Global Update:

September 23th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower, major averages on pace for weekly declines as recession fears mount

Stocks on Thursday posted their third straight daily decline, as mounting fears that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate hikes will push the economy into a recession dented risk appetite for investors.

Dow…….30077 -107.1 -0.35%
Nasdaq.11067 -153.4 -1.37%
S&P 500..3758 -31.9 -0.84%

FTSE…….7160 -78.1 -1.08%
Dax……..12532 -235.5 -1.84%
CAC……..5919 -112.8 -1.87%

Nikkei….27154 -159.3 -0.58%
HSI……..18148 -296.7 -1.61%
Shanghai..3109 -8.3 -0.27%
ST Times..3263 +1.3 +0.04%

IDX…….7218.91 +30.59 +0.43%
LQ45…1032.65 +3.43 +0.32%

IDX Energy..2020.15 +43.58 +2.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.60 +16.79 +1.30%
IDX Industrl..1368.75 +15.23 +1.12%
IDXNONCYC..703.64 +2.49 +0.36%
IDX Hlthcare.1465.79 -6.56 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…..878.25 -3.25 -0.37%
IDX Techno..7438.12 -33.59 -0.45%
IDX Transp…1852.54 +10.07 +0.55%
IDX Infrast…..1018.79 +6.57 +0.65%
IDX Finance 1507.53 +0.28 +0.02%
IDX Banking..1170.80 -1.88 -0.16%
IDX Property….720 +0.80 +0.11%

Indo10Yr….7.2763 +0.0130 +0.18%
ICBI……..335.2135 -0.4724 -0.14%
US10Yr……3.7080 +0.1980 +5.64%‼️
VIX……….27.35 -0.64 -2.29%

USDIndx 111.3530 +0.7110 +0.64%‼️
Como Indx..277.85 -0.38 -0.14%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.75 +0.03 +0.02%
.
IndoCDS…111.84 -11.04 -8.98%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……15022.00 +26.00 +0.17%‼️
Jisdor..15033.00 +22.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……..0.9837 -0.0124 -1.29%

TLKM……..29.30 +0.27 +0.93%
(4405)
EIDO………24.34 +0.12 +0.50%
EEM………36.89 -0.18 -0.49%

Oil…………..83.66 +0.64 +0.77%
Gold ……..1679.40 -0.20 -0.01%
Timah. .21170.00 -11 -0.05%
( Closed 21/9)
Nickel…24378.50 -448.50 -1.81%
(Closed 22/9)
Silver…….19.65 +0.12 +0.61%
Copper….346.50 +2.90 +0.84%

Nturl Gas…..7.204 -0.546 -7.05%‼️

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(21/9)

Coal price….435.65 -8.85 -1.99%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.65 -27.35 -6.10%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.9 -27.35 -6.10%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.65 -0.40 -0.12%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….290.00 -2.00 -0.68%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….293.00 -1.55 -0.53%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3891 -62 -1.59%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………688.15 +2.75 +0.40%
SoybeanOil…66.46 +1.46 +2.25%
Wheat………910.75 +7.00 +0.77%

Wood pulp…6730.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 22/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren US merah IDX ijo, sekarang US merah lagi, IDX ikut merah kayanya… Yang lain pada kompak merah kecuali Indonesia sama Singapore

Komoditi hampir kebalikan kemaren, oil naik gold turun, nikel naik silver naik, gas turun coal turun. saham coal pullback dulu lah… naiknya nanti aja bareng wave 3 index, idealnya…

IHSG – all technical technical says down…

Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Healthcare – selain foreign yang exit, semua ok sih

HEAL, udah buy signal dari kemarin di stochastic, sekarang MACD

HEAL – bandar dan foreign sudah mulai entry lagi, harusnya firm, technical ok semua, kalo breakout 1540 with volume tambah muatan

Rada ketinggian diatas average bandar, tapi technical firm ok lah

Consumer Cyclicals – belum sih masih sideways…

Belum ada lagi… Terakhir SCMA kemaren

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – Itungan ABC correctionnya belum beres, tapi udah ada bullish divergence baru… MACD buy tapi sideways, Stoch abis buy terus sw juga, foreign masih inside. Belum ok sih, mungkin nanti dah rada turun indexnya lebih jauh baru mulai gerak

CPIN ICBP

CPIN – stoch buy, macd dikit lagi, ada freq spike, bandar sama foreign masih flat, MFI up, retracement pattern mantul di fibo 23, bullish divergence confirmed by MA 10, LR nempel bawah channel siap mantul, berani spec buy, pantau ketat stoploss di breakdown support 5500. Masuk setengah botol dulu, nunggu resistance and volume breakout baru entry lagi.

