January 17th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 200 points lower Tuesday after 10-year Treasury yield tops 4%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell Tuesday as bond yields ticked higher and Wall Street pored through the latest batch of fourth-quarter earnings.

Dow……37361 -231.9 -0.62%
Nasdaq14944 -28.4 -0.19%
S&P 500.4766 -17.9 -0.37%

FTSE…..7558 -36.6 -0.48%
Dax……16572 -50.5 -0.30%
CAC……7398 -13.7 -0.18%

Nikkei..35619 -15.42 -0.78%
HSI…….15866 -350.4 -2.16%
Shanghai.2894 +7.7 +0.27%

IDX…..7242.79 +18.70 +0.26%
LQ45….975.39 +1.34 +0.14%
IDX30…502.80 -0.35 -0.07%

IDXEnergy..2194.91 .91 +1.06%
IDX BscMat.1249.83 +0.41 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl…1127.74 +11.77+1.06%
IDXNONCYC.707.91 +1.34 +0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1310.72 -25.74 -1.93%
IDXCYCLIC…864.61 +8.98 +1.05%
IDX Techno4310.93 -26.38 -0.61%
IDX Transp 1710.92 -0.81 -0.05%
IDX Infrast 1534.48 +2.42 +0.16%
IDX Finance.1512.23 -4.22 -0.28%
IDX Banking.1331.17 -1.46 -0.11%
IDX Property.. 714 +1.40 +0.19%

Indo10Yr.6.6805 +0.0229 +0.34%
ICBI…375.0189 +0.0247 -0.01%
US2Yr.4.222 +0.076 +1.83%
US5Yr 3.934 +0.102 +2.66%
US10Yr4.064 +0.078 +1.96%
US30Yr.4.297 +0.122 +2.92%
VIX….13.84 +0.59 +4.45%‼️

USDIndx 103.3570❗️ +0.953 +0.93%
Como Indx..264.30 -0.08 -0.03%
BCOMIN……136.24 +0.24 +1.29%

IndoCDS..74.21 -0.02 -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/01)

IDR…..15592.50 +37.50 +0.24%
Jisdor.15592.00 +37.00 +0.24%

Euro….1.0877 -0.0072 -0.66%

TLKM…25.80 -0.12 -0.43%
(4033)
EIDO……22.44 -0.21 -0.93%
EEM……38.25 -0.95 -2.42%

Oil……..72.40 -0.10 -0.14%
Gold..2030.20 -28.80 -1.40%
Timah..24781.00 +150.00 +0.61%
(Closed 15/01)
Nickel..16227.00 +59.5 +0.37%
(Closed 16/01)
Silver……23.09 -0.24 -1.01%
Copper.376.65 -1.75 -0.46%

Iron Ore 62% 137.22 – -%
(12/01)
Nturl Gas..2.829 -0.277 -8.92%‼️
Ammonia China.3183.33‼️ -66.67 -2.05%
(Domestic Price)(15/02)

Coal price.129.50 -0.35 -0.39%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.40 +1.15 +0.91%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.127.25: +1.00 +0.80%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.85 +0.85 +0.68%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.107.75 +0.25 +0.23%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 +2.25 +2.22%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price..100.85 +1.80 +1.82%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…99.30 +1.80 +1.85%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3881 +61 +1.61%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……443.50 -3.50 -0.78%
SoybeanOil 48.25 -1.00 -2.07%
Wheat…582.00 -14.00 -2.35%

Wood pulp..5054.00+4.00 +0.10%
(Closed 16/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Weh, US lanjut merah, europe juga, asia cenderung merah, yang ijo tipis. IHSG kemaren ijo, jadi kemungkinan merah lagi hari ini.

US Bond rate up rada tingi, bad for stocks, USD index juga naik, bad for commodities in general. Kebanyakan metal down kecuali Tin and Nickel, Oil down, Gas Drop, tapi Coal and CPO up. Good for ADRO PTBA ITMG INDY AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% sw, BD sw, FNB, hidden bullish divergence, 833 buy, semoga rada ada dorongannya minimal ga dibanting, sideways correction aja

Still financials, energy, yang ketangkep kemaren beli KLBF ini mulai keliatan healthcare mau bangun. Property yang kayanya udahan

January 15th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points lower Friday, ekes out a weekly gain

The Dow Jones industrial Average
slipped Friday as traders parsed through the first batch of fourth-quarter earnings and digested the second in a pair of closely watched inflation reports this week.

