Global Update:

September 20th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 200 points higher, stocks snap two-day losing streak to start big Fed week

Stocks closed higher on Monday in a volatile trading session ahead of the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting slated to kick off Tuesday.

Dow…….31020 +197.3 +0.64%
Nasdaq.11535 +86.6 +0.76%
S&P 500..3900 +26.6 +0.69%

FTSE…….7237 closed +0%
Dax……..12803 +61.98 +0.49%
CAC……..6062 -15.7 -0.26%

Nikkei….27568 closed +0%
HSI……..18566 -195.7 -1.04%
Shanghai..3116 -10.8 -0.35%
ST Times..3256 -11.98 -0.37%

IDX…….7195.49 +26.62 +0.37%
LQ45…1024.73 +8.72 +0.86%

IDX Energy..1997.50 -37.27 -1.83%
IDX Bsc Mat.1295.73 -8.40 -0.64%
IDX Industrl..1363.31 -0.13 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..700.31 -2.24 -0.32%
IDX Hlthcare.1466.89 +17.68 +1.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..885.02 +4.98 +0.57%
IDX Techno..7347.55 -135.95 -1.82%
IDX Transp…1868.16 -35.32 -1.86%
IDX Infrast…..1030.42 +3.18 +0.31%
IDX Finance 1516.93 +4.26 +0.28%
IDX Banking..1180.67 +13.18 +1.13%
IDX Property….737 +0.40 +0.05%

Indo10Yr….7.2456 +0.0062 +0.09%
ICBI……..335.8074 +0.0016 +0.00%
US10Yr……3.4900 +0.0420 +1.22%
VIX……….25.76 -0.54 -2.05%

USDIndx 109.7370 -0.0270 -0.02%
Como Indx..279.78 +0.90 +0.32%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.09 -0.15 -0.10%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14977.50 +23.00 +0.15%‼️
Jisdor..14980.00 +41.00 +0.27%‼️

Euro……..1.0031 +0.0015 +0.15%

TLKM……..29.79 +0.59 +2.02%
(4463)
EIDO………24.61 +0.34 +1.40%
EEM………37.91 +0.12 +0.03%

Oil…………..85.73 +0.62 +0.73%
Gold ……..1684.90 +1.40 +0.08%
Timah. .21137.00 – -%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24621.50 +226.00 +0.66%
(Closed 19/9)
Silver…….19.58 +0.20 +1.03%
Copper….352.85 +1.20 +0.34%

Nturl Gas…..7.878 +0.061 +0.78%

Ammonia..4256.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)

Coal price….439.05 +0.05 +0.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.05 +0.05 +0.01%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.05 +1.55 +0.37%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….334.25 +3.25 +0.98%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….307.55 +3.25 +1.07%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….308.80 +3.25 +1.06%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3701 -100 -2.63%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..678.25 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil…65.16 -0.80 -1.21%
Wheat……..830.50 -29.25 -3.40%‼️

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 19/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Fed rencana naikin suku bunga lagi, US ijo tadi malem. Europe ijo, asia merah kecuali IHSG yang mantul setelah sebelumnya koreksi hampir 2%.

Kemungkinan hari ini merah lagi sih, udah firm wave 2 nya by bearish divergence. Hati-hati belanja, pilih sektor yang jalan aja atau saham yang contrarian.

Semua komoditas ijo kecuali CPO, semoga bikin jalan Basic Materials

IHSG – akhirnya FNS… Setelah seminggu lebih foreign entry terus. Semua indicator bilang mau turum,atau sideways,ga ada lagi yang bilang up. Lagging line ichimoku sih, tapi udah dikit lagi mau nabrak masuk ke candle

Property, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation. Basic Materials, healthcare, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure lagi siap siap

Global update:

September 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 1,200 points for worst day since June 2020 after hot inflation report

Stocks fell sharply on Tuesday after a key August inflation report came in hotter than expected, hurting investor optimism for cooling prices and a less aggressive Federal Reserve.

