Posts Tagged ‘Bond’

Daily Analysis 20240527

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

May 27th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq closes Friday at record high as Nvidia and the AI trade rallies on

The Nasdaq closed Friday at a fresh record high as gains in chipmaker Nvidia outweighed worries that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts.

Dow……39070 +4.3 +0.01%
Nasdaq16921 +184.8 +1.10%
S&P 500.5305 +36.9 +0.70%

FTSE…..8318 -21.6 -0.26%
Dax……18693 +2.1 +0.01%
CAC……8095 -7.4 -0.09%

Nikkei..38646 -457.1 -1.17%
HSI…..18609 -259.8 -1.38%
Shanghai.3089 -27.5 -0.88%

IDX….7222.38 closed +0%
LQ45..895.84 closed +0%
IDX30..450.75 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2292.57 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1438.10 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl..1023.14 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.701.53 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1416.69closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…738.50 closed +0%
IDXTechno3402.30 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1369.20 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1618.96 closed +0%
IDX Finance1369.20 closed +0%
IDX Banking1174.72 closed +0%
IDX Property…..631 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.8787 closed +0%
ICBI…380.2554 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.948 +0.005 +0.09%
US5Yr 4.528 +0.003 +0.07%
US10Yr4.467 -0.006 -0.14%
US30Yr.4.573-0.004 -0.09%
VIX..11.93 -0.84 -6.58%👍

USDIndx 104.7240❗️ -0.38 -0.37%
Como Indx..294.28 +0.50 +0.17%
BCOMIN….164.28 +0.31 +0.19%

IndoCDS..72.25 +1.49 +2.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/05)

IDR…..15995.00 closed +0%
Jisdor.15995.00 closed +0%

Euro….1.0847 +0.00 +0.30%

TLKM…18.31 +0.05 +0.27%
( 2947)
EIDO….20.50 +0.11 +0.54%
EEM…..43.01 +0.11 +0.24%

Oil…….77.72 +0.85 +1.11%
Gold..2356.90‼️ -2.80 -0.12%
Timah..33229.00 -222.00 -0.66%
(Closed 24/05)
Nickel..20318.00 +234.00 +1.17%
(Closed 24/05)
Silver…..30.50 +0.04 +0.14%
Copper.475.35 -3.90 -0.81%

Iron Ore 62% 117.66 +0.22 +0.19%
(24/05)
Nturl Gas..2.504 -0.154 -5.80%‼️
Ammonia China.3066.67 -100.00 -3.16% ‼️
(Domestic Price)(23/05)

Coal price 142.80 +0.05 +0.04%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.00 -1.40 -0.99%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.50 +0.30 +0.21%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.15 -2.20 -1.50%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..105.10 -0.10 -0.10%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.95 -1.05 -0.93%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.60 -0.60 -0.51%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.05 -0.45 -0.38%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3886 -8 -0.21%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….464.75 +0.85 +0.16%
SoybeanOil 44.96 -0.24 -0.53%
Wheat…..697.25 -0.75 -0.11%

Wood pulp..5872 unch +0%
(Closed 26/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyr«ight: Phintraco Sekuritas

CLosing jum’at US DJI ijo tipis, Nasdaq ijo tebel karena Nvidia, Europe ijo, asia merah, US Bond yield pending naik tipis, panjang turun tipis, sideways kali ya IHSG hari ini, mungkin cenderung ijo malah

USD index down, tapi metal2 juga sebagian turun kecuali Nickel silver iron ore, oil up, gas drop, coal cenderung down, CPO down, belum ok ini…

IHSG – stoch up, macd up, MFI down, w% sw, BD sw FNS, masih nahan nahan… Tapi secara technical udah ok, udah tutup gap, tinggal rally nya aja

Basic Materials, Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals. Kalo bener Financials jalan, jadi IHSG start rally

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII ESSA ANJT SGRO. Big accum and freq spike ASII

MACD Buy Signal: ITMG PTPP ANJT CEKA AALI. Menarik AALI kalo harga CPO firm reversal up

CPO price MACD udah buy sih, bisa ini AALI harusnya

Alligator Buy Signal: BMTR BSDE BTPS

DAily Analysis 20240506

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

May 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes higher by more than 400 points as April jobs report bolsters Fed rate cut hopes

Stocks jumped sharply Friday after a softer-than-expected April jobs report boosted hopes that the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates soon.

