March 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes lower by 400 points, Apple shares drag tech down

Stocks fell for a second session Tuesday, as steep declines in major tech names such as Apple
dragged the broader market further from record highs recently reached.

Dow……38585 -404.6 -1.04%
Nasdaq15940 -267.9 -1.65%
S&P 500.5079 -52.3 -1.02%

FTSE…..7646 +5.03 +0.08%
Dax……17698 -17.8 -0.10%
CAC……7933 -23.6 -0.30%

Nikkei..40098 -11.6 -0.03%
HSI…….16163 -433.3 -2.61%
Shanghai.3048 +8.5 +0.28%

IDX…..7252.98 -23.77 -0.33%
LQ45….979.88 -2.07 -0.21%
IDX30…497.39 -0.99 -0.20%

IDXEnergy..2139.21 +15.19 +0.72%
IDX BscMat.1242.08 -10.11 -0.81%
IDX Indstrl…1101.02 -4.95 -0.20%
IDXNONCYC.700.50 -6.28 -0.89%
IDX Hlthcare1312.42 -3.50 -0.27%
IDXCYCLIC…840.79 -6.37 -0.75%
IDX Techno3550.60 -30.65 -0.86%
IDX Transp 1552.52 -2.80 -0.18%’
IDX Infrast 1588.44 -10.30 -0.64%
IDX Finance.1503.96 -2.56 -0.17%
IDX Banking.1366.91 +2.89 +0.21%
IDX Property.. 676 -9.9 -1.04%

Indo10Yr.6.6986+0.0018 +0.27%
ICBI…377.8962 -0.3624 -0.10%
US2Yr.4.562 -0.050 -1.08%
US5Yr 4.148 -0.062 -1.45%
US10Yr4.154 -0.066 -1.56%
US30Yr.4.290-0.062 -1.42%
VIX………14.46 +0.97 +7.19%‼️

USDIndx 103.7780 -0.054 -0.05%
Como Indx..275.83 -1.46 -0.53%
BCOMIN…..137.84 -0.46 -0.34%

IndoCDS..70.24 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/03)

IDR…..15771.00‼️+29.00 +0.18%
Jisdor.15756.00‼️+33.00 +0.21%

Euro….1.0857 unch +0%

TLKM…24.46 -0.58 -2.30%
(3854)
EIDO……22.15 -0.03 -0.14%
EEM……40.03 -0.35 -0.87%

Oil…….78.15 -0.71 -0.90%
Gold..2141.90‼️ +19.70 +0.93%
Timah..26489.00 – -%
(Closed 01/03)
Nickel..17929.50 +161.00 +0.91%
(Closed 04/03)
Silver……23.96 -0.15 -0.62%
Copper.384.70 -1.10 -0.29%

Iron Ore 62% 116.94 +3.05 +2.68%
(04/03)
Nturl Gas..1.948 +0.018 +0.93%
Ammonia China.3110.0‼️ +16.67 +0.54%
(Domestic Price)(05/03/24)

Coal price.137.45 +1.45 +1.07%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 141.35 +1.25 +0.89%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.70 +1.50 +1.08%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.80 +1.95 +1.40%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..112.75 +1.65 +1.49%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..112.65 +2.05 +1.85%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.35 +2.20 +2.03%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price..108.95 +2.20 +2.06%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..3989 +49.00 +1.24%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……426.25 -3.75 -0.57%
SoybeanOil 45.04 -0.13 -0.29%
Wheat…561.00 -13.00 -2.31%

Wood pulp..5310.00 unch +0%
(Closed 05/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe juga mostly down, asia merah kecuali shanghaiUS bond rate turun, bagus harusnya buat saham tapi US keseret Apple jadi susah ijo. Harusnya kita ijo tipis hari ini, kemaren udah sempet merah dalem

USD index down, Gold nickel iron ore up, silver copper down, Oil down, gas up, coal lanjut up, CPO up, ayo lanjut LSIP ADRO INDY

