Daily Analysis 20220907

Daily Analysis 20220907

Global update:

September 08th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 400 points higher, Nasdaq snaps 7-day slump as Wall Street shakes off rate hike concerns

Stocks rose Wednesday — trying to shake off a three-week slide — as rates and oil prices eased, cooling investor concerns about continued high inflation.

Dow…….31581 +435.98 +1.40%
Nasdaq.11792 +246.99 +2.14%
S&P 500..3980 +71.7 +1.83%

FTSE…….7238 -62.6 -0.86%
Dax……..12916 +44.5 +0.35%
CAC……..6105 +1.3 +0.02%

Nikkei….27430 -196.2 -0.71%
HSI……..19044 -158.4 -0.82%
Shanghai..3246 +2.9 +0.09%
ST Times..3211 -13.4 -0.41%

IDX…….7186.76 -46.40 -0.64%
LQ45…1019.67 -7.35 -0.72%

IDX Energy..2043.70 -28.22 -1.36%
IDX Bsc Mat.1311.09 +4.04 +0.31%
IDX Industrl..1371.83 -0.54 -0.04%
IDXNONCYC..702.77 -3.79 -0.54%
IDX Hlthcare.1419.16 -2.66 -0.19%
IDXCYCLIC…..879.58 -0.57 -0.07%
IDX Techno..7526.51 -39.42 -0.52%
IDX Transp…1923.01 -18.78 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1026.81 -16.49 -1.58%
IDX Finance 1505.65 -12.59 -0.83%
IDX Banking..1154.91 -9.73 -0.84%
IDX Property…708 -0.90 -0.13%

Indo10Yr….7.2107 +0.026 +0.36%
ICBI……..335.2978 -0.6038 -0.18%
US10Yr……3.2650 -0.0750 -2.25%
VIX…………24.64 -2.27 -8.44%

USDIndx 109.5620 -0.6520 -0.59%
Como Indx..276.52 -6.10 -2.16%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..147.06 -1.30 -0.88%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14917.50 +32.50 +0.22%‼️
Jisdor..14927.00 +42.00 +0.28%‼️

Euro………1.009 +0.0187 +1.89%

TLKM……..30.10 -0.20 -0.66%
(4493)
EIDO………24.05 -0.08 -0.33%
EEM………38.64 +0.34 +0.89%

Oil…………..81.94 -4.90 -5.64%‼️
Gold ……..1727.80 +15.20 +0.89%
Timah. .21614.50 -414.00 -1.94%
( Closed 06/9)
Nickel…21614.50 +34.00 +0.16%
(Closed 07/9)
Silver…….18.26 +0.38 +2.13%
Copper….343.05 -2.40 -0.69%

Nturl Gas…..7.856 -0.21 -2.60%

Ammonia..4100.00 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(06/9)

Coal price….439.00 -11.25 -2.50%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.70 -16.55 -3.67%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.70 -16.20 -3.68%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.00 -5.00 -1.31%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….358.00 -23.25 -6.10%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….349.30 -25.40 -6.78%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3704 -95 -2.50%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..671.00 -5.00 -0.74%
SoybeanOil…62.10 -1.18 -1.86%
Wheat……..844.25 +27.35 +3.44%‼️

Wood pulp…6740.00 unch +0%
(Closed 07/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US akhirnya rebound kenceng, eropa masih tipis, inggris malah masih merah dalem. Asia merah semua kecuali Shanghai.

Oil drop, coal drop, gas drop, sudah selesai kah wave 5 sektor IDX Energy? Kalo energy dan financials udahan, pas deh, IHSG wave 2. Kita pantau aja

Timah abis naik tinggi sendiri kemaren merah, metal2 lain rata2 naik kecuali copper. CPO juga turun banyak, kasian banget ini AALI sama LSIP ga jalan jalan, nanti mungkin bareng wave 3 index

Prediksi masih belum rubah banyak, index mau wave 2 dulu… kita belanja aggressive setelah tutup gap, atau paling cepet setelah retrace fibo 50

MACD index, masih belum firm kemana, tapi yang jelas belum aman buat aggressive belanja

IHSG – stoch up rev, macd still down, bandar mulai lepas barang, foreign entry menurun, MFI turun (consequently), PSAR masih up, price masih diatas MA20. Kalo pemain MA biasanya exit begitu price close dibawah MA 20

wah rada numpuk, kurang jelas…

Energy, Financials, Industrials sama Basic Materials. Saham2 sektor Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, hati2 kalo signal ngebalik buang dulu

Daily Analysis 20220907

Daily Analysis 20220907

Global Update:

September 07th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points lower in post-Labor Day session as interest rates pop

U.S. stocks slumped on Tuesday in a volatile trading session as investors weighed what strong economic data and rising rates mean for the Federal Reserve’s aggressive tightening campaign.