Dow……37593 -118.04 -0.31%
Nasdaq14973 +2.6 +0.02%
S&P 500.4784 +3.6 +0.08%

FTSE…..7625 +48.3 +0.64%
Dax……16705 +157.5 +0.95%
CAC……7465 +77.5 +1.05%

Nikkei..35577 +527.3 +1.50%
HSI…….16245 -57.5 -0.35%
Shanghai.2882 -4.7 -0.16%

IDX…..7241.14 +21.17 +0.29%
LQ45….977.82 +7.88 +0.81%
IDX30…504.26 +5.06 +1.01%

IDXEnergy..2177.36 +16.81 +0.78%
IDX BscMat.1249.16 +9.25 +0.75%
IDX Indstrl…1115.97 +9.35 +0.84%
IDXNONCYC.704.84 -0.56 -0.08%
IDX Hlthcare1346.70 -2.44 -0.18%
IDXCYCLIC…858.20 -2.68 -0.31%
IDX Techno4336.56 -7.28 -0.17%
IDX Transp 1661.66 -17.61 -1.05%
IDX Infrast 1535.15 -14.66 -0.95%
IDX Finance.1524.48+1.99 +0.13%
IDX Banking.1334.79+12.45 +0.94%
IDX Property.. 717 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6708 -0.0251 -0.37%
ICBI…374.6673 +0.5618 +0.15%
US2Yr.4.149 -0.103 -2.42%
US5Yr 3.832 -0.049 -1.26%
US10Yr3.939 -0.029 -0.73%
US30Yr.4.175-0.038 -0.85%
VIX….12.70 +0.26 +2.09%

USDIndx 102.4040 +0.092 +0.09%
Como Indx..264.38 +0.28 +0.11%
BCOMIN……136.00 -0.75 -0.55%

IndoCDS..74.23‼️ -0.03 -0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/01)

IDR…..15550.00 +1.50 +0.01%
Jisdor.15559.00 +1.00 +0.01%

Euro….1.0951 -0.0023 -0.21%

TLKM…25.93 +0.26 +1.01%
(4034)
EIDO….22.64 +0.25 +1.12%
EEM….39.20 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil……..72.68 +0.67 +0.92%
Gold..2051.60 +32.40 +1.60%
Timah..24631.00 +77.00 +0.31%
(Closed 12/01)
Nickel..16310.00 -142 -0.86%
(Closed 12/01)
Silver……23.33 +0.62 +2.75%
Copper.374.05 -3.60 -0.95%

Iron Ore 62% 137.22 -1.63 -1.17%
(12/01)
Nturl Gas..3.331 +0.301 +9.93%‼️
Ammonia China.3250.00‼️ -56.67 -1.71%
(Domestic Price)(12/02)

Coal price.130.85 +0.10 +0.08%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.25 +1.00 +0.79%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.75 +0.50 +0.40%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.20 +0.50 +0.40%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.80 +2.30 +2.16%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.25 +2.95 +2.88%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.102.95 +2.75 +2.74%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.00 +2.95 +3.01%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3854 +58 +1.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.00 -10.75 -2.35%
SoybeanOil 48.25 -0.47 -0.96%
Wheat…596.00 -7.75 -1.28%

Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US DJI merah nasdaq S&P500 ijo tipis, europe ijo, asia varied. US bond rates turun, USD index naik dikit, masih bisa kemana mana hari ini, kalo ikut closing US merah, tapi bond turun biasanya saham naik

Gold akhirnya ijo rada tebel, tin silver ijo, nickel copper iron ore merah, oil up gas jump, coal naik dikit, CPO lanjut ijo lagi. Kayanya udah harusnya AALI LSIP lari ini. ANTM MDKA chartnya masih belum ok, semoga mulai turnaround dengan harga emas yang naik

IHSG – Stoch down macd down,833 buy, MFI sw,w% sw, bd dist, FNB, minor sih up kayanya, tapi belum beres ABC correction, mungkin sekarang di wave B, belum firm… Keliatannya akan test support 7046, area belanja pas mantul dari situ

Arahnya menarik Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Technology.

