Daily Analysis 20221114

Daily Analysis 20221114

November 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq adds 1.9%, S&P 500 closes nearly 1% higher and notches best week since June

The S&P 500 closed out its best week since June as a report on Thursday showing slowing inflation raised hopes that the Federal Reserve would soon slow its tightening campaign.

Dow…….33748 +32.5 +0.10%
Nasdaq.11323 +209.2 +1.88%
S&P 500..3993 +36.6 +0.92%

FTSE…….7318 -57.3 -0.78%
Dax……..14225 +78.8 +0.58%
CAC……..6595 +37.8 +0.58%

*Nikkei….28264 +817.5 +2.98%*
*HSI……..17326 +1244.6 +7.74%‼️*
Shanghai..3087 +51.2 +1.68%
ST Times..3228 +55.2 +1.74%

IDX…….7089.21 +123.37 +1.76%
*LQ45….1012.94 +21.29 +2.15%*

IDX Energy..1980.57 +5.14 +0.26%
*IDX Bsc Mat.1318.27 +32.35 +2.52%*
IDX Industrl..1227.54 -7.22 -0.58%
IDXNONCYC..724.78 +0.30 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare.1481.03 -13.39 -0.90%
IDXCYCLIC…..886.25 +5.40 +0.61%
*IDX Techno.6940.87 +289.14 +4.35%‼️*
IDX Transp…1808.41 -2.21 -0.12%
IDX Infrast……925.11 +8.06 +0.88%
*IDX Finance 1501.22 +33.73 +2.30%*
*IDX Banking.1205.82 +33.08 +2.82%*
IDX Property….698 +6.40 +0.92%

*Indo10Yr….7.4511 -0.0429 -0.57%‼️*
*ICBI……..335.2798 +1.4335 +0.43%👍*
*US10Yr..3.8130 -0.0160 -0.42%*
*VIX……22.52 -1.01 -4.29%👍*

*USDIndx106.2920 -1.6070 -1.49%‼️👍*
Como Indx..285.79 +3.67 +1.30%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……164.35 +7.19 +4.57%‼️*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 -19.45 -15.60%‼️👍*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15495.00 -198.50 -1.26%👍*
*Jisdor..15493.00 -208.00 -1.32%👍*

*Euro……..1.0347 +0.0145 +1.42%👍*

*TLKM……..25.98 -0.84 -3.13%‼️*
*(4025)*
EIDO………23.75 -0.02 -0.08%
*EEM……….38.16 +1.01 +2.72%*

*Oil…………88.96 +2.49 +2.88%*
*Gold ……1769.40 +15.70 +0.90%‼️*
*Timah…..21315 +991.00 +4.88%‼️*
*(Closed 11/11)*
*Nickel…27427.00 +1270.00 +4.86%‼️*
*(Closed 11/11)*
Silver………21.67 -0.04 -0.16%
*Copper…..391.35 +15.50 +4.14%‼️*

*Nturl Gas…..5.902 -0.249 -4.05%‼️*

Ammonia..4363.33 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(10/11)

Coal price….326.80 +2.55 +0.79%
(Nov/Newcastle)
*Coal price….299.50 +10.10 +3.49%‼️*
(Des/Newcastle)
*Coal price….296.00 +8.15 +2.83%*
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….190.55 -0.15 -0.05%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….180.50 -6.90 -3.68%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….181.30 -7.15 -3.79%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 unch +0%
Indonesial Coal Index (10/11)

*CPO(Jan)……4290 +96 +2.24%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….663.00 +3.50 +0.53%
SoybeanOil…74.54 +0.91 +1.24%
Wheat………835.25 +9.50 +1.15%

Wood pulp…6700.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Ijo semua kecuali inggris, HSI rebound nya luar biasa kenceng
Semua komoditas naik kecuali gas. Logam2 an lanjut naik, cuma silver yang koreksi. Basic Materials masih lanjut ini. Coal kita tunggu momentum menjelang santa claus rally

Dari ichimoku, udah mau uptrend, dari lagging line yang udah mau tembus ke atas candle. Lagi mau ngetest breakout cloud, cloud nya juga tipis. supertrend udah bilang up dari 24 oktober, alligatornya lagi mau buy signal. Udah deket ini santa claus rally… Masih FNS udah 3 hari, sih, kita tunggu aja

IHSG – Dari banyak indicator, yang masih meragukan cuma MFI yang masih turun, keliatannya akan start jalan pas MFI nya mulai up

