December 13th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 500 points higher to start the week as investors await Fed meeting, inflation data

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped Monday, clawing back some of the steep losses from the previous week, as traders looked ahead to a highly anticipated Federal Reserve meeting and new inflation data.

Dow…….34005 +528.6 +1.58%
Nasdaq.11144 +139.1 +1.26%
S&P 500..3991 +56.2 +1.43%

FTSE…….7446 -30.7 -0.41%
Dax……..14306 -64.1 -0.45%
CAC……..6651 -27.1 -0.41%

Nikkei….27842 -58.7 -0.21%
HSI……..19464 -437.2 -2.20%
Shanghai..3179 -27.9 -0.87%
ST Times..3240 -6.3 -0.19%

IDX…….6734.45 +19.33 +0.29%
LQ45……938.75 +5.74 +0.61%

IDX Energy..2125.64 +11.31 +0.54%
IDX BscMat 1250.80 +2.00 +0.16%
IDX Indstrl…1170.02 +2.52 +0.16%
IDXNONCYC..728.03 +8.72 +1.21%
IDX Hlthcare.1540.42 +11.23 +0.73%
IDXCYCLIC…..853.47 +0.37 +0.04%
*IDX Techno..5071.19 -122.03 -2.35%*
IDX Transp…1711.99 +17.98 +1.06%
IDX Infrast……852.91 -2.05 -0.24%
IDX Finance 1432.70 +2.51 +0.18%
IDX Banking 1156.21 +3.00 +0.26%
IDX Property….708 – -%

*Indo10Yr…7.0409 +0.0050 +0.07%*
*ICBI…….343.1945 +0.0670 +0.02%*
*US10Yr..3.6110 +0.0440 +1.23%*
*VIX……25.00 +2.17 +9.51%‼️*

*USDIndx..105.0360 +0.2260 +0.22%*
Como Indx..269.37 +3.09 +1.16%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..168.01 -1.83 -1.08%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15627.50 +44.50 +0.29%*
*Jisdor..15642.00 +55.00 +0.35%*

*Euro……1.0537 +0.0004 +0.04%*

TLKM……..23.59 +0.28 +1.20%
*(3690)*
EIDO……….22.76 +0.28 +1.25%
EEM……….38.09 -0.12 -0.31%

*Oil………..73.17 +2.15 +3.03%‼️*
Gold ……1792.30 -18.40 -1.02%
Timah…..24290 – -%
*(Closed 09/12)*
*Nickel…29303.50 +481.00 +1.67%*
*(Closed 12/12)*
Silver………23.40 -0.31 -1.32%
Copper….380.05 -7.80 -2.01%

*Nturl Gas…..6.524 +0.217 +3.44%*

Ammonia..4890.00 – +%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(07/12)

Coal price….400.25 -2.25 -0.56%
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….373.00 -9.10 -2.38%*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….361.25 -11.25 -3.02%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….250.25 -10.65 -4.08%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….235.25 -18.65 -7.35%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….237.40 -17.50 -6.86%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3741 -246 -6.17%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….654.00 +10.00 +1.55%
*SoybeanOil.61.47 +1.93 +3.24%‼️*
*Wheat…….754.75 +20.50 +2.79%*

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Great, US rebound, kemaren IHSG surprisingly berhasil closing ijo sih, despite GOTO yang nyeret kebawah dari awal sesi 1. Asia lain merah, europe merah, semoga semua hari ini menghijau

Metal2 umumnya turun biasanya gini kalo USD index nya naik, nikel yang naik sendiri. Oil ijo, gas ijo, giliran Coal yang merah, waktunya belanja saham coal ini kayanya, buy on dip. CPO masih kacaw, ini drop lagi

IHSG semoga outlook nya cerah begini…

IHSG – stoch 833 sudah buy, MACD masih down, stoch 1066 sudah melandai, masih NFS tapi makin kecil, bandar sudah start akum, MFI naik, sudah firm tutup gap, tinggal mantulnya sih. Semoga rally panjang wave 3…

Masih primadonanya Energy sama Healthcare, yang lain mulai loyo, mungkin mau gantian sama infrastucture dan basic materials

Yang jelas kita tunggu dan doakan cepet financials bangun

Stoch Buy Signal: BFIN CPIN ERAA BSDE MMLP PMMP WIIM

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF MEDC ASSA

November 18th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close lower for a second day as investors weigh outlook for higher interest rates

Stocks fell Thursday and bond yields jumped as Federal Reserve officials signaled their rate-hiking campaign to slow inflation is far from over.