Dow…….31105 -1276.4 -3.94%‼️
Nasdaq.11634 -632.8 -5.16%‼️
S&P 500..3932 -177.7 -4.32%‼️

FTSE…….7386 -87.2 -1.17%
Dax……..13189 -213.2 -1.59%
CAC……..6246 -87.9 -1.39%

Nikkei….28615 +72.5 +0.25%
HSI……..19327 -35.4 -0.18%
Shanghai..3264 +1.7 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7318.02 +63.56 +0.88%
LQ45…1042.64 +9.85 +0.95%

IDX Energy..2063.78 +16.76 +0.82%
IDX Bsc Mat.1334.42 -5.20 -0.39%
IDX Industrl..1390.40 +18.58 +1.35%
IDXNONCYC..703.79 +4.24 +0.61%
IDX Hlthcare.1464.26 +9.86: +0.68%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.78 -1.86 -0.21%
IDX Techno..7647.98 -45.90 -0.60%
IDX Transp…1927.02 +42.22 +2.24%
IDX Infrast…..1034.62 +6.15 +0.60%
IDX Finance 1536.62 +28.20 +1.87%
IDX Banking..1193.06 +23.02 +1.97%
IDX Property…734 +7.80 +1.08%

Indo10Yr….7.1745 -0.0089 -0.12%
ICBI……..336.7872 +0.2684 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.4220 +0.0600 +1.78%
VIX……….27.27 +3.40 +14.24%‼️

USDIndx 109.8150 +1.4850 +1.37%
Como Indx..285.77 -1.85 -0.64%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..155.12 -0.37 -0.24%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14851.50 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor..14861.00 +22.00 +0.15%

Euro……..0.9970 -0.0152 -1.50%

TLKM……..29.58 -0.88 -2.89%‼️
(4396)
EIDO………24.33 -0.26 -1.06%
EEM………38.36 -1.22 -3.08%‼️

Oil…………..87.71 -0.28 -0.32%
Gold ……..1712.70 -23.50 -1.35%
Timah. .21461.00 +296.00 +1.40%
( Closed 12/9)
Nickel…24142.50 -307.50 -1.26%
(Closed 13/9)
Silver…….19.29 -0.52 -2.62%
Copper….353.10 -8.45 -2.34%

Nturl Gas…..8.398 -0.011 -0.13%

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(12/9)

Coal price….439.35 +1.85 +0.42%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.65 +1.15 +0.27%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.00 +4.00 +0.96%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….336.00 +7.00 +2.13%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.50 +10.00 +3.28%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….314.75 +9.50 +3.11%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3900 +218 +5.92%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..692.75 -3.25 -0.47%
SoybeanOil…66.73 +0.24 +0.36%
Wheat……..860.50 +1.75 +0.20%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US drop dalem banget, Eropa ikut merah tapi ga terlalu dalem, mungkin sentimen negatif keluar ga lama marketnya tutup. Asia masih pada ijo sisa sentimen hari sebelumnya, cuma hangseng yang merah

Ini worst fear saya, diangkat sampe seolah-olah mau bikin record high, terus dibanting dalem pas saat semua orang lagi greed. Secara technical, jebakan technical persis kaya gini ada di tahun kemaren, pas keluar MACD buy signal pas index dibawa turun lagi

Kemungkinan besar akan dibanting dulu, semoga ga semua sektor dibawa kebawah

IHSG – technically relatif bagus. Memang dari kemarin kemarin sudah dikhawatirkan akan drop bikin Wave 2, cuma belum start aja, karena finance LK pada bagus dan bikin new record high BBCA BMRI, otomatis index keangkat. Ada regular Bearsih Divergence MACD dan ada 3 gap di bawah dan stochastic siap sell yang mendukung koreksi. kalo masih ada profit dan sempet exit bagusnya exit dulu

Yang mungkin contrarian sama index di Basic Materials sama Property, tapi tetep kalo sentimen awal pasti ikut keseret kebawah. Industrials cacingnya masih up aja, tapi udah wave 5 dan ada sentimen negatif kayanya udahan dulu. Financials ga usah dibahas, pasti ngikut index

Global update:

September 08th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 400 points higher, Nasdaq snaps 7-day slump as Wall Street shakes off rate hike concerns

Stocks rose Wednesday — trying to shake off a three-week slide — as rates and oil prices eased, cooling investor concerns about continued high inflation.