Dow……38676 +450.02 +1.18%
Nasdaq16156 +315.4 +1.99%
S&P 500.5128 +63.6 +1.26%

FTSE…..8214 +41.3 +0.51%
Dax……18002 +105.1 +0.59%
CAC……7958 +42.9 +0.54%

Nikkei..38236 closed +0%
HSI…..18476 +268.8 +1.48%
Shanghai.3105 closed +0%

IDX….7134.72 +17.30 +0.24%
LQ45..903.33 +4.58 +0.51%
IDX30..457.92 +2.29 +0.50%

IDXEnergy..2199.06 -4.40 -0.20%
IDX BscMat1316.08 -7.73 -0.58%
IDX Indstrl..1061.54 -2.53 -0.24%
IDXNONCYC.691.68 +2.81 +0.41%
IDX Hlthcare1451.02+23.80 +0.41%
IDXCYCLIC…753.18 +2.31 +1.71%
IDXTechno3364.09 +36.02 +1.08%
IDX Transp 1298.73 -3.83 -0.29%
IDX Infrast 1617.93 -0.21 -0.01%
IDX Finance1395.14 +1.64 +0.12%
IDX Banking.1204.50+3.74 +0.31%
IDX Property.. 617 -0.10 -0.01%

Indo10Yr.7.0284 -0.0822👍 -1.16%
ICBI…376.5423 +2.0401 👍 +0.54%
US2Yr.4.806👍 -0.075 -1.54%
US5Yr 4.482 -0.095 -2.08👍%
US10Yr4.509 -0.150 -3.21%👍
US30Yr.4.660👍 -0.074 -1.56%
VIX..13.49👍 -1.19 -8.11%‼️

USDIndx 105.0300❗️-0.269 -0.26%
Como Indx..286.51 +1.77 +0.62%
BCOMIN..157.33 +2.33 +1.50%

IndoCDS..75.24👍 -0.40 -0.63%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/05)

IDR…..16083.00 -102.00👍 -0.62%
Jisdor.16094.00 -108.00👍 -0.66%

Euro….1.0761 +0.0032 +0.30%

TLKM…19.47 +0.10 +0.52%
( 3151)
EIDO….20.95 +0.42 +2.02%
EEM…..42.49 +0.39 +0.91%

Oil…….78.11 -1.04 -1.31%
Gold..2308.60 -4.90 -0.21%
Timah..31983.00 +1013.00 +3.28%‼️
(Closed 03/05)
Nickel..18792.50 +453.50 +2.41%
(Closed 03/05)
Silver…….26.69 -0.04 -à
Copper…455.70 +5.80 +1.29%2

Iron Ore 62% 118.03 -0.05 -0.04%
(02/05)⅔
Nturl Gas..2.150 +0.113 +5.55%‼️
Ammonia China.2983.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(29/04)

Coal price 145.15 -2.60 -1.76%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.40 -2.85 -1.92%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.60 -2.15 -1.46%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.85 -2.10 -1.42%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..107.15 -0.75 -0.70%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.00 -1.40 -1.27%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.65 -1.25 -1.13%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.55 -1.50 -1.35%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3842 -2 -0.05%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….460.25 +0.50 +0.11%
SoybeanOil 43.08 -0.16 -0.37%
Wheat..622.50 +18.25 +3.02%

Wood pulp..5860 unch +0%
(Closed 05/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at ijo semua, US Bond Yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo hari ini. USD index down, tapi gold silver iron ore juga down, WNS dulu ANTM, Tin Nickel Copper up. Oil gas coal down, masih belum jalan ini ELSA ADRO

IHSG – stoch up, macd buy, MFI down, w% sw, BD flat FNS, masih belum jalan sih… Tapi udah done koreksinya, tinggal hunting saham saham yang giliran jalan

Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO CPIN ENRG PNLF SILO

MACD Buy Signal: CTRA DRMA JPFA. Big Accum CTRA JPFA

Daily Analysis 20240429

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 29th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts best week since November, Nasdaq surges 2% Friday as Alphabet soars

Stocks jumped Friday, and the S&P 500
and Nasdaq Composite notched their best week since November as Big Tech names rallied on strong earnings and traders pored through fresh U.S. inflation data