IHSG – lanjut kebawah, walau mungkin hari ini ijo tipis dulu lah. masih FNS, BD nya ga nahan jadi kebanting. Keep cash kecuali hanya di beberapa yang hajatan

RSI nya masih seolah olah kebanyakan ok, padahal banyak yang siap2 turun. Yang keliatan firm jalan antara lain energy sama basic materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ESSA PTBA SMGR ABMM BRMS BSDE MNCN, Big acc BSDE MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: ITMG PTBA DOID TPIA. BigAcc ITMG

February 15th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points higher as stocks recoup some losses following big sell-off

Stocks rose Wednesday as Wall Street clawed back some of the steep losses suffered in the previous session.

Dow……38424 +151.5 +0.40%
Nasdaq15859 +203.6 +1.30%
S&P 500.5000 +47.5 +0.96%

FTSE…..7568 +56.1 +0.75%
Dax……16945 +64.7 +0.38%
CAC……7677 +52.04 +0.68%

Nikkei..37703 -260.7 -0.69%
HSI……15879 +132.8 +0.84%
Shanghai.2866 +36.2 +1.28%

IDX…..7209.74 closed +0%
LQ45….988.16 closed +0%
IDX30…502.36 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2086.64 closed +0%
IDX BscMat.1222.63 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1083.63 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.696.43 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1327.67closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…846.77 closed +0%
IDX Techno3997.68. closed .+0%
IDX Transp 1569.88 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1514.79 closed. +0%
IDX Finance.1514.79closed +0%
IDX Banking.1367.72 closed+0%
IDX Property.. 695 closed.+0%

Indo10Yr.6.6861closed +0%
ICBI…376.8166 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.582 -0.074 -1.59%
US5Yr 4.245 -0.073 -1.70%
US10Yr4.260 -0.058 -1.34%
US30Yr.4.439-0.028 -0.62%
VIX…14.38 -1.47 -9.27%‼️

USDIndx 104.7230 ‼️-0.24 -0.23%
Como Indx..270.19 -2.86 -1.05%
BCOMIN……133.26 +0.19 +0.14%

IndoCDS..74.22 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/02)

IDR…..15603.50 closed +0%
Jisdor.15585.00 closed +0%

Euro….1.0730 +0.00 +0.03%

TLKM…25.70 +0.37 +1.46%
(4005)
EIDO……22.70 +0.56 +2.53%
EEM……39.70 +0.59 +1.50%

Oil…….76.55 -0.09 -0.12%
Gold..2004.30‼️ -2.90 -0.14%
Timah..27571.00 +272.00 +1.00%
(Closed 13/03)
Nickel..16328.50 +67.50 +0.42%
(Closed 14/02)
Silver……22.39 +0.23 +1.05%
Copper.370.00 -1.10 -0.30%

Iron Ore 62% 129.02+0.15 +0.12%
(13/02)
Nturl Gas..1.608 -0.081 -4.80%‼️
Ammonia China.2866.67‼️ -66.66 -2.27%
(Domestic Price)(07/02/02)

Coal price 119.75 -0.75 -0.62%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.40 -0.60 -0.48%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.60 -0.90 -0.72%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice..123.85 -1.15 -0.92%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .93.80 -0.30 -0.32%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..89.90 -0.80 -0.88%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..86.80 -0.85 -0.97%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..86.30 -0.15 -0.17%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3948 +47.00 +1.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……424.25 -6.50 -1.51%
SoybeanOil 46.93 -0.86 -0.86%
Wheat….583.00 -14.00 -2.35%

Wood pulp..5124.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

US ijo, europe ijo, asia mostly ijo, semoga hari ini ijo, minimal technical rebound lah, kemaren selasa drop jauh banget

US bond rates down, USD index down, metal2 naik kecuali gold sama copper, oil gas coal down, CPO up. ayo dong AALI LSIP jalan… ADRO PTBA ITMG kayanya still siap2 jalan tapi sideways dulu, coal price nya belum mantul kenceng