Harga dibanding average harga broker aman…

ICBP – udah dua kali vol breakout, Stoch up macd up, MFI SW, bandar&foreign inside, EW impulse wave 3, harusnya ok banget.PSAR up LR mantul jalan test midline. BOW

ICBP sedikit lebih tinggi, karena sekarang lagi jadwal index merah ada bagusnya pasang buy dibawah atau sama dengan harga bandar, siapa tau kejemput…

ICBP PTBA ESSA

BBTN CPIN PRDA

ARTO BRPT HEAL SRTG

Financials skip dulu ah… Apalagi ARTO

PTBA – stoch down macd sw MFI down bandar dan foreign mulai akum lagi, ABC flat style correction bisa lah dianggap selesai, sektor energy nya lagi galau, lagi duduk di MA 50, ada gap diatas belum ketutup, ada regular dan hidden divergence juga sudah confirmed by MA 10 tapi nanti dulu deh…

Belum feel safe, BOW kalo drop lagi di bawah harga bandar baru confident

BRPT – biasanya tertib divergence dan nurut sama stochastic, tapi kalo kondisi index wave 2 gini ga berani sembarangan… LR nya belum firm, bandar dan foreign kemaren keluar terus, baru 2 hari akum lagi, sektor belum jalan lagi, MA dan alligator masih bilang downtrend, WNS deh

Dari harganya menarik… Tapi saya pribadi skip dulu sih, yang mau speculative buy mangga… DYOR ya… Inget cutloss kalau breakdown support di latest low kemaren, 800

Global Update:

September 06th, 2022

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Labor Day

Dow…….31318 closed +0%
Nasdaq.11631 closed +0%
S&P 500..3924 closed +0%

FTSE…….7287 +6.2 +0.09%
Dax……..12761 -289.5 -2.22%
CAC……..6093 -74.3 -1.20%

Nikkei….27620 -31.2 -0.11%
HSI……..19226 -226.4 -1.16%
Shanghai..3200 +13.4 +0.42%
ST Times..3215 +9.8 +0.31%

IDX…….7231.88 +54.70 +0.76%
LQ45…1029.30 +9.50 +0.93%

IDX Energy..2013.28 +74.26 +3.83%‼️
IDX Bsc Mat.1298.06 +7.20 +0.56%
IDX Industrl..1360.09 +24.18 +1.81%
IDXNONCYC..709.23 -0.52 -0.07%
IDX Hlthcare.1415.78 -16.67 -1.16%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.16 -1.50 -0.17%
IDX Techno..7557.48 -27.86 -0.37%
IDX Transp…1927.41 -35.37 -1.80%
IDX Infrast…..1048.07 +3.66 +0.35%
IDX Finance 1524.75 +5.16 +0.34%
IDX Banking..1172.16 +12.19 +1.05%
IDX Property…704 +4.00 +0.56%

Indo10Yr….7.1767 +0.0120 +0.17%
ICBI……..335.9333 -0.3614 -0.11%
US10Yr……3.1930 closed +0%
VIX…………25.99 closed +0%

USDIndx 109.8190 +0.2850 +0.26%‼️
Como Indx..284.47 -0.15 -0.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.38 closed +0%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 +2.31 +1.92%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14907.00 +11.50 +0.08%‼️
Jisdor..14920.00 +20.00 +0.13%‼️

Euro………0.9930 -0.0024 -0.24%

TLKM……..30.30 closed +0%
(4521)
EIDO………24.04 closed +0%
EEM………38.76 closed +0%

Oil…………..88.82 +1.95 +2.24%
Gold ……..1721.20 -14.00 -0.08%
Timah. .21060.00 +95.00 +0.45%
( Closed 02/9)
Nickel…21593.00 +1119.00 +5.47%‼️
(Closed 05/9)
Silver…….18.02 +0.14 +0.78%
Copper….345.85 +4.50 +1.32%

Nturl Gas…..8.763 -0.139 -1.56%

Ammonia….3866.67 – –
China
(Domestic Price)(01/9)

Coal price….457.80 +22.80 +5.24%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….463.75 +22.85 +5.18%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….451.50 +20.95 +4.87%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….392.50 +16.50 +4.39%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….392.50 +24.15 +6.56%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….385.00 +23.40 +6.47%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3912 +11 +0.28%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..665.75 closed +0%
SoybeanOil…66.25 closed +0%
Wheat……..811.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 05/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tutup, eropa merah, asia varied, IHSG bikin higher high, apakah akah lanjut wave 1 nya diperpanjang ke atas? Kita tunggu saja… Sementara sih secara keilmuan baru menggeser titik puncak wave 1 sedikit, belum tentu akan long run

Commodity yang merah cuma gold sama natural gas, yang lain semua ijo, coal naik lagi tinggi, nikel juga naik tinggi

Untuk lanjut break high dan bikin new All Time High kayanya kemungkinan kecil sekali, sekarang belum bisa dikatakan ekonomi pulih, masih kondisi krisis, walau memang LK hampir semua emiten meningkat dibanding masa covid sedang merajalela. Masih menduga bahwa akan mentok sebelum mencapai record high dan akan bikin wave 2

IHSG – di banyak indicator bilang bagus dan akan lanjut, foreign juga netbuy terus, bandar akum terus, MFI naik… Tapi fundamentally rapuh, jadi prepare aja kalo market tiba2 ngebalik. Jangan masuk full cash dulu, masuknya hanya di energy sama finance kalo mau, dan pantau ketat, pasang stop loss/trailing stop.