ADRO terlihat mau nyusul,kita check later, coal yang lain terlihat jenuh

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO KLBF MEDC AVIA BTPS HEAL JPFA PNLF, yang big accum ADRO AVIA BTPS, spike AVIA

MACD Buy Signal: ASII BBRI GOTO DSNG OMED UNIC, ASII spike, BBRI big accum

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: BBCA BMRI INCO MEDC UNTR AVIA ELSA, spike INCO

Supertrend Buy Signal: ESSA BTPS

January 08th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes slightly higher Friday, but major averages end 9-week win streak

The S&P 500
ended Friday modestly higher, but all three of the major averages snapped a nine-week winning streak following a stronger-than-expected jobs report.

Dow……37466 +25.8 +0.07%
Nasdaq14524 +13.8 +0.09%
S&P 500.4697 +8.6 +0.18%

FTSE…..7690 -33.5 -0.43%
Dax……16594 -23.1 -0.14%
CAC……7421 -29.9 -0.40%

Nikkei..33377 +89.1 +0.27%
HSI…….16535 -110.7 -0.66%
Shanghai.2929 -25.2 -0.85%

IDX…..7359.76 +80.67 +1.11%
LQ45….988.64 +15.26 +1.57%
IDX30…502.23 +7.97 +1.61%

IDXEnergy..2180.74 +9.54 +0.43%
IDX BscMat.1325.84 -5.07 -0.38%
IDX Indstrl…1103.76 -6.68 -0.60%
IDXNONCYC.719.06 -4.62 -0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1325.89 -10.44 -0.78%
IDXCYCLIC…834.49 +1.87 +0.22%
IDX Techno4381.41 -17.49 -0.40%
IDX Transp 1690.91 -4.11 -0.24%
IDX Infrast 1570.16 -8.60 -0.54%
IDX Finance.1491.68+12.89 +0.87%
IDX Banking.1311.25+9.74 +0.75%
IDX Property.. 713 +3.20 +0.45%

Indo10Yr.6.6734 +0.1034 +1.55%
ICBI…373.9196 -0.1226 -0.03%
US2Yr.4.393 +0.006 +0.14%
US5Yr 4.015 +0.035 +0.88%
US10Yr4.051+0.044 +1.09%
US30Yr.4.206+0.054 +1.30%
VIX….13.35 -0.78 -5.52%👍

USDIndx 102.4120 -0.010 -0.01%
Como Indx..265.91 +0.91 +0.34%
BCOMIN……138.36 +0.04 +0.03%

IndoCDS..77.69‼️ +1.97 +2.60%
(5-yr INOCD5) (04/01)

IDR…..15516.00 +25.50 +0.16%
Jisdor.15518.00 -7.00 -0.05%

Euro….1.0943 -0.0003 -0.03%

TLKM…25.32 -0.15 -0.59%
(3929)
EIDO….22.59 +0.20 +0.89%
EEM….39.44 +0.05 +0.13%

Oil……..73.81 +1.11 +1.53%
Gold..2049.80 -0.20 -0.01%
Timah..24622.00 -212 -0.85%
(Closed 05/01)
Nickel..16344.00 -81 -0.49%
(Closed 05/01)
Silver……23.32 +0.13 +0.55%
Copper.380.60 -3.80 -0.99%

Iron Ore 62% 141.45 -1.50 -1.05%*
(06/01)
Nturl Gas..2.906 +0.058 +2.04%
Ammonia China.3640.00 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(04/02)

Coal price.131.55 +0.65 +0.50%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.50 +1.30 +1.01%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.50 +0.60 +0.47%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.25 -0.05 -0.04%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.116.00 +3.70 +3.29%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.35 +5.05 +4.66%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.108.75 +5.20 +5.02%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.65 +4.30 +4.24%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3681 +25 +0.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……460.75 -5.75 -1.23%
SoybeanOil 47.63 -0.53 -1.10%
Wheat….616.00 +2.50 +0.41%

Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US jum’at ijo tipis, europe merah, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG abis bikin new record high terus closing merah. Rada bahaya longsor ini…