Dow…….33546 -7.5 -0.02%
Nasdaq.11145 -38.7 -0.35%
S&P 500..3947 -12.2 -0.31%

FTSE…….7347 -4.7 -0.06%
Dax……..14266 +32.4 +0.23%
CAC……..6576 -31.1 -0.47%

Nikkei….27931 -97.7 -0.35%
HSI……..18046 -210.8 -1.15%
Shanghai..3115 -4.5 -0.15%
ST Times..3286 +19.9 +0.61%

IDX…….7044.99 +30.60 +0.44%
LQ45….1004.92 +3.96 +0.40%

IDX Energy..1979.96 +9.52 +0.48%
IDX Bsc Mat.1283.33 -8.93 -0.69%
IDX Industrl..1225.32 +5.47 +0.45%
IDXNONCYC..730.36 -5.16 -0.70%
IDX Hlthcare.1480.39 -8.66 -0.58%
IDXCYCLIC…..878.23 +0.37 +0.04%
IDX Techno..6838.92 -48.43 -0.70%
IDX Transp…1820.31 -1.40 -0.08%
IDX Infrast……907.58 +1.91 +0.21%
IDX Finance 1497.37 +15.32 +1.03%
IDX Banking.1191.00 +10.56 +0.89%
IDX Property….691 – -%

Indo10Yr….7.3091 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..337.6890 -0.0128 -0.00%
US10Yr..3.7750 +0.0830 +2.25%
VIX……23.93 -0.18 -0.75%

USDIndx..106.6850 +0.3720 +0.35%
Como Indx..277.60 -5.18 -1.83%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……157.00 -5.86 -3.60%‼️
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15662.50 +63.00 +0.40%‼️
Jisdor..15687.00 +77.00 +0.49%‼️

Euro……..1.0362 -0.0029 -0.28%

TLKM……..25.65 +0.01 +0.04%
(4024)
EIDO………22.92 +0.16 +0.70%
EEM……….38.25 +0.07 +0.18%

Oil…………81.64 -4.04 -4.71%‼️
Gold ……1763.00 -14.40 -0.81%
Timah…..23635 +249.00 +1.06
(Closed 16/11)
Nickel…25378.00 -1361.00 -5.09%‼️
(Closed 17/11)
Silver………21.16 -0.34 -1.58%
Copper…..369.40 -12.55 -3.29%‼️

Nturl Gas…..6.401 +0.170 +2.73%

Ammonia..4413.33 +66.66 +1.53%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(14/11)

Coal price….334.60 +2.05 +0.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….320.00 +3.90 +1.23%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….313.00 +3.85 +1.25%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….202.00 +5.00 +2.54%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….204.00 +6.75 +3.42%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….205.95 +6.90 +3.47%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (16/11)

CPO(Feb)……3845 -179 -4.44%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….669.00 +1.50 +0.22%
SoybeanOil…70.22 -1.88 -2.61%
Wheat………825.00 -12.25 -1.46%

Wood pulp…6610.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 17/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US masih merah tipis tipis, Jerman ijo, singapore ijo, IHSG ijo

oil drop, metal2 drop, timah yang masih ijo, coal naik, mulai rebound kayanya. Kalo begini semoga bener industri petrokimia naik dan coal naik, BRPT dan ADRO termasuk di dalamnya, hehehe

IHSG – masih sideways dulu keliatannya… Tapi lumayan comforting lah, tidak ikut sentimen negatif rudal polandia. MACD dan stochastic mau mantul. Kita check infobank15

Infobank15 – harusnya berita LK BBRI yang mengkilat ikut dorong Infobank15 dan Sektor Financials untuk bangun. Dari chart nya sih masih rather sideways dulu, ga tau apakah nunggu efek kenaikan suku bunga kemaren, tapi yang pasti BD akum terus. Ga lama lagi diangkat harusnya, santa claus rally? Agak kejauhan sih, tapi mungkin aja

Financials, Technology

November 16th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes higher after another lighter-than-expected inflation report, Nasdaq jumps 1.4%

Stocks resumed their inflation-driven rally on Tuesday after another report signaled that price increases could be slowing.

