -35.32 -1.86%
IDX Infrast…..1030.42 +3.18 +0.31%
IDX Finance 1516.93 +4.26 +0.28%
IDX Banking..1180.67 +13.18 +1.13%
IDX Property….737 +0.40 +0.05%

Indo10Yr….7.2456 +0.0062 +0.09%
ICBI……..335.8074 +0.0016 +0.00%
US10Yr……3.4900 +0.0420 +1.22%
VIX……….25.76 -0.54 -2.05%

USDIndx 109.7370 -0.0270 -0.02%
Como Indx..279.78 +0.90 +0.32%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.09 -0.15 -0.10%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14977.50 +23.00 +0.15%‼️
Jisdor..14980.00 +41.00 +0.27%‼️

Euro……..1.0031 +0.0015 +0.15%

TLKM……..29.79 +0.59 +2.02%
(4463)
EIDO………24.61 +0.34 +1.40%
EEM………37.91 +0.12 +0.03%

Oil…………..85.73 +0.62 +0.73%
Gold ……..1684.90 +1.40 +0.08%
Timah. .21137.00 – -%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24621.50 +226.00 +0.66%
(Closed 19/9)
Silver…….19.58 +0.20 +1.03%
Copper….352.85 +1.20 +0.34%

Nturl Gas…..7.878 +0.061 +0.78%

Ammonia..4256.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)

Coal price….439.05 +0.05 +0.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.05 +0.05 +0.01%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.05 +1.55 +0.37%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….334.25 +3.25 +0.98%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….307.55 +3.25 +1.07%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….308.80 +3.25 +1.06%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3701 -100 -2.63%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..678.25 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil…65.16 -0.80 -1.21%
Wheat……..830.50 -29.25 -3.40%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 19/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Fed rencana naikin suku bunga lagi, US ijo tadi malem. Europe ijo, asia merah kecuali IHSG yang mantul setelah sebelumnya koreksi hampir 2%.

Kemungkinan hari ini merah lagi sih, udah firm wave 2 nya by bearish divergence. Hati-hati belanja, pilih sektor yang jalan aja atau saham yang contrarian.

Semua komoditas ijo kecuali CPO, semoga bikin jalan Basic Materials

IHSG – akhirnya FNS… Setelah seminggu lebih foreign entry terus. Semua indicator bilang mau turum,atau sideways,ga ada lagi yang bilang up. Lagging line ichimoku sih, tapi udah dikit lagi mau nabrak masuk ke candle

Property, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation. Basic Materials, healthcare, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure lagi siap siap

Daily Analysis 20220919

Daily Analysis 20220919

Global update:

September 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower on Friday, extending sell off for worst week since June for S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street wrapped up one of its worst weeks in months and traders reacted to an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.

Dow…….30822 -139.4 -0.45%
Nasdaq.11448 -103.95 -0.90%
S&P 500..3873 -28.02 -0.72%

FTSE…….7237 -45.4 -0.62%
Dax……..12741 -215.4 -1.66%
CAC……..6077 -80.5 -1.31%

Nikkei….27568 -308.3 -1.11%
HSI……..18762 -168.7 -0.89%
Shanghai..3126 -73.5 -2.30%
ST Times..3268 +0.31 +0.01%

IDX…….7168.87 -136.73 -1.87%
LQ45…1016.01 -25.04 -2.40%

IDX Energy..2034.77 -44.48 -2.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.13 +0.83 +0.06%
IDX Industrl..1363.44 -22.00 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..702.55 -3.61 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare.1449.21 -5.57 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.03 -2.12 -0.24%
IDX Techno..7483.50 -35.58 -0.47%
IDX Transp…1903.48 -13.70 -0.71%
IDX Infrast…..1027.23 -3.55 -0.34%
IDX Finance 1512.67 -29.05 -1.88%
IDX Banking..1167.49 -33.02 -2.75%bangbang
IDX Property….737 -8.50 -1.14%