Dow…….31581 +435.98 +1.40%
Nasdaq.11792 +246.99 +2.14%
S&P 500..3980 +71.7 +1.83%

FTSE…….7238 -62.6 -0.86%
Dax……..12916 +44.5 +0.35%
CAC……..6105 +1.3 +0.02%

Nikkei….27430 -196.2 -0.71%
HSI……..19044 -158.4 -0.82%
Shanghai..3246 +2.9 +0.09%
ST Times..3211 -13.4 -0.41%

IDX…….7186.76 -46.40 -0.64%
LQ45…1019.67 -7.35 -0.72%

IDX Energy..2043.70 -28.22 -1.36%
IDX Bsc Mat.1311.09 +4.04 +0.31%
IDX Industrl..1371.83 -0.54 -0.04%
IDXNONCYC..702.77 -3.79 -0.54%
IDX Hlthcare.1419.16 -2.66 -0.19%
IDXCYCLIC…..879.58 -0.57 -0.07%
IDX Techno..7526.51 -39.42 -0.52%
IDX Transp…1923.01 -18.78 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1026.81 -16.49 -1.58%
IDX Finance 1505.65 -12.59 -0.83%
IDX Banking..1154.91 -9.73 -0.84%
IDX Property…708 -0.90 -0.13%

Indo10Yr….7.2107 +0.026 +0.36%
ICBI……..335.2978 -0.6038 -0.18%
US10Yr……3.2650 -0.0750 -2.25%
VIX…………24.64 -2.27 -8.44%

USDIndx 109.5620 -0.6520 -0.59%
Como Indx..276.52 -6.10 -2.16%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..147.06 -1.30 -0.88%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14917.50 +32.50 +0.22%‼️
Jisdor..14927.00 +42.00 +0.28%‼️

Euro………1.009 +0.0187 +1.89%

TLKM……..30.10 -0.20 -0.66%
(4493)
EIDO………24.05 -0.08 -0.33%
EEM………38.64 +0.34 +0.89%

Oil…………..81.94 -4.90 -5.64%‼️
Gold ……..1727.80 +15.20 +0.89%
Timah. .21614.50 -414.00 -1.94%
( Closed 06/9)
Nickel…21614.50 +34.00 +0.16%
(Closed 07/9)
Silver…….18.26 +0.38 +2.13%
Copper….343.05 -2.40 -0.69%

Nturl Gas…..7.856 -0.21 -2.60%

Ammonia..4100.00 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(06/9)

Coal price….439.00 -11.25 -2.50%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.70 -16.55 -3.67%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.70 -16.20 -3.68%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.00 -5.00 -1.31%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….358.00 -23.25 -6.10%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….349.30 -25.40 -6.78%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3704 -95 -2.50%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..671.00 -5.00 -0.74%
SoybeanOil…62.10 -1.18 -1.86%
Wheat……..844.25 +27.35 +3.44%‼️

Wood pulp…6740.00 unch +0%
(Closed 07/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US akhirnya rebound kenceng, eropa masih tipis, inggris malah masih merah dalem. Asia merah semua kecuali Shanghai.

Oil drop, coal drop, gas drop, sudah selesai kah wave 5 sektor IDX Energy? Kalo energy dan financials udahan, pas deh, IHSG wave 2. Kita pantau aja

Timah abis naik tinggi sendiri kemaren merah, metal2 lain rata2 naik kecuali copper. CPO juga turun banyak, kasian banget ini AALI sama LSIP ga jalan jalan, nanti mungkin bareng wave 3 index

Prediksi masih belum rubah banyak, index mau wave 2 dulu… kita belanja aggressive setelah tutup gap, atau paling cepet setelah retrace fibo 50

MACD index, masih belum firm kemana, tapi yang jelas belum aman buat aggressive belanja

IHSG – stoch up rev, macd still down, bandar mulai lepas barang, foreign entry menurun, MFI turun (consequently), PSAR masih up, price masih diatas MA20. Kalo pemain MA biasanya exit begitu price close dibawah MA 20

wah rada numpuk, kurang jelas…

Energy, Financials, Industrials sama Basic Materials. Saham2 sektor Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, hati2 kalo signal ngebalik buang dulu

Global Update:

September 07th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points lower in post-Labor Day session as interest rates pop

U.S. stocks slumped on Tuesday in a volatile trading session as investors weighed what strong economic data and rising rates mean for the Federal Reserve’s aggressive tightening campaign.