Dow…….31145 -173.1 -0.55%
Nasdaq.11545 -85.95 -0.74%
S&P 500..3908 -16.1 -0.41%

FTSE…….7300 +13.01 +0.18%
Dax……..12871 +110.7 +0.87%
CAC……..6105 +11.4 +0.19%

Nikkei….27627 +6.9 +0.03%
HSI……..19203 -22.97 -0.12%
Shanghai..3200 +13.4 +0.42%
ST Times..3234 +18.6 +0.58%

IDX…….7233.15 +1.27 +0.02%
LQ45…1027.01 -2.28 -0.22%

IDX Energy..2071.92 +58.63 +2.91%‼️
IDX Bsc Mat.1307.05 +8.99 +0.69%
IDX Industrl..1372.37 +12.28 +0.90%
IDXNONCYC..706.56 -2.67 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare.1421.82 +6.04 +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.15 -1.00 -0.11%
IDX Techno..7565.93 +8.45 +0.11%
IDX Transp…1941.80 +14.38 +0.75%
IDX Infrast…..1043.29 -4.78 -0.46%
IDX Finance 1518.24 -6.51 -0.43%
IDX Banking..1164.64 -7.52 -0.64%
IDX Property…709 +10.10 +1.45%

Indo10Yr….7.1847 +0.008 +0.11%
ICBI……..335.9016 -0.0317 -0.01%
US10Yr……3.3400 +0.1470 +4.60%‼️
VIX…………26.91 +0.92 +3.54%

USDIndx 110.2140 +0.3950 +0.33%‼️
Como Indx..282.62 -1.85 -0.65%
M(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.35 +1.98 +1.35%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14885.00 -22.00 -0.15%
Jisdor..14885.00 -35.00 -0.23%

Euro………0.9903 -0.0027 -0.27%

TLKM……..30.30 unch +0%
(4510)
EIDO………24.13 +0.09 +0.37%
EEM………38.30 -0.46 -1.19%

Oil…………..86.84 -1.98 -2.22%
Gold ……..1712.60 -8.60 -0.50%
Timah. .21625.00 +565.00 +2.68%‼️
( Closed 05/9)
Nickel…21580.50 -125.00 -0.06%
(Closed 06/9)
Silver…….17.88 -0.14 -0.78%
Copper….345.45 -0.20 -0.06%

Nturl Gas…..8.066 -0.697 -7.95%‼️

Ammonia..4100.00 +233.33 +6.03%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(05/9)

Coal price….450.25 -7.55 -1.65%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….451.25 -12.50 -2.70%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….439.90 -11.60 -2.57%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….380.00 -12.50 -3.18%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….381.25 -11.25 -2.87%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….374.70 -10.25 -2.68%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3799 -113 -2.89%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..676.00 +10.25 +1.54%
SoybeanOil…63.28 -2.97 -4.48%‼️
Wheat……..817.00 +6.00 +0.74%

Wood pulp…6740.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 06/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Setelah libur US lanjut merah, europe ijo, asia mostly ijo kecuali hangseng

Oil Gas Coal turun, metal2 turun kecuali timah, CPO juga turun… Ini harusnya mendukung mau wave 2, tapi sektor financials masih up, ga sinkron jadinya

MACD nya almost golden cross… Sudah bikin higher high dibanding wave B, tapi masih belum break wave 5 kemaren… Jadi New Record High kalo break itu, euforia nya bakal luar biasa sepertinya

IHSG – candle kemaren rada rada shooting star, walau shadow nya pendek. Tapi tetep sih, candle reversal itu. Stochastic MACD akumulasi PSAR alligator supertrend, ichimoku masih indicate lanjut naik, tapi tetep, saya masih believe ini bakal turun. Too early to make a new record high tanpa ada recovery ekonomi yang jelas

Energy, Finance, Basic Materials, Industrials

Daily Analysis 20220812

Daily Analysis 20220812

Global Update:

August 12th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes flat, Nasdaq dips as market comeback rally takes a breather

Stocks struggled for direction on Thursday as investors mulled another better-than-expected inflation report.