Masih Basic Materials, Finance keliatan mau bangun (harus bangun kalo index mau jalan lagi), Infrastructure, Technology, Energy belum…

Daily Analysis 20221010

Daily Analysis 20221010

Global update: October 10th, 2022 Good morning, Stock futures are lower Sunday night as the markets come out of a tumultuous week that started with a relief rally but saw…
Daily Analysis 20220923

Daily Analysis 20220923

Global Update: September 23th, 2022 Good morning, Stocks close lower, major averages on pace for weekly declines as recession fears mount Stocks on Thursday posted their third straight daily decline,…
Daily Analysis 20220906

Daily Analysis 20220906

Global Update:

September 06th, 2022

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Labor Day

Dow…….31318 closed +0%
Nasdaq.11631 closed +0%
S&P 500..3924 closed +0%

FTSE…….7287 +6.2 +0.09%
Dax……..12761 -289.5 -2.22%
CAC……..6093 -74.3 -1.20%

Nikkei….27620 -31.2 -0.11%
HSI……..19226 -226.4 -1.16%
Shanghai..3200 +13.4 +0.42%
ST Times..3215 +9.8 +0.31%

IDX…….7231.88 +54.70 +0.76%
LQ45…1029.30 +9.50 +0.93%

IDX Energy..2013.28 +74.26 +3.83%‼️
IDX Bsc Mat.1298.06 +7.20 +0.56%
IDX Industrl..1360.09 +24.18 +1.81%
IDXNONCYC..709.23 -0.52 -0.07%
IDX Hlthcare.1415.78 -16.67 -1.16%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.16 -1.50 -0.17%
IDX Techno..7557.48 -27.86 -0.37%
IDX Transp…1927.41 -35.37 -1.80%
IDX Infrast…..1048.07 +3.66 +0.35%
IDX Finance 1524.75 +5.16 +0.34%
IDX Banking..1172.16 +12.19 +1.05%
IDX Property…704 +4.00 +0.56%

Indo10Yr….7.1767 +0.0120 +0.17%
ICBI……..335.9333 -0.3614 -0.11%
US10Yr……3.1930 closed +0%
VIX…………25.99 closed +0%

USDIndx 109.8190 +0.2850 +0.26%‼️
Como Indx..284.47 -0.15 -0.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.38 closed +0%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 +2.31 +1.92%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14907.00 +11.50 +0.08%‼️
Jisdor..14920.00 +20.00 +0.13%‼️

Euro………0.9930 -0.0024 -0.24%

TLKM……..30.30 closed +0%
(4521)
EIDO………24.04 closed +0%
EEM………38.76 closed +0%

Oil…………..88.82 +1.95 +2.24%
Gold ……..1721.20 -14.00 -0.08%
Timah. .21060.00 +95.00 +0.45%
( Closed 02/9)
Nickel…21593.00 +1119.00 +5.47%‼️
(Closed 05/9)
Silver…….18.02 +0.14 +0.78%
Copper….345.85 +4.50 +1.32%

Nturl Gas…..8.763 -0.139 -1.56%

Ammonia….3866.67 – –
China
(Domestic Price)(01/9)

Coal price….457.80 +22.80 +5.24%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….463.75 +22.85 +5.18%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….451.50 +20.95 +4.87%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….392.50 +16.50 +4.39%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….392.50 +24.15 +6.56%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….385.00 +23.40 +6.47%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3912 +11 +0.28%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..665.75 closed +0%
SoybeanOil…66.25 closed +0%
Wheat……..811.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 05/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tutup, eropa merah, asia varied, IHSG bikin higher high, apakah akah lanjut wave 1 nya diperpanjang ke atas? Kita tunggu saja… Sementara sih secara keilmuan baru menggeser titik puncak wave 1 sedikit, belum tentu akan long run

Commodity yang merah cuma gold sama natural gas, yang lain semua ijo, coal naik lagi tinggi, nikel juga naik tinggi

Untuk lanjut break high dan bikin new All Time High kayanya kemungkinan kecil sekali, sekarang belum bisa dikatakan ekonomi pulih, masih kondisi krisis, walau memang LK hampir semua emiten meningkat dibanding masa covid sedang merajalela. Masih menduga bahwa akan mentok sebelum mencapai record high dan akan bikin wave 2

IHSG – di banyak indicator bilang bagus dan akan lanjut, foreign juga netbuy terus, bandar akum terus, MFI naik… Tapi fundamentally rapuh, jadi prepare aja kalo market tiba2 ngebalik. Jangan masuk full cash dulu, masuknya hanya di energy sama finance kalo mau, dan pantau ketat, pasang stop loss/trailing stop.