Dow…….31145 -173.1 -0.55%
Nasdaq.11545 -85.95 -0.74%
S&P 500..3908 -16.1 -0.41%

FTSE…….7300 +13.01 +0.18%
Dax……..12871 +110.7 +0.87%
CAC……..6105 +11.4 +0.19%

Nikkei….27627 +6.9 +0.03%
HSI……..19203 -22.97 -0.12%
Shanghai..3200 +13.4 +0.42%
ST Times..3234 +18.6 +0.58%

IDX…….7233.15 +1.27 +0.02%
LQ45…1027.01 -2.28 -0.22%

IDX Energy..2071.92 +58.63 +2.91%‼️
IDX Bsc Mat.1307.05 +8.99 +0.69%
IDX Industrl..1372.37 +12.28 +0.90%
IDXNONCYC..706.56 -2.67 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare.1421.82 +6.04 +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.15 -1.00 -0.11%
IDX Techno..7565.93 +8.45 +0.11%
IDX Transp…1941.80 +14.38 +0.75%
IDX Infrast…..1043.29 -4.78 -0.46%
IDX Finance 1518.24 -6.51 -0.43%
IDX Banking..1164.64 -7.52 -0.64%
IDX Property…709 +10.10 +1.45%

Indo10Yr….7.1847 +0.008 +0.11%
ICBI……..335.9016 -0.0317 -0.01%
US10Yr……3.3400 +0.1470 +4.60%‼️
VIX…………26.91 +0.92 +3.54%

USDIndx 110.2140 +0.3950 +0.33%‼️
Como Indx..282.62 -1.85 -0.65%
M(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.35 +1.98 +1.35%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14885.00 -22.00 -0.15%
Jisdor..14885.00 -35.00 -0.23%

Euro………0.9903 -0.0027 -0.27%

TLKM……..30.30 unch +0%
(4510)
EIDO………24.13 +0.09 +0.37%
EEM………38.30 -0.46 -1.19%

Oil…………..86.84 -1.98 -2.22%
Gold ……..1712.60 -8.60 -0.50%
Timah. .21625.00 +565.00 +2.68%‼️
( Closed 05/9)
Nickel…21580.50 -125.00 -0.06%
(Closed 06/9)
Silver…….17.88 -0.14 -0.78%
Copper….345.45 -0.20 -0.06%

Nturl Gas…..8.066 -0.697 -7.95%‼️

Ammonia..4100.00 +233.33 +6.03%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(05/9)

Coal price….450.25 -7.55 -1.65%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….451.25 -12.50 -2.70%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….439.90 -11.60 -2.57%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….380.00 -12.50 -3.18%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….381.25 -11.25 -2.87%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….374.70 -10.25 -2.68%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3799 -113 -2.89%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..676.00 +10.25 +1.54%
SoybeanOil…63.28 -2.97 -4.48%‼️
Wheat……..817.00 +6.00 +0.74%

Wood pulp…6740.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 06/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Setelah libur US lanjut merah, europe ijo, asia mostly ijo kecuali hangseng

Oil Gas Coal turun, metal2 turun kecuali timah, CPO juga turun… Ini harusnya mendukung mau wave 2, tapi sektor financials masih up, ga sinkron jadinya

MACD nya almost golden cross… Sudah bikin higher high dibanding wave B, tapi masih belum break wave 5 kemaren… Jadi New Record High kalo break itu, euforia nya bakal luar biasa sepertinya

IHSG – candle kemaren rada rada shooting star, walau shadow nya pendek. Tapi tetep sih, candle reversal itu. Stochastic MACD akumulasi PSAR alligator supertrend, ichimoku masih indicate lanjut naik, tapi tetep, saya masih believe ini bakal turun. Too early to make a new record high tanpa ada recovery ekonomi yang jelas

Energy, Finance, Basic Materials, Industrials