Dow…….33337 +27.2 +0.08%
Nasdaq.12780 -74.9 -0.58%
S&P 500..4207 -2.97 -0.07%

FTSE…….7466 -41.2 -0.55%
Dax……..13695 -6.4 -0.05%
CAC……..6555 +21.2 +0.33%

Nikkei….27819 closed +0%
HSI……..20082 +471.6 +2.40%
Shanghai..3282 +51.7 +1.60%
ST Times..3302 +15.6 +0.48%

IDX…….7160.38 +74.15 +1.05%
LQ45…1018.33 +10.53 +1.04%

IDX Energy…1823.35 +18.95 +1.05%
IDX Bsc Mat.1357.45 +26.07 +1.96%
IDX Industrl..1307.26 +3.14 +0.24%
IDXNONCYC..704.86 +0.90 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1414.86 +4.57 +0.32%
IDXCYCLIC…..895.15 -1.17 -0.13%
IDX Techno..8256.40 +221.65 +2.76%
IDX Transp…2108.67 +16.39 +0.78%
IDX Infrast…..1044.04 +11.63 +1.13%
IDX Finance 1537.57 +9.31 +0.61%
IDX Banking..1167.16 +3.58 +0.31%
IDX Property…..709 +13 +1.86%

Indo10Yr….7.2089 -0.0166 -0.23%
ICBI……..335.7363 +1.2252 +0.38%
US10Yr…..2.8880 +0.1020 +3.66%
VIX…………20.20 +0.46 +2.33%

USDIndx 105.0900 -0.1390 -0.13%‼️
Como Indx..295.06 +5.79 +2.00%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..164.27 +3.80 +2.37%
.
IndoCDS…102.39 – 9.85 -8.73%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14765.50 -105.00 -0.71%👍
Jisdor..14799 .00 -76.00 -0.51%👍

Euro………1.0327 +0.0024 +0.23%

TLKM……..30.94 +0.29 +0.95%
(4579)
EIDO………24.10 +0.10 +0.42%
EEM………40.62 +0.16 +0.40%

Oil…………..94.11 +2.53 +2.76%
Gold ……..1804.70 -3.60 -0.20%
Timah. .25541.00 +115.00 +0.47%
( Closed 10/8)
Nickel…23701.00 +1265.00 +5.64%‼️
(Closed 11/8)
Silver…….20.24 -0.33 -1.60%
Copper….369.40 +5.70 +1.57%

Nturl Gas…..8.727 +0.506 +6.15%‼️

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/8)

Coal price….401.00 +2.35 +0.59%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….397.00 -3.70 -0.92%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….387.50 -2.50 -0.64%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….344.00 +2.00 +0.58%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….338.25 -0.25 -0.07%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….328.75 -0.25 -0.08%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4268 +162 +3.94%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………627.75 +9.25 +1.50%
SoybeanOil…67.62 +1.63 +2.47%
Wheat………826.25 +10.00 +1.23%

Wood pulp…6720.00 -6 -0.09%
(Closed 11/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing tipis2, Asia ijo masih ikut sentimen kemarennya, europe varied. VIX (volatility index) diatas 20, rada kurang baik buat saham

Lagi, semua komoditas ijo kecuali gold dan silver. Coal kembali diatas 400 USD/MT, Nikel Gas CPO naik tinggi

Ada kemungkinan saham coal dilanjut naik, dan trio ANTM INCO TINS juga. Semoga PGAS yang jalan, udah sempet ada volume breakout tapi masih loyo

IHSG ada 3 gap dibawah… 6911 6740 sama 6162

Keliatannya tapi koreksi wave 2 ini nutup sampe gap yang 6740. Kalau sampe 6162 break pattern, bahaya bener

IHSG – stoch sell, MACD melandai, gap sudah ketutup, LR belum mentok, PSAR tanda2 mau reversal, lagging line di ichimoku, supertrend dan alligator still UP, majornya sih jelas sudah uptrend, tapi wave 2 is eminent sepertinya