US bond rates naik, USD index turun tipis, ga bagus buat saham, metal2 merah kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, cpo ijo. Semoga energy sama CPO bisa jalan ganjel index biar ga dibanting, sideways correction idealnya, atau turun sambil ada sektor yang gantian ganjel

IHSG – stoch sell macd up MFI sw, w% mau keluar area uptrend, wave 5 udah bisa dianggap kena target nya, udah diantara 1-1,618 fibo extension. ATH sambil vol kecil, bagusnya masih FNB. Awas pasang stoploss ketat khawatir ngebalik

Financials yang kemaren gendong index, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation

Selamat pagi 🌻,
4 Agustus 23

Dow.. 35.215.89 -66.63 -0.19%
Nasdaq.. 13.959.72 -13.73 -0.10%
S&P 500.. 4.501,89 -11.5 -0.25%

Brent Oil.. 85.25 +2.05 +2.46%
Crude Oil WTI.. 81.77 +0.21 +0.26%
Gold.. 1970.30 +1.50 +0.08%
Nickel.. 21.737.00 +177.00 +0.82%
Silver.. 23.715 +0.018 +0.08%
Copper.. 3.9017 +0.0052 +0.13%
Nturl Gas.. 2.562 +0.008 +0.31%

Coal price..145.00 +1.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price..141.5 +3.35
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.. 136.85 +3.35
(Aug/Newcastle)

Corn.. 494.75 -5.25% -1.05%
SoybeanOil.. 1.325.25 +4.25 +0.32%
Wheat.. 6.28,25 -10.75 -1.68%

RK/ CGS-CIMB Bdg
Tiktok: rienan777

Source: Investing, Barchart.

US merah, tapi semua commodity naik, bagus buat basic materials sama energy

IHSG – Udah 2 hari US merah tapi IHSG jalan, padahal MACD sell, tapi memang dari fibonacci retracement udah kena level koreksi wajar. Ga bisa cuma pake satu ilmu aja pendekatannya sih… BD acc, FNB, semoga lanjut

Masih Basic Materials, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT ESSA ICBP KLBF SIDO ADMR BBKP JPFA RAJA SMRA. Big Accum KLBF ADMR JPFA

MACD Buy Signal: BBCA SMGR MYOR

Alligator Buy Signal: ERAA

AMRT Skip

ESSA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI sw, w% sw, CNH failed, BD dah mulai akum, FF masih galaw. Belum ok kayanya

ICBP – stoch buy macd downrev, MFI down, w% up, BD FF acc, belum ada spike baru, spike lama target done, udah run wave 3 panjang, belum masih 1.618 tapi khawatir mau wave 4. WNS dulu deh

KLBF – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w% sw, BD acc FF dist, but inside, itungan ABC correction level done, mungkin aja udah bisa dianggap beres dan mau rebound, tapi amannya tunggu MACD sambil pantau FF

Spike terakhir spike jual, belum ada lagi. WNS, tunggu MACD

SIDO – masih belum beres turunnya, emang sih stoch buy dan BD FF rev acc, tapi masih terakhir spike jual. Abis drop jauh sabar tunggu firm reversal, tunggu bikin higher low

ADMR – stoch buy, macd rev up almost buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF rev acc, udah bikin higher low, kayanya ada freq spike juga, kita check dulu

Pas di bawah 3 kali spike terus jalan, spike jual kecil, lanjut spike beli walau ga terlalu besar. OK sih ini, bisa spec buy, full load tunggu MACD

JPFA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF acc, agak mencurigakan sih, akum terus walau turun, tapi apakah udah selesai dibawa turunnya. Technically belum.

Belum dulu sih, terakhir spike jual, lagipula udah pegang CPIN, skip dulu

SMGR – rsi reg bear div, memang sih stoch buy, BD FF rev acc, w% uptrend, kemaren candle ijo vol gede, tapi udah run lumayan panjang dan udah deket sama fibo 23, resiko kejedot terus dibanting

Ada spike tinggi 2 hari lalu sebelum diangkat 5.8%. Ga berani ah, curiga itu spike balikin barang

MYOR – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, tapi BD FF dist terus belum beres, hari ini kalo closing di atas breakout resistance, akhir dari wave 4? Munking aja sih, WNS dulu tunggu rev acc

ERAA – sejak breakout technical masih ok, tapi baru kena trailing stop, minggir dulu..