Indo10Yr….7.2394 +0.0326 +0.45%
ICBI……..335.6762 -0.6426 -0.19%
US10Yr……3.4480 -0.0110 -0.32%
VIX……….26.30 +0.03 +0.11%

USDIndx 109.7640 +0.0250 +0.02%
Como Indx..278.88 -2.12 -0.75%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.24 +1.24 +0.82%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14954.50 +57.00 +0.38%bangbang
Jisdor..14939.00 +40.00 +0.16%bangbang

Euro……..1.0016 +0.0022 +0.22%

TLKM……..29.20 -0.60 -2.01%
(4362)
EIDO………24.27 -0.48 -1.94%
EEM………37.79 -0.35 -0.92%
Oil…………..85.11 +0.38 +0.45%
Gold ……..1683.50 +11.80 +0.71%
Timah. .21137.00 +327.00 +1.57%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24395.50 +1091.00 +4.68%bangbang
(Closed 16/9)
Silver…….19.38 +0.32 +1.68%
Copper….351.65 +4.96 +1.43%

Nturl Gas…..7.817 -0.475 -5.73%bangbang

Ammonia..4256.67 +66.67 +1.59%bangbang
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)

Coal price….439.00 -6.50 -1.46%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.00 -10.00 -2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.50 -11.00 -2.53%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.00 -6.20 -1.84%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.30 -13.70 -4.30%bangbang
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..305.55 -12.45 -3.92%bangbang
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3801 -116 -2.96%bangbang
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.25 -0.25 -0.04%
SoybeanOil…65.96 +1.66 +2.58%
Wheat……..859.75 +14.75 +1.75%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/9)

copyrightPhintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at kompak merah semua, IHSG dalem banget dan ada opening gap down, membuka harapan rebound kecil hari ini… Energy dan Banking yang drop paling besar, udahan dulu emang keliatannya dari sisi sektornya.

Komoditas hampir semua naik kecuali natural gas sama coal dan  cpo, metal2 naik bisa berarti basic materials naik. Kita check chart sektornya later ya.

Keliatannya sesuai prediksi, sebelum santa claus rally akan drop dulu, bikin wave 3. Cocok nanti sama jadwal window dressing akhir tahun sekalian wave 3.

IHSG – stoch macd bilang sell, bandar dan foreign buang, MFI SW, ada banyak gap dibawah, LR bisa kemana aja, PSAR sell. Jelek banget ini…

IHSG kena regular bearish divergence MACD line dan MACD histogram, confirmed by MA10. So technically ngeri ini… Dan kemaren hype nya new ATH cuma segitu aja. Prepare buat terjunan wave 2. Kita liat sektor mana yang bakal jadi ganjel index

Bersih bersih dulu, mulai belanja lagi amannya setelah gap 6911 udah ketutup, kalo gap 6740 udah ketutup berani buy sambil merem, hehehe…

FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EX CHINA SEPTEMBER 2022 SEMI ANNUAL REVIEW

(The changes will be effective after the close of business on Friday, 16 September 2022 (i.e. on Monday, 19 September 2022)

INDONESIA

• LARGE CAP

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid

• MID CAP

Inclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large

• SMALL CAP

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Exclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
*
(Listri Samudra | Phintraco Sekuritas (AT), Source : FTSE – Disclaimer On)

Highlight di:

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid

-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Harusnya efek rebalancing akan bikin naik saham-saham ini karena akan diborong para Manager Investasi.

Cuma Property yang firm, tanda tanda perlawanan ada di basic materials, transportation, sama consumer cyclicals. Infra ada dikit tapi ok lah kita liat detailnya

Daily Analysis 20220913

Daily Analysis 20220913

Global Update:

September 13th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher for fourth straight session ahead of key inflation report, Dow rises 200 points

Stocks rose on Monday as a weaker dollar and growing confidence that higher prices have peaked helped Wall Street’s relief rally continue ahead of a key inflation report.