Dow…….33593 +56.2 +0.17%
Nasdaq.1158 +162.2 +1.45%
S&P 500..3992 +34.9 +0.88%

FTSE…….7369 -15.7 -0.21%
Dax……..14379 +65.2 +0.46%
CAC……..6642 +32.5 +0.49%

Nikkei….27990 +26.7 +0.10%
*HSI……..18343 +723.4 +4.11%*
Shanghai..3134 +50.7 +1.64%
ST Times..3275 +14.5 +0.44%

IDX…….7035.50 +16.11 +0.23%
LQ45….1004.36 +3.34 +0.33%

IDX Energy..1972.19 +10.65 +0.54%
IDX Bsc Mat.1316.58 +1.64 +0.12%
IDX Industrl..1221.66 +3.81 +0.31%
IDXNONCYC..734.66 +5.05 +0.69%
IDX Hlthcare.1489.57 -1.29 -0.09%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.2 -2.39 -0.27%
IDX Techno..6800.09 +19.47 +0.29%
IDX Transp…1823.85 +18.73 +1.04%
IDX Infrast……917.42 -0.94 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1489.52 +2.32 +0.16%
IDX Banking.1192.27 +3.65 +0.31%
IDX Property….698 – -%

*Indo10Yr….7.3494 -0.0449 -0.61%‼️*
*ICBI……..337.2594 +0.9444 +0.28%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7990 -0.0660 -1.71%*
*VIX……24.30 +0.57 +2.40%‼️*

*USDIndx..106.5630 -0.3680 -0.34%*
Como Indx..284.36 +2.20 +0.78%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……168.52 +1.49 +0.89%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15537.50 +18.00 +0.12%‼️*
*Jisdor..15564.00 +65.00 +0.42%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0346 +0.0018 +0.17%*

TLKM……..25.83 -0.01 -0.04%
*(4020)*
EIDO………23.36 -0.01 -0.04%
*EEM……….38.80 +0.87 +2.29%*

*Oil…………86.92 +1.05 +1.22%*
Gold ……1776.80 -0.10 -0.01%
*Timah…..22029 +714.00 +3.35*
*(Closed 14/11)*
*Nickel…29753.50 +687.00 +2.36%*
*(Closed 15/11)*
*Silver………21.52 -0.55 -2.67%*
Copper…..381.95 -0.80 -0.21%

Nturl Gas…..6.161 +0.092 +1.52%

Ammonia..4346.67 – 16.66 -0.38%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(14/11)

*Coal price….341.00 +10.65 +3.22%‼️*
(Nov/Newcastle)
*Coal price….330.00 +21.00 +6.80%‼️*
(Des/Newcastle)
*Coal price….323.25 +18.60 +6.11%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….203.50 +9.50 +4.90%*
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….204.75 +13.10 +6.84%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….206.80 +14.80 +7.70%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

*Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%*
Indonesial Coal Index (14/11)

*CPO(Jan)……4030 -78 -1.89%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….669.25 +10.00 +1.52%
SoybeanOil…74.67 +0.79 +1.07%
Wheat………848.00 +9.75 +1.16%

Wood pulp…6630.00 -40 -0.60%
(Closed 14/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Kemaren ijo semua kecuali inggris, hangseng naik tinggi banget…

Gold Silver Copper turun, timah nikel naik, komoditi energy naik semua, kayanya udah waktunya entry menjelang winter di bumi utara

IHSG – Sesuai perkiraan, abis tutup gap ijo dulu, walau tipis, yang bikin kaget karena sempet dibawa turun jauh dulu sebelum closing diatas

IHSG – yang bikin berat itu masih NFS terus. Keliatannya masih sideways dulu sambil nunggu financials bangun. Berita tentang profit BRI udah nongol, tanda2 mau mulai gerak lagi.