Dow……38240 +153.9 +0.40%
Nasdaq15928 +316.1 +2.03%
S&P 500.5100 +51.5 +1.0%

FTSE…..8140 +60.97 +0.75%
Dax……18161 +243.7 +1.36%
CAC……8088 +71.6 +0.89%

Nikkei..37935 +307.3 +0.81%
HSI…..17651 +366.7 +2.12%
Shanghai.3088 +35.7 +1.17%

IDX…..7036.08 -119.22 -1.67%
LQ45..898.78 -24.72 -2.68%
IDX30..455.88 -12.58 -2.69%

IDXEnergy..2137.65 -29.50 -1.36%
IDX BscMat1299.02 -26.63 -2.01%
IDX Indstrl..1043.51 -11.73 -1.11%
IDXNONCYC.684.83 -12.14 -1.74%
$IDX Hlthcare1319.14-30.34 -2.25%*
IDXCYCLIC…756.20 -21.79 -2.80%
IDXTechno3281.74 -40.93 -1.23%
IDX Transp 1312.48 -8.89 -0.67%
IDX Infrast 1596.06 -7.13 -0.44%
IDX Finance.1406.19 -23.45 -1.57%
IDX Banking.1233.19 -41.04 -3.39%‼️
IDX Property.. 615 -.4.10 -0.66%

Indo10Yr.7.0845‼️ +0.0207 +0.29%
ICBI…373.8771‼️ -0.4467 -0.12%
US2Yr.4.993‼️ -0.007 -0.14%
US5Yr 4.687 -0.032 -0.68%
US10Yr4.663 -0.045 -0.96%
US30Yr.4.777 -0.036 -0.75%
VIX…….15.03 -0.34 -2.21%

USDIndx 105.9380❗️+0.361 +0.34%
Como Indx..296.84 -0.82 -0.29%
BCOMIN..157.30 +0.41 +0.26%

IndoCDS..79.19 -0.49 -0.61%
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/04)

IDR…..16210.00‼️+22.50 +0.14%
Jisdor.16208.00‼️+47.00 +0.29%

Euro….1.0693 -0.0036 -0.34%

TLKM…18.85 +0.14 +0.72%
( 3057)
EIDO……20.31 -0.55 -2.64%
EEM……41.17 +0.46 +1.12%

Oil…….83.85 +0.28 +0.34%
Gold..2347.20 +4.70 +0.20%
Timah..32411.00 -462.00 -1.40%
(Closed 26/04)
Nickel..19256.50 +65.00 +0.34%
(Closed 25/04)
Silver…….27.54 -0.10 -0.35%
Copper…457.43 +3.55 +0.78%

Iron Ore 62% 110.16 +0.48 +0.44%
(26/04)
Nturl Gas..2.285 +0.303 +15.29%‼️
Ammonia China.3000.00 +83.33 +2.85%
(Domestic Price)(26/04)

Coal price 135.50 -1.25 -0.92%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.50 -1.50 -1.08%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.65 -2.35 -1.65%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.15 -2.90 -2.00%

Coal price..106.25 -5.60 -5.01%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.10 -5.45 -4.84%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.107.55 -5.05 -4.48%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.80 -4.85 -4.31%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3896 +22.00 +0.57%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….450.00 -2.00 -0.44%
SoybeanOil 45.54 +0.11 +0.24%
Wheat…..622.25 +1.75 +0.28%

Wood pulp..5800 +40 +0.69%
(Closed 28/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua ijo kecuali IDX, ga beres ini…

US Bond Yield down, harusnya sih ijo hari ini, apalagi kemaren merah dalem sendirian. USD index up, tapi kebanyakan metal juga up, kecuali Tin dan SIlver. Oil up, gas jump, coal down, CPO up, Coal price udah relatif tinggi walau last day nya down. Bisa berharap mantul ANTM ELSA mungkin AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – harusnya udah beres koreksinya, walau masih mungkin ngejar fibo 61. Tapi dari fibo ext wave B udah done targetnya. Indicators masih jelek, BD FF masih dist, tapi semoga mulai reversal hari ini

Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: KLBF MTEL TPIA CEKA. Big accum MTEL, cocok sama sektor. TPIA buy signal kita tunggu BRPT jalan, entry lagi

MACD Buy Signal: ICBP UNVR SMRA, ICBP big accum

Daily Analysis 20240416

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 16th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close 1% lower as yields jump, traders await Israel response to Iran

Stocks retreated on Monday as rising yields and worries over the conflict in the Middle East overshadowed strong Goldman Sachs
earnings and hot retail sales data.

