Daily Analysis 20230321

Daily Analysis 20230321

March 21th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher on Monday as banking crisis fears ease

Stocks closed higher on Monday as traders grew hopeful that a crisis in the banking sector may be easing. The gains followed a forced takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS engineered by the Swiss government.

Dow……32245 +382.6 +1.20%
Nasdaq11676 +45.03 +0.39%
S&P 500.3952 +34.9 +0.89%

FTSE…..7404 +68.5 +0.93%
Dax…..14934 +165.2 +1.12%
CAC……7013 +87.7 +1.27%

Nikkei…..26946 -388.1 -1.42%
HSI………19000 -517.9 -2.65%
Shanghai.3235 -15.6 -0.48%

IDX…..6612.49 -65.75 -0.98%
LQ45….915.57 -8.69 -0.94%
IDX30…477.53 -4.92 -1.02%

IDXEnergy.1976.31 -37.62 -1.87%
IDX BscMat 1130.20 +4.32 +0.38%
IDX Indstrl…1139.55 -12.22 -1.06%
IDXNONCYC..715.23 -2.61 -0.36%
IDX Hlthcare1546.87 -16.10 -1.03%
IDXCYCLIC…..787.50 -8.02 -1.03%
IDX Techno..4849.76 -174.60 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1744.59 +48.82 +2.88%
IDX Infrast…..808.28 +12.33 +1.55%
IDX Finance.1354.90 -16.77 -0.96%
IDX Banking.1109.55 -8.60 -0.77%
IDX Property….659 -5.10 .-0.76%

Indo10Yr.6.9104 +0.0103 +0.15%
ICBI…..350.8423 -0.0033 -0.00%
US2Yr3.9658 +0.1200 +3.11%
US5Yr 3.5840 +0.0770 +2.20%
US10Yr3.4830 +0.0450 +1.30%
US30Yr.3.6680+0.0410 +1.13%
VIX…… 24.15 -1.36 -5.33%

USDIndx103.2810 -0.4270 -0.41%
Como Indx.255.17 +0.52 +0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.22 +0.20 +0.13%

IndoCDS..101.480 -7.420 -6.81%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/17)

IDR…..15360.00 +15.00 +0.10%
Jisdor.15372.00 +8.00 +0.05%

Euro……1.0723 +0.0110 +1.04%

TLKM….26.29 -0.11 -0.42%
(4041)
EIDO……22.05 +0.05 +0.23%
EEM……37.75 +0.14 +0.37%

Oil….67.65 +0.91 +1.36%
Gold.2000.00‼️+9.80 +0.49%*
Timah .22510.00 +292.00 +1.31%
(Closed 03/17)
Nickel..22800.00 -744.00 -3.16%‼️
(Closed 03/17)
Silver…..22.67 +0.21 +0.93%
Copper..395.60 +6.35 +1.63%

Nturl Gas.2.240 -0.1060 -4.51%‼️

Ammonia 4173.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/16)

Coal price.172.25 -0.75 -0.43%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.174.05 -1.00 -0.57%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.176.50 -2.60 -1.45%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.180.15 -3.95 -2.14%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.134.50 unch +0%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..124.05 -2.95 -2.32%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.55 -2.70 -2.16%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.25 -2.65 -2.14%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3790 -131 -3.34%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..633.00 -1.25 -0.20%
SoybeanOil.57.99 +0.53 +0.92%
Wheat…..700.75 -9.75 -1.37%

Wood pulp…5530.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/20)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo lagi, europe juga, giliran asia nyusul hari ini sepertinya

OIl ijo coal gas merah, metal2 ijo semua kecuali nikel, tinggal tunggu waktunya ANTM MDKA lari ini… CPO masih belum ok juga, masih belum gilirannya

IHSG – kemaren NFS langsung merah dalem, technically mulai konsolidasi, belum saatnya rally memang, bank dulu jalan baru index jalan. Sabar tunggu momentumnya

DI market merah Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare jadi ganjel Property juga tapi ga akan jalan sebelum banking biasanya

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AKRA ICBP INDY INKP AGRO DSNG MTMH TOBA WIFI ANJT LMSH

Ga ada yang big accum posisinya, kemungkinan cuma karena jum’at mantul kenceng jadi yang sudah sangat oversold jadi buy signal

Kita assess beberapa yang sektornya jalan dan mewakili sektor yang ada issue

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BBRI INDF BRMS DSNG MTMH

Yang Big Accumulation… ARTO BBCA di Financials, bagus untuk banking mulai dorong index. INCO, tapi harga nikelnya drop, belum dulu, INDF ini ok, sektornya jalan, mau masuk ramadhan lebaran, PTBA DOID di energy, tapi coal price masih belum ok. ERAA sektornya belum, tapi biasanya lebaran baju baru henpon baru so ok buat ditunggu buy signalnya. MTEL hold, masih bagus

Daily Analysis 20230320

Daily Analysis 20230320

March 20th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 400 points lower on Friday as First Republic and regional banks resume slide

Stocks fell Friday as investors pulled back from positions in First Republic
and other bank shares amid lingering concerns over the state of the U.S. banking sector.