Financials, Technology, Basic Materials tapi udah mulai melemah

November 01st, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes lower on Monday, but still posts best month since 1976

Stocks slipped on Monday, but the Dow capped off its best month since 1976 and all the major averages snapped a two-month losing streak.

Dow…….32733 -128.9 -0.39%
Nasdaq.10988 -114.3 -1.03%
S&P 500..3872 -29.1 -0.75%

FTSE…….7095 +46.9 +0.66%
Dax……..13254 +10.4 +0.08%
CAC……..6267 -6.3 -0.10%

Nikkei….27588 +482.3 +1.78%
HSI……..14687 -176.04 -1.18%
Shanghai..2894 -22.4 -0.77%
ST Times..3093 +33.92 +1.11%

IDX…….7098.89 +42.85 +0.61%
LQ45…1014.12 +4.42 +0.44%

IDX Energy..2069.50 +43.91 +2.17%
IDX Bsc Mat.1268.23 +20.70 +1.66%
IDX Industrl..1273.96 -11.61 -0.90%
IDXNONCYC..735.32 -1.64 -0.22%
IDX Hlthcare.1504.12 -9.31 -0.61%
IDXCYCLIC…..868.54 +4.17 +0.48%
IDX Techno..6451.37 -44.25 -0.68%
IDX Transp…1845.74 +35.09 +1.94%
IDX Infrast……940.06 +6.66 +0.71%
IDX Finance 1501.36 +12.71 +0.85%
IDX Banking.1203.76 +16.44 +1.38%
IDX Property….693 +2.60 +0.38%

Indo10Yr….7.5862 -0.0037 -0.05%
ICBI……..331.2277 -0.0311 -0.01%
US10Yr……4.0770 +0.0670 +1.67%‼️
VIX……….25.88 +0.13 +0.50%

USDIndx 115.5800 +0.8280 +0.75%
Como Indx..274.13 +1.51 +0.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……142.20 -2.28 -1.58%
.
IndoCDS..139.53 +5.94 +4.45%
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/10)

IDR……15597.50 +43.50 +0.28%‼️
Jisdor..15596.00 +54 +0.35%‼️

Euro……..0.9882 -0.0083 -0.83%

TLKM……..27.82 -0.31 -1.10%
(4339)
EIDO………23.75 +0.01 +0.04%
EEM……….34.19 -0.10 -0.29%

Oil…………86.53 -1.37 -1.56%
Gold ……1640.70 -4.10 -0.25%
Timah…..18101 – -%
(Closed 28/10)
Nickel…21946.50 -137.50 -0.62%
(Closed 31/10)
Silver………19.12 -0.03 -0.16%
Copper….337.50 -14.95 -4.24%‼️

Nturl Gas…..6.294 +0.494 +0.94%‼️

Ammonia..4113.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/10)

Coal price….356.30 -17.70 -4.73%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….356.05 -19.00 -5.07%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….352.50 -20.44 -5.47%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….219.25 -20.70 -8.63%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….217.25 -20.50 -8.62%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..225.25 -11.50 -4.85%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.65 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (28/10)

CPO(Jan)……4047 +60 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….691.75 +10.75 +1.58%
SoybeanOil…73.21 +1.42 +1.98%
Wheat………882.25 +53.00 +6.39%‼️

Wood pulp…6802.00 unch +0%
(Closed 31/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas,

US merah jum’at, europe masih mayoritas ijo, IDX ijo, asia varied sih… Ada kemungkinan kita merah lagi hari ini…fase sideways dulu bolak balik kayanya

Oil Coal turun, gas naik, energy lagi mau dibikin galau nih, metalturun semua, wah, MDKA nasibnya ga asik ini kalo Gold sama Copper turun, liat MACD kalo ngebalik out dulu deh. CPO naik dikit, belum cukup kayanya buat balikin downtrend AALI LSIP