Energy, Financials, Basic Materials, cocok sama kenaikan commodities. Industrials sama Infrastructure juga ada gerakan bagus, tapi belum dulu deh

Healthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals sudah cape, ga jadi lari, keliatannya duit market maker masuk ke financials dulu

Global Update:

September 02nd, 2022

Good morning,

Dow, S&P 500 close higher to snap four-day losing streak and begin September

The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 ended the first day of September on a high note as traders looked forward to the jobs report Friday.

Dow…….31656 +145.99 +0.46%
Nasdaq.11785 -31.1 -0.26%
S&P 500..3967 +11.9 +0.30%

FTSE…….7149 -135.7 -1.86%
Dax……..12630 -204.7 -1.60%
CAC……..6034 -90.8 -1.48%

Nikkei….27662 -430.0 -1.53%
HSI……..19597 -357.1 -1.79%
Shanghai..3185 -17.2 -0.54%
ST Times..3224 +2.4 +0.07%

IDX…….7153.10 -25.49 -0.36%
LQ45…1016.93 -5.89 -0.58%

IDX Energy…1915.88 +16.38 +0.86%
IDX Bsc Mat.1279.39 -19.09 -1.47%
IDX Industrl..1325.08 +1.93 +0.15%
IDXNONCYC..711.17 +3.55 +0.50%
IDX Hlthcare.1422.55 -14.17 -0.99%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.78 -5.80 -0.65%
IDX Techno..7688.87 -128.7 -1.65%
IDX Transp…1970.44 -9.96 -0.51%
IDX Infrast…..1044.58 +1.46 +0.14%
IDX Finance 1512.32 -3.58 -0.24%
IDX Banking..1152.95 +1.93 +0.17%
IDX Property…701 -0.20 -0.03%

Indo10Yr….7.1540 +0.0042 +0.06%
ICBI……..336.2994 -0.0974 -0.03%
US10Yr……3.2650 +0.1320 +4.21%‼️
VIX……….25.56 -0.31 -1.20%

USDIndx 109.6910 +1.0050 +0.92%‼️
Como Indx..284.62 -5.79 -1.99%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..147.20 -6.23 -4.06%‼️
.
IndoCDS…116.42 – %
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14882.50 +40.00 +0.27%
Jisdor..14884.00 +31.00 +0.21%

Euro………0.9946 -0.0108 -1.07%‼️

TLKM……..30.12 +0.05 +0.17%
(4483)
EIDO………23.97 +0.21 +0.88%
EEM………39.12 -0.31 -0.79%

Oil…………..86.57 -2.22 -2.50%‼️
Gold ……..1706.50 -16.00 -0.93%‼️
Timah. .22793.00 -859.00 -3.63%‼️
( Closed 31/8)
Nickel….20474.00 -954.00 -4.45%‼️
(Closed 01/9)
Silver…….17.64 -0.22 -1.23%
Copper….341.45 -10.00 -2.85%

Nturl Gas…..9.167 +0.040 +0.44%

Ammonia….3800.00 +16.67 +0.44%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/8)

Coal price….427.35 +7.35 +1.75%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….433.70 +18.20 +4.38%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….433.70 +16.95 +4.18%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.25 +3.25 +0.89%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….363.00 +5.00 +1.40%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….355.75 +6.00 +1.72%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3990 -143 -3.46%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..658.00 -12.50 -1.86%
SoybeanOil…63.59 -3.89 -5.76%‼️
Wheat……..794.25 -37.25 -4.48%‼️

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI finally ijo, walau nasdaq merah tipis. Europe asia merah kecuali singapore.

Komoditi hampir semua turun kecuali gas dan coal. Masih memperpanjang kondisi enery ganjel index. Walau udah naik tinggi dan ada resiko koreksi

IHSG – Hampir semua indicator masih bilang index mau turun dulu, cuma PSAR yang up, sama supertrend sih, tapi supertrend basic nya pake ATR, kalo belum confirmed turun belum ngebalik dia. Ternyata tapi opening naik, ikut DJI

Masih Energy, Healthcare, terus Finance. Consumer Non-Cyclicals mulai turun, Consumer Cyclicals masih naik terus RSI nya, padahal banyak saham didalamnya lagi dibanting, tapi kita assess detail deh satu satu