Dow……31862 -384.6 -1.19%
Nasdaq11631 -86.8 -0.74%
S&P 500.3917 -43.6 -1.10%

FTSE…..7335 -74.6 -1.01%
Dax…..14768 -198.9 -1.33%
CAC……6925 -100.3 -1.43%

Nikkei…..27334 +323.2 +1.20%
HSI………19519 +314.7 +1.64%
Shanghai.3251 +23.7 +0.73%

IDX…..6678.24 +112.51 +1.71%
LQ45….924.25 +16.75 +1.85%
IDX30…482.45 +8.52 +1.80%

IDXEnergy.2013.92 +67.06 +3.44%‼️
IDX BscMat 1125.89 +19.00 +1.72%
IDX Indstrl…1151.76 +20.90 +1.85%
IDXNONCYC..717.84 +6.88 +0.97%
IDX Hlthcare1562.97 +23.38 +1.85%
IDXCYCLIC…..795.52 +5.53 +0.70%
IDX Techno..5023.90 -4.60 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1744.59 +48.82 +2.88%
IDX Infrast…..808.28 +12.33 +1.55%
IDX Finance.1364.90 +25.22 +1.88%
IDX Banking.1118.15 +21.26 +1.94%
IDX Property….664 +0.30 +0.05%

Indo10Yr.6.9001 +0.0209 +0.30%
ICBI…..350.7112 -0.2133 -0.06%
US2Yr3.8458 -0.3282 -7.86%‼️
US5Yr 3.5070 -0.2261 -6.06%‼️
US10Yr3.4380 -0.1410 -3.94%‼️
US30Yr.3.6270-0.0850 -2.29%
VIX…… 25.51 +2.52 +10.96%‼️

USDIndx103.7080 -0.7100 -0.68%
Como Indx.254.66 -1.99 -0.78%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.02 +1.13 +0.74%

IndoCDS..106.930 +7.886 +7.96%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/15)

IDR…..15345.00 -44.00 -0.29%
Jisdor.15364.00 -54.00 -0.35%

Euro……1.0613 +0.0034 +0.32%

TLKM….26.40 -0.41 -1.53%
(4056)
EIDO……22.00 +0.24 +1.10%
EEM……37.61 -0.23 -0.61%

Oil….66.74 -1.69 -2.47%
Gold.1990.20 +66.50+3.46%‼️
Timah .22464.00 – -%
(Closed 03/15)
Nickel..23545.00 +47.50 +0.20%
(Closed 03/17)
Silver…..22.46 +0.63 +2.88%
Copper..389.25 +1.70 +0.44%

Nturl Gas.2.350 -0.1820 -7.19%‼️

Ammonia 4173.33 -66.67 -1.57%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/16)

Coal price.173.00 -1.00 -0.57%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.175.05 -4.60 -2.56%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.179.10 -5.15 -2.80%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.184.10 -4.00 -2.13%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.134.50 -3.50 -2.54%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 127.00 -5.00 -3.79%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.25 -5.15 -3.95%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.90 -5.75 -4.44%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3921 -14 -0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..632.75 +6.25 +1.00%
SoybeanOil.57.73+1.39 +2.47%
Wheat…..699.00 -3.75 -0.53%

Wood pulp…5530.00 -40 -0.72%
(Closed 03/18)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at US dan Europe closing merah, Asia ijo tebel ikut US hari sebelumnya. Semoga hari ini udah calmed down jadi kalo koreksi juga ga dalem

Energy related commodity drop semua, precious metals naik, Gold Silver naik tinggi, siap siap ANTM MDKA

IHSG – mantul di support kuat, indicator masih belum terlalu ok, tapi w% udah ga downtrend, NFB, BD akum, elliot wave failed, bakal harus reset cycle nya. Semoga terus netbuy dan sentiment positif

Seperti kebiasaan menjelang puasa dan lebaran, consumer non-cyclicals jalan. Healthcare, Property ada gerakan