Dow……37735 -248.1 -0.65%
Nasdaq15885 -290.1 -1.79%
S&P 500.5062 -61.6 -1.20%

FTSE…..7966 -30.1 -0.38%
Dax……18027 +96.3 +0.54%
CAC……8045 +34.3 +0.43%

Nikkei..39233 -290.8 -0.74%
HSI……16601 -121.2 -0.72%
Shanghai.3057+37.9 +1.26%

IDX…..7286.88 closed +0%
LQ45….963.73 closed +0%
IDX30…488.17 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2155.81 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1359.61 closed. +0%
IDX Indstrl…1096.75 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.715.36 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1371.58 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…815.23 closed +0%
IDXTechno3513.14 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1444.51 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1600.91 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1475.65 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1317.47 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7048 closed +0%
ICBI…379.8860 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.925‼️ +0.013 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.627‼️ +0.016 +0.39%
US10Yr4.601‼️ -0.028 -0.61%
US30Yr.4.724‼️+0.016 +0.34%
VIX………19.23 +1.92 +11.09%‼️

USDIndx 106.2080‼️+0.17 +0.16%
Como Indx..298.18 +0.31 +0.10%
BCOMIN..152.51‼️ +1.97 +1.31%

IndoCDS..75.23 +1.01 +1.36%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/04)

IDR…..15848.00‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0627‼️ +0.00 +0.03%

TLKM…20.85 +0.10 +0.48%
( 3309)
EIDO……21.48 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……40.27 -0.27 -0.65%

Oil…….85.90 +0.49 +0.57%
Gold..2401.20 +94.30 +4.08%‼️
(04/04-15/04)
Timah..28935.00 +3418.00 +11.81%‼️
(03/04 ’til 12/04)
Nickel..17991.50 +194.5 +1.09%❗️
(Closed 04/04)
Silver….28.97 +2.03 +7.53%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
Copper.437.50 +16.10 +3.77%
(04/04 – 15/04)
Iron Ore 62% 106.05 +5.64 +5.61%‼️
(03/04-12/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3216.67 +183.34 +6.04%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 12/04)

Coal price.129.75 +0.50 +0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.50 +2.75 +2.06%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +3.20 +2.35%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.75 +2.50 +1.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..120.70 -0.60 -0.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.00 -1.25 -1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.50 -0.90 -0.75%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.55 -1.45 -1.21%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4202 -205.00 -4.88%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….444.25 -3.00 -0.67%
SoybeanOil 46.01 -0.44 -0.95%
Wheat…567.50 -3.00 -0.67%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 15/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lama libur, ketemu serangan Iran ke Israel… DJI sudah beberapa hari trun terus, europe varied, asia kebanyakan merah kemaren, IHSG hari ini kayanya akan rada goncang…

Suasana perang, selalu USD naik, commodity terkait energy naik, Bond Yield dan interest rate biasanya naik biar orang keep dana di system. Belum pasti gimana dampak ke BEI, kemungkinan besar akan goyang dulu, baru nanti setelah shock nya lewat yang hubungan sama energy yang jalan

Semua precious metals naik, oil naik, gas turun, coal naik, CPO drop. Normally saya akan hold ANTM erat erat, dan ELSA, dan ADRO, tapi entahlah dengan kondisi sekarang

IHSG – kalo dari elliot wavenya sih, emang jadwal nerusin ABC correction… walau terakhir market closing stoch buy, macd revup, FF rev net buy, tapi kondisi global memanas di saat kita libur bisa jadi efeknya meledak di opening day hari ini

dari sini sih masih jadwalnya basic materials, dan kalo liat metal2 naik ya cocok, tapi masih unpredictable karena suasana global

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BBCA INCO TLKM ELSA IMAS LPPF MIKA SGRO. Big accum ANTM INCO MIKA

MACD buy Signal: PGEO SIDO ADMR BSDE DOID JPFA. Big accum SIDO DOID