Dow…….32381 +299.6 +0.71%
Nasdaq.12266 +154.1 +1.27%
S&P 500..4110 +43.1 +1.06%

FTSE…….7473 +121.96 +1.66%
Dax……..13402 +314.1 +2.40%
CAC……..6334 +121.3 +1.95%

Nikkei….28542 +327.4 +1.16%
HSI……..19362 closed +0%
Shanghai..3262 closed +0%
ST Times..3275 +11.8 +0.36%

IDX…….7254.46 +11.81 +0.16%
LQ45…1032.79 +0.79 +0.08%

IDX Energy..2047.03 +36.30 +1.81%
IDX Bsc Mat.1339.62 +2.82 +0.21%
IDX Industrl..1371.82 +6.44 +0.47%
IDXNONCYC..699.55 +2.60 +0.37%
IDX Hlthcare.1454.40 +16.78 +1.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.64 +0.49 +0.06%
IDX Techno..7693.88 +56.70 +0.74%
IDX Transp…1884.79 -18.48 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1028.46 -6.14 -0.59%
IDX Finance 1508.41 -5.18 -0.34%
IDX Banking..1170.05 -2.50 -0.21%
IDX Property…726 +10.80 +1.50%

Indo10Yr….7.1834 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..336.5187 +0.3920 +0.12%
US10Yr……3.3620 +0.0410 +1.23%
VIX…………23.87 +1.08 +4.74%‼️

USDIndx 108.3300 -0.6730 -0.62%
Como Indx..287.62 +3.50 +1.23%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..155.49 +3.14 +2.06%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14842.00 +12.00 +0.08%
Jisdor..14839.00 -7.00 -0.05%

Euro……..1.0122 +0.0080 +0.80%

TLKM……..30.46 +0.02 +0.07%
(4520)
EIDO………24.59 +0.22 +0.90%
EEM………39.58 +0.58 +1.49%

Oil…………..87.99 +1.20 +1.38%
Gold ……..1736.20 +7.60 +0.44%
Timah. .21165.00 +314.00 +1.51%
( Closed 09/9)
Nickel…24432.00 +1400.00 +6.08%‼️
(Closed 12/9)
Silver…….19.81 +1.04 +5.54%
Copper….361.55 +4.75 +1.33%

Nturl Gas…..8.409 +0.371 +4.62%‼️

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/9)

Coal price….437.50 +2.25 +0.52%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….427.50 -3.10 -0.72%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….418.00 -3.25 -0.77%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….329.00 -8.00 -2.37%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.50 -15.50 -4.84%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….305.25 -11.90 -3.75%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3682 +87 +2.42%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..696.00 +11.00 +1.61%
SoybeanOil…66.49 +1.67 +2.58%
Wheat……..858.75 -10.75 -1.24%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 12/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Regional Index Ijo semua, komoditas juga naik semua, kita liat apakah IHSG bisa memperpanjang wave 1 nya dengan break high dan bikin new record high… Tapi tetep jangan FOMO, masuk yang emang keliatan lagi hajatan aja…

Kita liat mau dibawa kemana ini IHSG… Kalo bikin ATH baru pasti euforia, kita ikut disitu, selama belum masih hati2

IHSG – Stoch overbought, MACD rev u, belum GC, bandar relatively diem, FF kemaren flat, harus dicari ini FNB nya kemaren berapa, jangan2 exit lagi… EW masih besar kemungkinan wave 2 dulu, LG bisa kemana aja, tapi ada gap dibawah yang menunggu ditutup

Cacing RSI Quadrant: Basic Materials, Industrials, Property, Consumer Cyclicals

Healthcare sama Energy sepertinya sudah lewat gilirannya, kalo yang sudah punya liat detail chart emitennya kalo mau hold, kalo new entry beware, mending di sektor yang baru jalan aja

Daily Analysis 20220905

Daily Analysis 20220905

Global Update:

September 05th, 2022

Good morning,

Major stock averages slide for third week, Nasdaq posts six-day losing streak

U.S. equities fell on Friday to cap their third straight weekly decline, after a solid August jobs report failed to ease fears that the Federal Reserve would keep aggressively hiking interest rates to fight inflation.