Masih wave 3, masih long bullish, cuma sideways dulu aja…

IHSG – Stochasticnya udah overbought, bisa bikin koreksi dulu, bisa juga sideways correction. Yang jelas belum rally dulu lagi sampe beres. Kita liat INFOBANK15 buat konfirmasi lanjutan gerakan index. MACD masih firm, DMI sideways, BD sama FF masih accum, mungkin malah baru dinaikin lagi setelah pada akum banyak dulu

MFI masih up, duit gede masih masuk, volume transaksi standar2 aja, ga ada freq spike, gaada yang istimewa lah, konsolidasi aja

INFOBANK15 – ini malah udah keliatan mau lanjut, koreksinya udah keliatan mau beres… kecuali stochastic yang oversold, udah hampir ok semua, tinggal breakout resistance terus tutup gap

Selain finance nongol property, yang senin pada naik, infrastructure, consumer cyclicals, sama transportation

Financials – kompak sama infobank15, cuma lebih telat, tapi sama keliatan mau lanjut.

BBCA BMRI 833 nya buy signal, kita liat apa bener continuation

BBCA – bener kliatannya mau continue naik, candle terakhir gap up baru dibawa closing dibawah. Yang ma entry buy di gap closing aja. MACD masih firm, 833 buy, 1066 rev down, MFI up, BD FF acc, dikit lagi breakout leel top nya wave 1, firm wave 3 kalo break. DMI up, LR up

BMRI – memang diantara big banks paling duluan gerak, udah keliatan kaya mau udahan wave 3 nya, udah ada bearish divergence. VOlume transaksibandar dan foreign juga turun banget, dibiarin aja ini kayanya ga dimainin dulu, MFI flat, macd masih up, stoch 833 buy, 1066 nya overbought. Spec buy masih ok, tapi stoploss ketat

Property – macd up stoch up overbought, 833 sell, mfi up, last 2 days FNS and bandar flat, koq mark-up distribusi sih, kaya yang mau dibanting… masih belum berhasil break fibo 23 memang masih belum firm reversal sih. kita pantau terus tapi

CTRA buy signal MACD, BSDE sama SMRA big accumulation

CTRA – secara umum technical ok, stoch sw,macd buy, mfi sw, abis run terakhir sudah koreksi sampe fibo 61, LR siap mantul PSAR masih up, tapi… volume transaksi sepi, last 2 days FNS, bandar akum tipis tipis. Berani spec buy sih sebagian dulu, tapi stoploss ketat di last low 905

BSDE – all good yang ini, semoga jalan jauh… Dan bukan kena mark-up distribusi kaya sektornya. Kalo ikut retracement pattern standard, next stop: 1005

SMRA – FNS 2 hari, bandar akum tapi, MFI masih up macd up, DMI sw, LR ok, tunggu 833 buy deh

Infrastructure – 833 nya bilang koreksi/sideways dulu, macd masih ok, stoch up, mfi up, dmi sw, psar up lr up. sudah ok sih buat kemungkinan sektor nya diangkat

EXCL ISAT

EXCL – masih sideways, bolak balik terus, harus tunggu breakout aja deh, bd akum FF masih net buy tapi tambah kecil. Baru tembus fibo 23 tenggelem dulu, bisa spec buy di area fibo 23 sebagian aja

ISAT – udah stoch buy, disusul MACD, bareng sama stoch 833 re-buy, harusnya bisa buy ini, continuation. Bandarnya sama FF lagi diem abis kemaren distribusi pas bawa harga koreksi,tapi MFI masih naik, meaning harga naiknya volume nya isi, ga kosong. Berani spec buy di tengah candel kemaren hari ini, target tutup gap

Consumer Cyclicals – rally lho ini, tapi di relative RSI chart ga nongol terus… Stoch up overbought, macdup, mfi up, ff flat bd akum tipis. Retracement pattern jalan, LR jalan

MPMX

MPMX – harusnya buy dari tanggal 24 okt. Idealnya sih ada momentum pullback lagi baru entry di 833 buy, tapi belum tentu dapet, bisa jadi dia langsung lanjut.TUnggu breakout aja deh

Transportation – bagus semua kecuali FNS seminggu terakhir

ASSA FNB big accum

ESSA – belum sih, candle vol buangan