Abis drop dalem terus kemaren naik tinggi banyak banget stoch buy signal keluar…

Stoch Buy Signal: CPIN EXCL INCO JPFA SMGR SRTG UNTR ASSA BRMS DOID JSMR LSIP MLPL MTEL

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF TPIA

Kita assess yang stoch buy signal dan big accum bandar…

Daily Analysis 20230303

Daily Analysis 20230303

March 03rd 2023 Good morning, Dow.....33034 +341.7 +1.05% Nasdaq11463 +84.5 +0.73% S&P 500.3981 +29.96 +0.76% FTSE.......7944 +29.1 +0.37% Dax........15328 +22.6 +0.15% CAC........7284 +49.97 +0.69% Nikkei.....27499 -17.7 -0.06% HSI........20429 -190.3 -0.92%…
Daily Analysis 20230217

Daily Analysis 20230217

February 17th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 400 points lower as hot inflation report, comments from Fed’s Bullard raise rate hike fears

Stocks fell Thursday after another hot inflation report, and a decline in jobless claims, showed the economy is holding up amid the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes.

Dow…….33697 -431.2 -1.26%
Nasdaq.11856 -214.8 -1.78%
S&P 500..4090 -57.2 -1.38%

FTSE…….8013 +14.70 +0.18%
Dax……..15534 +27.3 +0.18%
CAC……..7366 +65.3 +0.89%

Nikkei…..27696 +194.6 +0.71%
HSI………20988 +175.5 +0.84%
Shanghai..3249 -31.5 -0.96%

IDX…..6895.66 -18.87 -0.27%
LQ45….953.49 -4.15 -0.43%
IDX30…495.68 -2.19 -0.44%

IDXEnergy…2098.15 -11.47 -0.54%
IDX BscMat 1260.50 -1.75 -0.14%
IDX Indstrl…1157.69 -0.67 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC..755.41 -4.04 -0.53%
IDX Hlthcare1605.40 -11.73 -0.73%
IDXCYCLIC…849.72 +4.64 +0.55%
IDX Techno5585.84 +57.44 +1.04%
IDX Transp1846.95 +15.38 +0.84%
IDX Infrast….867.03 +7.94 +0.92 %
IDX Finance1423.17 -3.19 -0.22%
IDX Banking1156.81 -8.52 -0.73%
IDX Property….697 -0.30 -0.05%

Indo10Yr.6.7698 -0.0076 -0.11%
ICBI..350.6495 +0.1943 +0.06%
US10Yr.3.8430 +0.0340 +0.89%
VIX……20.17 +1.94 +10.64%‼️

USDIndx104.0500+0.2289+0.21%‼️
Como Indx.270.25 -0.13 -0.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..163.48 +1.63 +1.01%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15206.50 +39.50 +0.26%
Jisdor.15176.00 -18.00 -0.12%

Euro……1.0690 -0.0045 -0.42%

TLKM….24.87 -0.09 -0.36%
(3774)
EIDO……23.29 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM……40.12 +0.01 +0.02%

Oil……..78.49 -0.10 -0.13%
Gold 1851.80 +6.50 +0.35%
Timah 26658 -159.00 -0.59%
(Closed 02/15)
Nickel.26647.00 +620.90 +2.38%‼️
(Closed 02/16)
Silver…….21.71 +0.14 +0.64%
Copper..412.15 +10.00 +2.49%

Nturl Gas.2.394 -0.072 -2.92%

Ammonia4406.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/15)

Coal price.214.00 -5.90 -2.68%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price186.30 -9.70 -4.95%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price183.95 -11.45 -5.86%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price185.45 -11.65 -5.91%‼️
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.00 +0.50 +0.37%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 139.00-3.00 -2.11%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price137.00 -3.00 -2.14%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price137.40 -1.60 -1.15%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4070 +126 +3.19%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..675.00 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil..62.15 +0.71 +1.16%
Wheat…….776.25 -4.00. -0.51%

Wood pulp…6030.00 -20 -0.33%
(Closed 02/16)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Era9wati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah rada dalem, europe market closing masih ijo asia varied, IHSG merah lagi

CPO naik tinggi, itu kayanya kemaren AALI LSIP naik tinggi… Oil merah, gas drop, coal drop, metal2 naik semua, watchout for ANTM MDKA INCO

IHSG – 2 hari NFS, belum jadi break resistance, masih SW dulu. stoch down, MACD sell, MFI sw, bd sw, jangan terlalu aggresive dulu, cermati yang lagi hajatan aja. Major trend masih up, wave 3, tapi belum lari. Kayanya nunggu resmi laporan keuangan big bank keluar semua dulu

Tinggal infrastructure yang arahnya bagus, healthcare melemah juga

Stoch Buy Signal: ASII TINS BRMS LSIP WIFI

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO INDY SRTG AALI ASSA LSIP

Alligator Buy Signal: INDF AGII BRMS MLPL IGAR

Supertrend: MTEL AALI LSIP WIFI