IHSG – kalo ikut pattern ABC correction, harusnya tetep ke 6900, ga tau nih dengan sentimen pilpres. Kemaren kejadian technical trap, dibanting setelah sebelumnya MACD buy signal. Tapi FNB terus, apparently they know something we don’t… Stoch up rev, MFI sw, w% keluar dari uptrend area. Masih beresiko sih

belum ada lagi yang jalan, tapi most likely energy transportation sama industrials yang akan jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA AMRT ANTM INDF AGRO BRMS. Big accum AKRA ANTM

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT BBTN PTBA BRMS MPMX PNLF TKIM INDS

January 31st, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results

Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100
fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Wall Street also looked toward the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate policy.

Dow……38467 +133.9 +0.35%
Nasdaq15510 -118.2 -0.76%
S&P 500.4925 -2.96 -0.06%

FTSE…..7666 +33.6 +0.44%
Dax……16972 +30.6 +0.18%
CAC……7677 +36.7 +0.48%

Nikkei..36066 +38.9 +0.11%
HSI……15703 -373.8 -2.33%
Shanghai.2831 -52.8 -1.83%

IDX…..7192.22 +35.04 +0.49%
LQ45….971.70 +9.78 +1.02%
IDX30…493.78 +5.93 +1.22%

IDXEnergy..2097.94 -7.30 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1284.55 -5.74 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1087.81 +2.42 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.693.75 -3.14 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1318.21+8.41. +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…859.07 +7.60 +0.89%
IDX Techno4103.92 +118.31 +2.97%
IDX Transp 1515.04 -7.75 -0.51%
IDX Infrast 1497.23 -13.74 -0.91%
IDX Finance.1510.97 -8.20 -0.54%
IDX Banking.1300.04 +25.68 +2.02%
IDX Property.. 698 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr.6.6555 – 0.0229 -0.34%
ICBI…376.0857 +0.4541 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.339 +0.017 +0.39%
US5Yr 3.974 -0.012 -0.30%
US10Yr4.036 -0.036 -0.93%
US30Yr.4.251-0.064 -1.48%
VIX…13.31 -0.29 -2.13%

USDIndx 103.3970❗️ -0.212 -0.20%
Como Indx..274.00 +3.12 +1.15%
BCOMIN……140.02 +0.77 +0.55%

IndoCDS..76.73 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/01)

IDR…..15780.00‼️ -30.00 -0.19%
Jisdor.15825.00 ‼️ -29.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0844 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.33 -0.22 -0.86%
(4008)
EIDO……21.75 +0.18 +0.83%
EEM……38.60 -0.31 -0.80%

Oil…….77.81 +0.85 +1.10%
Gold..2054.50 +3.30 +0.16%
Timah..26664.00 – -%
(Closed 29/01)
Nickel..16513.50 +54.00 +0.33%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver……23.28 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper.391.15 +2.55 +0.66%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 unch +0%
(29/01)
Nturl Gas..2.091 +0.032 +1.55%
Ammonia China.3260.00 -83.00 -2.48%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 119.55 +3.15 +2.71%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.50 +5.00 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.30 +4.40 +3.80%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.80 +3.80 +3.28%‼️
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.15 +1.85 +1.96%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +1.90 +2.07%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.10 +1.20 +1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.75 +1.30 +1.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3842 -107 -2.71%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.75 +7.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil 46.00 +0.45 +0.99%
Wheat…605.50 +12.20 +1.70%

Wood pulp..5076.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

REMINDER REBALANCING

UPDATE (29/01/2024)

EVALUASI INDEKS LQ45, IDX30, IDX80, KOMPAS100, PEFINDO25, INDEKS BUMN20, IDXSMC-LIQ, IDXSMC-COM, IDXHIDIV20, IDXV30, IDXG30, IDXQ30, IDXLQ45LCL

(Periode Efektif 01 Februari 2024 – 31 Juli 2024)