Dow…….31318 -337.98 -1.07%
Nasdaq.11631 -154.3 -1.31%
S&P 500..3924 -42.6 -1.07%

FTSE…….7281 +132.7 +1.86%
Dax……..13050 +420.04 +3.33%
CAC……..6168 +133.2 +2.21%

Nikkei….27651 -10.6 -0.04%
HSI……..19452 -145.2 -0.74%
Shanghai..3187 +1.5 +0.05%
ST Times..3206 -18.4 -0.57%

IDX…….7177.18 +24.08 +0.34%
LQ45…1019.79 +2.86 +0.28%

IDX Energy…1939.02 +23.15 +1.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1290.86 +11.47 +0.90%
IDX Industrl..1335.91 +10.83 +0.82%
IDXNONCYC..709.76 -1.41 -0.20%
IDX Hlthcare.1432.45 +9.90 +0.70%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.66 +0.87 +0.10%
IDX Techno..7585.34 -102.53 -1.33%
IDX Transp…1962.78 +2.34 +0.12%
IDX Infrast…..1044.42 -0.16 -0.02%
IDX Finance 1519.59 +7.26 +0.48%
IDX Banking..1159.98 +7.03 +0.61%
IDX Property…704 +4.00 +0.56%

Indo10Yr….7.1647 +0.0107 +0.15%
ICBI……..336.1665 -0.1329 -0.04%
US10Yr……3.1930 -0.0720 -2.21%
VIX……….25.47 -0.09 -0.35%

USDIndx 109.5340 -0.1570 -0.14%‼
Como Indx..284.62 -5.79 -1.99%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.38 -0.82 -0.56%
.
IndoCDS…120.57 +4.15 +3.56%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14895.00 +13.00 +0.09%
Jisdor..14900.00 +16.00 +0.11%

Euro………0.9954 +0.0006 +0.08%

TLKM……..30.30 +0.18 +0.60%
(4515)
EIDO………24.04 +0.07 +0.29%
EEM………39.12 -0.31 -0.79%

Oil…………..86.87 +0.30 +0.35%
Gold ……..1722.60 +16.10 +0.94%
Timah. .21060.00 +95.00 +0.45%
( Closed 02/9)
Nickel….20474.00 +185.50 +0.91%
(Closed 02/9)
Silver…….17.88 +0.24 +1.36%
Copper….341.35 -0.10 -0.03%

Nturl Gas…..8.902 -0.265 -2.89%

Ammonia….3866.67 +66.67 +1.75%
China
(Domestic Price)(01/9)

Coal price….435.00 +7.65 +1.79%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….440.90 +7.20 +1.66%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….430.55 +7.85 +1.86%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….376.00 +5.75 +1.55%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….368.35 +5.35 +1.47%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….361.60 +5.85 +1.64%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3901 -89 -2.23%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..665.75 +7.75 +1.18%
SoybeanOil…66.25 +2.66 +4.18%‼
Wheat……..811.00 +16.75 +2.11%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at merah, europe ijo, asia merah kecuali shanghai dan Indonesia

Ini, plus issue kenaikan BBM, makin menguatkan itungan technical untuk turun wave 2

Oil dan metal2 mostly naik, gas cpo turun, coal lanjut naik. Mendekati winter dan ada crisis energy dunia, bisa jadi long run ini coal. Technically harusnya ada koreksi dulu sebelum nanti hike lagi di winter sih, tapi kita pantau aja perkembangannya

Masih skenario ini yang paling make sense… tutup gap 6740 dulu

IHSG – Walau stoch jadi buy, MFI naik, bandar akum, foreign entry terus, candle diatas EMA 20 dan 50, tapi kata elliot wave theory harusnya turun wave 2, kenaikan BBM bisa jadi issue yang nganter kesana. Market discounts everything

Financials, Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals… Industrials sama Infrastructure mungkin next, after the storm