Energy, Financials, Basic Materials, cocok sama kenaikan commodities. Industrials sama Infrastructure juga ada gerakan bagus, tapi belum dulu deh

Healthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals sudah cape, ga jadi lari, keliatannya duit market maker masuk ke financials dulu

Daily Analysis 20220902

Daily Analysis 20220902

Global Update:

September 02nd, 2022

Good morning,

Dow, S&P 500 close higher to snap four-day losing streak and begin September

The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 ended the first day of September on a high note as traders looked forward to the jobs report Friday.

Dow…….31656 +145.99 +0.46%
Nasdaq.11785 -31.1 -0.26%
S&P 500..3967 +11.9 +0.30%

FTSE…….7149 -135.7 -1.86%
Dax……..12630 -204.7 -1.60%
CAC……..6034 -90.8 -1.48%

Nikkei….27662 -430.0 -1.53%
HSI……..19597 -357.1 -1.79%
Shanghai..3185 -17.2 -0.54%
ST Times..3224 +2.4 +0.07%

IDX…….7153.10 -25.49 -0.36%
LQ45…1016.93 -5.89 -0.58%

IDX Energy…1915.88 +16.38 +0.86%
IDX Bsc Mat.1279.39 -19.09 -1.47%
IDX Industrl..1325.08 +1.93 +0.15%
IDXNONCYC..711.17 +3.55 +0.50%
IDX Hlthcare.1422.55 -14.17 -0.99%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.78 -5.80 -0.65%
IDX Techno..7688.87 -128.7 -1.65%
IDX Transp…1970.44 -9.96 -0.51%
IDX Infrast…..1044.58 +1.46 +0.14%
IDX Finance 1512.32 -3.58 -0.24%
IDX Banking..1152.95 +1.93 +0.17%
IDX Property…701 -0.20 -0.03%

Indo10Yr….7.1540 +0.0042 +0.06%
ICBI……..336.2994 -0.0974 -0.03%
US10Yr……3.2650 +0.1320 +4.21%‼️
VIX……….25.56 -0.31 -1.20%

USDIndx 109.6910 +1.0050 +0.92%‼️
Como Indx..284.62 -5.79 -1.99%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..147.20 -6.23 -4.06%‼️
.
IndoCDS…116.42 – %
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14882.50 +40.00 +0.27%
Jisdor..14884.00 +31.00 +0.21%

Euro………0.9946 -0.0108 -1.07%‼️

TLKM……..30.12 +0.05 +0.17%
(4483)
EIDO………23.97 +0.21 +0.88%
EEM………39.12 -0.31 -0.79%

Oil…………..86.57 -2.22 -2.50%‼️
Gold ……..1706.50 -16.00 -0.93%‼️
Timah. .22793.00 -859.00 -3.63%‼️
( Closed 31/8)
Nickel….20474.00 -954.00 -4.45%‼️
(Closed 01/9)
Silver…….17.64 -0.22 -1.23%
Copper….341.45 -10.00 -2.85%

Nturl Gas…..9.167 +0.040 +0.44%

Ammonia….3800.00 +16.67 +0.44%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/8)

Coal price….427.35 +7.35 +1.75%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….433.70 +18.20 +4.38%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….433.70 +16.95 +4.18%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.25 +3.25 +0.89%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….363.00 +5.00 +1.40%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….355.75 +6.00 +1.72%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3990 -143 -3.46%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..658.00 -12.50 -1.86%
SoybeanOil…63.59 -3.89 -5.76%‼️
Wheat……..794.25 -37.25 -4.48%‼️

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI finally ijo, walau nasdaq merah tipis. Europe asia merah kecuali singapore.

Komoditi hampir semua turun kecuali gas dan coal. Masih memperpanjang kondisi enery ganjel index. Walau udah naik tinggi dan ada resiko koreksi

IHSG – Hampir semua indicator masih bilang index mau turun dulu, cuma PSAR yang up, sama supertrend sih, tapi supertrend basic nya pake ATR, kalo belum confirmed turun belum ngebalik dia. Ternyata tapi opening naik, ikut DJI

Masih Energy, Healthcare, terus Finance. Consumer Non-Cyclicals mulai turun, Consumer Cyclicals masih naik terus RSI nya, padahal banyak saham didalamnya lagi dibanting, tapi kita assess detail deh satu satu