INDEKS LQ45
Baru : MBMA, MTEL, PGEO, PTMP
Keluar : INDY, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

INDEKS IDX30
Baru : ACES, ICBP, INKP, PGEO
Keluar : EMTK, ESSA, HRUM, TOWR

INDEKS IDX80
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, MAPA, MBMA, PGEO, PTMP, SMIL, TRON, WIFI
Keluar : AVIA, DOID, HMSP, JKON, OMED, PNBN, RMKE, SMDR, WIKA

INDEKS KOMPAS100
Baru : AUTO, CFIN, DRMA, GTRA, HRTA, IMAS, MAPA, MARK, MBMA, NISP, PGEO, PTMP, PTRO, SILO, SMIL, SMSM, SSIA, TRON, WIIM
Keluar : AALI, AGII, AVIA, BBKP, BDMN, BELI, BSSR, HMSP, JKON, LSIP, MMIX, MSIN, OMED, PNBN, PNIN, RMKE, SMDR, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS PEFINDO25
Baru : ADMR, AUTO, DILD, ESSA, GJTL, LPPF, LSIP, MAPA, MIDI, TAPG
Keluar : AKRA, BSSR, DSNG, HEXA, HRTA, MIKA, POWR, SIDO, SMSM, SSIA

(Periode Efektif 05 Februari 2024 – 02 Agustus 2024)

INDEKS BUMN20
Baru : BJTM, PGEO,
Keluar : JKON, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-LIQ
Baru : AUTO, CMRY, GGRM, HEAL. INCO, MAPA, MIDI, TOWR
Keluar : ADMR, ARTO, BDMN, BEST, BJBR, LSIP, SSIA, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-COM
Baru : ARTA, AXIO, BEEF, GGRM, HOKI, INCO, JAWA, PDPP, TOWR
*zKeluar :*z ADMR, ARTO, BOLA, CUAN, DEFI, DSSA, FILM, GLVA, GSMF, HOMI, JIHD, MDLN, MREI, NIKL, PANI, PEGE, PGEO, PPRE, RONY, SMIL, SONA, TEBE, TFAS, TOPS, WEGE, WTON

INDEKS IDXHIDIV20
Baru : BRPT, ICBP, INKP, KLBF, SMGR, TPIA, UNVR
Keluar : BJBR, BJTM, BNGA, BSSR, HEXA, HMSP, MPMX

INDEKS IDXV30
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, JSMR, SMRA, WIFI
Keluar : DOID, JKON, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXG30
Baru : AUTO, BBTN, GJTL, MAPA
Keluar : ASSA, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXQ30
Baru : AKRA, AMRT, GGRM, MYOR, SMIL, TRON
Keluar : AVIA, EMTK, HMSP, RMKE, SRTG, TINS

INDEKS IDXLQ45LCL
Baru : MAPI, MBMA, MTEL, PGEO
Keluar : ASII, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

(Listri. Source : IDX)

SP500 abis cetak new record koreksi dulu, DJI nya ijo, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG sempet merah dulu tapi closing ijo, firm mau wave B

US bond rate pendek naik, panjang turun, semoga ga banyak pengaruh ke stock market, USD index merah, metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, coal ijonya tebel, CPO merah dalem, MDKA harusnya jalan, ELSA AKRA MEDC lanjut, coal apakah udah mau rebound? AALI LSIP agak kawatir ini

IHSG – dari ilmu elliot wave, wave B nya ga panjang ini keliatanya, daripada aggressive sekarang mending tunggu wave C beres… Udah 2 hari FNB, BD acc, big bank di push naik, GOTO di push naik, tapi in total saham yang turun lebih banyak dari saham yang naik. Masih keep cash

Terlihat Healthcare ngebalik nyusul basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure… Padahal kemaren KLBF dibanting sampe cutloss

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ASII BBNI ITMG PTBA SIDO ASSA BRMS CTRA HMSP LPPF MTEL SMRA. Big Acc ASII BBNI PTBA

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTPP BRAM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: BRIS

Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike